Summary of Investments 31 January 2020 - NSW ...

 
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Penrith City Council
                                 Summary of Investments
                                    31 January 2020

Commentary

The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) met on the 4th February 2020 and the Board decided to
maintain the current cash rate at 0.75%. Though the outcome of the recent meeting of the RBA
board was to uphold current cash rate, they are still in the position to believe that a further rate
cut is necessary in the future. This is to continue the easing of monetary policy that will support
employment growth and provide greater confidence that inflation will be consistent with the
medium-term target.

The current global issue on COVID-19, also known as ‘Corona Virus’, and its effect on the
economy, strengthens the speculation of the impending rate cut in the horizon – with China
being the first country to be affected by the virus. It has been reported, due to the outbreak of
the COVID-19 in China, a ‘lockdown’ and travel restriction were placed on the country. The
decision was brought in the attempt to contain and slow-down the spreading of COVID-19.

Australia has a very close link with China, with the latter being Australia’s largest trading partner
in resource exports. Also, there are significant number of international students and tourists in
Australia are from China. The ‘lockdown’ and travel restriction on the China, would undoubtedly
add pressure to Australia’s, already volatile, economy. This may result to a negative Gross
Domestic Product (GDP) growth in both the first and second quarters of this calendar year.

Long-term government bond yields have further declined and are at record lows, consistent with
several countries, including Australia. Bank funding costs in Australia have also declined, with
money-market spreads having fully reversed the increases that took place last year. Borrowing
rates for both businesses and households are at historically low levels. The Australian dollar is
at the low end of its narrow range of recent times.

Like the December 2019 quarter, the inflation rate for January 2020 remains at 1.8 per cent, in
both headline and underlying terms. Employment growth has continued to be strong. Labour
force participation is at a record level, the vacancy rate remains high and there are reports of
skills shortages in some areas. At the time of writing this report, the unemployment rate for
January 2020 has not been released.

The Council’s portfolio has continued to outperform the 90 Day Bank Bill Swap Rate (BBSW)
benchmark during reportable month of January 2020. Investments will continue to be
monitored closely, to ensure returns are maximised as opportunities become available.

The investment returns versus the benchmark for January 2020 are:

Council portfolio current yield (including FRNs)     1.66%
90-day Bank Bill Swap Rate (Benchmark)               0.89%
Penrith City Council
                                        Historical Investment Performance
Table 1
                                                                          Actual Portfolio       Benchmark (BBSW)
            Current Portfolio Yield (including FRNs)                              1.66%                  0.89%
            Past 12 Month Portfolio Performance                                   2.19%                  1.25%
            Portfolio Return for the Period                                       0.14%                  0.07%

Portfolio Yield (Actual Versus Benchmark)

The annual weighted average income return on investments, to January 2020, was 2.19%. This graph
tracks performance over time and shows that the yield was between 1.66% and 2.72% for the past
year - well above the BBSW over the same period. Weighted yield has continued to drop due to
current term deposits invested at lower rates - between 1.33% and 2.12%.

Graph 1
                                       Investment Portfolio as at 31 January 2020
  3.00%
                                            Monthly Net Return Annualised

  2.50%

  2.00%

  1.50%

  1.00%

  0.50%

  0.00%
            Feb-19   Mar-19 Apr-19 May-19 Jun-19           Jul-19      Aug-19 Sep-19 Oct-19 Nov-19 Dec-19              Jan-20
                          PCC Monthly Net Return Annualised              BBSW Monthly Net Return Annualised

Annual Portfolio (Actual)

The graph below illustrates the annual trend of the Council’s monthly Investment Portfolio balances.

