A blueprint for British business - Part one: cash management and liquidity

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A blueprint for British business - Part one: cash management and liquidity
May 31 2012

A blueprint for
British business
Part one: cash management and liquidity

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A blueprint for British business - Part one: cash management and liquidity
2                                                                                                                             FINANCIAL TIMES THURSDAY MAY 31 2012              FINANCIAL TIMES THURSDAY MAY 31 2012                                                                                                                              3

BLUEPRINT FOR BRITISH BUSINESS | OVERVIEW                                                                                                                                                                                                                           BLUEPRINT FOR BRITISH BUSINESS | CASE STUDY

Contents
                                                               Access denied
                                                               UK companies are sitting on £754bn in currency and deposits, as                                             they hold back on investment decisions, writes Brian Groom

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  2 OVERVIEW                                                                      OLITICIANS AND                       Several large FTSE companies, including Glaxo-           share from rivals, provided they do so wisely.           Philip Booth, editorial director at the Institute
    British companies are hoarding cash as they
    wait and see what happens in the economy
                                                                                  economists have been pressing
                                                                                  companies to start spending
                                                                                                                     SmithKline and AstraZeneca, the pharmaceutical
                                                                                                                     groups, and BP, the energy company, have denied
                                                                                                                                                                                   Some are investing with the help of the gov-
                                                                                                                                                                                ernment’s £2.4bn Regional Growth Fund, such as
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      of Economic Affairs, says: “If I were a share-
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      holder I would be asking directors why they
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             Case study Center Parcs

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 4 COST-CUTTING                                                                   their cash piles, so an upturn     they are sitting unnecessarily on cash piles.              Darchem, an engineering business based at Still-      were sitting on cash that they could return to
    Making savings can generate revenue and                                       in business investment               BP says it is investing more in the UK now               ington, near Stockton-on-Tees. It is awaiting con-    shareholders – why are we not paying dividends?                        ARTIN DALBY, CHIEF
    even fund growth                                                              reported in provisional data for   than in recent years, with £4bn committed to               firmation from its US parent of an £8m invest-        It’s not a company’s job to sit on piles of cash.”                     executive of Center Parcs, needs
  6 CASH FLOW                                                                     the first quarter has come as a    various offshore projects over the next five years.        ment to create production facilities for specialist      He agrees, however, that it is rational for com-                    no reminding of the value of
    In an era of austerity, a strong balance                                      welcome relief for those who         Carmakers have pledged substantial invest-               fabrication for the new-build nuclear market,         panies, particularly smaller ones, to build up                         investment.
    sheet is vital                                             manage companies’ capital.                            ment, helped by demand in emerging markets                 towards which the fund has offered £1m.               cash piles for future investment because of fear                          “One of the reasons we have
  7 SMALLER COMPANIES                                            According to the UK’s Office for National           and a flexible workforce. General Motors’ £125m               Graham Payne, managing director, admits            that higher capital requirements on banks will         been successful for the past 25 years is we are
    Entrepreneurial businesses need                            Statistics, business investment – which had fallen    investment in its new Astra at Ellesmere Port on           uncertainty over the government’s nuclear power       make it even harder to get credit.                     forever reinvesting the profits and refreshing
    banking support                                            sharply during the 2008-09 recession – rose by 3.6    Merseyside comes on top of £4bn of commitments             station plans is a “big worry”, but says the             Prof Booth calls for microeconomic measures         the product,” he says.
  8 CURRENCIES                                                 per cent in the three months to March compared        from Jaguar Land Rover, Ford, BMW, Bentley                 proposed investment is not a risk. Darchem            to help companies, particularly by further radical       The holiday operator has begun construction
    Financial instruments can be used as a                     with the previous quarter, and by 14.2 per cent       and Toyota.                                                does other nuclear work including insulation          deregulation of the labour market and relieving        on a £250m village – the company’s fifth – on
    hedge against a strong pound                               compared with a year ago.                               InterContinental Hotels, Subway, McDonald’s,             and could use the plant for aerospace manufac-        companies of the impending burden of auto-enrol-       the Duke of Bedford’s Woburn estate, north of
10 MANUFACTURING                                                 It remains, however, more than 9 per cent           Starbucks and Marston’s are among leisure                  turing, too.                                          ment of their staff in pension schemes such as         London, buoyed by strong trading and a 97 per
    Companies can no longer rely on bank                       below where it was in early 2008. With the UK         chains planning expansions that will create thou-             Two-thirds of its work is in aerospace, but Mr     the National Employment Savings Trust, the low-        cent occupancy rate at its four existing sites.
    lending – but are coping surprisingly well                 economy in a double-dip recession and fresh           sands of jobs. National Grid aims to spend £31bn           Payne says the nuclear sector will be “one of the     cost scheme created by the government.                   This was no sudden decision. Mr Dalby first
 11 OPINION                                                    instability in the eurozone, companies are bound      by 2021 upgrading Britain’s gas                            most fundamental parts of our future growth in           Strategists say that even if the eurozone           walked through the greenbelt forest site eight
    Jonathan Guthrie on UK plc’s doomed                        to remain nervous about investment.                   and electricity networks.                                  the next five to 10 years”.                           crisis provokes a renewed economic downturn,           years ago. A battle against local opponents

