GCC Markets Update UAE, Saudi Arabia and Qatar - Have a question?

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GCC Markets Update UAE, Saudi Arabia and Qatar - Have a question?
GCC Markets Update
UAE, Saudi Arabia and Qatar

                    Have a question?
                  riyadh@austrade.gov.au
GCC Markets Update UAE, Saudi Arabia and Qatar - Have a question?
Ross Bray
Industry Sector Lead, Agribusiness & Food, Middle East & Africa
Australian Trade and Investment Commission

                                                Have a question?
                                              riyadh@austrade.gov.au
GCC Markets Update UAE, Saudi Arabia and Qatar - Have a question?
Agribusiness Expansion Initiative

Boots on the ground   Events and activities    Comprehensive       Suite of services to
to work with you in    specifically for the   sector/market info   help clients expand
 multiple markets       agri-food sector       online 24/7, self      and diversify
                                                     serve

           Working with peak bodies and government agencies on
                 agreed priorities and for seamless service
GCC Markets Update UAE, Saudi Arabia and Qatar - Have a question?
Export Market Development Guide:
Red Meat, Seafood, Grains and Dairy to three GCC markets

                                         Have a question?
                                        riyadh@austrade.gov.au
GCC Markets Update UAE, Saudi Arabia and Qatar - Have a question?
UAE
Sarah Aboulenain
Business Development Manager
Australian Trade and Investment Commission

Sharooq Khajotia
Business Development Manager
Australian Trade and Investment Commission
GCC Markets Update UAE, Saudi Arabia and Qatar - Have a question?
UAE

Market Potential
The UAE’s high GDP per                  The Abu Dhabi Agriculture and Food Safety Authority has identified                                      Macroeconomic resilience, 2020
capita, sustained consumer              opportunities in targeted investment areas including:
                                                                                                                                                       Resilience impact                                          Score
confidence, expanding
population, rising tourist                                                                                                                      2.5                                                                 1.5
numbers and projected swift                                                                                                                     2.0                                                                 1.2
recovery from the Covid-19
                                                                 Cheese & milk            Seeds             Honey        Plant tissue           1.5                                                                 0.9
pandemic are set to fuel                    Milk collection
                                                               powder production                                           culture
consumer demand across all                                                                                                                      1.0                                                                 0.6
segments in the decade ahead.                                                                                                                   0.5                                                                 0.3

Although there has been a                                                                                                                          0                                                                0
                                                                                                                                                         China       KSA         UAE       Malaysia       India
sustained government focus                                                      Fruits &                                                       Score ranges from 0-20. A score of greater than one indicates a positive
                                           Crops               Dates                               Livestock         Algae        Fisheries
on strengthening the capacity                                                  vegetables                                                      outlook, from 0-1 a stable outlook, and less than 0 a negative outlook.
of the local agricultural and
                                          In 2019 the UAE had                                                       Per capita GDP, 2019 ($)
fisheries industries in recent
years – particularly on the                                                                                         50,000
back of the pandemic, which                  390,400 ha                         The agriculture, forestry
                                                                                and fishing sector
disrupted supply chains                      of agricultural
                                                                                accounted for
                                                                                                                    40,000
                                             land, covering
around the world and resulted                5.5% of total                      $3.1bn
in shortages – the country                   land area                          of the economy’s
                                                                                                                    30,000
continues to be dependent                                                       value added
on food imports. Indeed,                                                                                            20,000
the UAE currently imports
approximately 80-90% of its                                23.2%                                                    10,000
                                                           of agricultural land was irrigated
domestic food needs.
                                                                                                                         0
                                                                                                                                UAE            KUWAIT               KSA             BAHRAIN                OMAN

Agri-business Expansion Initiative   Graphics sources: worldbank.org; adafsa.gov.ae; fao.org                                                                                                                  6
UAE

Food Retail
The retail sector in the UAE is categorised into food                        Tourism impact
and non-food segments, with food retail holding                              The UAE’s tourism sector has a significant knock-on effect on the nation’s retail market, with malls being a major draw
the larger share. Supermarket and hypermarket                                for foreign visitors, particularly in Dubai and Abu Dhabi. In 2019 travel and tourism accounted for 11.9% of the UAE’s
                                                                             GDP, while it employed roughly 10% of the labour force, at 745,000 people. The delayed Dubai Expo 2020 will take place
channels dominate, and strong growth has been
                                                                             between October 1, 2021 and March 31, 2022. Although concerns remain that the Covid-19 pandemic will hamper visitor
w i t n e s s e d in va l u e - a d d e d a n d r e a d y- t o - c o o k     numbers, the organisers are optimistic and have maintained their pre-pandemic targets.
products in recent years. According to Euromonitor,
retail sales of packaged food in the country were                            • 25m visitors expected over the course of the event
recorded at $5.9bn in 2020, a 2 0 . 9 % increase                             • Estimated on-site food and beverage sales will reach $545m
over 2016. Forecasts suggest that sales in the                               • Roughly 85,000 meals per hour will be served during Expo 2020
segment will reach $7.5bn by 2025.

Food & drink internet retail sales in the UAE,
2014-19E ($ m)
120                                                                                       Food processing
                                                                                          The country’s strategic location and strong port and logistics infrastructure have helped fuel expansion in the
100                                                                                       food- and beverage-processing segment. In 2019 the UAE was home to 568 food and beverage processors
                                                                                          with total output of nearly 6m tonnes. Some 2.3m tonnes of output was for 15 essential food items that
                                                                                          included dairy products, meat, cooking oil, sugar, wheat, rice, fruits and vegetables, and tea and coffee.
 80

 60

 40                                                                                       E-commerce
                                                                                          The UAE’s online food retail segment was growing strongly even before the Covid-19 pandemic forced
 20                                                                                       food outlets to close their doors and focus on home delivery and takeaway services. Various websites and
                                                                                          mobile applications are dedicated to the food retail space, and there are specialised platforms that offer
                                                                                          organic produce, fresh meat and seafood.
  0
        2014        2015       2016    2017       2018      2019E

 Agri-business Expansion Initiative             Graphics source: dubaichamber.com                                                                                                                 13
UAE

Distribution Channels
There are a variety of selling methods in the UAE,           Urbanisation, 2010-20 (% of total population)
though direct sales are not very widespread. The             95
most common is to market products through
local commercial agents. Many firms will choose              90
a different distributor or agent in each emirate.
                                                             85
Due to high urbanisation, supermarkets and
grocery stores dominate the UAE retail market.
Major players include Lulu Group, Majid Al Futtaim,          80
Landmark Group, Al Azizia Panda United, Azadea,
EMKE Group, Fathima Group of Companies,                       0
                                                                      2010    2011      2012     2013        2014     2015   2016    2017        2018      2019       2020
Carrefour, Spinneys Dubai and Al Maya.
                                                              Key market players
The UAE is the region’s leader in e-commerce                   Seafood                             Red Meat                         Grains
and has witnessed notable growth in online
                                                               Bidvest Food Service                Elfab                            Foodco Holding Company
sales, especially during the pandemic. The UAE
e-commerce market is projected to expand at                    Deep Catch                          Horeca Trade                     Golden Grains Foodstuff Trading
a CAGR of 18.9% between 2020 and 2025, to                      Breco Seafoods                      Kibsons International            Asia & Africa General Trading
$3.9bn. Rising urbanisation rates in the country               BWP                                 Siam Trading                     Al Ghurair
are also facilitating the transition to e-commerce,            Blue Wave Fish Traders              Sidco Foods Trading              Al Rabiah Trading Co
which has changed consumer spending habits                     Blue Seas Products                  Sun Impex                        Gautam General Trading
since the onset of the pandemic: almost 50% of
                                                               Atlantis Food Holdings
consumers prefer to shop online, with grocery
                                                               Mantos Foods CC
sales alone up 41%, according to an online poll
by Standard Chartered in September 2020.                       GSA Traders

Agri-business Expansion Initiative   Graphics source: worldbank.org                                                                                                          14
UAE

                                                                              “
Dairy
The UAE’s dairy market holds significant potential for
domestic and international operators alike, underpinned
by robust economic projections and strong consumer                              Our newly established investment segment has already identified several opportunities
appetite. As with other countries in the GCC, a focus on                        within 15 targeted investment areas, including milk collection, and cheese and milk powder
food security and self-sufficiency has led to increased                         production.
government support for local production. While the                                                                       Saeed Al Bahri Salem Al Ameri, Director-General, AbuDhabi
UAE is the second-largest producer of milk in the GCC,                                                                                        Agriculture and Food Safety Authority
it imports other dairy products such as cheese.

