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                          Towards Ending
                          Child Marriage
                           Global trends and
                           profiles of progress
© UNICEF/UN0358059/Mawa
Towards Ending Child Marriage - Global trends and profiles of progress - ReliefWeb
Towards Ending
                                                                                                                         Child Marriage
                                                                                                                         Global trends and profiles of progress

© United Nations Children’s Fund (UNICEF), Division of       ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
Data, Analytics, Planning and Monitoring, October 2021       The preparation of this publication was led by Claudia
                                                             Cappa (Data and Analytics Section, UNICEF Headquarters),
Permission is required to reproduce any part of this         with inputs from Colleen Murray (Data and Analytics
publication. Permission will be freely granted to            Section, UNICEF Headquarters), Lisa Fleming (independent
educational or non-profit organizations.                     consultant) and Nankali Maksud (Child Protection Section,
                                                             UNICEF Headquarters). Isabel Jijon (independent
To request permission or for any other information on this   consultant) was involved in fact-checking.
publication, please contact:
                                                             The report was edited by Lois Jensen and designed by
UNICEF Data and Analytics Section                            Elwa Design Studio (independent consultants).
Division of Data, Analytics, Planning and Monitoring
3 United Nations Plaza, New York, NY 10017, USA
Telephone: +1 212 326 7000
Email: data@unicef.org

All reasonable precautions have been taken by UNICEF
to verify the information contained in this publication.
For any data updates subsequent to release, please visit
.

Suggested citation: United Nations Children’s Fund,
Towards Ending Child Marriage: Global trends and profiles
of progress, UNICEF, New York, 2021.
Towards Ending Child Marriage - Global trends and profiles of progress - ReliefWeb
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                                                                                                                                                                        Contents
Towards Ending Child Marriage: Global trends and profiles of progress

                                                                        Contents   01.   Introduction                                 11

                                                                                   02.   Global and regional overview                 12

                                                                                   03.   Understanding trends
                                                                                         Economic development and poverty reduction
                                                                                                                                      18
                                                                                                                                      20
                                                                                         Access to education                          22
                                                                                         Labour force participation                   24
                                                                                         Improvements in reproductive health          26
                                                                                         Legal protections                            28

                                                                                   04.   Profiles of progress
                                                                                         Bangladesh
                                                                                                                                      30
                                                                                                                                      32
                                                                                         Ethiopia                                     36
                                                                                         India                                        40
                                                                                         Indonesia                                    44
                                                                                         Armenia                                      48
                                                                                         Eswatini                                     52
                                                                                         Maldives                                     56
                                                                                         Rwanda                                       60
                                                                                         Tunisia                                      64

                                                                                   05.   Towards ending child marriage                68

                                                                                   06.   Technical notes                              70

                                                                                   07.   References                                   72

                                                                                                                                           © UNICEF/UN0281307/Tadesse
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                                                                                                                                                                             Key messages
Towards Ending Child Marriage: Global trends and profiles of progress

                                                                        Key
                                                                                   • Child marriage is a harmful practice detrimental to girls’ well-
                                                                                     being and in violation of their rights

                                                                        messages
                                                                                   • It is becoming less common. Still, it affects 650 million girls
                                                                                     and women around the world, and global progress is not fast
                                                                                     enough to achieve the Sustainable Development Goal (SDG)
                                                                                     target of eliminating child marriage by 2030
                                                                                   • The amount of progress has varied substantially across
                                                                                     different contexts
                                                                                   • Progress is possible under the right conditions – with
                                                                                     significant shifts in the well-being of society, the status of
                                                                                     women and the provision of key services over the course of
                                                                                     several decades
                                                                                   • Opportunities for girls are fundamental to success. Child
                                                                                     marriage becomes a less attractive option when productive
                                                                                     alternatives are available to girls
                                                                                   • Reductions in child marriage are possible in a variety of
                                                                                     settings, among countries with both high and low levels.
                                                                                     What’s more, several countries show that progress can be made
                                                                                     equitably, with girls from the poorest households benefiting
                                                                                     alongside those from the richest households
                                                                                   • Gains made must not be lost. Poverty reduction, access to
                                                                                     education and labour force participation are key to ending child
                                                                                     marriage. We can’t afford to lose gains in these areas, especially
                                                                                     given the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic
                                                                                   • The SDGs are deeply interconnected. Progress on target 5.3
                                                                                     (eliminating child marriage) is dependent on progress in other areas,
                                                                                     especially education, employment and poverty reduction

                                                                                                                                                  © UNICEF/UN062033/Vishwanathan
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                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         Personal profiles
Towards Ending Child Marriage: Global trends and profiles of progress

                                                                        Though child marriage is
                                                                        an age-old tradition, the
                                                                        practice is becoming less                                                                                                                    Rima Bera is high-spirited
                                                                        common. Over the past                                                                                                                        enough to face threats from
                                                                        decade, the proportion of                                                                                                                    her community for reporting
                                                                                                                                                                                                                     on and preventing child
                                                                        young women globally
                                                                                                                                                                                                                     marriages. She looks forward
                                                                        who were married as                                              Kushma Kumari did not see child                                             to continuing her good work.
                                                                        children decreased by 15                                         marriage and child labour as rights
                                                                        per cent, from nearly 1                                          violations until she joined the Child
                                                                                                                                                                                                                     © UNICEF/UN0331600/Das

                                                                        in 4 to 1 in 5. This means                                       Reporters Programme. Kushma was
                                                                        that, over the last 10                                           one of the reporters selected to
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    “I want to tell the world that we
                                                                        years, the marriages of                                          anchor the Child Reporters YouTube
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    girls are capable of doing many
                                                                        some 25 million girls                                            series. She dreams of becoming a
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    things that you thought we
                                                                        have been averted.                                               doctor and working in the Indian Army.   The Brahmanbaria team cheers
                                                                                                                                                                                  after winning the Championship                                    couldn’t. … We have the right to
                                                                                                                                         © UNICEF/UNI207690/Katragadda
                                                                                                                                                                                  Football Tournament, part of a                                    work and to education, the right
                                                                        The girls shown here                                                                                                                                                        to be protected from violence,
                                                                                                                                                                                  series of initiatives to empower
                                                                        are among those who                                                                                       girls through sports and to end                                   the right to vote, the right to be
                                                                        were able to avoid early                                                                                  child marriage.                                                   protected from early marriage and
                                                                        marriage or are taking                                                                                                                                                      the right of choice when it comes
                                                                        a stand against this
                                                                                                                                                                                  © UNICEF/UN0482228/Satu
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    to choosing the right partner.”
                                                                                                     “I’m not ready to get married yet. I’m
                                                                        harmful practice. Their                                                                                                                                                     Ahed
                                                                                                     interested in the idea and I even have
                                                                        stories are reminders of     a suitor. But first I prefer to dedicate
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    © UNICEF/UNI394983/El-Noaimi

                                                                        the potential that opens     myself to my future and my dreams
                                                                        up when girls are free to    of owning my own business. I want                                                                               Moriom Banu has been
                                                                        pursue their ambitions       to open a boutique where women can                                                                              standing up against child
                                                                        and uphold their rights.     buy textiles and clothes.”                                                                                      marriage and supporting the
                                                                                                     Azima                                                                                                           right to education for girls
                                                                                                     © UNICEF/UNI328117/Haro                                                                                         in her community. Here she
                                                                                                                                                                                                                     shares her experiences with
                                                                                                                                                                                                                     other young activists and
                                                                                                                                                                                                                     solution providers during an
                                                                                                                                                                                                                     interactive session.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                     © UNICEF/UN0240038/Hajra

                                                                                                                                         Tseganesh Dansa wants to go to                                                                             Bira is a volunteer who is
                                                                                                                                         university and make her parents                                                                            creating awareness on the
                                                                                                                                         proud. She is happy that her                                                                               dangers of child marriage
                                                                                                                                         parents support her education            Halima [name changed to protect                                   in her village.
                                                                                                                                         and made sure she didn’t get             her identity] escaped being married
                                                                                                                                         married at a young age.                  off by her father. Together with six                              © UNICEF/UN0388655/Panjwani

                                                                                                                                         © UNICEF/UN0410875/Ayene
                                                                                                                                                                                  other girls, she sought refuge at a
                                                                                                                                                                                  police station. Through community
                                                                                                                                                                                  dialogues, her father has now become
                                                                                                                                                                                  an advocate against child marriage and
                                                                                                                                                                                  has signed an agreement to keep his
                                                                                                                                                                                  daughters in school.
                                                                                                                                                                                  © UNICEF/UNI377869/Bongyereirwe
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                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  Introduction
Towards Ending Child Marriage: Global trends and profiles of progress

