MUNICIPAL & PRIMARY ELECTIONS 2022

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MUNICIPAL & PRIMARY ELECTIONS 2022
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1   NJG SPRING VOTER’S GUIDE 2022
MUNICIPAL & PRIMARY ELECTIONS 2022
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                                       3                        NJG SPRING VOTER’S GUIDE 2022
MUNICIPAL & PRIMARY ELECTIONS 2022
INTRODUCTION
IT’S PRIMARY SEASON again.                                 Former Senate Minority Leader
                                                                                                NJG SPRING Voter’s guide 2022
                                                                                                            Also on the ballot this spring is
                                                 Tom Kean Jr. (R-Westfield) has long been         the small collection of cities and towns
           I say “again” as if I’m an old hand   viewed as the frontrunner for a rematch          that will hold their nonpartisan elections
at this. I’m not – after joining the New         in the 7th district after narrowly losing in     on May 10.
Jersey Globe last August, this is my first       2020, but will any of his six primary                      Newark has a seemingly
time experiencing the rough-and-tumble           challengers give him a run for his money?        uncompetitive mayoral election and a
world of New Jersey primaries. And it’s                   Who will Republicans choose as          few fascinating city council races;
been quite the ride.                             their nominee in the potentially                 Paterson has crowded and chaotic
          I witnessed hundreds of Morris         competitive 5th and 11th districts?              contests for both mayor and council,
County Republicans’ eyes glaze over as           Can anyone come close to halting                 because how could it not; and Bayonne
they hit hour six of their party convention; I   the ascendance of Port Authority                 is hosting a mayoral race that amounts to
got to meet candidates no one in the New         Commissioner and congressional scion             something of a settling of scores.
Jersey political world had ever heard of as      Rob Menendez? Will Trump-loving
                                                                                                            The Globe’s official position is
they filed their last-minute candidacies         Democrat Roger Bacon get more than
                                                                                                  that if you don’t vote, you can’t complain
with the Division of Elections; I sat through    5% of the vote in his “campaign” against
                                                                                                  about the results. That adage is a bit
a staggering 16-hour hearing to determine        Rep. Tom Malinowski (D-Ringoes)?
                                                                                                  shaky when it comes to primaries, since
if one Hudson County candidate had                         Thanks to New Jersey’s                 there will be millions of voters faced with
enough valid signatures to make it onto          party line system, and its strong party          uncontested congressional primaries this
the ballot (he didn’t).                          organizations in general, these questions        June, and some who likely won’t see a
         And as a result of all that and         are less open-ended than they might be           single contested race on their entire
more, we have this: a comprehensive              in other states.                                 ballot.
guide to every congressional primary                        The simple truth of New Jersey                   Regardless: vote. If you don’t
happening on June 7, as well as a look at        politics is that the party-endorsed              like the incumbent, vote for their
municipal elections on May 10.                   candidate usually wins, and the New              challenger. If you don’t like any of your
          Because 2022 happens to be an          Jersey Globe isn’t about to break with           options, write someone in. If your write-in
off-year where neither the presidency nor        history; in all 15 of the state’s contested      vote still doesn’t change anything, talk
one of New Jersey’s two U.S. Senate seats        primaries, we consider the candidate with        with your friends and your local party and
are up for election, the state’s 12              the most party lines to be the favorite.         launch your own bid the next time
congressional districts are the top of the       (Of course, that makes it all the more           around.
ticket this year.                                exciting if an underdog candidate does                    We at the Globe can’t wait to
                                                 break through.)                                  write about your campaign.
          Up and down the state,
fascinating contests are playing out                        Candidates also have
between different wings and factions of          congressional redistricting to contend
both parties in a midterm year that’s            with. The state’s 12 districts all changed
looking positive for Republicans.                to some degree as a result of the new
                                                 Democratic-drawn map, and it’s already
           Two Republicans with deeply
                                                 caused one person’s candidacy to go up
different backgrounds are vying to take on
                                                 in flames: Republican Richard Franolich
Rep. Andy Kim (D-Moorestown) in the 3rd
                                                 filed in the 5th district, where his
district; will primary voters go with
                                                 hometown of Oakland used to be, but
straight-laced yacht manufacturer Bob
                                                 discovered after submitting his petitions
Healey Jr., or bearded anti-lockdown DUI
                                                 that he should have filed for the 9th                                        – JOEY FOX
arrestee Ian Smith?
                                                 district.                                                      New Jersey Globe Reporter
          In the 4th district, two
                                                            But while some incumbents,
Republican challengers are seeking to take
                                                 especially Kim in the 3rd district and
down 21-term Rep. Chris Smith
                                                 Smith in the 4th, have a lot of new
(R-Manchester), while two Democrats are
                                                 territory to contend with, the effects
trying to do the same to Rep. Donald
                                                 of the new lines are more likely to be felt
Payne Jr. (D-Newark in the 10th district,
                                                 in November, when the inclusion or
but can any of them convince voters
                                                 exclusion of any given town might matter
to break the 100% winning streak New
                                                 a tremendous amount to the final results.
Jersey congressional incumbents have had
in primaries since 1980?

NJG SPRING VOTER’S GUIDE 2022

                                                                    4
MUNICIPAL & PRIMARY ELECTIONS 2022
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MUNICIPAL & PRIMARY ELECTIONS 2022
CONGRESS
1ST DISTRICT
DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY: Solid Norcross
REPUBLICAN PRIMARY: Solid Gustafson

 G
          EORGE NORCROSS had a          DeSantis, who waged a one-day          Claire Gustafson garnering every
          bad year in 2021. Not only    primary campaign against Sweeney       county endorsement as well as the
          did his bid to hold or flip   last year which fell apart when he     high-profile backing of Durr and his
seats in the 2nd and 8th legislative    failed to gather the necessary         Assembly running mates. The last
districts fall short, he unexpectedly   number of signatures to get on the     minute entry of union carpenter
lost his greatest champion in state     ballot.                                Damon Galdo, who didn’t announce
politics: Senate President Steve                                               his campaign until he filed his
Sweeney (D-West Deptford), whose                                               petitions, probably won’t derail
defeat by underfunded trucker Ed          Anti-establishment Democrats in      Gustafson’s path to the nomination.
Durr (R-Swedesboro) will go down        New Jersey have little love lost for
as one of the great political upsets    the Norcross machine, but Donald
in New Jersey history.                  Norcross himself hasn’t drawn much       Assuming that the general
                                        criticism from the left. A union       election contest is between
                                        electrician, Norcross has strong       Norcross and Gustafson as
   This year, though, Norcross has      labor ties and is a member of the      expected, Norcross has the obvious
little to worry about. His brother,     Congressional Progressive Caucus,      upper hand. The congressman won
Rep. Donald Norcross (D-Camden),        and DeSantis’ $6,000 total raised      by 25 points in 2020, and while the
drew three opponents, none of           means he won’t have the resources      national environment has
whom has a chance of unseating the      to convince voters Norcross should     deteriorated for Democrats since
four-term incumbent.                    be denied another term.                then, it almost certainly won’t be
                                                                               enough for Gustafson.

