SMART INDUSTRIES A report by BCG for Choose France 2020 - International Business Summit 20.01.2020 Versailles

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SMART INDUSTRIES A report by BCG for Choose France 2020 - International Business Summit 20.01.2020 Versailles
SMART INDUSTRIES
         A report by BCG for Choose France 2020

International Business Summit
20.01.2020 Versailles
SMART INDUSTRIES A report by BCG for Choose France 2020 - International Business Summit 20.01.2020 Versailles
About this report

                                                      Looking to position France and
                                                      Europe at the core of the global
                                                      industrial landscape in the years
                                                      to come, it is important to imagine
                                                      what industries will look like at the
                                                      end of this decade. This report is
                                                      not about the digitization of existing
                                                      industries, already well covered in
                                                      many Industry 4.0 reports. It is about
                                                      exploring the future of industries
                                                      and analyzing the enablers of their
                                                      successful development.

                                                      This report focuses on industries
                                                      that rely on tangible assets. Services
                                                      such as Finance and Insurance
                                                      are not covered in this document,
                                                      although they are undertaking
                                                      profound transformation as well.

For Further Contact

If you would like to discuss this report,
please contact one of the authors.

François Candelon
Managing Director and Senior Partner
candelon.francois@bcg.com

Pascal Cotte
Managing Director and Senior Partner
cotte.pascal@bcg.com

Olivier Scalabre
Managing Director and Senior Partner
scalabre.olivier@bcg.com

Mikaël Le Mouëllic
Managing Director and Partner
lemouellic.mikael@bcg.com

Ali Kchia
Project Leader
kchia.ali@bcg.com

Contact presse
Claire Lebret
lebret.claire@bcg.com

© Boston Consulting Group 2020.
All rights reserved. 01/20

For information or permission to reprint, please
contact BCG at permissions@bcg.com. To find the
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                                                           Smart Industries, Choose France 2020 | 1
SMART INDUSTRIES A report by BCG for Choose France 2020 - International Business Summit 20.01.2020 Versailles
Executive summary

