The Demographics of the U.S. Equine Population

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CONTINUE READING
The Demographics
of the U.S. Equine
Population
                                                                                                         10      CHAPTER

Emily R. Kilby

Introduction
   n this demographic examina-                  How Many U.S.                          of Agriculture (USDA), the coun-

I  tion of America’s equine popu-
   lation, the numbers clearly
show upward trends in all things
                                                Horses Are There?
                                                This most basic question of demo-
                                                graphic research is yet to be
                                                                                       try’s equine inventory was 3.75 mil-
                                                                                       lion in 2002 (USDA 2002). NASS
                                                                                       reported 3.15 million horses,
                                                                                       ponies, donkeys, and mules in 1997
equestrian over the past fifty years.
Will that trajectory continue,                  answered with satisfactory accu-       and, in 1992, 2.12 million. In a sin-
adding year after year to the cur-              racy for the U.S. equine popula-       gle decade, the equine population
rent ten million population, or will            tion. Horses and other equidae are     jumped 1.63 million, or 77 percent,
loss of open spaces turn the tide as            no longer sufficiently critical        at least according to USDA.
it limits horse housing and riding              to national well-being to warrant         The American Veterinary Med-
room? Will ownership patterns                   the close government oversight         ical Association (AVMA) put the
undergo fundamental changes                     afforded food-producing animals,       2001 horse population at 5.1 mil-
when population density, land                   nor are they so much a part of the     lion (AVMA 2002), a 28 percent
costs, and escalating environmen-               average American experience as to      increase over the 4 million calcu-
tal controls eliminate the “back-               inspire close scrutiny of their num-   lated for 1996, which had repre-
yard”-keeping concept and make                  bers and condition. Instead, avail-    sented an 18 percent decrease
suburban boarding stables unten-                able demographic data for horses       from the 4.9 million estimated five
a b l e ? Wi l l h o r s e p ro d u c t i o n   and their kin have arisen from spe-    years before that.
expenses rise in the face of land               cial interests or within restricted
pressures to the point that eques-              populations, resulting in seemingly
trian involvement, now a highly                 conflicting figures.                   Equine
                                                   The American Horse Council
egalitarian pursuit in this coun-
                                                Foundation (AHCF), a funding
                                                                                       Census Taking
try, truly becomes a rich person’s                                                     The American horse population is
game?                                           entity of the American Horse
                                                                                       not nearly so volatile as these con-
   Horse people started fretting                Council, commissioned a study in
                                                                                       flicting figures seem to indicate.
over these sorts of questions not               2004 using data provided by horse
                                                                                       Indeed, vast changes have occurred
long after horses stopped being                 owners for the previous year. The
                                                                                       in equine numbers over the past
beasts of burden in this country                resulting report put the American
                                                                                       century, with as many as six million
and became mostly recreational                  horse population at 9.2 million in
                                                                                       horses and mules disappearing in
partners and companions. So far,                2003, a 33 percent increase over
                                                                                       a single decade, but those losses
the equine species has flourished               the 6.9 million reported ten years
                                                                                       were in response to the mechaniza-
in its nonutilitarian role, but                 before (AHCF 2005).
                                                                                       tion of farming and transportation
there’s no end run around the fact                 According to the National Agri-
                                                                                       (Table 1). (The lack of data from
that horses are and always will be              cultural Statistics Service (NASS),
                                                                                       1960 to the present is regrettable.
large animals in a shrinking natu-              an agency of the U.S. Department
                                                                                       USDA surveys ceased to be an accu-
ral world.
                                                                                                                        175
• The commerce of horse involve-
  Table 1                                                                               ment was the survey focus.
                                                                                        Respondents in the owner
  U.S. Equine Population During                                                         group had to be at least eight-
  Mechanization of Agriculture                                                          een years old and owner or part-
  and Transportation                                                                    owner of a horse(s). Data for
                                                                                        youth involvement and for non-
  Year                                     Number of Horses and Mules                   owning equestrians may be
                                                                                        underreported or excluded.
  1900                                            21,531,635                          • The survey posed questions in
  1905                                            22,077,000
                                                                                        terms of horses only. No input is
                                                                                        explicitly solicited for other
  1910                                            24,042,882                            equidae, which include ponies,
                                                                                        miniature horses, donkeys/bur-
  1915                                            26,493,000
                                                                                        ros, and mules. It is not uncom-
  1920                                            25,199,552                            mon for recreational horse own-
                                                                                        ers to maintain a mix of breeds
  1925                                            22,081,520
                                                                                        and types, and if respondents
  1930                                            18,885,856                            answered the questions quite
                                                                                        literally, the lesser but still sig-
  1935                                             16,676,000                           nificant population of ponies
  1940                                            13,931,531                            and asses is not included in the
                                                                                        9.2 million figure. Finally, it
  1945                                            11,629,000                            appears that owners and pro-
  1950                                              7,604,000                           ducers specializing in minia-
                                                                                        ture horses might have been
  1955                                              4,309,000                           excluded entirely.
  1960                                              3,089,000
                                                                                      • The survey sample was derived
                                                                                        from equestrian membership
  Source: Adapted from Ensminger (1969).                                                lists and business databases.
                                                                                        The 18,648 usable owner/indus-
                                                                                        try supplier responses from
rate assessment because they did               American Horse Council                   which the report data were sub-
not take into account recreational             The AHC has surveyed the eco-            sequently derived (along with
horses, and the horse industry has             nomic activity associated with           different surveys of horse show
attempted only occasionally to                 horses and horse uses ever y             and racing management) repre-
undertake a national horse popula-             decade since the mid-1980s. The          sent a valid pool for studying
tion assessment in the past thirty-            data are collected primarily for         economic matters, but the sam-
six years.) However, it appears to             political purposes. By specifying        ple would have excluded owners
be fairly safe to conclude that the            dollars-and-cents figures for a spe-     who maintain horses with little
1950s marked the low point of                  cialized and relatively small recre-     or no organizational contact or
American equine numbers, with                  ational and business entity, the         commercial involvement. Horse
horses and mules largely phased                AHC, a lobbying organization, can        population figures and activity
out of agricultural production and             better influence national and state      profiles may have been skewed
transportation but not yet filling             legislatures in matters affecting        by this selection process.
significant recreational roles. Since          horse breeders, owners, trainers,      • The primary response mecha-
then, the trend in equine numbers              dealers, and recreational, sport-        nism was through an Internet
has been steadily upward.                      ing, and business users. The larger      website, with a small proportion
   The surveys’ purposes, designs,             the numbers shown, the more              of mailed questionnaires for
and sampling methodology account               impact equestrian interests              those without computer access.
for the three divergent assessments            appear to have.                          Again, the methodology selected
of the American equine population                The AHC’s population figures           against owners outside main-
cited above and most likely for the            were shaped by the following             stream culture, which would not
relatively large shifts reportedly             study characteristics, as ex-            have much effect on an eco-
occurring within short intervals               plained in the study’s technical         nomic impact study but probably
as well.                                       appendix (AHCF 2005):                    underrepresents “invisible” own-