Leading cheese suppliers to the UAE, 2019
         Country                          Volume                                       In 2019 dairy accounted for                                               Milk production in
        of supply                        (tonnes)                                                                                                            Abu Dhabi, 2018-20 (tonnes)
                                                                                                                              10%
            KSA                           15,724                                                                           of re-exported
                                                                                                                         food and beverage
             US                            9795                                   8%                                          products
                                                                               of imported
           Egypt                           5774                             food and beverage
                                                                                 products
         Denmark                           5752

           Turkey                          4234

       New Zealand                         3865
                                                                              The UAE dairy market is set to expand at
                                                                                                                          from
           France                          3609                               a compound annual growth rate (CAGR)       $1.8bn                                              2018
                                                                                                                                       to
                                                                              of over 7% between 2018 and 2024                                                               2019
                                                                                                                                       $2.6bn
            Italy                          2786                                                                                                                              2020

Agri-business Expansion Initiative   Graphics sources: scad.gov.ae; csc.gov.ae; moccae.gov.ae; ahdb.org.uk; dubaichamber.com;                   Quote source: OBG The Report: Abu Dhabi 2020   7
                                                       businesswire.com; ead.gov.ae; adafsa.gov.ae; comtrade.un.org
UAE

Seafood
The development of aquaculture has been driven                                                                                    Quantity of fish caught, 2019 (tonnes)
in large part by Ministry of Climate Change                                         The UAE’s fisheries &
                                                                                                                                    Sharjah             Ajman
and Environment strategies aimed at easing                                    aquaculture market is projected
pressure on local fisheries. Although there has                                     to grow at a CAGR of                            Ras Al Khaimah      Umm Al Quwain
been progress on this front, the country currently
imports 72% of the seafood it consumes.
                                                                                         4.7%                                       Fujairah            Abu Dhabi
                                                                                 between 2020 and 2025
                                                                                                                                    Dubai
Sources of seafood consumed in the UAE (%)

   Imported         Locally caught    Local aquaculture                                                                                   2589
                                                                                  Aquaculture production

                      1                                                               in Abu Dhabi was
                                                                                                                                                                           17,583
                                                                                                                                          5218

                                                                           650            810              527
                                                                                                                                  6125
     27                                                                  tonnes         tonnes           tonnes
                                                                         in 2017        in 2018          in 2019
                                                                                                                                                        TOTAL
                                                                                                                                 11,042
                                                                                                                                                        72,117

                                                                                                                                                                           17,056

                                                   72
                                                                                                                                         12,495

Agri-business Expansion Initiative   Graphics sources: scad.gov.ae; fcsc.gov.ae; moccae.gov.ae; ahdb.org.uk; dubaichamber.com;                                                      8
                                                       businesswire.com; ead.gov.ae; adafsa.gov.ae; comtrade.un.org
UAE

Grains                                           Wheat milling and processing is driven
                                                                                                    UAE grains imports (000 tonnes)
                                                                                                                  Wheat                      Corn                  Barley
While demand for grain in the                      by re-exports and local demand
UAE dipped during the beginning
of the pandemic amid the general                                                                    2014/15
economic slowdown and drop in
international arrivals, the country’s
recovery from the health crisis                   1.7m tonnes
and comprehensive vaccine drive                                          920,000 tonnes             2015/16
                                                  of flour-milling
suggest renewed potential in the                                         of storage capacity
                                                 capacity per year
future. With limited water resources
and natural water recharge, the
                                                                                                    2016/17
UAE is reliant on grain imports to
meet demand, as well as to feed a
growing number of livestock.                Major suppliers of wheat, 2019/20 (000 tonnes)

                                                 RUSSIA                                             2017/18
Although innovative new technologies
are being rolled out to bolster the             CANADA
country’s food security, its strategy          UKRAINE
still largely depends on acquiring                                                                  2018/19
farmland overseas, or importing              AUSTRALIA
and stockpiling grain at home.                   EU & UK
Indeed, a rising stockpile capacity
                                                   INDIA
in recent years has helped fuel the                                                                 2019/20
country’s re-export potential, with                    US
neighbouring Saudi Arabia emerging
                                                          0      200   400   600     800     1000             0           500         1000          15000   2000        2500
as the UAE’s largest exportpartner.

Agri-business Expansion Initiative   Graphics source: usda.gov                                                                                                      9
UAE

Meat
                                                                                                                                                     • The UAE's edible meat market is expected to grow
Strong economic growth and high levels               is expected to rise once more, driven            and boost the quality of local produce.          at a CAGR of 6.5% between 2020 and 2025
                                                                                                                                                     • Domestic poultry production is forecast to reach
of disposable income among both the                  in the short term by Dubai’s hosting             This feeds into the country’s broader            56,000 tonnes in 2021, up 12% on 2020
local and expat population have fuelled              of Expo 2020; the six-month event                national food security drive, particularly     • The UAE's imports of Australian sheep and goat
the growth of the meat market in the                 beginning in October 2021.                       in the wake of the pandemic; the Abu             meat account for 2.25% of the total imports of
UAE, with the import value of beef,                                                                   D h ab i Agriculture a n d Fo o d Safety         this food group around the world
poultry, and sheep and goat meat all                 While virtually all forms of large-scale         Authority recently announced a
                                                                                                                                                       Top-five beef choice motivators in the UAE
expanding steadily in recent years.                  domestic agriculture are limited by the          Dh1bn investment fund earmarked for             1. 100% all natural
                                                     country’s arid, desert climate, local            agricultural projects. However, imports         2. Halal certification
As economic activity and global business             authorities h ave rolled out suppo rt            remain central to supply, and in 2019           3. Quality grading
and leisure travel start to pick up again            p r o g ra m me s to help small-scale            Australia wa s the UAE’s top import             4. Animal welfare conditions

                                                                                                                                               “
after the Covid-19 pandemic, demand                  farmers increase livestock production            partner for sheep and goat meat.                5. Safety certification

Value of imports, 2017-19 ($ m)                                               UAE’s top import partners, 2019 ($ m)
                                                                       BEEF                                     SHEEP & GOAT
            2017          2018       2019             Pakistan                                      Australia
                                                      Australia                                        India
Sheep &
                                                          Brazil
                                                                                                                                                   [Our organisation aims to support] local farmers and
Goat                                                        US                                       Ethiopia                                      livestock breeders by strengthening partnerships
                                                   New Zealand                                         Kenya                                       between the public and the private sectors, and
            369.9         386.1      383.1                India                                                                                    encouraging more investment in the sector.
                                                                                                     Sudan
                                                     Argentina
                                                   South Africa                                     Pakistan
                                                         Russia                                  New Zealand
                                                        Kuwait                                                                                                      Saeed Al Bahri Salem Al Ameri,
Beef                                                                                             South Africa                                              Director-General, Abu Dhabi Agriculture
                                                       Sudan
                                                       Canada                                          Spain                                                            and Food Safety Authority
            305.9         310.6      323.3             Ethiopia                                           UK
                                                                   0   30      60   90   120                    0   50   100   150   200

Agri-business Expansion Initiative           Graphics sources: mla.com.au; trendeconomy.com                                                 Quote source: OBG The Report: Abu Dhabi 2020      10
UAE

