PROPERTY MALL OF AFRICA: A PIPE DREAM BECOMES REALITY - Issue 5 - April 2015 - Moneyweb

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PROPERTY MALL OF AFRICA: A PIPE DREAM BECOMES REALITY - Issue 5 - April 2015 - Moneyweb
PROPERTY            Issue 5 - April 2015

MALL OF
AFRICA:
A PIPE DREAM
BECOMES
REALITY

               ONLINE SHOPPING:
                      THREAT OR
OPPORTUNITY       OPPORTUNITY?
BECKONS FOR
RETAILERS IN   LISTED PROPERTY: HOW
AFRICA            LONG CAN THE BULL
                  MARKET CONTINUE?
PROPERTY MALL OF AFRICA: A PIPE DREAM BECOMES REALITY - Issue 5 - April 2015 - Moneyweb
CONTENTS
                                                                              EDITOR
                                                                              Ryk van Niekerk
                                                                              ryk@moneyweb.co.za

                                                                              PUBLISHER
                                                                              Marc Ashton
4.    EDITOR’S NOTE                                                           marc@moneyweb.co.za

                                                                              PRODUCTION EDITOR
5.    SA’S BRICK & MORTAR RETAILERS SAFE, FOR NOW                             Eleanor Seggie
      CONSUMERS BROWSE ONLINE BUT STILL PREFER TO BUY IN-STORE.               Eleanors@moneyweb.co.za

                                                                              SALES
8.    AFRICA RETAIL IS A GOOD BET
                                                                              Tracy Parsons
      SATURATION OF THE SA MARKET DRIVING CAPITAL ACROSS THE CONTINENT.       tracyp@moneyweb.co.za

10.   MALL OF AFRICA TAKES SHAPE                                              LAYOUT AND DESIGN
                                                                              Alexis Green
      STRONG OFFICE DEVELOPMENTS AT WATERFALL CITY SET TO SUPPORT THE MALL.
                                                                              alexis@moneyweb.co.za

14.   HOW DOES LISTED PROPERTY KEEP ON RUNNING?                               PHOTOGRAPHER
                                                                              Desiree Swart
      DESPITE THE SLUGGISH ECONOMY.
                                                                              desirees@moneyweb.co.za

16.   INVESTMENT CASE: TOWNSHIP AND RURAL SHOPPING CENTRES                    CONTRIBUTORS
      OPPORTUNITIES FOR LARGE-SCALE CENTRES ARE DRYING UP.
                                                                              Ray Mahlaka
                                                                              ray@moneyweb.co.za
18.   WHEN IS PAYMENT MADE TO SARS?
      TO MEET DEADLINE.                                                       Jessica Hubbard
                                                                              jessica@deathcardmedia.co.za

                                                                              Patrick Cairns
                                                                              patrickcairnsmail@gmail.com

                                                                                      APRIL 2015 – PROPERTY MOGUL ISSUE 5 3
PROPERTY MALL OF AFRICA: A PIPE DREAM BECOMES REALITY - Issue 5 - April 2015 - Moneyweb
EDITOR’S NOTE

                                       FROM
                                       NEWBIE TO
                                       MUST-READ

                                       D
                                                   uring the past few months Property Mogul has grown from an innovative
                                                   newbie in the property news domain, to a must-read for all related to this
                                                   exciting sector.
                                                       When Moneyweb published the first edition in September last year,
                                       with generous support from Redefine, our focus was education.
                                          The scope has since then expanded to also include in-depth articles of news events/
                                       trends in the industry.
                                          The response has exceeded all our expectations.
                                          More than 8 500 individuals read the previous edition. Over 80% were from South
                                       Africa and readers spent on average more than 11 minutes reading the publication.
                                          This is a pretty good audience for a very niche product in the digital world.
                                          We are now confident that Property Mogul has made its mark in the industry
                                       and Moneyweb will now increase editorial investment to improve the content and
                                       distribution even further.
                                          There is however a big debate in the Moneyweb newsroom regarding the format
                                       of Mogul. Some love the Joomag format, while others prefer a more rudimentary PDF
                                       version.
                                          As such we are running an experiment this month and will publish our magazine
                                       in both formats. Both formats have their distinct advantages, and of course negatives.
                                       Please look at both and let me know what you prefer.
                                          There are several excellent, mainly retail-focused articles in this edition. Especially
                                       worth noting is Ray Mahlaka’s visit to Waterfall City in Midrand, which is probably
                                       the biggest construction yard in South Africa today. Once completed, it may become
                                       the new Sandton as the dreadful traffic problem in South Africa’s financial capital
                                       drives businesses elsewhere.