176                                                                                     The State of the Animals IV: 2007
ers in providing raw equine pop-     son stables would be captured dur-      vals and produces a demographics
    ulation figures.                     ing the list-building process.          sourcebook to aid its members in
   The AHC report’s very precise            The most recent USDA enumera-        making business and marketing
tally of U.S. horses in 2003—            tion lists 3.64 million horses and      decisions. The data for these reports
9,222,847—is actually the center         ponies and 105,358 mules, burros,       come from a statistically representa-
point of a statistically determined      and donkeys in the “other animal        tive sample chosen from an estab-
range defining a 95 percent confi-       production category,” along with        lished panel of U.S. households that
dence interval. According to these       the likes of bison, goats, rabbits,     have agreed to participate in surveys
calculations, if the same methodol-      and bees. Horse/pony numbers on         of this nature (Clancy and Rowan
ogy were applied a hundred times,        income-producing farms increased        2003). The most recent survey, per-
ninety-five of the surveys would         by one million between 1992 and         formed in 2001, found 1.7 percent
produce a U.S. horse population          1997 and by another half-million by     of responding households reporting
figure somewhere between                 2002, a 78 percent increase overall.    horse ownership, with an average of
8,869,858 and 9,575,837. Given           During the same decade, ass num-        2.9 horses per owning household.
the methodology’s exclusion of           bers nearly doubled between 1992        Using data of this sort for the vari-
certain types of horse owners and        and 1997, rising from 67,692 to         ous species, the AVMA can offer pop-
some equine classes, the actual          123,211, then fell back to 105,358      ulation-estimating formulas for vet-
equine population seems likely to        in 2002. While the progression in       erinarians to use in calculating
be at the higher end of the range        horse/pony numbers reflects the         potential client pools in their com-
or possibly exceeding that 9.6 mil-      population trend reported by other      munities. The AVMA’s equine for-
lion (rounded) maximum figure.           observers, the rather precipitous       mula is therefore: divide the com-
                                         rise and retreat of ass numbers in a    munity population by 2.69 to get
U.S. Department                          single decade begs the question of      the number of households, then
of Agriculture                           a sampling or reporting anomaly in      multiply the number of households
USDA has kept tabs on agricultural       one of the years.                       by 0.05. The national proportion
production through periodic cen-            Recognizing the shortcomings of      of horses to households was deter-
suses, starting in 1840. Every five      the purely agricultural enumeration     mined by this study.
years, NASS attempts to survey all       model for gathering equine data,           Though it does provide a useful
U.S. agricultural producers with a       USDA conducted additional surveys       business tool, the AVMA’s enumer-
shorter form and chooses a sizable       following the 1997 census to esti-      ation method is too many steps
sampling of them for a more detailed     mate the number of all equidae in       removed from an actual hooves-on-
assessment of agricultural practices     the country and their sales, not just   the-ground count to generate reli-
and expenses. For the most recent        those on qualifying agricultural        able population figures.
enumeration, approximately 2.8 mil-      establishments. By including               • The survey goal was to charac-
lion census packets were mailed in       equine data estimated from enu-              terize ownership patterns, not
December 2002, and follow-up con-        merations of sixteen thousand ran-           perform a true count of pet
tacts continued until each county        domly selected square-mile areas             species in the United States.
had at least a 75 percent response       across the country and surveys of          • The survey focused on compan-
rate. Such blanket coverage assures      twenty thousand larger farms and             ion/recreational owners and
a very accurate count of most food-      commercial operations, along with            may have underrepresented or
and fiber-producing units in the         the basic findings from the standard         excluded horses used for breed-
country, but horses and their kin are    census, NASS calculated the total            ing, work, and competition.
special case animals.                    number of equidae at the start of          • The respondent pool was ini-
   USDA’s equine population figures      1998 to be 5,250,400 and a year              tially skewed by the self-selection
are significantly limited by the pri-    later to be 5,317,400 (USDA 1999).           of participants, then narrowed
mary criterion for inclusion in the      If that 1.3 percent annual increase          further by selecting a sample
enumeration: censuses are sent to        continued until 2003, there would            representative of the entire U.S.
all agricultural operations that pro-    be 5.6 million equidae by this sur-          population, not one representa-
duce or sell $1,000 or more of agri-     vey model, still millions shy of the         tive of U.S. horse owners. Horse
cultural products annually or would      AHC count for that year.                     ownership is a phenomenon
do so in normal years. The large                                                      associated with rural areas and
block of “backyard” owners who           American Veterinary                          smaller communities whose
maintain horses on a few acres or        Medical Association                          populations may not have been
nonagricultural “farmettes” would        The professional association for U.S.        sufficiently represented in the
not be surveyed. It is also unclear if   veterinarians conducts animal own-           AVMA sample for accurate
suburban boarding, training, and les-    ership surveys at half-decade inter-         equine data collection.

