Universal social protection: a target for all - IPC IG

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Universal social protection: a target for all - IPC IG
A publication of
                            The International Policy Centre for Inclusive Growth

                                Volume 17, Issue No. 2 • December 2019

Universal social protection:
             a target for all
Universal social protection: a target for all - IPC IG
Policy in Focus is a regular publication of the
International Policy Centre for Inclusive Growth (IPC-IG).
Universal social protection: a target for all - IPC IG
Universal social protection: a target for all - IPC IG
The International Policy Centre for Inclusive Growth (IPC-IG) is a                Some of the photographs used in this publication are licensed under
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based policy recommendations to foster the reduction of poverty and
                                                                                  Specialist Guest Editors: Mariana Balboni and Aline Peres
inequality as well as promote inclusive growth. The IPC-IG is linked to the
United Nations Development Programme (UNDP) in Brazil, the Ministry               In-house Editor: Manoel Salles
of Economy (ME) and the Institute for Applied Economic Research (Ipea)
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Universal social protection: a target for all - IPC IG
Summary

 7          Challenges and opportunities for the expansion of social protection
10         Universal social protection in the context of the Sustainable Development Goals
13         Universal social protection: key concepts and international framework
17         Limitations of the indicators for Sustainable Development Goal targets relating to
        social protection provision, in the context of universal social protection and USP2030

21         Indonesia policies towards universal social protection by 2030
24         Universal social protection in Kenya— achievements, challenges and opportunities
26         Creating fiscal space for social protection through reprogramming: the Brazilian case
30         Extending social security to workers in the informal sector: a view from the ground
34         Expanding social protection in rural areas, focusing on fisheries and forestry
38         Digital social protection in Ethiopia
Universal social protection: a target for all - IPC IG
Editorial

    Social protection has gained relevance and                         designed a webinar series to promote knowledge-
    garnered increasing interest over recent decades.                  sharing and stimulate relevant discussions—the USP2030
    Developing countries are progressively adopting more               webinar series. In 2019, four webinars have been
    programmes and policies to protect their poor and                  delivered discussing the following issues:
    vulnerable populations, while international organisations          Universal social protection in the context of the
    and donors work to enhance the capacity of States                  SDGs—where are we now?; Universal social protection:
    to develop efficient and sustainable systems.                      achievements, challenges and opportunities; Social
    Social protection schemes also play a key role in stabilising      protection and social security; and Digital social
    economies, protecting livings standards and providing              protection—innovation for effectiveness. The series will
    social security for all.                                           continue in 2020 with updated discussions on the current
                                                                       state of social protection programmes and policies.
    However, challenges remain despite recent advances,
    particularly regarding the creation of inclusive, cost-effective   This special edition of Policy in Focus has been developed
    and sustainable social protection systems and their linkages       by the International Policy Centre for Inclusive Growth
    with inclusive growth. In this context, the achievement            (IPC-IG) in partnership with the socialprotection.org
    of universal social protection is closely aligned with the         platform, presenting articles based on the discussions
    2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development, in particular             addressed in the first webinars of the series.
    Sustainable Development Goal (SDG) 1’s (“End poverty in
                                                                       We hope that the following set of articles helps to inform
    all its forms everywhere”) target 1.3: “Implement nationally
                                                                       readers on the most up-to-date discussions related to
    appropriate social protection systems and measures for all,
                                                                       universal social protection and foster new debates.
    including floors, and by 2030 achieve substantial coverage
    of the poor and the vulnerable.”
    As the topic of universal social protection is gaining
    momentum worldwide, socialprotection.org has                       Mariana Balboni and Aline Peres

6
Universal social protection: a target for all - IPC IG
Challenges and opportunities for
the expansion of social protection
Mariana Balboni and Aline Peres 1               The following piece, by Maya Stern Plaza,                       programmes’ and ‘universal basic income’.
                                                Mira Bierbaum and Christina Behrendt,                           Joining the USP2030 call to action, they
This special issue of Policy in Focus opens     with inputs from Valérie Schmitt and                            emphasise that countries should follow
with an article by Anush Bezhanyan and Luz      Veronika Wodsak, presents key aspects of                        five key actions to achieve universal
Rodriguez on universal social protection in     universal social protection, highlighting                       social protection: protection throughout
the context of the Sustainable Development      how it is anchored in the current                               the life cycle; universal coverage;
Goals (SDGs), exploring the expansion of        international legal and policy framework.                       national ownership; sustainable and
social protection and related challenges        The authors emphasise that universal                            equitable financing; and participation
over the last decades.                          social protection not only plays a key role                     and social dialogue.
                                                in the achievement of SDG 1 but also
Many countries in different parts of the        contributes to achieving goals related to                       In the next article, Anna McCord delves
world have made significant progress            health, gender equality, decent work and                        into the limitations of the two indicators
in the expansion of social protection.          economic growth, reduced inequalities                           adopted for the provision of social
However, 55 per cent of the global              and peace, justice and strong institutions.                     protection in the SDGs. Exploring the
population still has no access to any type                                                                      findings of a study conducted by the
of social protection system or programme.       Considering international human rights                          Overseas Development Institute in 2017,
Therefore, urgent efforts are needed to         as the basis for the concept of universal                       she gives an overview of the progress
ensure that the human right to social           social protection, universal access to social                   achieved regarding coverage and
protection becomes a reality for all people,    protection should not be hindered by any                        financing, in line with these indicators.
and to achieve the goals set by the 2030        type of discrimination. The article presents
Sustainable Development Agenda.                 key indicators that can help assess progress                    Data-related challenges are considered
                                                towards universal social protection,                            one of the major constraints to securing
The recognition of social protection as a       such as universal coverage in terms                             a comprehensive and comparable
means to reduce poverty and inequality          of persons protected, comprehensive                             overview of social protection provision
has been increasingly accompanied by the        protection in terms of risks covered,                           worldwide. The author argues that
notion that it can also help to accomplish      and adequacy of protection.                                     ‘coverage’, for example—which is
complementary goals. Social protection                                                                          an outcome indicator used by many
systems and programmes are crucial              Adding to the discussion on conceptual                          donors—is problematic as a measure of
elements for the achievement of human           clarity, the authors focus on delimiting                        universality, since there is no consistency
development, economic growth and                the term from other concepts and                                across countries or development
productive inclusion.                           ideas that are currently present in                             agencies regarding which instruments
                                                policy discussions, such as ‘one-size-                          constitute social protection, resulting
The term ‘universal social protection’ is       fits-all model’, ‘universal schemes or                          in inaccurate data on overall coverage.
widely used among the international
community, but conceptual clarity is still
needed to avoid confusion. Moreover,
social protection systems must strive
for effectiveness, and countries need to
understand the relevance of delivery
systems to overcome major challenges.