Graph 1.1
                       Historical Monthly Balance of Investment Portfolio as at 31 January 2020
 $180,000,000

 $175,000,000

 $170,000,000

 $165,000,000

 $160,000,000

 $155,000,000

 $150,000,000
                 Feb-19   Mar-19   Apr-19   May-19   Jun-19   Jul-19     Aug-19    Sep-19   Oct-19   Nov-19   Dec-19   Jan-20
Penrith City Council
                 Investment Summary by Asset Group and Monthly Movement
Table 1.1

 Asset Group                                                            Closing Value               Closing Value
                                                                         (Face Value)               (Face Value)
                                                                      31 December 2019            31 January 2020
                                                                         $            %             $              %
 Current Cash on Call Group (excl General Fund balance)                7,259,920      4.22%        6,418,265      3.94%
 Term Deposit Group                                                   141,200,000   82.08%       132,700,000    81.54%
 Floating Rate Notes                                                   20,250,000   11.77%        20,250,000    12.44%
 Mortgage Backed Securities*                                            2,151,788    1.25%         2,125,023      1.31%
 Sub-Total                                                            170,861,708                161,493,288
 General Fund Bank Balance                                              1,166,763    0.68%         1,247,710      0.77%
 Total                                                                172,028,471     100%       162,740,999      100%
* MBS Purchased in 2006/2007 prior to the current Ministerial Investment Order

                                January 2020 Investments % Allocation by Asset Groups

  The graph below illustrates the dissection of the Council’s Portfolio per investment products or categories.
 Graph 1.2

                                                                                       Floating Rate Notes,
                                                                                              12.44%

                                                                                                       Mortgage Backed
                                                                                                       Securities*, 1.31%

                                                                                                   General Fund Bank
                                                                                                    Balance, 0.77%

                                                                                                  Current Cash on Call
                                                                                                   Group (excl bank
                                                                                                    balance), 3.94%

         Term Deposit
         Group, 81.54%
Penrith City Council
                     Reconciliation of Invested Funds and Monthly Movement
Table 1.2

                                                                                  Period Ending                 Period Ending
                                                                                31 December 2019               31 January 2020
                                                                                        $                             $
 Represented by:
 Externally Restricted Assets
 Section 7.11 Developer Contributions                                                      37,384,625                   38,090,879
 Restricted Contributions for Works                                                         9,005,874                     9,061,487
 Unexpended Grants*                                                                          (441,311)                    1,326,113
 Unexpended Loan Funds                                                                      5,943,608                     5,942,178
 Other Externally Restricted                                                               20,967,145                   21,140,399
                                                                      Total                72,859,941                   75,561,056
 Internally Restricted Assets - Funding of Operations
 Internal Reserves                                                                         64,397,557                   64,885,149
 Security Bonds and Deposits (net)**                                                        8,506,545                     8,939,993
                                                                     Total                 72,904,102                   73,825,142
 Restricted Assets Utilised in Operations
 Unrestricted Invested Funds                                                               26,264,428                   13,354,801
 Total Cash and Investments                                                              172,028,471                   162,740,999
*Balance may be in deficit when funds are spent in advance of grant payment date to the Council.
**January 2020 figure net of $13,286,004 Refundable bonds received less $4,779,459 Refundable bonds payable by the Council.

                                 January 2020 Investments % Allocation by Cash Reserve Type

                         This graph demonstrates the allocation of the Council’s cash reserves.
Graph 1.3

                                   Unrestricted Invested
                                      Funds, 8.21%

                     Security Bonds and                                                       Section 7.11 Developer
                      Deposits, 5.49%                                                         Contributions, 23.41%

                                                                                                         Restricted Contributions
                                                                                                            for Works, 5.57%

                                                                                                       Unexpended Grants*,
         Internal Reserves,                                                                                  0.81%
              39.87%
                                                                                                         Unexpended Loan Funds,
                                                                                                                 3.65%

                                                                                                  Other Externally
                                                                                                 Restricted, 12.99%
Penrith City Council
                                               Investment Summary
                                      (Graphed to reflect fund ratings as % of portfolio)
Table 1.3

