Precious Metals Report 2019 - Everything you need to know about gold, silver, platinum and palladium! - Swiss Resource Capital AG

 
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Precious Metals Report 2019 - Everything you need to know about gold, silver, platinum and palladium! - Swiss Resource Capital AG
Precious Metals Report 2019
Everything you need to know about gold, silver, platinum and palladium!

            Swiss Resource Capital AG | Poststrasse 1 | 9100 Herisau | Schweiz
Precious Metals Report 2019 - Everything you need to know about gold, silver, platinum and palladium! - Swiss Resource Capital AG
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We point out the following:                                exploration and resource companies which are dis-          source Capital AG and the respective authors at the       cial products it is quite possible that investments         decision. To reduce risk investors should largely di-    to known and unknown risks, uncertainties and
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or indirectly own shares of following Companies            securities as well. Every exchange participant tra-        all of the published contents with the greatest pos-      investment in warrants, leveraged certificates or           mes and supports the journalistic principles of con-     are not limited to the following: risks regarding the
which are described in this publication: Barrian           des at his own risk. The information in the publica-       sible diligence to guarantee that the used and un-        other financial products bears an extremely high            duct and recommendations of the German press             inaccuracy of the mineral reserve and mineral re-
Mining, Cardinal Resources, Endeavour Silver,              tions of Swiss Resource Capital AG do not replace          derlying data as well as facts are complete and ac-       risk. Due to political, economical or other changes         council for the economic and financial market repor-     source estimates, fluctuations of the gold price, ris-
GoldMining Inc., Levon Resources, Osisko Gold              an on individual needs geared professional invest-         curate and the used estimates and made forecasts          significant stock price losses can arise and in the         ting and within the scope of its responsibility will     ks and dangers in connection with mineral explora-
Royalties, TerraX Minerals.                                ment advice. In spite of careful research, neither the     are realistic. Therefore, liability is categorically      worst case a total loss of the invested capital and -       look out that these principles and recommendations       tion, development and mining, risks regarding the
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consultant contracts with the following compa-             lity, correctness, mistakes, accuracy, complete-           own investment decision.                                  lity claim for foreign share recommendations, deri-                                                                  doing business with the company; the insufficient
nies which are mentioned in this publication:              ness, adequacy or quality of the presented informa-                                                                  vatives and fund recommendations are in principle           Forward-looking Information                              insurance coverage or the failure to receive insuran-
Endeavour Silver, GoldMining Inc., Osisko Gold             tion. For pecuniary losses resulting from invest-              All information published in publications of Swiss    ruled out by Swiss Resource Capital AG and the re-                                                                   ce coverage to cover these risks and dangers, the
Royalties, TerraX Minerals.                                ments in securities for which information was              Resource Capital AG reflects the opinion of the res-      spective authors. Between the readers as well as the           Information and statements in all publications of     relationship with employees; relationships with and
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mentioned in this publication: Barrian Mining,             neither explicitly nor implicitly.                         ponsible for any resulting pecuniary losses. All          source Capital AG because all information cont-             applicable securities laws. They contain risks and       contributions and workforce; the speculative nature
Cardinal Resources, Endeavour Silver, GoldMi-                                                                         information is subject to change. Swiss Resource          ained in such a publication refer to the respective         uncertainties but not limited to current expectations    of mineral exploration and development including
ning Inc., Levon Resources, Osisko Gold Royal-                Any investment in securities involves risks. Politi-    Capital AG as well as the respective authors assu-        company but not to the investment decision. Publi-          of the company concerned, the stock concerned or         risks of receiving and maintaining the necessary
ties, TerraX Minerals. Therefore, all mentioned            cal, economical or other changes can lead to signi-        res that only sources which are deemed reliable and       cations of Swiss Resource Capital AG are neither,           the respective security as well as intentions, plans     licences and permits, the decreasing quantities and
companies are sponsors of this publication.                ficant stock price losses and in the worst case to a       trustworthy by Swiss Resource Capital AG and the          direct or indirect an offer to buy or for the sale of the   and opinions. Forward-looking information can of-        grades of mineral reserves during mining; the global
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service provider according to WpHG (Germany) and           tion and resource companies are all, in general, as-       responsibility or liability for the actuality, correct-                                                               plans, objectives, intentions or statements of future    and operating costs, environmental, security and
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cluding all the publications published on the website      obligations for example additional payment liabili-        expressed in interviews and videos.                       responsible for consequences especially losses,             plans and timing regarding further exploration, drill    costs, risks regarding the uncertainty of the timing
http://www.resource-capital.ch and all sub-websi-          ties. As well, small and micro caps are often very illi-                                                             which arise or could arise by the use or the failure        and development activities. This forward-looking         of events including the increase of the targeted pro-
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equal to a professional financial analysis. Instead, all   tment in securities with low liquidity and small mar-      pective authors explicitly point out that changes in      expected profits or mentioned share prices will be          or successes to differ materially from those stated      its nature, forward-looking information involves nu-
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                                  Swiss Resource Capital AG | Poststrasse 1 | 9100 Herisau | Schweiz                                                                                                                             www.resource-capital.ch | info@resource-capital.ch
Precious Metals Report 2019 - Everything you need to know about gold, silver, platinum and palladium! - Swiss Resource Capital AG
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                                   Swiss Resource Capital AG | Poststrasse 1 | 9100 Herisau | Schweiz                                                                                                                          www.resource-capital.ch | info@resource-capital.ch
Precious Metals Report 2019 - Everything you need to know about gold, silver, platinum and palladium! - Swiss Resource Capital AG
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                                                                                                   Preface