                                                                                                     01.
                                                                                                     Introduction

                                                                                                     Child marriage is widely recognized     reducing the prevalence of child          about what may help prevent early
                                                                                                     as a violation of human rights and a    marriage has been made over the           marriage,4 knowledge in this area is
                                                                                                     hindrance to national development.      past 25 years, but within the last        still largely based on relatively small-
                                                                                                     The practice can have lasting           decade, progress appears to have          scale and time-limited research
                                                                                                     deleterious consequences                slowed. In Latin America and the          studies and programme evaluations.
                                                                                                     on the health, well-being and           Caribbean, levels of child marriage       For the most part, studies point
                                                                                                     rights of millions of girls. In fact,   today are as high as they were 25         to root causes and exacerbating
                                                                                                     evidence suggests that it is closely    years ago. In contrast, a girl’s risk     factors that contribute to child
                                                                                                     associated with lower educational       of marrying in childhood in South         marriage.5 In addition, research has
                                                                                                     attainment, early pregnancies,          Asia has declined by more than            focused primarily on drivers at the
                                                                                                     intimate partner violence, maternal     one third, from nearly 50 per cent        individual and household levels,6
                                                                                                     and child mortality, increased rates    a decade ago to 28 per cent today,        while the knowledge base of
                                                                                                     of sexually transmitted infections,     largely driven by rapid progress in       macro-level factors at the societal
                                                                                                     intergenerational poverty, and the      India. Increasingly, however, the         level remains fragmented.7
                                                                                                     disempowerment of married girls.1       global burden of child marriage is
                                                                                                     In committing to the Sustainable        shifting from South Asia to sub-          The analysis presented in this report
                                                                                                     Development Goals (SDGs), the           Saharan Africa, where levels of child     looks at historical trends, with a
                                                                                                     international community has             marriage have declined at a modest        focus on selected countries that
                                                                                                     vowed to end the practice of child      rate. Still, progress has been            have recorded significant declines
                                                                                                     marriage by 2030.                       observed in parts of the region.          in child marriage prevalence. It
                                                                                                                                             In Ethiopia, once among the top           offers an overview of changes in
                                                                                                     Globally, more than half a billion      five countries for child marriage in      the practice together with a review
                                                                                                     girls and women alive today were        sub-Saharan Africa, prevalence has        of other shifts that have occurred
                                                                                                     married in childhood. The highest       dropped by one third since 2006.          in these countries in terms of
                                                                                                     rates of child marriage are found in                                              girls’ access to education and
                                                                                                     sub-Saharan Africa and South Asia,      Understanding the breadth and             employment opportunities, as well
                                                                                                     where 34 per cent and 28 per cent       depth of the factors that trigger child   as economic development and
                                                                                                     of young women, respectively,           marriage or prevent its occurrence        poverty reduction.
                                                                                                     were married in childhood. Recent       is important to further reducing
                                                                                                     data indicate that the prevalence       and ultimately ending this harmful        The publication features global
                                                                                                     of child marriage is generally in       practice. Over the past decades,          and regional estimates, as well as
                                                                                                     decline, but there is substantial       a growing body of research has            country profiles, spanning a period
                                                                                                     heterogeneity in rates of reduction     fostered such an understanding.2          of nearly 30 years. Its findings
                                                                                                     across and within regions and           Empirical and theoretical evidence        are intended to raise awareness
                                                                                                     countries, with some high-              offers explanations for the origins       of the conditions that need to be
                                                                                                     prevalence areas seeing stagnating      and persistence of child marriage,3       in place to promote the societal
                                                                                                     progress and even increases.            and has informed efforts to end the       transformations that would lead to
                                                                                                                                             practice. Despite these advances          a rapid drop in the prevalence of
                                                                                                     In the Middle East and North            in child marriage research, gaps          child marriage.
                                                                                                     Africa, substantial progress in         remain. While evidence is growing

                                                                        © UNICEF/UN0212922/Noorani
Towards Ending Child Marriage - Global trends and profiles of progress - ReliefWeb
02. Global and regional overview
           12                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          Sub-Saharan Africa stands out as the region with the highest prevalence of child marriage                                                                                                        13

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       FIGURE 3                Percentage of women aged 20 to 24 years who were first married or in union before age 18

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     Global and regional overview
Towards Ending Child Marriage: Global trends and profiles of progress

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        Global average              Population-weighted regional average
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        100
                                                                        Approximately 650 million girls and women alive today were married before their 18th birthday
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         90
                                                                        FIGURE 1       Percentage distribution of girls and women of all ages who were first married or in union before age 18
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         80

                                                                                                       Middle East and                                                                   Other regions
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         70
                                                                                                       North Africa
                                                                                                                                                        4      3
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         60
                                                                                                       Eastern Europe
                                                                                                                                                  5
                                                                                                       and Central Asia
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         50

                                                                                                       Latin America                  9                                                                                                                                  40
                                                                                                       and the
                                                                                                       Caribbean
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         30

                                                                                                       Eastern                                                                            47          South Asia
                                                                                                                                  9                                                                                                                                      20
                                                                                                       and Southern
                                                                                                       Africa
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         10

                                                                                                                                          9                                                                                                                                0

                                                                                                             Western and                                                                                                                                                        East Asia and                 Eastern Europe            Middle East and        Latin America                 South Asia         Eastern and            Central and
                                                                                                             Central Africa                                                                                                                                                      the Pacific                  and Central Asia           North Africa        and the Caribbean                                Southern Africa         Western Africa
                                                                                                                                                         13

                                                                                                                       East Asia and the Pacific                                                                                                                       Notes: Each dot represents a country. The global estimate is based on a subset of 98 countries covering 79 per cent of the global population of women aged 20 to 24 years. Regional
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       estimates represent data covering at least 50 per cent of the regional population. Data coverage was insufficient to calculate regional estimates for Western Europe and North America.

                                                                        Notes: The global estimate is based on a subset of 98 countries covering 79 per cent of the global population of girls and women of all ages. Due to rounding, numbers do not add up to 100.

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       Child marriage is most prevalent in low-income countries. Still, high rates can be found in high-income nations
                                                                        One in three of the world’s child brides live in India                                                                                                                                         FIGURE 4                Percentage of women aged 20 to 24 years who were first married or in union before age 18 and gross national income (GNI) per capita
                                                                        FIGURE 2       Percentage distribution of girls and women of all ages who were first married or in union before age 18                                                                                                 (current US$)

                                                                                                                   Mexico, Islamic Republic                        Democratic Republic of the Congo,                                                                   100

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  Low income

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  Lower-middle income

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        Upper-middle income

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       High income
                                                                                                                        of Iran and Egypt                          Turkey and United Republic of Tanzania
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        90

                                                                                                                 Brazil, Pakistan                              3
                                                                                                                  and Ethiopia                          4                                                                                                               80

                                                                                                                                              9                                                                                                                         70

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        60
                                                                                                                                                                                        35              India
                                                                                                        Bangladesh,
                                                                                                          Indonesia              14                                                                                                                                     50
                                                                                                         and Nigeria
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        40

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        30

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        20

                                                                                                                                                              35                                                                                                        10

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          0
                                                                                                                                                      Rest of the world                                                                                                            1,045                                4,125                                                           12,735                                                       20,000

                                                                        Sources: The data on child marriage that appear in all the charts in this chapter are from UNICEF global databases, 2021, based on Demographic and Health Surveys (DHS), Multiple              Notes: Each dot represents a country, with the pink dots representing population-weighted averages. Low-income countries had a GNI per capita in 2020 of $1,045 or less. GNI per
                                                                        Indicator Cluster Surveys (MICS), and other nationally representative household surveys, 2010-2020. Demographic data are from the United Nations Department of Economic and Social             capita was between $1,046 and $4,125 for lower-middle-income countries, between $4,126 and $12,735 for upper-middle-income countries, and $12,736 or more for high-income coun-
                                                                        Affairs, Population Division, World Population Prospects: The 2020 revision (DVD Edition). Data on gross national income (GNI) per capita are from World Bank, 2021. Data on the Human         tries. Calculations used the World Bank Atlas method. The population-weighted estimates represent data covering at least 50 per cent of the population. Data coverage was insufficient
                                                                        Development Index (HDI) are from the United Nations Development Programme (UNDP), 2021.                                                                                                        to calculate an estimate for high-income countries.
Towards Ending Child Marriage - Global trends and profiles of progress - ReliefWeb
14                                                           While child marriage is more common in low-income countries, 86 per cent of the child marriage burden                                                                                                 Child marriage in situations of fragility is nearly two times higher than the world average                                                                                                    15
                                                                        is found in middle-income countries                                                                                                                                                                   FIGURE 7       Percentage of women aged 20 to 24 years who were first married or in union before age 18, worldwide and in countries with high levels of

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          Global and regional overview
Towards Ending Child Marriage: Global trends and profiles of progress

                                                                        FIGURE 5       Percentage distribution of girls and women of all ages who were first married or in union before age 18, by national income group                                                                     institutional and social fragility

                                                                                                             Upper-middle
                                                                                                             income
                                                                                                                                        21                                                                                                                                                                                                            35
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               Fragile

                                                                                                  High income
                                                                                                                              1

                                                                                                   Low income                13                                                             65             Lower-middle
                                                                                                                                                                                                           income                                                              World                                       19

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              Notes: According to the Revised Classification of Fragility and Conflict Situations for World Bank Group Engagement, fragile countries are defined as those with one or more of the
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              following: (a) the weakest institutional and policy environment (as measured using a set of 16 criteria grouped into four clusters: economic management, structural policies, policies
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              for social inclusion and equity, and public sector management and institutions), (b) the presence of a UN peacekeeping operation, since this reflects a decision by the international
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              community that a significant investment is needed to maintain peace and stability, or (c) flight across borders of 2,000 or more per 100,000 population, who are internationally regarded
                                                                        Notes: Low-income countries had a GNI per capita in 2020 of $1,045 or less. GNI per capita was between $1,046 and $4,125 for lower-middle-income countries, between $4,126 and                        as refugees in need of international protection, as this signals a major political or security crisis.
                                                                        $12,735 for upper-middle-income countries, and $12,736 or more for high-income countries. Calculations used the World Bank Atlas method.