The Demographics of the U.S. Equine Population                                                                       177
Applying the AVMA formula to             Since passage of the Wild and           As of March 2006 the BLM
the 2003 U.S. estimated human            Free-Roaming Horse and Burro Act        (2006) population included:
population produces an estimated         of 1971 and its implementation in          • approximately thirty-two thou-
5,297,938 companion/recreational         1973, the Department of the Inte-             sand horses and burros on
equidae. Extrapolating an “agricul-      rior’s Bureau of Land Management              public range lands, exceeding
tural” equid population for 2003         (BLM) has been responsible for                the optimum total population
by increasing USDA’s 2002 count          overseeing herds on federal lands in          of twenty-eight thousand by
another 1.3 percent yields               ten Western states (Arizona, Cali-            four thousand and
3,798,381. Some overlap probably         fornia, Colorado, Idaho, Montana,          • twenty-six thousand in short-
occurs between the AVMA and the          Nevada, New Mexico, Oregon, Utah,             and long-term holding facilities.
USDA respondent pools, but sam-          and Wyoming). The agency is                In fiscal year 2005, ending in Sep-
pling procedures and criteria for in-    charged with multipurpose manage-       tember, 11,023 animals were re-
clusion for each are quite distinct,     ment of vast federal holdings for       moved from the Western ranges. By
producing data from two essentially      recreation, logging, mining, graz-      early 2006, 5,701 of them had been
discrete groups of horse keepers.        ing, and wildlife management, in        adopted out, continuing the stream
The total of these two estimated         addition to the equine oversight,       of 208,000 BLM horses and burros
populations is 9,096,319, very close     and at the same time sustaining the     that have been placed with private
to AHC’s count of 9,222,847 for          health and productivity of public       owners since 1973. The remainder
2003. The AHC’s broader-ranging          lands (BLM 2006).                       left in BLM holding facilities were to
sampling method appears to have             Wild horse and burro popula-         be offered for adoption three times
captured both companion/recre-           tions are now held to population        before being deemed unadoptable
ational and production owners            limits that will prevent overgrazing    and made available for unrestricted
for the most accurate and com-           or other destruction of their range     sale. Until the December 2004 legis-
plete numeric snapshot of today’s        lands while still leaving adequate      lation, unadoptable horses were
equid population.                        herd numbers for a healthy gene         kept as government property for the
                                         pool. Each management area has          remainder of their lives. The BLM’s
                                         an upper population limit deter-        2005 budget for the Wild Horse and
Wild Horses                              mined by available resources, and       Burro Program was $39.6 million,
                                         herds are subject to periodic
and Burros                               culling to maintain optimum pop-
                                                                                 with $20.1 million used to maintain
                                                                                 gathered animals in short- and long-
None of the censuses cited above
                                         ulations. Additionally, birth control   term holding facilities. The legisla-
includes equidae roaming on federal
                                         measures are now being applied to       tion allowing unrestricted sale was
lands or maintained in government
                                         wild horses to lower their repro-       intended to eliminate the expense of
holding facilities. This unowned
                                         duction rates and reduce the num-       lifetime care for the unadoptables.
population originated from domesti-
                                         ber of excess animals needing              Where it has jurisdiction over
cated horses and burros who
                                         removal. The BLM (2006) disposes        national seashores, the National
escaped or were freed onto range
                                         of excess horses and burros from        Park Service (NPS) either removes
lands, starting in the sixteenth cen-
                                         federal lands as follows:               feral horses there as non-native
tury with the first Spanish explorers.
                                            • “adopting” them out to pri-        species or attempts to maintain
The Atlantic barrier islands, from
                                              vate citizens with restrictions    barrier island horse populations at
coastal Maryland down through the
                                              to assure adequate care and        levels that do not harm the ecologi-
Georgia coast, have also harbored
                                              prevent their being sold           cal balance. On Assateague Island,
feral herds since the colonial era.
                                              to slaughter;                      for instance, the NPS now uses con-
Even under seemingly harsh condi-
                                            • maintaining them in holding        traceptive injections to reduce the
tions, these feral equidae reproduce
                                              facilities until adoption or in    Maryland herd’s reproduction rate
quite successfully, with modern-day
                                              long-range pasturage if they       to maintain a population of 150
herds capable of doubling in size
                                              are not adopted; and               adults (Kirkpatrick 2005). On the
every five years, given the absence of
                                            • since December 2004 dispos-        Virginia portion of Assateague, the
natural predators in most of today’s
                                              ing of the unadoptable popula-     Chincoteague Volunteer Fire Com-
ranges (BLM 2006). Until the 1960s
                                              tion through unrestricted sale,    pany conducts an annual July “pony
free-ranging horses and burros were
                                              meaning that buyers can deal       penning” to cull that herd to the
considered wildlife of sorts, fair
                                              with the animals as they would     same target number (NPS 2003).
game for public taking for taming,
                                              after a private transaction,          Horse herds on barrier islands far-
selling for pet food or slaughter, or
                                              although challenges were sub-      ther down the coast have met with
killing to reduce grazing competi-
                                              sequently made to this man-        a patchwork of population-control
tion for domestic stock.
                                              agement change.                    measures as coastal development

178                                                                                  The State of the Animals IV: 2007
has overrun their ranges, and                    of critters on hobby farms or as        ported by a newspaper writer in
awareness of their damage to the                 work animals on secluded proper-        2004 for the Yakima Indian Reser-
fragile barrier-island ecology has               ties. Not all horse owners compete,     vation alone (Palmer 2004). By
grown. Over the years some herds                 register, join up, subscribe, or shop   BLM standards Washington State
have been removed entirely from                  for horsey things and thus reveal       has no “wild” horses because they
the islands, others have been fenced             their whereabouts for enumerators.      are not on BLM-managed federal
away from the new communities                    If these “below the radar” animals      lands, but the herds kept on the
built on their former ranges (with               equal just 1 percent of the known       vast reservation acreages there and
only marginal success), and others               equine population of the country,       throughout the West and the Plains
still are managed by the NPS or pri-             that’s another hundred thousand         are certainly less clearly defined
vate entities to maintain a viable               added to the true total.                and probably more numerous than
presence on their historic ranges                   Two more definable equine pop-       the NASS count suggests.
(Hause 2006). If the various target              ulations are most likely under-
populations have been met and                    reported because they are legally       Amish Horses,
maintained, the current horse pop-               and/or culturally outside the           Mules and Donkeys
ulation on barrier islands along the             American mainstream.                    These are canvassed for NASS enu-
Atlantic coast appears to number                                                         merations, as long as they are on
around a thousand, a far cry from                Horses on Indian                        properties that meet the $1,000-
the National Geographic Society’s                Reservations                            production standard. While the
1926 estimate of six thousand wild               These horses throughout the             majority of the Amish in communi-
horses roaming the Outer Banks                   country actually live in sovereign      ties now spread across twenty-five
just from Currituck to Shackleford               lands and thus are not directly         states do remain in agricultural
(Hause 2006).                                    subject to state or national regu-      production to some degree, mem-
   Government agencies now man-                  lation or oversight. Many Western       bers are increasingly turning to
age most unowned horses roaming                  tribes maintain large numbers of        carpentry, manufacturing, and
free on public lands. The BLM’s                  horses for stock work on their          other nonfarm work for their liveli-
2005 fiscal year count of wild horses            range lands and also because of         hoods (Milicia 2004), thus remov-
in ten Western states was 27,369;                deep cultural and ceremonial sig-       ing them from the NASS survey
the number of wild burros ranging                nificance attached to the species.      pool. With church tenants holding
in five of those states totaled 4,391            For the 2002 agricultural census,       them separate from the “English”
(BLM 2005). With the East Coast                  which did survey reservations,          (non-Amish) world, Amish horse
barrier horses added in, approxi-                NASS performed a special enu-           owners may not respond readily to
m a t e l y 3 3 , 0 0 0 f r e e - ro a m i n g   meration of Native American             agricultural censuses and are un-
equidae are currently in the United              farms/ranches and merged those          likely to have any presence at all in
States. Another 27,000 are living as             results with full reservation data      other forms of polling.
wards of the state, so to speak, in              to produce “Appendix B,” detail-           In lieu of reliable enumeration,
holding facilities, for a total feral/           ing the agricultural characteris-       the current number of Amish
once-feral population of 60,000.                 tics of American Indian and             horses and mules can be esti-
                                                 Eskimo farm operations.                 mated by applying the horse-to-
                                                    According to NASS, Native Amer-      human ratio that existed in premo-
“Invisible”                                      icans on 12,174 properties produc-      torized America. In 1910, two
                                                 ing $1,000 or more in agricultural      years after the first Model T rolled
Populations                                      goods owned 115,464 horses in           onto the roads, there were
As large as horses are, they do go
                                                 2002 (USDA 2002). Yet because           24,042,882 horses/mules and
undetected by government and
                                                 reservation horses are often han-       92,228,496 people for a 1:3.8
association enumerators alike. An
                                                 dled as communal property rather        ratio. Today’s Amish population,
untold number of equidae live as
                                                 than individually owned and be-         70 percent of which lives in Ohio,
pets or pensioners in places, such
                                                 cause large herds on Plains and         Pennsylvania, and Indiana, is esti-
as semisuburban smallholdings,
                                                 Western reservations are often          mated to number around 180,000
not normally associated with live-
                                                 managed as range animals, that          and is rapidly growing (Milicia
stock keeping, and many urban
                                                 enumeration may be very approxi-        2004). If this statistical time travel
centers have an equestrian pres-
                                                 mate. For instance, the NASS count      has validity, there are at least
ence, such as police horses, riding
                                                 given for horses on Indian-operated     47,000 Amish horses and mules in
stables, and carriage operators,
                                                 ranches in Washington State in          the United States.
that exists outside the norm. Other
                                                 2002 was 4,018, yet that statewide
equidae “hide” amid a menagerie
                                                 figure is less than the 5,000 re-