The article also underlines the importance
of close collaboration with key partners
and stakeholders at the global and national
levels to ensure universal access to social
protection for all. It highlights the USP2030
global partnership for universal social
protection, initiated by the World Bank
and the International Labour Organization,
which aims to support countries to design
and implement universal and sustainable
social protection systems to achieve goal
1.3 of SDG 1 by 2030.                           Photo: Divulgação/Codevasf. Family of rural producers with their harvest, Juazeiro, Brazil, 2008. 

                                                                                           The International Policy Centre for Inclusive Growth | Policy in Focus            7
Universal social protection: a target for all - IPC IG
“Many countries
               in different parts
      of the world have made
           significant progress
              in the expansion
           of social protection.

                                                    Photo: EC/ECHO Arjun Claire. Sri Lankan refugees receiving their cash transfer, Tamil Nadu, India, 2012
                                                    .

    Moreover, McCord is concerned that too          produced based on presentations from                       of natural disasters and adequate funding
    much focus on headcount coverage can            this second webinar and illustrate progress                for the expansion of social protection are
    leave important measures behind, such as        towards universal social protection in three               ongoing challenges faced by the country,
    quality of social protection and adequacy       countries: Indonesia, Kenya and Brazil.                    which must be addressed to achieve
    of provision. To overcome this problem,                                                                    universal social protection by 2030.
    she presents key factors to consider,           Maliki, Hariyadi and Ramadhan Nizar
    such as: frequency, regularity and nature       Istighfarli provide an analysis of Indonesia’s             In the following article, Cecilia Mbaka
    of payment; duration and reliability of         policies towards universal social protection               states that effective investment in social
    support; targeting method; and the ability      by 2030, stressing that increased social                   protection interventions is one of the
    of the provision to address needs across        protection coverage has become a key                       biggest challenges currently facing
    the life cycle, among others.                   instrument in the reduction of poverty and                 Kenya, in addition to the lack of
                                                    inequalities in the country over recent years.             comprehensive legislation on social
    The article also addresses the current                                                                     protection, diminishing real values of
    performance against SDG indicators              According to the authors, the Government                   cash transfers, and fragmentation and
    on universal social protection coverage         of Indonesia today prioritises the most                    limited coordination of programmes.
    and financing, comparing effective              vulnerable and poor people in several                      Despite these problems, there has been
    coverage and public social protection           targeted programmes. However, around                       progress in recent years.
    expenditure across countries and regions.       40 per cent of the population—whom the
    Notwithstanding data limitations, progress      author refers to as the “unseen middle-                    She argues that considerable advances
    towards adequate, nationally financed           class”—are not covered by any insurance                    have been made in strengthening
    universal social protection remains slow,       and/or social assistance. This is due to                   processes and systems and in improving
    which requires countries to adopt more          limited schemes for the informal sector,                   programme and national management
    effective strategies to achieve the goals       financial constraints and lack of insurance                information systems. She ranks the
    of ending poverty and reaching universal        literacy, among other issues. They argue                   adoption of universal health care coverage,
    social protection by 2030.                      that providing social protection to the                    the launch and roll-out of universal
                                                    “missing middle” is a pressing issue,                      coverage for elderly people and increased
    These first articles were based on the          requiring affirmative policy development                   coverage of core social assistance schemes
    introductory webinar of the USP2030             and implementation.                                        among Kenya’s main achievements and
    series hosted by socialprotection.org:                                                                     investigates them further in her article.
    Universal social protection in the context      They also state that, as mentioned in
    of the SDGs—where are we now?,2 which           other articles in this special issue, social               Together with other authors in this special
    focused on challenges and opportunities         protection plays an important role not                     issue, Mbaka stresses the importance of
    related to universal social protection in the   only in poverty reduction but also in                      enhancing and expanding capacity and
    context of the SDGs. It set the stage for the   improving people’s livelihoods as a whole.                 coordination across all levels of social
    next webinar of the series, Universal social    In Indonesia, the expansion of social                      protection actors to efficiently improve the
    protection: achievements, challenges and        protection has led to improvements in                      design, implementation and evaluation
    opportunities,3 which explored country          immunisation rates and school attendance,                  of social protection programmes in Kenya
    cases to assess progress on universal social    access to basic infrastructure and job                     and ensure the long-term sustainability of
    protection. The following articles were         opportunities. Yet informality, the high risk              social protection systems.