                                                                        Overall, countries with higher levels of human development have lower levels of child marriage. Still, low                                                                                            Child marriage has declined across most regions in the last 25 years, with accelerated progress in certain
                                                                        rates of child marriage can be found even in countries with low human development                                                                                                                     high-prevalence regions over the past decade
                                                                        FIGURE 6       Percentage of women aged 20 to 24 years who were first married or in union before age 18 and countries’ Human Development Index (HDI)                                                  FIGURE 8       Percentage of women aged 20 to 24 years who were first married or in union before age 18

                                                                        100
                                                                                                                                                                           Low HDI

                                                                                                                                                                                                     Medium HDI

                                                                                                                                                                                                                        High HDI

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          Very high HDI
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            West and             Eastern and     Latin America Middle East and Eastern Europe                               East Asia and
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     South Asia            Central Africa      Southern Africa and the Caribbean North Africa  and Central Asia                              the Pacific               World
                                                                         90
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              100

                                                                         80
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               90

                                                                         70                                                                                                                                                                                                    80

                                                                         60                                                                                                                                                                                                    70

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               60
                                                                         50

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               50
                                                                         40
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               40
                                                                         30
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               30

                                                                         20
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               20

                                                                         10                                                                                                                                                                                                    10

                                                                           0                                                                                                                                                                                                     0
                                                                               0               0.1               0.2              0.3              0.4               0.5              0.6                    0.7            0.8            0.9                            1      1995    2010    2020 1995      2010    2020 1995      2010    2020 1995      2010    2020 1995      2010   2020 1995       2010   2020 1995       2010   2020 1995       2010   2020

                                                                        Notes: Each dot represents a country, with the pink dots representing population-weighted averages. Countries are grouped into four categories according to the 2019 HDI, which
                                                                        links measures of education, health and income. The ranges are: very high (0.800 or greater), high (0.700-0.799), medium (0.550-0.699) and low (less than 0.550). The population-                     Notes: Estimates are based on a subset of 98 countries covering 79 per cent of the global population of women aged 20 to 24 years. Regional estimates represent data covering at least
                                                                        weighted estimates represent data covering at least 50 per cent of the population. Data coverage was insufficient to calculate an estimate for countries with very high levels of human               50 per cent of the regional population. Data coverage was insufficient to calculate regional estimates for Western Europe and North America.
                                                                        development.
Towards Ending Child Marriage - Global trends and profiles of progress - ReliefWeb
© UNICEF/UN0439923/Boro

           16                                                           The gap in child marriage prevalence between the richest and poorest households has widened in most                                                                                                                       17
                                                                        parts of the world

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               Global and regional overview
Towards Ending Child Marriage: Global trends and profiles of progress

                                                                        FIGURE 9        Percentage of women aged 20 to 24 years who were first married or in union before age 18

                                                                                                                                                                                    Poorest              Richest

                                                                                                         West and                                                Eastern and         Middle East and   Latin America    Eastern Europe
                                                                                  South Asia                                                                                                                                                          World
                                                                                                        Central Africa                                         Southern Africa        North Africa   and the Caribbean and Central Asia
                                                                        100

                                                                         90

                                                                         80

                                                                         70

                                                                         60

                                                                         50

                                                                         40

                                                                         30

                                                                         20

                                                                         10

                                                                           0
                                                                               1995           2020 1995                                                2020   1995         2020 1995                2020 1995        2020 1995            2020 1995           2020

                                                                        Notes: Estimates are based on a subset of 105 countries covering 58 per cent of the global population of women aged 20 to 24 years. Regional aggregates are based on at least
                                                                        50 per cent population coverage. Data were insufficient to calculate regional averages for East Asia and the Pacific, North America and Western Europe.

                                                                        While the majority of countries have decreasing rates of child marriage, approximately half have
                                                                        experienced increasing inequity
                                                                        FIGURE 10        Percentage change in the overall prevalence of child marriage among women aged 20 to 24 years, and percentage change in the prevalence of
                                                                                         child marriage among women aged 20 to 24 years from the poorest quintile versus women aged 20 to 24 years from the richest quintile over
                                                                                         the past 25 years

                                                                                      Decreasing            Increasing                                                                100                                   Increasing         Increasing
                                                                                      child marriage        inequity                                                                                                     child marriage          inequity
                                                                                                                  Change in child marriage (overall)

                                                                                                                                                                                              0
                                                                                                                                                       -100                                                             100

                                                                                      Decreasing            Decreasing                                                               -100                                    Increasing       Decreasing
                                                                                      child marriage        inequity                                                    Change in child marriage (richest/poorest)       child marriage         inequity

                                                                        Note: Each dot represents a country.
Towards Ending Child Marriage - Global trends and profiles of progress - ReliefWeb
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                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                Understanding trends
Towards Ending Child Marriage: Global trends and profiles of progress

                                                                        03.
                                                                        Understanding trends

                                                                        What drives progress in    Risk factors for child marriage         enable families to invest in their                                                                                                             © UNICEF/UN0482314/

                                                                        reducing child marriage?   are commonly studied at the             daughters’ futures through
                                                                        Insights can be gleaned    individual level, and drivers of        education and to cope with shocks
                                                                        from examining             change are often evaluated in terms     without resorting to child marriage.     stable, often skilled work in the        In considering the impact of these       is supported by the robust
                                                                                                   of programmatic effectiveness.          These parallels are not surprising,      formal sector that is correlated         various socioeconomic factors on         relationship found between the
                                                                        how child marriage
                                                                                                   However, a body of literature also      but they do underscore the               with a reduction in child marriage,      child marriage, it is also important     prevalence of child marriage and
                                                                        patterns correlate with
                                                                                                   exists on societal, macro-level         magnitude and breadth of gains that      likely because it provides a more        to reflect on the possibility of         the adolescent fertility rate. In
                                                                        broader demographic,
                                                                                                   factors related to the practice,        can be made when improvements            promising pathway for girls.             interactions between individual and      many contexts, child marriage
                                                                        legal, economic and
                                                                                                   including economic development          in these related sectors are                                                      societal variables. This is evident in   is a driver of early pregnancy; in
                                                                        development trends.        and poverty reduction, access to        achieved at the societal level.          Keeping girls in school is often         the relationship between education       others, including in parts of Latin
                                                                                                   education, and women’s access to                                                 cited as one of the best ways to         and the labour market, for example.      America and the Caribbean as
                                                                                                   the labour market. These factors        While the relationships among these      prevent child marriage. Decisions        It has been established that             well as certain African countries,
                                                                                                   are closely aligned with established    factors and child marriage are largely   about removing a girl from school        increases in the perceived value of      unintended pregnancies may
                                                                                                   risk and protective factors for         intuitive, the available data and        and marrying her off at a young age      education at the household level         drive child marriages. Even in
                                                                                                   child marriage at the individual        literature reveal important nuances.     are often made at the same time.         (thus reducing the risk of early         such contexts, however, most
                                                                                                   or household level. For example,                                                 This hypothesis is supported by          marriage and taking girls out of         adolescent pregnancies occur
                                                                                                   evidence shows that individual girls    Within the area of economic              the relationship we see between          school) are more likely when labour      within an early union. Looking at
                                                                                                   with lower educational attainment       development, factors that impact         rates of out-of-school girls and child   market opportunities are available.      the use of modern contraception
                                                                                                   are typically at higher risk of child   child marriage are multifaceted.         marriage prevalence. In countries        This relationship is also likely to      by unmarried girls aged 15 to 19
                                                                                                   marriage than their more educated       For example, alleviating the most        with high rates of girls out of          play out at the macro level, where       can reveal insights into the effect
                                                                                                   peers. Similarly, countries with        severe levels of poverty may not be      school, we see correspondingly           an increasingly educated population      on child marriage of reducing
                                                                                                   higher levels of education also have    sufficient to reduce child marriage,     high rates of child marriage. The        can drive innovation and create          unintended pregnancies. Increased
                                                                                                   lower levels of child marriage.         since more basic needs are likely to     effect appears to be strongest           entrepreneurial opportunities            use of modern contraception
                                                                                                                                           be addressed before resources are        for girls of lower-secondary and         as well as draw in opportunities         among this demographic group
                                                                                                   The links between poverty and child     invested in girls’ futures. Inequality   upper-secondary school age,              for skilled work, thus creating          shows a modest corresponding
                                                                                                   marriage are also well established      is also important to consider, since     reflecting the fact that most girls      productive career pathways for           decrease in the rate of child
                                                                                                   and can be mutually reinforcing.        equitable economic development           are married soon after they hit          young people.                            marriage.
                                                                                                   Child marriage is most common           will do more to reach the portions       puberty or in their later teenage
                                                                                                   among the poorest segments              of society most affected by child        years. A strong relationship is also     Two additional factors that are often    Finally, while it is well known
                                                                                                   of society and its prevalence is        marriage than aggregate progress         found between child marriage and         studied in relation to child marriage    that setting the minimum age
                                                                                                   highest in low-income countries.        driven by gains only at the top.         school completion rates. However,        are adolescent pregnancy and a           at marriage at or above 18 can
                                                                                                   At the same time, high rates of                                                  the data indicate a more robust          country’s legal age at marriage.         make a crucial difference in
                                                                                                   child marriage negatively affect        The relationship between child           relationship between primary/lower       Neither aspect, however, has a           progress against child marriage,
                                                                                                   a country’s economic growth             marriage and labour force                secondary completion rates and           straightforward association with         the existence of loopholes, the
                                                                                                   and ability to eradicate poverty        participation is also complex. The       child marriage compared to upper-        child marriage, and their ability to     absence of sanctions and the
                                                                                                   through their impact on fertility       availability of any type of work for     secondary completion rates. This         drive the practice has many caveats.     fact that many marriages may
                                                                                                   and population growth, maternal         women is not sufficient to reduce        may be because upper-secondary                                                    still occur illegally weaken the
                                                                                                   and child health and women’s            child marriage, particularly if most     completion rates are relatively          Child marriage is both a cause           effectiveness of legislation as a
                                                                                                   potential earnings and productivity.    of the work is in the informal sector.   low across sub-Saharan Africa and        and consequence of adolescent            driver of change.
                                                                                                   Conversely, rising national incomes     Rather, it is the availability of more   South Asia.                              pregnancy. This premise
20                                                           Economic development                     including household poverty,           region saw rapid economic growth,       While most regions have made progress in reducing poverty over the past several decades, per capita                                                                            21