                                                                                                   Precious metals –
                                                                                                   irreplaceable for the economy and for investors at the same time!..................10

                                                                                                   Guest Article by Prof. Dr. Torsten Dennin
                                                                                                   Global debt and the increasing loss of confidence
                                                                                                   in the stability of the financial system: Why investors should consider
                                                                                                   precious metals in their long-term asset strategy.������������������������������������������� 23
                                                                                                                                                                                                                          Editor
                                                                                                   Interview with Dr. Torsten Dennin                                                                                      Swiss Resource Capital AG
                                                                                                   Founder and CEO of Lynkeus Capital LLC������������������������������������������������������ 26                       Poststr. 1
                                                                                                                                                                                                                          9100 Herisau, Schweiz
                                                                                                                                                                                                                          Tel : +41 71 354 8501
                                                                                                                                                                                                                          Fax : +41 71 560 4271
                                                                                                   Company profiles                                                                                                       info@resource-capital.ch
                                                                                                                                                                                                                          www.resource-capital.ch
                                                                                                   Barrian Mining�������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������� 32
                                                                                                                                                                                                                          Editorial staff
                                                                                                   Cardinal Resources������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������ 36       Jochen Staiger
                                                                                                                                                                                                                          Tim Rödel
                                                                                                   Endeavour Silver Corp.������������������������������������������������������������������������������������ 40
                                                                                                                                                                                                                          Layout/Design
                                                                                                   GoldMining Inc������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������� 44    Frauke Deutsch
            Watch Management & Expert Interviews, Site-Visit-Videos,
            News Shows and receive top and up to date                                              Levon Resources Ltd.�������������������������������������������������������������������������������������� 48         All rights reserved. Reprinting
                                                                                                                                                                                                                          material by copying in electronic
            Mining Information on your mobile device worldwide!                                    Osisko Gold Royalties�������������������������������������������������������������������������������������� 52        form is not permitted.

                                                                                                   TerraX Minerals������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������� 56   Deadline: 03/01/2019
            Amazing features:
                                                                                                                                                                                                                          Cover: © Guenter Menzl/shutterstock
            •   Company Facts                                                                                                                                                                                             Page 11: © 2017 Nils Thies, Flickr,
            •   Global Mining News                                                                                                                                                                                        creativecommons.org/licenses/
                                                                                                                                                                                                                          by-nc-nd/2.0/deed.de, Goldreserven der
            •   Push Notofications                                                                                                                                                                                        Deutschen Bundesbank (Gold reserves of

            •   Commodity-TV, Rohstoff-TV and Dukascopy-TV                                                                                                                                                                the Deutsche Bundesbank)

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            •   JRB-Rohstoffblog                                                                                                                                                                                          otherwise stated, by the companies.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                          Back 1,2,3: © Endeavour Silver Corp.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                          Back 4:shutterstock/Aleksandar Mijatovic

                                                                                                                                                                                                                          Charts: 03/19/2019

6                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    7

    Swiss Resource Capital AG | Poststrasse 1 | 9100 Herisau | Schweiz | www.resource-capital.ch                                                     www.resource-capital.ch | info@resource-capital.ch
Precious Metals Report 2019 - Everything you need to know about gold, silver, platinum and palladium! - Swiss Resource Capital AG
Preface

                                                                  Dear Readers,

                                                                  Now in its third year, we are delighted to pre-     Swiss Resource Capital AG has set itself the
                                                                  sent our special report on precious metals,         task of providing commodity investors, inte-
                                                                  which follows on from our successful Battery        rested parties and those who would like to
                                                                  Metals and Uranium Reports. We now regard           become investors with up-to-date and com-
                                                                  precious metals as indispensable for our own        prehensive information on a wide variety of
                                                                  (crisis) provision. Not to be forgotten is the      commodities and mining companies. On our
                                                                  unconditional use of precious metals as a           website www.resource-capital.ch you will
                                                                  store of value and money substitute, as well        find about 20 companies and a lot of informa-
                                                                  as to protect against extremely bad times.          tion and articles about raw materials.
                                                                  Because if the global financial systems can         We would like to give you the necessary            Jochen Staiger is founder and CEO
                                                                  no longer withstand the money pressure or-          insights through our special reports and provi-    of Swiss Resource Capital AG,
                                                                  gies of the central banks and it comes to col-      de you with comprehensive information. In ad-      located in Herisau, Switzerland. As
                                                                  lapse, the one who owns gold and/or silver          dition, our two raw material IP-TV channels        chief-editor and founder of the first
                                                                  ounces is clearly at an advantage in order to       www.Commodity-TV.net & www.Rohstoff-TV.net         two resource IP-TV-channels
                                                                  be able to supply himself and his family with       are always available to you free of charge at      Commodity-TV and its German
                                                                  the most necessary food. But we do not want         any time. For on the go we recommend our           counterpart Rohstoff-TV, he reports
                                                                  to assume the worst, but physical precious          new Commodity TV App for iPhone and And-           about companies, experts, fund
                                                                  metals reassure me of the possible coming           roid which provides you with real-time charts,     managers and various themes
                                                                  distortions. The gold price unfortunately had       quotes and the latest videos.                      around the international mining
                                                                  to go through the valley of tears again in 2018,    My team and I hope you enjoy reading the           business and the correspondent
                                                                  but now it looks like a successful turnaround.      Special Report on Precious Metals and that         metals.
                                                                  At around USD 1,320 per ounce of gold, we           we can provide you with lots of new informa-