8
Universal social protection: a target for all - IPC IG
Rafael Osorio, Sergei Soares and                      informal, high-risk and low-return jobs.            people’s livelihoods, social protection systems
Letícia Bartholo follow up with an                    Moreover, Alfers suggests that the main             should be designed in collaboration with
article discussing options to increase                barriers encountered by informal workers            fisheries and forestry programmes and
fiscal space for social protection by                 in accessing social security are related            policies to address their key vulnerabilities.
reprogramming inefficient social schemes              to low and irregular incomes, distrust of
and interventions—terminating some and                government rules and regulations and                Closing this special issue, the next piece
merging and redesigning others to make                inadequate understanding about social               draws on the fourth webinar of the series:
way for better programmes, as was the                 security and its importance.                        Digital social protection—innovation for
case with the Brazilian flagship targeted                                                                 effectiveness,5 addressing issues related
cash transfer programme, Bolsa Família.               An interesting point raised by the author is        to the impact of technological solutions
                                                      that in recent years, not only governments          on social protection systems, from
Based on that premise, they propose                   but also informal workers themselves have           design to implementation.
merging four Brazilian social protection              been developing innovative solutions to
programmes into a single, consolidated                expand social security coverage, which              Fekadu Kassa presents a country-level
scheme. As Bolsa Família is far better                creates an opportunity for shifting social          perspective focusing on the example of
targeted than the other programmes,                   security schemes beyond protection and              Ethiopia and the use of innovative technology
due to its eligibility criteria and the Single        prevention and towards a fundamental                for payment systems. The need for greater
Registry of beneficiaries, this would                 transformation of relations between the             coordination of the entire social protection
save a significant amount of resources.               State and society. Drawing on examples              sector has led to efforts to design and
They estimate that an additional BRL52.8              from different countries, such as India, Kenya      implement robust management information
billion from the consolidated budgets                 and Uruguay, Alfers concludes that there is         systems for social protection programmes.
of the other three programmes could be                still much to learn from informal workers;
distributed through a revamped Bolsa                  therefore, their inclusion in the design and        The article delves into implementation
Família more efficiently and effectively,             implementation of social security schemes is        details and proposes a model for
entailing a universal child benefit to extend         crucial to the expansion of social protection       the integration of social protection
social protection to the 17 million Brazilian         coverage in line with the 2030 Agenda for           management information systems in the
children living in households that do not             Sustainable Development.                            country. This would ensure the high-quality
receive any benefits.                                                                                     delivery of key operational processes
                                                      The next article, by Mariaeleonora D’Andrea,        such as registration, enrolment, payments
The following two pieces are based on the             Qiang Ma, Ana Ocampo and Omar                       and grievance redressal mechanisms.
third webinar of the series, Social protection        Benammour, explores the potential of social         It would also increase the quality and
and social security.4 Levels of social                protection for inclusive rural development,         quantity of data, leading to easier access to
security protection are uneven worldwide,             focusing on fisheries and forestry, which is        information and more informed decision-
although overall coverage trends continue             one of the most vulnerable communities              making, improving programme targeting
to increase. To enhance social security               in the agricultural sector. The authors             and timely delivery of benefits.
coverage in line with the 2030 Agenda for             describe specific needs, characteristics
Sustainable Development, countries have               and vulnerabilities of forest-dependent             This compilation of articles addressing some
been looking into developing innovative               people and small-scale fishers and fish-            of the main challenges and opportunities
policies and strategies to improve their              workers, which make a compelling case for           related to the expansion of social protection
social security systems.                              extending both the quantity and quality of          demonstrates the importance of knowledge-
                                                      coverage of social protection systems.              sharing and capacity-strengthening across
In the same vein as Maliki, in the following                                                              all levels of social protection actors. We hope
article Laura Alfers posits coverage of the           In recent years, these communities have             that it can help promote expert debates and
“missing middle”—especially informal                  seen an increase in the development and             provide a glimpse into promising avenues
workers—as crucial for the universalisation of        adoption of measures and provisions of              for what may work in different contexts.
social protection. She presents the informal          social security that encompass their specific       However, several steps still need to
economy from a global perspective and                 needs. The article showcases some successful        be taken to ensure the long-term
argues that the lack of protection, combined          experiences of extending social protection to       sustainability of social protection systems
with relatively lower and more unstable               address their vulnerabilities and promote the       and the achievement of universal social
incomes than those in the formal economy,             sustainable use of resources.                       protection for all.
have left informal workers with a higher risk
of falling into poverty, resulting in a significant   Although there are several examples
challenge for countries worldwide.                    of good practices—with important                    1. International Policy Centre for Inclusive
                                                      results related to better access to health          Growth (IPC-IG).
The article focuses on self-employed                  services, increased coverage rates of               2. See: .
workers and the need to approach this                 social insurance schemes, and women’s               3. See: .
issue from a gendered perspective, since              empowerment—challenges still remain.                4. See: .
women tend to be over-represented in                  To adequately cover the sector and improve          5. See: .

                                                                                       The International Policy Centre for Inclusive Growth | Policy in Focus   9
Universal social protection: a target for all - IPC IG
Universal social protection in the context
 of the Sustainable Development Goals
 Anush Bezhanyan and Luz Rodriguez 1             progress in expanding access to social           considerations. For instance, while child
                                                 protection benefits and services.                development services and old-age
 Evolution and challenges                        However, social protection is still not          pensions may be required only at certain
 of social protection                            a reality for the majority of the world’s        stages of the life cycle, disability insurance
 Although the history of social protection       population. According to the World Bank          or income support may (or may not) be
 can be traced back to the beginning of          ASPIRE 2 database, in 2018 only 44 per           needed throughout life. Many benefits
 the 17th century with the emergence             cent of the global population received           and services may not be needed by
 of the first forms of unemployment,             at least one form of social protection.3         people in a given period or even at all,
 old-age and disability benefits, the            When it comes to access to comprehensive         or people might choose to forgo receipt
 last three decades have witnessed an            social security, the picture is even worse:      of the goods or services to which they are
 expansion and diversification of the            only 29 per cent of the global population        entitled (Packard et al. 2019). This calls
 types of social protection benefits and         has access to it, while 71 per cent do not       for a portfolio of programmes tailored to
 services, especially in low- and                (ILO 2019). Hence, it is critical to intensify   specific needs and risks, instead of relying
 middle-income countries.                        efforts at country and global levels             on a single instrument, such as universal
                                                 to achieve the SDG target by 2030.               basic income, to achieve multiple
 Social protection, defined as a “system of      At the current pace of progress, SDG 1.3         objectives (Gentilini et al. 2019b).
 policies and programmes that provide             will be achieved in 2084, while fragile
 equitable access to all people and protect      States will need until 2259 to attain            A systems‐oriented approach that
 them throughout their lives against             it (Gentilini 2019).                             strengthens coordination and integration
 poverty and risks to their livelihoods and                                                       at the policy, programme and delivery
 well-being” (USP2030 2019), can take the        What does universal                              levels is a key factor for effective and
 form of benefits and services ranging           social protection really mean?                   integral social protection (World Bank
 from contributory schemes to cash or            For the World Bank, the concept of               2012). By ‘integral systems’ we mean those
 in-kind benefits, active labour market          universality in social protection rests          that offer an adequate combination of
 programmes to enhance skills and access         on two elements: ‘everyone’ is ‘covered’         benefits and services to cover the main
 to jobs, as well as social services for         (Gentilini et al. 2019a). While ‘everyone’       risks faced by the population, with an
 vulnerable populations.                         refers to protection for all members             emphasis on the most vulnerable.
                                                 of society (not only some), ‘universal
 Social protection is recognised not only        coverage’ does not necessarily mean              Effective social protection systems require
 for its potential to contribute to the          that every person will receive a pay-out         the following minimum attributes:
 reduction of poverty and the promotion          in a given period, or equally, from each
 of social inclusion, but also for its ability   individual part of the package. This stems       y   Inclusiveness: Everyone is protected
 to help achieve complementary goals.            from the fact that coverage of social                along the life cycle; this entails ensuring
 It is seen as a key element for human           insurance is based on risk, while non-               non-discrimination, gender equality,
 development (by promoting nutrition,            contributory assistance is pegged to the             availability of and accessibility to social
 education and health), productive               ‘receipt’ of transfers. In other words, one          protection programmes and benefits,
 inclusion (by enhancing human capital           is covered by social assistance when                 and programme designs that respond
 and productive assets) and economic             an actual transfer is received; instead,             to the special needs of people with
 growth (via better risk management              coverage in social insurance terms does              different characteristics, circumstances
 and reduction of inequalities).                 not entail an actual receipt of benefits—            and vulnerabilities. The goal is to
                                                 insurance will be available if, when and             eliminate coverage gaps, thus ensuring
 Social protection has evolved and figures       where needed by all citizens and even all            the inclusion of the poorest and most
 prominently in the United Nations               residents (Packard et al. 2019). This dual           vulnerable members of society.
 Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs).           concept of coverage makes universality in
 Target 1.3 sets the goal of “implement[ing]     social protection distinct, for instance, from   y   Adequacy: The system provides regular
 nationally appropriate social protection        universality in health care, which is entirely       and predictable benefits and quality
 systems and measures for all, including         risk-based (Gentilini 2018).                         services that are adequate to meet the
 floors, and by 2030 achiev[ing] substantial                                                          social protection needs of the population
 coverage of the poor and the vulnerable”.       Since people’s needs are in constant                 and achieve national objectives.
                                                 change, individuals’ and households’
 Over the past decade, countries                 trajectories on social protection vary over      y   Sustainability: Financial resources
 with support from the international             time depending on social, demographic                allocated are aligned with the
 community have made significant                 and even political and environmental                 actual and expected outcomes,

