Market Outlook Report- 05th Jan 2021 - Webflow

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Market Outlook Report- 05th Jan 2021 - Webflow
Market Outlook Report- 05th Jan 2021

                                Compiled by:
            CapitalVia Global Research Limited- Investment Advisor
903, B-1, 9th Floor, NRK Business Park, Scheme No. 54, P.U.-4,Vijay Nagar Square,
                               Indore-452010 (M.P.)

                     Head of Research - Gaurav Garg

             For feedback or queries, mail us at pr@capitalvia.com
                            Ph no.: (+91) 88273 92806
Market Outlook Report- 05th Jan 2021 - Webflow
Indian Markets

            Index            Last            High             Low            Change         Change%

             Nifty         14132.90        14147.95         13953.75           114.40          0.82%

            Sensex         48176.80        48220.47         47594.47          307.82           0.64%

           Banknifty       31212.45        30893.65         31489.65           -13.40          -0.04%

           Nifty FUT       14173.35        14179.45         13970.05           119.50          0.84%

               Nifty opened with a gap up on 4th January with a gap up and took a correction to
Overview

               fill the gap till 13953 before bouncing back and crossing 14100 and closing above it.
               The level of 13950 is acting as a support and 14150 seems to be resistance. With a
               breakout in Bank Nifty, Nifty may cross 14200. Investors may initiate long positions at
               dips in the range of 13950- 14000.
Market Outlook Report- 05th Jan 2021 - Webflow
Global Markets

 Index          Last         High        Low          Change    Change%
                                                                              ➢   Britain began vaccinating its population with the COVID-19 shot
Dow 30       30,606.48    30,637.47    30,344.50      +0.65%        +196.92       developed by Oxford University and AstraZeneca AZN.L on
                                                                                  Monday, touting a scientific "triumph" that puts it at the
Nasdaq        12,888.28    12,902.07   12,821.23      +0.14%        +18.28
                                                                                  vanguard of the West in inoculating against the virus.
 DAX          13,808.15    13,922.20   13,768.70      +0.66%        +90.37

FTSE 100      6,608.35     6,609.55    6,556.55       +2.32%        +149.07   ➢   European shares rallied in the first trading session of the year as
                                                                                  a landmark Brexit trade deal and coronavirus vaccine drives
                                                                                  across the continent bolstered expectations of a strong
            Index            S1        Pivot Points        R1
                                                                                  economic rebound.
           Dow 30         30534.56      30584.07        30677.34

                                                                              ➢   Asian share markets hit pause on Monday as reports of a
           Nasdaq         12885.31       12908.10        12922.34
                                                                                  possible tightening in coronavirus emergency rules for Tokyo
            DAX           13837.80       13847.30       13860.30                  pulled Japanese stocks off 30-year highs, while also lifting the
                                                                                  safe-haven yen.
           FTSE 100       6634.85        6653.95         6668.55
Currency Outlook
                               ➢   The Indian Rupee appreciated against the U.S. currency tracking
                                   upbeat Asian peers on the back of a broad decline in the dollar
                                   index. The Rupee ended at 73.02 compared with 73.12 in the
                                   previous session. Earlier in the session, it appreciated to a four-
                                   month high of 72.91, but pared gains on the back of dollar
                                   purchases.

                               ➢   Technically, the USDINR Spot pair has bounced back from 72.81
                                   levels where it took a support of lower band of Falling Channel
                                   formation indicating a bounce back up to 73.12-73.25 levels.
                                   Support holds at 72.90-72.75 levels.

                               ➢   In our anticipation, USDINR future is likely have negative opening
                                   around 73.10 levels in next trading session and if it breaks below
                                   72.80 then we may expect some more bearish movement
                                   towards 72.65 levels. The trading range for pair is likely to be in