                                                                                                                                                                                M
    golden age                                                   Businesses have been rebuilding their balance         Companies that invest                                                                                          companies should have an eye to opportunities          ensued before planning permission was granted
                                                               sheets, which, in many cases, were over-geared        when others do not can                                                      ANY COMPANIES, THOUGH,               as well as simply cutting costs. Research by PA        in September 2007, after initial rejection.
                                                               before the financial crisis. UK companies,            prime themselves for                                                        have been holding back on invest-    Consulting Group suggests that, in the recession         Since then, the company has been diverting
                                                               excluding banks and financial institutions, have      future expansion and                                                        ment decisions until they see        of 2008-09, companies that saw the crisis as an        footpaths and bridleways and building new
    CONTRIBUTORS                                               amassed £754bn in currency and deposits, equiva-      steal market                                                                more light at the end of the tun-    opportunity to acquire assets cheaply or win           roundabouts. It also took a year to put together
    BRIAN GROOM is the FT’s business and                       lent to 50 per cent of gross domestic product,                                                                                    nel. “Are they being cautious?       market share from weakened rivals achieved a           finance, of which £100m will come from Black-
    employment editor                                          according to official figures. Not all of that may                                                               Yes. Are they being irrational? Probably not,”        10 per cent higher total shareholder return than       stone, the group’s private equity owner, and
    JONATHAN GUTHRIE is the FT’s City                          be available for investment in Britain – the big-                                                                says Lee Hopley, chief economist at EEF, the          those that did not.                                    £150m in a construction loan from RBS,
    editor                                                     gest growth is in deposits held with foreign                                                                     manufacturers’ organisation.                             Mark Thomas, business strategy expert at PA,        Barclays, HSBC and Lloyds Banking Group.
    MICHAEL HUNTER is an FT markets                            banks – but few doubt balance sheets are                                                                            Richard Jeffrey, chief investment officer at       believes companies are poorly prepared for the           Unlike some companies, Center Parcs did not
    reporter                                                   strong. Yet many companies have been                                                                             Cazenove Capital Management, says the rebuild-        consequences of a Greek exit from the euro. “It        have a cash pile. The trigger for the Woburn
    MICHAEL KAVANAGH is an FT companies                        unsure about when to start spending                                                                              ing of balance sheets is a hangover from the                                                                 funding was refinancing of its £1bn debt, which
    reporter                                                   amid uncertain prospects.                                                                                        credit crisis, when companies conserved cash                                                                 had been due to expire next year. It has been
    JONATHAN MOULES is the FT’s enterprise                       “Business will always pause on                                                                                 because they feared they would be denied access       ‘Until companies stop stashing                         replaced by a bond issued via a “whole business
    correspondent                                              investment if it thinks it is not                                                                                to credit. “This is where they want their balance                                                            securitisation” backed by revenue from its
    PAUL SOLMAN is a freelance journalist                      going to get a return because the                                                                                sheets to be,” he says. “They want to have more       the cash, the economy will                             existing villages in Cumbria, Nottinghamshire,
    JESSICA TWENTYMAN is a freelance                           moment is wrong, because there                                                                                   liquid assets; they want more cash because that                                                              Suffolk and Wiltshire.
    journalist                                                 isn’t enough consumer and                                                                                        is what provides them with reassurance.”              remain on the critical list’                             The Woburn Forest site, due to open in
                                                               customer demand,” says John                                                                                         He hopes to see “more significant growth” in                                                              spring 2014, will employ 1,200 people in the
    ILLUSTRATIONS                                              Cridland, director-general of the                                                                                investment over the next two years than in 2011,      is a difficult business to plan for, but I think you   construction stage and 1,500 once it opens.
    Nick Lowndes                                               CBI, the employers’ group.                                                                                       when it grew by just 1.2 per cent, but warns          need to do some planning – maybe a central               Mr Dalby has little doubt that there will be
                                                                 Peter Spencer, chief eco-                                                                                      that when companies spend, they may be                scenario where things are not so disorderly, and       sufficient demand even if economic growth
                                                               nomic adviser to the Ernst                                                                                       tempted to invest in higher-growth economies          also an extreme one.”                                  remains slow.
