Trends & Takeaways in the Still Hot Protein Product Marketplace - Presented by: Lynn Dornblaser, Director, Innovation & Insight May 22-23, 2018

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Trends & Takeaways in the Still Hot Protein Product Marketplace - Presented by: Lynn Dornblaser, Director, Innovation & Insight May 22-23, 2018
Trends & Takeaways in the [Still]
Hot Protein Product Marketplace
Presented by:
Lynn Dornblaser, Director,
Innovation & Insight

                                    © 2018 Mintel Group Ltd. All Rights Reserved. Confidential to Mintel.
May 22-23, 2018
Trends & Takeaways in the Still Hot Protein Product Marketplace - Presented by: Lynn Dornblaser, Director, Innovation & Insight May 22-23, 2018
Agenda

 Consumers:      What we see:      Inspiration   What’s ahead
  What they        Product        from outside
want, and what   activity, key   the US market
  they don’t       product
                  examples
Trends & Takeaways in the Still Hot Protein Product Marketplace - Presented by: Lynn Dornblaser, Director, Innovation & Insight May 22-23, 2018
Consumers: What they want,
and what they don’t
Consumers are conflicted: They want
animal-based protein AND they want
plant-based protein

They see the benefits and advantages
of both

For plant protein, they choose it for
taste and health

But their preferences on what they
say they would buy differ depending
on the category

3
Trends & Takeaways in the Still Hot Protein Product Marketplace - Presented by: Lynn Dornblaser, Director, Innovation & Insight May 22-23, 2018
What US consumers say about protein

                           Say meat is essential to a balanced diet. Men are
                     67%   more likely than women to agree.

                     70%   Say plant-based protein is healthy

                           Say plant-based foods are more expensive than other
                     57%   foods

                           Say plant based foods are better for the environment
                     53%   than animal based options

                     51%   Say a meal is not complete without meat

4   Source: Mintel
Trends & Takeaways in the Still Hot Protein Product Marketplace - Presented by: Lynn Dornblaser, Director, Innovation & Insight May 22-23, 2018
Looking closer: What consumers say about plant-based protein

                             Reasons for plant-based food consumption, US

                               Taste                             52%

                      Health concerns                      39%

    Avoiding processed foods                               39%

          Weight management                          31%

                         Save money            16%

                       Muscle growth           16%

     Environmental concerns                   13%

                 Animal protection           11%

     Eating a vegetarian diet                10%

         Other, please specify          2%

               None of the above             10%

5    Source: Mintel
Trends & Takeaways in the Still Hot Protein Product Marketplace - Presented by: Lynn Dornblaser, Director, Innovation & Insight May 22-23, 2018
Consumer preferences differ by category, for many reasons

Looking at what consumers say they would buy, we see patterns differ from one
product subcategory to another. A look at the five most active subcategories regarding
protein claims:

                                                                                  Snack/cereal/energy bars:
                         Purchase intent, selected
                            subcategories, US                                     • High protein struggles regarding
                                                                                     flavor, price, and brand trust
                                            46%
             41%
                                                  43%                             Meal replacement drinks:
                                                                                  • Women and consumers 55+
                                                                       34% 34%
                                                           31%                       don’t want high protein
     29%                                                         28%
                                                                                  Yogurt:
                          19% 19%                                                 • Strength of Greek yogurt;
                                                                                     women 55+ prefer high protein
                                                                                  Meat snacks:
                                                                                  • High protein most favored by
                                                                                     men and 18-34s
      Snack/      Meal                      Yogurt           Meat      Prepared
      cereal/ replacement                                   snacks      meals
                                                                                  Prepared meals:
    energy bars  drinks                                                           • High protein meals chosen as
                                    High protein        All other                    an addition to their repertoire;
                                                                                     most chosen by 35-54 year olds

6    Source: Mintel Purchase Intelligence
Trends & Takeaways in the Still Hot Protein Product Marketplace - Presented by: Lynn Dornblaser, Director, Innovation & Insight May 22-23, 2018
What we see: Product activity,
key product examples
Overall introductions of products
making a protein claim continue to
grow, but North America has the
greatest percentage of all intros

Not all categories or subcategories
are created equal: Snacks drive
introductions

While some plant-based categories
show drops, plant based yogurt
expands

Mainstream restaurants expand their
plant-based offerings

7
Trends & Takeaways in the Still Hot Protein Product Marketplace - Presented by: Lynn Dornblaser, Director, Innovation & Insight May 22-23, 2018
Products making a protein claim continues to grow

                           New food and beverage product introductions, global,
                                  making a protein claim, 2013-May 2018
    7,000

    6,000

    5,000

    4,000

    3,000

    2,000

    1,000

         0
                      2013           2014       2015       2016       2017        2018

