Towards mutually beneficial EU-West African migration cooperation?

Page created by Alfred Hubbard
 
CONTINUE READING
CRU Policy Brief
           NOVEMBER 2020

           Towards mutually beneficial
           EU-West African migration
           cooperation?

                                                                                                                   Leonie Jegen, Johannes Claes & Omar N. Cham
           Assessing EU policy trends and their
           implications for migration cooperation

    This policy brief assesses the extent to which policy trends in the EU external
    migration governance framework, as put forward in the New Pact on Migration and
    Asylum and the new EU Multiannual Financial Framework for 2021-2027, match the
    Union’s commitment to building a mutually beneficial partnership with third countries.
    This question will be assessed by drawing on EU migration cooperation with West
    African states. It finds that the rhetoric of a mutually beneficial relationship and
    a paradigm shift is not demonstrated in the New Pact. The analysis of the budget
    further highlights that migration funding has a prominent place within the new
    proposed long-term EU budget and seems to consolidate the approach adopted in
    recent years rather than signaling a paradigm shift.

Introduction

This policy brief assesses the extent to                   The commitment towards building a
which policy trends in the EU external                     mutually beneficial partnership was
migration governance framework, as put                     expressed in the EU Africa Strategy
forward in the New Pact on Migration                       adopted earlier this year. The strategy
and Asylum and the new EU Multiannual                      stated that cooperation on migration would
Financial Framework for 2021-2027, match                   be shaped by a ‘balanced, coherent and
the Union’s commitment to building a                       comprehensive approach to migration,
mutually beneficial partnership with third                 guided by the principles of solidarity,
countries.1 This question will be assessed                 partnership and shared responsibility and
by drawing on EU migration cooperation                     based on the respect of human rights and
with West African states.                                  international law’2. In a similar vein, the

1   We would like to thank Dr. Franzisca Zanker            2   European Commission. 2020. Joint Communication
    and Prof. Dr. Sergio Carrera for their comments            to the European Parliament and the Council
    on earlier versions of this brief. All errors remain       Towards a Comprehensive Strategy with Africa.
    our own.                                                   p. 15.
CRU Policy Brief

    communication on the New Pact stressed                     led to a paradox that marks West African
    that it signals a ‘change of paradigm’ in                  migration policy making. On the one hand,
    regard to cooperation with third states,                   EU and West African states’ interests
    with the aim of ‘deepening, broadening                     diverge strongly on many issues related to
    and consolidating the trust already built’.                migration, most importantly on questions of
    According to the New Pact, partnerships                    return and readmission. On the other hand,
    with third countries could deliver ‘mutual                 most national migration and institution
    benefits’3.                                                building in the region is driven by European
                                                               financial and technical support.
    West African states are central to EU
    external migration cooperation. Following                  Against this backdrop, this policy brief
    the launch of the 2016 New Partnership                     will first assess the domestic and regional
    Framework (NPF),4 four out of five priority                stakes for West African countries in the
    countries for EU migration cooperation were                emerging policy trends inherent in EU
    in West Africa. The importance granted to                  external migration policy. It will show
    West African countries stems from European                 that the rhetoric of a mutually beneficial
    interest in enhancing cooperation on return                relationship and a paradigm shift is not
    and readmission5 as well as the high number                demonstrated in the actual policy content.
    of irregular arrivals from West African                    While the stakes of migration cooperation
    countries.6                                                remain high for West African states,
                                                               non-cooperation is more costly, due to
    The EU’s external dimension has centred                    enhanced conditionality. Further, continuing
    around restrictive and preventive measures.                with an approach tackling root causes
    Restrictive measures entail, for example,                  risks curtailing ownership of development
    projects focused on fighting smuggling,                    processes. A limited commitment to legal
    building border capacity and cooperating                   pathways reflects the fact that a key
    on return. Preventive measures include                     demand from West African actors continues
    development projects aimed at tackling                     to be granted only marginal importance.
    the root causes of migration as well as                    Lastly, analysis of the new budget shows
    building migration governance in third                     that migration funding has a prominent
    states. At a more fundamental level this has               place within the new proposed long-term
                                                               EU budget and seems to consolidate the
                                                               approach adopted in recent years rather
                                                               than signalling a paradigm shift.
    3   European Commission. 2020. Communication
        from the Commission to the European Parliament,
        the Council, the European Economic and Social          Policy trends and consequences
        Committee and the Committee of the Regiona on
        a New Pact on Migration and Asylum. p. 17.             for West African states
    4   West African countries’ importance in the field
        of migration had already been reflected in the
        EU’s first comprehensive framework to govern           The political stakes of migration
        migration cooperation with third countries,            cooperation at domestic, regional and
        the 2005 Global Approach to Mobility (GAM).            international levels are crucial when
        See Vives, L. 2017. ‘The European Union–West           assessing the potential of West African
        African Sea Border: Anti-Immigration Strategies        states to establish mutually beneficial
        and Territoriality’, European Urban and Regional       relations with the EU. This section discusses
        Studies, 24:2, p. 209–24; Casas-Cortes, M.,            the political and social stakes of four key
        Cobarrubias, S., Pickles, J. 2013. ‘Re-Bordering the   policy trends derived from the New Pact
        Neighbourhood: Europe’s Emerging Geographies
                                                               on Asylum and Migration and the budget
        of Non-Accession Integration’, European Urban and
                                                               proposals currently under discussion.
        Regional Studies, 20:1. p. 37–58.
    5   Zanker, F. 2019. ‘Challenges in EU-African Migration
                                                               The trends include:
        Cooperation: West African Perspectives on Forced
        Return’, Kiel: MEDAM.                                  – further consolidation of the ‘root
    6   Nationality of arrival to Greece, Italy and Spain        causes approach’ and the question of
        – monthly – Jan to Dec 2016, UNHCR.                      ownership over development priorities