                                       Please take the time to send your comments and suggestions to me.
                                       My email address ryk@moneyweb.co.za.

                                       Regards
                                       Ryk van Niekerk
                                       Editor

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                                                                    ith data costs tumbling and smartphone                  However, according to PwC’s Total Retail 2015 report, 81%

SA’S BRICK &
                                                                    adoption increasing, South Africa is seeing          of SA’s online shoppers (and 70% globally) still prefer to do
                                                                    more people purchasing products online               their regular shopping in-store. The top reasons cited by survey
                                                                    for the first time than almost any other             respondents were” to experience merchandise, confirm fit and
                                                                   developing market.                                    immediate ownership.”

MORTAR RETAILERS
                                                    Yet unlike the trend in both the US and Europe, fast-growing            “Even in categories where consumers predominantly buy
                                                 online shopping isn’t translating into reduced footfall in physical     online, some consumers still research online and buy in-store
                                                 retail stores. “At the moment, there’s no evidence of any impact        – 58% for consumer electronics and 29% for books in South
                                                 on actual space in the malls in SA – at least, nothing visible,”        Africa (25% and 13% globally),” the report noted.

SAFE, FOR NOW
                                                 says independent retail analyst Syd Vianello.
                                                    Peter Hoijtink, PwC associate director and retail specialist,
                                                 similarly points to the fact that between 2009 and 2014 visits
                                                                                                                         ONLINE DRIVING OFFLINE SALES
                                                 to physical retail stores in the US almost halved. “The impact
                                                                                                                            Interestingly, some traditional retailers are finding that instead
                                                 of online shopping on the amount of square metres in malls
                                                                                                                         of being a cannibalising force, an attractive online platform can
                                                 is quite significant in other countries, such as the US, where
                                                                                                                         be a powerful complement to physical stores.
                                                 the landscape is changing quite rapidly. Locally, there is no real
CONSUMERS BROWSE ONLINE BUT STILL                impact being seen yet,” he explains.
                                                    There are several explanations, but chiefly the fact that local
                                                                                                                            The Mr Price Group, whose core market comprises
                                                                                                                         16-24-year-olds, launched its online platform in 2012. It told

PREFER TO BUY IN-STORE.
                                                                                                                         PwC analysts that it “is seeing online traffic significantly driving
                                                 online retail is still in its infancy. While the sector will be worth
                                                                                                                         offline sales”, and has enjoyed a “big growth in market share
                                                 an estimated R9.5 billion in 2018, online retail currently counts
                                                                                                                         since launching our online store”. It also noted that the younger
                                                 for less than 1% of SA’s total retail revenue. This is according to
                                                                                                                         generation browses and the older generations transact.
                            BY JESSICA HUBBARD   PwC’s retail and consumer leader, John Wilkinson, who recently
                                                                                                                            The number of online “browsers” who will mature into
                                                 presented the findings of PwC’s annual consumer survey, Total
                                                                                                                         paying customers will undoubtedly rise exponentially in coming
                                                 Retail: Retailers and the Age of Disruption.
                                                                                                                         years – a shift which will probably require traditional retailers to
                                                    Another important factor is the country’s “embedded mall
                                                                                                                         rethink their approach.
                                                 culture,” says Nic Robertson, head of new business development
                                                                                                                            “With South Africa’s population being so young, the
                                                 at Efinity - an e-commerce fulfilment service provider.
                                                                                                                         adoption of a more socially connected, digital retailing space
                                                    “We have 33 (2 000 square metres plus) malls per one million
                                                                                                                         – where not only a product is sold but the customer receives a
                                                 people in South Africa, which is one of the highest densities
                                                                                                                         memorable experience – is imperative for any retailer looking to
                                                 in the world. However, the number of consumers who are
                                                                                                                         maintain or gain competitive advantage over its competitors,”
                                                 beginning their purchasing journey online or via a cellphone
                                                                                                                         says Hoijtink. ■
                                                 is increasing. As an example, between OLX (classifieds) and
                                                 PriceCheck (price comparison), one is seeing more than
                                                 5 million visitors a month to their sites,” he says.