8    Source: Mintel GNPD
Trends & Takeaways in the Still Hot Protein Product Marketplace - Presented by: Lynn Dornblaser, Director, Innovation & Insight May 22-23, 2018
But the pattern is different depending on region

                  Food and beverage introductions with a protein claim, 2013-
                        May 2018, by region, as % of all introductions
    4.0%

    3.5%

    3.0%

    2.5%

    2.0%

    1.5%

    1.0%

    0.5%

    0.0%
                Middle East &   Latin America   North America   Europe   Asia Pacific
                   Africa

9    Source: Mintel GNPD
Trends & Takeaways in the Still Hot Protein Product Marketplace - Presented by: Lynn Dornblaser, Director, Innovation & Insight May 22-23, 2018
A closer look at the US market: Protein continues to grow

                 US new product introductions with a protein claim, 2013-May
                              2018, as % of all introductions
 6%

 5%

 4%

 3%

 2%

 1%

 0%
                  2013       2014       2015        2016       2017        2018

10   Source: Mintel GNPD
The most active categories are the ones you would expect

                 US product introductions with a protein claim, by most active
                          categories and all other, 2013-May 2018
 100%
  90%
  80%
  70%
  60%
  50%
  40%
  30%
  20%
  10%
   0%
                      2013     2014         2015         2016         2017   2018
               Snacks                                Other
               Dairy                                 Other Beverages
               Processed Fish, Meat & Egg Products   Meals & Meal Centers

11   Source: Mintel GNPD
Just over half of all products come from only five subcategories

                    US product introductions with a protein claim, most active
                                 subcategories, 2013-May 2018
 60%

 50%

 40%

 30%

 20%

 10%

     0%
                    2013         2014          2015       2016         2017         2018
                    Snack/Cereal/Energy Bars          Meal Replacements & Other Drinks
                    Spoonable Yogurt                  Meat Snacks
                    Prepared Meals

12   Source: Mintel GNPD
Most active categories: A few examples

     Kind Protein From Real Food    Chobani Hint of Madagascar      Ancient Nutrition Pure Bone
      Double Dark Chocolate Nut     Vanilla & Cinnamon Low-Fat        Broth Protein Powder
                  Bar                 Blended Greek Yogurt

                      Sweet Earth Enlightened      Oberto All Natural Pepperoni
                      Foods Korean Japchae                     Jerky

13
Innovation from other subcategories

     Vegetables: Focus on     Side dishes: Growth of        Drinking yogurts:
      inherent goodness              Amaranth             Paired with probiotics

     Seapoint Farms Organic   Bob's Red Mill Grains-Of-   Lifeway Probiotic Plain
     Edamame Soybeans in      Discovery Organic Whole       Unsweetened Kefir
              Pods                Grain Amaranth           Cultured Lowfat Milk
                                                                 Smoothie

14
Innovation from other subcategories

     Baking mixes: Adding      Meal kits: All about the      Meat substitutes:
     health to indulgence           plant protein          Growing in popularity

      Kodiak Cakes Power        Pero Family Farms         Beyond Meat Beast Burger
     Cakes Protein Packed      Southwest Plant-Based               2.0
     Buttermilk Flapjack and     Protein Salad Kit
           Waffle Mix

15
A closer look: Three subcategories all about plant protein

                 US new product introductions, selected subcategories, 2013-
                                         May 2018
 120

 100

     80

     60

     40

     20

      0
                   2013       2014          2015         2016          2017     2018
                           Plant Based Drinks (Dairy Alternatives)
                           Meat Substitutes
                           Plant Based Spoonable Yogurts (Dairy Alternatives)

16   Source: Mintel GNPD
Innovation in plant-based products

     Plant based drinks:       Meat substitutes:        Plant based yogurt:
     Growth from private      Growth from private          Unique base
            label                    label                  ingredients

     Walmart’s Great Value   True Goodness by Meijer   Ripple Blueberry Greek
     Original Unsweetened          Beet Burger            Yogurt Alternative
           Almondmilk

17
What we’ve seen on restaurant menus

                 Pecan +18%                          Quinoa +25%                     Black bean burger +32%
                Menu incidence                       Menu incidence                         Menu incidence
               Q2 2015-Q2 2017                      Q2 2015-Q2 2017                        Q2 2015-Q2 2017

             Panera Bread                             Chick-fil-A                            TGI Friday’s
         Roasted Beet, Quinoa &               Harvest Kale & Grain Bowl                 Black Bean & Avocado
              Citrus Salad                      Red quinoa, white quinoa, farro,               Burger
     Arugula, romaine, kale, and radicchio   roasted butternut squash, and diced        With spicy mayo made with
      blend and pickled red onions tossed      apples on a bed of chopped kale        Tabasco chipotle pepper sauce,
     in apple cider vinaigrette and topped    topped with a goat and feta cheese     Monterey Jack, white cheddar, and
        with quinoa, Gorgonzola, roasted     blend and tart dried cherries. Served             cola onions.
         beets, mandarin oranges, and           with a blend of roasted nuts and          Image via TGI Friday’s
              toasted pecan pieces.                 light balsamic vinaigrette.
            Image via Panera Bread                     Image via Chick-fil-A
18    Source: Mintel Menu Insights
Inspiration from outside the
US market
While many product types and forms
that make a protein claim are similar
to what we see in the US, there are
some standouts that are different.