2
CRU Policy Brief

    – stronger mandates for EU involvement                      African migration is intra-regional11 and
      in migration control operations “in third                 most border zones are marked by frequent
      states” and West African concerns over                    intercommunal cross-border mobility.12
      sovereignty and the decreasing scope to                   The mismatch of European migration
      which policies can be adapted to realities                programming with realities on the ground
      on the ground                                             has often resulted in projects having
    – the enhanced use of return conditionality                 adverse and unintended effects. In Niger, for
      and the high social and political costs of                instance, the EU supported implementation
      return cooperation for West African states                of the 2015 anti-smuggling law, which led
    – the insufficient commitment to safe and                   to an upset in the political economy in the
      legal pathways, a key concern of West                     north of the country. This resulted in not
      African governments.                                      only short-term economic losses for those
                                                                involved in the transport of migrants but
    Overall, migration in the West African context              also negative economic effects on the wider
    is, as opposed to the European context,                     economy of the north, creating concerns
    not generally considered a politicised issue                over regional stability.13 In addition, such
    nor a political priority.7 Instead, mobility                policies have led to more dangerous routes
    and migration constitute a normal part of                   for migrants and more extortion at border
    life in many West African societies8 and                    crossings, in effect creating an environment
    are governed by both formal and informal                    in which protection of migrants and respect
    rules.9 Some West African states, such as                   for their human rights is hard to uphold.14
    Senegal and Nigeria, have enshrined the                     Lastly, the negative effects of some EU
    right to migrate in their constitutions.10                  migration programming have put a strain on
    At regional level, the Economic Community                   regional integration, a key driver of economic
    of West African States (ECOWAS) and the                     development in the region.15
    West African Economic and Monetary Union
    (WAEMU) establish and partially implement                   European–West African migration
    the rights to movement, residence and                       cooperation is unlikely to be mutually
    establishment. A large proportion of West                   beneficial without consideration of such

                                                                11 Adepoju, A. 2009. ‘Migration Management in West
                                                                   Africa within the Context of ECOWAS Protocol
    7  Lücke, M., Diez, O., Jegen, L., Zanker, F. 2020.            on Free Movement of Persons and the Common
       European and African Perspectives on Asylum and             Approach on Migration: Challenges and Prospects’,
       Migration Policy: Seeking Common Ground, Kiel:              Regional challenges of West African migration:
       MEDAM.; Jegen, L., Zanker, F., Arhin-Sam, K.,               African and European Perspectives, Paris: OECD.
       Bisong, A. 2020. Free Movement in West Africa:              p. 17-47.
       Juxtapositions and Divergent Interests, Kiel:            12 Jegen, L., Zanker, F., Arhin-Sam, K., Bisong, A.
       MEDAM.; Adam, I., Trauner, K., Jegen, L., Roos, C.          2020. Free Movement in West Africa: Juxtapositions
       2019. West African Interests in (EU) Migration Policy,      and Divergent Interests, Kiel: MEDAM.
       Brugge: UNU-CRIS.                                        13 Molenaar, F., Ursu, A., Ayouba Tinni, B.,
    8 Lücke, M., Diez, O., Jegen, L., Zanker, F. 2020.             Hoffmann, A., Meester, J. 2017. A line in the Sand:
       European and African Perspectives on Asylum                 Roadmap for sustainable migration management in
       and Migration Policy: Seeking Common Ground,                Agadez, The Hague: Clingendael Institute.
       Kiel: MEDAM.                                             14 OHCHR. 2018. End of mission statement of the
    9 Jegen, L., Zanker, F., Arhin-Sam, K., Bisong, A.             UN Special Rapporteur on the human rights of
       2020. Free Movement in West Africa: Juxtapositions          migrants, Felipe González Morales, on his visit to
       and Divergent Interests, Kiel: MEDAM.                       Niger (1-8 October).
    10 Arhin-Sam, K. 2019. The Political Economy of             15 Jegen, L. 2020. The Political Economy of Migration
       Migration Governance in Nigeria, Freiburg: MEDAM,           Governance in Senegal, Freiburg: MEDAM, Arnold
       Arnold Bergstraesser Institute and Mercator                 Bergstraesser Institute and Mercator Foundation.;
       Foundation.; Jegen, L. 2020. The Political Economy          Cleas, J., Schmauder, A. 2020. When the Dust
       of Migration Governance in Senegal, Freiburg:               Settles, Economic and governance repercussions
       MEDAM, Arnold Bergstraesser Institute and                   of migration policies in Niger’s north, The Hague:
       Mercator Foundation.                                        Clingendael Institute.

