Market Outlook Report- 22nd Jan 2021 - Webflow

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Market Outlook Report- 22nd Jan 2021 - Webflow
Market Outlook Report- 22nd Jan 2021

                                Compiled by:
            CapitalVia Global Research Limited- Investment Advisor
903, B-1, 9th Floor, NRK Business Park, Scheme No. 54, P.U.-4,Vijay Nagar Square,
                               Indore-452010 (M.P.)

                     Head of Research - Gaurav Garg

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Market Outlook Report- 22nd Jan 2021 - Webflow
Indian Markets

            Index           Last           High             Low           Change         Change%

             Nifty        14590.35        14753.55        14517.25          -54.35          -0.37%

            Sensex        49624.76        50184.01        49398.86         -167.36          -0.34%

           Banknifty      32186.90       32842.30         31985.55         -356.80          -1.10%

           Nifty FUT       14631.15       14765.45        14508.30          -14.00          -0.10%

               Nifty opened with a gap up on 21st January and sustained above the level of 14700
Overview

               for the first half and later took a correction and closed below 14600. The effect of
               expiry session could be seen coupled with profit booking involved. The immediate
               support would be 14400 and resistance is in the range of 14750-14800. Investors
               may buy once Nifty sustains above 14600.
Market Outlook Report- 22nd Jan 2021 - Webflow
Global Markets

 Index          Last        High        Low        Change          Change%   ➢   British shares tracked gains in Asian peers on Thursday, lifted by
                                                                                 hopes of a swifter economic rebound this year and more U.S.
Dow 30        31,188.38   31,235.98   30,997.79      +0.83%        +257.86
                                                                                 stimulus, while Pets at Home headed higher after reporting
Nasdaq        13,457.25   13,486.13   13,329.77      +1.97%        +260.07
                                                                                 upbeat quarterly results.
 DAX          13,967.20   14,028.20   13,950.20      +0.33%         +46.33
                                                                             ➢   European stocks extended gains on Thursday on hopes of a
FTSE 100      6,733.85     6,779.59   6,726.05       -0.10%         -6.14
                                                                                 large U.S. stimulus plan under new President Joe Biden, while
                                                                                 investors looked to the European Central Bank (ECB) for clues on
                                                                                 the eurozone's economic health
            Index            S1       Pivot Points            R1

           Dow 30         31144.96      31190.47        31241.24
                                                                             ➢   Asian and Wall Street peers hit record highs after Biden took
           Nasdaq         13452.36      13469.14         13478.17
                                                                                 office on Wednesday and signed half a dozen executive orders
            DAX           13927.20      13977.70        14004.70                 that included America's return to the international Paris

           FTSE 100       6713.94       6722.16          6728.87                 Agreement to fight climate change.
Currency Outlook
                              ➢   The rupee opened on positive at 72.90 against the US dollar in opening
                                  trade on Thursday morning tracking weakness in dollar index, On
                                  Wednesday it was closed at 72.964 against greenback, the rupee
                                  appreciated 0.2% this Wednesday, it was best day since Dec. 31.

                              ➢   FII bought 2289.05 into domestic equity market on Wednesday which
                                  supported rupee to close below psychological level of 73.00. During
                                  meeting newly treasury secretary Janet Yellen agrees that for need of
                                  another large fiscal package to shaping up the economy. Technically, the
                                  USDINR Spot open gap up and traded negative throughout the day. It is
                                  sustaining below 73.00 levels indicating a negative momentum may
                                  continue in the today’s session. However, if it breaks the resistance of 73.10
                                  then it may go up toward 73.27. Support is at 72.82 – 72.68 levels for the
                                  spot pair. Resistance for the pair is 73.10.