10
demographic patterns and                            fragmentation and promote synergies                    frameworks should articulate the
     economic development.                               across programmes. Such integration                    long-term financial requirements
                                                         requires a high degree of coordination                 needed to meet long-term funding
y    Coherence: There is internal and                    between institutions.                                  commitments (ISPA 2016).
     external consistency with social,
     economic and sectoral policies.                y    Dynamic inclusion challenge:                      Delivery systems constitute the
                                                         The principle that anyone who needs               operating environment for implementing
y    Responsiveness or dynamism:                         assistance can access it at any time              social protection systems and should
     To evolve and adapt to changing social,             is a core tenet of social protection.             be designed with a human-centred
     demographic, environmental and                      For delivery systems, this raises the             approach (see Figure 1). Since key
     political needs.                                    issue of whether delivery systems—                players interact along that delivery
                                                         particularly their intake and registration        chain, including people (applicants
On the other hand, while much attention                  phases—are static or dynamic.                     and beneficiaries) and institutions
is paid to the design of social protection               On-demand systems are more                        (central and local), delivery systems help
interventions, countries also need to                    amenable to dynamic inclusion                     facilitate those interactions by offering
move from discourse to practice and                      because people can apply or update                communications, information systems
understand the relevance of delivery                     their information at any time. Dynamic            and technology (Lindert et al. 2019).
systems that may help overcome major                     inclusion also favours portability of
challenges, including:                                   benefits, which is critical for highly            The World Bank’s social protection
                                                         mobile populations (Lindert et al. 2019).         strategy,4 defined around three main
y    Coordination challenge: By means of                                                                   objectives (Resilience, Equity and
     reducing fragmentation, ensuring               y    Financing: Effective social protection            Opportunity), is deeply linked to the goal
     that citizens do not have to navigate               demands not only legal provisions                 of universalisation and the strengthening
     each programme separately, look                     but also that countries ensure that               of a systems perspective for the design and
     for the same information and                        they have the financial capacity                  delivery of social protection.
     documentation over and over, wait                   to sustain expenditures, by raising
     in long lines at different offices etc.             sufficient resources (i.e. via taxes or           Since social protection is inherently
     This is inefficient for administrators              contributions) and by having budgets              multisectoral, it demands close
     because it can result in duplications               that are aligned with actual and                  collaboration with key partners and
     or gaps in coverage, overlapping                    expected programme outcomes,                      stakeholders at global and country levels.
     processes, wasted resources and                     demographic patterns and economic                 The World Bank has been working for
     an inability to keep track of which                 development. The sources of funds                 decades with development partners to
     clients have received which services                should be stable and reliable; if highly          coordinate resources and provide advice
     or how social protection money is                   dependent on external financial                   to reduce programme fragmentation,
     spent. Many countries are integrating               support, it is necessary to have a                and to help develop social protection and
     various aspects of policy and delivery              clear plan for substituting them for              labour programmes to scale, rather than
     systems into social protection to avoid             local sources. Legal and institutional            isolated pilots. Private-sector actors are

     FIGURE 1: Social protection systems delivery chain

                                                                                                                           MONITOR
                                   ASSESS                    ENROLL                PROVIDE                                AND MANAGE
                               Potenal demand

                1                 2           3          4        5       6            7            Recurring
                                                                                                      cycle                  8             9

                                                              Periodic re-assessment

           1. Outreach                            4. Eligibility and enrolment decisions             7. Benefits and/or services
           2. Intake and registraon              5. Determine benefits and service package          8. Beneficiaries, grievances and compliance
           3. Assess needs and condions          6. Noficaons and onboarding                      9. Exit decisions, noficaons and case outcomes

Source: Lindert et al. (2019, forthcoming).

                                                                                        The International Policy Centre for Inclusive Growth | Policy in Focus   11
“  Delivery systems
     constitute the operating
              environment for
                implementing
             social protection
      systems and should be
     designed with a human-
           centred approach.