3
CRU Policy Brief

    local realities, and political and social stakes.          according to which the primary objective of
    When examining recent policy proposals,                    EU development cooperation must be the
    several trends become apparent that put                    reduction of poverty (Article 208 TFEU).18
    into question the extent to which proposals                Applied in a context of aid dependency, root
    on the table effectively constitute the                    causes projects have in the past borne the
    announced paradigm shift leading to the                    potential to employ aid conditionality. In Niger
    ‘deepening, broadening and consolidating’                  for example, external donors constituted a
    of trust.                                                  major source of the total state budget in 2016,
                                                               when EU member states contributed 25% of
                                                               the state budget and 20% was covered by
    Trend 1: Further institutionalisa-                         other external support.19 On the one hand,
    tion of the root causes approach                           the European Union Trust Fund (EUTF) is
                                                               an additional funding opportunity often
                                                               perceived as a potential income source;
    Addressing the root causes of migration will               on the other hand, the political nature of
    remain a key component of the EU’s external                EUTF funding has been decried by West
    migration programming, as reflected in the                 African government officials.20 In Senegal,
    New Pact, which states that development                    for example, concerns over an implicit return
    assistance will ‘help people feel that their               agenda and sovereignty temporarily stalled a
    future lies at home’.16 The root causes                    project to modernise biometric databases.21
    approach is equally present in the external                In a context of economic asymmetries,
    migration dimensions of the new Multiannual                using development aid to further European
    Financial Framework (MFF). As the last                     migration priorities carries the risk of reducing
    section of this brief will outline in more detail,         ownership over development priorities and
    10% of the EU’s external action is expected                inserting policy priorities that do not resonate
    to be dedicated to migration programming,                  with key challenges on the ground.
    one priority of which will be tackling the root
    causes of irregular migration and forced
    displacement.                                              Trend 2: Stronger mandates
                                                               for EU involvement in migration
    The consolidation of the root causes
    approach raises the question of local                      control operations in West Africa
    ownership of development priorities, as
    enshrined in the Sustainable Developments                  The New Pact consolidates the trend of
    Goals (SDGs). Numerous studies have                        reinforcing the operational mandates
    pointed to lack of ownership at local                      of European actors in third countries.
    level in areas where EU-funded migration                   This includes an emphasis on strengthening
    programming has been in place over the                     direct on-the-ground involvement by
    last few years.17 This contributes to the                  European police officers in anti-smuggling
    risk of undermining a development agenda                   investigations through both Joint Investigative

    16 European Commission. 2020. Communication                18 Bisong, A. 2020. The impact of EU external migration
       from the Commission to the European Parliament,            policies on sustainable development: A review of the
       the Council, the European Economic and Social              evidence from West, North and the Horn of Africa,
       Committee and the Committee Of the Regions on              Brussels, Friedrich Ebert Stiftung and Caritas
       a new Pact on Migration and Asylum, September.             Europe, p. 3.
       p. 20.                                                  19 EEAS. 2016. Niger and the EU, May.
    17 Jegen, L., Zanker, F. 2019. European dominance of       20 Adam, I., Trauner, F., Jegen, L., Roos, C. 2020.
       migration policy in Niger “On a fait les filles avant      ‘West African interests in (EU) migration policy.
       la mère”, Kiel: MEDAM.;Raty, T., Shilhav, R. 2020.         Balancing domestic priorities with external
       The EU Trust Fund for Africa: Trapped between              incentives’. Journal of Ethnic and Migration Studies,
       Aid Policy and Migration Politics, Nairobi: Oxfam.;        p. 1-18.
       Guerry, O., Stocchier, A. 2020. Partnership or          21 Jegen, L. 2019. The Political Economy of Migration
       Conditionality: Monitoring the Migration Compacts          Governance in Niger, Freiburg: Arnold Bergstraesser
       and EU Trust Fund for Africa, Brussels: CONCORD.           Institute.

4
CRU Policy Brief

    Teams as well as Common Operational                       Similar concerns by other West African
    Partnerships. Joint Investigative Teams                   states are likely to arise if these legal reforms
    (JITs) have been working in Niger since                   become a central element of cooperation.
    2017 and allow for direct involvement of                  Additionally, the planned Frontex involvement
    European police officers in human smuggling               in reintegration may contribute to the image
    investigations.22 Meanwhile, the role of                  of external actors taking over tasks of West
    European police officers under Common                     African ministries – and being self-serving.27
    Operational Partnerships, as set up in
    Senegal in 2018, is more indirect, as they
    officially hold only a supporting role.23 In              Trend 3: Institutionalising
    this regard it is noteworthy that a Frontex               conditionality to increase
    Status Agreement that would extend the
    operational mandate of the European Border                return leverage
    and Coast Guard Agency (EBCG) under the
    ongoing Frontex mission Hera, has been                    Return has long been a problematic issue
    the subject of negotiation between the EU                 between West African states and the EU.28
    and Senegal since 2018.24 Additionally, the               Negative and positive incentives and aid
    EBCG is expected to play a bigger role in                 conditionality have been used as leverage
    reintegration, as will be further refined in              by the EU in migration cooperation with
    the forthcoming strategy for voluntary return             West Africa. While the general emphasis on
    and reintegration.                                        conditionality is not new – first attempts to
                                                              introduce conditionality date back to the late
    Expanding the operational mandates of                     1990s29 – the New Pact proposes for the first
    European actors on the ground could                       time to institutionalise the approach.
    diminish the scope for policies to be adapted
    to local contexts by West African actors.                 The New Pact reiterates a form of direct
    Research has shown that in a context where                conditionality via annual visa assessments
    formal and informal rules govern mobility,                carried out by the European Commission
    legal reforms such as Niger’s 2015 law on                 in line with the EU Visa Code. By means
    migrant smuggling will be reinterpreted by                of this assessment, the Commission can
    actors on the ground.25 Further, in Senegal,              ‘propose to apply restrictive visa measures
    setting up Common Operational Partnerships                and, in case of good cooperation, propose
    led to significant concerns over sovereignty.26           favourable visa measures’.30 In addition,