Entering the Smart Industries era
Smart Industries will emerge through the combination of           Industrial assets — Unlike the digital revolution, whose         leverage to accelerate the development of Smart Industries:        Leading deep tech and industrial assets — Europe must
breakthrough technologies and innovative business models.         digital applications came first, Smart Industries rely on both   its leading edge existing technological assets (including          continue to invest in emerging technologies and create the
These Smart Industries will profoundly reshape the world of       digital capabilities and vertical industry expertise with its    IP and talent pool) and its strong industrial background           right conditions to transform fundamental research into
tomorrow and change competitive dynamics and the rules            physical assets and infrastructure. There is no separation       built upon a diversified and historical network of industries.     commercial and industrial applications. Europe should:
of doing business in Health, Food, Mobility, Energy, Things,      between offline and online anymore, but a total integration.     Furthermore, Europe is leading the charge to tackle our
                                                                                                                                                                                                      5. Implement innovation-enabling regulatory framework
Security & Safety and Cities.                                                                                                      societies’ most imminent challenges (such as climate
                                                                  These technological and industrial assets evolve in a                                                                                  — Create nurturing regulation with long term visibility
                                                                                                                                   change) that Smart Industries aim to solve.
They will help solve the increasingly pressing challenges         fragmented world due to high geographical, industrial and                                                                              (for efficient use of data, real-life testing and trust).
that our societies are facing. For example, Smart Mobility        functional disparity. They involve cross-sector and cross-       To play its role in the next wave of Smart Industries,             6. Enable funding — Create an environment that enables
should reduce traffic congestion and pollution in cities when     geography players that need to overcome the challenge of         Europe should achieve market scale (One Europe) and set               private funding (from corporate and also VC funds) and
it reaches maturity (e.g. through a reduction in number of        accessing these technological and industrial assets, and         the right conditions for Smart Ecosystems orchestrators               provide ambitious and focused public investments.
personal vehicles and an increase in greener transportation).     that need to be brought together.                                to emerge, while continuing to strengthen its deep tech
                                                                                                                                                                                                      7. Educate citizens — Develop awareness and reskilling
                                                                                                                                   and industrial assets.
They will represent tremendous opportunities for increased        A new governance model based on smart ecosystems of                                                                                    programs about technologies for users and workers
growth and employment. By 2030, they will represent a             universities and R&D centers, corporations (from start-          One Europe — European countries must join efforts to                  (not just top talent).
sizable share of global industries (e.g. Smart Mobility will      ups to large players), incubators and innovation centers,        overcome political, economic and social fragmentation to
                                                                                                                                                                                                      This coordinated and results-driven approach is Win-Win-Win:
account for ~15% of the global mobility market).                  investors and governments is required to enable the              reach critical mass. They should:
                                                                  rapid acquisition and sharing of resources. In order to be                                                                          • Win for local governments, which can foster job creation
Therefore, enabling and investing in the development of                                                                            1. Think impact at European scale — Stop promoting
                                                                  impactful, these ecosystems need to be orchestrated by a                                                                              with the new Smart Industries.
these industries is imperative to capturing the societal and                                                                          fragmented pilot projects in each country and
                                                                  few leading large players who can leverage strong existing                                                                          • Win for industry players, which will benefit from Europe's
economic potential they offer.                                                                                                        collectively focus on building two or three competing
                                                                  assets and market position.                                                                                                           assets and market scale to experiment and develop new
                                                                                                                                      Smart Ecosystems for each Smart Industry. European
                                                                                                                                                                                                        products and services. This will also reinforce the network
                                                                  These Smart Ecosystems will enable to:                              governments will have to accept that favoring their own
New Smart Industries,                                                                                                                 national champions will not always result in the best
                                                                                                                                                                                                        of their ecosystems. For an orchestrator, this is the core
new Smart Ecosystems                                              • Share and acquire new capabilities (e.g. knowledge                                                                                  asset to beat competition in the 2020s. And smaller
                                                                                                                                      outcome for the local economy.
                                                                    and technological assets, industrial capabilities, data)                                                                            companies can benefit from the ecosystems' resources.
                                                                                                                                   2. Set standards — Intensify efforts to establish common
The digital revolution has initiated a shift in the way we        • Secure substantial funding                                                                                                        • Win for our societies, for which Smart Industries aim to
                                                                                                                                      norms and standards to simplify ways of doing business,
organize businesses — from static, evolutionary, vertical                                                                                                                                               solve the most pressing challenges.
                                                                  • Scale fast to achieve critical mass (e.g. market access           unify markets and give long term visibility.
and company-centric ways of working, to a more horizontal,
                                                                    and network effect) and share risks                            Smart Ecosystems orchestrators — Europe must enable
disruptive and collaborative model leveraging digital                                                                                                                                                 All European countries should work together to embrace
ecosystems, and where platforms have thrived.                     • Get the flexibility and resilience needed to adapt to fast-    the emergence of leading orchestrators for each Smart              change and accelerate the development of the Smart
                                                                    changing environments where consumer needs can be              Ecosystem to embark everyone on the journey towards Smart          Industries. In Choose France, we choose Europe as a
Smart Industries will take this shift to the next level and         unpredictable and technological trajectories                   Industries — not only European companies, but also U.S.,           leading innovation force for the world.
create a new business organization model around Smart               are uncertain.                                                 Asian, and any other company that can positively contribute
Ecosystems. They differentiate from well-known digital                                                                             to the development of Smart Industries. The absence of
ecosystems through two characteristics:                           These ecosystems can only thrive if regulators set the right
                                                                                                                                   orchestrators is the recipe for failure as this role is critical
                                                                  conditions — those that allow for efficient use of data and
                                                                                                                                   to steer impactful ecosystems. To do so, Europe should:
Deep tech assets — Smart Industries rely on breakthrough          real-life testing while building and reinforcing trust.
technologies with strong IP assets, high barriers to entry and                                                                     3. Develop industrial strategy — Set common, focused
require substantial funding and time to develop (and not only                                                                         industrial plans that allow leading players to compete on
digital capabilities). We see seven areas of emerging R&D         Europe has a critical role to play in                               the orchestrator roles and take risks. When no natural
technology that are the most promising active fields and that     accelerating the development of                                     leader is able to fill this role, Europe should proactively
will accelerate the development of these industries: artificial   Smart Industries                                                    help orchestrators to emerge as it recently did in the
intelligence, advanced materials, quantum computing, gene                                                                             battery sector.
engineering, generative design, augmented and virtual reality,    So far, the U.S. and China have led the digital revolution
                                                                                                                                   4. Adapt long term incentives — Favor long term
robotics and drones (in addition to technologies already at       and are betting on the industrial potential of emerging
                                                                                                                                      investment and support orchestrators in creating an
scale such as connectivity and cloud computing).                  technologies. Yet Europe has tremendous capabilities to
                                                                                                                                      attractive economic environment.

2 | Smart Industries, Choose France 2020                                                                                                                                                                                          Smart Industries, Choose France 2020 | 3
When technology meets innovative business models
                                               Smart Industries will emerge through the combination of                                 nourish and nurture our bodies, how we get around, how
                                               breakthrough technologies and innovative business models.                               we produce and consume energy, how we interact with the
                                               These Smart Industries will reshape the world of tomorrow                               world around us, how we organize our cities.
                                               and bring drastic changes to our lifestyles — in how we

                                                     Emerging smart industries
                                                     Illustrative – not exhaustive
                                                               Smart Mobility                                                                                                                        Smart Health
                                                                                                                                                                                          •      AI & algorithms (e.g. precision medicine)
                                                         •   Electric/Connected/Automated vehicles
                                                                                                                                                                                          •      Consumer-driven digital health
                                                         •   Shared and on-demand mobility                                                                                                •      Diagnostics (e.g. NextGen sequencing)

                                                                                                                       Mo round
                                                         •   Drones

                                                                                                                                          r b re
                                                                                                                                               ies
                                                                                                                                                                                          •      Advanced drug delivery
                                                         •   Traffic management

                                                                                                                                        ou urtu
                                                                                                                         ve

                                                                                                                                             od
                                                                                                                                                                                          •      Cell and gene therapies

                                                                                                                         a
                                                                                                                            /g

                                                                                                                                           N
                                                                                                        Org

