Volume 14 Topline Results 3 September 2021 - CRT Dashboard

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Volume 14 Topline Results 3 September 2021 - CRT Dashboard
Volume 14 Topline Results   3 September 2021
David Bruce                          Paulina Hryniewiecka
                                                                                Partner                              Senior Research Consultant
                                                                                Canberra                             Melbourne
                                                                                T: 02 6109 6300                      T: 03 9526 9000
                                                                                E: david.bruce@orima.com             E: paulina.hryniewiecka@orima.com

                                                                                             General Enquiries                      Media Enquiries
                                                                                                                                     Szymon Duniec
                                                                                             CRT@orima.com                          Managing Director

About the project                                                                                                             Szymon.Duniec@orima.com

The COVID-19 Recovery Tracker (CRT) was implemented in April 2020, shortly after the COVID pandemic first directly impacted Australian society, to
measure both the acute impact and then track the speed and consistency of our recovery over coming months and years. The project was deliberately
called the ‘recovery’ tracker for this reason, and questions deliberately written to be relevant both as the pandemic hit and long into the future.
The project aggregates data from multiple surveys to provide a comprehensive overview of how the Australian community is affected. There are two
primary sources of data, with all responses combined into an overall database and population weighted results reported fortnightly and monthly:
      • A core set of CRT questions appear as a module in a number of monthly national online tracking surveys (average monthly sample n=1,000).
      • A longer dedicated online CRT survey is completed by a fortnightly nationally proportional sample of 200 people, plus any additional respondents
        who complete the publicly accessible version (see link below). Data is weighted to major demographic characteristics on a fortnightly basis.
The CRT results are available to track and understand how the Australian community is handling the experience and impact of the Pandemic, and to create
benchmarks that can be used to interpret other survey results when selected CRT questions are also included. CRT data is used for benchmarking survey
respondents and target audiences, and in all cases where it has been used, there has been an interaction seen between key CRT indicators and the subject
matter of the client surveys. All respondents are age 18+.
As of 3 September 2021, a total of 25,873 respondents have completed the core questions, with 8,862 who have completed the full extended survey.
This update contains a snapshot of the most current results. Current and historical updates can be found on the ORIMA website (see below).

CRT Links and resources
View or complete the full online CRT questionnaire: https://research.orima.com.au/COVIDRecovery/
Search and download CRT Results and Updates from the publications tab: https://covidportal.orima.com.au/

Use of this material
All published ORIMA CRT material can be freely referenced, shared and used for non-commercial purposes. Please attribute: ORIMA.com.au
For additional information, interpretation and analysis, please contact the project managers listed above.
COVID-19 Recovery Tracker Volume 14 Topline Results 3 September 2021                                                                                                                                        ORIMA Research

                                                                                          Methodology
                         Data sources:

                                      Core Module in monthly national tracking surveys:                                                                                       n=17,011

                                      Extended online version with fortnightly samples:                                                                                         n=8,862

                                      Total                                                                                                                                  n=25,873

      CRT Timeline mapped against daily COVID cases, and vaccination progress in Australia
                                                                                                                                                                                                       Vol 14
     2100                                                                                                                                                                                              3 Sept 1
     1890                                                                                                                                                                                                        0.9
     1680                                                                                                                                                                                                        0.8
                                                                                                                                                                            Vol 12            Vol 13
     1470                                                  Vol 5                                                                                                            14 Jun            30 Jul             0.7
                                                          22 July
     1260                                                                                                                                                                                                        0.6
                                                                                                                                                         Vol 11
             CRT
     1050 commenced                                                                                                                                      8 Apr                                                   0.5
                     Vol 1                                               Vol 6
      840           20 April                                            20 Aug                                                                                                                                   0.4
                                 Vol 2 Vol 3     Vol 4                                Vol 7         Vol 8      Vol 9
      630                                                                                                                              Vol 10                                                                    0.3
                                 4 May 27 May   24 June                              30 Sept        5 Nov      8 Dec                   25 Feb
      420                                                                                                                                                                                                        0.2
      210                                                                                                                                                                                                        0.1
         0                                                                                                                                                                                                       0
         03/2020   04/2020 05/2020      06/2020 07/2020       08/2020     09/2020 10/2020      11/2020 12/2020         01/2021   02/2021 03/2021    04/2021 05/2021    06/2021 07/2021   08/2021       09/2021
              Mar 20    Apr 20      May 20      Jun 20    Jul 20    Aug 20       Sep 20    Oct 20     Nov 20     Dec 20     Jan 21   Feb 21     Mar 21    Apr 21   May 21   Jun 21   Jul 21        Aug 21    Sep 21