                                                               & Young Item Club, the non-                                                                                      rather than in the UK.                                  With or without a eurozone apocalypse, some            Center Parcs, which attracts families, has so
    Special reports editor Michael Skapinker                   governmental forecasting                                                                                            Mr Jeffrey says that when investment comes,        companies see clear virtues in investment even         far seemed recession-proof: if money is tight,
    Editor Hugo Greenhalgh                                     group, says the UK will not                                                                                      some companies may be doing it from a position        in difficult times. “We have been investing while      many trade down to the short-break holidays at
    Commissioning editor Robert Orr                            begin to prosper until these                                                                                     of weakness. “It will be interesting to see what      others have been tightening their belts,” says         which it excels.
    Production editor Jearelle Wolhuter                        funds are put back into                                                                                          Tesco [the supermarket group] does, for instance.     Majid Hussain, managing director of Accrol
    Sub-editor Camilla Imperiali                               the economy. “Until these                                                                                        I suspect that when they decide what their future     Papers, a maker of kitchen and toilet rolls, based
    Picture editor Michael Crabtree                            companies stop stashing                                                                                          is going to be, it will require some investment.”     in Blackburn, Lancashire.                              Center Parcs,
    Art director Derek Westwood                                the cash and start                                                                                                  He also warns that if companies hang on to           After spending £25m on machines and buildings
    Commercial director, Emea Dominic Good                     increasing levels of                                                                                             their cash piles for too long, the government may     since 2005, allowing it to make high-quality paper     which attracts
    Head of solutions Patrick Collins                          investment and divi-                                                                                             try to take them away. “If companies continue to      more cheaply, Accrol plans a further £30m invest-
    Head of project delivery Rachel Harris                     dends, the economy                                                                                               grow their share of national income, there is         ment in the next two years. Mr Hussain adds:           families, has so
    Integrated solutions manager Alexis Jarman                 will remain on the                                                                                               going to be a temptation for government – not         “Perhaps it’s a bit high risk to be investing in a
    Advertising Peter Cammidge                                 critical list,” he warned                                                                                        just ours but governments in general – to say we      recession period, but for us it’s been paying off.”    far seemed
                                                               last month.                                                                                                      should be taxing these companies more heavily.”       Additional reporting by Chris Tighe
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             recession-proof
    All editorial content in this special report is produced
    by the FT. Our advertisers have no influence over, or                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       Mr Dalby expects the investment to add 20
    prior sight of, the articles or online material.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             per cent to Center Parcs’ turnover and 25 per
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             cent to its profits. In the year to April 2011, it
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             had earnings before tax, depreciation and amor-
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             tisation of £131m on revenues of £290.5m.
    Online                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      This will probably be its last site in the UK,
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             where it views its geographical coverage as
    Contrasting approaches                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   complete.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                Ireland remains a strong candidate for
    to capital management at                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 expansion abroad, though Center Parcs ended
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             talks with the government in Dublin two years
    two Manchester-based                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     ago after the recession hit. In the long term,
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             Center Parcs is eyeing markets such as India
    companies, James                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         and China.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                In the six years since Blackstone bought
    Halstead and Findel,                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     Center Parcs, it has spent more than £250m
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             upgrading the existing villages and will spend
    show the importance for                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  a further £60m over the next three years.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                Mr Dalby says 60 per cent of customers come
    companies of keeping a                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   back every three years, so it is important to
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             attract them with well-maintained facilities
    handle on their finances.                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                and new restaurants and leisure attractions.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             Brian Groom
    ft.com/blueprint
A blueprint for British business - Part one: cash management and liquidity
4                                                                                                                      FINANCIAL TIMES THURSDAY MAY 31 2012          FINANCIAL TIMES THURSDAY MAY 31 2012   5

