Une base de données d'exemples d'adaptation aux changements climatiques dans le secteur de l'énergie - energyadapta*on.ouranos.ca
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Une base de données d’exemples d’adaptation aux changements climatiques dans le secteur de l’énergie energyadapta*on.ouranos.ca Marco Braun Élyse Fournier David Huard 7e Symposium Ouranos, Montréal 15-17 Novembre 2017
Version Rapide (tldr)
energyadaptation.ouranos.ca
Études de cas d’adaptation dans le secteur de l’énergie – Le début … Objec*f: Iden*fier les meilleurs pra*ques d’adapta*on dans le secteur de l’énergie à travers le monde et documenter les plus per*nents pour le secteur d’énergie au Canada References: Britton, 2010; Gomez San, 2013; Icatus, 2007; Irvine, 2008; Poulos, 2007; Rickz, 2006; U.S. Army Corps of Engineers, 2013
Qu’est-ce qui existe?
Qu’est-ce qui existe? Ce qui est d’intérêt?
Qu’est-ce qui existe? Ce qui est d’intérêt? Comment c’était fait? Par qui? Qu’est-ce qu’on peut en apprendre?
Climate Change
Assessment for
Hydropower Project
Licencing
ouranos.ca/en/programs/energy-adaptation-case-studies/
ouranos.ca/programmes/etudes-de-cas-adaptation-energie/
Qu’est-ce qui existe?
Ce qui est d’intérêt?
Comment c’était fait? Par qui?
Qu’est-ce qu’on peut en apprendre?
Format: Short and Sweet
CONTEXT Edison’s service territory (including Westchester) -
S
uperstorm Sandy struck NYC during high lost power, and Con Edison’s total repair and ring, law and risk management, the NPCC’s
restoration costs exceeded $300 million.3 Preemptive Shutdown outputs laid the foundation for the City’s cli-
SUMMARY 14-foot storm surge was the highest recorded to Superstorm Sandy did not stop at the electri-
city system. It also had far-reaching impacts
Transmission System Overload mate resilience process to date. The NPCC
produced two important sets of information
across 51 square miles were inundated.2 With on petroleum-supply networks in the northeas- for climate change adaptation in NYC, namely:
sustained wind speeds exceeding 60 miles per tern states. For instance, it caused reductions of high-resolution projectionsi, and adapta-
- tion-assessment guidelines and protocols.5
In 2012, New York City (NYC) suffered serious storm took down a large portion of the NYC’s ove- neries over a week’s time. The storm also shut
flood damage due to Superstorm Sandy. down several petroleum terminals and pipelines. 4
-
“Some of the strategies The storm spurred NYC to adopt a strate- In comparison, the natural-gas system coped tructive tropical cyclone hit, NY City Council
gic approach to climate change resilience. relatively well, with only 84,000 customers cut off
we have adopted post- In 2013, NYC convened an expert panel to CS5.2). Close to one million customers in Con 2
Hurricane Sandy are update its city-level climate change projec- a year to review recent scientific data on cli-
CONEDISON’S mate change and its potential implications
examples of perma- municipal-resilience plan calling for 250 ini- Source: Con Edison, LIPA
for the City. It also stipulates that new climate
• Release of the NPCC climate • NPCC2 releases
nent adaptation to a
change projections updated projections Figure CS5.2 Impacts of Superstorm Sandy on NYC’s
• Launch of the power network2
• Hurricane Irene hits the • Creation of the
NYC Climate
Eastern seaboard Special Initiative
fundamentally different NYC’s actions have helped to promote and
Change
Adaptation
for Rebuilding and • Creation of the
Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change.