 In the Democratic primary,               The Republican primary is also a
Norcross will face teacher Mario        sleepy affair, with 2020 nominee

                                                       6
MUNICIPAL & PRIMARY ELECTIONS 2022
Rep.
Donald Norcross                                       Claire Gustafson
Photo by Kevin Sanders for the New Jersey Globe       Photo by Joey Fox for the New Jersey Globe

         COUNTIES: Burlington, Camden, Gloucester
         BURLINGTON: Maple Shade, Palmyra
         CAMDEN: All
         GLOUCESTER: Deptford, East Greenwich (pt.), Glassboro, Mantua, Monroe, National
         Park, Paulsboro, Pitman, Washington, Wenonah, West Deptford, Westville, Woodbury,
         Woodbury Heights

         INCUMBENT: Donald Norcross

         DEMOCRATS: *Donald Norcross, Mario DeSantis
         REPUBLICANS: Claire Gustafson, Damon Galdo

         Statewide results
         2020 PRES: Biden 61.5% // Trump 37.1%

         Congressional results (note: occurred under different district lines)
         2020 GEN: Norcross 62.5% // Gustafson 37.5%
         2020 D PRI: Norcross 100%
         2020 R PRI: Gustafson 100%

         Demographics
         59.4% White // 19.4% Black // 14.9% Hispanic // 6.3% Asian

                                                      7                                NJG SPRING VOTER’S GUIDE 2022
MUNICIPAL & PRIMARY ELECTIONS 2022
2ND DISTRICT
                             DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY: Solid Alexander
                             REPUBLICAN PRIMARY: Solid Van Drew

 R
        EP. JEFF VAN DREW                  Army veteran and businessman           had been running a shoestring
        (R-Dennis), against all odds,      John Barker, who started his           campaign and didn’t submit
        is unequivocally in the            campaign in the 3rd district before    petitions.
drivers’ seat for a third term, and it’s   switching races after new lines were
not looking like anyone running this       drawn, and union carpenter Sean
year will be able to take him down.        Pignatelli. A third challenger, U.S.     That leaves just Carolyn Rush, a
                                           Air Force veteran Scott Hitchner,      political newcomer who didn’t make
                                           didn’t end up filing to run.           much of a dent at any party
  First elected as a Democrat in                                                  convention. With Alexander leading
2018, Van Drew’s defection to the                                                 the money race (he’s raised
Republican Party in late 2019 was a          With no reported fundraising         $260,000 total to Rush’s $51,000)
politically risky move, since he faced     from either of them, neither Barker    and running on the line in every
the potential of rejection in both the     nor Pignatelli has a shot at Van       county, there’s no reason to think
primary and general elections.             Drew, especially with both in the      he’s in danger of losing.
                                           race. Van Drew, by contrast, has
                                           raised $2.2 million since the cycle
  But Van Drew threw himself onto          began and has more than $1 million        Yet the era of Alexander’s victory
the Trump Train with the fervor only       cash-on-hand.                          will likely be short-lived. The 2nd
a convert could muster, and he                                                    district would be a difficult lift for a
easily won the Republican primary                                                 Democrat in any year – Donald
after his main prospective primary           Civil rights lawyer Tim Alexander,   Trump won its reconfigured lines by
opponent, David Richter, was               a former detective captain in the      five points in 2020 – and the
persuaded to run for the 3rd district      Atlantic County Prosecutor’s Office,   midterm dynamics under a
instead. National Democratic               has essentially been the de-facto      Democratic president will make it
disgust with the turncoat                  frontrunner for the Democratic         even harder.
congressman wasn’t enough to               nomination since he launched his
unseat him, either; well-funded            campaign. One other serious
Democratic recruit Amy Kennedy             candidate, former Egg Harbor             Even if Alexander taps into a
fell short by six points in November.      Township police officer Hector         national vein of anti-Van Drew
                                           Tavarez, dropped out of the race       sentiment and picks up his current
                                           after Alexander won the Atlantic       milquetoast fundraising, 2022 isn’t
  Two Republicans filed to                 County Democratic convention; a        looking like the year Van Drew falls.
challenge Van Drew this year: U.S.         third contender, Rev. Curtis Green,

                                                          8
MUNICIPAL & PRIMARY ELECTIONS 2022
Rep.
Jeff Van Drew                                                  Tim Alexander
Photo by Kevin Sanders for the New Jersey Globe                Photo by Alexander for Congress

         COUNTIES: Atlantic, Cape May, Cumberland, Gloucester, Salem, Ocean

         ATLANTIC: All               CAPE MAY: All   CUMBERLAND: All

         GLOUCESTER: Clayton, East Greenwich (pt.), Elk, Franklin, Greenwich, Harrison, Logan,
         Newfield, South Harrison, Swedesboro, Woolwich

         OCEAN: Barnegat, Barnegat Light, Beach Haven, Berkeley (pt.), Eagleswood, Harvey Cedars,
         Lacey (pt.), Little Egg Harbor, Long Beach, Ocean, Ship Bottom, Stafford, Surf City, Tuckerton

         SALEM:                All

         INCUMBENT: Jeff Van Drew

         DEMOCRATS: Tim Alexander, Carolyn Rush
         REPUBLICANS: Jeff Van Drew, John Barker, Sean Pignatelli

         Statewide results
         2020 PRES:    Trump 51.9% // Biden 46.8%

         Congressional results (note: occurred under different district lines)
         2020 GEN: Van Drew 51.9% // Kennedy 46.2%
         2020 D PRI: Kennedy 62.1% // Harrison 22.3% // Cunningham 12.8%
         2020 R Pri: Van Drew 82.4% // Patterson 17.6%

         Demographics
         63.9% White // 13.7% Black // 17.3% Hispanic // 4.5% Asian

                                                               9                                 NJG SPRING VOTER’S GUIDE 2022
MUNICIPAL & PRIMARY ELECTIONS 2022
3RD DISTRICT
                               DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY: Solid Kim
                               REPUBLICAN PRIMARY: Lean Healey