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S
                                                                 outh Africa’s retail sector is 40                                                     in Nigeria which do not exceed 14 000

AFRICA RETAIL IS A
                                                                 times the size of all the retail                                                      square metres. Its Owerri Mall and Delta
                                                                 available in sub-Saharan Africa                                                       Mall in Imo State are expected to open in
                                                                 combined, so it is not surprising                                                     April and October, respectively. The Benin
                                                        that many industry players have been                                                           City Mall and Asaba Mall are expected to

GOOD BET
                                                        investigating lucrative opportunities                                                          be completed in 2016.
                                                        north of Limpopo over the last five years.                                                         Resilient Africa has agreed to acquire
                                                            Figures from the South African                                                             sites in Abeokuta, Asaba and Port Harcourt
                                                        Council of Shopping Centres suggest that                                                       and is also in the process of acquiring four
                                                        South Africa has about 21 million square                                                       more sites.
                                                        metres of retail space. To put this into

SATURATION OF THE SA MARKET DRIVING                     perspective, retail space in countries like
                                                        Kenya, Botswana, Nigeria, Mozambique,
                                                                                                                                                       RISKS

CAPITAL ACROSS THE CONTINENT.
                                                        Namibia and others do not individually
                                                                                                                                                          Despite the obvious retail opportunities,
                                                        exceed 400 000 square metres.
                                                                                                                                                       Gaddy cautions: “There is a bit more risk
                                                            Nigeria, the biggest African economy,
                                                                                                                                                       going into these African countries.”
                                                        has about 230 000 square metres of retail
                                                                                                                                                          Broll Property Group’s divisional
                                                        space servicing a population of about
                                                                                                                                                       director of research Elaine Wilson explains
                                                        170 million.
                                                                                                                                                       that some of the pressing risks include
                                                            The opportunities are highlighted
                                                                                                                                                       property rights, exorbitant land costs, in
                                                        when one considers that there is just
                                                                                                                                                       some cases corruption and oil-dependent
                                       BY RAY MAHLAKA   500 000 square metres of existing              developers and retailers put their heads up     countries cutting back on infrastructure
                                                        shopping mall space for the total              and say ‘I think Africa is probably a good      spend due to a slump in international oil
                                                        sub-Saharan African population of              bet”’.                                          prices.
                                                        830 million (excluding South Africa). The          JSE-listed      property      companies        She adds that partnerships are important
                                                        retail market in these respective countries    betting on Africa include Resilient             for retail developers.
                                                        is still largely informal, often referred to   Property Income Fund (Resilient); Delta            “A lot of people have burnt their
                                                        as ‘the shadow economy’, comprising            International; Rockcastle Global Real           fingers going into the continent. There are
                                                        of makeshift retail markets and small          Estate; Hyprop Investments and Attacq           centres that have come up to brick height
                                                        convenience centres. But these markets         Limited (through AttAfrica, a joint             [foundations were laid] but have stopped.
                                                        are increasingly becoming formalised,          venture).                                       You cannot go into any African country
                                                        as more large shopping centres are being           Sesfikile Capital director Kundayi          without having a decent partnership.” ■
                                                        established, and developers are coining it.    Munzara says the listed property sector
                                                            Divisional director of strategic retail    has a very low exposure to property assets
                                                        leasing at Broll Property Group, Preston       in the rest of Africa and a small exposure
                                                        Gaddy says developers are, on average,         to retail assets in particular.
                                                        seeing higher returns on shopping centres          “The sector’s overall exposure to direct
                                                        that they’re developing in the rest of         property assets in the rest of Africa is
                                                        Africa, than the typical returns being         less than 3%. We have seen companies
                                                        achieved locally.                              concentrating investments largely in four
                                                                                                       countries including Zambia, Mozambique
                                                        CHASING ECONOMIC                               and Ghana,” says Munzara.
                                                                                                           Outgoing Delta International CEO
                                                        GROWTH                                         Louis Schnetler says the company will
                                                                                                       target African retail growth. It particularly
                                                           The stellar economic growth expected        has an appetite for Mozambique and
                                                        by some African countries will lead to         Morocco.
                                                        strong capital inflows. Countries like             “We choose the Sandtons [financial
                                                        Nigeria, Kenya, Angola, Mozambique,            capitals] of each African country. If you
                                                        Ghana and Zambia are poised for record         look at Casablanca, it is not the capital of
                                                        growth north of 5% in 2015, while South        Morocco, but Casablanca is the financial
                                                        Africa’s economy will be fortunate to          capital.” Delta International owns the
                                                        grow by 2%.                                    30 711-square-metre Anfa Place Shopping
                                                           The economic growth of neighbouring         Centre in Casablanca. “And Maputo
                                                        countries opens a window for the               [in Mozambique] is easy, that is where
                                                        burgeoning middle class who will have          everything happens,” he adds.
                                                        more disposal income to spend at retailers.        Resilient Africa – a joint venture
                                                        Gaddy says consumer and economic               between Resilient, Standard Bank and
                                                          dynamics “has made South African             Shoprite – is developing shopping centres