                                                                                                                              et
                                                                                                             a
                                                                                                         citi nize o                                         sh
                                                                                                                                                          uri es                                     Smart Food
                                                                                                             e
                                                               Smart Cities                             soc s and ur                                   No bodi
                                                                                                            iet                                          r
                                                                                                                                                       ou
                                                                                                                                                                                           •      Digital agriculture (robots, drones, etc)
                                                         •   Green building                                     ies
                                                                                                                                                                                           •      New food consumption patterns (organic,
                                                         •   Recycling                                                                                                                            alternative proteins, traceability, etc)
                                                         •   Smart Ticketing/Parking
                                                         •   Smart Governance
                                                         •   Smart Education                          Entertain                                             Protect
                                                                                                      ourselves                                            ourselve                                  Smart Safety
                                                                                                                                                                   s
                                                                                                                                                                                           •      Smart monitoring for buildings safety &
                                                                                                                                                                                                  security

                                                                                                                                               Pr viro
                                                                                                                                                                                           •      Smart public safety & security

                                                                                                              rse te

                                                                                                                                                 en
                                                                                                                                                 ot n
                                                                                                                    s
                                                                                                            ou duca
                                                                                                                 lve

                                                                                                                             Interact with
                                                                                                                                                                                           •      Cybersecurity

                                                                                                                                                   ec me
                                                                                                                              people and
                                                                                                                               the world

                                                                                                                                                     to n
                                                               Smart Things

                                                                                                              E

                                                                                                                                                       ur t
                                                         •   Connected devices (e.g. smartphones,                                                                                                    Smart Energy
                          Entering the Smart
                                                             voice assistants, home appliances,
                                                             sensors)                                                                                                                      •      Smart grid/Smart metering
                                                                                                                                                                                           •      Power electronics

                          Industries era
                                                                                                                                                                                           •      Smart energy storage

                                                                                                     Physiological       Social              Safety and security

                                                                                                                                                Illustration in mobility
                                               New ways of doing business
                                                                                                                                                Smart Mobility is reshaping the value chain, with new influencers,
                                               When they emerge, these new Smart Industries disrupt                                             new comers, new suppliers from other industries that play a
                                                                                                                                                crucial role across key technologies
                                               current markets and reshuffle competitive dynamics.

                                               In Mobility for example, digital platforms and integrators                                                     New                                     Natively integrate services
                                                                                                                                                            influencer                              and capture customer interface
                                               offer new services and solutions to end users. They
                                               increasingly disintermediate the traditional car manufacturers
                                                                                                                                                  Cities       Digital
                                               and capture the customer interface. With the prevalence                                                     integrators
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              End user

                                               of electronics and software in modern vehicles, suppliers
                                               from other industries have entered the mobility space and
                                               compete directly with tier 1 incumbents on key technologies.                                                              On-demand                  Shared                Public
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         New
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         offer
                                                                                                                                                                                               (car, bike, scooter)     Transport
                                                                                                                                                            Platforms

                                                                                                                                                                OEMs
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  Risk of losing
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  customer
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  interface

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            Newcomers from
                                                                                                                                                             Suppliers                                                                       other industries
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            (e.g. electronics,
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                software)

                                                                                                                                                                           Traditional players     Industry today      New players   Future shift

4 | Smart Industries, Choose France 2020                                                                                                                                                  Smart Industries, Choose France 2020 | 5
Smart Industries for better societies                                            platforms, electric powertrains and autonomous vehicles,
                                                                                 coupled with on-demand shared mobility, is paving the way
Our societies are facing increasingly pressing challenges,                       for new services to thrive, e.g. self-driving autonomous taxis
from climate change and resource scarcity, to densification                      and shared electric cars, bikes and scooters. Ultimately,
of urbanization and demographical changes. Smart                                 these new ways of moving will help reduce the number of
Industries will bring new solutions to the market to solve                       personal cars in cities, reducing traffic congestion and
these challenges. As an example, the rise of connected                           carbon footprint.

    Illustration in Mobility
    Innovation in technology…                                                    …and innovation in business models…
    Not exhaustive                                                               Not exhaustive

                                                                                  On-demand Mobility        Shared Mobility          Mobility-as-a-Service

         Connected                       Electric          Autonomous
          Mobility                       Mobility            Mobility

                                                           …solve key mobility challenges

      Urbanization
                                               Traffic congestion         Pollution                    Densification                       Accessibility

Opportunities to capture
The Smart Industries are the next industrial revolution and                      ~17% of the global mobility market in 2030. Smart Energy
represent tremendous opportunities for increased growth                          will comprise ~8% of global energy consumption.
and employment. In the next 10 years, we estimate the
                                                                                 It is critical that countries and companies build and develop
global smart markets to range from ~$0.9Tn to ~$2.3Tn.
                                                                                 enablers that will foster the development of these industries in
Smart Industries will represent a sizable share of global
                                                                                 order to capture the societal and economic potential they offer.
industries. As an example, Smart Mobility will account for

       Smart Industries expected market size in 2030

                     2.3 $Tn                               1.4 $Tn                      2.2 $Tn                                   0.9 $Tn
                        ~13%                                                                                                          ~17%
                      of global health                                                                                             of global mobility
                        expenditure                                                                                                      market

                     Smart Health                            Smart Food                  Smart Cities                             Smart Mobility

