SOUTH AFRICA: BETWEEN A ROCK AND A HARD PLACE - Ipsos

 
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SOUTH AFRICA: BETWEEN A ROCK AND A HARD PLACE - Ipsos
SOUTH AFRICA:
BETWEEN A ROCK
AND A HARD PLACE
The tension between the economic downturn
and the fear of the Covid-19 pandemic

Ipsos South Africa
7 August, 2020

 © 2020 Ipsos. All rights reserved. Contains Ipsos' Confidential and Proprietary information and may
 not be disclosed or reproduced without the prior written consent of Ipsos.
SOUTH AFRICA: BETWEEN A ROCK AND A HARD PLACE - Ipsos
THE STORY SO FAR…

          1                    2                    3                  4                    5                   6

  March ‘20              April ‘20             May ‘20            June ‘20             July ‘20           August ‘20
 Covid-19 seen as      The Lockdown will    Reality dawns: our   Uncertainty and   Getting to terms: we    Dealing with
an economic rather     last longer than 3   lives are changing    confusion; job    are in this for the    corruption?
than a health crisis         weeks!                                  losses              long haul

   2 © Ipsos 2020
SOUTH AFRICA: BETWEEN A ROCK AND A HARD PLACE - Ipsos
THE WORLD IS HEADING IN THE WRONG DIRECTION
61% globally think the world is heading in the wrong direction, with 79% of South Africans thinking
the country is heading in the wrong direction
World

                               -61%                                    39%

South Africa

         -79%                                              16%

  3 © Ipsos 2020                                                                           July 2020

 Source: Ipsos Global Advisor (What Worries the World)
SOUTH AFRICA: BETWEEN A ROCK AND A HARD PLACE - Ipsos
…AS GLOBALLY, THERE ARE MANY CONCERNS
Covid-19 is becoming less of a threat - there are now more serious concerns

70%
 0,7

60%
 0,6
                                                                                                                 Coronavirus /
                                                                                                                 Covid-19
50%
 0,5
                                                                                                                 Unemployment

40%
 0,4                                                                                                             Poverty & Social
                                                                                                                 Inequality

30%
 0,3
                                                                                                                 Financial / Political
                                                                                                                 Corruption

20%
 0,2                                                                                                             Crime & Violence

                                                                                                                 Healthcare
10%
 0,1

 0%
  0

             Jan '20                     Feb '20         Mar '20   Apr '20   May '20   Jun '20   Jul '20

  4 © Ipsos 2020                                                                                           January - July 2020

 Source: Ipsos Global Advisor (What Worries the World)
SOUTH AFRICA: BETWEEN A ROCK AND A HARD PLACE - Ipsos
WE CONTINUE THE GRADUAL MARCH TO RE-ENTRY…
           “There are often several phases or stages that people go through when times are hard. Which one of the following phases do you feel best
           describes your current situation?”

              PRE                                                        ADJUST-                                                     OPENING                                                         NEW
                                       PREPARATION                                               ACCLIMATISATION                                                   RE-START                                                  POST PANDEMIC
            PANDEMIC                                                      MENT                                                         UP                                                           NORMAL

           The pandemic has not         I am getting ready for
                                                                   I am reacting day-by-day to      I have adapted to the                                       I am starting to do some                                     I feel the pandemic is behind
          reached my area and/or      possible new restrictions,                                                                 It seems restrictions will                                  I am doing most of the things
                                                                        the restrictions and     restrictions and settled into                                things again that used to be                                   me, and I am moving on with
            there have been no        preparing, and stockpiling                                                                 soon be lifted in my area                                      I used to do pre-Covid
                                                                     establishing new routines           new routines                                                   restricted                                                         life
                restrictions           supplies where possible

 WW
 June             5%                            8%                        17%                             32%                             9%                            17%                              9%                             4%
18 - 21

 WW
 May             3%                             8%                        21%                             41%                            13%                           7%                               5%                              3%
 7-10

  SA
 May             2%                            6%                          27%                            45%                            10%                           6%                               2%                              1%
14 - 17

               5 © Ipsos 2020                                                                                                                                                                                           May - June 2020
              Sources:   Ipsos Signals webinar – 8 July’20
SOUTH AFRICA: BETWEEN A ROCK AND A HARD PLACE - Ipsos
BUT RETURNING TO NORMAL IS TAKING INORDINATELY LONG
There is a significant increase in nearly all countries that a return to normal will be at least a year.

               How long do you think it will take before things feel like they are getting
               back to normal?