                              ➢   The Indian Rupee may start on positive note against the Greenback amid
                                  the dollar index reaching a near one-month high on risk aversion. Then
                                  we may expect some more bullish movement towards 73.50 levels. The
Chart : Zerodha.com               trading range for pair is likely to be in between 73.25 – 73.60in upcoming
                                  session.
Derivative Outlook
⮚   Market indices failed to hold its rally and closed on a negative note as on Thursday, 21st
    January. Nifty plunged down from 14,750 level in the late hours and settled with a loss of
    around 0.37 percent. Among sectors, all sectoral indices closed on a negative note with
    PSU bank being the top loser which declined more than 3 percent.
⮚   In the coming trading session on Friday, 22nd January market is expected to be volatile
    with small corrections. The resistance zone for Nifty would be 14,700 to 14,750 while on the
    lower side 14,500 would be the immediate support level for the index which must be
    sustained by the index.
⮚   Highest Daily Nifty Call OI-15,000
⮚   Highest Daily Nifty Put OI-14,000

                                         Long built-up:

                   Scrip Name      Closing price   Change in price   Change in OI

                  TATAMOTORS             292.10        6.06%            8.27%

                  NATIONALUM             48.40         5.79%            5.96%

                   AXISBANK             680.45         0.64%            3.90%
Short built-up:

 Scrip Name   Closing price   Change in price   Change in OI

   BHEL          39.00            -4.29%           9.19%

   ONGC          95.80            -3.09%          10.36%

 ASHOKLEY        120.20           -1.44%           7.13%

                 Short covering:
 Scrip Name   Closing price   Change in price   Change in OI

 ICICIBANK       553.95           0.29%            -1.67%

MCDOWELL-N       633.50            1.82%           -1.51%

    UPL          587.75            1.71%           -1.07%

              Long Unwinding:

Scrip Name    Closing price   Change in price   Change in OI

   IDEA          12.90            -3.73%          -3.60%

    PNB          35.95            -3.23%          -5.65%

  GRASIM        1026.00           -1.10%          -27.33%
Nifty Option Chain

                                            Analysis :
                                            ⮚   Nifty closed with a loss of around 0.37 percent as on
                                                Thursday, 21st January. The options data indicates
                                                immediate trading range of the Nifty is likely to be
                                                14,500 – 15,000. Maximum Put open interest was at
                                                14,000 followed by 14,500 strike, while maximum Call
                                                open interest was at 15,000 followed by 14,800 strike.
                                                Call writing was seen at 14,600 and 14,700 strikes while
                                                Put writing was seen at 14,500 and 14,400 strikes.
                                                IndiaVIX gained 2.92 percent and close at 22.18.

Source: www.bloombergquint.com
Nifty Option Chain

                                            Analysis :
                                            ➢    As per monthly option data , Nifty should trade in the range of
                                                 9000-10000 . Maximum Put writing can be seen at 9000 and
                                                 Maximum call writing can be seen at 10000

                                            ➢    Nifty closed with gains on Wednesday,6th May. We expect Nifty to
                                                 be range bound , Volatility is most likely to increase in the coming
                                                 trading session. Indecisiveness can be seen in the market as
                                                 trading range of Nifty is getting smaller. As per weekly option data,
                                                 nearest support can be seen at 9200 and on the higher side,
                                                 resistance can be seen at 9400.

Source: www.bloombergquint.com
Global Markets

 Index          Last        High        Low          Change         Change%

Dow 30        23783.44    24054.59    23782.28       -99.65          -0.42%   ➢   U.S. stocks opened higher on hopes of a pickup in business activity
                                                                                  with states easing Coronavirus-induced curbs, while investors
Nasdaq         8825.55     8913.85    8819.37         17.76          0.20%
                                                                                  looked past a stunning 20 million plunge in U.S. private payrolls last

 DAX           10615.73    10771.68   10604.90       -111.74         -1.08%       month.

FTSE 100       5850.80     5898.33    5838.70         0.88           0.02%
                                                                              ➢   European stock markets traded slightly lower on Wednesday amid
                                                                                  weak economic data, while better than expected earnings helped
                                                                                  the U.K. to outperform.

            Index            S1       Pivot Points             R1
                                                                              ➢   German factory orders slumped 15.6% in March to their lowest level
           Dow 30         23760.10     23906.82         23996.82
                                                                                  since records began in 1991, while IHS Markit's final Composite
           Nasdaq         8840.29       8876.96           8901.71                 Purchasing Managers' Index for the euro zone, seen as a good
                                                                                  indicator of economic health, plummeted to 13.6 in April from
            DAX           10624.80     10676.20          10704.30
                                                                                  March's already dire 29.7, easily its lowest reading since the survey
           FTSE 100       5850.41       5874.37          5889.24                  began in 1998.
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