 H
        OW CAN Republicans take out             He’s now running off-the-line for       If any candidate in the state has the
        a squeaky-clean congressman          Congress as an anti-vaccine and            ability to defy the odds, though, it’s
        like Rep. Andy Kim                   -mandate zealot – his gym offered free     probably someone like Smith.
(D-Moorestown)? This year, they’ve got       memberships to customers who could
two unorthodox answers.                      prove they were unvaccinated – and
                                             with a promise to be a belligerent            As for Kim, he technically faces a
                                             fighter for conservative policies. But     primary against young progressive
  One is Bob Healey Jr., a wealthy yacht     he’s struggled with fundraising, only      Reuven Hendler, who made some waves
manufacturer and philanthropist who is       raising $100,000 since launching his       when he unsuccessfully sued the Mercer
the choice of the district’s three county    campaign in January.                       County Democratic Party for excluding
Republican parties. On the surface, the                                                 him from their annual convention.
straight-laced businessman is a
standard Republican contender, and              Adding further chaos to Smith’s
he’s got the fundraising prowess –           candidacy was his arrest on DUI charges       But Kim, first elected in 2018 against
$750,000 raised from donors                  in late March. While that would be a       incumbent Rep. Tom MacArthur (R-
supplemented by $250,000 in                  tough story for any congressional          Toms River), has given the left wing of
self-funding – and the national GOP          candidate, it’s especially damning for     his party few reasons to complain – he is
support to prove it.                         Smith, who at 20 years old went for a      unequivocally the most progressive
                                             drive with alcohol in his system and       swing-seat representative in the state –
                                             ended up hitting and killing a teenager.   and there’s no real opening for an
  But Healey wasn’t always the type of                                                  underfunded candidate like Hendler.
guy who would be welcomed at your
average Republican Party convention.           But despite the cards stacked against
When he was a teenager, Healey was           him, Smith could attract the kind of         Kim has a habit of outrunning the top
the lead singer of The Ghouls, a             grassroots Republican supporters that      of the ticket in general elections; in
hardcore punk-rock band that toured          have generated surprise primary wins in    2020, he overperformed Joe Biden by
the country, and wrote some unsavory         other districts across the U.S. over the   eight points, winning 53-46% even as
songs that could still come back to          last four years.                           Donald Trump was narrowly carrying
haunt him.                                                                              the 3rd district. He’s now sitting on a
                                                                                        campaign warchest of $3.8 million,
                                               A third Republican candidate, realtor    something any challenger would have a
   “I was a lead singer, and I wrote those   Nicholas Ferrara, is also in the mix. He   hard time matching.
songs and I understand if people might       hasn’t made any real headway in a race
find it offensive,” Healey said when he      with two far bigger names taking up
launched his campaign. “I was an angry       oxygen.                                       Last year’s congressional
guy back then.”                                                                         redistricting process also dramatically
                                                                                        reshaped the district, which ditches
                                               The contest between Healey and           heavily Republican areas in Ocean
  Healey’s got nothing, though, on his       Smith is a difficult one to handicap.      County for more competitive parts of
main primary opponent, Atilis Gym            Smith doesn’t have any establishment       Mercer and Monmouth Counties. The
owner Ian Smith. A large man with an         support or county lines, but he wasn’t     new district would have voted for Biden
even larger beard, Smith gained              gunning for them anyways; Healey has       by 14 points, a comfortable margin even
national notoriety early on in the           the lead in the money race, but Smith      for a less skilled politician than Kim.
pandemic when he refused to comply           consultant Steve Kush has done more
with Gov. Phil Murphy’s closure of           with less before.
nonessential businesses. Smith racked                                                     Even in a best-case scenario for
up nearly $1 million in legal fees, which      Based on the fact that party-endorsed    Republicans – Healey vs. Kim with an
he paid off with a GoFundMe that             candidates tend to win primaries, and      unpopular Democratic president at the
attracted sympathetic anti-lockdown          Smith’s unfavorable DUI headlines,         helm – Kim is still the favorite. And if
donors from around the country.              Healey has to be seen as the favorite.     Smith were to upset Healey in the
                                                                                        primary, national Republicans will
                                                                                        probably turn their sights elsewhere.

                                                             10
Rep.
Andy Kim                                                      Bob Healey Jr.                     Ian Smith
Photo by Kevin Sanders for the New Jersey Globe               Photo by Healey for Congress       Photo by Smith for Congress

         COUNTIES: Burlington, Mercer, Monmouth
         BURLINGTON: Bass River, Beverly, Bordentown City, Bordentown Township, Burlington City,
         Burlington Township, Chesterfield, Cinnaminson, Delanco, Delran, Eastampton, Edgewater
         Park, Evesham, Fieldsboro, Florence, Hainesport, Lumberton, Mansfield, Medford, Medford
         Lakes, Moorestown, Mount Holly, Mount Laurel, New Hanover, North Hanover, Pemberton
         Borough, Pemberton Township, Riverside, Riverton, Shamong, Southampton, Springfield,
         Tabernacle, Washington, Westampton, Willingboro, Woodland, Wrightstown
         MERCER: East Windsor, Hamilton, Hightstown, Lawrence, Robbinsville
         MONMOUTH: Allentown, Englishtown, Freehold Borough, Freehold Township (pt.), Holmdel,
         Manalapan, Marlboro, Millstone, Roosevelt, Upper Freehold

         INCUMBENT: Andy Kim

         DEMOCRATS: *Andy Kim, Reuven Hendler
         REPUBLICANS: Bob Healey, Ian Smith, Nicholas Ferrara

         Statewide results
         2020 PRES: Biden 56.4% // Trump 42.3%

         Congressional results (note: occurred under different district lines)
         2020 GEN: Kim 53.2% // Richter 45.5%
         2020 D PRI: Kim 100%
         2020 R PRI: Richter 61.1% // Gibbs 38.9%

         Demographics
         63.5% White // 14.6% Black // 11.3% Hispanic // 9.8% Asian

                                                             11                              NJG SPRING VOTER’S GUIDE 2022
YOUR VOTE
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       IT IS HEARD!

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4TH DISTRICT
                              DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY: Uncontested Jenkins
                              REPUBLICAN PRIMARY: Likely Smith

 B
        Y NOW, THE story of the             the vote with the other challengers and     election few thought he could win.
        ideological firebrand who           allow Smith to prevail. Because the         Since then, he has faced a few giant
        unseats a complacent                filing deadline had long since passed       Democratic opponents and a
long-serving incumbent is a familiar        when Blasi left the race, his name will     gerrymander that left him for dead, but
one. Reps. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez         still appear on the ballot, and many        he always won.
(D-NY) and Lauren Boebert (R-CO),           voters may not even know he isn’t
among others, were relative unknowns        running anymore.
before their unexpected primary                                                           Should one of Smith’s challengers
victories launched them into the                                                        defy the odds this year and turn the
national spotlight, and others all around       Before him, Robert Shapiro and Tricia   primary into a competitive race, it may
the country have sought to emulate          Flanagan, perennial candidates who          have more to do with geography than
their success.                              have run for countless offices around       with ideology. As part of the overall
                                            the state without regard for geography      Democratic-drawn reconfiguration of
                                            or filing deadlines, were booted from       the state’s districts, the 4th district
  In New Jersey’s 4th district, two such    the ballot for having too few valid         gained a huge swath of Ocean County
primary challengers have set their          signatures. Rev. Shawn Hyland,              and lost parts of Monmouth and Mercer
sights on 21-term Rep. Chris Smith          Englishtown Councilman Daniel               Counties, including Smith’s hometown
(R-Manchester), the dean of the state       Francisco, and attorney David Burg,         of Hamilton Township. (Smith moved to
delegation and one of the two longest-      meanwhile, all left the race before the     Manchester almost immediately after
serving members of the entire U.S.          filing deadline. Hyland quickly             the new lines were approved.)
House. Smith is by all accounts a           endorsed Smith, while Francisco
conservative, but he’s also not a           backed Crispi and Burg endorsed Blasi.
die-hard member of the Trump wing of                                                      That means Smith will be introducing
his party, voting last year for the                                                     himself to voters in staunchly
bipartisan infrastructure bill and the        For a time, it seemed like the Smith      Republican towns like Toms River and
certification of Joe Biden’s Electoral      challengers’ biggest obstacle would be      Berkeley, where voters don’t have
College victory. Those heresies were        each other; mounting a challenge to an      built-in familiarity with him. It also
enough to warrant an angry tweet from       incumbent is always hard, but it’s even     means, though, that Smith won’t have
Donald Trump himself, and have              harder when you’re competing for            to worry about Democratic challengers
propelled the candidacy of Smith’s          space with other challengers. With so       for the next decade, assuming he
challengers.                                many candidates dropping out, Crispi        makes it past the primary.
                                            and Gray have a clearer shot at Smith –
                                            but that doesn’t mean they’re not still
   The more prominent, and better-          heavy underdogs.                              Speaking of Democratic challengers,
funded, of the two is conservative                                                      Smith does have one: small
podcaster Mike Crispi, who has the                                                      businessman Matthew Jenkins, who will
backing of longtime politico (and              As expected, Smith won the party         win the Democratic primary
pardoned felon) Roger Stone. The            line in both Monmouth and Ocean             unopposed. Even if Jenkins were an
28-year-old Crispi is campaigning as a      Counties, which gives him a major leg       electoral juggernaut – which he doesn’t
Trump diehard, saying that his              up over his competitors. Smith also has     seem to be – he wouldn’t be able to
allegiance to the now-former President      a warchest of $825,000, while neither       touch Smith in the state’s most
began all the way back in 2015. Also        Crispi nor Gray have been able to raise     Republican congressional district.
running is retired FBI agent Steve Gray,    more than $100,000, even with some
running a modestly active campaign on       self-funding from both.
                                                                                          If Smith is held to a narrow win or
a similarly conservative track.
                                                                                        somehow loses in the primary, it will be
                                              Smith, an old-school representative       a shocking indication of Donald Trump’s
  The cohort of candidates was for a        who has long prioritized constituent        continued electoral influence, more
time much larger, but two petition          service and casework, has been              than a year after he left office. That’s
challenges and four early exits             underestimated as a candidate before.       not particularly likely, and the runner-up
winnowed the field considerably. The        As a 27-year-old executive director of      Dean of the House should be safe for
most recent departure was realtor Mike      New Jersey Right to Life in 1980, he        another term.
Blasi, who said he didn’t want to split     ousted a 13-term incumbent in an