BLUEPRINT FOR BRITISH BUSINESS | COST CONTROL

Cutting back to the bottom line
Reduction in expenditure can generate cash f low, and even finance growth, finds Jessica Twentyman

O
                      PTIMISTIC, YET STILL
                      defensive: those are the
                      sentiments expressed by UK
                      finance chiefs in manage-
                      ment consultancy Deloitte’s
                      CFO Survey for the first
                      quarter of 2012.
                        In the first three months of
this year, optimism among chief financial officers
about the prospects for their own businesses saw
its sharpest rise since the quarterly survey began
in 2007 – but that has not yet translated into
more expansionary strategies, such as increased
capital spend, mergers and acquisitions or intro-
duction of new products and services.
   Instead, the survey shows that British chief
financial officers are even more focused on safe-
guarding strategies, including cost-reduction pro-
grammes, than they were a year ago. Thirty-eight
per cent of 136 surveyed indicated that cutting
costs is a top priority for 2012, compared with
the 31 per cent in last year’s survey.
   Ian Stewart, chief economist at Deloitte, is
aware of the apparent anomaly of more buoyant
business sentiment and still-cautious corporate
strategies. “What we’re seeing is that concern
over external uncertainty remains high,” he says.
“The consequence of that concern is that the
‘new normal’ in terms of corporate behaviour is
not to anticipate any kind of steady upturn in
the near future, but instead to prepare for erratic
growth for some time to come.”
   For now, though, the cuts continue. For
example, Mothercare, the baby products retailer,
has reduced its number of UK stores by 62 over
the past 12 months, and, in April, announced
plans to shut a further 111 by March 2015, result-
ing in about 730 job losses. It is also seeking to
slash its “non-store overhead costs” by £20m on
an annualised basis by March 2015, with the loss
of 98 jobs at its UK head office in Watford.
   In the financial services sector, meanwhile,
HSBC has recently announced that its three-year
turnround plan is on target and that it cut costs        What can British businesses do to make their         second site, but that warehouse was costing us
by £2bn during the first year of this plan. In the     cost-reduction strategies more successful?             £1m a year to run and was full of unsold inven-
coming months, it expects to shed 2,217 jobs from      “Ideally, cost-cutting should be a long-term           tory. My logic was to get rid of the property first
its UK workforce.                                      strategy,” says Clive Lewis, head of enterprise at     and then the inventory problem would solve
   But cost-cutting should not just be a response      the Institute of Chartered Accountants in              itself. Now, turnover has increased, as has our
to difficult market conditions. For some compa-        England and Wales.                                     stock turn rate and I’m saving money that I
nies, it is simply the way they do business,             However, he acknowledged, some companies             would have otherwise spent on rent and interest
regardless of the external environment.                had no choice but to cut costs to improve short-       on stock,” he says. “It was a structural cost
   “A low-cost position wins in nearly every           term cash flow. “Up to 5 per cent of firms are         saving, not a tactical quick win. This is where
industry,” notes a recent report from Bain, the        trading at a loss and more are heading that way,”      I think cost-reduction efforts should focus.”
consultants. “Cost leaders can out-invest rivals in    he says, and cutting costs now could help them            At Cheshire-based Oliver Valves, which manu-
areas such as research and development and             rectify the situation – but only if they make          factures valves used by companies in the oil and
marketing, while still maintaining attractive          reductions in ways that will not impair the busi-      gas industry including Shell, BP and Exxon,
margins. They have the resources to capitalise         ness’s ability to expand in the future. That means     chairman Michael Oliver expects cost control to
faster and more readily on new opportunities.          identifying areas where cuts will not compromise       be a top priority for his procurement team, just
They can capture share, because they have more         a company’s unique selling points: its specialist      as it was for him when he started the company
price flexibility.”                                    skills, for example, or the quality of its products.   in his garage back in 1979.

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   But many cost-reduction efforts continue to fall                                                              In their negotiations with UK-based steel suppli-
short of their goals, and relatively few companies                     ANY ORGANISATIONS                      ers, they offer the companies guaranteed orders
succeed in making the savings they do achieve                          choose to start this process by        for the coming year, but on three conditions: the
stick, the report adds. A Bain survey of almost                        reviewing areas of discretionary       suppliers must keep the steel on their own site
300 executives showed that cost-reduction initia-                      spending, including marketing          until it is needed at Oliver Valves; they must
tives launched in 2008 and 2009 in response to                         and training budgets. But at           ensure that it is pre-certified for quality by inde-
the downturn had reaped disappointing results.         Briggs Equipment UK, the Staffordshire-based           pendent assessors; and they must offer discounts
Forty per cent of respondents at companies that        forklift company, chief executive Richard Close        to Oliver Valves that reflect the volumes the
aimed to reduce costs by at least 10 per cent          takes issue with this approach. “It is a very          company orders.
acknowledged that the target was not reached.          short-term response,” he says. “You will proba-           The company also works with a wide pool of
At companies aiming for ambitious reductions of        bly save money, certainly, but you are just            international suppliers. It has a procurement
20 per cent or more, 60 per cent of respondents        avoiding the more painful decision to plan a           team in India that deals directly with local
admitted failure.                                      serious restructuring that would deliver more          suppliers, regularly achieving 30 per cent cost
                                                       sustainable savings.”                                  savings on components compared with the prices
                                                         In 2006, Mr Close was brought in to turn the         offered by UK suppliers.
                                                       company around, and, by 2011, profits had risen           “We know to the penny what our costs are –
‘Gross margin is king – if you                         to £3m, up from £300,000 in 2010. In part, that        and I mean to the penny,” says Mr Oliver. “We
                                                       recovery has been achieved through cost-cutting,       have a saying here that ‘gross margin is king’, so
do not understand your costs                           he says, and in particular, the 2010 closure of a      we simply don’t accept an order in the first place
                                                       warehouse relatively far from the company’s            if it doesn’t offer us a gross margin of at least 50
really thoroughly, you are not                         main premises.                                         per cent. If you don’t understand your costs
                                                         “I hit an amazing wall of resistance within the      really thoroughly, you’re not running your busi-
running your business well’                            company when I announced the plans to sell this        ness well. It’s as simple as that.”
A blueprint for British business - Part one: cash management and liquidity
6                                                                                                                            FINANCIAL TIMES THURSDAY MAY 31 2012   FINANCIAL TIMES THURSDAY MAY 31 2012                                                                                                                 7

BLUEPRINT FOR BRITISH BUSINESS | CASH FLOW                                                                                                                                                                 BLUEPRINT FOR BRITISH BUSINESS | SMALLER COMPANIES