Conclusions & Recommendations                                                                                                                 Strengths
                                                                                                                              • Financial assets and oil reserves drive
                                                                                                                                                                                          Weaknesses
                                                                                                                                                                              • Heavily dependent on a few sectors
                                                                                                                                trade, logistics and tourism development      • Significantly impacted by the pandemic
The UAE is a sophisticated market characterised                   with local partners or well-established Australian          • Heavy investment to diversify economy           in terms of oil prices and travel
by high purchasing power, a diverse and growing                   companies in the region could help exporters                • 1st in MENA and 16th globally for ease        • 74% of land classified as desert
                                                                                                                                of doing business                             • 95% foreign national workforce,
population, and a business-friendly environment.                  capitalise on these opportunities. Emerging non-            • Official language is Arabic, although all       predominantly from South Asia
It is Australia’s largest trading partner in the                  tariff barriers – particularly in agri-food imports           major business languages widely used          • Strong gender imbalance
region and at the heart of global commerce due                    – are a challenge, with new standards, quality              • Very low unemployment rate                    • Some UAE companies attempt to
                                                                                                                              • Trade exhibitions                               change scope of work post-contract
to its transport, financial and communications                    marks and labelling rules adding to costs and               • Large and growing expat community             • Regional tensions
infrastructure. Bilateral non-oil trade has surged in             admin. Increasingly fragmented GCC approaches               • Political stability                           • Emerging non-tariff barriers –
                                                                                                                              • Considerable current account surplus            particularly in agri-food import sector –
recent years, and there is ample potential. Working               to standards may pose additional barriers.                  • Among the highest GDP per capita                that drive up costs and admin
                                                                                                                              • Regional leader in e-commerce
                                                                                                                              • Largest trading partner in the region, with
                   Opportunities                         Challenges                             Untapped global                 significant presence of Australian firms
                                                                                                export potential              • Recent normalisation with Israel
 Grains
            • Wheat exports; currently
                                       • Australian wheat exports limited so far
                                                                                    • Wheat, excluding durum: $243.8m                     Opportunities                                       Threats
              reliant on Russia                                                     • Durum wheat: $14.9m
                                                                                                                              • Gateway to Middle East and Africa,            • Soft oil prices and sluggish global
 Dairy                                                                              •   Milk powder: $62.5m                     already regional headquarters for many          demand, coupled with OPEC-mandated
                                                                                    •   Cheese: $52.6m                          Australian companies                            production cuts, impact economic
                                        • Competition from KSA, the US, the EU,                                               • Strong population growth driven by              stability
            • Considerable re-exports                                               •   Butter: $44.2m
                                          Egypt and Turkey                                                                      workforce migration                           • Presence of diverse international
            • Cheese                                                                •   Processed cheese: $26.4m
                                        • Second-largest producer of milk           •   Yoghurt: $23.7m                       • High GDP per capita and consumer                players seeking to leverage the
                                                                                    •   Concentrated milk and cream: $52.5m     confidence, growing population and              UAE’s strengths to expand into global
                                                                                    •   Low-fat milk: $39m                      rising tourist numbers fuel demand              markets
Seafood • Rapidly growing market        • Government dedicated specific trips to                                                across products                               • Continued conflicts in the region
                                                                                    • Shrimp and prawns, frozen: $236.2m      • Imports 80-90% of food needs                  • Stands to be significantly impacted by
                                          fish-producing nations such as Turkey
            • Imports 72% of needs                                                  • Whole fish, fresh: $65.9m               • Highly developed infrastructure allows          climate change
                                          and Greece to import seafood during the
                                                                                    • Fish fillets, frozen: $59.8m              for continued growth despite economic
                                          pandemic
                                                                                                                                slowdown and oil price volatility
  Meat      • Australia is the #1 sheep
                                                                                    •   Bovine cuts, frozen: $266.4m
                                                                                    •   Bovine cuts, fresh: $189.8m           • Positive outlook due to recently enacted
              and #2 beef exporter                                                                                              fiscal reforms
                                        • Competition from Pakistan in beef         •   Goat meat: $62.6m
            • Meat demand expected                                                                                            • Several high-profile trade events
                                                                                    •   Sheep carcasses: $63.5m
              to grow significantly                                                                                             throughout 2021
                                                                                    •   Lamb carcasses: $59.4m

Agri-business Expansion Initiative         Graphics source: intracen.org                                                                                                                                     15
Saudi Arabia
Mohsen El Bahaie
Business Development Manager
Australian Trade and Investment Commission
Saudi Arabia

                                                                                                                               “
Market Potential
Although Saudi Arabia’s economy was negatively                      the health crisis to safeguard the economy, as well
                                                                                                                               The privatisation process undertaken by the government
affected by the Covid-19 pandemic and low                           as population growth, high per capita income, and
international oil prices in 2020, IMF forecasts                     mega- and giga-project investments associated              will create business opportunities for many, and open
suggest a strong recovery in the short term. The                    with Vision 2030 that continue to fuel spending.           the door for greater margin gains for both foreign
fund expects the Saudi economy to grow by 2.9%                      Many of these projects align with the authorities’         investors and local companies
in 2021 and 4% in 2022, before levelling out at                     goal of turning Saudi Arabia into one of the top-
around 2.8% growth per annum through to 2026.                       five global travel destinations by 2030, with $64bn                         Abdulaziz Mohammed Al Namlah, Managing
                                                                                                                                                Director, Amnest Group
The projected rebound will be supported by a series                 earmarked for investment by the Kingdom’s newly
of financial measures that were introduced during                   formed General Entertainment Authority.
                                                                    Tourism and hospitality are Macroeconomic resilience*, 2020
GDP growth, 2019-26F (%)                                             set to benefit from Vision    Resilience impact                                                                              Score
                                                                        2030, which aims to:
4                                                                                               2.5                                                                                                  1.5
                                                                               Boost the        2.0                                                                                                  1.2
3                                                                                               1.5                                                                                                  0.9
                                                                       number of domestic and
2                                                                      international travellers 1.0                                                                                                  0.6
                                                                       from 67.7m in 2018 to    0.5                                                                                                  0.3
1                                                                           100m in 2030        0.0                                                                                                  0.0
                                                                                                              China        KSA                  UAE            Malaysia             India
0                                                                                                                              *Scores range from 0 to 20. A score of greater than 1 indicates a positive
                                                                           Increase tourism’s                                           outlook, 0-1 a stable outlook and less than 0 a negative outlook.
-1                                                                        contribution to GDP    Pandemic response
                                                                         from 3% in 2020 to
-2                                                                           10% by 2030
                                                                                                  In March 2020 the Saudi
                                                                                                  Arabian Monetary Authority
                                                                                                                               SR30bn                      SR6bn              Saudi Arabia ranked
                                                                                                                               for banks and financial     to exempt           in the top five
-3
                                                                         Turn the country into
                                                                                                  announced a   SR50bn         institutions for deferred   SMEs from          out of 119 countries
-4                                                                                                package to support the       loan payments by small      the costs of a          in terms of
                                                                           a top-five global
                                                                                                  private sector during the    and medium-sized            loan guarantee       macroeconomic
                                                                          travel destination
-5                                                                                                pandemic, including:         enterprises (SMEs)          programme
     19       20       21F      22F   23F   24F     25F    26F                                                                                                                 resilience in 2020

Agri-business Expansion Initiative          Graphics sources: imf.org; mt.gov.sa; spa.gov.sa                                         Quote source: OBG The Report: Saudi Arabia 2019         19
Saudi Arabia

Food Retail
The traditional retail sector in Saudi Arabia is gradually giving
way to more modern channels as rising disposable incomes,                               Top-10 growth products in Saudi Arabia
an increasing population base and expanding urban centres
fuel the growth of hypermarket and supermarket chains in the                                         1.   Processed meat & seafood                       6.   Processed fruits & veggies
Kingdom. Total food retail sales reached approximately $37bn
in 2020, 59% of which was generated through traditional
                                                                                                     2.   Baby food                                      7.   Ready meals
grocery outlets. The remaining 41% came from more modern
retail channels such as supermarkets and hypermarkets
located in malls. As in many other markets, the Covid-19                                             3.   Baked goods                                    8.   Savoury snacks
pandemic has shifted demand and consumption patterns in
the Kingdom, with online food-delivery services taking off as
food establishments adjusted to the constraints of lockdown                                          4.   Ice cream & frozen treats                      9.   Fruit pie filling
measures. As of October 2020 there were some 48 delivery
apps operating in Saudi Arabia, many of which opened during
the pandemic. Consolidation of these new channels is likely                                          5.   Breakfast cereals                              10. Beverages
to be a major trend in the sector moving forwards.