8 PROPERTY MOGUL ISSUE 5 –APRIL 2015                                                                                                                              APRIL 2015 – PROPERTY MOGUL ISSUE 5 9
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A
                                                                            pipe dream: that was the           consumers over 300 stores and parking               The availability of public transport

      MALL OF AFRICA
                                                                            initial    investor   sentiment    bays with a capacity for 6 500 vehicles.        services can make or break shopping
                                                                            towards Atterbury Property’s       It is expected that up to 1.3 million           centres. As such Atterbury has poured
                                                                            330 hectare mega mixed-use         consumers will frequent the shopping            millions into road infrastructure. It has
                                                                development Waterfall City, which would        centre on a monthly basis.                      upgraded roads around the Waterfall

      TAKES SHAPE
                                                                anchor the retail development Mall of                                                          Business Estate and is constructing a
                                                                Africa.                                                                                        R160 million bridge over the N1
                                                                    Concerns ranged from whether
                                                                                                               GREEN FEATURES                                  highway. The bridge will connect people
                                                                Atterbury would have enough capital to                                                         to, among others, the Mall of Africa.
                                                                see the development through, to whether           The    mall     will    also    feature          A taxi rank on the mall’s basement
                                                                the developers had bitten off more than        environmental sustainability features. Tia      is planned to support the Gautrain bus
                                                                                                                                                               routes already dotted across Waterfall
      STRONG OFFICE DEVELOPMENTS AT
                                                                they could chew.                               Kanakakis, partner of MDS Architects,
                                                                    The concerns also centred around           which is behind the mall’s design, says a       City. Long term, there are opportunities
                                                                whether Mall of Africa would see the           rainwater harvesting system will supply         for the roll-out of the Rea Vaya Bus

      WATERFALL CITY SET TO SUPPORT THE                         light of day. Since Atterbury broke
                                                                ground three-and-a-half years ago, the
                                                                                                               water to the bathrooms. Photovoltaic
                                                                                                               solar panels will be installed on the
                                                                                                                                                               Rapid Transit System routes.
                                                                                                                                                                   As to concerns of sufficient capital,