Show me the money                                                                                                                                                                                                A capital idea
In an era of austerity, a strong balance sheet is vital, says Paul Solman                                                                                                                                        Start-ups need banking support, writes Jonathan Moules

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                             HEN THE DOWN-            companies have raised it on their priority list.                                                                                                                             OR MOST ENTREPRENEUR-                from time to time and the debt should not be
                             turn struck, Booths        “But businesses need to remember that there is                                                                                                                             led businesses, capital manage-      permanently bumping up against the facility.”
                             was better prepared      a whole range of finance options. Term loans and                                                                                                                             ment is one problem they               He says small businesses are generally not
                             than many busi-          overdrafts are still very popular. But they should                                                                                                                           would actually like to have.         very good at managing banking relationships.
                             nesses in the UK.        also consider options such as asset finance, hire                                                                                                                              Young businesses do not gen-       “The banks and the businesses are divided by a
                             The family-owned         purchase and leasing, invoice discounting and,                                                                                                                               erally have huge cash piles.         common language. Entrepreneurs talk vision
                             grocery chain,           for some, equity.”                                                                                                                                                           The first few years is usually a     and the future. Bankers talk cash and now.”
                             which operates 28          Mr Lewis adds: “It boils down to basic, good                                                                                                                               hand-to-mouth existence, saving        Reliance Fibres, a London-based paper recy-
stores in the north-west of England, has              financial management. And you need to talk                                                                                                                 money wherever possible and spending what-             cling business, trades in seven countries, but
been part of the retail landscape since 1847          about it regularly in board meetings and                                                                                                                   ever money is available building operations.           gets almost all of its £12m annual revenue from
and has seen its share of peaks and troughs           make sure you have a high standard of financial                                                                                                              Those that survive can start to think about          exports to India. As a result, it needs currency
in the economic cycle.                                forecasting.”                                                                                                                                              selecting a finance team to take charge of their       hedging support and a large amount of working
   The fallout from the credit crisis of 2008 was       Ms White at Bank of America Merrill Lynch                                                                                                                capital management. However, most manage               capital to buy stock. It also needs to ensure
not immediately noticeable in Booths’ business        says companies are also reorganising their inter-                                                                                                          without a finance director, instead relying on         that invoices are settled quickly and that
fortunes, says John Vandermeer, finance director.     nal processes, supported by systems to improve                                                                                                             financial controllers or even book-keepers.            suppliers are paid on time.
“People still appeared to have money in their         their cash flow. “Anybody who had a crystal ball                                                                                                             The financial crisis created a double blow for         Good banking support is essential, as is a
pockets, especially as our customers tend to be       in 2007-08 would probably have renegotiated their                                                                                                          many entrepreneurial businesses – not only did         diligent finance director, according to Pankaj
among the more affluent,” he says. “It’s really in               finance conditions before the crisis, even                                                                                                      they have to cope with the implications of a           Chowdhary, founder and chief executive. “For
the past 12 months that we’ve begun to see                           if they weren’t up for renewal,” she                                                                                                        sudden drop in demand for their product or             us, managing cash is all about rolling it as
some impact. Unemployment and fuel costs                                says. “But treasurers also need to                                                                                                       service but the credit to support their opera-         soon as you can,” he explains. “One thing we
have begun to affect spending habits.”                                    make sure they are looking at                                                                                                          tions became harder to come by.                        make sure of is that we don’t pay anybody up
   Booths was fortunate last year, too,                                    all aspects of their business                                                                                                           Stats Group, an Aberdeen-based engineering           front. We squeeze as much as we can out of
when it sought refinancing to help                                          impacting working capital                                                                                                            business that provides tools for oil and gas com-      our credit limit with suppliers and get as much
fund expansion. “The banks have                                             management, including supply                                                                                                         panies to isolate sections of their pipelines for      finance as possible from our buyers.”
always seemed to have an appetite                                            chain and inventory, to                                                                                                             testing, had been growing between 50 and 100             Reliance buys its raw materials from large
for what we’re trying to achieve,”                                          ensure that cash is                                                                                                                  per cent in the four years leading up to the col-      waste management companies, many of them
Mr Vandermeer continues, “although                                         managed properly.                                                                                                                     lapse of Lehman Brothers in September 2008. In         family-owned businesses that are careful about
our original bank did suggest we bring                                        “Whether you are a                                                                                                                 the next year, however, its revenue fell from          whom they deal with. As a result, Reliance has
some others on board.”                                                    medium-sized corporate or a                                                                                                            £16m to £9m, forcing it to cut its headcount           had to make sure its reputation is exemplary.
   Other British companies, however, have                              large multinational, there is a lot                                                                                                       from about 140 people to 80.                           Being UK-based helps in this regard, Mr Chowd-
enjoyed less success when they went to the                          of emphasis on how to be more                                                                                                                  Although its oil market quickly recovered,           hary notes. It also helps that the business
bank. The total value of loans to private, non-              efficient when it comes to cash-flow                                                                                                                Stats, which up until then had been wholly debt        banks with HSBC, which has made Reliance
financial companies dropped by £1.7bn in              management, and understanding the profit and                                                                                                               funded, faced problems getting the working cap-        one of the small businesses it promotes. “Repu-
March, according to the Bank of England, and          loss impact of the supply chain,” she says.                                                                                                                ital it needed to rebuild its capacity.                tation is first and foremost for us,” he says.