                                                                                                                                                                               Source: ourworldindata.org

                                                                                                                                                                                                                        3
COVID-19 Recovery Tracker Volume 14 Topline Results 3 September 2021                                                          ORIMA Research

                                               What the current results are telling us

                     As the delta outbreak resulted in extended lockdowns in NSW, Victoria and the ACT since late
                     June, perceived negative impact has increased sharply. This is especially the case for the sense
                     of national impact, which close to the largest reported since the pandemic began.

                     As in previous phases where states are differently affected, there are also much greater
                     differences in the experiences of people in those different states. In August both NSW and
                     Victoria are approaching the biggest negative personal impacts seen in any state at any time.

                     While impact has been sharply higher, vaccination rates and intentions have both moved rapidly
                     and positively.

                              •    In the last fortnight of August 69% of respondents had had one dose and 47% two
                                   doses (broadly in line with official estimates of 64% and 38% amongst those aged 16+).

                              •    In the last fortnight of August just 10% of all respondents were resistant or hesitant to
                                   be vaccinated – compared to 31% in the fortnight ending 23 July.

                              •    Across all responses in August from people who were unvaccinated at the time, 20%
                                   were resistant to vaccinations and 17% hesitant, compared to 29% and 21% in July.

                                                                                                              Source: ORIMA.com.au

                                                                                                                                          4
COVID-19 Recovery Tracker Volume 14 Topline Results 3 September 2021   ORIMA Research

                 Community Mood
                 & Impact

                                                                                   5
COVID-19 Recovery Tracker Volume 14 Topline Results 3 September 2021                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         ORIMA Research

                                                                                                           Perceived Impact of COVID
       Right at the moment, what do you feel the impact of the COVID-19 situation is…
       Positive 2
        impact                                                                          Personal impact                                                                       National Impact                                                                  Global Impact
        (max=5)

                    1                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        Sydney outbreak leads to
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              multi-state lockdowns
                                                                                               Melbourne #2
                                         Victorian ‘second                                      lockdown
                                               wave’
                                                                                                                                                                                                Source: ORIMA.com.au
        None        0
                                                                                                                   Melbourne #2
                  Initial lockdowns eased                                                                         lockdown eased
                       across Australia

                   -1

                   -2

                   -3

                   -4
                                                                                                                                                                                                 Since the delta outbreak impacted Sydney and then
                                                                                                                                                                                                 spread across states, perceptions of national impact in
                                                                                                                                                                                                 particular have become much more negative.
                   -5
     Negative
                        17-Apr

                                                                                                                 4-Sep
                                                                                                                         18-Sep

                                                                                                                                                                                                                 5-Feb
                                                                                                                                                                                                                         19-Feb

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          19-Mar
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   2-Apr

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    3-Sep
                                 1-May
                                         15-May
                                                  29-May

                                                                                                7-Aug
                                                                                                        21-Aug

                                                                                                                                                            13-Nov
                                                                                                                                                                     27-Nov

                                                                                                                                                                                                8-Jan
                                                                                                                                                                                                        22-Jan

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  5-Mar

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           16-Apr
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    30-Apr
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              14-May
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       28-May

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   6-Aug
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           20-Aug
                                                           12-Jun
                                                                    26-Jun
                                                                             10-Jul
                                                                                      24-Jul