Resiliency
Task Force
future... For other parts shape the climate resilience decisions of
• Creation of • Law 42 makes NPCC a • Release of NYC’s
of Recovery and
Resiliency MUNICIPAL CLIMATE Superstorm Sandy prompted the City to
ConEdison, a gas, electricity and steam provi- the NYC Panel permanent body US$19.5 billion plan
A Stronger, More CHANGE ADAPTATION convene a second NYC Panel on Climate
of our system, such as der. It is a perfect example of how cities can
on Climate
Change • Superstorm Sandy hits NYC Resilient New York
RESPONSE Change (NPCC2) to present updated cli-
(NPCC) as
W
mate change projections for the 2020s and
overhead cables and an advisory
body
2014
2015
2016
coastline, NYC is considered highly
CS5.1). A week following Superstorm Sandy, 2012
2013
electrical equipment, we 2011 maps. Without explicitly linking Sandy with
• Regulator
climate change. In 2008, NYC Mayor Michael climate change, the NPCC2 demonstrated
have adopted a resilience regulator for a rate
• Regulator’s
order
approved
that unusually warm sea-surface tempera-
increase asking to report
- proceed with Adaptation Task Force with a mandate of
approach to reduce tal investments for 2013-2016. Part of these
2008 • Sustainability • The Storm Hardening Collaborative
department and Resiliency phases 2 developing strategies for improving the resi- tropical storm. Further, the Panel noted that
tasked with Collaborative esta- and 3
service-restoration • Invitation to assessing blished to inform the lience of critical infrastructure to climate rises in local sea levels averaging 1.2 inches
infrastructure rate-increase process • ConEdison 3 report with
participate change impacts. The same year, and thanks per decade, most of it due to climate change,
risk using regulator
times when unavoidable climate change projections created a need to
in the NYC
Climate Change NPCC data report with
regulator
to funding from the Rockefeller Foundation, increased the extent of flooding during the
Adaptation Task phase 1 report with
regulator the NYC launched the New York City Panel on storm.6 This new information came out a few
impacts are felt.” Force
Climate Change (NPCC) to advise and provide months prior to the release of the Preliminary
NYC and other stakeholders led ConEdison to NYC’S
the Task Force with technical data and infor- Flood Insurance Rate Maps
1
approve new resilience actions.
Figure CS5.1 Timeline of NYC’s and ConEdison’s climate resilience journey mation. Comprised of experts in climate and Emergency Management Agency (FEMA),
02 Storm Hardening in a
Climate Change Context
CASE
STUDY 05 CASE
STUDY 05 Storm Hardening in a
Climate Change Context 03 04 Storm Hardening in a
Climate Change Context
CASE
STUDY 05
SIRR’s plan proposes more than 250 initiatives struck, these early-stage discussions ConEdison’s rate case with the NYSPSC trigge-
hazards deserve corporate attention. This promp-
ted the company to include an assessment of the AT A
dwellings in floodplains.
Director of SIRR, explained that the plan “will
moved from hypothetical to urgent reality. red reactions from influential organizations such
as the City of New York, the Natural Resources
on storm-surge forecasts from government
agencies. We use these models to inform our
impacts of higher temperatures and changing
humidity levels on power-load management in NYSPSC that was interested in using cost-
GLANCE
A few months following Superstorm Sandy, not only help New York City’s most-affected June 1st 2013, ahead of the next hurricane season. Defence Council and the Environmental Defense storm-readiness response, and determine
NYC also initiated the Special Initiative for two years in a row; Hurricane Irene turned out Fund, urging the company to expedite investment Study. “Even a one-degree Fahrenheit change in
KEYTAKEAWAYS
- and incorporate climate change into system plan- 1
analysis has highlighted a serious issue: how ORGANIZATION(S)
7
A new Reilly, Senior Engineer at ConEdison. In 2011, of necessary resilience investments with prelimi- ning. Rather than engage in a traditional litigation, What’s changed is the company’s commitment loads would have huge impacts on future sys- New York City (United-States), ConEdison (United-States)
Hurricane Irene resulted in close to 200,000 the NYSPSC assigned an administrative judge to for individual customers; for instance, the value
POWER SUB-SECTOR(S)
storm, while increasing the City’s overall resi- power outages, the largest service-interruption the case, and urged ConEdison to engage with ‘three feet plus’ flood-resilience standard. The Regulatory Manager at ConEdison.10
A storm-hardening process • Natural gas supply
lience. In A Stronger, More Resilient New York, implementing the plan. evaluation of climate change risks: for ins- 1 •
can lead to a full-fledged
released in June 2013, the SIRR identified record: more than 300 000 of ConEdison’s electri- propose changes to its rates in support of US$1 Clearly, NYC’s actions on climate change adapta- tance, the cost of power outages for hospitals
climate resilience plan
increased storm-surge height due to sea- CONEDISON’S STORM city customers experienced service interruptions. storm-surge uncertainty and projected rises in or manufacturing is likely much higher than ADAPTATION TYPE(S)
level rises and stronger hurricanes as a major HARDENING AND - capital initiatives for the agreement on ConEdison’s plan, including design sea level.iii,6 The updated design standard added produce updated climate change projections and