                                                                        and poverty reduction                    are factored in. This implies that     with a 3.5-fold increase in GDP         GDP has stagnated or declined in sub-Saharan Africa, Latin America and the Caribbean, and the Middle

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             Understanding trends
                                                                                                                 improvements in macroeconomic          per capita, with extreme poverty        East and North Africa
Towards Ending Child Marriage: Global trends and profiles of progress

                                                                        Harmful practices are often              wealth are indeed associated with      dropping to 2 per cent in 2013.
                                                                        a feature of poor economic                                                                                              FIGURE 11.a      Percentage of population living on less than $1.90 a day (2011 purchasing power parity)
                                                                                                                 reductions in the prevalence of        However, from 2015 to 2018 the
                                                                        development, which is well               child marriage. Still, the benefits    extreme poverty rate tripled, with
                                                                                                                                                                                                          Eastern Europe            Middle East            Latin America           East Asia and                                    Sub-Saharan          Low- and
                                                                        known to produce a cascade of            of economic growth are often           conflicts in the region largely                   and Central Asia        and North Africa       and the Caribbean          the Pacific
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             South Asia
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       Africa          middle-income
                                                                        social risks for children.8 Typically,   experienced unevenly across            driving the increase.11                 100                                                                                                                                                      countries
                                                                        limited wealth is a decisive factor      populations, reinforcing the need
                                                                        in encouraging families to marry         for social protection to ensure that   Sub-Saharan Africa has seen              90

                                                                        their children off at a young age.       the most vulnerable are reached.       steady economic growth and has
                                                                                                                                                                                                 80
                                                                        Studies show that the countries                                                 succeeded in reducing poverty in
                                                                        with low gross domestic product          Up until the COVID-19 pandemic,        recent years. Poverty levels remain      70
                                                                        (GDP) per capita are also those in       the world had made unprecedented       high relative to other regions,
                                                                        which children are most at risk for      progress against poverty, reducing     however, with more than 40 per           60
                                                                        child marriage.9 At the same time,       the number of people living in         cent of the population living in
                                                                        economic development and better          extreme poverty by more than           extreme poverty, circumstances           50

                                                                        infrastructure have been shown to        1.2 billion over the past quarter      that often drive parents to marry off
                                                                                                                                                                                                 40
                                                                        reduce the practice.10 An analysis       century. South Asia has made the       their daughters during childhood.12
                                                                        of several South Asian countries         most rapid progress, lifting 33 per    Additionally, in the last 10 years,      30
                                                                        found that regional growth in            cent of its population – over 200      given rapid population growth, the
                                                                        economic activity significantly          million people – out of extreme        GDP per capita in sub-Saharan            20
                                                                        reduced the likelihood of child          poverty. The Middle East and North     Africa has stagnated and continues
                                                                        marriage. The effect of growth           Africa was the one region that         to be low relative to other regions      10

                                                                        holds even after other economic          experienced an increase in extreme     of the world.
                                                                                                                                                                                                  0
                                                                        and demographic indicators,              poverty. From 1990 to 2014, this                                                     1990 2000 2010 2018    1990 2000 2010 2018     1990 2000 2010 2018        1990 2000 2010 2018      1990 2000 2010 2018     1990 2000 2010 2018   1990 2000 2010 2018

                                                                                                                                                                                                Source: World Bank, 2021.

                                                                                                                                                                                                FIGURE 11.b      GDP per capita (current US$)

                                                                                                                                                                                                            Latin America           Eastern Europe           East Asia and            Middle East                                   Sub-Saharan           Low- and
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               South Asia                               middle-income
                                                                                                                                                                                                          and the Caribbean         and Central Asia          the Pacific           and North Africa                                   Africa
                                                                                                                                                                                                10,000                                                                                                                                                    countries

                                                                                                                                                                                                 9,000

                                                                                                                                                                                                 8,000

                                                                                                                                                                                                 7,000

                                                                                                                                                                                                 6,000

                                                                                                                                                                                                 5,000

                                                                                                                                                                                                 4,000

                                                                                                                                                                                                 3,000

                                                                                                                                                                                                 2,000

                                                                                                                                                                                                 1,000

                                                                                                                                                                                                      0
                                                                                                                                                                                                            1990 2000 2010 2019    1990 2000 2010 2019    1990 2000 2010 2019      1990 2000 2010 2019     1990 2000 2010 2019   1990 2000 2010 2019   1990 2000 2010 2019

                                                                         © UNICEF/UNI275776/Younis
                                                                                                                                                                                                Source: World Bank and Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD), 2021.
22                                                           Access to education                                                                                                                                                                                        and skills they need to become                                                                                                                                                                                                         saw significant improvements,                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         23
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   empowered adults. It is widely                                                                                                                                                                                                         and its progress is even more

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              Understanding trends
                                                                        Education is widely recognized                                                                                                                                                                             acknowledged that the benefits of                                                                                                                                                                                                      impressive when considered
Towards Ending Child Marriage: Global trends and profiles of progress