                                                              27 Trauner, F., Jegen, L., Adam, I. and Roos, C. 2019.
    22 Euro EUTF. 2017. Création d’une Equipe Conjointe          The International Organization for Migration in West
       d’Investigation (ECI) Pour La Lutte Contre Les            Africa: Why its role is getting more contested, Brugge:
       Réseaux Criminels Liés à l’immigration Irrégulière,       UNU-CRIS.
       La Traite Des Êtres Humains et Le Trafic Des           28 Adam, I., Trauner, K., Jegen, L., Roos, C. 2019.
       Migrants, June.                                           West African Interests in (EU) Migration Policy,
    23 European Commission. 2018. Partenariat                    Brugge: UNU-CRIS.; Mouthaan, M. 2019. ‘Unpacking
       Opérationnel Conjoint (POC) de lutte contre               Domestic Preferences in the Policy-“Receiving”
       l’immigration irrégulière, la traite et le trafic de      State: The EU’s Migration Cooperation with Senegal
       migrants au Sénégal.                                      and Ghana’, Comparative Migration Studies, 7:1. p. 35.
    24 Frontex. 2020. Annual Report on the Practical          29 Cortinovis, R., Conte, C. 2018. Migration-Related
       Application of Regulation (EU) No 656/2014                Conditionality in EU External Funding, Brussels:
       Establishing Rules for the Surveillance of the            RESOMA.
       External Sea Borders in the Context of Operational     30 Note: For countries which already hold visa free
       Cooperation Coordinated by Frontex, February.             entry to the Schengen zone, the new Pact foresees
    25 Raineri, L. 2018. ‘Human Smuggling across                 the introduction of a visa suspension mechanism
       Niger: State-Sponsored Protection Rackets and             in case of high rates of ‘visa abuse’. European
       Contradictory Security Imperatives’, The Journal of       Commission. 2020. Communication from the
       Modern African Studies, 56:1. p. 63–86.                   Commission to the European Parliament, the Council,
    26 Jegen, L. 2020. The Political Economy of Migration        the European Economic and Social Committee and
       Governance in Senegal, Freiburg: MEDAM, Arnold            the Committee of the Regiona on a New Pact on
       Bergstraesser Institute and Mercator Foundation.          Migration and Asylum. p. 21.

5
CRU Policy Brief

    building on previous proposals31 the Pact                 The strengthened return conditionality,
    and its proposed Asylum and Migration                     if applied, is likely to result in more pressure
    Management Regulation (RAMM)                              on West African governments to meet
    proposes a mechanism that will foster                     European return interests and carries the
    leverage applied through the integration of               risk of growing informalisation of return
    diverse policy areas in European migration                cooperation, diminished trust in governments
    diplomacy. This proposed mechanism                        and adverse effects on household incomes.
    will include a Commission analysis which
    could suggest measures towards a specific                 The growing pressure paired with the
    third country in case of insufficient return              high political and social stakes of return
    cooperation. The measures allow for an                    may lead to a growing informalisation of
    overall consideration of the Union’s relations            return agreements. This means that they
    with the country concerned, and they will                 are concluded beyond the scrutiny of
    be implemented upon agreement between                     parliaments – both in Europe and West
    the Commission and the Council.32 This is                 Africa – and often remain opaque to the
    very much congruent with the proposed                     wider public.34 Indeed, West African actors
    regulation for a new Neighbourhood,                       stressed that informal agreements constitute
    Development and International Cooperation                 a means to navigate conflicting domestic and
    Instrument (NDICI) which explicitly points                international agendas.35 The trend towards
    to the need to maximise synergies and                     informalisation of such agreements could
    apply the necessary leverage through the                  result in less accountability and legitimacy
    external funding instrument. Additionally,                of West African governments. For example,
    the regulation to establish the Asylum and                return cooperation in The Gambia has been
    Migration Fund (AMIF) further cements                     a topic with serious political implications.
    the importance granted to applying                        Following the democratic transition in 2017,
    conditionality. Its potential as a political              development assistance became crucial
    tool is clearly elaborated: ‘It is clear that             support for the government and more than
    the adoption of measures and the pooling                  doubled in 2017. Shortly afterwards, the EU
    of resources at EU level will increase                    and The Gambia concluded a non-binding
    significantly the leverage that the EU needs              ‘good practice’ agreement on forced returns.
    to persuade third countries to engage with                The way returns have been carried out under
    it on those migration related issues that are             the agreement has since been politically
    primarily in the interest of the EU and the               contested and has negatively affected the
    Member States.’33                                         legitimacy of the government.36

    31 European Commission. 2015. European Agenda
       on Migration, May; European Commission. 2016.             relations towards third states vary significantly and
       Commission Announces New Migration Partnership            are in many cases crucial to achieving readmission
       Framework: Reinforced Cooperation with Third              interest. On the other hand, it is questionable
       Countries to Better Manage Migration.                     whether those European states with good relations
    32 European Commission. 2020. Proposal for a                 with West African countries would be willing to
       regulation of the European Parliament and of the          execute ‘return sponsorship schemes’.
       Council on Asylum and Migration Management and         34 Cassarino, J. 2007. ‘Informalising Readmission
       amending Council Directive (EC) 2003/109 and the          Agreements in the EU Neighbourhood’,
       proposed Regulation (EU) XXX/XXX [Asylum and              The International Spectator, 42:2. p. 179–96.
       Migration Fund], September. Art. 7, Para. 3-4.         35 Adam, I., Trauner, F., Jegen, L., Roos, C. 2020.
    33 More implicitly, conditionality will be strengthened      ‘West African interests in (EU) migration policy.
       through the proposed ‘return sponsorship’.                Balancing domestic priorities with external
       This mechanism will allow EU member states to             incentives’. Journal of Ethnic and Migration Studies,
       execute deportations on behalf of each other.             p. 1-18.
       This, according to the proposed RAMM, entails          36 Altrogge, J., Zanker, F. 2019. The Political Economy
       leading return negotiations with third states,            of Migration Governance in the Gambia, Freiburg:
       obtaining valid identification documents as well          MEDAM.; Jegen, L., Zanker, F., Arhin-Sam, K.,
       as organising practical arrangement on return.            Bisong, A. 2020. Free Movement in West Africa:
       Such an approach has the potential to significantly       Juxtapositions and Divergent Interests, Kiel:
       enhance leverage of European actors, as bilateral         MEDAM.