                                                Photo: EC/ECHO/Anouk Delafortrie. Poor families receiving health and nutrition care as well as food assistance
                                                including cash transfers, Burkina Faso, 2013 .

 critical partners, to generate employment      Gentilini, U. 2018. “What lessons for social
 and growth, and as direct providers of         protection from universal health coverage?”               1. World Bank.
                                                World Bank, Let’s Talk Development                        2. The Atlas of Social Protection Indicators of
 social protection services. Civil society      blog. .                    Bank’s compilation of Social Protection and
                                                Accessed 28 October 2019.                                 Labour (SPL) indicators to analyse the scope
 knowing the challenges, shaping opinion
                                                Gentilini, U. 2019. “By when would universal              and performance of SPL programmes. ASPIRE
 and representing excluded groups
                                                social protection be achieved?” World Bank,               provides indicators for over 120 countries
 (World Bank 2012).
                                                Let’s Talk Development blog. . Accessed 28 October 2019.                      programme-level administrative data and
 International Labour Organization initiated
                                                                                                          national household survey data.
 a global partnership on universal social       Gentilini, U., M. Grosh, and M. Rutkowski.
                                                                                                          3. The region with the largest coverage of social
 protection (USP2030),5 with the objective      2019a. “Understanding coverage: what does
                                                universal social protection really mean?”                 protection programmes is Europe and Central Asia,
 to make progress on achieving SDG 1.3 6
                                                OECD, Development Matters blog. .                (51 per cent) and Middle East and North Africa
 USP2030 partnership.                                                                                     (43 per cent). South Asia and sub-Saharan Africa are
                                                Accessed 28 October 2019.
                                                                                                          the regions with the lowest coverage: 21 per cent
 In a world filled with risk and uncertainty,   Gentilini, U., M. Grosh, J. Rigolini, and R. Yemtsov
                                                                                                          and 24 per cent, respectively (World Bank 2018).
                                                (eds). 2019b. Exploring universal basic income: a
 social protection systems help                                                                           4. See: .
                                                guide to navigate concepts, evidence and practices.
 individuals and households, especially         Washington, DC: World Bank. In press.                     5. See: .
 those who are poor or vulnerable,
                                                ISPA. 2016. Core Diagnostic Instrument. Inter-            6. As of June 2019, the World Bank was
 to cope with shocks, enter the labour          Agency Social Protection Assessments.                     working on nearly 100 social protection
 market, accumulate human capital and
                                                Lindert, K. et al. 2019 (forthcoming). Sourcebook         projects in approximately 70 countries by
 protect the ageing population. The World
                                                of Social Protection and Labor Delivery Systems.          providing loans and grants. In addition, the
 Bank supports universal social protection      Washington, DC: World Bank.                               Bank has ongoing analytical work in more
 that is central to its twin goals of ending
                                                                                                          than 80 countries. The Bank not only supports
 poverty and boosting shared prosperity.        Packard, T., U. Gentilini, M. Grosh, P. O’Keefe,
                                                R. Palacios, D. Robalino, and I. Santos. 2019.            countries with technical expertise and
 If appropriately designed and delivered,       Protecting All: Risk-Sharing for a Diverse and            knowledge in the areas of social safety nets,
 social protection systems can powerfully       Diversifying World of Work. Washington, DC:               pensions, labour policies and job programmes,
 enhance human capital and productivity,        World Bank.
                                                                                                          but also offers advice and data analysis for
 reduce inequalities, build resilience          USP2030. 2019. “Universal Social Protection               programme design and implementation
 and end the intergenerational cycle of         2030.” Global Partnership for Universal                   ,monitoring and evaluation. It also contributes
 poverty. The invitation for countries          Social Protection to Achieve the Sustainable
                                                                                                          to global knowledge with products such as
                                                Development Goals by 2030 website.
 and partners is to act rapidly to achieve      .                                the State of Social Safety Nets (2018), the
 inclusive, integrated and relevant             Accessed 28 October 2019.                                 World Development Report: The Changing
 social protection systems by 2030 and                                                                    Nature of Work (2019) and Protecting All:
                                                World Bank. 2012. Resilience, Equity, and
 to ensure universal access to social           Opportunity—WBG SPL Strategy. Washington,                 Risk Sharing for a Diverse and Diversifying
 protection for all.                            DC: World Bank.                                           World of Work (2019).

12
Universal social protection: key concepts
and international framework¹
Maya Stern Plaza, Mira Bierbaum               (target 5.4), decent work and economic                  background, their language, or other
and Christina Behrendt, with inputs from      growth (target 8.5), reduced inequalities               characteristics that could be used
Valérie Schmitt and Veronika Wodsak ²         (target 10.4), and peace, justice and                   as a pretext for discrimination.
                                              strong institutions (target 16.6).3
In recent years, many countries have                                                                  The ILO’s social security standards
achieved a significant expansion of           Universal social protection is also one                 are an integral part of the internationally
social protection coverage, including         of the cornerstones of a human-centred                  agreed framework for the development of
child benefits, maternity benefits,           agenda for the future of work, as set                   social protection systems. In particular, ILO
old-age pensions, health protection           out by the Global Commission on the                     Social Protection Floors Recommendation,
and other benefits. There is also growing     Future of Work (2019) and recognised by                 2012 (No. 202) and the Social Security
interest among the international              governments, workers and employers in                   (Minimum Standards) Convention,1952
community in promoting universal              the International Labour Organization                   (No. 102) are the cornerstones for
social protection, showing that it            (ILO)’s 187 Member States (ILO 2019a).                  developing universal social protection
is not only relevant but also feasible.                                                               systems (ILO 2017a; 2019b).
A number of countries and development         A comprehensive framework
partners have joined the Global               for universal social protection                         First, national social protection systems
Partnership for Universal Social              The concept of universal social protection              should guarantee at least a basic level
Protection (USP2030), which aims to           is enshrined in the international human                 of social security for all, throughout the
accelerate progress in building universal     rights framework. It is reflected in                    life cycle, including effective access to
and sustainable social protection             several treaties, including the Universal               essential health care and income security—
systems, in line with the 2030 Agenda         Declaration of Human Rights (United                     this is the social protection floor.
for Sustainable Development, and in           Nations 1948): “Everyone, as a member                   Second, national social protection systems
particular target 1.3 of the Sustainable      of society, has the right to social security”           should be further strengthened by the
Development Goals (SDGs).                     (Art. 22), and the International Covenant               progressive achievement of higher levels of
                                              on Economic, Social, and Cultural Rights                protection to ensure adequate protection.
This article presents key aspects             (United Nations 1966), which recognises
of universal social protection and            “the right of everyone to social security,              Key aspects of universal social protection
highlights how it is anchored in the          including social insurance” (Art. 9).                   According to this international framework,
current international legal and policy        The principle of universality means                     universal social protection encompasses
framework. It summarises the progress         that every member of society possesses                  three key aspects:
so far and sets the concept apart             these rights, regardless of where
from other ideas and terms that are           they live, their gender, their race,                    y    universal coverage in terms
currently present in policy discussions.      their religion, cultural or ethnic                           of persons protected;
In addition, it presents key indicators
that can help assess progress towards
universal social protection.