The Demographics of the U.S. Equine Population                                                                             179
How Many U.S.                               in age between five and twenty. The
                                            random animal’s breeding, usually
                                                                                     which they could make mating deci-
                                                                                     sions that would improve their ani-
Horses Are There?                           discernible to experienced horse-        mals’ production and performance.
Although current equine enumera-            people by its physical characteris-      Today DNA testing is required by
tions can be faulted for limitations        tics, or conformation, would most        the more rigorous organizations to
in their focus, methodology, and            likely be quarter horse, the coun-       assure authenticity of parentage.
results, their data, considered             try’s preponderant type by all meas-     The Thoroughbred studbook (The
cumulatively, point to the accuracy         ures. The second most likely en-         Jockey Club), started in England in
of the American Horse Council esti-         counter would be with a somewhat         the early seventeenth century, is the
mate. Projecting the AHCF horse             more streamlined-looking horse in        oldest and most carefully main-
population figure for 2003 two              a “plain brown wrapper”—a sixteen-       tained of any, closely guarding the
years into the future (1.3 percent          hand bay or dark brown Thorough-         bloodlines and racing data of the
growth in ’04 and ’05 = 9,464,200),         bred type, with perhaps a touch of       breed. Other studbooks are “open,”
and adding overlooked ponies and            white on face and foot.                  meaning that occasional outcross-
asses (200,000), the country’s feral           But in the United States, diversity   ing is allowed with a few other spec-
equidae (60,000) and the “invisi-           rules the equine as well as the hu-      ified breeds. The quarter horse stud-
ble” populations (200,000) produce          man population, so that random           book, for instance, has permitted
a figure of 9,924,000 for the 2006          sighting might instead be of a four-     matings with Thoroughbreds, among
U.S. equine population.                     foot-tall critter with a white and       others, particularly in producing
                                            brown coat, very long ears, a bray,      racing stock. Crossbred registries
The Future                                  not a neigh, and registration papers     either specify one type of mating
With institution of a National Ani-         from an organization called the          pattern (for instance, Andalusian +
mal Identification System by 2010,          American Council of Spotted Asses.       quarter horse = Azteca horse, a reg-
all uncertainty should be removed           Or the sighting could be of a large,     istrable “breed”) or register any
from the equine-counting business.          high-headed black horse with feath-      type of offspring from the specified
In the planning stages as of 2006,          ery legs and flowing mane hitched        purebred parent (for example, the
this USDA initiative will permit            to a cart: a Friesian, one of many im-   half-Arabian registry).
tracking of all U.S. livestock from         ported sorts increasingly brought           In addition to or in lieu of re-
first breath to last for the sake of dis-   into the country by horsepeople          cording by bloodline, breeds are
ease control and bioterrorism pro-          seeking something more exotic            now defined by other parameters.
tection. Each animal will be identi-        than the prevailing breeds for activ-    Almost a quarter of the registries
fied through a standard coding              ities outside the norm. The United       listed in the AHC directory accept
system indicating place of origin,          States unquestionably has the most       horses on the basis of physical appear-
along with an individual identifier.        variegated collection of equidae on      ance, usually coloration, such as
Microchipping is the likely technol-        earth. The American Horse Coun-          palomino and buckskin, or marking
ogy that will be applied to equidae,        cil’s Horse Industry Directory listed    patterns, such as Appaloosas and
reporting all horses, ponies, and           106 registries for horses, ponies, or    pintos, but there’s even a registry
asses to a single database where            asses (AHC 2003). Some are multi-        for curly-coated horses. Pony and
population figures will be actual           ples drawing registrations from the      miniature registries restrict entry
hooves-on-the-ground numbers, not           same pool of animals, but an equal       by height as well as parentage.
statistical extrapolations.                 number of smaller organizations          Gaited horses who move in a vari-
                                            probably missed out on inclusion in      ety of less common footfall patterns,
What Does the U.S.                          the directory.                           with names like walker, paso, sin-
Equine Population                                                                    glefooter, mangalarga, and foxtrot-
Look Like?                                                                           ter, belong to a subset of registries
In a random encounter with a mem-           Breed Registries                         that have increased in popularity
ber of the equine species in the            Of the hundred or so U.S. registries,    along with recreational horse use
United States, this is the most likely      most record bloodlines to maintain       because they produce a bounce-
sighting throughout much of the             a “pure” genetic pool by requiring       free ride. Sports and activities, such
country: a riding horse, standing           that newly registered animals be the     as flat and harness racing and per-
about fifteen hands (sixty inches           offspring of two parents who are         formance/sport horses bred for
measured at the shoulders), either          already in the studbook. The origi-      eventing and jumping, are the
female (a mare) or neutered male            nal purpose of recording livestock       organizing principle for some of
(a gelding)—but certainly not a             bloodlines and maintaining them          the oldest and some of the newest
stallion—probably sorrel, tending           generation after generation was to       registries. Finally, historically sig-
toward a stocky build and ranging           give breeders information with           nificant and geographically distinc-

180                                                                                      The State of the Animals IV: 2007
tive horses get their own associa-                services and show-ring results than                 profiling the national equine popu-
tions, including Spanish mustangs,                with actual breed improvement.                      lation. Viewing registration trends
Icelandic horses, and a recreated                                                                     over time provides insights into the
medieval charger going under the                                                                      waxing and waning of particular
name Spanish-Norman horse. In                     Registry Tallies                                    horse types and equestrian inter-
the modern proliferation of equine                Tracking the tallies of annual regis-               ests. In both 2006 and throughout
registries, record-keeping more                   trations entered into the nine                      the past decades, American Quar-
often has to do with membership                   major U.S. registries is one way of                 ter Horse Association (AQHA) reg-

  Table 2
  Annual New Registrations for the
  Nine Largest U.S. Horse Breed Registries
                                                                                                        Tennessee
               Quarter                    Thorough-                          Standard-                   Walking Saddle-
  Year          Horse           Paint       bred            Arabian Appaloosa bred                        Horse   bred         Morgan

  1977          94,445           5,565        27,551         18,797         19,316        13,929           6,212    3,855      3,700

  1983         168,346         14,626         43,787         18,391         22,184        20,298           7,561    2,787      5,317

  1985         157,360         12,692         46,635         30,004         16,189        18,384           7,812    4,351      4,538

  1988         128,352         14,929         45,256         24,578         12,317        17,393           8,400    3,811      3,526

  1989            NA           14,930         44,250         21,723         10,746        16,896           8,850    3,708      3,732

  1990*        115,000         15,000         40,333         13,000         10,000        15,000           8,000    3,700      3,400

  1991         101,390         18,648         38,149         12,993          9,902        13,617           8,092    3,570      3,392

  1992         102,843         22,396         35,050         12,544        10 033         13,029           8,123    3,048      2,408

  1993         104,876         24,220         33,820         12,349          9,079        12,086           7,510    3,353      3,120