 59%                                 41%                      48                                $54.8bn                   3.2%                 70.3%                              4.6%
 of food retail sales                of food retail sales     food-delivery apps in             in revenue for food       CAGR                 of the market in 2020              growth in the value
 in 2020 were                        in 2020 came from        operation as of October           and grocery retail                             was derived from the               of the food and
                                                                                                                          in the food retail
 generated via                       modern channels like     2020; many opened                 in 2020                   sector between       food segment, with total           groceries market
 traditional channels                hypermarkets and         during the pandemic                                         2016 and 2020        revenue of $38.5bn                 in 2020
                                     supermarkets

Agri-business Expansion Initiative             Graphics sources: usda.gov; marketresearch.com                                                                                                           27
Saudi Arabia

Distribution Channels
Re g u l a t i o n s for halal b e v e ra g e s a n d     Largest retail outlets, 2019
dairy products have o p e n e d the d o o r                                                                                                          In November 2020 the
                                                                MARKET SHARE                              COMPANY               Saudi Arabia’s
for new international companies to enter                                                                                                             government began the
                                                                                                   Panda Retail            barley imports are
the Saudi market, with the drinking milk                                                                                                             privatisation of barley
                                                          54.5%                                                             forecast to fall to
segment attracting the highest level of                                                   19.8%                                                      imports, with the private
                                                                                                   Al Othaim
foreign direct investment. The Saudi dairy                                                                                        6.2m               sector assuming control
market overall is highly competitive and                                                           BinDawood                     tonnes              of barley import purchases beginning
is dominated by Al Safi Danone, Nada                                                                                                                 March 2021. To facilitate the handover
                                                                                          11.3%                              in the 2020/21
Dairy, Nadec, Saudia Dairy & Foodstuff                                                             Lulu Saudi                                        process, the Saudi Arabia Grain
                                                                                                   Hypermarkets             marketing year,
Company and Ornua, among others.                                                                                                                     Organisation issued 11 import and
                                                                                                                                down from a
                                                                                                   Farm                                              distribution licences to potential local
                                                                                          8.7%                              previous forecast
                                                                                                   Superstores                                       barley traders – two of which had already
                                                                                          3%                                 of 7.6m tonnes
                                                                                                                                                     begun importing as of February 2021.
      Due to the Kingdom’s
                                                                                          2.7%     Other
      high urbanisation rate
      and dependence on                                   Urbanisation, 2010-20 (% of total population)

      imports, hypermarkets and                           90

      supermarkets are the leading
                                                          85
      distribution channels in the
      country, accounting for more                        80
      than    50%          of all fish and
      seafood distribution                                75

                                                           0
                                                                  2010        2011        2012      2013          2014   2015         2016        2017      2018         2019         2020

 Agri-business Expansion Initiative          Graphics sources: euromonitor.com; worldbank.org                                                                                            29
Saudi Arabia

Dairy
With approximately 1.5% of
its total landmass classified          Total dairy imports reached $1.92bn in 2019, of which                         • The Saudi dairy market was valued at $4.8bn in 2020
as arable, Saudi Arabia                cheese and curd, and milk and cream                                           • The Covid-19 pandemic led to a rise in demand for products
remains largely dependent
                                       accounted for $692m                                                             such as cream, milk and butter, as more Saudis cooked and
on food and beverage                                                                                                   baked at home due to social-distancing and lockdown measures
imports to meet local
demand, particularly when it                                                                                         • The market is characterised by a high consumption of milk
                                       New Zealand, Denmark                                                            products, with several local dishes requiring milk and cheese in
comes to satisfying growing
appetite for a wider range
                                       and the UAE are major sources of Saudi Arabia’s                                 their preparation
                                       imported dairy. In 2019 the Kingdom purchased $770.4m
of gourmet dairy products.             worth of products from these countries.                                       • Rising incomes, an emphasis on healthy eating and the increased
                                                                                                                       availability of dairy products is expected to bolster consumption
The Kingdom is both the                                                                                                in the medium term
largest country in the GCC                                                                                           • Indeed, average annual household dairy sales are forecast to rise
and the top consumer of                                                                                                from $861 in 2020 to $909.70 in 2025
                                                     Saudi Arabia’s dairy market is expected to grow
dairy in the bloc. Domestic                          at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of
consumption of cheese, in                            3.6% between 2020 and 2025
particular, has increased                                                                                           Dairy production & consumption, 2019E-25F (000 tonnes)
substantially in recent years.                                                                                                                                 2019E            2025F
One of the local players                             Cheese accounts for 30% of the country’s                       Milk production                             2491            2601.5
                                                     total dairy spending
helping to meet demand                                                                                              Liquid milk consumption                    1470.7           1675.5
for milk is domestic dairy                                                                                          Whole milk powder consumption               97.6            113.7
operation Al Marai, the                              The Kingdom imported 181,613 tonnes of                         Butter production                            5.2              5.3
Middle East’s largest food                           cheese and curd in 2019, including 7040                        Butter consumption                          42.2             50.3
                                                     tonnes worth $34m from France
and beverage manufacturing                                                                                          Cheese production                          172.8            205.7
and distribution company.                                                                                           Cheese consumption                         262.5            323.8

Agri-business Expansion Initiative   Graphics sources: mordorintelligence.com; fitchsolutions.com; ahdb.org.uk; bestfoodimporters.com                                                      20
Saudi Arabia

Seafood
Increasing consumption              Seafood imports & exports, 2015-19 ($m)
on the back of a growing                       Imports                           Exports
                                                                                                                                                          Saudi Arabia is the number-one
middle class, rising demand                                                                                                                               consumer of seafood in the GCC
                                    450
for imported products, and
                                    400
the emergence of specialty          350
seafood restaurants are             300                                                                                                       Saudi Arabia’s fisheries and aquaculture
anticipated to drive future         250                                                                                                       market is forecast to post a CAGR of
                                    200
demand for seafood in Saudi         150
                                                                                                                                              4.1% between 2020 and 2025.
Arabia. Indeed, developing          100
the sector is a central pillar       50
                                                                                                                                              The Saudi government has pledged
in the government’s efforts           0
                                                 2015             2016                2017             2018              2019                 SR1.3bn of investment in domestic
to ensure food security                                                                                                                       aquaculture under the Vision 2030
and support diversification         Aquaculture production by environment, 2017-19 (tonnes)                                                   development plan.
throu gh Vision 2030.                 Brackish water                         Marine                Freshwater
Production received a boost
in January 2020 when four                                                                                            Total                      Vision 2030 aims to
                                               39,480              7920           7635
local companies merged
                                    2017                                                                            55,035                            Increase domestic fish production to
to create the Advanced
                                                                                                                                                      600,000 tonnes per year
Aquaculture Company.                           56,380                          8020           7635
The new entity – valued                                                                                                                               Meet 65% of domestic demand for
                                    2018                                                                            72,035
at SR500m – is expected                                                                                                                               seafood locally
to produce 60,000 tonnes                       61,100                             5400           8900
of fish in the initial stages       2019                                                                                                              Lower production costs by 30%
                                                                                                                    75,400
before boosting production
to 300,000 tonnes by2035.                  0                          40,000                          80,000