                                                             14
Rep.
Chris Smith                                                   Mike Crispi
Photo by Smith for Congress                                   Photo by Crispi for Congress

         COUNTIES: Monmouth, Ocean

         MONMOUTH: Avon-by-the-Sea, Belmar, Brielle, Colts Neck, Eatontown, Farmingdale,
         Freehold Township (pt.), Howell, Lake Como, Manasquan, Middletown (pt.), Ocean, Sea Girt,
         Shrewsbury Borough, Shrewsbury Township, Spring Lake, Spring Lake Heights, Tinton Falls,
         Wall

         OCEAN: Bay Head, Beachwood, Berkeley (pt.), Brick, Island Heights, Jackson, Lacey (pt.),
         Lakehurst, Lakewood, Lavallette, Manchester, Mantoloking, Ocean Gate, Pine Beach,
         Plumstead, Point Pleasant, Point Pleasant Beach, Seaside Heights, Seaside Park, South Toms
         River, Toms River

         INCUMBENT: Chris Smith

         DEMOCRATS: Matthew Jenkins
         REPUBLICANS: *Chris Smith, Mike Crispi, Steve Gray

         Statewide results
         2020 PRES: Trump 60.6% // Biden 38.1%

         Congressional results (note: occurred under different district lines)
         2020 GEN: Smith 59.9% // Schmid 38.3%
         2020 D PRI: Schmid 67.4% // Conforti 25.1% // Applefield 7.4%
         2020 R PRI: Smith 94.8% // Richter 5.2%

         Demographics
         80.4% White // 4.5% Black // 10.3% Hispanic // 3.3% Asian

                                                             15                              NJG SPRING VOTER’S GUIDE 2022
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                                          NJG SPRING VOTER’S GUIDE   2022
5TH DISTRICT
                               DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY: Uncontested Gottheimer
                               REPUBLICAN PRIMARY: Lean De Gregorio

  W
             HEN FORMER CLINTON                The frontrunner seems to be U.S.         Sab Skenderi, is still running but
             White House speechwriter        Marine veteran Nick De Gregorio, who       without any real campaign presence. A
             Josh Gottheimer                 mopped the floor at the Bergen County      third unknown contender, Richard
(D-Wyckoff) unseated Rep. Scott              Republican convention and has the          Franolich, was removed from the ballot
Garrett (R-Wantage) in 2016, New             semi-tacit support of the National         after he realized he had mistakenly filed
Jersey Democrats were hard-pressed to        Republican Campaign Committee. De          for the 5th district when he meant to
celebrate, given the simultaneous            Gregorio’s raised $716,000 so far, an      run in the 9th.
election of Donald Trump to the White        impressive sum for a first-time
House. Little did they know that             candidate not doing any self-funding.
Gottheimer’s victory was just a taste of                                                  If voters base their votes on
the heights their party would reach in                                                  establishment support, De Gregorio
2018, when Democrats won 11 of the             His main opponent is Frank Pallotta,     should win. If they focus on name
state’s 12 congressional districts.          an investment banker who ran against       recognition, Pallotta’s previous run
                                             Gottheimer in 2020 and lost by eight       probably gives him the edge. In New
                                             points. Thanks to that run, he likely      Jersey, it’s always safest to bet with the
  Now in his third term in Congress,         began the campaign season with the         county party, so De Gregorio should be
Gottheimer has taken that initial victory    highest name recognition of anyone in      seen as at least a mild frontrunner.
and turned it into a political juggernaut.   the Republican field, and he also has
The co-chairman of the bipartisan            the Passaic County line and the support
House Problem Solvers Caucus has             of Sussex County Republicans (the            Thanks to the new Democratic-drawn
dispatched both primary and general          Sussex Republican Party doesn’t have a     map, Gottheimer should have an easier
election challengers with relative ease,     formal county line).                       time winning in the general election
amassed a Godzillanian $13.1 million                                                    than in previous cycles, though he was
warchest, and has become one of the                                                     left more vulnerable than some of his
most prominent moderates in the                The problem for Pallotta is that his     Democratic colleagues.
Democratic caucus.                           fundraising hasn’t kept pace; he raised
                                             just $38,000 last quarter and $250,000
                                             overall, with none of the self-funding       The new 5th district includes more of
   Gottheimer has no primary                 that powered his 2020 campaign.            Bergen County and ditches parts of
opposition this year, despite his                                                       Warren and Sussex County, but it’s not
frequent feuds with his party’s left wing;                                              completely out of reach for Republicans
after Glen Rock Councilwoman Arati             Two more candidates will also appear     – Joe Biden won it by around 12 points
Krebich lost to the congressman              on the ballot, though neither are likely   last year – and Gottheimer has never
67-33% in 2020, no Democrats decided         to make much impact. One, Fred             had to run in a truly adverse cycle. If the
to take their chances for 2022. But          Schneiderman, is a self-funding            national environment is atrocious for
Republicans aren’t so willing to give        businessman who unexpectedly               Democrats in November, there is a
Gottheimer a free pass, and two serious      dropped out of the race in May but will    genuine risk that the Human
candidates are waging campaigns to           remain on the ballot anyways; the other,   Fundraising Machine could go down.
take him on.