Chart : Zerodha.com                between 72.80 – 73.20 in upcoming session.
Derivative Outlook
⮚   Market indices closed on a positive note for the ninth consecutive trading session posting fresh
    high as on Monday, 4th January. Nifty settled near 14,150 level and closed with a gain of around 0.82
    percent. On the sectoral front, except bank, which closed with a marginal cost, other indices ends in
    green led by metal which gained more than five percent.
⮚   In the coming trading session on Tuesday, 5th January market is expected to continue its rally with
    small corrections. Nifty is expected to continue its rally with resistance zone of 14,250 to 14,300. On
    the lower side, 13900 would be the major support level for the index below which downswing could
    be seen.
⮚   Highest Daily Nifty Call OI-14,000
⮚   Highest Daily Nifty Put OI-14,000

                                            Long built-up:

                    Scrip Name           Closing price   Change in price   Change in OI

                        PNB                 35.90            2.57%           29.78%

                        SAIL                79.50            6.14%            14.10%

                    IDFCFIRSTB              38.55            3.07%            10.71%
Short built-up:

Scrip Name   Closing price   Change in price   Change in OI

  NTPC          99.45            -0.15%           11.56%

   ZEEL         220.40           -2.48%           13.51%

   ITC          214.70           -0.14%           2.80%

                Short covering:
Scrip Name   Closing price   Change in price   Change in OI

   IDEA          11.90            5.31%          -4.19%

TATAPOWER       79.65            2.38%           -2.76%

APOLLOTYRE      188.75            4.31%          -5.97%

             Long Unwinding:

Scrip Name   Closing price   Change in price   Change in OI

IBULHSGFIN      221.60           -0.67%          -3.74%

JUBLFOOD       2766.45           -1.25%          -0.60%
Nifty Option Chain

                                            Analysis :
                                            ⮚    Nifty continue to trade positive and closed around 0.82
                                                 percent up as on Monday, 4th January. The options data
                                                 indicates immediate trading range of the Nifty is likely to be
                                                 13,900 - 14,200. Maximum Put open interest was at 14,000
                                                 followed by 13,600 strike, while maximum Call open interest
                                                 was at 14,000 followed by 13,900 strike. Call writing was seen
                                                 at 14,200 and 14,300 strikes while Put writing was seen at
                                                 14,000 and 13,900 strikes. IndiaVIX gained 2.40 percent and
                                                 close at 20.03.

Source: www.bloombergquint.com
Nifty Option Chain

                                            Analysis :
                                            ➢    As per monthly option data , Nifty should trade in the range of
                                                 9000-10000 . Maximum Put writing can be seen at 9000 and
                                                 Maximum call writing can be seen at 10000

                                            ➢    Nifty closed with gains on Wednesday,6th May. We expect Nifty to
                                                 be range bound , Volatility is most likely to increase in the coming
                                                 trading session. Indecisiveness can be seen in the market as
                                                 trading range of Nifty is getting smaller. As per weekly option data,
                                                 nearest support can be seen at 9200 and on the higher side,
                                                 resistance can be seen at 9400.

Source: www.bloombergquint.com
Global Markets

 Index          Last        High        Low          Change         Change%

Dow 30        23783.44    24054.59    23782.28       -99.65          -0.42%   ➢   U.S. stocks opened higher on hopes of a pickup in business activity
                                                                                  with states easing Coronavirus-induced curbs, while investors
Nasdaq         8825.55     8913.85    8819.37         17.76          0.20%
                                                                                  looked past a stunning 20 million plunge in U.S. private payrolls last

 DAX           10615.73    10771.68   10604.90       -111.74         -1.08%       month.

FTSE 100       5850.80     5898.33    5838.70         0.88           0.02%
                                                                              ➢   European stock markets traded slightly lower on Wednesday amid
                                                                                  weak economic data, while better than expected earnings helped
                                                                                  the U.K. to outperform.

            Index            S1       Pivot Points             R1
                                                                              ➢   German factory orders slumped 15.6% in March to their lowest level
           Dow 30         23760.10     23906.82         23996.82
                                                                                  since records began in 1991, while IHS Markit's final Composite
           Nasdaq         8840.29       8876.96           8901.71                 Purchasing Managers' Index for the euro zone, seen as a good
                                                                                  indicator of economic health, plummeted to 13.6 in April from
            DAX           10624.80     10676.20          10704.30
                                                                                  March's already dire 29.7, easily its lowest reading since the survey
           FTSE 100       5850.41       5874.37          5889.24                  began in 1998.
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