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        W
overall lending to businesses is falling by more      “This could mean negotiating better terms with                                                                                                               “The reality was that it was an awful rock
than 3 per cent a year.                               suppliers. Sometimes just moving payment                                                                                                                   bottom that led us to be very constrained,”                              HILE ACCESS TO FINANCE
   For many businesses, credit has all but dried      methods from paper to electronic will make a                                                                                                               Peter Duguid, Stats’ chief executive recalls. “We                        remains a struggle for many
up in the years since the financial crisis, forcing   difference, or moving to other available instru-                                                                                                           had to reassess our levels of debt. Certainly,                           entrepreneurial businesses,
them to rethink how to manage their cash flow         ments, such as direct debits.”                                                                                                                             from an entrepreneurial perspective, my focus                            alternatives have appeared to

                                                      C
and liquidity – or perish.                                                                                                                                                                                       on the day-to-day management of cash was                                 enable companies to bypass the
   “If you go back to the pre-crisis period, you                 OMPANIES ALSO NEED TO                                                                                                                           front and centre.”                                     banks. Some companies, such as men’s toilet-
wouldn’t see businesses placing the amount of                    consider whether their cash pile is                                                                                                               Stats recovered its position, rebuilding its         ries business King of Shaves and confectionery
emphasis on cash flow and working capital                        being put to best use. Jose Franco,                                                                                                             workforce to previous levels and returning to          business Hotel Chocolat, have turned to cus-
management that they are now,” says Lesley                       global head of corporate banking liquid-                                                                                                        strong top-line growth. Revenue this year is           tomers for funding via retail bonds.
White, head of Europe, Middle East and Asia                      ity at Bank of America Merrill Lynch,                                                                                                           expected to be £25m, up from £14m in 2011.                The digital age has also created a variety of
treasury products for corporates at Bank of           says: “With all the uncertainty in the market, a                                                                                                           However, it has not been easy, Mr Duguid says:         new business models and technologies that can
America Merrill Lynch.                                ‘fortress balance sheet’ is vital. But there is the                                                                                                        “When you are a niche engineering business             help them in this process, such as peer-to-peer
   “Post-crisis, with bank lending much tighter,      threat that it will be eaten up by inflation due to                                                                                                        you need very specialist design experts, so when       lending and short-term loans available at the
the importance of effective, efficient cash-flow      the low [interest] rate environment.”                                                                                                                      you let some of those go, it is quite detrimental      swipe of a smartphone screen.
management has increased. Cash flow is the life          This is why an effective cash-flow management                                                                                                           to the business.”                                         According to Tony Cohen, head of entrepre-
blood of the business.”                               strategy also involves investment. “Cash flow                                                                                                                In March this year, Stats accepted a £7.8m           neurial business at Deloitte, the accountancy
   There are signs that companies – especially in     and investment strategy go hand in hand                                                                                                                    investment from the Business Growth Fund, a            firm, the danger for many young growing
the UK – are adapting to this reality. According      because the stockpile of cash causes other                                                                                                                 bank-financed venture capital fund. The rela-          businesses is that they get too caught up in the
to Treasury Strategies, a financial consultancy,      challenges,” says Mr Franco.                                                                                                                               tionship has already                                                             short-term requirements
UK-based companies have been building larger             “Cash can be classified as operating cash,                                                                                                              produced results, with                                                           of credit control and so
piles of cash than their counterparts in the US       which is needed immediately; reserve, which is                                                                                                             the BGF helping Stats       ‘Banks and businesses                                miss out on funding
and eurozone since well before the credit crunch      needed in a 6-12 month window; and strategic,                                                                                                              find a non-executive                                                             opportunities that could
began. Cash held by British companies amounted        which isn’t needed so can be invested for the                                                                                                              chairman and finance        are divided by a                                     increase their cash
to 50 per cent of the UK’s gross domestic product     longer term. That investment could be in an                                                                                                                director to lead the                                                             balances.