Agribusiness Expansion Initiative   Graphics sources: eurofish.dk; mordorintelligence.com; ahdb.org.uk; vision2030.gov.sa; comtrade.un.org; fao.org                                      21
Saudi Arabia

Grains                                                                                                             Main sources of wheat imports by volume, 2019/20
                                                                                                                   (% market share)
Recovery from the pandemic – combined                       The country’s grains security roadmap focuses on
with expected rising visitor numbers from the               three areas: local production, imports from Saudi         EU              93.2
resumption of Hajj and Umrah pilgrimages and                companies located abroad and general imports.             Russia
broader tourism arrivals drawn by the Kingdom’s             The Saudi Grains Organisation, one of the bodies          Brazil
efforts to expand cultural offerings associated             charged with implementing the country’s food              Turkey
with Vision 2030 – suggest significant potential            security strategy, is responsible for all purchases.      Indonesia
for grains exporters. Although advances in                  The authorities are working to expand the role of         Australia
desalination and the careful management of                  the private sector in grains production: in June
                                                                                                                      Egypt                                                  3.4
available groundwater has allowed for some                  2020 ownership of two milling companies was                                0.9
                                                                                                                      Other                                                  1.7
domestic grain production, Saudi Arabia’s arid              transferred to the private sector, and an additional                       0.2
desert climate and limited water supply preclude            two facilities were privatised in April 2021.
                                                                                                                   Primary suppliers of rice imports, 2019/20 (000 tonnes)
any industrial-scale operations. Indeed, production
was banned from the 2014/15 to the 2017/18                       Top grain suppliers by market share, 2019/20           INDIA
season due to concerns over water shortages.
                                                                                                                    PAKISTAN

While the ban has since been rescinded, strict                                                                             US
rules remain in place for small-scale producers,                           93.1%                        79%         THAILAND
who are limited to producing either wheat or                                       EU   Rice              India
forage. Licences are required for both products,             Wheat                                                   VIETNAM

and there are limits to how much land is permitted                                                                     BRAZIL
be set aside for production. The International                                                                             EU
Grains Council estimated in March 2020 that
Saudi Arabia’s wheat production stood at 700,000
                                                                              60%                       50%        AUSTRALIA
                                                                            Argentina                    Russia
tonnes for the 2019/20 season, an increase from             Maize                       Barley                         OTHER
500,000 tonnes in the previous season.
                                                                                                                                  0          100   200        1200       1300

Agri-business Expansion Initiative   Graphics source: usda.gov                                                                                                          22
Saudi Arabia

Meat
Saudi Arabia’s meat market is forecast        Per capita sheep meat consumption in MENA, 2020E
                                              (kg carcass weight equivalent per person)                               Meat trade, 2019 ($ m)                            In 2019 KSA imported
to grow at a CAGR of 5.5% between
2020 and 2025. Expansion has been              Bahrain
                                                Qatar                                                                 Imports                         Exports                $178m
driven by strong economic growth                Kuwait                                                                                                                      worth of fresh or
and changing consumer trends                    Oman
                                                                                                                          138.1         Sheep &        2.5              chilled, boneless bovine
                                                  UAE                                                                                                                     meat, compared to
in recent years, as the expanding               Jordan                                                                                  goat
middle class adopts more expensive,
protein-based diets. In the short to
                                                  KSA
                                                   Iran
                                                                                                                                                                             $211m
                                              Lebanon                                                                     196.2         Beef           0.05               worth of frozen,
medium term growth will continue to              Egypt                                                                                                                  boneless bovine meat
be fuelled by these factors, as well                      0           5           10           15           20
as rising tourism numbers that are
expected due to the Kingdom’s more            Value of imports, 2018-20 ($ m)                       KSA’s top import partners, 2019 ($ m)
relaxed visitor visa rules.                                                                                      Sheep & Goat                                            Beef
                                                              248.2       188.3        138.1
                                                                                                         Australia                                            Brazil                          48
With just 1.5% of its land currently                                                                                                        65
classified as arable, Saudi Arabia                                                                   New Zealand                  38                     Australia                         46
                                              Sheep
remains heavily dependent on food                                                                        Ethiopia         14.4                           Pakistan                          45
                                              & goat
imports to keep pace with domestic                                                                          Spain      5.4                                    India                 24
demand. Brazil was the Kingdom’s                                                                            India      4.7                                Ethiopia                15.6
largest import partner for beef in                            156.4       145.4        196.2             Pakistan      4.1                            New Zealand           4.6
2019, with the trade value reaching                                                                        Kenya       2.3                                    Kenya      3.6
$48m, just ahead of Australia and                                                                           Brazil                                               US
                                                                                                                      2                                                 2.5
Pakistan, with values of $46m and             Beef
                                                                                                                                                      Netherlands
                                                                                                           France 0.104                                                  2.1
$45m, respectively. Meanwhile,
                                                                                                      Netherlands 0.101                                   Canada        2
Australia supplied 47% of sheep and
                                                              2018        2019         2020                       0       20      40   60        80                 0        15     30   45        60
goat meat imported that year.

Agri-business Expansion Initiative   Graphics source: trendeconomy.com; mla.com.au                                                                                                                 23
Saudi Arabia

Conclusions & Recommendations                                                                                                                             Strengths                                  Weaknesses
                                                                                                                                           • Largest Gulf country and highest GDP in     • Absolute monarchy, with the Al Saud
Saudi Arabia offers a substantial market for agro-                     is sophisticated and accustomed to Western                            the Arab world                                family remaining the primary political
                                                                                                                                           • High GDP per capita                           and administrative actor
exports. It aims to replace low-value crops with                       practices, and its needs fit Australian capabilities                                                              • Islamic society, with the role of Islam
                                                                                                                                           • Only G20 country in the region
imported commodities, reflecting the expanding                         well, with a fast-growing, young population;                        • Owner of 16% of the world’s proven            cross-cutting the composition of
middle class’s demand for higher-quality proteins                      established banking system; solid infrastructure;                     petroleum reserves                            economic law, as well as other policy
                                                                                                                                           • Broad and ambitious socio-economic            areas and consumption patterns
and grains. Geopolitical risks that threaten                           and generally low duties and trade barriers. It is                    reform plan, Vision 2030                    • Resource distribution and climate
GCC unity present opportunities to capture re-                         important to note that unlike elsewhere in the                      • Accelerated FDI since the Future              conditions leading to diverse patterns
export market share. The business community                            region, bribery is a serious crime in the country.                    Investment Initiative forum in 2019           of settlement and economic activity
                                                                                                                                           • Rapid expansion of the grocery retail       • Development has fallen behind the
                                                                                                                                             and food-processing sectors                   Vision 2030 schedule, although goals
                                     Opportunities                          Challenges           Untapped global export potential          • Visitors for Hajj and Umrah pilgrimage        are likely to be met the year after
                                                                     • EU accounts for over                                                • Rising tourism expected from relaxation     • Sensitivity to branding and materials
 Grains      • Wheat for human consumption                                                        • Barley: $667.3m
                                                                       90% of grain imports                                                  of visitor visa rules                         content
             • Barley and alfalfa for feed and fodder                                             • Wheat, excluding durum: $92.9m                                                       • Delayed payments
                                                                     • Russia accounts for half
             • Production bans at times due to water shortages                                    • Alfalfa: $23.2m
                                                                       of barley imports
  Dairy      •   Bulk dairy products and cheese
                                                                     • Competition from New
                                                                                                  • Milk powder: $51.2m                                Opportunities                                     Threats
             •   Ingredients                                                                      • Cheese: $85.8m
                                                                       Zealand, the EU and
             •   Increasing reliance on dairy imports                                             • Processed cheese: $106.9m              • Significant public spending, consumer       • Geopolitical threats
                                                                       the UAE
             •   Government’s promotion of healthy eating                                         • Butter: $62.6m                           subsidies and individual benefits           • Heavy reliance on Suez Canal
                                                                     • Re-exports from
             •   Growing acceptance of Western diets                                              • Fresh cheese: $60.7m                   • Strong logistics infrastructure and         • Continued depreciation of the riyal
                                                                       otherwise restricted
             •   High cost of converting desert into farmland                                     • Concentrated milk/cream: $42.1m          connections to international markets        • Re-exports through the GCC from
                                                                       countries of origin
             •   Recent changes in GCC trade rules                                                • Low-fat milk powder: $41.4m            • Balancing the workforce: 13% women            markets whose imports are restricted in
Seafood                                                                                           • Prepared/preserved tuna: $136.3m       • Inability to meet domestic demand and         Saudi Arabia (e.g.,Turkey)
                                                                                                  • Fish nes, frozen: $120.6m                growing product diversification needs       • Move towards adherence to a single
             • Number-one consumer in the GCC                        • Consumption remains        • Shrimps, prawns, frozen: $93m          • Amendment of rules on imports                 standard means exclusion of other
             • National campaign promoting consumption                 relatively low             • Fish nes, whole fresh: $66.3m            from other GCC countries to exclude           international standards, which may
                                                                                                  • Fish fillets, frozen: $55.7m             goods made in free zones or using             create significant market access
                                                                                                  • Fish meat, frozen: $29.4m                Israeli inputs from preferential tariff       restrictions for industrial and
  Meat                                                               • Beef: Competition from • Live sheep: $414m                            concessions                                   consumer product exports
                                                                       Brazil, Pakistan and India • Bovine cuts, boneless,                 • Government decision to allow 100%
             • Australia is a top supplier of beef, sheep and goat   • Sheep and goats:             frozen:$185.2m                           ownership in wholesale and retail sector
             • Middle-class adoption of protein-based diets            Competition from New                                                • Growing tendency to see the quality of a
                                                                                                  • Bovine cuts, boneless, fresh:$145.7m
             • Rising tourism                                          Zealand                    • Sheep carcasses, fresh: $30.9m           product, and the terms under which it is
                                                                     • Halal restrictions         • Sheep cuts, bone in, frozen: $60.6m      offered, as the primary drivers of a deal