• Informational – Monitoring equipment and technology
• Management – Design and operation standards,
risk to NYC’s electricity and steam systems RESILIENCY PLAN 2013-2016 period. standards that take climate change into account. - Climate change adaptation
2 guidelines, tools and maintenance schedules
A
- networks across Manhattan,
“We had two vided additional drivers for ConEdison’s resilience ConEdison has faced another interesting does not always require • Physical – Equipment protection, upgrades and
figure CS5.3). It also flags more heatwaves tricity, gas and steam, ConEdison is an Brooklyn and Staten Island
hurricanes with The goals of the compa- journey. It is a perfect example of how cities can challenge related to managing the cost of ‘net new’ investments; alternative materials
as a major risk to peak-demand manage- important part of NYC’s climate resilience shut down. Operations were ny’s Storm Hardening and - LESSONS LEARNED encourage and support their electrical utilities in storm-hardening projects. On some projects,
CLIMATE CHANGE IMPACT(S)
A
ment from the 2020s onwards. approach. In 2008, NYC’s Mayor invited also reduced at an additio- Resiliency Plan are two- lowing critical recommendations to improve - climate change adaptation. of operational-excellence
ConEdison to participate in the Climate Change
two years in a row; fold: make ConEdison’s ConEdison’s resilience plan: ments in ConEdison’s Storm Hardening and were much more costly than anticipated, citing
• Increased storm and tropical-cyclone intensity
measures that have already • Sea-level rise and coastal flooding
Transmission substations Major area substations by
Adaptation Task Force alongside city and state to the storm. ConEdison’s Hurricane Irene assets more resilient to 1. Adoption of the ‘three feet plus’ standard, - the added expense of resilience measures.10 This •
by load served 1,2 (24 assets)
11,500 MW
load served 1 (50 assets)
11,500 MW
agencies, as well as other critical-infrastruc- turned out to be a climate-driven failures; and the organization as necessary. “What Hurricane has forced ConEdison to re-tender a few projects.
ADAPTATION COSTS
to supply one-third of its very good drill reduce the time needed to Sandy did was to create a need to take action
• The cost of strengthening the resilience of New York
the NPCC’s 2011 climate change projections, customers when the storm for Sandy” restore customer service Author : Jean-Christophe Amado, Deloitte | Collaborators : Élyse Fournier, Ouranos, Marco Braun, Ouranos, Richard B. Miller, ConEdison
3 City to more severe storms is very high.
37% 37% 37%
ConEdison’s executive leadership asked its inundated four of six plants after a disaster. The plan the minimum standard for new Con Edison Miller, Director of the Energy Markets Policy Copy Editing : Peter McKinnon | Translation to French : Lise Malo, La Plume Déliée | Layout Design : André Hughes, Pro-Actif be a useful tool to prioritize • The total value of ConEdison’s climate resilience
Suggested citation : Ouranos 2016. Storm Hardening in a Climate Change Context. Case Study presented to Climate Change Impacts
and many tunnels. It took includes a wide range of capital projects in NYCii Group at ConEdison.1 This demonstrates that adaptation, but it raises issues investment plans for 2013-2016 is very high.
• The cost of enhanced flood-risk standards for
82% 81% 78% the data meant for infrastructure risk levels. two weeks to fully restore measures, such as equip- 2. Alignment with the storm-surge inundation climate change adaptation does not always jus- i about the value of impacts
26% As part of this high-level risk assessment, the service.2 ment relocation, flood tify ‘net new’ actions. It can grow out of efforts to ii
This is also known as ‘FEMA’s plus three’ standard.
iii
company estimated the costs of climate-in- strengthen operational excellence.
populations ADAPTATION BENEFIT(S)
63% 63% duced hazards and concluded that it could “As storms and coastal flooding was a well- equipment, isolation switches on network fee- 3. Commissioning of a Climate Change • Increased resilience to climate-driven failures
1
Vulnerability Study to synthesize current • Reduced service-restoration times during
37%
1% 4% 2
6% climate-related disasters
18% 18% knowledge on climate change impacts morphing into a full-fledged post-2016 climate 3
12%
climate change hazards to electric power infrastructure: A Sandy case study. Power and Energy Magazine. CONTACT DETAILS
Two weeks prior to Superstorm Sandy, Sandy had to target improving our resilience to change resilience plan that will also provide 4
2013 2020s 2050s 2013 2020s 2050s
Richard B. Miller
several ConEdison executives met with 8
100-Year 500-Year Outside of 5
MILLERRICH@coned.com
Floodplain Floodplain Floodplain NYC officials to discuss commissioning days when outages may occur for other reasons.
6
pilot studies to model service interruptions the company leapt into action. “The week after and flooding preparedness is nothing new With increased knowledge of climate change FULL REPORT
Figure CS5.3 Increased coastal flood risk for New 7
and the resulting economic impacts due - infrastructure, and replaced or installed more than to ConEdison; we have in-house models 8
https://ouranos.ca/en/programs/
energy-adaptation-case-studies/
2
to severe climate hazards. When Sandy tations looking into how to prevent that kind 3,000 isolation switches on its overhead network.
