Scale, execution and relationships emerge as key traits

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Scale, execution and relationships emerge as key traits
Analysis

  E            X             P               E         R               T                      Q               &              A

          After a record-breaking 2021, the managers that performed well through
           covid are in good shape to deal with challenges on the horizon for 2022,
           say Churchill Asset Management’s Jason Strife and Randy Schwimmer

          Scale, execution and
   relationships emerge as key traits
 Q     Who were the covid
       winners and losers in
  private debt, and how will
                                                             SPONSOR

                                                      CHURCHILL ASSET
                                                                                        of our origination strategy on both the
                                                                                        junior and senior side. Their attitude
                                                                                        shifted from doubts about the asset
                                                       MANAGEMENT
  managers have to adapt their                                                          class to asking how quickly we could
  approach for a post-covid                                                             put their money to work.
  environment?                               were in place to get through the most
  Randy Schwimmer: Since our incep-          acute phase of disruption, which lasted    Jason Strife: Covid was a proof point
  tion in 2006 we’ve had a consistent        about three months.                        for private capital providers with scale,
  underwriting theme. The same sec-              By the summer of 2020 the resil-       execution capabilities and strong pri-
  tors we liked then – business services,    ience of our credits was clear and we      vate equity relationships. If you didn’t
  healthcare, technology, software, dis-     were able to pivot to new business.        have that combination going into cov-
  tribution, logistics and financial ser-    Having had the right strategy of stick-    id, you are coming out having lost a step
  vices – held up well during the great      ing to defensive, non-cyclical sectors     or two competitively. Most important
  recession.                                 going into the crisis, we could put sig-   for us was our excellent private equity
      The pattern for success through two    nificant dry powder to work as market      relationships going into this. So, when
  years of covid was also established ear-   liquidity and confidence returned.         we couldn’t travel and get in front of
  ly. When the pandemic emerged, we              At the same time, investors who had    people, our platform still accelerated.
  focused on how our portfolio might be      been circling around private credit be-    You saw sponsors relying on a smaller
  impacted. We worked closely with our       fore covid witnessed the performance       group of lenders with whom they had
  private equity sponsors to ensure plans    of our portfolio and the differentiation   strong, long-term relationships.

50 Private Debt Investor   • April 2022
Scale, execution and relationships emerge as key traits
Analysis

Q    What are you currently
     observing in terms of
origination trends and hot deal
sectors for 2022?
JS: We are coming off arguably the
busiest couple of quarters in the history
of our firm and arguably for the mid-
dle market private credit industry as a
whole. From our platform’s standpoint,
our deployment of senior and junior
loan capital was nearly $9 billion last
year, which was a 100 percent increase
versus the prior year. Our Q4 figures
alone were half of that annual total. We
saw an incredible acceleration in the
second half of last year.
    The factors driving that did include
some looming tax changes that pulled
                                               Q    How can investors get comfortable with the additional
                                                    risks that come with investing in higher yielding junior
                                               capital?
forward some 2022 deals into 2021,             JS: It really depends on the type of junior capital structure you are after.
but it was still incredible. It is going       There are many different flavours. Our bread and butter has always been
to be hard to sustain that kind of mo-         sponsored junior lending working with private equity firms with which we
mentum. The market is taking a bit of          have long-lasting relationships. In fact, our position as a significant limited
a breather at the start of this year, after    partner to middle market private equity funds allocating close to $1.5
a very frenetic period and other devel-        billion annually drives direct dealflow and provides us with an information
opments including the war in Ukraine,          advantage. We know which GPs perform best and we align with them.
inflationary pressures and some of the             Ultimately, we know the private equity decision makers personally and
supply chain issues impacting prod-            their position on risk, business model quality, due diligence and portfolio
uct-based business models.                     company support. All of that helps the relative value discussion we are
    Still, the expectation is that 2022 will   having as a junior capital investor. We think that is really attractive relative
be another very active year, driven by         to more opportunistic strategies in the junior capital universe.
the sheer amount of private equity cap-
ital raised in the past few years and the
fact that so many of the private equity                                                  group of direct lenders that can create
portfolios constructed in 2016, 2017                                                     that kind of one-stop capability. In this
and 2018 are now naturally bringing            “We saw an incredible                     highly competitive M&A environment,
assets to market. We are hearing from                                                    private equity sponsors are seeking
investment banks that the pipeline for         acceleration in                           to work with a small lender club they
new investments is building nicely, but                                                  know and trust to execute financings
the timing for those deals is in flux due
                                               the second half                           quickly and effectively.
to geopolitical issues.
                                               of last year”
RS: Our record year was compound-
ed by successful fundraising, as we            JASON STRIFE
                                                                                         Q     One difference from two
                                                                                               years ago is the number
                                                                                         of larger unitranche financings
brought in $13 billion of new com-                                                       taking share from the broadly
mitted capital in 2021. With investors                                                   syndicated loan market. How is
leaning in and trusting our platform                                                     Churchill participating in that
and underwriting thesis, we were able                                                    trend?
to build significant scale to commit up                                                  RS: That trend has been developing for
to $500 million per deal on the sen-                                                     a while. Unitranche is one of the most
ior side. That puts us among a select                                                    efficient financing vehicles because