6
CRU Policy Brief

    For West African states, remittances help               Besides these stakes related to
    to reduce poverty, as they significantly                return, consolidating the so-called
    contribute to the livelihoods of many                   comprehensive approach to migration
    households. Remittances are thus                        and its institutionalisation through yearly
    important elements in discussions on                    Commission evaluations results in return
    return conditionality.37 In some West African           interests dominating relations to third
    countries, for example Senegal and Nigeria,             countries. Enhancing EU-West African
    personal remittances outweigh overseas                  migration cooperation on European terms
    development assistance as a contribution                bears the risk of failing to take West African
    to GDP.38 In Senegal, remittance flows                  political and social stakes into account
    have proven to be less volatile in times of             and leaves little room for a truly mutually
    economic downturn than Foreign Direct                   beneficial partnership.
    Investment and export revenues.39 This
    shows the sensitivity of successful return
    conditionality both on a societal and political         Trend 4: A strengthened
    level. On a societal level, forced return often         commitment to safe and
    means losing an important income source.
    On a political level, this question has become          legal pathways?
    a sensitive issue in, for example, The Gambia
    and during the electoral period in Senegal.40           The New Pact puts forward a commitment
    As summarised by a Nigerian civil society               to the opening of safe and legal pathways,
    actor quoted by Arhim-Sam,41 ‘bringing many             stating that this could go hand in hand with
    Nigerians back without anything to offer                a reduction of irregular migration to Europe.
    them may lead to a social crisis, a rise in             It proposes the launch of a Talent Partnership
    crime, and a social breakdown and sense of              that would provide a framework to combine
    the government siding with the EU’.                     EU and member states tools on labour
                                                            migration. The Talent Partnership aims to,
                                                            first, contribute to better matching migration
                                                            from third states with EU labour and skills
                                                            needs and, second, to more strategically
    37 Clemens, M. 2014. ‘Does Development Reduce           engage with partner countries on migration.
       Migration?’, International Handbook on Migration     Additionally, the New Pact stresses the
       and Economic Development, ed. Lucas, R.              importance of finalising the EU Blue Card
       Cheltenham: Edward Elgar Publishing. p. 152-85.      Directive in order to facilitate high-skilled
    38 Numbers for 2017 as quoted in Zanker, F.,            migration.
       Altrogge, J., Arhin-Sam, K. and Jegen, L. 2020.
       Challenges in EU-African Migration Cooperation:      While the opening of legal pathways
       West African Perspectives on Forced Return.
                                                            has been a key demand of West African
       Freiburg: MEDAM.
                                                            governments,42 the extent to which
    39 Cisse, F. 2011. ‘Senegal’, Remittance Markets in
       Africa, ed. Mohapatra, S., Dilip, R. Washington:
                                                            current proposals take this demand into
       The International Bank for Reconstruction and        consideration remains insufficient as such
       Development.                                         pathways imply a strong focus on labour
    40 Mouthaan, M. 2019. ‘Unpacking Domestic               market needs. Member states’ projects, such
       Preferences in the Policy-“Receiving” State:         as Spanish attempts to open legal pathways
       The EU’s Migration Cooperation with Senegal          in 2016 and 2019 to Senegalese citizens, have
       and Ghana’, Comparative Migration Studies, 7:1.;     often not made it beyond their pilot phase.
       Jegen, L. 2020. The Political Economy of Migration   Further, projects like the Nigerian-German
       Governance in Senegal, Freiburg: MEDAM, Arnold       Centre for Jobs, Migration and Reintegration
       Bergstraesser Institute and Mercator Foundation.;
       Altrogge, J. and Zanker, F. 2019. The Political
       Economy of Migration Governance in the Gambia,
       Freiburg, Arnold Bergstraesser Institute.            42 Adam, I., Trauner, F., Jegen, L., Roos, C. 2020.
    41 Arhin-Sam, K. 2019. The Political Economy of            ‘West African interests in (EU) migration policy.
       Migration Governance in Nigeria, Freiburg:              Balancing domestic priorities with external
       MEDAM, Arnold Bergstraesser Institute and               incentives’. Journal of Ethnic and Migration Studies,
       Mercator Foundation.                                    p. 1-18.