Universal social protection and the
Sustainable Development Goals
Universal social protection has a
central role in the fulfilment of the 2030
Agenda for Sustainable Development.
SDG 1 (“End poverty in all its forms
everywhere”) sets, among others,
the target to “implement nationally-
appropriate social protection systems
and measures for all, including floors,
and by 2030 achieve substantial
coverage of the poor and vulnerable”
(target 1.3). In addition, universal social
protection contributes to achieving
other SDGs, in particular those related
to health (target 3.8), gender equality       Photo: UN Photo/David Ohana. Refugees in Myanmar, 2013 .

                                                                                   The International Policy Centre for Inclusive Growth | Policy in Focus   13
FIGURE 1: SDG Indicator 1.3.1: Effective social protection coverage,
               global and regional estimates by population group (as a percentage)

                                                                                       0%         20%              40%             60%        80%           100%

                          Popula�on covered by at least one social protec�on benefit                                         45.2
                                                                           Children                                 34.9
                                                            Mothers with newborns                                         41.1
             World

                                                      Person with severe disabili�es                         27.8
                                                                       Unemployed                       21.8
                                                                      Older persons                                                         67.9
                                     Vulnerable persons covered by social assistence                        24.7

                          Popula�on covered by at least one social protec�on benefit                   17.8
                                                                           Children                  15.9
                                                           Mothers with newborns                     15.8
             Africa

                                                      Person with severe disabili�es    not available
                                                                       Unemployed           5.6
                                                                     Older persons                             29.6
                                     Vulnerable persons covered by social assistence           9.5

                          Popula�on covered by at least one social protec�on benefit                                                        67.6
                                                                           Children                                                        66.2
                                                            Mothers with newborns                                                           68.6
             Americas

                                                      Person with severe disabili�es                                                          72.9
                                                                       Unemployed                    16.7
                                                                      Older persons                                                                    86.2
                                     Vulnerable persons covered by social assistence                                     38.7

                          Popula�on covered by at least one social protec�on benefit                                      38.9
                                                                           Children    not available
                                                            Mothers with newborns                                  33.4
           the Pacific
            Asia and

                                                      Person with severe disabili�es           9.4
                                                                       Unemployed                       22.5
                                                                      Older persons                                                 55.2
                                     Vulnerable persons covered by social assistence                 16.4

                          Popula�on covered by at least one social protec�on benefit                                                                   84.1
                                                                           Children                                                                     87.5
                                                            Mothers with newborns                                                                    81.4
           Central Asia
           Europe and

                                                      Person with severe disabili�es                                                                   86.7
                                                                      Unemployed                                           42.5
                                                                      Older persons                                                                           95.2
                                     Vulnerable persons covered by social assistence                                                       66.7

 Source: ILO (2017b).

 y   comprehensive protection in terms                 or her life cycle, ensuring that all persons                social inclusion (including of persons in
     of risks covered; and                             in need can effectively access social                       the informal economy); and respect for
                                                       protection. These guarantees should                         people’s rights and dignity.
 y   adequacy of protection.                           cover at least all residents and all children,
                                                       subject to other international obligations.                 Universal social protection, however,
 Universal coverage                                                                                                does not stop at a basic level of protection.
 According to ILO Recommendation                       Social protection systems should                            Recommendation No. 202 also sets out
 No. 202, nationally defined social protection         respect and promote the principles of                       that countries should progressively ensure
 floors guarantee at least a basic level of            non-discrimination, gender equality                         higher levels of social security for as many
 social security for everyone throughout his           and responsiveness to special needs;                        people as possible and as soon as possible.

14
Figure 1 provides global and                             For conceptual clarity: universal                          types of universal schemes/programmes:
regional estimates of effective                          social protection and other concepts                       those that cover broad categories of
social protection coverage for different                 The term ‘universal social protection’                     the population—for instance, children
population groups according to                           is widely used in policy discussions.                      or older persons (also known as
SDG indicator 1.3.1. It illustrates                      To avoid confusion, and for conceptual                     categorical schemes); and those that
coverage in terms of both persons                        clarity, it is helpful to delimit the term                 cover the entire population, such as a
and risk protected.                                      from other concepts.                                       national health service or a universal
                                                                                                                    basic income (UBI).
Comprehensive protection                                 Not to be confused with
Universal social protection also requires                a one-size-fits-all model                                  Many countries that have achieved
comprehensive coverage of a broad                        There is no single, all-encompassing                       universal social protection are relying
set of social risks and contingencies.                   model to achieve universal social                          on universal schemes, as they tend
Such comprehensive protection should                     protection, as the focus is on the                         to be more inclusive and lead to less
encompass the core areas of social                       outcomes rather than on means.                             stigma than narrow poverty-targeted
protection systems, including sickness                   Recommendation No. 202 clearly                             programmes. Such universal schemes are
benefits, unemployment benefits, old-age                 specifies that social protection floors                    often complemented by social insurance
benefits, employment injury benefits,                    should be nationally defined, and that                     or other schemes providing higher
child or family benefits, maternity                      countries should consider the most                         levels of protection.
benefits, invalidity/disability benefits and             effective and efficient combination of
survivor benefits, which are reflected in                benefits and schemes in their national                     However, this is not the only option that
Convention No. 102 and in SDG target                     contexts. Likewise, they should consider                   countries have at their disposal, as other
1.3. In addition, Convention No. 102 also                different methods to mobilise the                          approaches can also be compatible with
includes access to medical care, which is                necessary resources. This is what has                      the universal social protection framework.
reflected in SDG target 3.8 on universal                 happened around the world; countries                       While many countries achieve universal
health coverage. As new social risks may                 have chosen different paths to achieve                     social protection for children through a
arise in the future, such as long-term care,             universal social protection.                               universal child benefit, other countries
these would have to be addressed as well.                                                                           achieve it through a combination of
                                                         Not to be confused with universal                          several schemes (ILO and UNICEF 2019).
Adequacy of protection                                   schemes or programmes                                      For example, in Argentina more than
Universal social protection needs to be                  According to the internationally agreed                    80 per cent of children are covered
adequate to achieve the expected policy                  legal and policy framework previously                      through a mix of social insurance and
outcomes in line with internationally                    described, universal social protection                     tax-financed benefits.
accepted minimum benchmarks for                          refers mainly to social protection
social protection systems set out in                     systems. However, the term ‘universal’                     Not to be confused with universal
ILO social security standards. For social                is also used to describe specific                          basic income
protection floors, the basic social security             schemes and programmes that are                            Universal social protection means that
guarantees should prevent or at least                    non-contributory, typically tax-financed,                  everybody is adequately protected
alleviate poverty, vulnerability and social              not means-tested, and with broad                           against the full range of risks throughout
exclusion, and allow life in dignity.                    population coverage. There are two                         their life cycle. However, this does