                                                                                                                                    In March, South
                                                                                                                                    Africans thought
                                                                             58%

                                  44%         45%   43%                                        44%
                                                                                                                        50%         the Coronavirus
             41%                                                                                       39%
   37%                                  38%                                                                    36%
                       29%
                                                                   35%
                                                                                   28%   29%                                        would be a thing
                                                           24%
                                                                                                                                    of the past by
                                                                                                                                    June…
  WW          AU        BR        CA    DE    ES    FR      IN      IT       JP    MX    RU    SK      UK       US       ZA
                                                          Change since May
     8         13         8        8     5     5     9       7       0       16    15     9    19        1        7       14

                                                                                                    % 1-2 years & 2 years or more
  6 © Ipsos 2020                                                                                                                            May - June 2020

 Source: Ipsos Essential Report
SOUTH AFRICA: BETWEEN A ROCK AND A HARD PLACE - Ipsos
THAT DOESN’T MEAN WE’RE COMFORTABLE WITH IT
Anxiety about resuming normal activities is particularly high in India, Brazil, Japan, Mexico and
South Africa
               Thinking about resuming normal activities after the pandemic makes me
               feel very anxious.

                                                              82%                                                             There is a growing
                       74%                                                74%   72%
                                                                                            65%                    67%        recognition that
                                                                                                    62%
                                                                                                            59%
  57%
                                                  51%                                 51%
                                                                                                                              we will not be
            47%                                                     45%
                                  39%                   39%                                                                   returning to the
                                            35%
                                                                                                                              lives we knew
                                                                                                                              anytime soon.

  WW         AU         BR        CA         DE   ES    FR    IN    IT    JP    MX    RU    SK      UK      US      ZA

                                                                                                  % Strongly/Somewhat Agree
 7 © Ipsos 2020                                                                                                                      May - June 2020
 Sources:   Ipsos Signals Webinar – 8 July 2020
SOUTH AFRICA: BETWEEN A ROCK AND A HARD PLACE - Ipsos
WE QUESTION IF NORMAL WILL EVER LOOK LIKE ‘NORMAL’
AGAIN?
Mexicans, Indians, South Africans and Brazilians expect to adapt to a new world

               Over time people will resume ‘regular’ activities. Thinking long-term,
               which of these statements will best apply to you?*

                                                           62%                     63%
                                                                                                                                   “A brave new
                                                                                                                                   world…”
                       55%                                                                                              55%
                                                                             48%
                                              42%                                                44%            42%
   40%                                                                                                  39%
                                  35%
             32%                                                   30%
                                        23%         24%
                                                                                                                                   *   I will change many things about the
                                                                                         17%                                           way I live and what I do
                                                                                                                                   *   My life will completely change as a
                                                                                                                                       result of Covid-19

  WW          AU        BR        CA    DE    ES    FR      IN      IT       JP    MX    RU      SK      UK     US      ZA
                                                          Change since May
     3          8         3        -4    6     1     -3     10       -7      19    18     1       10      6       2      -1

                                                                                              % Many changes & Completely change
  8 © Ipsos 2020                                                                                                                                     May - June 2020

 Source: Ipsos Essential Report
SOUTH AFRICA: BETWEEN A ROCK AND A HARD PLACE - Ipsos
…AND THERE ARE MANY NEW RISKS TO BE TAKEN
South Africans foresee also many practical risks to be taken in the post-Covid world
                                                                  WW / Total           South Africa

                                         Dining at a restaurant                64%                             83%

                                              Taking a vacation                64%                             83%

                         Going to salons, barber shops, or spas                62%                             78%

     Attending in-person gatherings of friends and family
                                                                               59%                             80%
                                 outside your household

                                     Going to the grocery store                52%                             76%

                                      Shopping at retail stores                52%                             77%

             Returning to your normal place of employment                      50%                             69%

                                                Doing your job                 43%                             51%

                                                                                     % Large & Moderate Risk
  9 © Ipsos 2020                                                                                  June 2020

 Source: Ipsos Essential Report
SOUTH AFRICA: BETWEEN A ROCK AND A HARD PLACE - Ipsos
… AND CHOICES TO BE MADE
Living with the tension between public health and the economy

                                                                                  Neutral
                             13%
                                                                                  13%
                         Neutral
                                                            30%

                                                        Strongly
              18%                                        Agree                    Public Health is more important
           Agree
                                                                                  55%
                       13%
                                                  25%
                 Strongly
                  Agree                         Agree                             The Economy is more important

                                                                                  31%

 10 © Ipsos 2020                                                                                                    June 2020

 Source: Ipsos News24 Survey – Q15.1. Statements: Public health vs. the economy
THE SOUTH AFRICAN ECONOMY HAS BEEN STRUGGLING
FOR A WHILE
GDP QTR Growth Overview                       Unemployment is on the rise

Consumer Confidence                           Weakening Rand

11 © Ipsos 2020                                                             May - June 2020
Source: FNB and Bureau of Economic Research
        http://www.statssa.gov.za/?p=13401
AND COVID-19 HAS MADE THINGS WORSE

For its part, S&P notes that 2020 has one thing in common with previous years — most South Africans will be poorer at
the end of the year than they were at the start. The government can at least blame the pandemic this year.
https://www.dailymaverick.co.za/article/2020-05-25-sp-sees-sa-economy-contracting-4-5-in-2020-and-notes-sour-long-term-gdp-per-capita-trend/#gsc.tab=0