                            d R o h s t o f f - T V  get          should have found solid ground and the chart        tion, impressions and ideas. Only those who

                         an
   Commodity-TV
                                                                  technique indicates potential of around USD         inform themselves in many ways and take

                                 n e s s   it   d e s e r v es!   1,600 per ounce of gold over the next 18            their investment matters into their own hands

                         aware
                                                                  months. We look positively into the future and      will be able to win and preserve their assets in

     c o m p a n y t h e                                          take gold as a store of value and inflation pro-    these difficult times. Precious metals have
your                                                              tection. Above all, however, precious metal
                                                                  companies should be able to generate attrac-
                                                                                                                      existed for thousands of years and will conti-
                                                                                                                      nue to do so.
                                                                  tive returns again if precious metal prices
                                                                  continue to march north. Producers and pro-         Yours,
                                                                  spective precious metal producers in particu-       Jochen Staiger
                                                                  lar have an enormous leverage on the respec-
                                                                  tive metal price and are excellently suited as
                                                                  investments. In this precious metal report, we                                                         Tim Roedel is chief-editorial- and
                                                                  present some interesting companies that are                                                            chief-communications-manager at
                                                                  suitable for speculation on rising precious                                                            SRC AG. He has been active in the
                                                                  metal prices. We also want to give you the                                                             commodity sector since 2007 and
                                                                  necessary basic knowledge by means of our                                                              held several editor- and chief-
                                                                  general part, so that you can make your own                                                            editor-positions, e.g. at the
                                                                  decisions.                                                                                             publications Rohstoff-Spiegel,
                                                                  Of particular interest is the interview with pre-                                                      Rohstoff-Woche, Rohstoffraketen,
                                                                  cious metals expert Prof. Dr. Dennin, who gi-                                                          Wahrer Wohlstand and First Mover.
                                                                  ves an insight into the processes in the preci-                                                        He owns an enormous commodity
                                                                  ous metals sector and in a guest article on                                                            expertise and a wide-spread
                                                                  global debt and the increasing loss of confi-                                                          network within the whole resource
                                                                  dence in the stability of the financial system                                                         sector.
                                                                  deals with the question of why investors
                                                                  should take precious metals into account in
                                                                  their long-term asset strategy.

                                                                                                                                                                                                             9

                www.commodity-tv.net | www.rohstoff-tv.net                                             www.resource-capital.ch | info@resource-capital.ch
Precious Metals Report 2019 - Everything you need to know about gold, silver, platinum and palladium! - Swiss Resource Capital AG
Precious metals –
irreplaceable for the economy and for investors at
the same time!

               Precious metals - above all gold and silver -       Most important characteristics:                     total annual production. The former absolute      The reasons for a decline in gold
               have held a high fascination since time imme-       Appearance, corrosion resistance,                   leader in gold production until 2007, South       production are manifold
               morial. Already in the early Copper Age, when       good workability, good contact                      Africa was in sixth place in 2017 and will soon
               since about 7,000 BC people valued gold as                                                              be overtaken by Peru. Other important gold        Several factors contribute to this.
               a status symbol. While many (high) cultures         Not only in the form of jewellery or coins, but     producing nations are Mexico and Chile,
               came and went - mostly gold, silver and Co.         also in medical applications, gold scores par-      where gold is mined mainly as a by-product        First, more and more deposits are reaching
               were one of the main reasons for the respec-        ticularly highly with its yellow appearance and     from silver mines.                                the end of their lifetime. Those that are not yet
               tive decline of a society - one remained cons-      corrosion resistance. For example, in dental                                                          fully exploited must be removed more and
               tant: Precious metals! Even today, people           prosthetics, where additional precious metals                                                         more elaborately in order to obtain further
               cannot escape the fascination of precious           such as platinum are added due to the relati-       Gold production rises only margi-                 gold-bearing material. Some mines already
               metals, although the industrial benefit has in-     vely high softness of gold. In industry, gold is    nally – Gold peak reached?!                       reach depths of 4,000 meters and more. A
               creasingly come to the fore.                        used mainly in the construction of circuits as                                                        torture for man and machine at temperatures
                                                                   an additive (gold plating) to wires, printed cir-   Since the turn of the millennium, gold produc-    around 50 degrees Celsius. In addition, pro-
                                                                   cuit boards, switching contacts and connec-         tion has risen every year until 2018, but this    ducers are always having problems with tec-
               What are precious metals?                           tors.                                               has recently weakened more and more. Whe-         tonic conditions. Smaller earth tremors often
                                                                                                                       reas around 2,380 tonnes of the yellow metal      lead to burials and fatalities at such depths.
               In purely chemical terms, precious metals are                                                           were extracted from the earth worldwide in        The gold content continues to fall steadily.
               metals that are resistant to corrosion, i.e. that              [Xe] 4f145d106s1       79                2007, the figure was 2,844 tonnes in 2011         Currently, gold deposits are still exploited at