                                                             18
Rep.
Josh Gottheimer                                              Nick De Gregorio               Frank Pallotta
Photo by Kevin Sanders for the                               Photo by Joey Fox for the      Photo by Pallotta for Congress
New Jersey Globe                                             New Jersey Globe

         COUNTIES: Bergen, Passaic, Sussex

         BERGEN: Allendale, Alpine, Bergenfield, Bogota, Closter, Cresskill, Demarest, Dumont,
         Emerson, Englewood, Englewood Cliffs, Fair Lawn, Fort Lee, Glen Rock, Hackensack,
         Harrington Park, Haworth, Hillsdale, Ho-Ho-Kus, Leonia, Mahwah, Maywood (pt.), Midland
         Park, Montvale, New Milford, Northvale, Norwood, Old Tappan, Oradell, Palisades Park,
         Paramus, Park Ridge, Ramsey, Ridgefield Park, Ridgewood, River Edge, River Vale, Rockleigh,
         Saddle River, Teaneck, Tenafly, Upper Saddle River, Waldwick, Washington, Westwood,
         Woodcliff Lake, Wyckoff

         PASSAIC: Bloomingdale, Ringwood, Wanaque, West Milford
         Sussex: Andover Township, Branchville, Frankford, Franklin, Hamburg, Hampton, Hardyston,
         Lafayette, Montague, Newton, Sandyston, Sussex, Vernon, Wantage

         INCUMBENT: Josh Gottheimer

         DEMOCRATS: *Josh Gottheimer
         REPUBLICANS: Nick De Gregorio, Frank Pallotta, Sab Skenderi

         Statewide results
         2020 PRES: Biden 55.6% // Trump 43.2%

         Congressional results (note: occurred under different district lines)
         2020 GEN: Gottheimer 53.2% // Pallotta 45.6%
         2020 D PRI: Gottheimer 66.5% // Kreibich 33.5%
         2020 R PRI: Pallotta 51.7% // McCann 32.4% // Baldini 10.3% // Castillo 5.6%

         Demographics
         59.2% White // 7.3% Black // 16.2% Hispanic // 17.3% Asian

                                                             19                          NJG SPRING VOTER’S GUIDE 2022
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                            20
21   NJG SPRING VOTER’S GUIDE 2022
6TH DISTRICT
                                DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY: Uncontested Pallone
                                REPUBLICAN PRIMARY: Likely Kiley

  W
            HEN ONE PARTY is                    Kiley’s main opponent is 2020 Senate       also-ran. Former Libertarian
            forecasted to have a good         nominee Rik Mehta, who likely has            gubernatorial nominee Gregg Mele was
            election year, one                residual name recognition from that          in this category as well, until a
consequence is that formidable                run; he began the cycle running in the       Mehta-led challenge successfully
challengers can often emerge even in          7th district before switching campaigns      kicked him off the ballot for insufficient
districts where they won’t have much of       at the beginning of this year. He’s raised   signatures.
a chance of victory.                          $150,000 overall, but that’s over the
                                              course of many months, and he notched
                                              just $27,000 in the most recent                 Pallone, who was weakly targeted by
  That dynamic seems to be at play in         fundraising quarter.                         the left in 2020 and easily turned back
the 6th district, where Monmouth                                                           Democratic opponent Russ Cirincione,
County Commissioner Sue Kiley is                                                           is uncontested in the Democratic
having a go at Rep. Frank Pallone                Like a number of other off-the-line       primary this year.
(D-Long Branch). Fresh off a landslide        Republican candidates, Mehta is
re-election to the county commission,         making his campaign a direct appeal to
Kiley is the strongest challenger Pallone     Donald Trump and his policies; Mehta’s          If and when Kiley wins the primary,
has had in a long time – and she’ll still     ballot line, echoing many others around      Republicans are sure to – correctly –
have to hope for a miracle in the Biden       the state, is “America First                 cite her as a top-tier challenger. But all
+20 district.                                 Republicans.” Kiley hasn’t given much        the focus in the world probably won’t
                                              reason for Republicans to distrust her,      make the 6th district competitive, and
                                              though, and Mehta hasn’t clearly             Pallone can start preparing for his 18th
  To reach Pallone at all, Kiley will first   articulated why he would be a better         term in Congress.
have to get through a Republican              alternative.
primary, but that probably won’t be too
                                                Another candidate, former
difficult. She won the county line in
                                              Republican National Committee staffer
both Middlesex and Monmouth
                                              Tom Toomey, has demonstrated
Counties and has $200,000 in the bank,
                                              nothing about his campaign that
$100,000 of which came from her own
                                              suggests he will be anything but an
pockets.

                                                               22
Rep.                                                            Monmouth County Commissioner
Frank Pallone                                                   Sue Kiley                          Rik Mehta
Photo by Kevin Sanders for the New Jersey Globe                 Photo by Kiley for Congress        Photo by Kevin Sanders for the
                                                                                                   New Jersey Globe

         COUNTIES: Middlesex, Monmouth

         MIDDLESEX: Carteret, Edison, Highland Park, Metuchen, New Brunswick, Old Bridge (pt.),
         Perth Amboy, Piscataway, Sayreville, South Amboy, South Plainfield, Woodbridge

         MONMOUTH: Aberdeen, Allenhurst, Asbury Park, Atlantic Highlands, Bradley Beach, Deal,
         Fair Haven, Hazlet, Highlands, Interlaken, Keansburg, Keyport, Little Silver, Loch Arbour, Long
         Branch, Matawan, Middletown (pt.), Monmouth Beach, Neptune City, Neptune Township,
         Oceanport, Red Bank, Rumson, Sea Bright, Union Beach, West Long Branch

         INCUMBENT: Frank Pallone

         DEMOCRATS: *Frank Pallone
         REPUBLICANS: Sue Kiley, Rik Mehta, Tom Toomey

         Statewide results
         2020 Pres:    Biden 59.2% // Trump 39.5%

         Congressional results (note: occurred under different district lines)
         2020 Gen: Pallone 61.2% // Onuoha 38.8%
         2020 D Pri: Pallone 79.2% // Cirincione 17.0%
         2020 R Pri: Onuoha 100% (write-in)

         Demographics
         41.8% White // 13.3% Black // 24.5% Hispanic // 20.3% Asian

                                                              23                               NJG SPRING VOTER’S GUIDE 2022
24
DEMOCRACY IS NOT A
 SPECTATOR SPORT.
   The right to vote is the most sacred and
fundamental cornerstone of our democracy –
   and the power is in our hands to make a
       difference for our communities.
This year, make your voice heard to keep our
       communities moving forward.
7TH DISTRICT
                                 DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY: Solid Malinowski
                                 REPUBLICAN PRIMARY: Likely Kean