                                                                        as the most significant factor                                                                                                                                                                             secondary education for girls are                                                                                                                                                                                                      against the backdrop of its rapid
                                                                        in delaying the age of marriage                                                                                                                                                                            significant.16 For example, research                                                                                                                                                                                                   population growth.18 Progress
                                                                        for girls.13 Research suggests                                                                                                                                                                             suggests that while, in some                                                                                                                                                                                                           has, however, been slower at the
                                                                        schooling may be protective                                                                                                                                                                                areas, primary school completion                                                                                                                                                                                                       secondary level, and the gap in
                                                                        against early marriage for several                                                                                                                                                                         can be protective against child                                                                                                                                                                                                        female educational achievements
                                                                        reasons. In many countries,                                                                                                                                                                                marriage, attending school during                                                                                                                                                                                                      between sub-Saharan Africa and
                                                                        schooling and marriage are viewed                                                                                                                                                                          early adolescence is significant in                                                                                                                                                                                                    other regions remains wide.
                                                                        as incompatible activities: Girls are                                                                                                                                                                      reducing the practice.17
                                                                        often forced to leave school upon                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 Across all regions, the proportion
                                                                        marriage, and many parents are                                                                                                                                                                             Regions that have had greater                                                                                                                                                                                                          of girls of upper-secondary age
                                                                        unwilling to delay marriage so their                                                                                                                                                                       success against child marriage                                                                                                                                                                                                         who are out of school remains high
                                                                        daughters can attain a higher level                                                                                                                                                                        have also made faster progress                                                                                                                                                                                                         and upper-secondary completion
                                                                        of education.14 Better quality and                                                                                                                                                                         in improving education for girls.                                                                                                                                                                                                      rates are low, particularly in regions
                                                                        higher education may make the                                                                                                                                                                              South Asia experienced the most                                                                                                                                                                                                        that have a high prevalence of
                                                                        returns on investment in girls more                                                                                                                                                                        dramatic progress in increasing                                                                                                                                                                                                        child marriage. Approximately half
                                                                        apparent and justifiable for both                                                                                                                                                                          female completion rates and                                                                                                                                                                                                            of girls in this age group in South
                                                                        parents and society.15                                                                                                                                                                                     bringing more girls into the                                                                                                                                                                                                           Asia, and two thirds in sub-Saharan
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   educational system. That region                                                                                                                                                                                                        Africa, are out of school. Similarly,
                                                                        Primary education lays the                                                                                                                                                                                 exceeds the low- and middle-                                                                                                                                                                                                           only 38 per cent of girls in South
                                                                        foundation for a lifetime of learning,                                                                                                                                                                     income country average for both                                                                                                                                                                                                        Asia and 26 per cent of girls in
                                                                        while secondary education provides                                                                                                                                                                         primary- and lower-secondary-level                                                                                                                                                                                                     sub-Saharan Africa complete upper-
                                                                        children with the knowledge                                                                                                                                                                                indicators. Sub-Saharan Africa also                                                                                                                                                                                                    secondary school.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              © UNICEF/UNI316614/Bongyereirwe

                                                                        Today, more girls are in school than ever before                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    And more girls are successfully completing primary and secondary education
                                                                        FIGURE 12                                     Percentage of girls out of school, by level                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           FIGURE 13                                        Percentage of girls who successfully completed their education, by level

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                1990/2000                          2019                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  1990                          2019
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             Low- and middle-                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  Low- and middle-
                                                                                                                                              Primary                                                                                                                                                      Lower secondary                                                                                                                                                  Upper secondary                                                                                                                                                                                                                        Primary                                                                                                                                          Lower secondary                                                                                                                                                     Upper secondary
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             income countries                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  income countries
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            100
                                                                        100
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             90
                                                                          90
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             80
                                                                          80
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             70
                                                                          70
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             60
                                                                          60
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             50
                                                                          50
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             40
                                                                          40
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             30
                                                                          30
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             20
                                                                          20
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             10
                                                                          10
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               0
                                                                           0

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     Eastern Europe and Central Asia

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       East Asia and the Pacific

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   Latin America and the Caribbean

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     Middle East and North Africa

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    South Asia

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 Sub-Saharan Africa

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      Eastern Europe and Central Asia

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        East Asia and the Pacific

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    Latin America and the Caribbean

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      Middle East and North Africa

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     South Asia

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  Sub-Saharan Africa

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              Eastern Europe and Central Asia

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                East Asia and the Pacific

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            Latin America and the Caribbean

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              Middle East and North Africa

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             South Asia

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          Sub-Saharan Africa

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                Primary

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          Lower secondary

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            Upper secondary
                                                                                                                                                                                                               South Asia
                                                                                Eastern Europe and Central Asia

                                                                                                                  East Asia and the Pacific

                                                                                                                                              Latin America and the Caribbean

                                                                                                                                                                                Middle East and North Africa

                                                                                                                                                                                                                            Sub-Saharan Africa

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 Eastern Europe and Central Asia

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   East Asia and the Pacific

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               Latin America and the Caribbean

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 Middle East and North Africa

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 South Asia

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              Sub-Saharan Africa

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          Eastern Europe and Central Asia

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            East Asia and the Pacific

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        Latin America and the Caribbean

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            Middle East and North Africa

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           South Asia

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        Sub-Saharan Africa

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              Primary

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        Lower secondary

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          Upper secondary

                                                                        Notes: Lower-secondary data are only available since 2000. Trend data are not available for upper-secondary education.                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              Note: Trend data are not available for upper-secondary education.
                                                                        Source: UNESCO Institute for Statistics, 2020.                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      Source: UNESCO Institute for Statistics, 2020.
24                                                           Labour force participation              declined across low-and-middle-          women are often forced to take            Globally, female employment rates in low- and middle-income countries have declined slightly, but the                                                     25
                                                                                                                income countries – from 50 per           risky and unappealing jobs to             gender gap has remained constant
                                                                        Access to employment and

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           Understanding trends
                                                                                                                cent to 43 per cent over the past        ensure they can satisfy their
Towards Ending Child Marriage: Global trends and profiles of progress

                                                                                                                                                                                                   FIGURE 14       Employment-to-population ratio for girls and women and boys and men aged 15 years and older
                                                                        participation in the labour market      three decades. The gender gap,           household’s basic needs.
                                                                        are associated with an increase         however, has remained constant,                                                                                                                      Boys and men             Girls and women
                                                                        in women’s empowerment, the             with the male employment-to-             While female labour force
                                                                        enhancement of their position in        population ratio also decreasing         participation is declining globally, on          Sub-Saharan              East Asia and            Eastern Europe        Latin America        South Asia      Middle East      Low- and middle-
                                                                                                                                                                                                             Africa                 the Pacific             and Central Asia    and the Caribbean                    and North Africa   income countries
                                                                        society and the household, and          by 7 per cent over the same              average, an increase in the quality       100
                                                                        other improved life outcomes,           period. In some instances, falling       of work has been observed across
                                                                        including delayed age at marriage.19    participation rates are the result of    all regions, with a shift towards          90

                                                                        Evidence suggests that improved         improved educational attainment          wage and salaried jobs. These              80
                                                                        employment opportunities may            and the ensuing reduction in youth       trends may reflect two opposing
                                                                        raise the cost of dropping out          participation rates.25 This is good      forces. First, a large proportion          70

                                                                        of school, in addition to allowing      news, but the positive effect may        of women at the bottom of the              60
                                                                        young women to build an                 be limited by the extent to which        income distribution, who previously
                                                                        economic base to lift themselves        these countries can create jobs          worked in unappealing jobs, are            50
                                                                        and future generations out of           that leverage these enhanced skill       pulling out of the labour market as        40
                                                                        poverty, addressing two of the          sets, a trend seen in South Asia.        their households become more
                                                                        primary drivers of early marriage.20    On the other hand, higher female         affluent. Second, educated women           30

                                                                                                                employment-participation rates,          are increasingly accessing more            20
                                                                        However, not all types of               such as those seen in sub-Saharan        lucrative jobs. These jobs reward
                                                                        employment are equally protective       Africa, can be the result of a lack of   higher educational attainment              10
                                                                        against child marriage, with            other livelihood opportunities and       and are associated with delayed
                                                                                                                                                                                                      0
                                                                        participation in the informal labour    limited social protection coverage       marriage.26 As expected,                      1991           2019       1991            2019       1991       2019      1991       2019    1991        2019 1991       2019 1991          2019
                                                                        sector potentially increasing           (such as childcare benefits, social      regions with higher rates of
                                                                        the risk of child marriage.21 To        pensions or unemployment                 female wage and salaried workers          Source: International Labour Organization (ILO), 2021.
                                                                        understand this risk, it is important   provisions). In the absence of           continue to have the lowest rates
                                                                        to consider not only the proportion     decent work and social protection,       of child marriage.
                                                                        of wage and salaried workers
                                                                        among employed women and                                                                                                   A trend away from vulnerable employment and towards wage and salaried work for women can be seen
                                                                        girls, but also the proportion                                                                                             in most regions
                                                                        of those working in vulnerable                                                                                             FIGURE 15       Proportion of vulnerable employment among girls and women aged 15 years and older as a percentage of female employment and proportion
                                                                                                                                                                                                                   of wage and salaried female workers aged 15 years and older as a percentage of female employment
                                                                        jobs. Vulnerable employment is
                                                                        typically represented by poorly                                                                                                                                                                        Vulnerable          Wage
                                                                        compensated, time- and labour-
                                                                        intensive activities, such as                                                                                                     Sub-Saharan                                        East Asia and         Middle East      Latin America   Eastern Europe      Low- and middle-
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     South Asia               the Pacific        and North Africa and the Caribbean and Central Asia
                                                                                                                                                                                                             Africa                                                                                                                     income countries
                                                                        agricultural work, which often                                                                                             100
                                                                        lack sufficient social protections.22
                                                                        Women tend to work outside the                                                                                               90

                                                                        formal economy since they are                                                                                                80
                                                                        disproportionately responsible
                                                                        for care and household work.                                                                                                 70