                                                                                    Au
               are permanently chemically stable in a natural                                                          and 3,207 tonnes in 2015. Since then, pro-        an average rate of more than 1 gram of gold
               environment under the influence of air and                                                              duction has risen only marginally to 3,285        per ton of rock (g/t). However, there are alrea-
               water. The group of precious metals primarily                                                           tonnes in 2016 and 3,318 tonnes in 2017.          dy indications that this mark will fall to only
               includes gold and silver, as well as the so-cal-                                                        Contrary to all forecasts, gold production        about 0.9g/t in a few years‘ time in the case of
               led platinum metals platinum, palladium, rut-                     Melting Point 1337 K                  rose again slightly in 2018 to 3,346 tonnes.      deposits that have not yet been developed.
               henium, rhodium, osmium and iridium. Mer-                         Boiling Point 3243 K                  Even though 2018 represented another re-          A third point is the (lack of) discovery of new
               cury is also a precious metal. There are also a                          GOLD                           cord year in gold production, it can be assu-     deposits. While more than a billion ounces of
               number of so-called semi-precious metals,                                                               med that the gold peak, i.e. the annual gold      gold were discovered in the 1990s, from 2000
               including copper. A third group consists of                                                             production, has reached its peak for the time     to 2014 the figure was just over 600 million
               the so-called short-lived radioactive precious                                                          being.                                            ounces. Since then, the new discoveries have
               metals, which play virtually no role in practice.   Deposits and extraction
               In the following, this report will deal exclusi-
               vely with the four most common precious me-         Gold is very rare in nature. The earth‘s crust
               tals gold, silver, platinum and palladium.          contains an average of only 4 grams of gold
                                                                   per 1,000 tons of rock. In addition, it occurs
                                                                   on earth predominantly dignified, i.e. in ele-
                                                                   mentary, metallic form. It is found in primary
               Gold: Everyone loves it,                            raw material deposits as gold-bearing rock                                                                                                                Gold reserves of the Deutsche Bundesbank

               everyone wants it!                                  (gold ore) as well as in secondary deposits,
                                                                   including soap deposits. Up to 20% of the
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             (photo: © Nils Thies, 2017, CC BY-NC-ND
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             2.0)
               Gold is a chemical element with the element         gold mined annually is extracted as by-pro-
               symbol Au and the atomic number 79. It can          duct, mainly from copper, nickel or other pre-
               be machined very well (moderate melting             cious metal mines.
               temperature) and does not corrode. Not only
               is it rare, but it is also heavy, and its yellow
               shine is resistant, which is why it is regarded
               as imperishable and is therefore used to a
                                                                   Supply situation
               large extent for jewellery or in the form of
               coins or bars to preserve its value. Gold is        The main gold mining areas are currently Chi-
               also considered easy to alloy, which makes it       na, Australia, Russia, the USA and Canada,
               very attractive as a material.                      which together account for almost half of the

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          Swiss Resource Capital AG | Poststrasse 1 | 9100 Herisau | Schweiz                                                                               www.resource-capital.ch | info@resource-capital.ch
Precious Metals Report 2019 - Everything you need to know about gold, silver, platinum and palladium! - Swiss Resource Capital AG
Conclusion: Everything depends                      and therefore have the greatest demand
                                                                                                                                                    on the investment sector                            growth potential. Geopolitical factors played
                                                                                                                                                                                                        less of a role recently, which scratched the
                                                                                                                                                    Although the technology sector in particular        image of gold as a „safe haven in bad times“.
                                                                                                                                                    is likely to generate the highest percentage        It will be exciting on the supply side. A lack of
                                                                                                                                                    growth in demand for gold in the coming ye-         replenishment in the form of high-grade new
                                                                                                                                                    ars, everything depends on the investment           discoveries as well as an increasingly cost-in-
                                                                                                                                                    sector. Assuming that the jewellery industry is     tensive supply, as more difficult mining is li-
                                                                                                                                                    likely to remain at the same level in terms of      kely not only to lead to a future supply deficit,
                         Goldprice US$/oz                                                                                                           demand as in previous years, it is precisely        but also to the necessity of a higher gold
                    (Surce: JS by amChart)                                                                                                          the inflows into gold-deposited ETFs that           price so that demand can be met at all in a
                                                                                                                                                    have recently been at a rather weak level, but      cost-covering manner.
                                                                                                                                                    which have recovered since the end of 2018