 F
        ROM THE MOMENT former                   Also occupying the rightward lane is      a strong off-the-line challenger if the
        Senate Minority Leader Tom            Phil Rizzo, a former pastor who ran for     anti-Kean energy had been marshaled
        Kean Jr. (R-Westfield) conceded       the Republican gubernatorial                towards one candidate. But the June
defeat to Rep. Tom Malinowski                 nomination in 2021 and came in              ballot will feature six alternatives to
(D-Ringoes) in November 2020, a               second. Rizzo’s campaign is one of the      Kean, not one, and none of the six has
rematch looked inevitable. Kean had           most Trump-drenched in the state, and       consolidated support to nearly the
defied the national environment and           he’s banking on voters’ loyalty to the      extent needed to take down the
come within one point of unseating            former president winning out over the       frontrunner.
Malinowski as Joe Biden was winning           networks Kean has built.
the 7th district by 10 points; with
Republicans looking to retake the                                                           The Democratic primary, by contrast,
House in 2022, Kean was an obvious              Finally, there’s 27-year-old John         will be a sleepy affair. Malinowski only
choice.                                       Henry Isemann, who left a job on Wall       drew one opponent, and it’s perennial
                                              Street to lead a humanitarian effort in     candidate Roger Bacon: the Trump-
                                              Guatemala. Isemann was not a known          loving Democrat in Name Only who was
   Kean formally launched his rematch         political force before this cycle but has   last seen getting kicked off the 2021
campaign last summer with the support         impressed many insiders, and –              gubernatorial Democratic primary
of House Minority Leader Kevin                assuming he loses the primary this year     ballot for having too many registered
McCarthy (R-CA), and his prospects            – may have a future in state Republican     Republicans sign his nominating
have only improved since then. A House        politics.                                   petitions.
Ethics Committee inquiry into
Malinowski’s stock trades is still
ongoing, and the state’s newly drawn            Kean was victorious at all six of the        Mystery man Brandon Wienberg also
congressional map shifted the 7th             district’s county conventions, though       filed a Democratic bid with the Federal
district six points to the right, making      Peterson nipped at his heels in             Election Commission, but he didn’t
Republicans at least small favorites to       Hunterdon County and Isemann forced         submit petitions to run.
flip the district in November.                him into a runoff in Morris County. Kean
                                              also has a major financial advantage:
                                              nearly $2 million raised since last           In a prospective Kean versus
   Given all of this, it’s notable that the   summer, while his next-closest              Malinowski rematch, Kean is widely
7th district Republican primary is the        opponent, Rizzo, has raised just            considered to have the upper hand, to
most crowded in the state. Kean,              $211,000.                                   the extent that it wouldn’t be a huge
treated as the heir apparent to the                                                       surprise if both parties write Malinowski
district by national Republicans,                                                         off as a goner by the fall.
actually has to get past no fewer than           All of that isn’t even accounting for
six primary opponents, three of whom          three other Republican challengers –
                                              Fredon Mayor John Flora, retired U.S.         A contest against Peterson or Rizzo,
are running real campaigns with real
                                              Navy officer Sterling Irwin Schwab, and     on the other hand, could be more
things to say.
                                              licensed public works contractor Kevin      favorable for Democrats, since both
                                              Dorlon – who filed for the seat despite     men hold some polarizing views and
  One such challenger is Assemblyman          not making much of a splash in              neither have the demonstrated
Erik Peterson (R-Franklin), who has a         fundraising or at the county                electoral skills of Kean. Democrats
legitimate claim to being the most            conventions. (Yet another candidate,        seeking to defend every House seat
conservative member of the New                businessman Robert Trugman, did not         they can in November will surely be
Jersey legislature. Peterson has argued       file and seemingly endorsed Kean.)          wishing for an upset in the 7th district
that Kean, who was considered a                                                           primary – but Kean’s dominance means
moderate in the State Senate, can’t be                                                    their wishes are unlikely to be granted.
trusted to stand up for conservatives if        As a relative moderate with a long
he’s elected to Congress.                     paper trail in New Jersey politics, Kean
                                              could have certainly been vulnerable to

                                                               26
Rep.                                                Assemblyman                                                Former Senate Minority Leader
Tom Malinowski               John Isemann           Erik Peterson                Phil Rizzo                    Tom Kean Jr.
Photo by Kevin Sanders for   Isemann for Congress   Photo by Kevin Sanders for   Rizzo for Congress            Photo by Kevin Sanders for
the New Jersey Globe                                the New Jersey Globe                                       the New Jersey Globe

         COUNTIES: Hunterdon, Morris, Somerset, Sussex, Union, Warren

         HUNTERDON: All

         MORRIS: Chester Borough, Chester Township, Long Hill, Mendham Borough, Mendham
         Township (pt.), Mine Hill, Mount Arlington, Mount Olive, Netcong, Roxbury, Washington,
         Wharton

         SOMERSET: Bedminster, Bernards, Bernardsville, Branchburg, Bridgewater (pt.), Far Hills,
         Green Brook, Hillsborough (pt.), Peapack and Gladstone, Raritan, Somerville, Warren,
         Watchung

         SUSSEX: Andover Borough, Byram, Fredon, Green, Hopatcong, Ogdensburg, Sparta,
         Stanhope, Stillwater, Walpack

         UNION: Berkeley Heights, Clark, Fanwood, Linden (pt.), Mountainside, New Providence,
         Rahway, Scotch Plains, Springfield, Summit, Westfield, Winfield
         Warren: All

         INCUMBENT: Tom Malinowski

         DEMOCRATS: *Tom Malinowski, Roger Bacon
         REPUBLICANS: Tom Kean Jr., John Henry Isemann, Erik Peterson,
         Phil Rizzo, John Flora, Kevin Dorlon, Sterling Irvin Shwab

         Statewide results
         2020 PRES:    Biden 51.0% // Trump 47.4%

         Congressional results (note: occurred under different district lines)
         2020 GEN:     Malinowski 50.6% // Kean 49.4%
         2020 D PRI:   Malinowski 100%
         2020 R PRI:   Kean 79.4% // Barsoom 10.8% // Phillips 9.8%

         Demographics
         70.8% White // 6.3% Black // 12.2% Hispanic // 9.6% Asian

                                                                    27                                NJG SPRING VOTER’S GUIDE 2022
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                                                          VOTER’S GUIDE   2022
8TH DISTRICT
                              DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY: Likely Menendez
                              REPUBLICAN PRIMARY: Uncontested Arroyo

 N
         OT EVERYONE can, at age 36          In spite of the long odds, two            genuinely staggering total even with
         and with no previous elected      Democratic contenders have                  the caveat that his dad is a
         experience, waltz into a          successfully filed to take Menendez on.     well-connected senator – while
congressional seat with virtually no       The clearer fit for the “young              Ocampo Grajales raised $26,000 and
pushback. Then again, not everyone is      progressive challenger” archetype is        Roseborough-Eberhard hasn’t filed with
the son of a U.S. Senator.                 David Ocampo Grajales, the director of      the FEC.
                                           a healthcare startup who is running on a
                                           standard left-wing policy platform.
   That snarky summary isn’t quite fair    Joining him on the ballot is Amistad          Other than a trifling endorsement
to Rob Menendez, a corporate lawyer        Commission member Ane                       from 2020 presidential contender and
at one of New Jersey’s most prominent      Roseborough-Eberhard, whose                 spiritual guru Marianne Williamson for
firms who has served on the powerful       campaign is focusing heavily on             Ocampo Grajales, neither of the
Port Authority Board of Commissioners      education.                                  anti-Menendez contenders have gotten
since last summer. But it’s hard to                                                    any significant outside backing, either.
escape the conclusion that Menendez
has a glide path to the House because         There would have been two other
his father, Senator Bob Menendez – a       challengers, entrepreneur Brian Varela        Menendez isn’t quite a congressman
former representative from the district,   and election law professor Eugene           yet, and given that he’s never even run
which was then numbered as the 13th        Mazo, had the Hudson Democratic             for office before, a small dose of
– is one of the biggest names in state     Party not waged successful petition         caution is warranted with regard to his
politics.                                  challenges in an apparent effort to give    chances. Yet neither of his challengers
                                           Menendez the most seamless path to          have positioned themselves to be a
                                           Congress possible. One other                top-notch competitor, so it’s hard to
  When news broke in December of           candidate, Ricardo Rojas, dropped out       see how either would get the number of
Rep. Albio Sires (D-West New York)’s       in February. Rojas had previously           votes they’d need to topple him.
retirement, state Democrats                managed the campaign of Hector
immediately began lining up behind         Oseguera, a candidate against Sires in
Menendez, with hugely important                                                           One Republican, Marcos Arroyo, also
                                           2020 who lost the Democratic primary
endorsements from Gov. Phil Murphy                                                     filed, but his utility is largely in making
                                           70-27%.
and the Hudson County Democratic                                                       sure that Republicans can say they’re
Party coming within less than a week.                                                  contesting every race in the state. No
Menendez didn’t actually launch his          With both Ocampo Grajales and             Republican can win in a district that
campaign until early January, but doing    Roseborough-Eberhard competing for          went for Joe Biden by 45 points, and
so felt like more of a formality than      money and attention, neither have           unless the Democratic primary takes a
anything else.                             clearly taken off. Menendez raised          dramatic turn, the number of
                                           $840,000 in the first quarter of 2022 – a   Menendezes in Congress can be
                                                                                       expected to double.