                                             1.7 $Tn                      1.0 $Tn                            1.5 $Tn
                                                                                                                  ~8%
                                                                                                               of global energy
                                                                                                                 consumption

                                              Smart Things                Smart Safety                        Smart Energy
Source: BCG analysis

6 | Smart Industries, Choose France 2020                                                                                                                     Smart Industries, Choose France 2020 | 7
Smart Health
                                                         What the future could look like

                                                                    Towards better quality:                                                      Toward better coverage:                                  Global market size ($B)
                                                                     Cell & Gene Therapies                                                    consumer-driven digital health

                                                                 Lymphocytes re-engineered in a lab                                   Tele healthcare, especially for regions facing                                              ~x3
                                                                    to target & kill cancer cells                                           lower physicians to patient ratio                                                                     ~2,270

Get to know the
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             55              45

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    140      140

                                                                                                                                                                                                            ~x4                                     175

Smart Industries
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             175

                                                                                                                                                                                                                               ~710
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        12
                                                                                                                                                                                                                         85
                                                                                                                                                                                                                         85
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   ?         1,850

                                                                                                                                                                                                           ~160         515       515

                                                      Lymphocytes                                    Lymphocytes                        mHealth                             Health analytics to             2018               2025                2030
                                                     extracted from                                infused back into                 e.g. medical                           foster early stage
                                                     patient's body                                   the patient's                  or fitness app                             treatment                    2%                   6%               13%
                                                                                                          body
                                                                                                                                                                                                                    of global health spending
                                                                                                                                                                                                                    Cell and gene therapies
                                                                                                                                                                                                                    Artificial intelligence and algorithms
                                                                       Quantum computing may                                                           Digital health systems
                                                                           allow faster drug                                                           e.g. electronic health                                       Diagnostics
                                                                       discovery and improved                                                         records, e-prescription                                       Advanced drug delivery
                                                                         diagnostic capability
                                                                                                                                                                                                                    Consumer-driven digital health

                                           Source
                                                         Smart Food
                                                         What the future could look like
                                                                         Smart farming                                                                  Organic food
                                                                                                                                                                                                          Global market size ($B)
                                                                           Drone major applications
                                                                           • crop supervision                                                                                                                                  ~x2
                                                                           • spraying                                                                  Agriculture respectful of land                                                             ~1,370
                                                                           • irrigation                                                                • Food grown free of chemicals
                                                                                                                                                                                                              ~x2
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             95
                                                                           • soil and land assessment                                                  • Crops that do not require
                                                                                                                                                         pesticides                                                                                          280

                                                                                                                                                       • Non abusive exploitation of soil                                      ~900                    175
                                                                                                                                                                                                                          39
                                                               Livestock monitoring &                                                                                                                                    197
                                                                         management
                                                                                                                                                                                                            ~470                                             996

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         668

                                                                                                                                                                                                            2017               2025                2030
                                                                         Precision crop farming                                           Protein alternative sources
                                                                         using field sensors to gather data                     for nutrition such as plants, algae and
                                                                                                                                 insects to reduce meat consumption                                                 Smart farming
                                                                                                                                                                                                                    Organic food
                                                                                                                                                                                                                    Engineered food1

                                               1. Incl. functional, encapsulated and genetically modified food

                                                         Smart Cities
                                                         What the future could look like
                                                                                                                                                            Smart water                                   Global market size ($B)
                                                                                                                                                            management
                                                                                               Data for real-time
                                                                                               action
                                                                                                                                                            with smart meters
                                                                                                                                                            & use and flow sensing
                                                                                                                                                                                                                               ~x3
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   ~2,220
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             368

                                                              Smart                                                                                                                                          ~x3                                       140

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       175   570
                                                       maintenance                                                                24/7
                                                       of equipment                                                               condition                                                                                    ~840                          598
                                                                                                                                  monitoring                                                                             123
                                                                                                                                                                     HVAC                                                251
                                                                                 Interconnectivity                                                             Fans, variable air                           ~270                        210                  684
                                                                                                                                                                                                              !33
                                                                                 & communication                                                              volume, air quality                                                       255

                                                                                                                                                                                                            2019               2025                2030

                                                                                                                                                            Access and security badge
                                                                                                                                                                                                                    Smart Governance
                                                                                           Lighting occupancy sensing                                       in, cameras, integration
                                                                                                                                                                                                                    Smart Buildings
                                                                                            for efficient consumption                                       perimeter, doors2
                                                                                                                                                                                                                    Smart Ticketing/Parking
                                                                                                    of energy1
                                                                                                                                                                                                                    Smart Education
                                                      Focus on Smart Buildings

                                                    1. Excluded from sizing, part of other Smart Industries resp. Energy for Lighting occupancy and Security & Safety for Access and security means.