   12 © Ipsos 2020                                                                                                                                                  May - June 2020
   Source: https://www.dailymaverick.co.za/article/2020-05-25-sp-sees-sa-economy-contracting-4-5-in-2020-and-notes-sour-long-term-gdp-per-capita-trend/#gsc.tab=0
           https://businesstech.co.za/news/government/409499/ramaphosa-warns-of-job-losses-we-have-to-be-realistic-about-our-prospects/
           https://twitter.com/TheSun/status/1256395482500341761
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   13 © Ipsos 2020                        MAREE FOUCHE                                                                  +27 (0)82 379 4497                               maree.fouche@ipsos.com
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14 © Ipsos 2020
AND THIS ANXIETY IS EXPECTED TO LINGER
Over 50% stating their finances have severely been affected & those not yet impacted anticipate to
be impacted in the future.
     APRIL 2020                                                                           MAY / JUNE 2020
Do you agree or disagree with the following:                                          Q: How severely or not has the Covid-19 pandemic affected your
Very Likely / Somewhat Likely                                                            personal finances
                                                                                           0 is no effect at all and 10 is severely affected                                                     33%

The coronavirus or COVID-19
                                                                                                                                        10%                        9%   11%         9%
outbreak will have a financial                                                           5%          3%          4%          3%                          6%
impact on me and my family
                                                                                          1           2           3            4           5             6         7     8            9          10
                    90%
                                                                                      Q: How was your salary/wage/income affected by the Covid-19
                                                                                         pandemic?
                                                                                       Salary / Wage / income was reduced                                     35
A major employer in South
                                                                                                                Job was lost                   14
Africa or in my city will go out
                                                                                       Was requested to take unpaid leave              8
of business
                                                                                       No difference yet, but expect change                         21
                    75%
                                                                                        No difference, change not expected                          21
                                                                                                    Salary / wage increased        1

                                                     Wave 2: n=1,000 / N=26,411,804

  15 © Ipsos 2020                                                                                                                                                            April - June 2020
   Sources:   Ipsos Covid Tracker: 20-23 April 2020
              Ipsos News24 Research: 25 May – 4 June 2020
UNEMPLOYMENT IS OUR TOP CONCERN
With the COVID-19 pandemic only ranking 4th after Corruption and Crime & Violence
76% stated that they were earning an income pre-lockdown and of them 78% said their job security and salary have been affected by the
lockdown. Covid-19 is ranked 4th on SA’s Worries. SA continues to feel the strain from pre-Covid19 issues.

                          South African Worries – July 2020                                                                                          Unemployment is a global issue

                      Unemployment                                                                 60%

                   Crime & Violence                                                            55%
                                                                                                                                                                                     62%                                       60%
    Financial/Political Corruption                                                          51%                                                                   59%                                        59%
                                                                                                                                                                               50%                51%
                           Coronavirus                                         36%                                                      47%
                                                                                                                                 40%                                    39%
      Poverty & Social Inequality                                            34%                                                                 34%                                       35%         35%
                                                                                                                                              30%                                                                  31%29%
                              Education                     14%
                                                                                                                                                            19%
                            Healthcare                     13%

                Immigration Control                   7%

                        Moral Decline               5%                                                                            WW AU BR CA DE ES FR IN                              IT JP MX RU SK UK US ZA
                                                                                                                                                                             Change since June
                                 Inflation          5%                                                                             -2     -     -6     -3    +1    -6       -2   -3    -4    -4   +1    -3    -4    +2    -5    +1

 16 © Ipsos 2020                                                                                                                                                                                              July 2020
 Sources:   Ipsos What Worries the World – Q7. Were you earning an income from employment before lockdown started (i.e. salary, wages or income from a business you own)?
DECLINE IN JOB SECURITY

Jobs Index                                                             More confident about job security
100%                                                                   100%

 50%                                                                    50%

  0%                                                                     0%

-50%                                                                   -50%

-100%                                                                  -100%

            Jan              Feb      Mar   Apr   May   Jun      Jul           Jan     Feb     Mar      Apr      May       Jun          Jul

Lost job as a result of economic conditions                            Likelihood of losing job as a result of economic conditions
100%                                                                   100%

 50%                                                                    50%

  0%                                                                     0%

-50%                                                                   -50%

-100%                                                                  -100%

            Jan              Feb      Mar   Apr   May   Jun      Jul           Jan     Feb     Mar      Apr      May       Jun          Jul

17 © Ipsos 2020
                                                        Global         South Africa                               January – July 2020
 Sources:   Ipsos Global Indicators
WITH MOST TRUSTING THE GOVERNMENT LESS THAN
BEFORE THE PANDEMIC
Although most respondents believed that the government is handling the Covid-19 pandemic well, the trust in government is
less now than before pre-Covid-19.