                                             again really collapsed. This is mainly due to       decades of gold sales, they have been back
                                             the fact that gold producers have concentra-        on the buying side for several years. A total of
                                             ted primarily on reducing mining prices in          23 central banks increased their gold reser-
                                             recent years due to a persistent slump in gold      ves in 2018. Russia (which has officially over-    Silver: Gold‘s „little bro-                                    [Kr] 4d105s1           47

                                                                                                                                                                                                                         Ag
                                             prices. Particular savings were made on ex-
                                             ploration, which meant that virtually no major
                                                                                                 taken China in the meantime), but also Tur-
                                                                                                 key, India, Poland, Egypt, Brazil and Kazakh-
                                                                                                                                                    ther“ is also the abso-
                                             deposits were discovered in recent years.           stan bought gold in 2018. Central banks            lute star of the industry!
                                             This means nothing other than that, as a re-        increased their gold stocks by 651.5 tonnes
                                             sult of the above points, there is a high proba-    in 2018. This was 74% more than in 2017,           Silver is a chemical element with the element
                                                                                                                                                                                                                     Melting Point 961,78° C
                                             bility that production will decline in the co-      which meant that a large amount of supply          symbol Ag and the atomic number 47 and be-                        Boiling Point 2210°C
                                             ming years.                                         was taken off the market by the central banks      longs to the so-called transition metals. It is a
                                                                                                 alone, which once again appeared on the de-        soft, easily deformable heavy metal with the
                                                                                                                                                                                                                            SILVER
                                                                                                 mand side and not on the supply side.              highest electrical conductivity of all elements
                                                                                                                                                    and the highest thermal conductivity of all
                                             Demand situation                                                                                       metals. It is precisely these properties that       2016, however, production fell by about
                                                                                                 Demand from jewellery sector and                   make it an indispensable metal for industrial       0.7%. In 2016 about 889 million ounces of sil-
                                             Central banks have long been                        investment sector stable - techno-                 applications.                                       ver were extracted from the earth‘s crust. In
                                             back on the buying side again                       logy sector growing steadily                       But silver is much more than that: unlike gold,     2017 there was even a real slump to only 852
                                                                                                                                                    it is consumed, and the sheer number of pos-        million ounces! With an annual production of
Goldsupply (blue) and -demand (gray)         The central banks are „exacerbating“ the si-        In 2018, there was demand for around 4,345         sible applications is constantly increasing         180 million ounces (about 20% of total world
(Source: own representation)                 tuation, albeit only marginally at present. After   tonnes of gold worldwide. The lion‘s share of      with technical progress. In addition to be an       production), Mexico ranks first among the
                                                                                                 this came from the jewellery sector, which         industrial metal, silver is also a precious me-     producing nations, followed by Peru and Chi-
                                                                                                 consumed 2,200 tonnes. In second place was         tal. Like gold it is in principle money and ser-    na. Together, these three countries account
                                                                                                 the investment sector, which demanded about        ves to maintain value. It can also be seen as a     for about half of global silver production.
                                                                                                 1,159 tonnes. Demand from the technology           kind of hedge against progressive inflation.
                                                                                                 sector was strong, reaching 334.6 metric tons
                                                                                                 in 2018. This showed that gold is being used                                                           Silver is above all a by-product!
                                                                                                 more and more not only in smartphones and
                                                                                                 game consoles, but also in the field of electro-   Supply situation                                    Only about 30% of the annual production co-
                                                                                                 mobility. This is a circumstance which, in view                                                        mes from pure silver mines or from mines in
                                                                                                 of the beginning electric (mobility) revolution,   Mexico, Peru and China are                          which silver is the primary raw material. The
                                                                                                 is likely to lead to continued strong growth in    leading producer nations                            vast majority (70%), on the other hand, co-
                                                                                                 demand from the technology sector in the fu-                                                           mes from mines in which silver is only a
                                                                                                 ture.                                              In 2015, global silver production reached an        by-product, i.e. mainly from zinc/lead mines,
                                                                                                                                                    all-time high of around 895 million ounces. In      but also from copper and gold mines.