8 | Smart Industries, Choose France 2020                                                                                                                                                               Smart Industries, Choose France 2020 | 9
Smart Mobility                                                                                                                                                            Smart Energy
        What the future could look like                                                                                                                                           What the future could look like
                                                                                                                            Global market size ($B)                                                                                                                       Global market size ($B)

                                                               Dynamic traffic
                                                                                                                                                    ~x2                           Wind power plant                                                         Houses

                                                               management
                                                                                                                                                                 ~870                                                                                                                      ~x3                ~1470
                                                                                                                                                                            90
                                                                                                     New modes of                                                     140
                                                                                                                                                                      90                                                                                                                                              277

                                                                                                                              ~x4
                                                                                                                                                                            130
                                                                                                     (shared) transport,                                          130
                                                                                                                                                                  175
                                                                                                     e.g., air taxis                                ~500                          Solar power plant                    SMART GRID
                                                        Easy intermodal
                                                        connections
                                                                                                                                                           50
                                                                                                                                                           70
                                                                                                                                                                  330
                                                                                                                                                                            330                                                                                              ~x3                                      526

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          Factories                         ~530
                                                                                                                                                           170    !
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        138
  Centralized charging &                                                                                                     ~110                    515
                                                                                                                                                                  320       320                                                                                                                                       664
 maintenance for AV fleets                                                                                                                                 205                    Water power plant                                                                         ~160                        190

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        203

                                                                                     Seamless user                            2017                  2025          2030
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             2019            2025              2030
                                                                                     experience                                3%                    11%          17%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              2%                 4%             8%
                                                                                                                                                                                  Nuclear power plant       Storage system to improve utilization rates    Offices             !of global energy consumption
                                                                                                                                      Data and Connectivity
                                                                                                                                                                                                            by                                                                      Smart Energy storage
                                                                                                                                      AV and BEV components
                                       New                                                                                                                                                                   • storing the excessive solar/wind power                               Power Electronics
                                                                              Autonomous                                              New car sales (BEV)                                                      and releasing it when necessary
                                       delivery                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     Smart Grid
                                                                                                                                      On-demand mobility                                                     • stabilizing power output
                                       systems                                electric mobility

        Smart Things
        What the future could look like
                          Retail                                                         Industry                           Global market size ($B)

       Personalized services / promotions
        based on customer preferences and
                                                                                                                                                    ~x4          ~1,750
                                                                                                                                                                            286
                               localization
                                                                               Smart inventory management
                                                                                 based on real time inventory
                                                                                                                                  ~x4
                                                                                                                                                                            581
                                                                               tracking and order automation

                           Smart inventory management                                                                                               ~440
                           using digital tags, beacons,                                                                                                    68               880
                           store shelf sensors and video                                                                     ~120              96

                           monitoring                                                   Self-optimizing production thanks                                  280
                                                                                                                                !89
                                                                                        to real-time adjustment of
                                                                                        production processes and sensors      2020                  2025          2030
                                                                                        on machines / environment

                                                                                                                                      Natural resources

                            Self-checkout                                Predictive maintenance                                       Retail
    with automatic basket price calculation                       for malfunction prediction and                                      Industry
          and digital payment technologies                         servicing optimizat. of costly/
                                                                               critical equipment
                                                                                                                            !Excluding Cities, Buildings and Home,
                                                                                                                            Mobility, Healthcare already covered in
                                                                                                                            dedicated smart industry

                                                                          -

        Smart Safety
        What the future could look like
                     Cybersecurity                                   Buildings / Public Safety & Security                   Global market size ($B)

                                                                                                                                                    ~x2          ~1,010
                                                                                                                                                                            203
                                                                                                                                                                      140

                                                                                                                                                                      175
                     New AI-driven tools to provide
                     response to greater cyber
                                                                                     In-house sensor networks allow
                                                                                     security enhancement, accident
                                                                                                                                 ~x3                                        390
                     vulnerability amplified by IoT,                                 prediction and faster intervention                             ~490
                     cloud, social media and digitization                            from concerned services                                   97

                                                                                                                                           149
                                                                                                                             ~190                                           413
                                                                                                                                                           245
                                                                                                                                         118

                                                                                                                              2018                  2025          2030
                                                                                     Connected camera networks
                                                                                     combine with image analysis help
                     More prevalent regulation                                       reduce criminality                               Public Safety and Security
                     especially through data privacy laws                             • Facial recognition at scale                   Buildings Safety and Security
                                                                                      • Public place screening (train                 Cybersecurity
                                                                                         stations, airports)

10 | Smart Industries, Choose France 2020                                                                                                                                                                                                                             Smart Industries, Choose France 2020 | 11
Typical innovation S-curve
                                                                                                      Illustrative shape

                                                                                                      Today, we are in the acceleration phase, where the capacity to innovate is critical to enabling the development of Smart Industries.

                                                                                                                                                  Current focus to win
                                                                                                                                              the battle of Smart Industries                                                                             Maturity
                                                                                                                                                                                                  Maturity
                                               From digital revolution to
                                               Smart Industries                                                                                                                                                        ow
                                                                                                                                                                                                                         th
                                                                                                                                                    wt
                                                                                                                                                       h                                                          Gr                                                     Next tech
                                                                                                                                                o
                                                                                                                                              Gr

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                Copyright © 2019 by Boston Consulting Group. All rights reserved.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       breakthrough
                                               The digital revolution has initiated a shift                                                                           Conception
                                                                                                         Traditional                                                                                                                                                      Conception
                                               in the way we organize businesses — from                  industries                                                 & Development
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        & Development