                                                                                                                                   “ National social
                                                                                                                                protection systems
                                                                                                                             should guarantee at
                                                                                                                                  least a basic level
                                                                                                                           of social security for all,
                                                                                                                                     throughout the
                                                                                                                               life cycle, including
                                                                                                                                effective access to
                                                                                                                            essential health care
                                                                                                                             and income security.
Photo: Sarah Farhat/World Bank. Workers in a social protection project in Kinyana village, Rwanda, 2017
.

                                                                                                 The International Policy Centre for Inclusive Growth | Policy in Focus   15
not require that everybody receive a
 permanent benefit, as would be the
 case with a UBI.

 Universal social protection could be
 achieved through a UBI that achieves
 universal coverage and comprehensive
 protection and provides an adequate level
 of protection. However, UBI proposals can
 differ substantially in their design, and
 not every proposal complies with the key
 principles of universal social protection
 (Ortiz et al. 2018). For example, for a UBI
 to meet the principles of universal social
 protection, it would need to be at a level
 that fully meets the entire range of basic
 needs of recipients.
                                                Photo: UN Women/Narendra Shrestha. Woman with her income as rural farmer, Nepal, 2016 .
 How to achieve universal
 social protection?
 The international human rights                     of social protection systems                         ILO. 2017b. Building Social Protection Systems:
 framework, international social security           by prioritising reliable and                         International Standards and Human
                                                                                                         Rights Instruments. Geneva:
 standards and the Agenda 2030 for                  equitable forms of domestic                          International Labour Organization.
 Sustainable Development set out a clear,           financing, complemented by
 internationally agreed framework to                international cooperation and                        ILO. 2019a. “Universal Social Protection:
                                                                                                         Key Concepts and International Framework.”
 achieve universal social protection.               support where necessary.                             Social Protection for All Issue Brief.
                                                                                                         Geneva: International Labour
 USP2030 called on all countries to live        y   Participation and social dialogue.                   Organization. .
                                                                                                         Accessed 15 August 2019.
 up to their commitment to develop                  Strengthen governance of social
 nationally owned social protection                 protection systems through                           ILO. 2019b. Universal Protection for Human
 systems for all, including floors. It called       institutional leadership,                            Dignity, Social Justice and Sustainable
                                                                                                         Development. Geneva: International
 on countries and development partners              multisectoral coordination and the                   Labour Organization.
 to undertake the following five actions,           participation of social partners and
 to support the global commitment on                                                                     ILO and UNICEF. 2019. Towards Universal Social
                                                    other relevant and representative
                                                                                                         Protection for Children: Achieving SDG 1.3.
 universal social protection:                       organisations, to generate broad-                    Geneva and New York: International
                                                    based support and promote the                        Labour Organization and United Nations
     Protection throughout the life cycle.                                                               Children’s Fund.
 y                                                  effectiveness of services.
     Establish universal social protection                                                               Ortiz, I., C. Behrendt, A. Acuña-Ulate,
     systems, including floors, that provide    Many countries have already achieved                     and Q.A. Nguyen. 2018. Universal Basic Income
                                                                                                         Proposals in Light of ILO Standards: Key Issues
     adequate protection throughout             significant progress in universal social                 and Global Costing. Geneva: International
     the life cycle, combining social           protection for at least one area of their                Labour Organization.
     insurance, social assistance and           social protection system. This includes
                                                                                                         United Nations. 1948. Universal Declaration
     other means, anchored in national          most high-income countries, as well as a                 of Human Rights. New York: United Nations.
     strategies and legislation.                growing number of middle- and low-
                                                income countries, including Argentina,                   United Nations. 1966. International Covenant on
                                                                                                         Economic, Social, and Cultural Rights. New York:
 y   Universal coverage. Provide universal      Cabo Verde, China, Georgia, Lesotho,                     United Nations.
     access to social protection and ensure     Mongolia, Namibia, Nepal, South Africa
     that social protection systems are         and Uruguay.4 However, greater efforts are               USP2030. 2019. “Together to Achieve Universal
                                                                                                         Social Protection by 2030—A Call to Action.”
     rights-based, gender-sensitive and         needed to expand coverage and ensure                     Global Partnership for Universal Social
     inclusive, leaving no one behind.          comprehensive and adequate                               Protection website. .
                                                protection for all.                                      Accessed 15 August 2019.
 y   National ownership. Develop social
     protection strategies and policies
     based on national priorities and           Global Commission for the Future of Work. 2019.
                                                Work for a Brighter Future. Geneva: International        1.This article draws on ILO (2019a).
     circumstances in close cooperation         Labour Organization.                                     2. International Labour Organization (ILO).
     with all relevant actors.
                                                ILO. 2017a. World Social Protection Report               3. For a full list of the SDGs, see:
                                                2017-2019. Universal Social Protection to Achieve        .
 y   Sustainable and equitable financing.       the Sustainable Development Goals. Geneva:               4. See:  for a map
     Ensure the sustainability and fairness     International Labour Organization.                       and country briefs.