                                                            30
Port Authority Commissioner
Rob Menendez                                                 David Ocampo Grajales
Photo by Lowenstein Sandler                                  Photo by Joey Fox for the New Jersey Globe

          COUNTIES: Essex, Hudson, Union

          ESSEX: Newark (pt.)

          HUDSON: Bayonne, East Newark, Gutenberg, Harrison, Hoboken, Jersey City (pt.), Kearny
          (pt.), North Bergen, Union City, Weehawken, West New York

          UNION: Elizabeth

          INCUMBENT: Albio Sires

          DEMOCRATS: Rob Menendez, David Ocampo Grajales, Ane Roseborough-Eberhard

          REPUBLICANS: Marcos Arroyo

          Statewide results
          2020 PRES: Biden 71.8% // Trump 27.1%

          Congressional results (note: occurred under different district lines)
          2020 GEN: Sires 74.0% // Mushnick 24.6%
          2020 D PRI: Sires 70.3% // Oseguera 27.3%
          2020 R PRI: Mushnick 100%

          Demographics
          24.9% White // 11.7% Black // 51.0% Hispanic // 12.9% Asian

                                                               31                                 NJG SPRING VOTER’S GUIDE 2022
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33   NJG SPRING VOTER’S GUIDE 2022
9TH DISTRICT
                              Democratic primary: Uncontested Pascrell
                              Republican primary: Uncontested Prempeh

  T
        HERE’S ONLY SO much ink that        own party bothered to file against him      Pascrell.
        can be spilled about two            this year after he crushed primary
        uncontested primaries,              opponent Zina Spezakis in 2020.
especially when both of the candidates                                                     In fairness to Republicans, the 9th
running previously faced one another                                                    district was made somewhat more
just two years ago.                            As for Billy Prempeh, the Republican     Republican in redistricting, and if
                                            seeking a rematch after a 34-point loss     Latinos continue trending rightwards, it
                                            in 2020, he’s also running unopposed;       might not be a slam-dunk for
  Rep. Bill Pascrell (D-Paterson) turned    his one-time opponent in the primary,       Democrats years down the line. This
85 earlier this year, but he’s showing no   realtor Patrick Quinn, failed to file any   cycle, however, the battle of the Bill Ps
signs of letting up. The feisty former      petitions. Quinn’s exit gives Prempeh a     is clearly skewed towards the
mayor of Paterson is a fixture in Passaic   glide path to the nomination – and to       incumbent.
County politics, and no one from his        another general election loss against

                                                             34
Rep.

Bill Pascrell                                               Billy Prempeh
Photo by Kevin Sanders for the New Jersey Globe             Photo by Joey Fox for the New Jersey Globe

         COUNTIES: Bergen, Hudson, Passaic
         BERGEN: Carlstadt, Cliffside Park, East Rutherford, Edgewater, Elmwood Park, Fairview,
         Franklin Lakes, Garfield, Hasbrouck Heights, Little Ferry, Lodi, Lyndhurst, Maywood (pt.),
         Moonachie, North Arlington, Oakland, Ridgefield, Rochelle Park, Rutherford, Saddle Brook,
         South Hackensack, Teterboro, Wallington, Wood-Ridge
         HUDSON: Kearny (pt.), Secaucus
         PASSAIC: Clifton, Haledon, Hawthorne, North Haledon, Passaic, Paterson, Pompton Lakes,
         Prospect Park, Wayne (pt.)

         INCUMBENT: Bill Pascrell

         DEMOCRATS: *Bill Pascrell
         REPUBLICANS: Billy Prempeh

         Statewide results
         2020 PRES: Biden 59.0% // Trump 40.0%

         Congressional results (note: occurred under different district lines)
         2020 GEN: Pascrell 65.8% // Prempeh 31.9%
         2020 D PRI: Pascrell 80.6% // Spezakis 16.9%
         2020 R PRI: Prempeh 74.2% // Walsh 25.8%

         Demographics
         38.3% White // 11.4% Black // 41.6% Hispanic // 10.1% Asian

                                                              35                                 NJG SPRING VOTER’S GUIDE 2022
ELECTIONS
    CWA thanks those elected
 officials who fight for working
  families and share our union
             values!

  At all levels, New Jersey needs
    more leaders who support
    collective bargaining and
expanding the bargaining rights of
             all workers.

   MATTER       36
37   NJG SPRING VOTER’S GUIDE 2022
10TH DISTRICT
                             Democratic primary: Likely Payne
                             Republican primary: Likely Pinckney

 F
         OR YEARS, Rep. Donald Payne         His main opponent, Imani Oakley, is        independent last year.) With the family
         Jr. (D-Newark) kept one of the    something of a mystery. She’s held a         name and his many political
         lowest profiles of any New        variety of jobs in progressive               connections to boost him, Payne is very
Jersey congressperson. A former            organizations in recent years but hasn’t     much the favorite for renomination, and
president of the Newark City Council       been able to hold any of them, and isn’t     even a challenger stronger than Oakley
and longtime ally of now-Senator Cory      running with any particular institutional    would have a tough time taking down
Booker, Payne succeeded his late           backing.                                     the incumbent. But as plenty of other
father, Rep. Donald Payne Sr.                                                           contests around the country have
(D-Newark), in 2012 and has quietly                                                     shown, incumbents can go down
held down the 10th congressional             Yet despite her lack of an obvious         unexpectedly – especially if their
district since then.                       base, she’s raised enough money to put       challengers have adequate financial
                                           a genuine scare into Payne: $389,000         resources, as Oakley does.
                                           since launching her campaign in July.
   2021 forced a change: Payne drew his    Payne, long a sluggish fundraiser, has
first remotely serious primary             picked up the pace accordingly, and            In a sign of the excitement propelling
challenger in a decade, and made           has more than doubled Oakley’s haul at       Republican candidates with an
deeply unflattering headlines when he      $816,000 raised in the cycle to-date.        unpopular Democratic president in the
attended a Zoom congressional hearing                                                   White House, two different Republicans
in his underwear and a too-tight                                                        have filed for the safely Democratic
Captain America t-shirt.                     Oakley has tried to run to Payne’s left,   district.
                                           though the congressman hasn’t left a
                                           massive amount of room for her to do
  Now, Payne is running one of the         so, promoting endorsements from                The favorite is presumably party-
most active campaigns anywhere in the      progressive luminaries like Rep. Pramila     endorsed David Pinckney and not Garth
state. He has touted new endorsements      Jayapal (D-WA) and Gov. Phil Murphy.         Stewart, running on the delightful
from state and national Democrats                                                       “FOG – Friends of Garth” line. But in a
practically every week, and turned in                                                   district that typically gives Democrats
9,933 nominating signatures – just a few     (A third candidate, sociology              more than 80% of the vote, there are
more than the 200 necessary to make        professor Akil Khalfani, is technically      better contests to focus on come
the ballot in New Jersey.                  also running; he was last seen getting       election night.
                                           1% of the vote against Payne as an