                                                                        They often have less time to
                                                                                                                                                                                                     60
                                                                        devote to a job outside the
                                                                        home, making informal and often                                                                                              50
                                                                        vulnerable employment a more
                                                                                                                                                                                                     40
                                                                        accessible option.23 Research
                                                                        shows that participation in this                                                                                             30
                                                                        type of employment, especially
                                                                                                                                                                                                     20
                                                                        among adolescents, increases the
                                                                        likelihood of dropping out of school                                                                                         10
                                                                        and, ultimately, child marriage.24
                                                                                                                                                                                                      0
                                                                                                                                                                                                       1991            2019      1991             2019 1991             2019     1991       2019 1991           2019 1991       2019 1991          2019
                                                                        On average, the female
                                                                                                                 © UNICEF/UN0469340/Dejongh
                                                                        employment-to-population ratio has                                                                                         Source: International Labour Organization, 2021.
26                                                           Improvements in                       Available data show improvements         significant drop in adolescent          All regions have seen a significant reduction in adolescent fertility except East Asia and the Pacific,                                                                 27

                                                                        reproductive health                   in maternal and reproductive health      fertility with a 77 per cent decline,   where the fertility rate was already low

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     Understanding trends
                                                                                                              across all regions. Adolescent           from 103 births to 23 births per
Towards Ending Child Marriage: Global trends and profiles of progress

                                                                                                                                                                                               FIGURE 16        Births per 1,000 girls aged 15 to 19 years
                                                                        Delaying childbearing is a crucial    fertility and maternal mortality         1,000 girls, reaching the levels
                                                                        starting point for improving          have declined while, at the              of East Asia and the Pacific and
                                                                        maternal health, as well as           same time, access to modern              Europe and Central Asia today.          Sub-Saharan Africa                1990                                      2018
                                                                        improving women’s lives more          contraception has increased.
                                                                        broadly, including delaying the                                                All regions also experienced at
                                                                                                                                                                                                              South Asia                                       1990                                                                         2018
                                                                        age at marriage. Early pregnancy      Regions that experienced the             least a 24 per cent increase in
                                                                        is one of the main drivers of child   most significant declines in             access to modern contraception
                                                                                                                                                                                                    Latin America
                                                                        marriage in countries where pre-      child marriage also saw the              among adolescents from 1995 to           and the Caribbean                                                            1990                         2018
                                                                        marital sex is common.27 Every        most marked reductions in the            2020. However, the adolescent
                                                                        year, an estimated 21 million         adolescent fertility rate. All regions   demand for family planning                  Middle East and
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           1990                              2018
                                                                        girls aged 15 to 19 years become      saw at least a 30 per cent drop in       satisfied by modern methods                    North Africa
                                                                        pregnant in low- and middle-          adolescent fertility, except East        did not exceed 75 per cent in
                                                                                                                                                                                                    Eastern Europe                                                                                       1990                              2018
                                                                        income regions, and approximately     Asia and the Pacific, where the          any region in 2020. More than               and Central Asia
                                                                        12 million of them give birth.28      fertility rate was already low at        half of adolescent demand for
                                                                        Evidence shows that one of the        30 births per 1,000 girls in 1990.       modern contraception is still                    East Asia and
                                                                                                                                                                                                           the Pacific                                                                                                         1990          2018
                                                                        most effective ways to prevent        By 2018, the fertility rate declined     unmet in regions with the highest
                                                                        unintended pregnancy is to use        modestly to 22 births per 1,000          prevalence of child marriage.
                                                                        modern forms of contraception.29      girls. South Asia saw the most
                                                                                                                                                                                                  Low- and middle-
                                                                                                                                                                                                  income countries                                                                        1990                            2018

                                                                                                                                                                                                                           150                                         100                                           50                                          0

                                                                                                                                                                                               Source: United Nations Population Division (UNPD), 2019.

                                                                                                                                                                                               Adolescent demand for family planning satisfied by modern methods has increased in all regions
                                                                                                                                                                                               over the past 25 years
                                                                                                                                                                                               FIGURE 17        Percentage of girls aged 15 to 19 years who have their need for family planning satisfied by modern methods

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 Sub-Saharan            Middle East          East Asia and   Latin America   Eastern Europe                Low- and middle-
                                                                                                                                                                                                          South Asia                Africa            and North Africa        the Pacific  and the Caribbean and Central Asia              income countries
                                                                                                                                                                                                100

                                                                                                                                                                                                  90

                                                                                                                                                                                                  80

                                                                                                                                                                                                  70

                                                                                                                                                                                                  60

                                                                                                                                                                                                  50

                                                                                                                                                                                                  40

                                                                                                                                                                                                  30

                                                                                                                                                                                                  20

                                                                                                                                                                                                  10

                                                                                                                                                                                                   0
                                                                                                                                                                                                       1995    2010   2020   1995       2010   2020   1995   2010   2020   1995   2010   2020   1995   2010   2020    1995   2010   2020   1995    2010   2020

                                                                         © UNICEF/UN0388814/Panjwani
                                                                                                                                                                                               Source: United Nations Population Division, 2020.
28                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           29

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      Understanding trends
Towards Ending Child Marriage: Global trends and profiles of progress

                                                                          © UNICEF/UN0276245/Boro

                                                                        Legal protections                        as parental consent, religious/         judicial/religious loopholes (15 per    that closed that loophole to 67 per                             that have made child marriage                                  have made child marriage illegal
                                                                                                                 customary law, pregnancy or court       cent). Still, more than half of low-    cent. South Asia also advanced in                               illegal under all circumstances (13                            under general law, the proportion
                                                                        Establishing legislation that sets a     approval) that allow girls to marry     and middle-income countries have        closing loopholes, but it also has                              per cent). While all countries in                              of countries with legal loopholes is
                                                                        minimum age for marriage at 18           before the legal age.33 Moreover,       at least one loophole, and only         the lowest proportion of countries                              Latin America and the Caribbean                                close to rates in South Asia.
                                                                        is recognized as essential to            while national laws against child       1 in 3 countries have closed all
                                                                        eliminating child marriage.30            marriage are important, they            loopholes, making marriage before
                                                                        Legislative provisions can               are not sufficient for ending the       the age of 18 for girls illegal under
                                                                        encourage government follow-
                                                                                                                                                                                                 Countries across all regions closed legal loopholes that allow marriage of girls under age 18. Still, more
                                                                                                                 practice. Even after accounting         any circumstances.
                                                                                                                                                                                                 progress is needed
                                                                        through and provide levers for           for exceptions to the legal age
                                                                        civil society advocates to hold          at marriage with parental or            From 1995 to 2018, the regions of       FIGURE 18      Proportion of low- and middle-income countries in which marriage for girls under the age of 18 is illegal under general law, is illegal except with
                                                                        leaders accountable to national and      judicial consent, a global study        Europe and Central Asia, the Middle                    parental consent, is illegal with exceptions for judicial consent or religious reasons, and with all exceptions considered

                                                                        international commitments.               found that 7.5 million girls marry      East and North Africa, South Asia
                                                                        In most countries, child marriage        illegally each year.34 The fact that,   and sub-Saharan Africa made the                    Illegal under general law        Illegal except with parental consent          Illegal with judicial and religious exceptions      All exceptions considered
                                                                        is prohibited by national law. Indeed,   in many countries, there are no         most progress in raising the legal
                                                                                                                                                                                                        Eastern Europe             Middle East                                        Sub-Saharan               East Asia and            Latin America             Low- and middle-
                                                                        most countries have adopted 18           legal sanctions for child marriage,     age at marriage for girls and closing          and Central Asia         and North Africa             South Asia                 Africa                  the Pacific            and the Caribbean          income countries
                                                                        years as the legal age at marriage       such as a fine or prison sentences,     loopholes. Surprisingly, Europe         100
                                                                        for girls, and in some countries         may compound the issue. Where           and Central Asia was among the
                                                                                                                                                                                                   90
                                                                        the age is higher.31 Countries that      no sanctions exist, the law may         regions with the lowest proportion
                                                                        consistently protect the rights of       be less effective in acting as a        of countries (42 per cent) with           80
                                                                        girls by setting their legal minimum     deterrent to the practice.35            laws outlawing marriage of a girl
                                                                                                                                                                                                   70
                                                                        age at marriage, their legal minimum                                             before age 18, under that region’s
                                                                        age at marriage with parental            Legal protections throughout the        1995 general law. However, by             60
                                                                        consent, and their legal minimum         world have improved significantly.      2018, 94 per cent of countries in
                                                                                                                                                                                                   50
                                                                        age of sexual consent at 18 or           From 1995 to 2018, the proportion       Europe and Central Asia had made
                                                                        older had rates of child marriage        of low- and middle-income               child marriage illegal under general      40
                                                                        that were 40 per cent lower              countries in which the marriage         law, and the majority (69 per cent)
                                                                                                                                                                                                   30
                                                                        than countries where these laws          of a girl before the age of 18          had closed the parental consent
                                                                        contradicted one another.32 Such         years was illegal under general         loophole. Countries in the Middle         20
                                                                        associations point to the crucial        law increased from 78 per cent to       East and North Africa also made
                                                                        difference that legislation can make                                                                                       10
                                                                                                                 93 per cent, a 15 per cent rise. A      significant progress, with 43 per
                                                                        in progress against child marriage.      moderately greater increase was         cent changing their child marriage         0
                                                                                                                 seen in the proportion of countries                                                    1995          2018      1995            2018      1995            2018      1995            2018      1995            2018      1995          2018         1995       2018
                                                                                                                                                         laws to make marriage before age
                                                                        While this is good news, in theory,      that closed the parental consent        18 with parental consent illegal,       Notes: The data presented here cover a subset of 106 low- and middle-income countries. Data for judicial and religious exceptions are only available from 2000.
                                                                        there are often loopholes (such          loophole (23 per cent) and closed       raising the proportion of countries     Source: World Bank, Women, Business and the Law, 2021.
30                                                                                                                                                                                                      31