                                                                                          April 2022   •   Mid-Market Lending     51
Scale, execution and relationships emerge as key traits
Analysis

                                                “Loan prices will be
 there’s one lender and one credit agree-                                                  hopefully without negatively impacting
 ment. Our scale and depth of sponsor
                                                insulated from public                      the economy in a meaningful way.
 relationships, not to mention the back-        market volatility”                            Private credit tends to be insulated
 ing of our parent company Nuveen and                                                      from exogenous shocks and episodic
 its $1.3 trillion balance sheet as of 31                                                  headline issues. Our portfolio com-
                                                RANDY SCHWIMMER
 December 2021, allows us to be a lead-                                                    panies continue to perform well, with
 er in the one-stop market.                                                                higher revenues and the ability to pass
     While the unitranche is increasingly                                                  along higher costs to their customers.
 popular in the traditional middle mar-                                                       Sponsors anticipated these challeng-
 ket, the largest direct lenders are em-                                                   es and accounted for them in their in-
 ploying them to take share from the                                                       vestment theses. Enormous effort here
 broadly syndicated market. This year                                                      goes into understanding these credit
 has already seen a $5 billion financing                                                   dynamics, with keen attention paid to
 and we expect that trend to continue.                                                     worker shortages and wage inflation.
                                                                                              It’s not clear if the Fed will stick to
 JS: The market continues to expand                                                        the frequency of rate increases the mar-
 and our junior loan programme hit its                                                     ket expected earlier this year, but as a
 high-water mark in 2021 in terms of                                                       floating rate asset class, senior secured
 investment activity. While we certainly                                                   loans are positioned well regardless.
 see growth in the prevalence of one-
 stop financing solutions, traditional       across the capital structure. We have         JS: We do a mixture of floating rate
 capital structure solutions aren’t going    expertise in the bottom half of the bal-      second lien and fixed rate mezzanine
 anywhere.                                   ance sheet through our co-investment          investing. Depending on the pace of
    Many private equity firms are still      programme.                                    those interest rate rises, we could see
 looking for bifurcated senior-junior            An independent credit shop that           sponsors trying to do more fixed rate
 structures, or structured equity-PIK        dabbles in equity co-investments is a         junior capital to lock in a natural hedge.
 solutions. Private equity firms have        less attractive partner than a platform       Generally speaking, the sponsors we
 varying appetites for third party lev-      like Churchill that has in-house exper-       work with assemble capital structures
 erage and if they can partner with a        tise on underwriting equity. We are           that are appropriately cushioned. Even
 strong lending relationship in the mid-     not just taking an allocation because         with interest rate hikes looming, we
 dle of the balance sheet, often that cre-   a sponsor offers it. We have an indus-        don’t see that as a big deterrent or cata-
 ates a junior loan opportunity.             try-leading co-investment platform            lyst for change in the market.
                                             and we bring a different lens to how we

 Q    How can equity co-
      investments complement
                                             evaluate those opportunities.                 RS: We expect private credit to con-
                                                                                           tinue to perform well. Loan prices will
 private debt strategies?
 JS: When you’re talking about equity
 co-investment, our view is that is an at-
                                             Q    Finally, do rising interest
                                                  rates and an inflationary
                                             environment create threats or
                                                                                           be insulated from public market vola-
                                                                                           tility, top-tier direct lenders with scale
                                                                                           and relationships will continue to fi-
 tractive feature in a private credit deal   opportunities for private debt?               nance strong businesses for experienced
 but you need to make the most of it.        RS: So far in 2021 we are seeing a con-       sponsors, and M&A will be active in
 Our platform is already a robust co-in-     tinuation of last year’s rise in prices for   sectors proven to be the most resilient.
 vestment partner to private equity firms    both products and services. But now           Leading fund managers should end up
 irrespective of our loan programmes;        there’s a clear sense that this will not      on the other side of the current crisis
 we are a large equity co-investor along-    reverse anytime soon, particularly giv-       – whenever that happens – in as strong
 side GPs and only a fraction of that is     en the war in Ukraine.                        a position as they did on the other side
 on the credit side.                            Indeed, energy and food prices are         of covid. n
    If we did not have expertise in un-      spiking higher as a result of shortages
 derwriting equity, that could be seen       and sanctions. The US Federal Re-
                                                                                           Jason Strife is head of private equity and junior
 as non-core. But it is extremely core to    serve seems committed to hike rates to        capital and Randy Schwimmer is co-head of
 what we do because our platform invests     combat this new level of inflation, but       senior lending at Churchill Asset Management

52   Private Debt Investor   • April 2022                                                                  GAR-2089955PG-E0422P
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