      MALL.                                                     130 000 square metre, two-level, super-
                                                                regional mall has started to take shape.
                                                                                                               roof, which will be constructed of steel
                                                                                                               and glass to allow for natural lighting,
                                                                                                                                                               financial director Melt Hamman says
                                                                                                                                                               Attacq has about R11 billion in committed
                                                                    The structure of the R3.2 billion mall,    and there will also be LED lighting.            debt facilities for the development. ■
                                                                located on both sides of the N1 from the
                                                                Woodmead interchange to the Allandale
                                               BY RAY MAHLAKA   interchange, is on track for its roof
                                                                                                               WATERFALL CITY
                                                                wetting on April 28 next year.
                                                                                                                   Van Heerden points to another
                                                                    Mall of Africa is South Africa’s biggest
                                                                                                               unique feature of the mall: it is an infill
                                                                single-phase retail development, says
                                                                                                               development. This means that it will
                                                                director of retail at Atterbury Cobus van
                                                                                                               benefit from foot traffic from the existing
                                                                Heerden.
                                                                                                               commercial and residential space close
                                                                    “This is the first retail centre to be
                                                                                                               by. Its success rests on the development
                                                                constructed in one phase while others
                                                                                                               of Waterfall City.
                                                                have been done in many phases,” says
                                                                                                                   JSE-listed    property     development
                                                                Van Heerden. Mall of Africa will boast
                                                                                                               fund Attacq Limited is now the sole
                                                                130 000 square metres of gross lettable
                                                                                                               shareholder in the Attacq Waterfall
                                                                area and the plan allows for it to increase
                                                                                                               Investment Company, which has the
                                                                to 150 000 square metres over time.
                                                                                                               rights to the Waterfall Business Estate
                                                                    Described as a rival to Johannesburg’s
                                                                                                               development. It also has a shareholding in
                                                                Sandton City, the mall already boasts an
                                                                                                               Atterbury.
                                                                impressive tenant mix of international
                                                                                                                   December 2014 saw the completion of
                                                                fashion retailers, with only a year
                                                                                                               211 000 square metres of Waterfall City’s
                                                                remaining before its doors open. Some of
                                                                                                               1.4 million remaining development bulk.
                                                                the international retailers include Cotton
                                                                                                               The latter is expected to roll out in the
                                                                On, Hennes & Mauritz (H&M), Zara,
                                                                                                               next two years.
                                                                GAP, Forever New, River Island, Mango,
                                                                                                                   Overall Waterfall City - which boasts
                                                                Lipsy London, Tommy Hilfiger, Express
                                                                                                               residential living, office and retail space -
                                                                US and Jo Malone London.
                                                                                                               is set to be the same size as Sandton and
                                                                    Atterbury’s Mareli Vorster, responsible
                                                                                                               bigger than Johannesburg’s inner CBD.
                                                                for leasing at Mall of Africa, says the mall
                                                                                                                   Already corporates are consolidating
                                                                is already 83% let – representing 100 000
                                                                                                               in ‘the new CBD’, which Mornè Wilken,
                                                                square metres of the total gross lettable
                                                                                                               CEO of Attacq, says will have a positive
                                                                area.
                                                                                                               spin-off for Mall of Africa. Corporates
                                                                    “We have been picky and we have a
                                                                                                               who already call Waterfall City home
                                                                very specific idea of who we want and
                                                                                                               include Group Five, Cell C, Honda Motor
                                                                where. There were sufficient offers on the
                                                                                                               South Africa, Premier Foods, Cipla,
                                                                table,” says Vorster.
                                                                                                               Altech and Golder Associates. Newly
                                                                    Other retailers include Woolworths,
                                                                                                               secured office developments include the
                                                                Checkers,        Foschini,      Stuttafords,
                                                                                                               head offices of PwC, Schneider Electric,
                                                                Truworths, Mr Price and Edgars, among
                                                                                                               Hilti and Stryker.
                                                                others. Some of the lease agreements
                                                                                                                   Century Property Developments is
                                                                secured are between five- and ten-
                                                                                                               also rolling out private residential estates.
                                                                year periods. Mall of Africa will offer

      10 PROPERTY MOGUL ISSUE 5 –APRIL 2015                                                                                                                             APRIL 2015 – PROPERTY MOGUL ISSUE 5 11

Grant Duncan Smith, subiacophotography.co.za
PROPERTY MALL OF AFRICA: A PIPE DREAM BECOMES REALITY - Issue 5 - April 2015 - Moneyweb
12 PROPERTY MOGUL ISSUE 5 –APRIL 2015
PROPERTY MALL OF AFRICA: A PIPE DREAM BECOMES REALITY - Issue 5 - April 2015 - Moneyweb
Asset class total returns

HOW DOES LISTED                                                       Period                  Listed property             Listed equities                 Bonds                           Cash

PROPERTY KEEP ON
                                                                     FY 2014                      26.64%                      10.88%                      10.15%                         5.90%

                                                                     Q1 2015                      13.69%                       5.85%                      2.99%                          1.53%

RUNNING?
                                                            Source: Stanlib

                                                            F
                                                                    or the first quarter of 2015, listed property was once          costs are lower,” he says. “In Europe, companies can borrow at
                                                                    again South Africa’s best performing asset class. This          4% and buy properties yielding 7% or 8%, so it is easier to make
                                                                    followed 2014, when it delivered a total return more than       yield-enhancing acquisitions in the offshore space and those

