PRIME LIVING IN SINGAPORE'S DOWNTOWN - INSIGHT PAPER SEPTEMBER 2021 - Edmund Tie
←
→
Page content transcription
If your browser does not render page correctly, please read the page content below
Introduction Over the past few decades, the Central Business District (CBD), which comprises mainly Raffles Place, Shenton Way, and Tanjong Pagar, has served as a bastion of commercial activities and anchored Singapore’s transformation from a third-world country to a first- world country. The traditional business district typically comprised commercial buildings with some ancillary retail uses. Downtown living was largely unheard of until 2002, when the government launched the site for The Sail @ Marina Bay, which became the first major residential development in the Marina Bay area. While the CBD has witnessed a growing trend towards downtown living, recent developments appear to have put a brake to the momentum of the trend. Decentralisation of commercial activities is increasingly commonplace and the pandemic has helped entrench work-from-home practices as part of a new hybrid work model. EDMUND TIE RESEARCH 1
Overview In this paper, we examine the evolution The combination of other real estate and prospects for downtown living, which uses such as commercial, retail, F&B broadly comprises Districts 1, 2, and 7. A and hospitality in the form of mixed- decade ago, the key notable projects in use developments have injected greater the downtown were Emerald Garden, vibrancy and convenience into the Icon Residence, The Sail @ Marina downtown and broadened the scope Bay, Marina Bay Residences, The Clift, of living for the residents. By the end of and One Shenton (2011). Over the last 2020, there were 11,745 residential units decade, new notable mixed-use projects in the downtown, which represents a completed in the CBD include Lumiere, growth of 40% from the stock about five Marina Bay Suites, V on Shenton, Marina years ago. Comparatively, the traditional One Residences, and Wallich Residence. prime areas i.e. Districts 9, 10, and 11, In the Beach Road area, there have been saw a significantly more muted growth of new projects like South Beach Residences 3% over the past five years. and DUO Residences. The combination of other real estate uses such as commercial, retail, F&B and hospitality in the form of mixed-use developments have injected greater vibrancy and convenience into the downtown and broadened the scope of living for the residents. Selected downtown projects with other real estate uses Project Year of completion No. of units Other uses within development Emerald Garden 1998 265 Retail Icon Residence 2007 646 Retail The Sail @ Marina Bay 2008 1,111 Office, retail Marina Bay Residences 2010 428 Office, retail One Shenton 2011 341 Retail The Clift 2011 312 Retail Lumiere 2012 168 Retail Marina Bay Suites 2014 221 Office, retail South Beach Residences 2016 190 Hotel, office, retail V on Shenton 2017 510 Office Duo Residences 2017 660 Hotel, office, retail Marina One Residences 2017 1,042 Office, retail Wallich Residence 2018 181 Hotel, office, retail Source: Various sources EDMUND TIE RESEARCH 2
Master Plan intention for Singapore’s downtown In the past, much like Manhattan of New York City and the financial district of London, Singapore’s downtown was a bustling work district plied by masses of office workers in the day. In the evenings and over the weekends, most signs of activities would recede, leaving behind a ghost town of towering office developments stripped of their daytime bustle. Market forces, which often attract office uses as the sole highest and best use of the central areas of cities, tend to result in a homogenous district with few other uses that could meaningfully attract transient population outside working hours, or retain a live-in population. EDMUND TIE RESEARCH 3
With rising priority, the Urban Acknowledging the importance of Redevelopment Authority’s (URA) planning connectivity in activating an area, intent for Singapore’s downtown is for it to the government has factored such become more than just an area populated considerations into the long-term concept by office towers and transient population. plan for the downtown. New MRT lines URA envisions the downtown as an area have been planned or implemented to of mixed uses, such as retail, F&B, and serve the downtown area, namely the residential, which houses a substantial Downtown Line, Circle Line, and Thomson- live-in population for a more optimised East Coast Line. These additional MRT lines use of land throughout the week. One that span the island fairly comprehensively planning strategy that URA has undertaken are meant to support the existing rail lines in achieving this vision is through zoning that historically serve the downtown area, multiple land parcels in the downtown namely the North South Line and East as White sites for future mixed-use West Line. The improved rail network developments, which are developments substantially enhances connectivity, that comprise two or more different uses thereby increasing convenience for e.g. residential with retail or residential, people travelling to and from downtown office and retail, or even office, retail, hotel for recreational and visiting purposes and residential. These uses complement and in addition to work. This contributes to synergise one another, and when integrated growing attractiveness of the downtown with or located in close proximity to an as a location for residences. Mass Rapid Transit (MRT) station, will result in developments that are more convenient, sustainable, and vibrant for users. EDMUND TIE RESEARCH 4