                                                                                                                                                                              11-Dec
                                                                                                                                                                                       25-Dec

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                11-Jun
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         25-Jun
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  9-Jul
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          23-Jul
                                                                                                                                  2-Oct
                                                                                                                                          16-Oct
                                                                                                                                                   30-Oct

                  03/2020 04/2020 05/2020 06/2020 07/2020 08/2020 09/2020 10/2020 11/2020 12/2020 01/2021 02/2021 03/2021 04/2021 05/2021 06/2021 07/2021 08/2021 09/2021
      impact
       (max=-5)

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            6
COVID-19 Recovery Tracker Volume 14 Topline Results 3 September 2021                                                                                  ORIMA Research

                                                  Perceived Impact of COVID by State
       Right at the moment, what do you feel the impact of the COVID-19 situation is…
       Positive
                1.0
        impact
        (max=5)                                             Current personal impact of the COVID-19 situation
                  0.5
                                                                                                Perth                               Perth
                                                                                            lockdown #1    Brisbane             lockdown #2
                                                                                Brisbane                  lockdown
         None     0.0                                                         lockdown #1                     #2

                                                                                                                                                Melbourne
                  -0.5                                                                                                                         lockdown #6

                  -1.0

                  -1.5
                                                                                                     Melbourne
                                                                                                    lockdown #3
                                                                                                                                 Sydney June
                                                                               Sydney Northern                                   outbreak and
                  -2.0         Melbourne #2                                    Beaches Cluster                     Melbourne
                                lockdown                                                                                        ‘stay at home’
                                                                                  lockdown                        lockdown #4
                                                                                                                  Lockdown #5    Multi-state
                                                                                                                                 lockdowns
                  -2.5
                                                                                    NSW          Vic        Qld            WA
     Negative
      impact
                  -3.0
       (max=-5)
                         Apr 20 May 20 Jun 20 Jul 20 Aug 20 Sep 20 Oct 20 Nov 20 Dec 20 Jan 21 Feb 21 Mar 21 April 21 May 21 Jun 21 Jul 21 Aug 21
                                                                                                                                    Source: ORIMA.com.au

                                                                                                                                                                  7
COVID-19 Recovery Tracker Volume 14 Topline Results 3 September 2021   ORIMA Research

                 Vaccines

                                                                                   8
COVID-19 Recovery Tracker Volume 14 Topline Results 3 September 2021                                                                                                                                                               ORIMA Research

             CRT Vaccine Dashboard                                                     as of 3 September 2021

          Have you had the vaccine?                                                     Are you eligible to get the vaccine?                                  Is the vaccine available in your area?
                                                                                               Yes         No          I'm not sure                                        Yes         No     I'm not sure
              Prefer not to say
              Yes – but not yet the full course                       1%                                                              11%    12%      11%                                                                        14%
                                                                                                                           20%                                                                                19%     18%
              Yes – fully                                                                                        28%                                   7%                                         31%
                                                                                         32%         33%                                                             38%                    37%                                  9%
                                                                     23%                                                                     17%                                 42%
                                                                                                                                      30%                                                                     18%     14%
                                                            2%
                                                                                                                           28%
                                                                                                                                                                                                  20%
                                                                                         29%         30%         34%
                                                                                                                                                                                            28%
                                                           24%
                                                                                                                                                      81%            47%         38%                                             77%
                                         2%                                                                                                  71%                                                              63%     68%
                                                  23%                39%                                                              60%
                               2%                                                                                          52%                                                                    49%
                                                                                         39%         37%         38%                                                                        35%
                                        14%                17%
                               8%                                                                                                                                    15%         20%
            2%       3%                  4%       8%
                               3%
          Feb-21 Mar-21 Apr-21 May-21 Jun-21 Jul-21 Aug-21                              Feb-21 Mar-21 Apr-21 May-21 Jun-21                  Jul-21   Aug-21         Feb-21 Mar-21 Apr-21 May-21 Jun-21               Jul-21    Aug-21