                                                                        Neutral
                                                                        19%

                                                 16%                    I trust the government more now
                        19%
                                             Strongly                   37%
                     Neutral                  Agree
                                                                        I trust the government less now
                                                             21%
                                                                        44%
                                                            Agree
                   27%
                                                                                                         Age split
               Strongly                                                                                                                55%
                Agree                                                      47%                                             46%
                                             17%                                             41%   40%
                                                                                  38%                                35%
                                            Agree                                                                                26%

                                                                              18-24            25-34                  35-49         50+

 18 © Ipsos 2020                                                                                                                 June 2020

 Source: Ipsos News24 Survey – Q15.6. Statements: Trust in Government
THERE IS STILL STRONG APPROVAL FOR THE PRESIDENT
    Nkosazana Dlamini-Zuma                                                    Bheki Cele                                                        Zweli Mkize                             Cyril Ramaphosa

                                       5.14                                                          5.18                                                            6.67                                7.34
                                     COUNTRY                                                     COUNTRY                                                            COUNTRY                             COUNTRY
                                     AVERAGE                                                     AVERAGE                                                            AVERAGE                             AVERAGE

         Nkosazana Dlamini-Zuma                                 Similar to NDZ, Bheki Cele has low                               Much better support in the three               Strong support for the president in
     received low approval overall, this                        approval amongst the three major                                major provinces than BC and NDZ.                DA led WC, similarly in GAU and
         could be attributed to the                               provinces. Increased GBV and                                 Receiving mostly neutral sentiments;           KZN. Most South Africans approve of
     negative sentiments pertaining to                           mishandling of civilians by SAPS                               public generally agrees with health            the way President Ramaphosa has
              the tobacco ban                                     has contributed to a poor public                                  and safety measurements                        responded to the pandemic
                                                                               image

10 – Strongly
     10       Approve
      9
      8
      7
                                                                                                                                                              7,05 7,28          7,26     7,34 7,51 7,55
      6                                                                                                                                                                                           KZN    GAU
                                                                                                                                                     6,67     GAU    KZN          WC    COUNTRY
                                                6,00                                                                                      6,25
      5                               5,65                                                    5,69 5,83                                    WC     COUNTRY                               AVERAGE
                                                 KZN                                 5,18                                                         AVERAGE
                             5,14                                                              GAU      KZN
      4          4,54                  GAU                               4,68
                           COUNTRY                                                COUNTRY
      3            WC      AVERAGE                                         WC
                                                                                  AVERAGE
      2
      1
 0 – Strongly
      0       Disapprove

       19 © Ipsos 2020                                                                                                                                                                            June 2020

       Source: Ipsos News24 Survey – Q3. How would you rate the way the following government officials have handled their jobs during the Covid-19 outbreak
SOUTH AFRICANS FEEL GOVERNMENT’S COMMUNICATION
SHOULD IMPROVE
The drop in trust in government could have been influenced by some of the rules and regulations they undertook in order to manage the Covid-
19 outbreak. Although most of the respondents supported the initiatives the government undertook, majority of respondents also felt that
communication was vague and confusing.

                   Vague and confusing communication                                                                                         Support for the Government
                          from the Government                                                                                                    stimulus package
 100%

  90%                                                                                                                                                                        Both the R500 billion government
  80%                                                                                                                                                                        stimulus package and the initiative to
  70%                                                                                                                                                                        assist the poor, were supported by
  60%
                                                                                                                                                                             60% of the respondents. It was
                                  52%
                                                                                                                                                                             mostly respondents who lived in
  50%
                                                                                                                                                                             Gauteng, KwaZulu Natal and the
  40%                                                    36%
                                                                                                                                                                             Western Cape who supported the
  30%
                                                                                                                                                                             R500 billion stimulus package. While
  20%
                                                                                 12%                                                                                         participants aged between 18-24
  10%                                                                                                                                                                        years supported the government
  0%                                                                                                                                                                         assisting the poor.
                                          Agree      Disagree      Neutral                                                            60%
 Q4. To what extent do you agree or disagree with the following: Government’s communications on lockdown rules and   Q4. To what extent do you agree or disagree with the following: I support the R500 billion government stimulus
                                    regulations have been vague and confusing.                                                                                         package.

 20 © Ipsos 2020                                                                                                                                                                                             June 2020

 Source: Ipsos News24 Survey
21 © Ipsos 2020
SMME’S DRIVE JOB CREATION AND ECONOMIC GROWTH
The impact of lockdown has been significant considering the already weak economy

                                                                                                          Unemployment:
  22%          22%
                           21%                                                                            R3mil lost jobs since lockdown inception on 27 March 2020, 18%
                                                                                                          decline in employment Feb to March 2020.

                                        15%
                                                                                                          South Africa is calling for SMME’s to be supported.