DESPITE THE SLUGGISH ECONOMY.
                                                                    twice that of equities.                                         have been boosting returns.”
                                                               At current valuations, however, listed property is well out of          These fundamentals are supporting the property companies
                                                            cheap territory, so investors may wonder how much longer this           themselves, but there’s also an important dynamic at play at
                                                            bull market can continue. The SA economy is also muddling               market level that’s pushing up the prices of listed counters.
                                                            through a period of low growth, which one would expect to
                                        BY PATRICK CAIRNS   weigh on the returns property companies can generate.                      “There is just such an appetite for listed property, but there is a
                                                                                                                                    finite number of investable opportunities,” says Evan Jankelowitz
                                                                                                                                    of Sesfikile Capital. “I agree that short-term valuations are
                                                            SLOW GROWTH IS NOT NO GROWTH                                            looking expensive, but there is a question of supply and demand
                                                                                                                                    in play that is making investors willing to pay high prices.”
                                                               Although the fundamentals of property companies may be
                                                                                                                                       He says that interest in the sector is coming from many
                                                            weakening in the current economic climate, they are certainly
                                                                                                                                    different quarters and, given that the local listed property space
                                                            not out of control and property analysts aren’t crying off the
                                                                                                                                    remains fairly small, this naturally impacts on what investors
                                                            sector.
                                                                                                                                    have to pay.
                                                               “If you look at any historic measure, property looks expensive,”
                                                                                                                                       “There is more interest coming from local pension funds
                                                            says Nolan Wapenaar, Efficient Select portfolio manager. “But
                                                                                                                                    starting to normalise their allocation to property, from foreigners
                                                            … listed property companies themselves keep performing.”
                                                                                                                                    being more active in this space because companies are more
                                                               Few companies in the listed property space have missed
                                                                                                                                    liquid and more transparent since the introduction of Real
                                                            distribution targets in their last reporting periods - some have
                                                                                                                                    Estate Investment Trusts (REITs), from equity fund managers
                                                            exceeded them. It may not be unreasonable to expect this to be
                                                                                                                                    that have been ignoring the property space for so long but can’t
                                                            sustainable.
                                                                                                                                    ignore it anymore, and even hedge funds,” he says. “So there is
                                                               “For a start, even though the economy is struggling, GDP
                                                                                                                                    excess demand relative to the finite supply.”
                                                            growth at 2% is not negative,” says Wapenaar. “If you take
                                                            that 2% GDP growth, and add on 6% inflation as a long-term
                                                            trend, you are looking at an 8% growth rate for listed property.
                                                            If companies can add a few bolts on acquisitions, particularly
                                                                                                                                    MODIFY FUTURE EXPECTATIONS
                                                            from abroad, then it’s reasonably plausible for them to sustain
                                                                                                                                       Although property returns were strong in the first quarter
                                                            their growth rates.”
                                                                                                                                    of 2015, analysts warn investors to have more reasonable
                                                               Property companies also tend to be somewhat shielded from
                                                                                                                                    expectations about what the sector might deliver going forward.
                                                            weak economic conditions. This is because tenants tend to be
                                                                                                                                    Over the next five years, the incredible returns we have seen from
                                                            locked in to leases of at least three or four years, and particularly
                                                                                                                                    this asset class over the last decade are unlikely to be repeated.
                                                            in the retail segment, a trading space is not something given up
                                                                                                                                       However, that doesn’t mean that it’s necessary to be overly
                                                            lightly.
                                                                                                                                    cautious. Long term, listed property still remains attractive.
                                                                                                                                       Wapenaar says: “…we are taking the view that you don’t
                                                            DIVERSIFICATION PAYING OFF                                              necessarily want to be overweight property, but given the strong
                                                                                                                                    earnings dynamic you can’t afford to be underweight either.” ■
                                                               Local property companies have also been very successful
                                                            in diversifying their portfolios into other economies. Keillen
                                                            Ndlovu, head of listed property funds at Stanlib, says almost 25%
                                                            of the assets in the sector are now overseas.
                                                               “The fundamentals offshore are much stronger and funding

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S
                                                                 outh Africa’s retail property         retail in previously underserviced areas,”

INVESTMENT CASE:
                                                                 market has focused on shopping        Playne explains.
                                                                 centres in metropolitan areas, with       Despite the slower economic growth,
                                                                 hundreds of large- and small-         township and rural shopping centres
                                                         scale centres rolled out over the last two    continue to perform. According to

TOWNSHIP AND
                                                         decades.                                      head of listed property funds at Stanlib
                                                             Retail     property  investors     were   Keillen Ndlovu these shopping centres
                                                         comfortable in this market, given that        “have benefited from high foot counts.
                                                         they understood the nuances of urban          The spend per head is lower than urban

RURAL SHOPPING
                                                         consumers and the return was lucrative.       shopping centres, but this market is
                                                             How dynamics have changed over the        volume driven”.
                                                         last 14 years.                                    JSE-listed property companies are
                                                             The market has reached a point            taking advantage of opportunities in
                                                         of saturation in metropolitan areas,          this market. In 2002, only the Resilient