 Credit Exposure      Bank/Financial Institution                        Utilised      Portfolio               Policy Maximum
                                                                           $             %                           %
 Short Term
 A1+                  CBA, NAB, Bankwest, Westpac, TCorp                89,365,976          54.91%       100% (40% per institution)
 A1                   Macquarie Bank, Suncorp Bank                      41,000,000          25.20%       100% (25% per institution)
 A2                   AMP Bank                                          10,000,000           6.15%       20% (10% per institution)
 Long Term
 AA-                  Deposit Plus Flexible Security (CBA)               7,000,000           4.30%       100% (40% per institution)
 AA-                  Floating Rate Note (CBA)                           2,000,000           1.23%       100% (40% per institution)
 AA-                  Floating Rate Note (ANZ)                           1,000,000           0.61%       100% (40% per institution)
 AA-                  Floating Rate Bonds (NAB)                          1,000,000           0.61%       100% (40% per institution)
 A+                   Floating Rate Note (Suncorp Metway)                2,000,000           1.23%       60% (20% per institution)
 A-                   Mortgage Backed Securities (Barclays               2,125,023           1.31%       60% (20% per institution)
                      Capital)
 BBB+                 Floating Rate Note (Bendigo and Adelaide)         3,000,000            1.84%       20% (10% per institution)
 BBB+                 Floating Rate Note (Bank of Queensland) *         4,250,000            2.61%       20% (10% per institution)
 Total Portfolio                                                      162,740,999            100%
*Investments placed prior to current Ministerial Order

                                January 2020 Investments % Allocation by S&P Fund Rating

    Reflects Standard and Poor’s fund ratings as percentage (%) of the portfolio, to show compliance with the Council’s
                                     Investment Policy objectives of minimising risk.
Graph 1.4
                                                                                                A1, 25.20%

                                                                                                              A2, 6.15%
            A1+, 54.91%

                                                                                                                AA-, 4.30%

                                                                                                                AA-, 1.23%

                                                                                                               AA-, 0.61%

                                                                                                            AA-, 0.61%
                                                                                             A+, 1.23%
                                                                                            A-, 1.31%
                                                             BBB+, 2.61%
                                                                              BBB+, 1.84%
Penrith City Council
                                           Diversification of Portfolio
                                      (Graphed to reflect fund ratings as % of portfolio)

Table 1.4

 Dealing Bank                                           Short Term          Long Term       Investment ($)      Allocation (%)
 NSW TCorp                                                   A-1+             AAA                   18,019               0.01%
 ANZ                                                         A-1+             AA-                1,000,000                  0.61%
 Commonwealth Bank of Australia/Bankwest                     A-1+             AA-               30,847,957                 18.96%
 National Australia Bank                                     A-1+             AA-               52,000,000                 31.95%
 Westpac Banking Corporation                                 A-1+             AA-               16,500,000                 10.14%
 Barclays Bank                                               A-1               A+                2,125,023                  1.31%
 Suncorp Metway                                              A-1               A+               33,000,000                 20.28%
 Macquarie Bank                                              A-1               A+               10,000,000                  6.15%
 Bendigo and Adelaide Bank                                   A-2              BBB+               3,000,000                  1.84%
 Bank of Queensland                                          A-2              BBB+               4,250,000                  2.61%
 AMP Bank                                                    A-2              BBB+              10,000,000                  6.14%
 Total Investment                                                                             162,740,999                   100%

                              January 2020 Investment % Allocation by Financial Institutions

Reflects the spread of investments amongst various Financial Institutions to show portfolio diversification in accordance
                                      with the Council’s Policy of risk aversion.

    Graph 1.5

                                                 AMP Bank               NSW TCorp              ANZ
                            Bank of Queensland    6.14%                   0.01%               0.61%
               Bendigo and        2.61%
              Adelaide Bank
                 1.84%
                                                                                                Commonwealth Bank of
       Macquarie Bank                                                                             Australia/Bankwest
           6.15%                                                                                        18.96%

            Suncorp Metway
                20.28%

                  Barclays Bank
                     1.31%
                         Westpac Banking                                                              National Australia
                            Corporation                                                                     Bank
                              10.14%                                                                       31.95%
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