                                                     9%
                                                                  8%

                                                                               3%
                                                                                           1%

Decrease Decrease Decrease Decrease Decrease Decrease     No    Increase
 of 11 –  of 31 – of > 90% of less   of 51 –  of 71 – change in of above
  30%      50%             than 10%   70%      90%     revenue    50%
                                                                                                             Vusi Thembekwayo speaks out       RASA & Four Cousins initiative
                 Q7. Please estimate any change (or anticipated changes) in revenue
                       your business has experienced as a result of COVID-19                                    blaming SA Government                 #Jobssavelives

 22 © Ipsos 2020                                                                                                                                           May - June 2020
 Source: Ipsos News24 Research: 25 May – 4 June 2020 (n=180, unweighted data\)
         Business Tech, report reveals shocking number of job losses in SA during lockdown – 15 July’20
SMME’S ARE FILLED WITH UNCERTAINTY YET REMAIN HOPEFUL
  The start of 2020 brought renewed goals and              Businesses have been immersed into turmoil, fear
energy. They were optimistic and looking forward to         of the unknown and uncertainty. Despite this, a
   growth and expansion despite a challenging               sense of optimism immerged based on human
                    economy                                        collaboration and resourcefulness
                   BEFORE COVID=19                                        SINCE COVID=19

                                                                                                              There is a new rhythm in the way we work. Despite the
                                                                                                              initial significant chaos, a new normal is being restored.
                                                                                                              The pace has decreased but there is a lot more order.

                                                                                                              With the beginning of lockdown, fear of the unknown
                                                                                                              and uncertainty played a major role in our decision
                                                                                                              making. Fear turned to panic... that we may be asking
                                                                                                              too much of our staff, but they proved us wrong by
                                                                                                              coming to the party. Panic turned to
                                                                                                              motivated...motivated to ease our team’s challenges by
                                                                                                              being there, being available, motivating, helping each
                                                                                                              other.

                                                                                                              The different bright colors symbolize the turmoil that
                                                                                                              our workplaces are in. It feels that if we don't adapt
                                                                                                              soon, everything will get mixed up and we will loose
                                                                                                              our business … emotions are in turmoil, anything could
                                                                                                              happen, and everything is uncertain.

                                                                                                              My staff’s uncertainty made me feel like a father who
                                                                                                              was confused and didn't know what to say to his family
                                                                                                              about the future. We’ve had to come together.

                                             BUSINESS EMOTIONAL STATES
 23 © Ipsos 2020                                                                                                                              June - July 2020
 Sources:   Ipsos SMME Syndicate: Qualitative Analysis
THEY ARE SHOWING THEIR ENTREPRENEURIAL SPIRIT -
FORCED TO PAUSE, RETHINK AND BE RESOURCEFUL
Most businesses are cautiously optimistic about the future.
A sense of togetherness and empathy immerged in workplaces and staff’s wellbeing and security
are top of mind. Incurring further debt to survive financially, is a last resort for most, instead they
have employed various coping mechanisms:

Delving into personal                       Negotiating payment      Looking to support
      savings                               terms and discounts        local suppliers

                                            Expanding business
                                                portfolio’s by
  Cutting operational                                                  Leaping into the
                                              applying skills &
         costs                                                           digital world
                                             thinking out of the
                                                     box

                                                                         Offering their
    Finding new
                                            Utilising social media   services in exchange
  marketing avenues
                                                                      for payments, etc.

  24 © Ipsos 2020                                                                                         June - July 2020
  Sources:   Ipsos SMME Syndicate: Qualitative Analysis
MANY ARE NOT YET BENEFITING FROM THE SUPPORT PUT
IN PLACE BY GOVERNMENT
Not everyone applied for Government support, and many who did still have not received feedback

                                                              UIF:
 Yes, I applied for                                           • Improve communication (feedback on application) & turnaround time
 the TERS                                                     • Applied but was only able to pay a few employees – Foreigners
 funds. Have
 received
 acknowledgement
 of the application                                                Support from solidarity / initiatives launched
 and nothing further.
 It would have made                                                •   Don’t qualify because of BBBEE
 a difference                                                      •   Many applied but did not receive feedback
 financially
                                     DID YOU                       •
                                                                   •
                                                                       Some didn’t apply but rather used savings or took out a loan
                                                                       Concern raised about fairness of the qualifying criteria
 No applying did
 not make a
 difference since I
                                   APPLY FOR                       •   Some don’t understand how it works and how to apply

 opted for a loan
 that will sustain my              SUPPORT?               What can be done to help:
 business for the
 next 6 months.                                           •   Help pay for COVID related burials
                                                          •   Better communication on process of application and outcomes
 We applied for                                           •   Get more support for SME’s from big corporates for subsidiaries
 support but it was
 not approved. The
                                                          •   Tax relief for 6 months to 1 year
 pitfall being our                                        •   Need transparency and improved communication
 BEE status.                                              •   Improve strategy for future pandemics
                                                          •   They need better IT systems
 25 © Ipsos 2020                                                                                                 June - July 2020
 Sources:   Ipsos SMME Syndicate: Qualitative Analysis
AND MOST WISHING FOR A PROSPEROUS ECONOMY
Stability, Funding, Growth and Opportunities are what the majority wish for the future

YOUR WISH FOR YOUR BUSINESS
IMMEDIATE FUTURE?
                                                             My business wish is to see this business ranking at the top level
                                                             going forward and to have more branches nation wide

                                                             I would wish for more opportunities to come out of this outbreak
                                                             so we can restore the dignity of our people through creating
                                                             employment And we wish for funding to support us as we try to
                                                             get back on our feet

                                                             For a prosperous SA.