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                                       Swiss Resource Capital AG | Poststrasse 1 | 9100 Herisau | Schweiz                                                                                www.resource-capital.ch | info@resource-capital.ch
Precious Metals Report 2019 - Everything you need to know about gold, silver, platinum and palladium! - Swiss Resource Capital AG
Weak base metal prices cause                        Silver companies set priorities on                   Main applications: Electronics,
                               silver production to stagnate and                   cost savings                                         Alloys, Photography, Photovol-
                               supply to fall overall                                                                                   taics
                                                                                   The development of the mine pipeline has stal-
                               This high dependency primarily on base me-          led in recent years with weak silver prices, part-   Its peak values for important properties (hig-
                               tals such as lead, zinc and copper means that       ly because the silver companies had to deal          hest electrical conductivity of all metals, high
                               weakening base metal prices and the associ-         primarily with getting their cost structure under    thermal conductivity and pronounced opti-
                               ated closure of mines or at least a reduction in    control. The high silver prices, mainly in the ye-   cal reflectivity) make silver indispensable
                               the corresponding base metal production also        ars 2010 to 2012, ensured that mines with all-in     above all in the fields of electrics, electronics
                               have a negative impact on the production of         costs of over US$ 20 per ounce were also put         and optics or photography. These sectors
                               the by-product silver. Thus, price declines -       into operation. These quickly became unprofi-        also account for a good half of the total in-
                               above all for copper, but also for lead - in        table after 2012. But instead of closing them,       dustrial demand of about 600 million oun-
                               recent years have ensured that silver produc-       the companies have been trying to reduce             ces. In addition, there are applications as
                               tion only rose marginally and has even been in      costs ever since. There was little time and even     silver alloys (with copper, zinc, tin, nickel,
                               decline since 2016. Stagnating silver produc-       less money left for elaborate exploration and        indium), which are used in electrical en-
                               tion is to be expected in the coming years, as      development programs. In the meantime, the           gineering and soldering technology as sol-                                                                     Like gold silver is in principle money
                               the output of new mines will only be able to        vast majority of companies have been able to         der alloys (so-called brazing), contact mate-       to approximately 1.042 billion ounces in 2016                     and serves to maintain value.
                               compensate for the loss of zinc/lead mines          reduce their costs to an acceptable and largely      rials (especially in relays) and conductive         and 1.018 billion ounces in 2017. The main                                (Source: AdobeStock)
                               with difficulty. From today‘s perspective, silver   profitable level.                                    materials (such as capacitor coatings). Since       reason for this was weaker demand from the
                               production is even expected to decline again                                                             2011, the photovoltaic sector has also play-        investment sector. Between 2015 and 2017,
                               from 2019 onwards, as is the overall silver                                                              ed an important role in silver demand. China,       the demand for coins and bars fell by almost
                               supply (including recycling). This is primarily     Recycling and central bank sales                     in particular, wants to significantly increase      half to 151 million ounces. This was offset by a
                               due to the expected closure of several medi-        should not contribute to an increa-                  the share of photovoltaic capacity. By 2020         slight increase in industrial demand, which
                               um-sized to large zinc/lead mines and further       se in supply                                         alone, the Middle Kingdom wants to achieve          amounted to 599 million ounces in 2017.
                               to an enormous investment backlog which                                                                  110 gigawatts of cumulative photovoltaic
                               has accumulated in recent years due to the          A further decline in the supply of silver recy-      output. This means that more and more sil-
                               weak silver price development. Correspon-           cling can also be expected. Sales by central         ver is bound in corresponding solar modules         Conclusion: Continuing supply
                               ding silver projects were put on hold and de-       banks have hardly played a role since 2011           for at least 20 years!                              deficit
                               veloped only inadequately. The consequence          and are unlikely to lead to a significant increa-
                               of this is that these projects will only be put     se in silver supply in the coming years.                                                                 The silver sector has been experiencing a sig-
                               into production after a long delay. In addition,                                                         Recent decline in physical de-                      nificant supply deficit for several years, culmi-
                               the recycling rate has been declining since                                                              mand                                                nating in over 162 million ounces in 2016! Sin-
                               2011 and in 2017 amounted to only about 138                                                                                                                  ce the year 2000, for example, there have only
Silverprice US$/oz             million ounces.                                     Demand situation                                     Physical demand for silver reached a record         been four years in which global silver pro-
(Source: JS by amChart)                                                                                                                 high of approximately 1.165 billion ounces in       ducers have generated a surplus in silver sup-
                                                                                   Silver with hermaphroditic                           2015 and dropped from an extremely high level       ply. Since 2013, a total of 380 million ounces
                                                                                   function

                                                                                   While gold is mainly used as an investment,
                                                                                   to preserve value and in the form of jewellery                                                                                                               Silversupply (blue) and
                                                                                   (only about 9% of annual demand comes                                                                                                                        Silverdemand (gray)
                                                                                   from industry), silver has a kind of hermaphro-                                                                                                              (Source: own representation)
                                                                                   ditic function. This means that about 60% of
                                                                                   the total silver demand comes from industry,
                                                                                   while the rest is mainly demanded by inves-
                                                                                   tors in the form of bars and coins as well as
                                                                                   by the jewellery industry.

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                          Swiss Resource Capital AG | Poststrasse 1 | 9100 Herisau | Schweiz                                                                                 www.resource-capital.ch | info@resource-capital.ch
Precious Metals Report 2019 - Everything you need to know about gold, silver, platinum and palladium! - Swiss Resource Capital AG
more silver has been in demand than could be
          produced. All in all, global silver demand is ex-
                                                               producers have concentrated in recent years
                                                               primarily on reducing mining prices due to a
                                                                                                                  Supply situation
          pected to rise again in the coming years. In         sustained slump in silver prices. Particular sa-
          addition to expected rising ETF inflows and          vings were made on exploration, which meant        South Africa, Zimbabwe,
          further physical demand, the Asian jewellery         that virtually no major deposits were discover-    the USA and Russia are the
          industry and several industrial sectors such as      ed in recent years. Price weaknesses in several    leading producer nations.
          photovoltaics, touchscreens and displays in          base metals also caused the development of
          particular are expected to see some drastic in-      mines producing silver as a by-product to be       Only the South African Bushveld Complex,
          creases in demand. On the supply side, the           postponed for the time being.                      the Great Dyke Complex in Zimbabwe and
          same applies as for gold: most primary silver                                                           the Stillwater Complex in Montana as well as
                                                                                                                  Russia have extensive and significant pri-
                                                                                                                  mary platinum mining. Over 70% of the wor-
                                                                                                                  ld‘s platinum mined in 2017 came from South
                                                                                                                  African mines. Russia followed with about                                                             Platinum price US$/oz
          Platinum: irreplaceable                              Almost infinite possibilities of use               12%, Zimbabwe with 8% and North America                                                              (Source: JS by amChart)