                                               static, evolutionary, vertical and company-            Conception & development

                                               centric ways of working, to a more                            Transition                                    Acceleration phase (~5 years)                                 Scale & compete (~10 years)                     Transition
                                                                                                                                                                                                               2. A pool of early-adopters keen to test/adopt new
                                               horizontal, disruptive and collaborative                                                   1. Setup smart ecosystems to enable a rapid
                                                                                                                                             acquisition, transfer and sharing of resources that                  products/services
                                               model leveraging digital ecosystems                                                           are driven by                                                     3. A robust infrastructure to support the deployment
                                                                                                                                                 • Deep tech assets
                                                                                                                                                                                                               4. A qualified and competitive workforce and
                                               (notably built by GAFAs but also by several                                                      • Industrial assets
                                                                                                                                                                                                                  affordable energy (also factoring indirect
                                                                                                                                             In a fragmented world due to high geographical,
                                               other tech giants), and where platforms                                                       industrial and functional disparity.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                  environment costs)
                                                                                                                                                                                                               5. Funding for large scale deployment
                                               have thrived.
                                                                                                     Note: X axis = time, Y axis = global market size

                                               Smart Industries will take this shift to
                                               the next level and create a new business
                                               organization model around Smart
                                               Ecosystems. They differentiate from well-       Industrial assets — Unlike the digital revolution, whose                                                        These technological and industrial assets evolve in a
                                               known digital ecosystems through two            digital applications came first, Smart industries rely both on                                                  fragmented world due to high geographical, industrial and
                                               characteristics:                                digital capabilities and vertical industry expertise with its                                                   functional disparity. They involve cross-sector and cross-
                                               Deep tech assets — Smart Industries             physical assets and infrastructure. There is no separation                                                      geography players that need to overcome the challenge of
                                                                                               between offline and online anymore, but a total integration.                                                    accessing these technological and industrial assets, and
                                 New Smart     rely on R&D intensive technologies and
                                               not only digital capabilities. We see seven     Furthermore, all Smart Industries rely on the availability                                                      that need to be brought together.

                                 Industries,   areas of emerging R&D technology that           of fast and secure connectivity. The deployment of 5G
                                                                                               network, for example, is imperative to supporting all
                                               are the most promising active fields and
                                 new Smart     will accelerate the development of these        Smart Industries.

                                 Ecosystems    industries: artificial intelligence, advanced
                                               materials, quantum computing, gene
                                               engineering, generative design, augmented
                                               and virtual reality, robotics and drones              Mature and Deep technologies supporting Smart Industries
                                               (in addition to technologies already at
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  Emerging techs:
                                               scale such as connectivity and cloud                                                                                     Mature techs                              Emerging techs: short term
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 medium/long term

                                               computing).                                          Level of relevance
                                                                                                    of technology:
                                                                                                                         Low     Middle High

                                               While these technologies have different                                                                     Connectivity /
                                                                                                                                                                5G
                                                                                                                                                                              Cloud
                                                                                                                                                                            computing   Sensors        AR/VR
                                                                                                                                                                                                                     Drones
                                                                                                                                                                                                                    & robotics
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 Generative
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   design
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 AI
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               & algo
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            Gene
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         engineering
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       Advanced
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       materials
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     Quantum
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    computing

                                               maturity and market-readiness, they                      Smart Health           Healthcare

                                               all have enormous potential to disrupt                                          Food & Beverage
                                                                                                        Smart Food
                                               markets and create new ones. To name                                            Agriculture

                                               a few of the foreseen disruptions, 3D                    Smart Cities
                                                                                                                               Construction

                                               printing and generative design in the                                           Waste & water
                                                                                                                               Automotive &
                                               automotive industry are expected to bring                Smart Mobility
                                                                                                                               transportation
                                                                                                                               Aerospace & airline
                                               a 75% reduction in materials, allowing for                                      services
                                                                                                                               Retail/Consumer
                                               lower emissions, lower car weight and a                                         products

                                               reduction in inventories. Gene engineering               Smart Things           Mobile / Telecom

                                               will enable the design of seeds that don’t                                      Industrial goods

                                               require fertilizers while maximizing the                 Smart Safety           Software

                                               yield of cereal fields.                                  Smart Energy           Energy and utilities

                                                                                                     Source: BCG analysis
                                               These emerging technologies are
                                               significant breakthroughs and their IP is
                                               hardly accessible. They require a long time
                                               and substantial capital to develop and to
                                               reach real-life applications.

12 | Smart Industries, Choose France 2020                                                                                                                                                                                                           Smart Industries, Choose France 2020 | 13
Smart Ecosystems                                                                                      These ecosystems are complex and require coordinated
                                                                                                      governance, orchestrated by a few leading large players. On
A new governance model based on smart ecosystems of                                                   the one hand, everyone in the ecosystem will benefit from
universities and R&D centers, corporations (from start-ups to                                         the orchestrators' strong existing assets. On the other hand,
large players), incubators and innovation centers, investors                                          orchestrators will have access to ecosystem resources as
and governments is required to enable a rapid acquisition,                                            they cannot only rely on their internal capabilities to cope
transfer and sharing of resources to build not only individual                                        with the pace and the breadth of innovation. Interactions
products but the complete, innovative solutions of tomorrow.                                          become dynamic and co-evolutionary.