CENTRES
                                                         forcing developers, institutions and          Property Income Fund had exposure into
                                                         property companies to look elsewhere          township and rural centres.
                                                         for opportunities. The search is pointing         Now Vukile Property Fund (Vukile),             “Otherwise, consumers who live 20
                                                         towards township and rural areas.             Synergy Income Fund (a listed subsidiary        kilometres away will drive into town
                                                             Township and rural retail developments    of Vukile) Dipula Income Fund and               to collect their pension or grants, often
                                                         are growing. Figures from MSCI Real           Rebosis Property Fund are invested in           bypassing a centre. So where are they

OPPORTUNITIES FOR LARGE-SCALE                            Estate and the South African Council          this market.                                    going to shop?” Wilson asks.
                                                         of Shopping Centres (SACSC) indicate              Nodes such as Soweto, Umlazi,                  Despite the clear opportunities, the

CENTRES ARE DRYING UP.
                                                         that about 1.8 million square metres of       Mbombela,          Giyani,       Gugulethu,     market does come with risks. Playne
                                                         retail space in township and rural areas      Khayelitsha, Ulundi, Phuthaditjhaba,            says township and rural shopping centres
                                                         has been built since 2000, from 405 000       Lephalale, Mahwelereng, Mdantsane               are vulnerable to economic disruptions
                                        BY RAY MAHLAKA   square metres in the 1990s.                   and other emerging towns continue to            such as job losses. Also securing land or
                                                             The combined space in this market         see multi-million rand inflows in retail        getting it rezoned may pose challenges
                                                         now amounts to more than 2.6 million          developments.                                   – especially if land is owned by a
                                                         square metres.                                    Institutions such as Stanlib, asset         municipality or tribal authorities.
                                                                                                       manager of the Liberty Property
                                                                                                       Portfolio, are also getting in on the act.
                                                         GROWTH DRIVERS                                Stanlib recently announced that it is           OPPORTUNITIES
                                                                                                       breaking ground on the 21 000 square            DRYING UP
                                                             Growth has been driven by improving       metre Botshabelo Mall in the Free State
                                                         economic fundamentals. Head of capital        with Khora Investments worth R320                  CEO of Vukile Laurence Rapp says
                                                         markets at real estate services firm Jones    million. Fund manager for the Liberty           now is the time to become selective as
                                                         Lang LaSalle (JLL), Henry Playne says         Property Portfolio Alex Phakathi says this      most rural and township retail centre
                                                         during the past ten years household           is the first Free State development for the     opportunities have been exploited.
                                                         expenditure has grown, resulting in           portfolio, which is set for completion in       Rapp – who runs a fund which owns
                                                         economic growth.                              2016.                                           township and rural centres worth R8.5
                                                             From 2004 to 2014 South Africa’s              Explaining the investment case for          billion including the Dobsonville
                                                         average real GDP (adjusted for inflation)     Botshabelo, Phakathi says some of the           Shopping Centre in Soweto, Phoenix
                                                         grew by 3.1% and employment grew over         non-metropolitan areas are showing              Plaza in Durban, East Rand’s Daveyton
                                                         11%, fuelling the growth of the black         high growth and “there is still some life       Shopping Centre and more – says certain
                                                         middle class.                                 remaining”.                                     areas of the market are starting to reach
                                                             The appetite for credit also grew,            “Some of the markets we have chosen         saturation, although this is not as extreme
                                                         further driving consumption-led growth        are largely undersupplied in terms of           as metropolitan areas.
                                                         in the economy. Playne says private sector    proper and aspirational retail centres. We         The opportunities for bigger shopping
                                                         credit extension to households increased      do find support in terms of demand [and]        centres on the scale of the Maponya
                                                         by 76% from 2010, but has since slowed        there are the right demographics,” he           Mall and the Jabulani Mall are gone, says
                                                         to 27% in 2014.                               says.                                           Ndlovu. “Every major township now has
                                                             Some consumers targeted by township           For developments in township and            good shopping facilities with a reasonable
                                                         and rural shopping centres depend on the      rural areas to become efficient, Broll          mix of food, fashion and entertainment.
                                                         social grant system, which Playne says        Property Group’s divisional director of         There is room for shopping centres of
                                                         will pay out a “staggering R155 billion       research Elaine Wilson says the offering        smaller size, with a food anchor or a big
                                                         this year”.                                   must be diversified. Wilson says to lure        grocery chain.”
                                                             “All of these factors have contributed    people, retail centres should not only             The jury is still out on whether this
                                                         to growing household consumption in           offer retail amenities, but also social grant   market can trump shopping centres in
                                                         the economy, encouraging demand for           and pension collection points.                  metropolitan areas. ■

