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5G
00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 5G, Robots and Transportation Watch Closely Informs Strategy Act Now
4TH YEAR ON THE LIST
5G
KEY INSIGHT EXAMPLES DISRUPTIVE IMPACT EMERGING PLAYERS
5G advances today’s networks using a Monetizing 5G remains a challenge • National Spectrum Consortium
5G is the fifth genera- more responsive kind of radio technol- for mobile network operators (such as
• 5G Fund for Rural America
tion mobile network and ogy that not only moves data faster but Verizon, Vodafone, and Telefónica),
also requires less power to do so. It will which must gradually make network im- • Open Radio Access Network (O-RAN)
a global wireless stan- provements while continuing to provide
shorten transmission latency from 30 • Spectrum Forward Other Transaction
dard. Since the first 5G milliseconds to just a single millisecond, service for previous 3G and 4G standards. Agreement
This last mile of the telecom ecosystem
mobile networks began allowing essentially instantaneous con-
is the most complex and costly to main- • U.S. Department of Defense’s Research
nectivity between devices on a network.
launching in 2019, this This means big opportunities for tele- tain, and earns revenue mainly through and Engineering Division
new standard has rolled customer plans. South Korea launched
medicine and robotic-assisted surgery,
high-value, premium 5G plans to increase
out slowly around the autonomous vehicles, gaming, and
revenue alongside new products and
streaming. Unlike Wi-Fi, a 5G network
world. Eventually, 5G can be built to prioritize certain data
services to entice adoption. VR cloud
gaming, augmented reality shopping,
will offer higher speeds, transmissions over others. For example,
and live sports streaming are bundled
heavy manufacturing companies and
low or even no latency utilities will be able to automate more of
in new premium plans. South Korea
notwithstanding, most 5G launches still
in data transfer, and their core processes using advanced ro- lack the use cases needed to convert users
the ability for billions of botics systems, which will in turn create and justify the investment in network
a new market for all the components, upgrades. In the U.S., the Federal Com-
5G is the fifth generation of wireless connectivity.
devices to connect with devices, and consulting services necessary munications Commission created two
one another. for operating such a network. Innovation Zones, city-scale test beds in
Salt Lake City and in New York City’s
West Harlem, for advanced wireless
communications and network research,
including 5G networks.
08 © 2021 Future Today Institute
00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 5G, Robots and Transportation Watch Closely Informs Strategy Act Now
4TH YEAR ON THE LIST
5Geopolitics
KEY INSIGHT EXAMPLES DISRUPTIVE IMPACT EMERGING PLAYERS
The Trump administration tightened New entrants are circumventing politics. • Semiconductor Industry Association
There’s a geopolitical the screws on China when it banned Japanese e-commerce giant Rakuten • Open Radio Access Network (O-RAN)
fight underway, pitting Chinese companies ZTE and Huawei launched a virtual network running on
from supplying gear to American net- cloud native and open radio access net- • Rakuten Mobile
the U.S. against China
work operators in the U.S. Chipmaker work (O-RAN) technology. The network • Starlink
in a race to deploy the Qualcomm, meanwhile, is one of a scant architecture costs far less to build and
telecom equipment few U.S. companies making components operate, and doesn’t rely as much on
necessary for a widescale 5G rollout. equipment from traditional suppliers.
and systems required to Trump revoked licenses to Huawei sup- Elon Musk’s Starlink is developing a
build 5G networks. pliers, which included Intel, and there- low-latency broadband internet system
by weakened the Chinese tech giant’s with speeds of 300Mbps—fast enough
position in the global market. American to manage Wi-Fi calling and just about
security experts are urging the Biden ad- anything else consumers might stream,
ministration to build a 5G network with play, operate, or build.
and for geopolitical allies and to exclude
Chinese equipment. As of this writing,
Huawei is a major supplier of network compo-
only Ericsson, Nokia, and Samsung are
nents.
allowed to build 5G networks in the U.S.
Meanwhile, Chinese President Xi Jinping
has made it clear that he intends to wean
China and its allies off of Western-made
technology entirely.
09 © 2021 Future Today Institute
00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12
Expert Insight
5G Will Transform pivoted the needs of our customers
and forced transformation across
Transportation, all industries.
Entertainment, What can we accomplish in the
next five, 10 or 25 years? Innovation
Retail and More is happening at the speed of 5G,
and the next wave of bold predic-
tions is well on its way.
Igal Elbaz
5G will ultimately be a paradigm
SVP of Wireless and Access shift from prior networks. The in-
Technology, AT&T creased speeds, lower latency and
higher reliability will create the
ideal foundation for transforma-
tional use cases. The ecosystem
A little more than 25 years ago,
is developing capabilities never
AT&T debuted a bold advertising
before imagined with LTE. There’s
campaign predicting a future
no better time than now to take a
world enabled by emerging tech-
visionary approach to the possi-
nologies. At the time, the ads mim-
bilities. We’re collaborating with
icked science fiction—video calls
customers and allies to identify
from a payphone, sending a fax on
how technology can create a safer,
the beach and talking to a friend
more connected world.
on a watch. While the experiences
look different than our predeces- Take the healthcare industry, for
sors imagined, they are now reali- example. The combination of 5G,
ties and even necessities, as 2020
© 2021 Future Today Institute00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 5G, Robots and Transportation
5G is also paving the way for the and the clothes could be on a cus- ing to deliver a live 3-D augmented
future of transportation. At the tomer’s doorstep in 48 hours. This reality interactive concert for a
AT&T 5G Innovation Studio in Pla- will become a widespread reality select group of fans. Entertainment
There’s no better time no, Texas, we’re working with col- that many retailers are expected to will become more immersive with
than now to take a laborators to showcase how 5G embrace. the advancement of AI and edge
and edge computing can enable computing, and we’ll eventually
visionary approach to autonomous drones. And, as the
Another exciting area of opportu-
blur the divide between the physi-
the possibilities. edge expands, self-driving cars
nity is the entertainment industry.
cal and digital world.