       If unvaccinated, how do you feel about getting a vaccine?                                                                      Totally + Mostly believe vaccines will…
        In August 37% of respondents were not vaccinated at the time of their survey
                                                                                                       Change since                                                                                                           Change
                                                                               Jul 21      Aug 21         Jul 21                                                                                                               since
                                                                                                                                                                                                     Jul 21     Aug 21         Jul 21
          Will make an effort to get it ASAP                                    23%         38%             +15pp
                                                                                                                                       Be available in a fair way                                    47%         54%          +7pp
          When practical / convenient                                           20%         15%                 -5pp
                                                                                                                                       Effective in preventing COVID-19                              43%         47%          +4pp
          When I get around to it                                                6%            6%               -1pp
                                                                                                                                       Be safe to take (minimal side effects)                        45%         57%          +12pp
          Wait and see                                                          21%         17%                 -3pp

                                                                                                                                       Prove to be safe in the long term                             42%         48%          +6pp
          Only if I have to                                                     13%            8%               -5pp

          Don’t intend to                                                       16%         12%                 -4pp                   Taken by enough to protect community                          42%         47%          +5pp

          Prefer not to say                                                      2%            5%               +3pp                   Let your life get back to normal                              47%         52%          +5pp

                                                                                                                                                                                                             Source: ORIMA.com.au

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               9
COVID-19 Recovery Tracker Volume 14 Topline Results 3 September 2021                                                                                                                          ORIMA Research

       In the fortnight at the end of August, 69% of respondents had received at least one dose of the vaccine (with 47% fully
       vaccinated). Official estimates of the Australian population aged 16+ at the same time were 64% and 38% respectively.

            Vaccination Intentions – fortnightly data
            How you feel about getting the COVID vaccine?                                             Pfizer vaccine made available
                                                                                                                                          Outbreak in Sydney leads to
                                                                                                                                            multi-state lockdowns
            Base: All respondents (n=170-490 per fortnight, n=79 fortnight ending 5 Feb '21)                to those aged 40+
                                                                                                Melbourne begins                                                 Australia purhases
                                                                                                                                  AZ now available to adults      1m Pfizer doses
                            Europe pauses vaccinations                       Delta variant           lockdown   #4.                 under 40s on request
                                                                             emerges             Mass vaccination                                                  from Poland
                           using AstraZeneca due to clots       Australia                                                                                                                    Fortnight
                                                          advises against    India in crisis         centres  open      Australia advises
                                                                                                                        against using AZ                                     Pfizer available ending:
                                                                using AZ                                                                                                     to anyone 16+ 3 Sept
                                                              vaccine for      Australia closes border                vaccine for under 60s           Doherty report
                          Prefer not to say                    under 50s       to travellers from India                                                      released
            100%
                                                                                                                                                                                              10%
             90%          Resisters - not intending to get the
                          vaccine, unless they have to
             80%                                                                                                                                                                              20%
                          Hesitants - will wait to see how it goes
             70%          before they decide whether to get the
                          vaccine
             60%

                          Pragmatists - will get the
             50%
                          vaccine when it's convenient,
                          or when they get around to it
             40%
                                                                                                                                                                                              69%
             30%
                                                                                                                                                     Partially
                                                                                                                                                     vaccinated
             20%          Seekers - will get the vaccine
                          as soon as they can
             10%
                                                                                                                                                    Fully vaccinated
                     Source: ORIMA.com.au
              0%
        Fortnight 5 Feb     19 Feb     5 Mar     19 Mar      2 Apr     16 Apr     30 Apr     14 May     28 May     11 Jun     25 Jun      9 Jul      23 Jul     6 Aug     20 Aug      3 Sep
       ending >> 2021       2021       2021       2021       2021      2021       2021        2021       2021      2021       2021        2021       2021       2021       2021       2021

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What we do:

Thank you
We would also like to
acknowledge and thank all
the research participants for
their valuable contribution
and input into this research.
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