at the end of 2011, compared with 26 per cent in      instrument or it could be in purchasing one of                                                                                                             finance team.               common language’                                       “There is lots of work
2000, Treasury Strategies says.                       your suppliers, or even a similar business in                                                                                                                It is this support, as                                                         around creditor terms,
   By contrast, US corporate cash was                 another geography. But the critical point is that                                                                                                          much as the funding, that has made the rela-           cash collection and cash flow, but they are so
about 14 per cent of GDP at the                       not all cash should be treated as operating,”                                                                                                              tionship with the BGF worthwhile, Mr Duguid            focused on what they are doing day-to-day that
end of 2011 compared with 10                            he explains.                                          Businesses have been forced to                                                                     says. “What I see is stronger internal disciplines,    they haven’t the time to think more broadly
per cent in 2000, and eurozone                              Mr Franco adds that the emphasis on effec-                                                                                                           stronger accountability in the internal functions      about where they might be able to get some
companies’ cash was 21 per                                tive cash-flow management is likely to remain       rethink how to manage their cash                                                                   of the business and probably stronger banking          funds in the future,” he explains.
cent versus 15 per cent.                                  a focus for businesses for the foreseeable                                                                                                             relationships,” he says. “I have far better visibil-      Larger companies, on the other hand, are
   “It could be that UK compa-                            future. “It wasn’t critical when credit was         flow and liquidity – or perish                                                                     ity [of what is happening in the business] with-       inherently better at managing working capital.
nies are generally more con-                              cheap,” he says, “but risk appetite will also                                                                                                          out doing more myself.”                                They also have significant power over smaller
servative in their approach to                           become more important in the next five years                                                                                                              If there has been a benefit from the financial       businesses they buy from or sell to.
cash,” says Monie Lindsey, man-                        as interest rates rise. The UK and the US are in                                                                                                          crisis it is that many entrepreneurial businesses         It might seem unfair to those on the receiving
aging director and head of the Lon-                   a strong position, Europe is challenged.”                                                                                                                  have been forced to reassess their reliance on         end, but it also forces these smaller companies
don office of Treasury Strategies. “But                  At Booths, Mr Vandermeer says the company’s                                                                                                             debt and how they manage available capital.            to use their entrepreneurial skills to manage
2008 made                                             refinancing has secured funding for the next                                                                                                                 Guy Rigby, head of entrepreneurs at account-         their cash wisely as well as grow their busi-
everybody more cautious, and whether you call         four and a half years. But he says an under-                                                                                                               ancy firm Smith & Williamson, says: “There is          nesses, according to Julian Ramsey, a director at
it hoarding or insurance, companies don’t want to     standing of cash flow is critical to ensure that                                                                                                           an old saying: don’t borrow short to invest long.      Ernst & Young, the accountancy firm. Smaller
get caught out.”                                      the company does not overextend itself in its                                                                                                              In practice this means having both fixed capital       businesses should not see themselves as victims.
   Nevertheless, banks’ continued reluctance to       expansion plans.                                                                                                                                           (also known as equity) and debt in the business.”      Being small actually has its advantages, he says.
extend credit is forcing companies to cast their         “We have seven or eight stores in the pipeline,                                                                                                           The level of debt capacity of a business will           “The most successful entrepreneurial busi-
net much wider to secure the cash they need.          and there are a lot of factors that will impact                                                                                                            depend upon the availability of cash flow to           nesses focus on better management of the
   Clive Lewis, head of enterprise at the Institute   when a new store build will come through,” he                                                                                                              service the interest and capital payments, Mr          peripheral – rather than the headline – terms
of Chartered Accountants in England and Wales,        says. “But a lot of the control is still within our                                                                                                        Rigby notes. “Overdrafts, which are repayable          relating to cash in contracts,” he says, “less on
says: “There is a general understanding among         remit, which helps an awful lot from a cash-flow                                                                                                           on demand, should be fully fluctuating. In other       whether payment is in 30 or 60 days and more
businesses of the importance of cash flow. Many       planning point of view.”                                                                                                                                   words the account should swing into credit             on rebates and payment frequencies.”
8                                                                                                                           FINANCIAL TIMES THURSDAY MAY 31 2012          FINANCIAL TIMES THURSDAY MAY 31 2012   9

BLUEPRINT FOR BRITISH BUSINESS | CURRENCIES

Hedging your bets
Companies can use financial instruments to guard against a strong pound, says Michael Hunter