7
CRU Policy Brief

    that offers training to access the German         A first observation is that the amount set
    job market – despite the chances of               aside for external migration programming
    accessing the job market being zero to none       is very high and funds can be sourced
    – result in a sense of ‘unfilled promise’.43      from a wide variety of funding instru­ments.
    Marginalising West African governments’           Migration is set to become an institutionalised
    demands for legal migration in future             policy priority for EU external action, funded
    cooperation reflects the dominance of             primarily through the new Neighbourhood,
    European interests in migration cooperation       Development and International Cooperation
    and further puts into question the possibility    Instrument (NDICI). The NDICI is a newly
    of working towards mutually beneficial            created funding mechanism that combines
    migration cooperation.                            several external funding instruments, with the
                                                      ambition of streamlining funding on external
    Drawing on the policies outlined in the           affairs.44 The amount agreed upon for NDICI
    New Pact on Asylum and Migration there            during the July Council negotiations is €79.46
    are few indications that a paradigm shift         billion. While budgetary details about the
    towards mutually beneficial migration             exact breakdown of spending under NDICI
    cooperation is likely to occur in the coming      are not yet known, insights into funding
    years. The next section will examine the          priorities can be drawn based on the prior
    budgetary proposals currently on the table        Commission proposal. The instrument will
    and how far they leave scope for such             have a geographic component, a thematic
    a shift to take place.                            component and a rapid response component.
                                                      The geographic component is by far the
                                                      largest part of NDICI; it contains over 75% of
    The EU budget for external                        the total NDICI budget as per the Commission
    migration programming                             proposal. Sub-Saharan Africa will receive the
                                                      largest part of the geographic funds, with the
                                                      most recent Commission proposal reserving
    Having outlined the policy trends, a              47% for the region.45 The Commission has
    closer consideration of the latest budget         indicated that 10% of NDICI, including
    proposals shows how the pillars of the            all three components, is expected to be
    EU’s external migration cooperation are           dedicated to migration programming, covering
    further consolidated through its proposed         root causes and forced displacement, and
    funding infrastructure, and how concerns          strengthening migration governance. Based
    for a balanced and mutual beneficial              on the July agreement this would translate to
    partnership derive from this. The European        nearly €8bn reserved for migration spending
    Commission put forward a revised proposal         under NDICI alone.
    for its new long-term budget in May 2020.
    An agreement at Council level in July fixed       In addition to NDICI, several EU internal
    total spending for 2021-2027 at €1,074.3          funding instruments with a specific migration
    billion. The proposal is currently under          focus will be able to implement programmes
    discussion and is expected to be formally         outside the EU borders. The Integrated
    adopted by the end of 2020. From an               Border Management Fund (IBMF) for
    analysis of the proposed 2021-2027                instance, budgeted at €5.5bn, as well as
    Multiannual Financial Framework (MFF)             the Asylum and Migration Fund (AMIF),
    several observations can be made on where         budgeted at €8.7bn are both open to
    and how the EU intends to set aside funds
    for migration programming in its budget.
                                                      44 The NDICI instrument will shelter the former EDF,
                                                         ENI, DCI, EIDHR, IcSP, PI, and Guarantee Fund.
                                                         Continuing to operate separately from this new
                                                         mega instrument will be the IPA, CFSP, humanitarian
                                                         aid, OCTs and EINs.
    43 Arhin-Sam, K. 2019. The Political Economy of   45 The exact percentage breakdown of the July
       Migration Governance in Nigeria, Freiburg:        budget agreement is not yet known. Calculations
       MEDAM, Arnold Bergstraesser Institute and         are therefore based on the May 2020 Commission
       Mercator Foundation. p. 29.                       proposal.

8
CRU Policy Brief

                                                                                                External dimension
                                                                                                  of EU migration
                                                                                                   programming

                                           NDICI
                                          €79.46 bn

                                                                               10%

                % unknown                % unknown              % unknown                    External programming
                                                                    ISF                       Internal programming
                                                                  €8.7 bn

                                           IBMF
                                           €8.7 bn

                   AMIF
                  €8.7 bn

    external programming in third countries.46              northward mobility and are unlikely to take
    Worth mentioning as well is the Internal                into account the concerns of third countries,
    Security Fund (ISF), budgeted at €2.5bn,                as outlined in the first part of this brief.
    which is primarily geared towards tackling
    organised crime and security threats.                   A second observation is the flexibility built
    The fund’s proposal includes an external                into funding instruments. Funds in the
    component geared towards tackling migrant               EU budget that can be used for external
    smuggling.47 There are thus a variety of                migration programming include large
    funding instruments available to implement              amounts of non-allocated funds that can
    programming in third countries.                         be used in a flexible manner. NDICI for
                                                            instance holds a €3bn ‘global challenges’
    The combination of external and internal                header that remains largely unspecified
    funds for external migration programming                and can be used for, among other things,
    carries the risk of blurring foreign and                migration programming. This is on top of
    domestic policy objectives, which raises                the fund’s €4bn rapid response pillar, which
    questions in regard to policy coherence.48              is inherently flexible in nature and could be
    Domestic considerations driven by migration             used for so-called migration emergencies.
    control prerogatives have the potential to              But flexibility is apparent not only in the
    dominate EU foreign policy and development              NDICI; internal funds open to third country
    priorities that are based, at least on paper,           programming showcase a similar tendency
    on eradicating poverty and fostering stability          towards non-allocated, and thus adjustable,
    and respect for human rights. Such longer-              funding. Forty percent of AMIF, IBMF
    term objectives do not resonate well with               and ISF funds are sheltered in so-called
    a shorter-term ambition of restricting                  ‘thematic facilities’ which provide flexible
                                                            funding for emerging priorities as opposed
                                                            to the remaining 60% channelled to fixed
    46 The extent to which these funding instruments        national programmes.49 Flexible funding is
       can be used externally is not clarified in their     not inherently problematic. It represents
       proposed regulations.                                a willingness to be able to respond to
    47 ISF funding has in the past been used to provide     emerging issues that are impossible to
       assistance to the Libyan Coast Guard.                foresee in a budget with a 7-year horizon.
    48 Bisong, A., 2020. The impact of EU external
       migration policies on sustainable development:
       A review of the evidence from West, North and the
       Horn of Africa, Brussels, Friedrich Ebert Stiftung   49 Knoll, A., Veron, P. 2019. Migration and the next EU
       and Caritas Europe.                                     long-term budget, Maastricht, ECDPM.