                                                                                                                                                                                                                  Profiles of progress
Towards Ending Child Marriage: Global trends and profiles of progress

                                                                        04.
                                                                        Profiles of progress

                                                                         Progress against child      Decades ago, child marriage was           close to the elimination of child
                                                                         marriage can be assessed    the norm in Bangladesh, Ethiopia          marriage. In these countries,
                                                                         in different ways. Nine     and India, with the majority of girls     levels have continued to decline,
                                                                         countries are profiled      marrying before the age of 18.            with the practice becoming
                                                                                                     Today, these countries are among          rare. While it is common for
                                                                         here, each of which has
                                                                                                     those that have seen the steepest         progress to slow as countries
                                                                         made strides in reducing
                                                                                                     declines in the prevalence of child       approach the last mile (since
                                                                         levels of child marriage.
                                                                                                     marriage worldwide, representing          this usually entails reaching the
                                                                                                     a substantial decrease in the             most vulnerable segments of
                                                                                                     risk for individual girls as well         the population), these countries
                                                                                                     as a significant reduction in the         show that continued progress
                                                                                                     number of girls marrying each year.       towards elimination is possible.
                                                                                                     Significant progress has also been        At the global level, we see that
                                                                                                     achieved by Indonesia, where the          the most progress against child
                                                                                                     practice is half as common today          marriage has been enjoyed by
                                                                                                     as it was at the beginning of the         girls from wealthier backgrounds,
                                                                                                     1990s. Prevalence in these four           with often minimal benefit to the
                                                                                                     countries still remains high. So,         poorest girls. These five countries
                                                                                                     despite dramatic progress, there is       are therefore noteworthy for the
                                                                                                     more work to be done before the           equitable progress they have
                                                                                                     practice is eliminated.                   made in reducing child marriage,
                                                                                                                                               meaning that levels have declined
                                                                                                     Armenia, Eswatini, the Maldives,          among not just the richest but also
                                                                                                     Rwanda and Tunisia are coming             the poorest segments of society.

                                                                                                         This is not an exhaustive presentation of countries that have made
                                                                                                         progress in reducing child marriage, but a selection of examples, driven
                                                                                                         by data availability. For each country, the following pages present: an
                                                                                                         overview of trends in child marriage; data on how common the practice
                                                                                                         is, who is most affected, and how it has changed over time; and a review
                                                                                                         of other socioeconomic shifts that have occurred in these countries over
                                                                                                         the same period in terms of girls’ access to education and employment
                                                                                                         opportunities, as well as economic development and poverty reduction.

                                                                                                                                                                                     © UNICEF/UNI337373/Tesfaye
Bangladesh
           32                                                                                                                                                                                                             Bangladesh has seen a steep decline in extreme poverty and a rise in GPD per capita                                                                         33

                                                                                                                                                                                                                          FIGURE 21      GDP per capita (current US$) and percentage of the population living on less than $1.90 a day (2011 purchasing power parity)

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  Profiles of progress: Bangladesh
Towards Ending Child Marriage: Global trends and profiles of progress

                                                                        Legal age at marriage is 18 years old, with exceptions
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      Bangladesh        Low- and middle-income countries

                                                                           Bangladesh has seen a marked decrease in the practice of child marriage, experiencing one of the                                                                                    GDP per capita                                                         Extreme poverty
                                                                                                                                                                                                                          10,000                                                                                                                                             50
                                                                           largest absolute declines globally for marriage before age 18. It has also experienced one of the
                                                                           largest absolute declines in marriage before age 15.                                                                                             9,000

                                                                                                                                                                                                                            8,000                                                                                                                                            40
                                                                        The prevalence of child marriage dropped from close to 80 per cent in 1994 to just over 50 per cent in 2019
                                                                        FIGURE 19   Percentage of women aged 20 to 24 years who were first married or in union before age 18                                                7,000
                                                                        100
                                                                                                                                                                                                                            6,000                                                                                                                                            30
                                                                         90
                                                                                     79
                                                                         80                                                                                                                                                 5,000
                                                                                                              72
                                                                                                                                       69
                                                                         70                                                                                     64
                                                                                                                                                                                           57                               4,000                                                                                                                                            20
                                                                         60
                                                                                                                                                                                                                   51
                                                                         50                                                                                                                                                 3,000
                                                                         40
                                                                                                                                                                                                                            2,000                                                                                                                                            10
                                                                         30

                                                                         20                                                                                                                                                 1,000
                                                                         10
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 0                                                                                                                                           0
                                                                          0                                                                                                                                                            1990 2000 2010 2019                     1990 2000 2010 2019              1991 1995     2005 2016             1991 1995    2005 2016
                                                                                     1994                    1999                     2004                    2009                       2014                    2019

                                                                        Declines in child marriage have been observed across richer and poorer segments of society and are                                                The economic profile of child brides has remained relatively unchanged over time
                                                                        particularly noteworthy among the least educated                                                                                                  FIGURE 22      Percentage distribution of women aged 20 to 24 years who were first married or in union before age 18, by wealth quintile
                                                                        FIGURE 20   Percentage of women aged 20 to 24 years who were first married or in union before age 18, by wealth quintile and education
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             Poorest
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             Poor
                                                                                                                                                   1994      2019
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             Middle
                                                                                                       Wealth quintile                                                                   Education                           Richer
                                                                        100                                                                                                                                                  Richest                                 18                            19
                                                                         90                                                                                          85                                                                                                                                                                        18
                                                                                    83           84            82                                                                   83
                                                                         80                                                  76                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         20

                                                                         70                                                                                                                        67
                                                                                                                                            62
                                                                         60                                                                                                         69             65
                                                                                    63           61
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   1994                                                                   2019
                                                                                                                                                                     60                                                                                                                                                             22
                                                                         50                                                                                                                                                                            19
                                                                                                               51                                                                                                                                                                                          22
                                                                                                                             50
                                                                         40
                                                                                                                                            38                                                                                                                                                                                                                          21
                                                                         30                                                                                                                                       26

                                                                         20                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          20
                                                                                                                                                                                                                  23
                                                                         10                                                                                                                                                                                                         22
                                                                          0
                                                                               Poorest          Poor         Middle        Richer        Richest               No education      Primary        Secondary        Higher
                                                                                                                                                                                                                          Note: Due to rounding, numbers for 2019 do not add up to 100.
34                                                           Bangladesh has seen significant improvements in girls’ education, with primary- and lower-secondary-                                                                  The female labour force participation rate has only seen modest increases over the last three decades, but                                                                                  35
                                                                        level completion rates catching up to the low- and middle-income country average                                                                                      more Bangladeshi women have wage and salaried jobs than ever before

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      Profiles of progress: Bangladesh
Towards Ending Child Marriage: Global trends and profiles of progress

                                                                        FIGURE 23      Percentage of girls out of school and percentage of girls who successfully completed their education, by level                                         FIGURE 25     Proportion of vulnerable employment among girls and women aged 15 years and older as a percentage of female employment, proportion of
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            wage and salaried female workers aged 15 years and older as a percentage of female employment, and employment-to-population ratio for
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            girls and women aged 15 years and older
                                                                                                                                    Bangladesh               Low- and middle-income countries

                                                                                                             Out of school                                                                           Completion rates                                                                                    Bangladesh                Low- and middle-income countries

                                                                                      Primary              Lower secondary              Upper secondary                             Primary          Lower secondary       Upper secondary
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        Vulnerable employment                                        Wage and salaried employment                                      Employment-to-population ratio
                                                                        100                                                                                          100
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              100                                                             100                                                               100
                                                                         90                                                                                           90
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               90                                                              90                                                                 90
                                                                         80                                                                                           80

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               80                                                              80                                                                 80
                                                                         70                                                                                           70

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               70                                                              70                                                                 70
                                                                         60                                                                                           60

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               60                                                              60                                                                 60
                                                                         50                                                                                           50

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               50                                                              50                                                                 50
                                                                         40                                                                                           40

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               40                                                              40                                                                 40
                                                                         30                                                                                           30

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               30                                                              30                                                                 30
                                                                         20                                                                                           20

                                                                         10                                                                                           10
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               20                                                              20                                                                 20

                                                                           0                                                                                           0                                                                       10                                                              10                                                                 10
                                                                               2006             2019       2006             2019        2006            2019                 2000             2019   2000           2019   2000        2019
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                0                                                                0                                                                 0
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                1991                                      2019                   1991                                     2019                      1991                                     2019
                                                                        Note: Values for upper-secondary education are not available for low- and middle-income countries.