16 PROPERTY MOGUL ISSUE 5 –APRIL 2015                                                                                                                            APRIL 2015 – PROPERTY MOGUL ISSUE 5 17
PROPERTY MALL OF AFRICA: A PIPE DREAM BECOMES REALITY - Issue 5 - April 2015 - Moneyweb
ADVERTORIAL
                                                                                                                                                                  You see a building

                                                                                                                                                                  WE SEE
                                                                                                                                                         Capital Gains
WHEN IS PAYMENT
MADE TO SARS?
TO MEET DEADLINE

T                                                                     THE UNCERTAINTY:
        he issue:
           When are payments legally effected to ensure they             In terms of section 162(2) of the Tax Administration Act
        meet the statutory deadlines? Clarity on this matter is of    2011, the Commissioner has the right to prescribe the manner
vital importance, as payments or submissions received after their     of payment, including electronic payments. However, based on
specified deadlines are marked as late by SARS, and will be liable    the principles established by the Supreme Court’s judgement in
for penalties and interest.                                           Stabilpave v SARS (615/12) [2013] ZASCA 128 (26 September
   Although the issue is of general application to all SARS           2013). Though dealing with cheques, this judgement implies
payments, this issue was highlighted by the recent SARS               that SARS’ right and practice to prescribe the method of payment
communication issued through their website to taxpayers               to which the taxpayer must adhere, could result in a transfer of
who made payments or return submissions on 31 March 2015,             risk to SARS of the particular payment method. SARS currently
urging them to do so by midday.                                       prescribes various methods of payments i.e. payments via
   A question arises as to when payment should be effected            eFiling (Credit Push payments); electronic funds transfer (EFT)
by the various prescribed payment methods that would be in            and cheque payments at SARS Revenue branches. If it could
compliance with such deadlines.                                       be established that SARS has in fact prescribed the method of
                                                                      payment, the result would be that payment is effected once the
THE SARS VIEW:                                                        taxpayer has complied with the method based on the principle
    It appears that SARS is of the view that payment has only been    established in Stabilpave v SARS, and not when the payment is
made once the relevant amount is reflected in its bank account        honoured by the bank through crediting SARS’ account.
(for example, the SARS External Guide: Provisional Tax, 2015
states at page 13 that “where payments are done electronically,       CONCLUSION:
provision must be made for your bank’s cut-off times and for              The complexity of the various payment methods as to
a clearance period that could take between two and five days”).       when payment is legally effected, may result in an unfair an
Furthermore, in terms of SARS External Guide: Payment Rules,          administratively burdensome process for taxpayers if time of
any payment made and placed in a SARS drop box on a business          payment is only once payment is received by SARS. For example,
day must be received by 15:00. Where payments are received            if the taxpayer makes an EFT payment from the same bank as
after 15:00, this will be deemed to have been received on the first   that of SARS, the payment should clear immediately. However,
following business day. SARS views is supported by the courts         if payment is made from a different bank, such payment is
i.e. the high court in Bush and Others v B J Kruger Inc and           subject to that specific bank’s internal clearing processes, which
Another (2009/36699) [2013] ZAGPJHC 4; [2013] 2 All SA                differ from bank to bank and may thus result in timing delays        While you see the great architecture of your new building, a CA(SA) can see
148 (GSJ) (8 February 2013) confirms that an EFT is paid when         from the time that the EFT payment is effected, to when it           how to make room for your new asset during tax season. CAs(SA) have a
received by the recipient - the same as for cheques.                  actually clears in SARS’ bank account. This will then result in      solid foundation of expertise in tax law so that you focus on building your
                                                                      penalties and interest being imposed by SARS. Legal certainty        business, not on tax.
                                                                      and administrative fairness may inevitably only be achieved by
                                                                      legislative amendment. ■                                             Find a tax leader in your area, go to www.findacasa.co.za

18 PROPERTY MOGUL ISSUE 5 –APRIL 2015                                                                                                                                                                                    APRIL 2015 – PROPERTY MOGUL ISSUE 5 19
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