          in the industry, mysteri-                                                                               with 6%. Overall, platinum mining is a relati-    Demand situation
                                                               Platinum finds its way into a whole range of       vely small sector with only about 6.1 million
          ous for many investors!                              different applications. By far the most com-       ounces produced per year.                         Platinum has a hybrid function
                                                               mon use of platinum is in the automotive in-
          Platinum is considered by investors to be an         dustry, where it is used in the form of auto-                                                        Like silver, platinum has a kind of hybrid func-
          absolute rarity and at the same time extre-          motive catalysts. In addition to the classic       High recycling rate                               tion. This means that about two thirds of total
          mely mysterious. Platinum is a chemical ele-         diesel oxidation catalysts, platinum is also                                                         platinum demand come from industry, while
          ment with the element symbol Pt and the              finding increasing use in catalysts in fuel        Although a certain amount of gold and silver      the rest comes mainly from the jewellery in-
          atomic number 78.                                    cells, which could be an enormous demand           is recycled back into the cycle, platinum is      dustry and from investors in the form of bars
                                                               driver in the future. The second major field of    recycled to a very high percentage. In 2017,      and coins.
                                                               application in industry is the chemical sector.    about 1.89 million ounces were recovered
                     [Xe] 4f145d96s1        78                 Platinum is also used in alloys, for glass pro-    from recycling. Recycling thus accounted for

                             Pt
                                                               duction (crucibles), in electrical resistors and   23.5% of the total platinum supply of the         Main customers: automotive
                                                               for medical applications and apparatus.            year.                                             industry and jewellery production
                                                               Another large field of application is the jewel-
                                                               lery industry, where platinum is often alloyed                                                       Expressed in figures, it is the automotive sec-
                        Melting Point 1768° C                  with other metals, mainly gold. The fourth         Offer stagnates                                   tor that has the highest demand for platinum
                        Boiling Point 3827°C                   major area is the investment sector.                                                                 in 2018. 3.11 million ounces were mainly used
                            PLATINUM                                                                              Overall, the global platinum supply has stag-     for catalyst construction. In second place
                                                                                                                  nated in recent years. While in 2013 about        was the jewellery industry, which demanded
                                                               Deposits and extraction                            7.8 million ounces of platinum were available     2.40 million ounces of supply (including recy-
                                                                                                                  (of which about 5.8 million ounces from mi-       cling). This was followed by demand from the
          Main properties: Forgeable,                          Platinum comes in a dignified form, i.e. in        ning and nearly 2 million ounces from recy-       rest of the industry with 1.83 million ounces.
          ductile, corrosion resistant                         elementary form in nature. Metallic platinum       cling), in 2018 about 8 million ounces of pla-    The investment sector collapsed from
                                                               (platinum soaps) is practically no longer          tinum reached the free market (mining: 6.1        265,000 ounces in 2017 to only 125,000 oun-
          It has an extremely high density and is at the       mined today. Although a large part of the pla-     million ounces, recycling: 1.9 million ounces).   ces in 2018.
          same time very easy to forge and stretch. Its        tinum mined in a few places comes from pri-        An increase in platinum production, on the
          grey-white colour has always fascinated              mary deposits, production as a by-product in       other hand, is not in sight, as in South Africa
          people, probably also because platinum has           the production of non-ferrous metals (copper       in particular platinum extraction is becoming     Hydrogen storage technologies as
          a remarkable resistance to corrosion and th-         and nickel) is becoming increasingly import-       ever deeper and therefore more expensive.         future demand drivers
          erefore does not tarnish. Due to its high dura-      ant. There the platinum group metals are pro-
          bility, tarnish resistance and rarity, platinum is   duced as a by-product of nickel refining.                                                            Innovative hydrogen storage technologies are
          particularly suitable for the production of                                                                                                               already being researched in South Africa. Po-
          high-quality jewellery.                                                                                                                                   wer generation with platinum catalysts is the

