GOSFORD INVESTMENT REPORT - The Archibald

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GOSFORD INVESTMENT REPORT - The Archibald
GOSFORD
INVESTMENT REPORT
1   INTRODUCTION                            6   FAVOURABLE LOCAL EMPLOYMENT CLIMATE
2   REGIONAL AND LOCATIONAL CONTEXT         7   POPULATION GROWTH
3   OVERVIEW OF THE CENTRAL COAST ECONOMY   	
                                            8 WHAT DID THE CENTRAL COAST PROPERTY

4   CORELOGIC MOODY’S HOUSING REPORT 2019       MARKET LOOK LIKE IN 2018/2019?
5   ENHANCED CONNECTIVITY                   9   TOP 10 REASONS TO INVEST IN GOSFORD
GOSFORD INVESTMENT REPORT - The Archibald
INTRODUCTION
With over $1B of government infrastructure spend in              retail, health, entertainment, recreation and education.
current construction or planned for commencement
the Central Coast is experiencing an unprecedented               The Gosford City Centre Masterplan will encourage
transformation.                                                  more people to both live and work in Gosford and with
                                                                 a substantial population expansion and the creation of
With Gosford as the regional city focus Gosford 2.0 is           thousands of jobs will confirm the emergence of a truly
set to create a new standard of liveability that’s more          new city.
connected, more dynamic and more diverse in areas of

REGIONAL AND LOCATIONAL CONTEXT
The City of Gosford is located on the Central Coast of           There is a significant quantum of retail, health services
New South Wales, approximately 73km north of the                 and general amenity in the Gosford CBD area to service
Sydney CBD. It offers the best of both worlds for a              residential needs including:
residential address, investment or holiday destination – a           • Gosford Hospital (700m from The Archibald)
coastal lifestyle with a CBD hub. It offers ready access             • The Entertainment Grounds
to public transport (bus and rail) and the motorway                  • Town Centre including medical specialists,
M1 pacific Highway that takes you to Greater Sydney,                    retail, cafes
particularly northern metropolitan Sydney, and other                 • Parks and reserves
Central Coast centres. A 40 minute car journey to                    • Gosford Train Station
Sydney’s North Shore or a 1 hour 20 minute train ride to             • Central Coast Stadium
Central Station.

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1   Gosford High School                  10   Gosford Private Hospital                   19   Gosford Tennis Centre
2   Gosford Public School                11   Kibble Park                                20   Gosford Leagues Club
3   Henry Kendall High School            12   Waterview Park                             21   Gosford Olympic Swimming Pool
4   Gosford East Public School           13   Rumbalara Reserve                          22   Gosford Sailing Club
5   St Joseph’s Catholic College         14   Imperial Shopping Centre                   23   Terrigal Beach
6   St Edward’s Christian Brothers       15   Erina Fair                                 24   Pearl Beach
7   Gosford TAFE                         16   Gosford Golf Club                          25   Sydney
8   Gosford train station                17   Central Coast Stadium
9   Gosford Hospital                     18   Gosford Racecourse
OVERVIEW OF THE CENTRAL COAST ECONOMY
Economic conditions on the Central Coast are strong                 • Population growth will encourage jobs growth
and the region is forecast to grow even further in the              • The completion of the NorthConnex and other
years to come. Majors contributors to the Central Coast                significant road upgrades will speed up travel times
economy include:                                                       between Sydney and the Central Coast, further
   • A supportive tourism cycle                                       reinforcing the economic strength of the region
   • Growth in professional services and the
      construction industry                                     The NorthConnex tunnel will have a material impact
   • Investment in public infrastructure including             on the Central Coast region. The link will provide a
      Gosford Hospital                                          continuous motorway between the Central Coast and
   • Urban renewal in the Gosford Town Centre which is         Western and South Western Sydney and will allow a
      coming to fruition                                        quicker alternative journey. Essentially, NorthConnex will
   • The affordability of property and comparative             make it possible to travel by road from the Central Coast
      price point to Sydney and the migration of first          to Canberra without encountering a single traffic light.
      home buyers to the area                                   The efficiency will support commuting activity between
   • An ageing population will boost demand for                the Central Coast and Sydney as well as mobilise
      retiree product                                           businesses and freight movements.

CORELOGIC MOODY’S HOUSING REPORT 2019
Regarded as the leading voice in property trends,               The region hits all the benchmarks of strong sustainable
forecasts and insights – Moody’s have placed the Central        growth:
Coast as the No.1 region for capital gain in apartment             • Substantial infrastructure projects
prices across the next 2 years in Australia. Their considered      • Historically strong rental returns
growth forecast for 2020 and 2021 is in excess of 26%.             • Population growth
                                                                   • Increasing lifestyle opportunities
This is an exciting and understandable prediction based            • Affordability
on the many factors influencing the property market                • Government spending
that are no longer a story but an unfolding reality as you         • Increased employment opportunities
drive into the Gosford region.