  1994         106,017         27,549         32,117         12,962         10,104        12,204           7,856    3,192      3,038

  1995         107,332         34,846         31,882         12,398         10,903        10,918           9,450    2,300      3,063

  1996         108,604         41,491         32,242         11,645         10,067        11,589         10,991     2,142      3,053

  1997         110,714         50,440         32,115         11,594         11,030        11,336         12,256     3,213      3,415

  1998         125,308         55,356         32,944         11,320          9,100        10,881         13,250     2,952      3,100

  1999         135,528         62,186         33,838         11,501         10,099        11,183         13,375     2,705      3,220

  2000         145,936         62,511         34,719          9,660         10,906        11,281         14,387     2,908      3,654

  2001         150,956         56,869         34,705          9,266          9,322        11,261         14,479     3,050      3,475

  2002         156,199         60,000         32,941          9,394          9,092        11,699         14,865     2,931      3,976

  2003         160,980         51,000         33,671          9,400          9,200        11,050         14,978     2,578      2,938

  2004**       162,590         52,000         34,070          9,000          9,200        11,500         15,000     3,200      3,500

  2005**       165,000         44,000         34,070          8,000          7,000        11,000         13,500     3,000      3,400

  *Approximate, except for Thoroughbred.
  **Registry estimates.
  Sources: Thoroughbred registrations for the U.S. only: The Jockey Club (2006); other breeds, years 1992–2001:
  AHC (2003); remaining years: EQUUS (1989, 1990, 1991, 1994, 1995, 1997, 1999, 2000, 2004).

The Demographics of the U.S. Equine Population                                                                                         181
istrations exceeded all others by          study, supported largely by the           ment, conducted in 1998 for the
tens of thousands (Tables 2 and 3).        Thoroughbred and quarter horse            USDA’s National Animal Health Mon-
   The American Paint Horse Associ-        associations, characterized the           itoring System (NAHMS) (USDA
ation (APHA), formed in 1965 to            makeup of the 2003 U.S. horse pop-        1998). However, the 1998 sample of
register quarter horse types with          ulation using only three broad pro-       owners, selected from twenty-eight
more white coat markings than are          files: Thoroughbred, quarter horse,       states accounting for 78 percent of
permitted for AQHA registration, is        and “other,” which included other         the national equine population enu-
now the second-largest breed reg-          registered and nonregistered              merated by NASS for 1992, reported
istry. During the past fifteen years,      horses. The survey respondents            an even greater concentration of
registered quarter horses and paints       reported ownership for 2003 in the        quarter horses—40 percent—than
combined made up almost three-             following proportions (AHC 2005):         the more recent AHC study. The
quarters of all registrations in that         • Thoroughbred—14 percent,             NAHMS survey included all equidae
nine-breed cohort. It is safe to say            or 1,291,807                         found on U.S. properties and de-
that the multipurpose, American-              • Quarter horse—35.6 percent,          tailed the “other horses” that were
made breed derived from bloodlines              or 3,288,302                         lumped together in the AHC study.
that excelled in sprint racing during         • Other horses—50.3 percent,           Table 4 shows the NAHMS-deter-
colonial days (hence the “quarter               or 4,642,739                         mined composition of the U.S.
mile” designation), then seasoned             Identical 50–50 proportions for        equine population by type and breed
as stock horses on the Western             the combined Thoroughbred-quarter         as percentages of the total and as
ranges represents the preferred            horse cohort and the other-horse          current head counts, based on a
using type for today’s American            group were also found by the only         2005 population of ten million.
owner. Quarter horses are just what        scientific survey yet done of the U.S.      Comparison of Tables 3 and 4
the recreational market wants:             horse population and its manage-          shows little agreement between
medium in size, comparatively easy-
going and low maintenance, and
capable of performing a variety of           Table 3
activities, particularly as the registry     Fifteen-Year Total Registrations for
has allowed outcrossing to create
the more streamlined physiques
                                             Nine Major U.S. Registries, 1991–2005
favored in the “English” disciplines
(an equestrian style based on a flat         Association                                         Percentage of
                                             Registry                               Total       Nine-Breed Total
saddle that includes hunters,
jumpers, dressage, and polo, and             American Quarter
“saddleseat” style riding) to the            Horse Association                    2,844,273              59.6
original, stockier cattle-horse type.        American Paint
                                             Horse Association                      663,512              13.9

Breed Numbers                                The Jockey Club
                                             (Thoroughbreds)                        506,333              10.6
Quarter horse/paint dominance is
indisputable, but the diverse U.S.           U.S. Trotting Association
equine population cannot be char-            (Standardbreds)                        174,634               3.7
acterized by registration numbers            Tenn. Walking Horse Breeders’
alone. Despite the opportunities to          and Exhibitors’ Association            178,112               3.7
“paper” just about any variety of
equid, a portion of the population—          Arabian Horse
                                             Registry of America                    164,026               3.4
probably a significant one—was
never registered, or its registrations       Appaloosa Horse Club                   145,037               3.0
have gotten lost with changes of
                                             American Morgan
ownership. Membership and regis-             Horse Association                       48,752               1.0
tration fees are expensive, and the
majority of Americans are involved           American Saddlebred
in horse activities that don’t require       Horse Association                       44,142               0.9
registry/association affiliation, thus                       Total                4,768,821
papers are not a compelling need
throughout the horse-owning popu-
                                             Source: Calculations from Table 2.
lation. The AHC economic impact

182                                                                                      The State of the Animals IV: 2007
the population percentages in the         attempt to keep an exact count of     face value, the breed populations
two lists, but they diverge most          each year’s new entries; the          produced by NAHMS percentages
strikingly for quarter horses and         NAHMS percentages derived from        and the two breed counts specified
paints. The NAHMS quarter horse           a sample consisting of fewer than     in the AHC study cannot be recon-
percentage derived from owner             three thousand respondents taken      ciled with reality. Even if every sin-
data was 20 percentage points             from little more than half the        gle quarter horse and Thorough-
lower than the registry’s share of        states. Yet a more significant rea-   bred registered in the past fifteen
the nine-breed total; for paints the      son for the differences is probably   years were alive today, there would
farm count was 5.4 percent, while         timing. Since the 1998 survey was     still have to be an additional
the registry proportion equaled           conducted, AQHA and APHA have         643,577 surviving older registered
13.4. Only the Standardbred was           experienced strong growth, while      quarter horses and another
close to the same percentage on           most of the remaining registries      394,327 aged Thoroughbreds to
both lists, while the remaining           have nudged upward very little,       fulfill the NAHMS percentage allot-
specified breeds were a little to a       remained steady, or declined.         ments. The overages are flipped
lot higher on the farm than the              The three windows onto U.S.        using AHC calculations: 444,000
registry numbers would indicate.          breed numbers seem impossibly         for quarter horses and 785,400 for
   One explanation for this dispar-       contradictory when actual popula-     Thoroughbreds. All of the other
ity is the methodologies. Registries      tion figures are compared. Taken at   breed counts derived from NAHMS
                                                                                percentages exceed the cumulative
                                                                                registry figures as well.
  Table 4                                                                          Horses do not really have to be
  U.S. Breed Distribution Using                                                 immortal to make these numbers
                                                                                work. The more realistic explana-
  Percentages Determined by                                                     tion for the breed population infla-
  USDA/National Animal Health                                                   tion reflected in survey results is
  Monitoring System, 1998*                                                      recreational horse owners’ disre-
                                                                                gard for the formal papering
                                                                                process. When questioned, as they
                                     Percentage           Approximate
  Type/Breed                        of Population          Population           were on both surveys, about how
                                                                                many of each breed they own, they
  Donkeys/burros                             2.7           270,000              usually respond with the animals’
  Mules                                      2.0           200,000
                                                                                known or suspected origins, not
                                                                                strictly with their registration sta-
  Miniature horses                           1.6           160,000              tus. Given this tendency to report
                                                                                by type, not registry affiliation, the
  Ponies                                     5.4           540,000
                                                                                U.S. horse population probably has
  Horses                                    88.3         8,830,000              a much greater proportion of
                                                                                unregistered horses than the 9 per-
    Quarter horse                           39.5         3,487,850
                                                                                cent designated “other, not regis-
    Thoroughbred                            10.2           900,600              tered” in the NAHMS results. That
                                                                                particular group probably includes
    Other, registered                        9.1           803,530              primarily horses, often called
    Other, not registered                    9.0           794,700              “grade,” who are of unknown ori-
                                                                                gin and no discernible type. All
    Arabian                                  7.8           688,740              others are probably enumerated in
    Appaloosa                                5.9           520,970              whatever standard breed category
                                                                                they most closely resemble.
    Paint                                    5.4           476,820