Agri-business Expansion Initiative              Graphics source: intracen.org                                                                                                                                           30
Qatar
Diana Monis
Business Development Manager
Australian Trade and Investment Commission
Qatar

Market Potential                                                            Qatar moved quickly in the early weeks of the pandemic to support the economy

           2022 FIFA World Cup in numbers                                            March 4th
                                                                                     Qatar Central Bank (QCB) cut the deposit rate by 50 basis points (bps) to 1.5%, the lending rate by 75 bps to 3.5%
                                                                                     and the repurchase rate by 50 bps to 1.5%

      Up to
                          $6.5bn                      70,000                         March 12th
   1.5m                for the construction         hotel rooms to be                The General Tax Authority issued a circular announcing the extension of the tax return deadline from April 30 to June
     visitors              of new stadia             made available                  30. The deadline was later extended again to August 30.
                                                         for fans

                                                                                     March 16th
                                                                                     Qatar announced a QR75bn stimulus package – equal to 13% of GDP – to shore up small businesses and hard-hit
                                                                                     sectors, including through six-month exemptions on water and electricity payments. QCB lowered the deposit rate by
                                                                                     another 50 bps to 1%, the lending rate by 100 bps to 2.5% and the repurchase rate by 50 bps to 1%.

                                                                                     March 25th
 Hamad International Airport               76 km of rail laid along the              QCB introduced a zero-interest repo window of QR50bn – or 9.3% of GDP – to provide liquidity to banks for postponing
    to boost annual capacity                new Doha Metro, serving                  loan installments or granting new loans
      from 30m in 2020 to
                                              37 stations
       53m by 2022                                                                   March 28th
                                                                                     The Qatar Mobile Payment System launched to provide a secure method for immediate electronic payments

                                                                                     March 30th
                                                                                     The Qatar Finance and Business Academy launched Azm to assist entrepreneurs with mitigating the key strategic risks
                                                                                     associated with the pandemic, focusing on the financial sector

Agri-business Expansion Initiative               Graphics sources: worldbank.org; qatar2022.qa                                                                                                     34
Qatar

Food Retail
Qatar’s retail restaurant industry is                  MOST POPULAR FOOD RETAILERS IN QATAR             The consumption of a wide range of organic products is set to expand
expected to expand significantly over the                                                               significantly in Qatar over the next few years
coming years, with a major boost to come                   Food retailer         Number of stores          Health & wellness     Organic              Organic                 CAGR (%)
from the country’s hosting of the 2022                                                                     products ($ m)        beverages ($ m)      packaged food ($ m)
                                                                                 54 supermarkets
FIFA World Cup, which the authorities                                                                   1000                                                                       20
expect to attract up to 3m visitors. The
                                                                                 13 retail stores
government is currently in talks to secure                                                               750                                   15.2                                15
as many as 1m Covid-19 vaccines to ensure
                                                                                 5 hypermarkets &
all fans are properly immunised ahead of                                         5 supermarkets
                                                                                                         500                                                                       10
                                                                                                                                                                        8.3
the event. Another important driver of
                                                                                                                        5.4
growth in the food retail segment is the                                         5 retail stores
                                                                                                          25                                                                       5
numerous malls expected to come on-line
in the next few years. At the same time,                                                                   0
                                                                                                                       2020                   2021                     2022
                                                                                                                                                                                   0
                                                                  Safari Group   4 retail stores
long-term initiatives associated with Qatar
National Vision 2030 are encouraging local
food outlets to expand into regional and           to Covid-19. The pandemic                32.4%                              32.3%
international markets. More recently, with         has shifted consumer habits              of respondents                                                    44.6%
the pandemic forcing restaurants to adjust,        globally, and retailers need to                                             ate many more
                                                                                            increased fruit &                                                 drank more water
cloud kitchens have become increasingly            accommodate new preferences                                                 healthy foods
                                                                                            vegetable consumption
prevalent as establishments sought                 moving forwards. A survey
to bolster their delivery and takeaway             carried out by researchers in
offerings. This has tied in with e-commerce        Qatar in May-June 2020, and              44.5%                              32.4%                          28.7%
trends in the retail sector more broadly,          later published in the journal           decreased their                    decreased their                ate less candy,
                                                   Sustainability, revealed the             consumption of unhealthy           consumption of                 cookies, cakes &
with the use of web- and app-based food-
                                                   following pandemic trends:               foods, such as fast food           unhealthy snacks               pastries
delivery platforms rising significantly due

Agri-business Expansion Initiative   Graphics source: bolstglobal.com                                                                                                         42
Qatar

Distribution Channels
Qatar’s retail sector has multiple large          Key market players
players in its ranks, including Al Meera,
which operates over 50 supermarkets                Supermarkets                Seafood                     Dairy                     Red Meat                  Grains
and hypermarkets in the Gulf state, and
Saudia Group, which manages many
                                                   Al Meera                    Delta Group                 Doha Food Services        Delta Group               Qatar Flour Mills
hypermarkets and department stores.
France’s Casino grocery chain partnered
with Al Meera in 2011 to develop a chain                                                                                                                       Al Duhail Fodder
                                                                               Doha Import and Export                                Al Zaman International
of Géant hypermarkets in Qatar, before             Géant                       Centre                      Benia Qatar               Catering and Trading
                                                                                                                                                               & Food Trading
opening the first Monoprix store in the                                                                                                                        Company
country in 2013. Another French brand,
Carrefour, has been present in Qatar since                                                                 Deliopolis Quality Food   Qatar Meat Production
                                                   Monoprix                    Dar Al Khaleej Fresh Fish                                                       Aqsa Foods
1999 through a franchise agreement.                                                                        Supplies                  Company
There were five Carrefour supermarkets
and five hypermarkets nationwide as of
mid-2021. While numerous barriers to               Carrefour                   Benia Qatar                 Friendly Food Qatar       Benia Qatar               Friendly Food Qatar
entry remain, some restrictions regarding
foreign ownership and the required
representation are being lifted. Still,
                                                                               Deliopolis Quality Food                               Deliopolis Quality Food
many steps to establishing a business in           Lulu Hypermarkets
                                                                               Supplies                                              Supplies
Qatar require some level of connection.
Purchasing a franchise, deploying
marketing campaigns, creating a joint
venture and licensing all require some             Safari Group                                                                      Friendly Food Qatar
form of local ownership or involvement.