ENHANCED CONNECTIVITY
The Government has invested heavily in the region,              for considerable traffic congestion from Wahroonga.
earmarking Gosford as the next significant growth               A minority of 40 minutes is required for the trip from
centre in the Sydney Metropolitan Area. Investments             Gosford to Wahroonga. The NorthConnex motorway
that have (or will) positively benefit the region include:      would enable cars to bypass 21 sets of traffic lights
    • NorthConnex Motorway                                      along Pennant Hills Road. It is expected to involve travel
    • Central Coast Highway West Gosford intersection           time savings of about 6 to 15 minutes in 2019 and 9 to
    • Local Government Infrastructure Renewal Scheme            25 minutes in 2029 compared to current conditions on
    • Gosford Passing Loops                                     Pennant Hills Road.
    • Business Investment Schemes
                                                                Based on this guidance, the NorthConnex tunnel would
                                                                make the trip from Gosford to Macquarie Park (and
 NorthConnex                                                    other centres of employment) close to one hour. The
                                                                reliability of traffic flows would be improved by the
The $3b NorthConnex is Australia’s longest road tunnel          absence of traffic lights, allowing commuters to extend
project – a 9km tunnel that will link the M1 Pacific            their movement along the M2 and the M7. The time
Motorway at Wahroonga to the Hills M2 Motorway at               savings will also be considerable for people travelling at
West Pennant Hills. With interchanges to the north and          weekends, improving the experience of holiday home
south, it will link Sydney’s north to the Orbital network.      owners in Gosford.
NorthConnex will have a material impact on the
Central Coast region. The link will provide a continuous        NorthConnex appears to be a major selling point
motorway between the Central Coast and Western                  for Gosford CBD apartments. There can be traffic
and South Western Sydney and will allow a quicker               congestion on the coastal suburbs from Erina to Terrigal
alternative journey. Essentially, NorthConnex will make         and north. A Gosford CBD location would obviate the
it possible to travel by road from the Central Coast to         impact of traffic congestion to the east of the CBD. In
Canberra without encountering a single traffic light. This      this sense, the subject site can help to make Gosford
efficiency will support commuting activity between the          CBD become a travel destination for owner-occupiers
Central Coast and Sydney as well as mobilise businesses         and as holiday homes.
and freight movements.
                                                                *MacroPlanDimasi
*At present, a weekday trip from Gosford CBD to
Macquarie Park is estimated to take 90 minutes, slowing
FAVOURABLE LOCAL EMPLOYMENT CLIMATE
Over the five years to 2017, there were 12,000 job              In terms of proportionate change, the largest change
additions on the Central Coast, encompassing the               has been registered in other services (62% growth),
Gosford and Wyong LGAs. Prominent employment                   along with accommodation and food services (43%
growth has occurred in the following industries:               growth) and education and training (37.6% growth).
                                                               Agricultural based jobs, followed by financial and
1. Education and training                                      insurance services and arts and recreating incurred
                                                               the largest proportionate losses over the five year
                            3,800 jobs
                                                               period. It appears that retail, services and education
                                                               and training are dominating the economic environment
2. Accommodation and food services
                                                               on the Central Coast. Household facing industries have
                         3,700 jobs                            grown considerably over the period, given the nature
                                                               of population growth (i.e. growth in the elderly and the
3. Healthcare and social assistance                            young) as well as the weakness of the Australian dollar,
                       3,400 jobs                              enticing more tourists to the region.

4. Manufacturing                                               The growth in manufacturing employment is unique to the
                                                               region. Typically, manufacturing based employment has
                    2,900 jobs                                 experienced a decline in NSW over the last decade. The
                                                               Central Coast is strategically located along the M1 Pacific
5. Other services                                              Motorway, with superior freight and rail lines connecting
                    2,800 jobs                                 Queensland with NSW. Affordable rent (compared with
                                                               Greater Sydney), combined with a superior location, has
                                                               contributed to the industry’s successes over the period.

POPULATION GROWTH
According to the Central Coast            Finance Department’s relocation           Central Coast’s population
Regional Plan, the Central Coast’s        to Gosford have resulted in a major
population is expected to increase        increase in the local workforce,
by 80,000 in the next 15 years,           as has the upgrade to Gosford
which will significantly impact upon       Hospital. This population growth and                  80,000
                                                                                                 population
Gosford, being its regional centre.       expansion of a skilled local workforce                  growth
                                          will drive the need for quality                       next 15 years
The Federal Government’s relocation       housing and will have a positive flow-
of the ATO and the NSW State              on effect for local businesses.