9
CRU Policy Brief

     This type of funding does, however, come                   available to IcSP at its inception.52 Once again,
     with a challenge: funds might be directed to               streamlining several instru­ments into one
     issues receiving the most political attention,             larger instrument is not a problem as such.
     for example migration, at the expense of                   It does risk, however, certain policy areas
     other policy priorities.                                   becoming less visible and ultimately less well
                                                                funded while they remain rhetorically high on
     It is in this regard that a third observation can          the EU’s external action agenda.
     be made. In contrast to the many references
     to migration, other topics receive much less               This brings us to the fourth and last
     attention in EU external action budgets.                   observation, which relates to the question
     In the case of NDICI, sheltering a wide                    of oversight. A welcome change in the
     variety of funding instruments under one                   new budget is that the European Parliament
     streamlined instrument built on pillars of root            will have oversight over external funds, the
     causes and securitised approaches raises                   lack of which was a source of contention
     the question of prioritisation.50 Most notably,            throughout the last budgetary cycle.53
     the Human Rights Instrument (EIDHR) will                   Under the current plans, however, oversight
     cease to exist in the next budgetary cycle                 for internal funding mechanisms will
     and human rights programming will now be                   principally lie with internal Committees in
     integrated into the thematic component of                  the EP (such as, for instance, the Committee
     NDICI. While exact numbers are not known                   on Civil Liberties, Justice and Home
     at this stage, earlier proposals suggest                   Affairs), whereas oversight over NDICI is
     that human rights issues will see a modest                 likely to lie mainly within the Committee on
     decline in funding compared to the previous                Foreign Affairs (AFET) and the Committee
     MFF.51 This means that human rights issues                 on Development (DEVE). Overseeing
     lose their prominence within the overall                   programming in third countries financed
     external action of the EU and become less                  through internal funding instruments thus
     visible and slightly less funded. In a similar             risks fragmenting the scrutiny of external
     fashion, the Instrument contributing to                    migration policies as a whole.
     Stability and Peace (IcSP) will cease to exist
     as a standalone instrument and will instead                While budgetary discussions are still ongoing
     be absorbed into the thematic component of                 these observations show a picture in which
     NDICI, where the funding allocated to it will              the amount of funding available to migration is
     be significantly lower than the funding made               very high, and comes from a range of funding
                                                                instruments that have a high level of flexibility
                                                                built into them. This budgetary setup again
                                                                puts the feasibility of a paradigm shift into
                                                                question. It rather demonstrates an ambition
                                                                to further consolidate an external migration
     50 For further reading on the concerns about
                                                                governance based more on continuity of its
        prioritisation and concerns about overbudgeting
        on migration matters in the new MFF see ECRE.
        2019. Outspending on migration? ECRE’s analysis
        and recommendations on funding for migration            52 Funding for stability and peace under NDICI’s
        outside the EU to inform the negotiations of the next      thematic component is in the current, non-definitive
        EU multi-annual financial framework 2021-2027,             version of the MFF projected at €1 bn whereas
        May.; CONCORD. 2019. Recommendations on                    funding for IcSP in 2014 was fixed at €2.3 bn.
        the NDICI migration spending target, September.;           See European Parliament. 2020. Proposal for a
        Berger, A. 2019. The Nexus between Migration and           regulation of the EP and the Council establishing
        Development in EU External Action: No Quick Fix,           the neighbourhood, development and international
        Ixelles: Institute for European Studies.                   cooperation instrument, September.; European
     51 In the original Commission proposal, 21% of the            Commission. 2014. Regulation (EU) no 230/2014
        thematic envelope are dedicated to human rights,           of the European Parliament and of the Council of
        which, extrapolated to the numbers that were               11 March 2014 establishing an instrument contributing
        released following the July 2020 summit – where            to stability and peace, March.
        € 6.3 was allocated to the thematic envelope would      53 The EUTF for instance operated largely without
        mean € 1.323 billion for the period 2021-2027.             oversight. See Kipp, D. 2018. From Exception
        The period 2014-2020 saw € 1.332 billion dedicated         to Rule – the EU Trust Fund for Africa, Berlin:
        to human rights.                                           Stiftung Wissenschaft und Politik.

10
CRU Policy Brief

     policies of the past few years rather than on     internal and external funding mechanisms, and
     seeking the mutually beneficial relationship it   that the EU works towards a more towards a
     advances rhetorically.                            sustainable migration policy.

     Conclusion                                        Recommendations

     This policy brief shows that in the case of       – Safeguard credibility as an international
     West African states, recent EU policy and           cooperation partner: The involvement
     budgetary proposals fall short on m   ­ atching     of the internal financing instruments in EU
     the EU rhetoric of moving towards a                 external policy and the failure to include
     ­mutually beneficial partnership in the field       a strong human rights priority in relevant
      of migration cooperation. Instead, recent          funding instruments both risk damaging
      developments indicate a continuation and           the EU's reputation as a credible partner
      consolidation of policies that have shaped         in the long term. First, the involvement
      EU external migration governance in recent         of internal financing instruments, and
      years. The policy trends outlined in the first     therefore domestic policy considerations,
      part of this brief have shown that current         in the EU’s external migration policy risks a
      thinking is geared more towards consolida-         reprioritisation of foreign policy goals. This
      tion than the publicly announced paradigm          might lead to a diminished attractiveness
      shift. Notably, consolidation of the root          of the EU as a partner in the long term.
      causes approach and a greater role for the         A domestic agenda that runs EU foreign
      EU in migration control operations in third        policy objectives such as peace, stability
      countries both signal that Brussels will con-      and good governance should not be able
      tinue to call the shots in terms of ­priority      to consistently take a dominant position.
      setting, with little lessons learned from          Second, in the context of human rights
      adverse effects of, or local concerns about,       being under strain in many key regions
      EU policies over the last years. The explicit      of EU programming it is noteworthy that
      leverage enshrined in policy documents, as         the corresponding budget sees a modest
      well as the questionable commitment to safe        decline in funding on human rights issues.
      and legal pathways, signal a similar tendency.     Past evaluations of external EU financing
      Such leverage seems very much enshrined in         instruments pointed to the potential trade-
      budgetary proposals currently on the table,        off between human rights considerations
      which reserve significant funding for migra-       and the migration-security nexus,
      tion programming in third countries that can       highlighting the need to prioritise migrant
      be used flexibly and of which the setup in         rights in future programming. In order to
      terms of oversight is yet to be clarified.         mitigate the risk of credibility loss, migration
                                                         programming, particularly programmes with
     Overall, there is little indication that a          a strong security dimension, should include
     paradigm shift is likely to occur in the            permanent or periodic monitoring of their
     coming years. A failure to rethink this             human rights compliance.
     approach is likely to lead to further negative
     impacts of EU migration programming in            – Ensure development projects reach
     third states and may in the longer term             their long- and short-term objectives:
     result in the EU becoming an increasingly           The EU’s development policies should
     unattractive partner. In view of a more             be designed to meet its international
     strained geopolitical context, it is necessary      commitments including local ownership
     that the EU safeguards its credibility as           under the Agenda 2030,54 its own ‘Leave
     an international cooperation partner and
     its foreign policy as able to meet complex
     challenges beyond migration. Policy makers        54 Such as SDG 8.8 – migrant workers, women
     should use the new budgetary cycle as an             migrants; SDG 10.7 – facilitate orderly, safe,
     opportunity to tackle these concerns and             regular and responsible migration and mobility
     should ensure that development projects              of people, including through implementation of
     reach their long- and short-term objectives,         planned and well-managed migration policies;
     that there is adequate oversight of both             SDG 10.c – remittances; SDG 17.18 – data monitoring.