    Draft                                    4.8           423,840              Special Populations
                                                                                The NAHMS study was uncom-
    Tenn. Walking Horse                      4.8           423,840              monly inclusive and provides a use-
                                                                                ful glimpse of less visible equidae
    Standardbred                             3.5           309,050
                                                                                found on U.S. equestrian proper-
  *Based on a current total equine population of ten million.                   ties. The nonhorse group, includ-
                                                                                ing ponies, miniature horses, and
  Source: USDA (1998)
                                                                                asses, represented little over 10

The Demographics of the U.S. Equine Population                                                                    183
percent of the equine population          Unless the retired Standardbred is       only 13.8 percent under age five,
on the surveyed properties in             used for breeding—not an option          compared to the 33.2 percent of
1998. Miniature horses, which con-        for geldings—he or she must be con-      the total sample and an exception-
stituted the smallest fraction at         verted to pleasure or carriage use or    ally high percentage—81.7—in the
1.6 percent, are clearly the growth       disposed of. As riding animals,          five-to-twenty group and only 4.3
group in this niche. Between 1992         retired Thoroughbred runners             percent over age twenty. Miniature
and 2001, the American Miniature          may have more opportunities              horses and donkeys were well out-
Horse Association recorded 83,361         for second careers as performers in      side the age norms in the opposite
new registrations, with the trajec-       other sports or as recreational ani-     direction (though the small sample
tory being upward throughout the          mals, but temperamentally they           sizes leave room for larger standard
decade (AHC 2003). Even though            are not always suitable for pleasure     errors): nearly half of each group
they were the smallest population         mounts.                                  was in the eighteen-month to five-
recorded by NAHMS in 1998,                   The NAHMS survey excluded race-       year group, and they exceeded the
annual registrations of these pet         track populations from its analysis      norms for the two younger groups
equidae now exceed those for Ara-         of age patterns in 1998. At that time    as well; their percentages in the
bians, Appaloosas, saddlebreds,           the survey group fell into the follow-   over-20 group were markedly less
and Morgans.                              ing age ranges (USDA 1998):              than the norm (2.7 for minis; 0.9
                                             • 58.8 percent were five to           for donkeys).
Age Characteristics                            twenty years of age, the               Today’s equine age profile no
Equidae are quite long-lived com-              horse’s average working life;       doubt follows the same basic bell
pared to livestock and small-pet             • 23 percent were eighteen            curve, but the percentages are likely
species. They commonly live into               months to five years, the           to have undergone some adjust-
their twenties, even into their forties        maturing and training period;       ments. Except for quarter horses
and beyond. According to the Guin-           • 8.9 percent were six to eight-      and paints, production in the larger
ness Book of World Records, the old-           een months, horse adoles-           American breeds has been pretty
est documented horse was sixty-two,            cence, so to speak;                 flat or in decline for the past decade
the oldest pony, fifty-five (Equine          • 7.8 percent were twenty or          or longer. That would indicate an
World Records 2006). Health-care                                                   overall aging of the population. Yet
                                               more years old, generally re-
                                                                                   the loss of business in established
advances and ownership attitudes               tirement time;
                                                                                   breeds may simply mean that Amer-
have combined to extend the aver-            • 1.3 percent were under six
                                                                                   ican tastes/interests have splintered
age life span of recreational/com-             months, the period foals are
                                                                                   off in many new directions, where
panion equidae. In a 2000 special              normally at their mothers’
                                                                                   smaller breeds registering a few
report on the aged equine popula-              side; and
                                                                                   hundred horses annually and impor-
tion, EQUUS magazine reported                • 0.5 percent were of unknown age.
                                                                                   tation of “exotics” from other coun-
that, according to their registries,         When applied to a current             tries are taking up the production
52 percent of Arabians and 57 per-        equine population of ten million,        slack. Another possibility in the
cent of Morgans were over fifteen         these percentages would produce          slowing of established registries is
years of age, compared to 30 per-         the following age profile:               an increase in “backyard” cross-
cent of quarter horses, 25 percent of        • 8,180,000 of training and           breeding. Pleasure owners have a
saddlebreds, and 15 percent of paint           using age;                          propensity to grow one or two of
horses and Standardbreds (EQUUS              • 1,020,000 under using age; and      their own from a favorite companion
2000). In general, breeds register-          • 780,000 over age twenty and         mare. The motive usually has more
ing an increasing number of animals            likely in retirement.               to do with sentiment than produc-
in the last five to ten years would          The different equid types in the      ing to a breed standard, and regis-
have a younger population than            1998 sample had some quite dis-          trations would not be sought across
would those with declining registra-      tinctive age patterns. Horses, mak-      the board.
tions in the most recent decade.          ing up nearly 90 percent of the sam-
   The Standardbred youthfulness          ple, were right on the norm in all
does not reflect recent breed growth,     age groups. Ponies were the most
                                          aged, with twice the percentage
                                                                                   The Future
however. Instead, it is the conse-                                                 As of mid-2006, NAHMS was in the
quence of the relatively short pro-       (15.2) of over-twenties and half the     process of preparing to publish a
ductive life of racehorses. Standard-     percentage (0.6) of sucklings in         2005 version of its horse manage-
breds tend to race longer than            their numbers, though they were          ment and health survey. It will be
Thoroughbreds, but even then a trot-      close to the average in the five-to-     interesting to see how the current
ter or pacer still competing at age       twenty age group. Mules also lacked      from-the-farm population profiles
twelve is considered an old-timer.        an up-and-coming population, with        differ from the 1998 findings in