WHAT DID THE CENTRAL COAST PROPERTY MARKET
LOOK LIKE IN 2018/2019?
The last year saw Australia’s property market take a                  more professionals migrated from Sydney in search
stumble, with the biggest players - Sydney and Melbourne              of a laid back lifestyle
- the most affected by the crash. The downturn has been            • A large number of new dwelling commencements
marked by a handful of contributing factors:                          were approved (an annual increase of 22% in 2017/18)
    • Tighter lending criteria, particularly for interest
       only loans                                              However, employment growth is strengthening and
    • A decline in foreign investor activity                  prices are more in line with local incomes.
    • Fewer buyers in a saturated market
    • The lowest clearance level rates in 20 years            While Newcastle offers affordability, it may be too
    • Unit oversupply in most Australian states               far to commute to Sydney for the average employee.
                                                               The Central Coast benefits from a close proximity to
Despite this, the Central Coast have been bucking the trend.   the capital and some areas have experienced strong
                                                               property price growth in the past 12 months. As Sydney
According to the CoreLogic Moody’s Housing Report              fell by -5.1%, real estate in Central Coast grew 3.8% in
the Central Coast property market performed well over          the past year, with prices set to continue to rise in 2019
the past five years to June 2018, with an average price        and beyond.
growth well above the national average.
                                                               People are flocking to the Central Coast in search of
In fact, suburban Central Coast rental properties              affordability and a better lifestyle, which has resulted in
provided some of the greatest investment returns in            a dramatic increase in regional commuters.
the country in 2018. Signs point to a solid market with a      Buyers squeezed out of the Sydney market and into the
strong foundation being laid:                                  Central Coast will be happy as price growth figures are
     • Vacancy rates tightened to 1.9% (June 2018) as         expected to rise another 8% in 2019 alone.
TOP 10 REASONS TO INVEST IN GOSFORD
1. CENTRAL LOCATION AND EXCELLENT AMENITY                    7. EXCEPTIONAL RENTAL RECORD – Gosford delivers
– As the regional centre of the Central Coast, the           strong rental returns, making it a particularly attractive
City of Gosford provides residents with proximity to         investment prospect with a high gross rental yield.
a diverse array of amenities and lifestyle attractions.
These include convenient transport connections (bus          8. MAJOR HEALTHCARE PRECINCT – As a major
and train), extensive retail options, a busy dining scene,   medical hub for the Central Coast region, Gosford
a waterfront precinct and sporting facilities such as        is home to Gosford Hospital, North Gosford Private
Central Coast Stadium.                                       and soon to be released Northside Medical Precinct,
                                                             along with a variety of specialist and support services.
2. UNPRECEDENTED INFRASTRUCTURE                              Gosford has just completed a $370M upgrade and
INVESTMENT – The State and Federal Governments               continues to create up to 1000 new jobs.
have undertaken over $1B of infrastructure spend in
and around Gosford by 2021, which will significantly         9. HIGHLY REGARDED EDUCATIONAL FACILITIES –
enhance its appeal and connectivity. This includes           As a desirable family oriented area, local educational
several revitalisation, entertainment and public             amenities are abundant, with several institutions
projects.                                                    located in the centre of Gosford. Primary and high
                                                             schools, both private and public are highly regarded
3. RENOWNED LIFESTYLE DESTINATION – Gosford                  and a number of tertiary institutions are within close
lies at the heart of the Central Coast, one of NSW’s         proximity.
best-loved lifestyle regions. The area continues to
grow and thrive as both a desirable place to live and a      10. ENHANCED CONNECTIVITY – Gosford is well
flourishing tourist destination. It’s home to renowned       connected to both Sydney CBD and other reaches of
beaches such as Avoca, Terrigal and MacMasters,              Sydney via the M1 Motorway and public transport. It is
expanses of national parkland and picturesque                presently a 40 minute car journey to Sydney’s North
waterways such as Brisbane Water.                            Shore or a 1 hour 20 minute train ride to Central Station.
                                                             Extensive infrastructure investment in roadworks
4. HIGH CALIBRE OF NEW LOCAL RESIDENTIAL                     projects such as NorthConnex will further enhance
DEVELOPMENT – The high calibre of recent residential         connectivity and reduce commuting times.
developments in Gosford has improved substantially,
with many well know architects designing buildings
here. This is a powerful drawcard for buyers, especially
design-conscious buyers relocating from the city or
purchasing investments properties or weekenders.

5. AFFORDABILITY – With soaring Sydney prices
over the past decade driving buyers out of the                   400 metres                 300 metres to
city, the Central Coast is an attractive, affordable             to Gosford                 Gosford Train
option for cashed-up investors drawn to the areas                 Hospital                     Station
value for money, strong rental returns and positive
capital growth. Sydneysiders are one of the largest
demographic to invest in the region.

6. POPULATION GROWTH OUTPACING RESIDENTIAL
DEVELOPMENT – Gosford and the Central Coast
region are poised for substantial population growth
over the next 20 years, enhanced by the government
                                                                 40 minute car            1 hour 20 minute
commitment to forming Gosford as the regions CBD.
                                                              journey to Sydney’s            train ride to
                                                                  North Shore                   Sydney
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