                                                             Abundant funding available for business growth

                                                             I wish our government could have given us financial support. I
                                                             wish the government can keep to their promise by investing
                                                             more money into infrastructure development. This will benefit a
                                                             lot of SMEs and create a lot of jobs at the same time.

                                                             A stabilisation of the SA economy and currency to be more
                                                             affordable for SA to import and export goods and services
 26 © Ipsos 2020                                                                                          June – July 2020
  Sources:   Ipsos SMME Syndicate: Qualitative Analysis
UNDERSTANDING THE ROLE AND NEEDS OF SMME’S IN
   COVID-19
SMEs ARE THE BACKBONE OF THE ECONOMY                                                                                      WHAT WE NEED TO UNDERSTAND AND EXPLORE
Small and Medium Enterprises are employing millions of                                                                   How SME’s in South Africa have been impacted by the pandemic and what
South Africans, but they are also the “incubators” for new                                                               measures can be put in place to support them. More specifically:
ideas, economic development and entrepreneurship. They
play a leading role in the services industry, and it will be                                                                     Business               Employee              Financial              Business
impossible to imagine a future without the hairdressers,                                                                         impact                 impact                impact                 continuity
hardware stores, plumbers, electricians and many more
dotting the streets of both big cities and little towns.
The impact of the coronavirus pandemic on this sector of the                                                                     Support                                                              What they
                                                                                                                                                        New ways              What is
                                                                                                                                 needed from                                                          learned &
economy has been rather devastating – many people lost                                                                           financial
                                                                                                                                                        of doing              next after
                                                                                                                                                                                                      what should
their jobs or were placed on furlough and those working on a                                                                                            business              lockdown
                                                                                                                                 institutions                                                         be changed
commission basis suddenly saw their salaries shrinking – as
businesses were closed.
                                                                                                                          BRIDGE THE GAP - 3 STAGES OF UNDERSTANDING
The aim of the planned study will be:                                                                                                           Qualitative view: Explore /Understand
                                                                                                                                                Online focussed discussion with 20-30 SME owners to gain depth of
• to provide a tool to service providers to SME’s to                                                                                            understanding on key issues.
                                                                                                                                                Cost: R25 000
  understand how their clients are being impacted by the
  COVID-19 pandemic                                                                                                                             Quantitative view: Quantify themes
                                                                                                                                                Online survey to the broader SME universe in SA to quantify key themes
• to enable service providers to respond to their changing                                                                                      identified from the exploration phase.
                                                                                                                                                Cost: R40 000
  environment and needs.
                                                                                                                                                Qualitative view: Test concepts
                                                                                                                                                Online focussed discussion where organisations have the opportunity to test
TOTAL COST: R65 000*                                                                                                                            various concepts and approaches with the SME audience prior to launch
                                                                                                                                                (Optional)

    27 © Ipsos 2020                           ELZETTE CORREIA                                                         +27 (0)78 272 9222                              elzette.correia@ipsos.com
    * Excluding Test Concept Phase and VAT
    This is a syndicated programme to enable clients to work smarter with their budgets. Subject to Ipsos T’s & C’s
28 © Ipsos 2020
PEOPLE OF ALL AGES ARE FEELING THE PINCH
Resulting in a change in behaviour

              76%                                                              60%                                                              61%                                                             60%
                                                                                                                                                                                               0%                                       100%
0%                                     100%                   0%                                       100%                   0%                                        100%

            Delayed                                                 Used savings to                                             Monthly debt & loan                                                       Retirement
                                                                    cover expenses                                                 repayments                                                              savings
       expenditure

                                                                Have already used some of                                      Are concerned that they won’t                                      Are worried that Covid-19’s
     Are delaying a major                                                                                                                                                                          impact will damage their
                                                               their savings and emergency                                     be able to meet their monthly
     purchase because of                                                                                                                                                                          retirement savings. 75% of
                                                                 fund to cover expenses,                                       debt and loan obligations, with
      what is happening                                       especially those aged between                                     the concern greater amongst                                    those aged 50 years and above
                                                                       18 – 34 years.                                            those aged between 25 - 49                                      were concerned that it might
                                                                                                                                           years.                                                impact their savings as they
                                                                                                                                                                                                     face retirement soon.

 29 © Ipsos 2020                                                                                                                                                                                                     June 2020
 Sources:   Ipsos News24 Survey (June)
            Q12. I am concerned that the coronavirus and its impacts will seriously damage my retirement savings and plan. | Q12. I am worried about meeting my monthly debt and loan payments due to the coronavirus and its impacts
            Q12. I have already used money from my savings account or emergency fund to cover my expenses.
FRUGAL SPENDING IS HAPPENING IN VAIN AS COSTS OF
ESSENTIAL GOODS ARE ON THE RISE
Which costs have gone up?
                                                                Increased %   Stayed the same %                    Decreased %

              Food, Groceries and Household Supplies            80%                                              14%          6%
        Utilities (Water, Electricity, Refuse Removal,
                   Phone/Television/Internet)                   60%                                        38%                2%