As part of the Master Plan 2019, URA has The Master Plan also reviewed the also released a set of CBD rejuvenation planning intent for the downtown on a schemes that seek to renew Singapore’s precinct level, which will be realised in downtown and transform it into a dynamic stages as and when new developments 24/7 downtown and global financial hub. or redevelopments occur. For example, The CBD Incentive Scheme, for example, it is envisaged that the Cecil and Anson allows for development intensification and precincts will be transformed from an a wider range of permissible land uses such older precinct of predominantly office as residential and hotel for older (at least developments to dynamic and lively urban 20 years) offices located in the downtown. neighbourhoods with a wide variety Such schemes have already resulted in the of mixed uses. Cecil is envisioned as a announcement of redevelopment plans, precinct that houses retail arcades that such as AXA Tower and Fuji Xerox Towers. provide shortcuts through buildings, abuzz with convenient amenities, adding an element of surprise and delight, not unlike what we see in other commercial centres like Sydney. The plans for Anson precinct revolve mainly around the improvement of connectivity and the public realm through the injection of courtyards and pockets of open space that will serve as outdoor ‘living rooms’ for both the working and residential communities of the area. EDMUND TIE RESEARCH 5
Other upcoming developments in the CBD include Central Boulevard Towers just across the Lau Pa Sat market. In addition, URA has zoned multiple sites in the downtown area as White sites for mixed uses, with the most recent launch being the Marina View White site just across the UIC building. If awarded the downtown could see a new mixed-use development potentially housing 905 residential units, 540 hotel rooms, and up to 2,000 sqm of retail space, further strengthening the presence of mixed-use developments downtown. Government intention aside, market forces will continue to play a key role in determining the uses that eventually occur in the downtown area. In times when residential prices are holding strong and providing margins above that from developing offices, developers might be more inclined to consider the development of new residential or mixed-use developments downtown. EDMUND TIE RESEARCH 6
Benefits of downtown living There are some notable differences between the residential housing in the downtown compared to the traditional prime areas. For one, the downtown developments tend to be larger scale mixed-use developments that are integrated with the various MRT stations. These integrated developments also tend to provide seamless integration of shared spaces, amenities, and services within the development. South Beach Residences Connecting entrance to Esplanade MRT station EDMUND TIE RESEARCH 7
Additionally, the majority of residential options downtown are completed more recently and relatively younger than those in the traditional prime areas. New developments will offer the latest in- home design, layouts, and smart home technology. For example, One Bernam offers a Smart Gateway that connects and controls smart devices in your home from one wireless hub, while push notifications allow alerts to be received the moment these devices sense irregularities at home. At Marina One Residences, residents can experience MySphere, which is a unified mobile platform launched by M+S that offers integrated smart live-work-play management system that seamlessly combines smart controls, community Marina One Residences management, and lifestyle offerings. MySphere app EDMUND TIE RESEARCH 8
The ease of connectivity and convenience meant homeowners would likely be spending less time within the home and as a result, residential units in downtown are relatively smaller compared to those in the traditional prime areas. The smaller homes do reflect the lifestyle choices of residents and their family structure as well. For reference, the median size of downtown homes sold in Districts 1, 2, and 7 in 2020 was 700 sqft, about 35% smaller than the 1,076 sqft homes in the traditional prime areas. Lifestyle wise, there are numerous amenities for live, work, and play, all within close proximity. There are already established food precincts along Tanjong Pagar Road and streets like Liang Seah Street, Purvis Street and Tan Quee Lan Street. There are several retail havens in the form of One Raffles Place, By the Bay, The Heart in the Marina Bay precinct as well as other larger retail malls like Suntec City and Bugis Junction in the Beach Road precinct. With Lau Pa Sat easy access to practically all essential amenities, there is no need for private transportation, this would appeal to the environmentally conscious. The downtown area also offers an element of exclusivity and privacy. The transient working population and the low concentration of families with young children mean that a tranquil environment can be expected from living downtown. Recreational options are aplenty with Gardens by the Bay and the Marina Barrage, which are popular and scenic locations for cycling and kite flying. There are numerous gyms and yoga studios in the vicinity offering classes for the health conscious. There are also numerous luxury hotels around the downtown for residents looking to go on a staycation. Marina Barrage EDMUND TIE RESEARCH 9