Agri-business Expansion Initiative   Graphics sources: worldbank.org; motc.gov.qa                                                                                                    43
Qatar

Dairy
Dairy consumption is on
                                                                                             Number of cattle in Qatar, 2016-19
the rise in Qatar as local                   Qatari dairy producer Baladna
preferences change and                            expanded rapidly                           50,000
the expatriate population                      following the 2017 trade
                                                        embargo
expands. As with other                                                                       40,000
countries in the Gulf, Qatar
                                                    The company has                          30,000
has made a concerted effort                        22,754 cattle and
in recent years to ramp up                       produces 247 products
                                                                                             20,000
domestic food production
to help alleviate food                        It manages one of the largest                  10,000
security concerns. This was                      cattle farm in the region,
particularly important after                              covering
                                                                                                  0
the imposition of a trade                            2.4m sq metres                                       2016               2017      2018                2019
embargo by the country’s
neighbours in 2017. After
the embargo Qatar was
able to significantly increase                                                                     The country is
                                                                                              100% self-sufficient in milk
its self-sufficiency on
several fronts – including                                                                                                          The Qatari dairy product market was
                                                                                       Domestically produced dairy products          valued at $623.4m in 2020, and is
in dairy, as the country is
                                                                                   accounted for 84% of the market in 2020, up        expected to grow at a compound
now fully self-sufficient in                                                                                                        annual growth rate (CAGR) of 6.6%
                                            Baladna raised                                        from 28% in 2016
milk. Indeed, 84% of dairy                                                                                                                between 2021 and 2026
                                            almost $400m
products consumed in 2020
                                          on the Qatar Stock                                    Dairy products are
was domestically produced,
                                          Exchange in 2019                          exported to Oman, Afghanistan and Yemen
up from 28% in 2016.

Agri-business Expansion Initiative   Graphics sources: mordorintelligence.com; baladna.com                                                                                35
Qatar

Seafood                             Composition of fish product imports by value,
                                    2020 (%)
                                                              3.6                                       In 2020 Vietnam             The value of the Qatari fisheries and
Q atar ’s fisheries an d
aquaculture market is set                               17.4                                             and Singapore           aquaculture sector is forecast to grow from
for growth in the coming                                                                                 were Qatar’s             $148.2m in 2020 to $198.3m in
years, and is projected to             Frozen fish fillets                                               top sources for
                                                                                                                                         2026, with a CAGR of 5%
                                                                                                         fish, with the
expand from $148.2m in                 Fresh & chilled fish                                              two countries
2020 to $198.3m in 2026                fillets and other                                               accounting for over
– a CAGR of 5%. This                   fish meat                                                                                      The value of imported fish grew from
                                                                                                        50% of imports                 $1.2m in 2007 to $6.7m in 2020
rising demand in seafood               Frozen fish meat
products has been driven               other than fillets
by an increase in health                                                                     79
consciousness and shifting
                                    Value of fish imports from top-trading partners, 2020              Value of fish imports, 2012-20 ($ m)
consumer preferences.
While there is no large-scale                  VIETNAM                                                 12
commercial fish farming in                  SINGAPORE
Qatar, the government plans                                                                            10
                                              THAILAND
to expand the sector to
                                                NORWAY                                                  8
meet the country’s growing
needs while bolstering self-                 LITHUANIA
sufficiency through offshore                       OMAN                                                 6
fish stocks and facilities          THE NETHERLANDS
such as shrimp farms. In                                                                                4
                                              TANZANIA
November 2020 Qatar
launched its first offshore                     UGANDA                                                  2
aquaculture project using                      DENMARK
floating cages of sea bass.                                                                             0
                                                             0m   0.5m   1m   1.5m   2m   2.5m    3m         2012     2013     2014      2015     2016     2017     2018     2019        2020

Agribusiness Expansion Initiative      Graphics sources: trendeconomy.com; mordorintelligence.com; comtrade.un.org                                                                  36
Qatar

Grains                                        Market share of Qatar’s top-five trading
                                              partners for cereal grains by value, 2020
                                                                                           Import value of cereal grains, 2014-20 ($ m)
                                                                                           5
In April 2021 Al Rayyan Agricultural
                                              69%                                          4
announced it would begin cultivating          UK
organic wheat in Qatar, the first                                                          3
venture of its kind in the country.
                                                                                           2
The group is targeting an output of
2500 tonnes for the first season.                                                          1
The move is part of Qatar’s broader                                                        0
push to establish greater food self-                                                             2014         2015         2016         2017        2018             2019         2020
sufficiency, an agenda that gained
                                                                                           Import structure of cereal grains
greater urgency during the trade
embargo imposed by neighbouring                                                                                                                      Rolled & flaked grains of oats
countries between 2017 and early                                                                                                                     Rolled & flaked grains of cereals
2021, and later by the Covid-19
                                                                                                                                                     other than oats
pandemic that put pressure on
                                                                                               86.5%
supply chains worldwide.                                                                                                                             Grains other than oats, maize and rice

                                                                                                                                                     Unrolled oats
Although the import value of cereal
grains fell marginally in part due            9.2%                      4.9%       2.4%                                                11.3%
to falling regional visitor numbers,          Oman                      India      Sri
the lifting of the trade embargo                                                   Lanka         0.9                                   1.3%
in early 2021, the expected post-
pandemic economic recovery and                                          6.7%
                                              7.8%
inbound travel associated with the            Malaysia                  Others
2022 FIFA World Cup are expected                                                                The import value of cereal grains totalled   $2.4m in 2020
to bolster demand in the near term.

Agri-business Expansion Initiative   Graphics source: comtrade.un.org                                                                                                                    37
Qatar

Meat
Robust economic growth, changing                           Qatar’s imports from                 In 2020 Australia   Meat import structure by value, 2020 (%)
consumer trends and an expanding                           Australia accounted for              supplied 81% of        Sheep or goat meat:                            0.9
population has fuelled increases in                        2.35% of global sheep and            Qatar’s sheep and      fresh, chilled or frozen                     0.1
Qatar’s meat market in recent years,                       goat meat imports in 2019            goat meat imports      Poultry meat and edible offal:             0.1
                                                                                                                       fresh, chilled or frozen                 0.7
with the country ranking as the second-                                                                                                                       0.7
                                                                                                                       Bovine animal meat: fresh
largest per capita consumer of sheep          Per capita sheep meat consumption in MENA,                                                                    9.4
                                                                                                                       or chilled
meat in the GCC after Bahrain.                2020E (kg carcass weight equivalent per person)
                                                                                                                       Bovine animal meat: frozen                                             39
                                                Bahrain                                                                                                   12.1
                                                                                                                       Swine meat: fresh, chilled
                                                 Qatar
Strong post-pandemic economic                    Kuwait
                                                                                                                       or frozen
recovery projections, as well as the             Oman                                                                  Edible offal of bovine animals,
substantial arrival of visitors expected           UAE                                                                 sheep and goats
                                                 Jordan
for the 2022 FIFA World Cup and beyond,            KSA
                                                                                                                       Other meat and edible offal:
                                                                                                                       fresh, chilled or frozen
are positive indicators of continued                Iran
                                                                                                                       Meat and edible offal: salted, in
growth in the decade ahead.                    Lebanon                                                                 brine, dried or smoked
                                                  Egypt                                                                                                           37
                                                       0            5             10              15           20      Other
Although the country still imports a          Qatar’s top import partners, 2020 ($ m)                                                                  Value of meat imports, 2018-20 ($ m)
majority of its red meat products, the                                                                                                                                 2018    2019   2020
                                                 Australia                                       Australia
lifting of the trade embargo imposed                Spain                                        Pakistan
by some neighbouring countries in                   India                                           Brazil                                              Sheep &
                                              South Africa                                   South Africa
June 2017, coupled with the Covid-19                                                                    US                                                Goat
                                                 Pakistan
pandemic, have helped accelerate the               Sudan                                     New Zealand
march towards the food self-sufficiency            Kenya                                            India                                                              230.9   206    198.3
                                              New Zealand                                     Netherlands
and security objectives laid out in Qatar            Italy                                         Sudan
National Vision 2030, the country’s long-                                                                                                                  Beef
                                                Argentina                                         Ireland
term economic development strategy.                          0      50    100     150    200               0    5       10          15            20
                                                                      Sheep & Goat                                      Beef                                           50.3    53.2    61.2