10
CASE
STUDY 05 Storm Hardening in a
Climate Change Context 05 06 Storm Hardening in a
Climate Change Context
CASE
STUDY 05 CASE
STUDY 05 Storm Hardening in a
Climate Change Context 07 08 Storm Hardening in a
Climate Change Context
CASE
STUDY 05
Photo and Sculpture: Marco Braun
VALORISATION
DE
LA
BD
D’ÉTUDES
DE
CAS
Suite
du
projet
«
Études
de
cas
»
:
Prototype
d’une
base
de
données
interac?ve
des?née
à
meCre
en
commun
et
à
diffuser
des
renseignements
sur
les
ini?a?ves
d’adapta?on
aux
changements
clima?ques
dans
le
secteur
énergé?que.
BD D’ADAPTATION EN ENERGIE : POURQUOI?
• Le projet “Études de cas d’adaptation dans le secteur
d’énergie” était un grand success au niveau
d’identification des exemples d’adaptation
• “Études de cas” a documenté 11 “meilleurs pratiques”
• La BD restante de ~200 serais perdu alors qu’elle
contient
– encore des belles exemples
– des enjeux plus specifiques
– des exemples dans des conditions particulières (environment,
politique, etc …)
– …
• Pourrais devenir une référence comprehensifBD D’ADAPTATION EN ENERGIE :COMMENT?
Adapta?on
Case
Studies
Interac?ve
Database
filter
by
Country
filter
by
Industry
Sector
filter
by
Type
of
Energy
filter
by
Adapta*on
Prototype
filter
by
Step
in
Adapta*on
Process
filter
by
Type
of
Adapta*on
+
-‐
Adapta?on
Case
Studies
Interac?ve
Database
filter
by
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filter
by
Industry
Sector
filter
by
Type
of
Energy
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by
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Prototype
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Step
in
Adapta*on
Process
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by
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of
Adapta*on
Thermal
Line
Ra*ngs,
WPD,
U.K.
Adapta?on
Case
Studies
Interac?ve
Database
filter
by
Country
filter
by
Industry
Sector
filter
by
Type
of
Energy
filter
by
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Prototype
filter
by
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in
Adapta*on
Process
filter
by
Type
of
Adapta*on
Thermal
Line
Ra*ngs,
WPD,
U.K.
• Onglet
2:
Afficher
et
télécharger
les
résultats
filtrés
en
format
du
tableau
• Onglet
3:
Formulaire
pour
soumeWre
une
nouvelle
étude
de
cas
dans
la
base
de
données
BASE DE DONNÉES D’ADAPTATION EN ÉNERGIE: Ca n’existe pas déjà…?
BD D’ADAPTATION EN ENERGIE SUR
BD D’ADAPTATION EN ENERGIE SUR • weADAPT est supporté par le Stockholm Environment Institute – SEI) et ressemble à l’idée. Ne contenais pas d’études de cas du secteur d’énergie. • Profiter de l’engin fiable de weADAPT.org • BD est hérberger à long terme weADAPT.org • Control absolu du « Energy Adaptation Map » – Notre propre domaine energyadapta*on.ouranos.ca – Peut être intégré dans autres sites (comme youtube) • BD est complètement intégré dans weADAPT • Control du contenu: Revision de soumissions par weADAPT & Ouranos
BD D’ADAPTATION EN ENERGIE: Comment? • Basé sur une version raffinée d’un système de classification de l’adaptation aux changements climatiques dans le secteur d’énergie • Un interface entièrement fonctionnel mais un prototype au niveau du contenu: présentement 33 étude de cas redigé • En ligne depuis mi septembre energyadaptation.ouranos.ca • Quelques bogues à résoudre au niveau technique et dans la BD • A été présenté à plusieurs évènements pendant les dernières mois (Congrès 2017 de la AIH, ICEM 2017, Arctic Circle 2017) et weADAPT présente la nouvelle forme de collaboration établi avec Ouranos (https://www.weadapt.org/microsites, https://www.weadapt.org/knowledge-base/guidance/weadapt-launches-new-partner-website-service)
UNE PLATFORME POUR PARTAGER
DES EXEMPLES D’APTATION
À
quoi
ça
ressemble:
energyadapta*on.ouranos.ca
PROCHAINES ÉTAPES … • Contacter les experts d’exemples d’adaptation pour les inviter à soumettre leur étude de cas dans la base de données • Contacter les organisations d’énergie majeurs pour la diffusion du site web (AIE, AIH, ICOLD, WEC, WEMC, …). • Continuer à completer la base de données.
BASE DE DONNÉES D’ÉXEMPLES D’ADAPTATION DANS LE SECTEUR D’ÉNERGIE: QUI?
Photo: Marco Braun MERCI! Braun.Marco@ouranos.ca
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