The downtown area is also home to buildings of different eras and styles. There are buildings of the neoclassical style like Victoria Theatre and Concert Hall, Fullerton Hotel, and CHIJMES, the Art Deco style like Cathay Building and Ascott Raffles Place (former Asia Insurance Building), the Brutalist style like OCBC Centre and Singapore Land Tower, and more futuristic architecture that is embodied by buildings such as the Esplanade and Marina Bay Sands Integrated Resort. Downtown residents also enjoy proximity to Singapore’s historic and ethnic districts e.g. Boat Quay, Chinatown, and Kampung Glam. The area is scattered with numerous museums and theatres too such as the ArtScience Museum, Asian Civilisations Museum, National Museum, Red Dot Design Museum, National Gallery, Esplanade and Marina Bay Sands Theatre. Many of them are Chinatown found in the Civic District of Singapore. Gardens by the Bay & Marina Bay Sands EDMUND TIE RESEARCH 10
Resident and ownership demographics Due to the wide range of lifestyle options offered by common, as are singles. In fact, singles form almost 40% of downtown living, the demographics of downtown residents the residents in the Downtown Core planning area. While are quite unique. Almost half of downtown residents are there are childcare centres in the downtown, there is a lack in their 20s and 30s, as compared to about a quarter of of primary and secondary schools, which could explain the residents in traditional prime areas. Small families are low proportion of families. Breakdown of residents by age groups Age of residents 16.4%
Available ownership data suggests a higher proportion On foreign demand, over the last three years i.e. 2018 of Housing Development Board (HDB) upgraders and to 2020, the share of foreigner purchase is consistently foreigners purchasing properties in the downtown higher in the downtown. This can be attributed to the relative to the traditional prime areas. One reason for higher familiarity of foreigners with iconic attractions like interest from HDB upgraders could be that the units Singapore Flyer, Marina Bay Sands, and the neighbouring downtown are more affordable due to the smaller locality. In terms of the key nationalities, the Chinese unit sizing. This is supported by the median prices of and Americans are the key foreign buyers scooping up transacted units in 2020, which showed a median price of properties in downtown. The Malaysians and Indonesians $1.5 mn for units in the downtown compared to $2.1 mn are also active buyers in the downtown. for units in the traditional prime areas. The downtown will likely continue to attract the well- Although most property purchases are likely to be heeled younger population who seek the convenience for investments, there is a growing trend of owners and thrills of living in downtown. The draw for foreigners purchasing such properties for own stay, and they could will also remain, especially those from cities with be young professionals looking for a home offering easy sizeable residential communities in the business districts, access to their workplaces in town. Retirees looking and those who believe in the growth potential of the to downsize from their current larger units could downtown property market in Singapore. Anecdotally, we form another potential buyer group, in particular for also see foreigners purchasing properties for their young developments that provide easy access to healthcare children who work in the CBD. services and other amenities. Share of foreigner purchases Traditional prime areas 25% 2018 14% New prime areas 23% 2019 14% 13% 2020 10% Source: URA EDMUND TIE RESEARCH 12
Conclusion Looking ahead, we can expect downtown living to Over the next 3-5 years, we are positive on the growth develop with increasing convenience and vibrancy, and outlook in the Tanjong Pagar and Bugis/ Beach Road we are sanguine on how mixed-use developments can precincts, especially for mixed-use developments that enrich the quality of a holistic living experience in the are integrated with the transport node. Tanjong Pagar is new normal. Complementary real estate uses can greatly already an area of bustling daytime activities and vibrant synergise one another, and when integrated with or nightlife. The upcoming and potential redevelopment located in close proximity to a Mass Rapid Transit (MRT) of AXA Tower and International Plaza respectively could station, will result in spaces that are more convenient, increase the residential population and further add spark sustainable, and vibrant for users. Already, mixed-use to this vivacious hub. Similarly, the cultural Bugis precinct developments such as the MBFC and Marina One have can expect a new injection of life in the near term, arising brought alive the Marina Bay while the development of from the upcoming Guoco Midtown and The M projects, Guoco Tower and Wallich Residence have accelerated both mixed-use developments that are integrated with or the gentrification effects in the Tanjong Pagar area, in in close proximity to the Bugis MRT station. addition to the other live-in population in the area. EDMUND TIE RESEARCH 13