184                                                                                    The State of the Animals IV: 2007
light of changing production pat-          The NAHMS study, another                 Someone driving through Mary-
terns of registered stock during        USDA effort but concerned not            land would be twice as likely to
the intervening years, shifts in        so much with enumeration as              encounter horses as would some-
minor populations, particularly of      with sur veying horse manage-            one traveling through Kentucky,
miniature horses, and the aging—        ment practices for health-monitor-       and New Jersey and Connecticut
or not—of U.S. equidae.                 ing purposes, reported 1998 pop-         residents live with readier geo-
                                        ulation patterns by region               graphical access to horses than do
                                        (USDA 1998):                             residents of Texas and California.
Where Do U.S.                              • Ten southern states, including         The human-to-horse ratio defines
Horses Live?                                 Texas, Florida, Oklahoma,
                                             and Kentucky, accounted for
                                                                                 the states’ horsiness in yet another
                                                                                 way. The ten locales with the
Ranking states by the numbers of
                                             40 percent of the surveyed          fewest number of people for every
horses residing within their bound-
                                             equine population.                  horse are
aries is the usual way of examining
                                           • Seven Western states, includ-           1. Wyoming           5.1 people
equine population patterns and
                                             ing California and Colorado,                                 per horse
their significance. Both the AHC’s
                                             accounted for 26 percent.               2. South Dakota      6.4
national economic impact study
                                           • Seven North-Central states,             3. Montana           7.1
and numerous state-generated eco-
                                             including Missouri, accounted           4. Idaho             8.8
nomic valuations use raw horse
                                             for 20 percent.                         5. North Dakota 10.7
numbers as primary data on which
                                           • Four Northeastern states, includ-       6. Oklahoma         10.8
all other calculations are based. It
                                             ing Ohio and Pennsylvania,              7. Nebraska         11.6
makes sense that the more horses
                                             accounted for 13 percent.               8. New Mexico       12.9
who are maintained within a state,
                                           Any useful assessment of loca-            8. Kentucky         12.9
the more economic activity will
                                        tion’s effects on the lives horses           9. Iowa             14.8
take place around them. Reckoned
                                        lead has to take into account more          Residents in these ten states are
by head count only (AHCF 2005),
                                        than raw population numbers. The         far more likely to have direct con-
the top ten horsiest places in the
                                        very largest states in terms of land     tact with horses than are people in
country are
                                        area are going to hold more horses       more populous areas. Kentucky is
     1. Texas          978,822 horses
                                        than the medium to small states,         the anomaly in the listing for not
     2. California     698,345
                                        but are horses also a large pres-        being a wide-open-spaces Plains
     3. Florida        500,124
                                        ence to the human population in          or Western state. Human-to-horse
     4. Oklahoma       326,134
                                        the very large state and of little       ratio is better proof than the head
     5. Kentucky       320,173
                                        significance in the small state?         count alone that a state is truly a
     6. Ohio           306,898
                                        The state tallies by themselves          horsey area. In all the other low-
     7. Missouri       281,255
                                        don’t say. A more meaningful             ratio states, both the human and
     8. North Carolina 256,269
                                        approach is to add two more fac-         equine populations are sparse.
     9. Pennsylvania 255,763
                                        tors to the analysis: how many           Even then, the two species knock-
   10. Colorado        255,503
                                        horses and how many people are           ing around in an expansive land
   The USDA’s equine-specific census
                                        o n h o w m u c h l a n d ? Vi e w e d   area have closer associations than
of 1998 and 1999 arrived at a rather
                                        through this multifocal lens, the        do tiny Rhode Island’s 308 people
different state ranking based on its
                                        U.S. horse population looks quite        for every one horse.
population estimates (USDA 1999).
                                        different (Table 5).                        New England, home of less than
None of the state figures below is in
                                           The top ten horsiest states in        2 percent of the national horse
any way comparable to the AHC’s
                                        terms of number of horses per            population is, far and away, the
numbers (see the earlier discussion
                                        square mile of land area are             least horsey area in the forty-eight
concerning methodologies):
                                           1. Maryland        15.6 per square    contiguous states. Expanding the
     1. Texas          600,000
                                                              mile of land       region to coincide with the U.S.
     2. California     240,000
                                           2. New Jersey      11.2               Census Bureau’s Northeast designa-
     3. Tennessee      190,000
                                           3. Connecticut 10.7                   tion by including much horsier New
     4. Florida        170,000
                                           4. Florida          9.3               York and Pennsylvania and the little-
     4. Pennsylvania 170,000
                                           5. Kentucky         8.0               bit-horsier New Jersey improves the
     4. Oklahoma       170,000
                                           6. Ohio             7.5               horse presence to 8 percent of the
     5. Ohio           160,000
                                           7. Virginia         6.0               national total. At the same time,
     6. Minnesota      155,000
                                           8. Indiana          5.7               this region contains 19 percent of
     6. New York       155,000
                                           8. Pennsylvania 5.7                   the human population (USCB
     6. Washington 155,000
                                           9. North Carolina 5.3                 2000) and includes the nation’s