16
Limitations of the indicators for Sustainable
Development Goal targets relating to
social protection provision, in the context
of universal social protection and USP2030
Anna McCord ¹                                     agency responsible for target 1.3 is the           The SDG indicator selected for target 1.3
                                                  International Labour Organization (ILO),           is ‘effective’ coverage, which combines the
This article explores the indicators identified   with additional involvement from the               two ideas of coverage (legal and actual),
for measuring progress towards the provision      World Bank.                                        referring to those who receive contributory
of universal social protection under target                                                          and non-contributory social protection
1.3 (“implement nationally appropriate            As discussed elsewhere in this special             programmes plus those people who
social protection systems and measures for        issue, the principle of universality of            actively contribute to social insurance
all, including floors, and by 2030 achieve        social protection means that social                schemes. It is, therefore, an aggregate
substantial coverage of the poor and the          protection systems should guarantee                indicator gathering those who receive any
vulnerable”) of Sustainable Development           decent living conditions to the whole              form of social security or social assistance
Goal (SDG) 1 (“end poverty in all its forms       population throughout their lives.                 payment, and those who contribute to
everywhere”), in line with the objective of       The SDGs fall short of this and do not             social insurance schemes and who will be
the Global Partnership for Universal Social       explicitly include the aim of universal            eligible to receive benefits in the future.
Protection to Achieve the Sustainable             provision of social protection by 2030;            Data for this indicator are provided by
Development Goals by 2030 (USP2030).              instead they refer to the implementation           national ministries, collected through an
It presents the findings of a study conducted     of “social protection systems and                  administrative survey—the ILO Social
by the Overseas Development Institute             measures for all”, with the goal of                Security Inquiry (SSI)—collated into a
(ODI) (McCord, Holmes, and Harman 2017),          “substantial coverage” by 2030.                    database and published in the World Social
detailing the challenges and limitations of the   However, the proportion of the                     Protection Report (ILO 2017).
two indicators adopted for social protection      population covered by social protection
provision in the SDGs and providing an            systems/floors is used as an indicator of          The database contains information for
overview of the progress that has been            progress towards universality (United              183 countries in total, but the number of
achieved so far on coverage and financing,        Nations Statistics Division 2018),                 countries providing coverage data varies
in line with these indicators. The article is     as well as an indicator of SDG progress.           significantly across different social protection
based on a presentation entitled ‘Universal                                                          instruments, as illustrated in Table 1, leading
social protection in the context of the SDGs—     Coverage may be conceptualised in two              to problems in producing accurate and
where are we now?’, the introductory              distinct ways, either in terms of legal            consistent data on overall coverage.
webinar in the USP2030 webinar series             coverage—i.e. the numbers of those who,
hosted by socialprotection.org.                   in principle, are eligible to draw down on         Many of these data are not disaggregated
                                                  some form of social protection provision           by gender or other categories; therefore,
Targets and indicators                            should they need it, or actual beneficiary         subdividing coverage by vulnerable
The target which most accurately articulates      numbers at any point in time.                      group in the SDG indicator is a challenge.
the call for the provision of universal social
protection is SDG 1’s target 1.3: “Implement
nationally appropriate social protection              TABLE 1. Availability of country coverage data, by social protection instrument
systems and measures for all, including
floors, and by 2030 achieve substantial                                                                            Number of countries
                                                   Social protection type
                                                                                                                  providing coverage data
coverage of the poor and the vulnerable.”
                                                   Old age                                                                    175
The indicator for this target is the
                                                   Work-injury victims                                                        172
“proportion of population covered by
social protection floors/systems, by sex,          Disability                                                                 171
distinguishing children, unemployed
                                                   Pregnant women                                                             139
persons, older persons, persons with
disabilities, pregnant women, newborns,            Child grants                                                               109
work-injury victims and the poor and
                                                   Unemployment benefits                                                       79
the vulnerable”. Each indicator target
has its own custodian agency; the                 Source: IAEG-SDG (2016).

                                                                                  The International Policy Centre for Inclusive Growth | Policy in Focus   17
Hence, although coverage is an outcome            to how social protection should be
                                indicator used by many donors and is              defined, how diverse funding sources
                                readily calculable based on national data,        should be captured and how ‘significant’,
                                it is a problematic indicator as a measure        ‘adequate’ and ‘predictable’ might be
                                of universality. The primary reason for           conceptualised and captured.
                                this is that there is no consistency across
                                countries or development agencies                 Indicator challenges
                                regarding which instruments constitute            Obtaining a comprehensive and
                                social protection and are reported on, how        comparable overview of social protection
                                ‘coverage’ is measured or how the concept         provision across countries is not currently
                                of universality can be accommodated.              feasible due to data-related challenges.
                                                                                  The major constraints are significant
                                Mobilisation of resources for                     inconsistencies in terms of data collection
                                social protection                                 processes and periodicity, as well as quality
                                Resource mobilisation is recognised as key for    and definitional/compositional differences.
                                achieving SDG 1, and target 1.a specifically      These practical constraints have limited the
                                addresses this: “Ensure significant               feasible indicator options for target 1.3 and
                                mobilization of resources from a variety          the measurement of progress towards the
                                of sources, including through enhanced            provision of universal social protection.
                                development cooperation, in order
                                to provide adequate and predictable               These data constraints and the need for
                                means for developing countries,                   feasible indicators have resulted in the
                                in particular least developed countries,          selection of SDG indicators which focus
                                to implement programmes and policies              on the measurement of input (resources)
                                to end poverty in all its dimensions.”            and output (coverage), at the expense of
                                                                                  results-oriented indicators which would
                                One of the three indicators for this              capture social protection outcomes
                                target (indicator 1.a.2) refers explicitly        and impacts. This has compromised the
                                to social protection: the “[p]roportion of        adequacy of the selected indicators as
                                total government spending on essential            measures of progress towards universal
                                services (education, health and social            social protection as specified in the
                                protection)”.2 This indicator is still under      SDGs, in terms of the implementation of
                                discussion in terms of an appropriate             “nationally appropriate social protection
                                methodology for its calculation and the           systems and measures for all, including
                                metadata required, which will be able             creation of social protection floors, and
                                to accommodate challenges relating                by 2030 achieving substantial coverage

       “   The principle of
       universality of social
                                     FIGURE 1: Percentage of the total population covered by at least
                                     one social protection benefit (effective coverage), 2015

    protection means that
 social protection systems                    Europe and Central Asia

                                                     Northern America
         should guarantee
                                                                Americas
  decent living conditions
                                     La�n America and the Caribbean
  to the whole population
                                                                  World
      throughout their lives.                          Northern Africa

                                                   Asia and the Pacific

                                                                  Africa

                                                    Sub-Saharan Africa

                                                                           0     20          40           60          80

                                Source: Author’s elaboration.

18
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