Agri-business Expansion Initiative   Graphics sources: mla.com.au; trendeconomy.com                                                                                                   38
Qatar

Conclusions & Recommendations                                                                                                                        Strengths                                    Weaknesses
                                                                                                                                       • Second-largest exporter of liquefied        • 85% of population estimated to be
                                                                                                                                         natural gas, behind Australia                 foreign nationals, whose rights are
Qatar is a substantial market for live animals,                       there is scope to increase exports to Qatar as                   • Diversification, predominantly through        limited despite recent reform
seafood, grains and seeds for planting – all                          the country diversifies its trading partners.                      large-scale projects, has seen Qatar        • Preferential treatment given to
                                                                                                                                         fare better than other Gulf nations           suppliers using local content in
of which are not subject to import duties                             Local knowledge is crucial in the market,                          since the oil price decline in 2014           government procurement
or quotas. The 2017 embargo considerably                              where a reliable domestic business partner is                    • Strong post-pandemic rebound                • Lack of transparency in the market,
complicated food trade routes, as Qatar imports                       essential to access government tenders and                         expected, with GDP growth to surpass          although corruption does not generally
                                                                                                                                         pre-pandemic levels in 2022 and 2023          affect business
the vast majority of its food needs and nearly                        significantly improve exporters’ chances of                      • Politically and economically stable, with   • Cumbersome bureaucracy for certain
40% of these shipments previously entered                             success in general. It is highly recommended                       extremely low unemployment                    procedures
                                                                                                                                       • Qatari riyal the only currency not to
the market via Saudi Arabia. Although strong                          to vet business contacts in regard to their                        come under pressure amid plummeting
investments in local food production continue,                        reputation, financials and marketingexpertise.                     oil prices and the Covid-19 pandemic
                                                                                                                                       • No capital controls or restrictions on
                                                                                                                                         the repatriation of profits
                     Opportunities                              Challenges                              Untapped global export
                                                                                                              potential
                                                                                                                                                  Opportunities                                       Threats
 Grains      • Current restrictions on        • Black Sea region normally dominates Qatar’s
               wheat exports from Black         wheat imports                                     • Wheat, excluding durum: $34.7m     • Rapidly expanding population with high      • Dependence on natural gas receipts
               Sea region                     • Australia supplies half of the country’s barley   • Barley: $42.5m                       purchasing power                              with large downside risk related to
             • Imports expected to pick         imports, followed by France, Russia and           • Alfalfa meal and pellets: $18.5m   • Despite advances towards self-                commodity price depreciation
               up post-pandemic                 Ukraine                                                                                  sufficiency in several categories, food     • Regional disputes and political
  Dairy                                       • Domestically produced dairy products                                                     security continues to be a top priority       tensions, particularly given Qatar’s
                                                accounted for 84% of the market in 2020, up       • Cheese: $8.3m                        for Qatar                                     geographic location, as seen by the
             • High demand growth               from 28% in 2016                                  • Yoghurt: $7.4m                     • Strained relations with other Gulf            unified restriction of the use of air, land
                                              • Restrictive import conditions on white cheeses    • Butter: $10.4m                       nations has led Qatar to find new             and sea routes by Saudi Arabia, the
                                                and ultra-high-temperature-processed milk                                                suppliers                                     UAE, Egypt and Bahrain in 2017
Seafood                                                                                           •   Shrimp and prawns: $19.5m        • Significant public spending to diversify    • Strong economic relationship with
                                              • Competition from Vietnam, Singapore and           •   Fish fillets: $9.8m                the economy away from natural gas             the US, which represents the largest
             • High demand growth               Thailand                                          •   Whole fish, frozen: $12.5m         resources, leading to a boom in other         source of imports and foreign direct
                                                                                                  •   Whole fish, fresh: $10.4m          industries – namely construction –            investment
                                                                                                                                         ahead of hosting the 2022 FIFA World        • Scams targeting international
  Meat       • Australia is top beef, sheep
                                                                                                                                         Cup                                           companies
               and goat meat supplier         • Cancellation of lamb subsidies                    • Lamb carcasses, fresh: $84m        • Government focus on increasing the          • Focus on reducing external food
             • Qatar second in GCC for        • Competition from Brazil and Pakistan in beef      • Live sheep: $103.8m
                                                                                                                                         tourism sector’s share of GDP                 dependence, notably dairy imports
               sheep consumption

Agri-business Expansion Initiative             Graphics source: intracen.org                                                                                                                                           45
UAE
                 •   Abu Dhabi Agriculture and Food Safety Authority – http://www.adafsa.gov.ae/
                 •   Statistics Centre Abu Dhabi – https://www.scad.gov.ae/
                 •   Environmental Agency Abu Dhabi – https://ead.gov.ae/
                 •   Dubai Chamber of Commerce and Industry – https://www.dubaichamber.com/
                 •   Dubai Municipality – https://dm.gov.ae/
                 •   Federal Competitiveness and Statistics Centre – https://fcsc.gov.ae/
                 •   ZAD – https://zad.gov.ae/
                 •   UAE Ministry of Climate Change and Environment – https://www.moccae.gov.ae/

Key Links Gulf   Saudi Arabia
                 •   General Authority for Statistics – http://stats.gov.sa/
                 •   Ministry of Tourism – https://mt.gov.sa/
                 •   Vision 2030 – https://www.vision2030.gov.sa/
                 •   Unified National Platform – https://www.my.gov.sa/
                 •   Zakat, Tax and Customs Authority – https://zatca.gov.sa/
                 •   Saudi Food and Drug Authority – https://www.sfda.gov.sa/
                 •   Saudi Standards, Metrology and Quality Organisation – https://saso.gov.sa/
                 •   Fasah Platform – https://www.fasah.sa/

                 Qatar
                 •   Planning and Statistics Authority – https://www.psa.gov.qa/
                 •   Qatar Clearance Single Window – https://ecustoms.gov.qa/
                 •   Ministry of Public Health – https://www.moph.gov.qa/
                 •   Ministry of Transport and Communications – https://motc.gov.qa/
                 •   General Authority of Customs – https://www.customs.gov.qa/
What’s next?

Email the Austrade team at riyadh@austrade.gov.au to receive your copy of the report

New to Austrade? Get in touch to see how we can help and ask specific questions about grants,   • 13 28 78
programs and services

Try the Guide to Exporting tool to identify, understand and prioritise markets                  • export.business.gov.au

                                                                                                • agriculture.gov.au
Read more about the $72m Agribusiness Expansion Initiative
                                                                                                • austrade.gov.au

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