Over the next 5 to 10 years, we can expect the introduction of modern Backed by growing demand for mixed-use developments and the rejuvenation of ageing pure-office districts downtown living and ongoing to contribute to the convenience and excitement of downtown living. The government efforts to bring about a downtown can also look forward to synergistic growth through the integration wider variety of real estate uses in with the development of the adjacent Greater Southern Waterfront (GSW) and around the downtown, prime that extends from Pasir Panjang to Marina East. GSW will be developed into living in Singapore’s downtown is a new major gateway for sustainable suburban living and the land uses there, poised to become a lifestyle that is such as schools, will serve the downtown population and further enhance the desired by many. attractiveness of downtown living. EDMUND TIE RESEARCH 14
CONTACTS Desmond Sim Chief Executive Officer +65 6393 2366 desmond.sim@etcsea.com PROFESSIONAL SERVICES Valuation Advisory Property Tax Advisory & Hospitality Property Management Poh Kwee Eng Statutory Valuation Kwok Sai Kuai Kwok Sai Kuai Executive Director Ng Poh Chue Executive Director Executive Director Regional Head of Executive Director +65 6417 9229 Regional Head of Valuation Advisory +65 6393 2515 saikuai.kwok@etcsea.com Property Management +65 6393 2312 pohchue.ng@etcsea.com +65 6417 9229 kweeeng.poh@etcsea.com Tay Hock Soon saikuai.kwok@etcsea.com Senior Director Nicholas Cheng Research & Consulting +65 6887 0088 Paul Wong Executive Director tayhs@treetops.com.sg Senior Director +65 6393 2317 Lam Chern Woon +65 6417 9225 nicholas.cheng@etcsea.com Senior Director paul.wong@etcsea.com +65 6393 2340 chernwoon.lam@etcsea.com AGENCY SERVICES REGIONAL OFFICES Investment Advisory Business Space & Retail Malaysia Poh Kwee Eng Swee Shou Fern Chua Wei Lin Eddy Wong Executive Director Executive Director Executive Director Managing Director +65 6393 2312 Singapore & Cross-border Regional Head of +603 2024 6380 kweeeng.poh@etcsea.com Investment Advisory Business Space eddy.wong@ntl.my +65 6393 2523 +65 6393 2326 shoufern.swee@etcsea.com weilin.chua@etcsea.com Thailand Christopher Ng Auction & Sales Residential China Desk Chief Operating Officer Chua Wei Lin Margaret Thean Desmond Sim EDMUND TIE Group Executive Director Executive Director Chief Executive Officer +65 6393 2376 +65 6393 2326 Regional Head of Residential +65 6393 2366 christopher.ng@etcsea.com weilin.chua@etcsea.com +65 6393 2383 desmond.sim@etcsea.com Punnee Sritanyalucksana margaret.thean@etcsea.com Joy Tan Chief Operating Officer Senior Director Karen Ong EDMUND TIE Thailand +65 6393 2505 Executive Director +66 2257 0499 ext 101 joy.tan@etcsea.com +65 6393 2366 punnee.s@etcthailand.co.th karen.ong@etcsea.com Authors: Lam Chern Woon Alphonso Lim Senior Director Assistant Manager Research & Consulting Research & Consulting +65 6393 2340 +65 6393 2341 chernwoon.lam@etcsea.com alphonso.lim@etcsea.com For more information, please contact us at research.sg@etcsea.com. Disclaimer: The information contained in this document and all accompanying presentations (the “Materials”) are approximates only, is subject to change without prior notice, and is provided solely for general information purposes only. While all reasonable skill and care has been taken in the production of the Materials, EDMUND TIE (the “Company”) make no representations or warranties, express or implied, regarding the completeness, accuracy, correctness, reliability, suitability, or availability of the Materials, and the Company is under no obligation to subsequently correct it. You should not rely on the Materials as a basis for making any legal, business, or any other decisions. Where you rely on the Materials, you do so at your own risk and shall hold the Company, its employees, subsidiaries, related corporations, associates, and affiliates harmless to you to and any third parties to the fullest extent permitted by law for any losses, damages, or harm arising directly or indirectly from your reliance on the Materials, including any liability arising out of or in connection with any fault or negligence. Any disclosure, use, copying, dissemination, or circulation of the Materials is strictly prohibited, unless you have obtained prior consent from the Company, and have credited the Company for the Materials. © EDMUND TIE 2021 Edmund Tie & Company (SEA) Pte Ltd We are now on 5 Shenton Way, #13-05 UIC Building, Singapore 068808. Scan the QR code with T. +65 6293 3228 | F. +65 6298 9328 | mail.sg@etcsea.com | Please visit www.etcsea.com and follow us on WeChat app to visit our WeChat account.
You can also read