The Demographics of the U.S. Equine Population                                                                    185
four most densely populated states:
  Table 5                                                                  New Jersey, at 1,134.4 people per
                                                                           square mile; Rhode Island with
  State Horse Population Characteristics                                   1,003.2; Massachusetts with 809.8;
                         Horse               Horses/   Number of People/   and Connecticut with 702.9. New
                       Population*         Square Mile    Horse***         York is sixth and Pennsylvania tenth
  United States          9,222,847                  2.7**      31.8
  Northeast
                                                                           in population density. The conclu-
    Maine                   37,854                  1.2        34.8        sion seems unavoidable: a reverse
    Massachusetts           37,529                  4.8       171.0        correlation exists between an area’s
    Rhode Island             3,509                  3.4       308.0        human population density and its
    Vermont                 24,540                  2.7        25.3        equine population density. The
    New Hampshire           14,681                  1.6        88.5
    Connecticut             51,968                 10.7        67.4        cause, too, seems obvious: more
    New York               201,906                  4.3        95.2        human inhabitants per square mile
    New Jersey              82,982                 11.2       104.8        mean less physical space for keep-
    Pennsylvania           255,763                  5.7        48.5        ing large animals and for the
  Southern Region
    Delaware                11,083                  5.7        74.9
                                                                           services, such as hay production,
    Maryland               152,930                 15.6        36.3        needed to sustain them. In addition,
    West Virginia           89,880                  3.7        20.2        higher population density translates
    Virginia               239,102                  6.0        31.2        to higher living costs, making horse
    North Carolina         256,269                  5.3        33.3        hobbies less affordable.
    South Carolina          94,773                  3.1        44.3
    Georgia                179,512                  3.1        49.2           As general principles, those con-
    Florida                500,124                  9.3        34.8        clusions are true, but reality does
    Kentucky               320,173                  8.0        12.9        not fall tidily into the either-peo-
    Tennessee              206,668                  5.0        28.6        ple-or-horses dichotomy. Maine, for
    Alabama                148,152                  2.9        30.6
                                                                           instance, has the largest land area
    Mississippi            113,063                  2.4        25.7
    Louisiana              164,305                  3.8        27.5        of all the New England states and
    Texas                  978,822                  3.7        23.0        is, in fact, almost the same size as
    Arkansas               168,014                  3.2        16.4        South Carolina, with less than a
    Oklahoma               326,134                  4.7        10.8        third of that state’s population.
  Midwest Region
    Ohio                   306,898                  7.5        37.3
                                                                           Even with plenty of room for lots of
    Michigan               234,477                  4.1        43.1        horses, this northernmost state
    Indiana                202,986                  5.7        30.7        has only 1.2 horses per square mile
    Illinois               192,524                  3.5        66.0        and just one for every 35 people,
    Wisconsin              178,636                  3.3        30.8        a lower than middling placement
    Minnesota              182,229                  2.3        28.0
    Missouri               281,255                  4.1        20.5        in the national ratio rankings.
    North Dakota            59,391                  0.9        10.7        New Hampshire also has the physi-
    South Dakota           120,878                  1.6         6.4        cal space for horses, but its per-
    Iowa                   199,220                  3.6        14.8        square-mile horse population is
    Nebraska               150,891                  2.0        11.6
    Kansas                 178,651                  2.2        15.3
                                                                           almost as low as Maine’s, and the
  Western Region                                                           human-horse ratio, at 88.5:1, is
    New Mexico             147,181                  1.2        12.9        one of the country’s highest. Yet
    Arizona                177,124                  1.6        32.4        neighboring Vermont, sharing
    Nevada                  51,619                  0.5        42.1        many of New Hampshire’s charac-
    Colorado               255,503                  2.5        18.0
    Utah                   120,183                  1.5        19.9
                                                                           teristics except for its spillover
    Idaho                  158,458                  1.9         8.8        population from Boston, is a much
    Montana                129,997                  0.9         7.1        horsier place, still below the
    Wyoming                 99,257                  1.0         5.1        national average with only 2.7
    California             698,345                  4.5        51.4        horses per square mile but with
    Oregon                 167,928                  1.7        21.4
    Washington             249,964                  3.8        24.8        a better human-horse ratio. The
    Alaska                  11,449                  0.0****    57.2        small state of Connecticut and very
    Hawaii                   8,037                  1.3       157.0        small state of New Jersey break
                                                                           the many humans/fewer horses
  *AHCF (2005).
  **Land area for forty-eight contiguous states.
                                                                           rule in the opposite direction
  ***USCB (2004).                                                          by fitting proportionately large
  ****Fewer than 0.1 percent                                               horse populations into very subur-
                                                                           banized landscapes.

186                                                                           The State of the Animals IV: 2007
Culture                                 greatest concentration of the U.S.
                                        equine population—41 percent—is
                                                                                 • Quarter horses were the domi-
                                                                                   nant breed everywhere except
and Climate                             in the Southern region (AHCF               the Northeast, where they rep-
Physical space in a state or region     2005), where only 36 percent of            resented 24 percent of the
is a major equine population deter-     the U.S. population lives (USCB            population, 16 percent less
miner, but human demand decides         2000). In twelve of the sixteen            than the norm. If the survey
the density rate. Maine, with its       Southern states, the median house-         had not included Ohio in this
smallholdings of poor agricultural      hold income in 1999 was a little—          region, the proportion would
land and New England rectitude,         or a lot—lower than the national           have been even less.
has a comparatively short history       median (USCB 2000). Along with           • Draft breeds made up only 1
with horses as work animals and as      its warmth, the Southern region is         and 2 percent of the popula-
recreational presences. Its climate     historically horse country from its        tions in the Southern and
does not invite year-round horse        long and, in some areas, continuing        Western regions, respectively,
enjoyment or make horse keeping         dependence on live horsepower in           but accounted for 11 percent
an easy, inexpensive venture. Main-     agricultural and ranch work and its        in the Northeast and 12 per-
ers would apparently rather be sail-    horse-sport-and-socializing legacy.        cent in the Central region.
ing or snowshoeing than horseback          The eleven Pacific Coast and          • Standardbreds had a negligible
riding. Vermont’s distinction as the    Mountain states in the Western             presence in the West (0.9 per-
birthplace of the Morgan breed and      region and the twelve states in the        cent) and the South (2.1 per-
continued home of its registr y         Midwest region (as defined by              cent), but approached 10 per-
probably contributes to that state’s    USCB, not by the NAHMS study) are          cent in the Northeast and 6
greater equestrian involvement.         closely matched in horse numbers,          percent in the Central region.
Marylanders have no demographic         with 25 and 26 percent, respectively,      The inclusion of Ohio as a North-
reasons for their higher-than-aver-     as well as human population, with          eastern state has distorted the
age horse interest. They live in the    22 and 23 percent, respectively. In        results, as the Standardbred reg-
most densely populated state out-       the northern tier of states, weather       istry is located in Columbus, and
side the Northeast, ranking fifth in    may put a damper on horse enjoy-           the breed has more of a follow-
the country, with 541.9 people per      ment, but both regions offer bound-        ing in the Midwest.
square mile. With less than a third     less space for equestrian activities,    • Thoroughbreds comprised
the land area of Maine, Maryland        and horses have always been an             more of the Southern horse
has four times its horse population     essential element in Western and           population than elsewhere
and the nation’s highest horse den-     Midwestern work and culture. In the        (14.2 percent) and had the
sity. The small state’s more congen-    states in these two regions with the       smallest presence in the Cen-
ial climate and better soil are fac-    lowest human-horse ratios, the             tral states (4.3 percent).
tors, but its historical associations   median household incomes in 1999         • As could be expected, Ten-
with horse sports back to the colo-     were also below the national average       nessee Walking Horses were
nial era have encouraged commer-        (USCB 2000). As long as an area has        found in greatest concentration
cial horse production and profes-       lots of open space, horses are not         in the Southern region (8.2 per-
sional operations, and well-paid        the luxury items that they are often       cent of the population there),
workers in two major metropolitan       perceived to be. In fact, a state’s        but their second strongest
areas have the disposable income        median income appears to be a poor         showing was in the Northeast,
to spend on horse enjoyment.            predictor of horsiness, given the fact     accounting for 4.3 percent of
   A warm climate apparently has        that New Jersey, Connecticut, Mass-        that area’s population.
greater appeal to horse owners          achusetts, and New Hampshire had         • Arabians made up about 10
overall than do large incomes.          among the highest median house-            percent of the horse popula-
Horses themselves adapt quite well      hold incomes in the country in 1999        tion in the Northeast, Western,
to cold climates and are probably       (USCB 2000) and only a small frac-         and Central regions, but only
healthier in the north, where           tion of its horses.                        4.5 percent in the South.
there’s less opportunity for biting                                              • Appaloosas were consistent
insects to spread several serious                                                  throughout, ranging from 5
equine diseases and where heat-         Breeds by Region                           to 7 percent.
associated conditions, infections,      Regional breed differences re-           • Paints had their greatest concen-
and skin disorders are less com-        ported in the NAHMS study (USDA            tration in the Northeast, at 8.8
mon. But horses cluster where peo-      1998) reflect the use patterns and         percent, while they accounted
ple want to use/enjoy them, prima-      equestrian preferences character-          for around 5 percent of the rest
rily in outdoor activities, and the     istic of each area:                        of the regions.

The Demographics of the U.S. Equine Population                                                                  187
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