11
CRU Policy Brief

        no one behind principle’ as enshrined                will be involved in carrying out the
        in the 2017 European Consensus on                    external dimension of EU migration
        Development, and its commitment                      policies; that will require oversight
        to poverty eradication as enshrined                  to be designed in such a way that
        in Article 208 TFEU. In addition, the                it can be carried out in a coherent
        concerns of West African states,                     and comprehensive manner. In other
        should be taken seriously. Additionally,             words, the fragmentation of funding
        regional migration and mobility realities            instruments should not lead to
        offer an entry point for programming,                fragmented oversight. In those cases
        and incorporating feedback from                      where internal funding instruments
        past implementers55 needs serious                    are used in third countries, this
        consideration. Otherwise projects risk               should be done within the overall
        losing local buy in, which is crucial                foreign policy objectives and should
        to achieve long- and short-term                      be able to be evaluated as such by
        objectives.                                          European Parliament Committees with
                                                             a foreign policy remit, such as DEVE
     – Build holistic relations with third                   and AFET. Ideally, one Committee
       countries to be able to meet complex                  will have the lead in overseeing all
       challenges beyond migration: The                      external migration programming, in
       political and social stakes of forced return          particular evaluating whether such
       and readmission for West African states               programming is compliant with
       are high. Political stakes include risks of           commitments underpinning EU external
       losing democratic accountability through              action, regardless of whether such
       the informalisation of return agreements              programming originates from internal or
       and an associated loss of a government’s              external funding instruments.
       legitimacy in the eyes of the population.
       Following an approach in which other               – Work towards a sustainable
       policy domains are subordinated to                   migration cooperation beyond the
       EU return interests carries a high risk              crisis mode: The commitment to safe
       of undermining EU foreign affairs                    and legal pathways as enshrined in
       policy towards West African states and               the New Pact constitutes an important
       curtailing the legitimacy of the EU as               stepping stone towards migration
       an international actor. A more balanced              cooperation that works for European
       approach that takes the return-related               and West African governments as
       concerns of West African states seriously            well as migrants. However, as shown
       would therefore be beneficial for both the           in this policy brief, labour migration
       EU and its partner countries.                        channels proposed under the Pact are
                                                            likely to benefit only small sections of
     – Ensure appropriate oversight                         the West African population. Hence
       of both internal and external                        their potential to offer alternatives to
       funding mechanisms when used                         so-called irregular migration remains
       in third countries. The integration of               limited. The opening of legal pathways is
       development funds under parliamentary                crucial in working towards sustainable
       scrutiny is a welcome step towards                   migration management, as without an
       more oversight and transparency into                 enhanced political commitment to legal
       EU spending on external migration                    labour migration, EU migration policy
       programming. However, different                      will continue to prioritise its efforts
       Directorate-Generals of the European                 against irregular migration, the very
       Commission, both internal and external,              problem it creates.

     55 See for instance Fernandez-Duran, C., Febles
        Carmona, E. 2020. Human mobility and resilience
        in the Sahel: challenges and opportunities,
        Brussels: OXFAM.

12
About the Clingendael Institute
Clingendael – the Netherlands Institute of International Relations –
is a leading think tank and academy on international affairs.
Through our analyses, training and public debate we aim to inspire
and equip governments, businesses, and civil society in order to
contribute to a secure, sustainable and just world.

www.clingendael.org/cru        @clingendaelorg
cru@clingendael.org            The Clingendael Institute
+31 70 324 53 84               The Clingendael Institute
                               clingendael_institute
                               Newsletter

About the authors
Leonie Jegen is a PhD Candidate at the Amsterdam Institute for
Social Science Research (AISSR), University of Amsterdam. Her research
focuses on the reform of the Senegalese smuggling of migrants policy
and more generally externalization of migration control. Previously,
she worked on several research projects on European influence on
West African migration governance.

Johannes Claes is a Research Fellow with Clingendael’s Conflict
Research Unit. His research focuses on migration in the Sahel and
West Africa and on the impacts of migration policies on local dynamics.
He was previously based in Niger and Senegal where he worked for
humanitarian organisations.

Omar N. Cham, originally from The Gambia, is a Ph.D. Candidate in the
Faculty of Economics and Social Sciences and Solvay Business School,
VUB. His PhD research focuses on the politics of return migration in
The Gambia. Omar’s research seeks to explore how cooperation on
forced return migration between The Gambia and the EU changed
with transition to democracy in 2016. Omar holds a master’s degree in
Social Policy and Social Services from Istanbul University, a master’s
degree in Management from the VUB, and a bachelor’s degree (Hons)
in Development Studies from the University of The Gambia.
You can also read