                                                            38
Donald Payne                                                Imani Oakley
Photo by Kevin Sanders for the New Jersey Globe             Photo by Oakley for Congress

         COUNTIES: Essex, Hudson, Union
         ESSEX: Caldwell, East Orange, Essex Fells, Irvington, Montclair (pt.), Newark (pt.), Orange,
         Verona, West Orange
         HUDSON: Jersey City (pt.)
         UNION: Cranford, Garwood, Hillside, Kenilworth, Linden, Roselle, Roselle Park, Union

         INCUMBENT: Donald Payne Jr.

         DEMOCRATS: *Donald Payne Jr., Imani Oakley, Akil Khalfani
         REPUBLICANS: David Pinckney, Garth Stewart

         Statewide results
         2020 PRES: Biden 80.9% // Trump 18.3%

         Congressional results (note: occurred under different district lines)
         2020 GEN: Payne 83.3% // Zinone 13.9%
         2020 D PRI: Payne 88.5% // Mazo 7.1%
         2020 R PRI: Zinone 100%

         Demographics
         18.8% White // 53.7% Black // 21.4% Hispanic // 7.2% Asian

                                                              39                           NJG SPRING VOTER’S GUIDE 2022
11TH DISTRICT
                               Democratic primary: Uncontested Sherrill
                               Republican primary: Lean Selen

 N
         O PARTY CONVENTION this             and Anderson came close to making         themselves and Selen, perhaps
         year was more important than        the runoff at the Morris convention, so   stepping up their fundraising or
         the Morris County Republican        while both are clear underdogs, they’ve   notching a critical endorsement.
convention, so of course it also had to      proven themselves capable of waging       Neither has been able to do that so far,
be the messiest in the state.                real campaigns.                           and every day closer to Election Day is
                                                                                       another missed opportunity. The
                                                                                       Democratic primary has featured no
   Presented with a deeply unsettled           Finally, there’s farmer Ruth            such drama. Since Sherrill scared Rep.
primary in the 11th district, Morris         McAndrew and real estate consultant       Rodney Frelinghuysen (R-Harding) into
Republicans gathered for six hours and       Alex Halter, both of whom only revealed   retirement in 2018, she’s been a force to
still didn’t come away with a concrete       their candidacies when they filed         be reckoned with in the district, and no
challenger to Rep. Mikie Sherrill            signatures with the Division of           Democrats have bothered to take her
(D-Montclair). Problems with the party’s     Elections.                                on since she arrived in Congress.
voting machines, as well as                                                            Sherrill is sitting on a warchest of $5.5
unexpectedly high turnout among                                                        million, making her one of the
party officials, meant that the runoff for      Because Morris County makes up the     best-funded candidates in the state.
the county line between Morris County        vast majority of the 11th district’s
Commissioner Tayfun Selen and former         Republican primary voters, the county
Kinnelon Council President Larry Casha       line there is all-important; Selen’s         Whether the general election will
was delayed for a full week.                 victory there and in Essex County         ultimately be competitive is still
                                             makes him the favorite for the            something of an open question.
                                             nomination.                               Republicans are on the upswing
  Selen ended up winning that runoff                                                   nationwide and like their chances of
240 to 225, and Casha dropped out and                                                  expanding the playing field, but Sherrill
endorsed him soon afterwards. Three            On the fundraising side, DeGroot is     is a strong incumbent and Democrats
other candidates had already dropped         technically the frontrunner at $235,000   redrew the 11th district to favor Joe
their campaigns: former Ridgefield Park      raised, but that’s powered almost         Biden by an intimidating 17 points.
Councilman Robert Kovic and attorney         entirely by $200,000 in self-funding.
Larry Friscia after they failed to make      Selen has raised $229,000, which
the runoff at the convention,                includes $20,000 of his own money,           State and national Republicans most
screenwriter Hillery Brotschol a few         and Anderson – who got into the race      likely prefer Selen to win, since he has
weeks before that.                           much later than his two opponents –       an impressive track record of victory in
                                             raised $21,800 and gave himself           competitive Morris County. But unless
                                             another $50,000.                          the political situation dramatically
  Two other candidates, former                                                         collapses for Sherrill, the Republican
Assistant Passaic County Prosecutor                                                    primary will probably just be choosing
Paul DeGroot and U.S. Army veteran             For Anderson or DeGroot to catch up     November’s loser.
Toby Anderson, remained in the race.         with Selen, they’d have to demonstrate
DeGroot won the Passaic County line          some clear distinction between

                                                             40
Rep.                             Morris County Commissioner
Mikie Sherrill                   Tayfun Selen                 Paul DeGroot                       Toby Anderson
Photo by Kevin Sanders for the   Photo by Nikita Biryukov     Photo by DeGroot for Congress      Photo by Anderson for Congress
New Jersey Globe

         COUNTIES: Essex, Morris, Passaic

         ESSEX: Belleville, Bloomfield, Cedar Grove, Fairfield, Glen Ridge, Livingston, Maplewood,
         Millburn, Montclair (pt.), North Caldwell, Nutley, Roseland, South Orange, West Caldwell

         MORRIS: Boonton Town, Boonton Township, Butler, Chatham Borough, Chatham Township,
         Denville, Dover, East Hanover, Florham Park, Hanover, Harding, Jefferson, Kinnelon, Lincoln
         Park, Madison, Mendham Township (pt.), Montville, Morris, Morris Plains, Morristown,
         Mountain Lakes, Parsippany-Troy Hills, Pequannock, Randolph, Riverdale, Rockaway Borough,
         Rockaway Township, Victory Gardens

         PASSAIC: Little Falls, Totowa, Wayne (pt.), Woodland Park

         INCUMBENT: Mikie Sherrill

         DEMOCRATS: *Mikie Sherrill
         REPUBLICANS: Tayfun Selen, Paul DeGroot, Toby Anderson, Alex Halter, Ruth McAndrew

         Statewide results
         2020 PRES: Biden 57.8% // Trump 41.0%

         Congressional results (note: occurred under different district lines)
         2020 GEN: Sherrill 53.3% // Becchi 46.7%
         2020 D PRI: Sherrill 100%
         2020 R PRI: Becchi 100%

         Demographics
         61.6% White // 8.0% Black // 16.5% Hispanic // 13.4% Asian

                                                              41                              NJG SPRING VOTER’S GUIDE 2022
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