These Smart Ecosystems serve that purpose by bringing
                                                                                                      The right regulatory conditions
together skills, knowledge, expertise, data, market access,
relationships, funding and tangible assets. This exchange                                             Regulators must create the right conditions for these Smart
of resources open new areas of possibilities and set-up a                                             Industries to become a reality. For example, aviation regulators
conducive environment to build the products and services                                              around the world have adopted different approaches for testing
of tomorrow.                                                                                          drones. While the U.S. granted Amazon permission to test
                                                                                                      delivery drones only in 2019, the Civil Aviation Administration
1. Sharing and acquiring new capabilities that can be
                                                                                                      of China gave JD.com permission first in 2016. The Chinese
   too expensive or time-consuming to build internally
                                                                                                      e-retailer had a head start and now possesses the world’s
   (e.g. knowledge and technological assets, industrial
                                                                                                      largest drone delivery system, infrastructure and capabilities.
   capabilities, data).
                                                                                                      Also, data is a critical element for Smart Industries, and
2. Substantial funding to support all the phases of                                                   regulators will need to create the right conditions for data
   development, from early research to commercial                                                     use and access while protecting users’ rights and privacy.
   application.
3. Ability to scale fast to achieve critical mass (e.g. market                                        User buy-in is crucial for the development of the Smart
   access and business guidance, network effect) and                                                  Industries. Regulators need to adopt a cautious step-by-
   share risks.                                                                                       step approach to build citizen trust, ensure their safety and
                                                                                                      respect key principles such as privacy, data protection, data
4. Flexibility & resilience to enable high variety, capacity
                                                                                                      access and ethics (e.g. human genome editing). Those
   to evolve and improve adaptation to fast-changing
                                                                                                      principles are also fundamental in B2B relations as trust is
   environments where consumer needs can be unpredictable
                                                                                                      critical in ecosystems.
   and technological trajectories are uncertain.

                                                                                           Corporations
     Illustration of
     Smart Ecosystem
     interactions
                                                                                           Large players
                                                                Suppliers                                            Startups

                                 Universities &
                                                                                                                                       Investors
                                Research Centers

                                                                       Incubators /
                                                                                                              Governments
                                                                    Innovation centers
                       Main flows

         1    Share and acquire new capabilities                                   2                   3 Ability to scale fast             4 Flexibility & resilience

         !Knowledge &       !Industrial                                                !Substantial       !Market access    !Network &                          !Agility &
                                                                !Data                                                                        !Experimentation
           tech assets capabilities & assets                                              funding           & expertise    relationships                          speed
       Note: data exchanges involving all players – not displayed for simplicity

14 | Smart Industries, Choose France 2020                                                                                                                                    Smart Industries, Choose France 2020 | 15
Europe and its assets                                           One Europe — European countries must join efforts to
                                                                                                                           overcome political, economic and social fragmentation, to
                                                           So far, the U.S. and China have led the digital revolution      ensure seamless access to the entire European market in
                                                           and are betting on the industrial potential of emerging         order to achieve scale and reach critical mass. They should:
                                                           technologies. Yet Europe has tremendous capabilities to
                                                           leverage to accelerate the development of Smart Industries.     1. Think impact at European scale — Stop promoting
                                                                                                                              fragmented pilot projects in each country and collectively
                                                           Europe has leading edge existing technological assets. It          focus on building two or three competing Smart
                                                           is a land of choice for innovation. Along with its historical      Ecosystems for each Smart Industry. As an example,
                                                           cultural radiance, Europeans have tremendous scientific            while the US, China or India have or plan to have a limited
                                                           background and talent. For example, Europe is the number           number of hubs of excellence (2-3 maximum per sector,
                                                           one region when it comes to the absolute number of AI              as co-location is proven as a recipe for success), Europe
                                                           talent, and out of the top 40 universities in AI research, at      has announced more than 200 hubs, and the number
                                                           least one-third are European.                                      continues to grow. European governments will have to
                                                                                                                              accept that favoring their own national champions will not
                                                           Historical industrial revolutions have started in Europe
                                                                                                                              always result in the best outcome for the local economy.

03
                                                           and the continent has a strong industrial background built
                                                           upon a diversified and historical network of industries.        2. Set standards — Intensify efforts to establish common
                                                           Furthermore, Europe is leading the charge to tackle our            norms and standards to simplify ways of doing business,
                                                           societies' most imminent challenges (such as climate               unify market and give long term visibility. As an example,
                                                           change) that Smart Industries aim to solve.                        GSM as a technological standard was critical for the
                                   Europe has a                                                                               development of telcos in Europe.

                                   critical role to play   A critical role to play
                                   in accelerating the     To play its role in the next wave of Smart Industries,
                                   development of          Europe should achieve market scale (One Europe) and set
                                                           the right conditions for Smart Ecosystems orchestrators to
                                   Smart Industries        emerge, while continuing to strengthen its deep tech and
                                                           industrial assets.