Each of the products that follow can
help inspire your US product
development.

And all but the last one are here for
you to taste!

19
Unexpected categories for protein claims

             Chocolate                                         Shelf stable dessert
                                       Potato snacks
           confectionery                                              mixes

       Snickers Protein Milk      Easis Sour Cream & Onion   LighterLife Fast Raspberry
     Chocolate High Protein Bar        Chips, Denmark               Mousse, UK
      with Caramel Filling and
       Peanuts, Switzerland

20
Unexpected formats (for the US) for high protein products

      Snack in a “ball” format—eat       Common in the UK market,
        one or all in the package            unknown here

     Bounce Apple & Cinnamon Protein   Bovril High Protein Beef Paste, UK
      Punch Energy Ball, Netherlands

21
Unexpected (for the US) base ingredients

           Soy based drink, a major         Oat-based drink, a common
               European seller              format in Northern Europe

     Danone/Wave’s Alpro Unsweetened Soy    Orkla’s Get Started by Nutrilett
                Drink, Europe              Raspberry & Oat Shake, Finland

22
What’s ahead

Look for continued growth in the
protein claim

Also expect more plant-based
offerings, especially those that use
new types of base ingredients

Where protein may be coming from in
the future:
• Drinks made from egg protein
• Protein from insects (ICK!)
• Meat from the lab

23
Peck - a new high-protein drink for busy consumers

 A new egg-based, dairy-free drink, containing 20g of protein from 5 egg whites per bottle, with no artificial
   colours, flavours, sweeteners and preservatives, made using eggs that don’t make it to store shelves
                                  because of size or shell discolorations.

                                                                                                                 © 2018 Mintel Group Ltd. All Rights Reserved. Confidential to Mintel.
Source: Peck

24
24   Read on mintel.com
Lab-grown meat has come a long way, but has a long way to go

                                            2016   2017                              2021
                            Memphis Meat (US)                Memphis Meat (US)         Memphis
                                  $18,000 per lb             $9,000 per lb             Meat)
                             Lab-grown meatball              Meatless duck             Goal:
                                                             and chicken tenders       Commercially
                                                                                       available
                                                             Mosa Meat (NL)
                                                             Working on fat tissue
                                                             development
                                                                                       Integriculture
                                                             Integriculture (JP)       Goal: Lab-
                                                             Cultured chicken          grown
                                                             pancreas, liver,          foie gras
                                                             muscle and                commercially
                                                             intestine cells           available

             Maastricht University (NL)                     Hampton
             €250,000 ($330,000) for 5oz burger             Creek (US)
             from cow shoulder stem cells                   Goal: Lab-
                                                            grown meat
                                                            to market

     2013                                                 2018

25   Image source: Memphis Meat
Insect protein: Ick factor high in US, but there’s a good message

Consumers in Canada are simply not interested in insect protein to date; we can
assume the data would be similar to the US market. However, companies are finding a
way to make the idea more palatable.

                                                                       A way in with insect protein would be to use
                 Canada: 'what foods/ingredients do
                                                                       them in a way less visible to consumers. In
                you use or are you interested in using
                                                                       China, Real Nutriceutical Shun launched a
                 instead of meat protein?', Nov 2017
                                                                       range of nutritional drinks that contains
               100%      12%                                           silkworm protein, but this is not overtly
                         12%    30%      33%
               75%                             49%   50%               promoted on-pack to the consumer.
     % agree

                                                           66%
                                23%      24%                     85%
               50%
                         76%                   20%
                                                     31%
               25%              47%      42%               26%
                                               31%
                                                     19%         12%
                0%                                         8%     4%
                                                                                         Real Nutriceutical
                                                                                         Shun amino acid
                                                                                           drink contains
                                                                                         silkworm powder

                         Don't use and not interested
                         Don't use but am interested in using
                         Currently use

26      Source: Mintel
What’s ahead

Look for continued growth in the
protein claim

Also expect more plant-based
offerings, especially those that use
new types of base ingredients

Where protein may be coming from in
the future:
• Drinks made from egg protein
• Protein from insects (ICK!)
• Meat from the lab

27
Thank you

Lynn Dornblaser
Director, Innovation & Insight
312 450 6117
lynnd@mintel.com
@LynnMintel

                                                                   © 2018 Mintel Group Ltd. All Rights Reserved. Confidential to Mintel.
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