                                                   Healthcare   40%                                  55%                      5%

                                    Personal Care and Beauty    36%                            48%                            15%

            Entertainment (Electronics, Movies, Books)          33%                           52%                             15%

                Apparel (Clothing, Shoes, Accessories)          32%                     44%                                   24%

               Transportaion (Vehicles, Bus, Train, etc)        20%           44%                                             36%

                                                       Taxes    18%                   69%                                     13%

                                      Education and Childcare   18%                   67%                                     15%

              Housing (Rent, Mortgage or Home Loan)             15%                   72%                                     12%

                                                   Insurance    15%                   75%                                     10%

 30 © Ipsos 2020                                                                                            May - June 2020
 Sources:    Ipsos South Africa – Cost of living
RESULTING IN A STRONG LINK BETWEEN FINANCIAL AND
EMOTIONAL HEALTH
            Those with a lower income that have taken a financial blow are
            particularly likely to convey negative emotions                        Younger people
                                                                                   are more likely to
Low Income/                                                               No
 Impacted                                                               impact     share negative
                                                                                   feelings, while
           48%                     Lonely/disconnected                       30%
                                                                                   those over 50
                                                                                   generally share a
           36%                      Not valued/defeated                      18%
                                                                                   more confident/
                                                                                   pragmatic
           51%                      Impatient/frustrated                     33%
                                                                                   positivity.

31 © Ipsos 2020                                                                                  June 2020
Sources:   Ipsos Signals Webinar
SO WE FIND
OURSELVES BETWEEN
A ROCK AND A HARD
PLACE

32 © Ipsos 2020
BUT WE SHOW OUR RESILIENCE, AND THERE IS STILL A
LOT OF GOOD HAPPENING AROUND US
                                                    The SA recovery rate from Covid-19 is
                                                      more than 70%+, also an emerging
Fusion centres – pooling of resources              downward trend in new daily infections.
                                                    Many HIV+ patients in the EC’s Oliver
                                                                  Tambo district survived

Perhaps the investigations into C-19 projects
give SA the opportunity to make
                                                                   Our death rate is 1.7%
collaboration of government/media/civil
society work on a wider basis

Transparency: Transparency and
                                                   The Mandela shirt factory in Cape Town
collaboration with Vulekamali programme of
                                                now produces 2,5 MILLION masks a month
Treasury and Imali Yethu

SA engineers’ designed ventilators went                        Rhino poaching plummeted
into production                                                     53% during lockdown

33 © Ipsos 2020
HOW TO DEAL WITH YOUR CUSTOMERS DURING THIS
CHANGING TIME
                                   Customers are changing and
                      what is important to them is also changing
                                   Keep up with these changes and be responsive

                                         Price is becoming more and
                                        more important to customers
                                             This might drive switching behaviour

                                          Put your customers at ease.
                                                  Make them feel safe
                                  Keep on communicating the Covid-19 measures

                         Provide empathic customer experiences
 They need to feel that you understand them and support them in these tough times

      Help them work smarter (Advice on business, financial
                       management, marketing and more)
 Specifically SMME organisations and customers who are financially under pressure

34 © Ipsos 2020
WHAT CAN BE EXPECTED OF SOUTH AFRICANS IN
BUSINESS, GOING FORWARD?
Join us on the Mzansi Roars journey: A study on South African Consumer Lifestyles
THE NEW UNCERTAINTY…                                                           BRIDGING THE KNOWLEDGE GAP…
During the first half of 2020 the Coronavirus did not only spread around      A few years ago Ipsos undertook, together with the then Unilever Institute
the world like wildfire, it also brought previously unimaginable challenges   at the University of Cape Town, the very successful “African Lions” project –
to the world’s healthcare systems, wreaked havoc on financial markets         for the first time exploring the opinions, lives and livelihoods of the middle-
                                                                              class populations in ten important cities in Africa (outside of South Africa).
and introduced an existential fear and feeling of apprehension to people
everywhere. The current situation in South Africa is no exception, and
                                                                               ON-BOARDING SOUTH AFRICA…
we are caught in a time warp of uncertainty about the future.                 Now “Mzansi Roars” will focus on the total adult population in South Africa
                                                                              and so open possibilities for much deeper analysis of different consumer
A SHAKY START…                                                                and citizen groups in the country. (The scope will thus be much bigger than
Not that South Africans were any more secure before this… only six            the “middle class”.)
months previously news bulletins were dominated by the persistent
drought, the quality and the quantity of limited water resources and           CONSIDERING OUR CHALLENGES…
Eskom’s “load-shedding”. Moreover, the election in May 2019 left              We know that some of the major issues in our country include joblessness,
the country with several questions to answer about democracy,                 poverty and the huge gap between rich and poor – the gini- coefficient.
leadership and the level of trust in political parties.                       However, very little tangible and workable information exists to help bridge
                                                                              these development gaps, although every business in the country is
THE NEED…                                                                     confronted by these issues.
In this context there is need for an in-depth understanding of the people
of South Africa - their lifestyles, needs, aspirations and coping             WHERE THE REAL PEOPLE ARE…
                                                                              Mzansi Roars will employ a “bottom-up” approach of building on the
mechanisms. This will provide an opportunity for all stakeholders to play
                                                                              experiences of real people and aggregation of findings to assist businesses
their part in meeting their needs through products and services.
                                                                              and institutions with rich information to make a positive contribution to the
                                                                              South African economy and future.
  35 © Ipsos 2020
THEMES ADDRESSED BY MZANSI ROARS
The survey will measure and generate learnings in numerous areas including:

                                Demographic profiles and
                                                                                                                   Nutrition and Health              Products and services used
                                household structure

                                                                                                                   Interaction with technology
                                Individual and household                                                                                             Household and individual
                                                                                                                   and media consumption
                                financial reality                                                                                                    budgets; share of wallet
                                                                                                                   patterns

                               Psychographics, lifestyle and
                                                                                                                   Shopping and spending             Segmentation
                               aspirations

To become a partner in this exciting project and get access to the unique insights and benefits of the study will cost R350,000*

 36 © Ipsos 2020                           NANZALA MWAURA                                                            +27 (0)76 052 6723          nanzala.mwaura@ipsos.com
 * Excluding VAT
 This is a syndicated programme to enable clients to work smarter with their budgets. Subject to Ipsos T’s & C’s
THANK YOU!

                                                                                                            Mari Harris            Ezethu Mandlelize              Elzette Correia
                                                                                                      mari.harris@ipsos.com   ezethu.mandlelize@ipsos.com   elzette.correia@ipsos.com

© 2020 Ipsos. All rights reserved. Contains Ipsos' Confidential and Proprietary information and may
not be disclosed or reproduced without the prior written consent of Ipsos.
TECHNIAL DETAILS: ALL STUDIES REFERRED TO IN THE DECK
South Africa: Between a rock and a hard place
                                                                 Interviewing
Study Name                                                                                                           Sample size                       Fieldwork/ publication dates        Margin of error*
                                                                 Methodology

Ipsos SA Covid-19 tracker, April 2020                                Online**                                             1,000                               20-23 April 2020          ± 3.1 percentage points

                                                                                                   16,000 interviews per week in 16 countries               Every week during           ± 3.1 percentage points
Ipsos Essentials series                                               Online
                                                                                                               (1,000 per country)                          May and June 2020                    for SA

Ipsos Signals webinar series (specifically                                                                                                             Published around twice a month
the webinars in June and July 2020)                                                                                                                           since March 2020

                                                                                                         17,997 interviews in 26 countries                                              ± 4.5 percentage points
Ipsos Cost of Living                                                  Online                                                                               22 May – 5 June 2020
                                                                                                            (sample size in SA = 500)                                                            for SA

                                                                                             Around 18,000 interviews in 26 countries (SA = 500)                                        ± 4.5 percentage points
Ipsos Global Indicators                                               Online                                                                                January – July 2020
                                                                                                            (published monthly)                                                                  for SA

24.com/Ipsos study                                                    Online                                             52,287                            25 May – 4 June 2020          < 1 percentage point

Ipsos Global Advisor (specifically What                                                                                                                                                 ± 4.5 percentage points
                                                                      Online                 Around 18,000 interviews in 26 countries (SA = 500)            Every month of 2020
Worries the World, July 2020)                                                                                                                                                                    for SA

Ipsos SA SMME Syndicate                                     Personal, Face-to-face                           Qualitative phase of Study                     June and July 2020

 38 © Ipsos 2020
*Margin of error is determined by sample size, response rate and sampling methodology used
**A representative online study covers about 67% of South African adults (taking into account those with internet at home or on their mobile phones)
WE ARE HERE TO HELP YOU WITH THE ANSWERS
SMME Syndicate:                                Mzansi Roars: A study on                        Closer to Customer:
Understanding the impact                       South African Consumer                          Qualitative immersive
during COVID                                   Lifestyles                                      experiences

Understanding the role and needs of SMEs       A study on the South African Consumer           We have designed a series of immersive
in Covid-19. How SME’s in South Africa         Lifestyle. Mzansi Roars will focus on the       experiences with a set of customers in order
have been impacted by the pandemic and         total adult population in South Africa and so   to be part of their lives and see how they
what measures can be put in place to           open possibilities for much deeper analysis     navigate through constant change.
support them.                                  of different consumer and citizen groups in     Be there and live the change with them.

                                               the country.

                   Elzette Correia                               Nanzala Mwaura                                  Maree Fouche
                   elzette.correia@ipsos.com                     nanzala.mwaura@ipsos.com                        maree.fouche@ipsos.com
                   +27 78 272 922                                +27 76 052 6723                                 +27 82 379 4497

 39 © Ipsos 2020
ABOUT IPSOS                                                        GAME CHANGERS
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    largest market research company in the world, present in 89        to make confident decisions has never been greater.
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                                                                       At Ipsos we believe our clients need more than a data supplier,
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41 © Ipsos 2019
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