                                                           Illustration: European battery industry

                                                              Europe is joining forces to create                             … and implement projects
                                                              its own battery industry…                                      orchestrated by industry leaders

                                                                                                                                Project example
                                                                    7 countries will provide 3.2B in public
                                                                        funding to support a consortium
                                                                  of 17 companies that will share capabilities
                                                                  to master full battery value chain from raw
                                                                        material extraction to recycling
                                                                                                                                      PSA & SAFT are orchestrating the
                                                                                                                                      construction of 2 production sites
                                                                                                                                        in France & Germany by 2022

                                                                                                                                          ~3k jobs will be generated

                                                              Source: European Commission, Press Search

 16 | Smart Industries, Choose France 2020                                                                                                            Smart Industries, Choose France 2020 | 17
Smart Ecosystems orchestrators — Europe must enable
the emergence of leading orchestrators for each Smart
                                                                   7. Educate citizens — Develop reskilling and awareness
                                                                      programs about technologies for workers and users (not
                                                                                                                                     Focus on France
Ecosystem to embark everyone on the journey towards Smart             just top talent). On the one hand, a large part of the labor
Industries — not only European companies, but also U.S.,              market already need to be retrained or obtain new skills
Asian, and any other company that can positively contribute           - 54% of the working population by 2022 according to           Large and attractive talent pool
to the development of Smart Industries. The absence of                WEF. And this should accelerate with Smart Industries.
orchestrators is the recipe for failure as this role is critical      On the other hand, it is important to increase users’
to steer impactful ecosystems. To do so, Europe should:               practical understanding of new technologies to foster
                                                                      their adoption. For instance, the Finnish Government has
3. Develop industrial strategy — Set common, focused                  launched a free online course on AI with the support of
   industrial plans that allow leading players to compete on          private companies that aims to teach European citizens
   the orchestrator roles and take risks. When no natural             the basics of AI.
   leader is able to fill this role, Europe should proactively
   help orchestrators to emerge as it recently did in the
   battery sector.                                                 A Win-Win-Win approach
4. Adapt long term incentives — Favor long term investment                                                                             Engineers in France – highest                     Rate of researchers per 1k of                      Most popular destination with
   and support orchestrators in creating an attractive economic    This requires a results-driven and coordinated plan at the          number in Europe with Germany -                   working people – ahead of US,                      ~250k international students
   environment (e.g. ready-to-use implementation sites pre-        European level. This joint approach is Win-Win-Win:                 and ~40K new engineers graduate                   Germany & UK                                       each year
   cleared from paperwork, tax credit to incentivize R&D).                                                                             each year
                                                                   • Win for local governments, which can foster job creation
Leading deep tech and industrial assets — Europe must                with the new Smart Industries.
continue to invest in emerging technologies and create the         • Win for industry players, which will benefit from Europe's      Strong assets in Tech
right conditions to transform fundamental research into              assets and market scale to experiment and develop new
commercial and industrial applications.                              products and services. This will also reinforce the network
                                                                     of their ecosystems. For an orchestrator, this is the core
5. Implement innovation-enabling regulatory framework
                                                                     asset to beat competition in the 2020s. And smaller
   — Create nurturing regulation with long term visibility.
                                                                     companies can benefit from the ecosystems' resources.
   First, Europe must allow real-life testing to validate proof                                                                      An environment of Tech innovation                                             Illustration in Artificial Intelligence
                                                                   • Win for our societies, for which Smart Industries aim to
   of concepts while ensuring high safety (refer to JD.com
                                                                     solve the most pressing challenges.                             • ~300 incubators and ~50 accelerators incl. Station F                        • ¼ of AI startups in Europe located in France while
   drones example highlighted in the previous section).
                                                                                                                                       world's biggest startup campus (~1k start-ups)                                Europe is #1 Region in the absolute number of AI talent
   Similarly, Europe needs to set the right conditions for
                                                                   All European countries should work together to embrace            • ~€3.6Bn raised from investors in 2018 for 9.4k                              • 3 French universities / institutes in the European
   efficient use of data (e.g. privacy, protection and access
                                                                   change and accelerate the development of the Smart                  French Tech startups                                                          top 5 in AI
   rights) and respect of ethics (e.g. human genome editing
                                                                   Industries. In Choose France, we choose Europe as a
   for reproductive purposes).
                                                                   leading innovation force for the world.
6. Enable funding — Create an environment that enables
   private funding (from corporate and also VC funds) and                                                                            Global influence
   provide ambitious and focused public investments for
   priority industries to fund the startup and scaling phase
   that can be recouped only once the ecosystem is fully
   established — and be ready to fail. A recent study by the
   BCG Henderson Institute found that fewer than 15% of the
   57 ecosystems investigated were sustainable in the long
   run. Knowing when to recognize failure is key.
                                                                                                                                     French politicians with high radiance within Europe                           International innovation summit

                                                                                                                                     • Thierry Breton, European Commissioner for                                   • with 3,3k investors, 13k startups and
                                                                                                                                       Internal Market                                                               124k visitors in 2019
                                                                                                                                     • Christine Lagarde, President of the European
                                                                                                                                       Central Bank

                                                                                                                                     Source: Conférence des Directeurs des Ecoles Françaises d'Ingénieurs, UNESCO, Dealroom, Vivatech, BCG analysis

18 | Smart Industries, Choose France 2020                                                                                                                                                                                                         Smart Industries, Choose France 2020 | 19
France       Drones
  Intelligence
     Capabilities      Robotics
             Virtual     Energy
             Cities Things
                    Health
                       Smart
                                  Ecosystem

                         Industry
                                  Food
              Mobility
                            Quantum

         Safety
   Printing
                     Sensors
         Europe
Innovation          Materials
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