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     Swiss Resource Capital AG | Poststrasse 1 | 9100 Herisau | Schweiz                                                                               www.resource-capital.ch | info@resource-capital.ch
Precious Metals Report 2019 - Everything you need to know about gold, silver, platinum and palladium! - Swiss Resource Capital AG
big issue here. Low-cost hydrogen storage               i.e. in the form of bars and coins for inves-                                                               hydrogen and for cracking hydrocarbons. By
                                    systems for fuel cell vehicles and portable ap-         tment purposes, is highly volatile, but is
                                                                                                                                                     Palladium: not just a                              far the most important application for palladi-
                                    plications are still dreams of the future, but          declining overall. By 2013, 935,000 oun-                 platinum substitute!                               um is thus in the field of catalytic converters
                                    China alone plans to produce two million hy-            ces were in demand for investment purpo-                                                                    for gasoline engines. About 83% of the palla-
                                    drogen fuel cell vehicles by 2030. Germany              ses. By 2014 it was only 150,000 ounces,                 Palladium is primarily a chemical element          dium demanded in 2017 was needed for the
                                    has just commissioned the world‘s first hydro-          by 2015 305,000 ounces, by 2016 535,000                  with the element symbol Pd and the atomic          construction of catalytic converters. Palladi-
                                    gen fuel cell train. A large platinum company is        ounces, by 2017 265,000 ounces and by                    number 46. Many experts regard it as a subs-       um is also frequently used for alloys in jewel-
                                    already investing together with Shell Techno-           2018 only 125,000 ounces.                                titute for platinum in several applications,       lery, especially in combination with gold, from
                                    logy in the development of hydrogen com-               Fourth, while there was still a supply defi-             mainly in the production of catalysts, because     which so-called white gold is produced. Palla-
                                    pression technology. As the name suggests,              cit of almost 400,000 ounces by 2016, in-                it is very similar to platinum in chemical beha-   dium removes the golden-yellow colour from
                                    these so-called platinum electric vehicles              cluding recycling, this turned into a supply             vior.                                              the entire alloy. Palladium is also used as an
                                    need platinum as the basic raw material.                surplus of 285,000 ounces in 2017. In                                                                       electrode material for fuel cells and as a cont-
                                                                                            2018, 505,000 ounces more platinum                                                                          act material for relays.
                                                                                            were offered than was in demand. The                                [Kr] 4d105s0          46

                                                                                                                                                                      Pd
                                    Industry demand increases,                              pure platinum production of 6.065 million
                                    jewellery demand decreases,                             ounces in 2018 cannot keep up with the                                                                      Deposits and extraction
                                    investment demand collapses –                           demand of 7.47 million ounces.
                                    current supply surplus                                                                                                                                              Metallic palladium and palladium-containing
                                                                                                                                                                   Melting Point 1828 K                 alloys are found mainly in river sediments as
                                    Four things are particularly striking in the pla-                                                                              Boiling Point 3233 K                 geological soaps but are largely exploited.
                                    tinum sector.                                                                                                                     PALLADIUM                         Most of it is now extracted as a by-product
                                                                                                                                                                                                        from nickel and copper mines.
                                       First: Demand from industry is increasing
                                        more and more. While demand from the
                                        automotive and industrial sectors was still                                                                  Most important characteristics:
                                        at 4.655 million ounces in 2013, this figure                                                                 Low melting point, reactive, ab-                   Supply situation
                                        rose to 4.94 million ounces by 2018.                                                                         sorbent
                                       Secondly, the trend in the jewellery sector,                                                                                                                    South Africa and Russia dominate
                                        on the other hand, is contrary. In 2013,                                                                     Palladium has the lowest melting point among       palladium production
                                        2.945 million ounces of platinum were still                                                                  platinum metals and is also the most reactive.
                                        in demand from jewellery manufacturers.                                   Platin nugget (Source: PicClick)   At room temperature it does not react with         In recent years, South Africa and Russia have
Platinum supply (blue) and              By 2018, however, it was only 2.405 milli-                                                                   oxygen. It retains its metallic shine in the air   emerged as the clearly dominant palladium pro-      Palladium supply (blue) and
Platinum demand (gray)                  on ounces.                                      Conclusion: the key lies in recy-                            and does not tarnish, which makes it interes-      ducing nations. In 2018, Russia contributed           Palladium demand (gray)
(Source: own representation)           Third: Demand from the investment sector,       cling, investment demand and car                             ting for the jewelry sector and to a lesser ex-    41.3% of total production. South Africa followed   (Source: own representation)
                                                                                        manufacturers                                                tent for the investment sector. The low melting
                                                                                                                                                     point makes it easier to process than plati-
                                                                                        The demand for platinum can therefore only                   num. Palladium also has the highest absorpti-
                                                                                        be met because of the very large share of pla-               on capacity of all elements for hydrogen. At
                                                                                        tinum recycling in the total supply. The recy-               room temperature it can bind up to 3,000
                                                                                        cling rate has recently risen again slightly and             times its own volume.
                                                                                        could accelerate again in view of the millions
                                                                                        of diesel vehicles that have been scrapped. If
                                                                                        the fuel cell becomes established in automo-                 Most important applications:
                                                                                        tive engineering alongside the purely electric               Exhaust catalysts, alloys, electro-
                                                                                        car, an increase in demand can be expected                   de materials
                                                                                        from there. Much also stands and falls with
                                                                                        the investment sector, which should return to                Finely dispersed, palladium is an excellent ca-
                                                                                        its former strength. The supply surplus is not               talyst for accelerating chemical reactions,
                                                                                        expected to end until 2020 at the earliest.                  especially for the addition and elimination of

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