5G is already re-imagining how we
will eventually become ubiquitous,
create and consume media in this 5G is triggering the next wave of
creating safer roadways. Flash
edge computing, artificial intelli- new world. Holographic commu- business transformation and indus-
forward even further, and you
gence (AI), and Internet of Things nication proved useful during last trial revolution, and these use cases
could be looking toward the sky for
unlocks a new realm of possibilities year’s NBA playoffs when reporters are only a glimpse of what’s on the
a flying taxi.
for medical professionals. Last were able to perform holographic horizon.
year, 2020, triggered the rise of Today’s technology will also trans- interviews with players from hun-
telehealth, and this momentum will **
form the retail world, because dreds of miles away, a necessity
only continue. Faster speeds, lower 2020 shifted how we shop. There given restrictions around in-person Igal Elbaz is senior vice president
latency, and massive connectivity could be “magic mirrors,” or con- interviews. of Wireless and Access Technol-
will enable more real-time remote nected displays, that use 4K sen-
Now, imagine holographic commu- ogy. He is responsible for wireless
consultations, crucial data trans- sors and digital displays to repli-
nication for the masses. In the not- and wireline access network ar-
fers, and connected ambulances. cate the experience of standing in
so-distant future, we could enjoy chitecture, design and technology
As 5G matures, we’ll see the ad- front of a mirror. Instead of having
vancement from today’s telemed- live, immersive concerts from the roadmap, including radio access
to physically try on clothes, con-
icine and remote consultations comfort of our couch. And, we’ve network, 5G and LTE mobility, voice
sumers could swipe left and right
during surgery to robotic-assisted taken the initial steps toward this core network functions, network AI
to try on outfits and accessories.
surgeries and development of reality. AT&T recently used 5G, ma- and driving industry standards.
Then, using a connected tablet, an
life-saving wearables. chine learning, and edge comput-
employee could place the order,
11 © 2021 Future Today Institute00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 5G, Robots and Transportation Watch Closely Informs Strategy Act Now
4TH YEAR ON THE LIST
6G
KEY INSIGHT EXAMPLES DISRUPTIVE IMPACT EMERGING PLAYERS
Project Hexa-X, the European Commis- 6G should support data rates of 1 terabyte • Hexa-X
6G will be the sixth gen- sion’s early 6G research initiative, kicked per second, making latency and capacity • Nokia
eration of wide-area off in January 2021 in preparation for balancing a thing of the past. This new
the global standard that comes after 5G. standard will support technologies that • Next G Alliance
wireless technology,
The current global transition from 4G demand real-time awareness—which • University of Oulu
following the transition to 5G is a tricky one: There are lots of are likely to include human-machine • University of Padova
to 5G. Planning for this variables over which no one entity has interfaces that intuitively understand
• Beijing University of Posts
control. Core components—licensed and our intentions. Combined with artificial
new standard is already unlicensed spectrum bands, shared spec- intelligence, the new infrastructure of 6G and Telecommunications
happening. trum, antennas, and network architec- will make networks capable of making • NTT DoCoMo
Hexa-X is developing standards for 6G. tures—aren’t necessarily uniform. Experts decisions autonomously for things like
• Samsung
believe that what they learn building 5G data storage, processing, and sharing.
networks will make the transition to 6G • Ericsson
easier. Researchers at the University of • Huawei
California, Santa Barbara, are already
• ZTE
working on component upgrades: They
built a device that could push 6G’s tera-
hertz frequency signals out of antennas
using what’s known as an N-polar gallium
nitride high-electron-mobility transistor
(HEMT). Nokia is leading the 6G joint
research initiative, and Nokia Bell Labs
is already researching the fundamental
technologies that will comprise 6G.
12 © 2021 Future Today Institute00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 5G, Robots and Transportation Watch Closely Informs Strategy Act Now
1ST YEAR ON THE LIST
Breaking the Millisecond Barrier
KEY INSIGHT EXAMPLES DISRUPTIVE IMPACT EMERGING PLAYERS
Latency causes problems in gaming, A new 1 millisecond standard is being • NYU Wireless
The amount of laten- videoconferencing, and VR. A typical 4G developed at New York University’s NYU
• Internet Engineering Task Force’s L4S
cy in mobile networks network incurs 50 milliseconds of lag, Wireless research center. It will require a
and with more devices and people con- new approach to encoding, transmitting, • U.S. Department of Defense
differs, based on how and routing data—but it also promises a
necting to networks, systems can quickly
far a signal must travel, become glitchy. As people worked and wild new frontier in communications. If
signals transmit fast enough that humans
the number of routers learned from home during the pandemic,
can’t perceive any lag at all, teleoperated
signals weakened, causing interruptions
it passes through, and or crashes. The coming swarm of sig- surgical robots could go into widescale
a variety of other fac- use. Haptic devices that map sight and
nal-hungry consumer devices will put
sound could convince us that a digital
tors. A new standard for added strain on networks, unless current
environment is real, not virtual.
latency barriers can be broken. Reducing
latency is in the works latency from 4G’s 50 milliseconds to 5G’s
that could result in just 1 10 milliseconds and below will be crucial
to support applications such as autono-
millisecond of lag. mous vehicles and multiplayer games.
A new 1 millisecond standard is being developed.
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