                                                                        The majority of child brides in 1994 had no education; by 2019, the majority had attended at least
                                                                        secondary school
                                                                        FIGURE 24      Percentage distribution of women aged 20 to 24 years who were first married or in union before age 18, by highest education level attended

                                                                            No education
                                                                            Primary
                                                                            Secondary
                                                                                                                                    2
                                                                            Higher
                                                                                                                   16
                                                                                                                                                                                                                      5
                                                                                                                                                                                                         15

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  22

                                                                                                                                   1994                                                                            2019
                                                                                                                                                                     51

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          © UNICEF/UN0482167/Satu
                                                                                                           31
                                                                                                                                                                                                              58
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                Data sources: The analysis on trends in child marriage is based on the prevalence of the practice as measured in the DHS 1993-1994, 1996-1997, 1999-2000, 2004, 2007, 2011 and
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                2014, and MICS 2006, 2012-2013 and 2019. Data on GDP per capita are from the World Bank and OECD, 2021. Data on poverty are from the World Bank, 2021. Data on education are
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                from the UNESCO Institute for Statistics, 2020. Data on labour are from the ILO, 2021. Information on legal age at marriage was obtained from the World Bank, 2021. More details on
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                methods and data sources can be found in the technical notes.
Ethiopia
           36                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      While many Ethiopians still live in extreme poverty, the share has dropped significantly, and the                                                           37
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   country’s GDP per capita has nearly tripled in the last three decades

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            Profiles of progress: Ethiopia
Towards Ending Child Marriage: Global trends and profiles of progress

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   FIGURE 28      GDP per capita (current US$) and percentage of the population living on less than $1.90 a day (2011 purchasing power parity)
                                                                        Legal age at marriage is 18 years, with exceptions

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                Ethiopia      Low- and middle-income countries

                                                                             Ethiopia’s progress in reducing the prevalence of child marriage is one of the strongest among                                                                                                            GDP per capita                                                         Extreme poverty
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   10,000                                                                                                                                             100
                                                                             countries in Eastern and Southern Africa. Levels have declined in the past 25 years, with accelerating
                                                                             progress since 2006.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     9,000                                                                                                                                            90

                                                                        Four in 10 young women were married in childhood in 2016 compared with 7 in 10 in 1991                                                                                       8,000                                                                                                                                            80

                                                                        FIGURE 26      Percentage of women aged 20 to 24 years who were first married or in union before age 18
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     7,000                                                                                                                                            70
                                                                        100

                                                                          90                                                                                                                                                                         6,000                                                                                                                                            60

                                                                          80
                                                                                          69                                                                                                                                                         5,000                                                                                                                                            50
                                                                          70                                          63                            61
                                                                                                                                                                                 59
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     4,000                                                                                                                                            40
                                                                          60
                                                                                                                                                                                                               49
                                                                          50
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            40       3,000                                                                                                                                            30
                                                                          40
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     2,000                                                                                                                                            20
                                                                          30

                                                                          20
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     1,000                                                                                                                                            10
                                                                          10
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          0                                                                                                                                           0
                                                                           0                                                                                                                                                                                    1990 2000 2010 2019                       1990 2000 2010 2019            1995 2004 2010 2015                1995 2004 2010 2015
                                                                                        1991                         1996                         2001                          2006                         2011                          2016

                                                                        Progress in child marriage has mostly benefited the richest and more educated girls                                                                                        Child brides in 2016 were slightly poorer that those in 1991
                                                                        FIGURE 27      Percentage of women aged 20 to 24 years who were first married or in union before age 18, by wealth quintile and education                                  FIGURE 29      Percentage distribution of women aged 20 to 24 years who were first married or in union before age 18, by wealth quintile

                                                                                                                                                               1991          2016                                                                     Poorest
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      Poor
                                                                                                              Wealth quintile                                                                                Education
                                                                        100                                                                                                                                                                           Middle
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      Richer
                                                                          90
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                16
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      Richest                                                              20
                                                                                                      77                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   13
                                                                          80                                                                                                          74
                                                                                                                       71              71                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        24
                                                                                     69
                                                                          70

                                                                          60                                                                             57                           68                58
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              16
                                                                                     58
                                                                          50                          53                                                                                                                                                                                                       1991                                                             2016
                                                                                                                       50                                                                                                                                                       21
                                                                          40
                                                                                                                                                                                                        43
                                                                          30                                                           35
                                                                                                                                                                                                                         20                                                                                                         25                                                           25
                                                                          20                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          21
                                                                                                                                                         19
                                                                          10
                                                                                                                                                                                                                         13
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             (6)
                                                                           0                                                                                                                                                                                                                              19
                                                                                   Poorest           Poor           Middle           Richer          Richest                    No education         Primary        Secondary           Higher

                                                                        Notes: The value for ‘higher education’ for 1991 was suppressed because of the small number of observations. Values in parentheses are based on 25 to 49 observations.     Note: Due to rounding, numbers do not add up to 100.
38                                                           In the past 20 years, Ethiopia has made marked progress in education, particularly in lowering the                                                                    The last 30 years saw a slight decline in vulnerable employment and a small increase in wage employment                                                                               39
                                                                        percentage of girls out of school across all age groups; still, much more progress is needed                                                                          and the employment-to-population ratio

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 Profiles of progress: Ethiopia
Towards Ending Child Marriage: Global trends and profiles of progress

                                                                        FIGURE 30      Percentage of girls out of school and percentage of girls who successfully completed their education, by level                                         FIGURE 32     Proportion of vulnerable employment as a percentage of female employment, proportion of wage and salaried female workers as a percentage
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            of female employment, and employment-to-population ratio for girls and women aged 15 years and older

                                                                                                                                      Ethiopia             Low- and middle-income countries
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           Ethiopia             Low- and middle-income countries
                                                                                                              Out of school                                                                           Completion rates
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        Vulnerable employment                                      Wage and salaried employment                                     Employment-to-population ratio
                                                                                      Primary              Lower secondary              Upper secondary                             Primary               Lower secondary   Upper secondary
                                                                        100                                                                                           100                                                                     100                                                           100                                                              100

                                                                          90                                                                                           90                                                                      90                                                             90                                                               90

                                                                          80                                                                                           80                                                                      80                                                             80                                                               80

                                                                          70                                                                                           70                                                                      70                                                             70                                                               70

                                                                          60                                                                                           60                                                                      60                                                             60                                                               60

                                                                          50                                                                                           50
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               50                                                             50                                                               50

                                                                          40                                                                                           40
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               40                                                             40                                                               40

                                                                          30                                                                                           30
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               30                                                             30                                                               30

                                                                          20                                                                                           20
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               20                                                             20                                                               20
                                                                          10                                                                                           10
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               10                                                             10                                                               10
                                                                           0                                                                                            0
                                                                               2000             2016      2000             2016         2000            2016                 2000             2016    2000           2016   2000       2016     0                                                              0                                                                0
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                1991                                     2019                   1991                                   2019                     1991                                     2019
                                                                        Note: Values for upper-secondary education are not available for low- and middle-income countries.

                                                                        Less than half of child brides in 2016 had no education compared with 84 per cent 25 years ago
                                                                        FIGURE 31      Percentage distribution of women aged 20 to 24 years who were first married or in union before age 18, by highest education level attended

                                                                            No education
                                                                            Primary
                                                                                                                                      1
                                                                            Secondary
                                                                                                                        14
                                                                            Higher
                                                                                                                                                                                                                     2
                                                                                                                                                                                                                 6

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     46
                                                                                                                                     1991                                                                            2016

                                                                                                                                                                                                     46

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  © UNICEF/UN0281305/Tadesse
                                                                                                                                                           84

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                Data sources: The analysis on trends in child marriage is based on the prevalence of the practice as measured in the DHS 2000, 2005, 2011 and 2016. Data on GDP per capita are
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                from the World Bank and OECD, 2021. Data on poverty are from the World Bank, 2021. Data on education are from the UNESCO Institute for Statistics, 2020. Data on labour are
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                from the ILO, 2021. Information on legal age at marriage was obtained from the World Bank, 2021. More details on methods and data sources can be found in the technical notes.

                                                                        Note: Due to rounding, numbers for 1991 do not add up to 100.
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