T
                   HE PERCEIVED HAVEN prop-              “We brought in specialist help to reduce the
                   erties of sterling on              frequency with which we had to revise prices,
                   international currency             as well as to keep down our euro-costs. We
                   markets generate a clear           were not getting a great exchange rate
                   problem for British business:      through the banks, and we also had to pay
                   a strong pound makes exports       transaction costs.
                   more expensive.                       “The services offered by our hedging pro-
                      At a time when domestic         vider have been more flexible and
demand is also under pressure from faltering          offer us greater clarity. I have
consumer confidence and a return to recession,        three forward positions at the
the impact of adverse currency movements on           moment, and can look at
competitiveness abroad adds a fresh layer of          them at any time. For us,
difficulty.                                           it definitely has worked,
  For companies, this makes mitigating the            and has also been cost
impact of a strengthening pound all the more          effective. If I was
important, and there are four main types of           marking our strategy out
financial instruments that can be utilised to         of 10, I would give it a
soften the blow.                                      nine, although we remain
  Options contracts come in two types. “Call”         aware there is an element
options give a company the right, but not the         of risk, and the [currency]
obligation, to buy a currency at a predetermined      price can always go
price within a defined time frame. A “put” option     against us.”
allows the company to sell at a certain price, and       One chief executive of
within a defined time frame.                          a medium-sized company
  Futures contracts provide a standardised way        based in the south-east of
to buy or sell currency at a set price and a set      Britain says that the
time, both defined at the time the contract is        pound’s ascent
drawn up. Because the contracts are standard-         would need to
ised, they can be subsequently traded on              be steeper
exchanges.                                            before it became
  Forward contracts work in a similar way, and        necessary for his
tend to be drawn up between banks or brokers,         business to take
with the price of the sale or purchase also agreed    action. He
at the time the contract is written. But because      also says
they are private contracts, they cannot be traded     that many
among third parties on open exchanges.                exporters buy
  Carry spot trades allow companies to take long      parts or raw
or short bets on the value of a currency, funded      materials from
in another, in order to gain positive exposure to     abroad, which
a relative change in value that might otherwise       can act as what
add to a business’s costs.                            he termed “an
  Michael Stumm, co-founder of Oanda                  internal hedge”
Corporation, the operator of the fxTrade website,     against a strong
offers an example. “You are a small company in        pound.
the UK that has an accounts payable of €250,000,         Oanda’s Mr
due in three months,” he says. “In order to pro-      Stumm points out
tect yourself, you can buy €250,000 using sterling,   that some hedging
thereby eliminating any currency exchange risk,       strategies are more
since you will be getting today’s rate. It doesn’t    complicated than
matter if the euro goes up in value or down as        others: “Banks
you are controlling a €250,000 euro position in       typically generate
your account thus ensuring you have hedged the
full amount of the pending payable.”
  The impact of such strategies on business can
be significant, and the current volatility on                                                           ‘With the outlook for the
foreign exchange markets means they are becom-
ing more popular.                                                                                       eurozone still unclear, we expect
  Philip Evans, director of strategy and business
development at Ramsden International, a food                                                            more clients to use foreign
exporter, is looking into adopting hedges, and
says the currency market is becoming “more                                                              exchange platforms for hedging’
influential” as the business grows.
  “Historically, we have sold only in sterling.
But customers’ memories tend to only go back a                                                                      more revenue from selling options than from
year or so, and as we need to avoid looking                                                                         selling the other instruments used in hedging.
uncompetitive, exchange rates are becoming                                                                            “Options are relatively complex derivatives,
more of an issue. For some larger customers                                                                         and unless you fully understand the maths
we now need to invoice in local currencies,                                                                         behind options pricing, you cannot know if you
but with longer-term contracts, with payment                                                                        are getting a good deal or not. Hence, we recom-
terms of up to 90 days, you have to evaluate                                                                        mend clients stay away from options unless they
factors influencing margins, and the volatility                                                                     have a financial background.”
of the currency market is an important part                                                                           Angus Campbell, head of market analysis at
of that. It’s not all easily predictable. The                                                                       London Capital Group, said the demand for the
issue is one of balancing competitiveness                                                                           hedging services he provides is growing as the
and risk and that has started to move                                                                               currency markets remain turbulent.
against exporters.”                                                                                                   “With the outlook for the eurozone still very
  Sarah French, finance manager at                                                                                  unclear, we would expect to see more clients use
IT4Automation, started using currency                                                                               our foreign exchange platform for hedging pur-
hedging four years ago, after becoming                                                                              poses. A simple and effective way for exporters
aware that the business, which distributes                                                                          to mitigate risk is to buy or sell those currencies
networking products, was paying more                                                                                that they are exposed to in order to protect
than it needed to in euros for products                                                                             themselves against any adverse fluctuation in the
bought from Taiwan.                                                                                                 exchange rate.”
10                                                                                                                             FINANCIAL TIMES THURSDAY MAY 31 2012         FINANCIAL TIMES THURSDAY MAY 31 2012                                                                                                                          11

BLUEPRINT FOR BRITISH BUSINESS | MANUFACTURING                                                                                                                                                                                             BLUEPRINT FOR BRITISH BUSINESS | OPINION

Beyond the bean counters
Companies can no longer rely on bank lending – but are coping surprisingly well. By Michael Kavanagh

W
                             HILE BRITAIN’S             It added: “Most feel that there is currently no                ued pressure on the UK high street, the company         “The corporate sector is strong in cash, though
                             political and banking    real ‘relationship’ between the banks and their                  is thriving – it is the banks he is worried about.   some are now struggling, while some continue to       Jonathan Guthrie A doomed golden age for UK plc
                             leaders contemplate      SME clients. Any relationship, such as it is, is                   “We are in a strong position. We are a             expand,” he says. “If you have an economy that
                             the extent of the        mainly seen as weak or poor, and certainly                       profitable company with a strong customer            is shrinking, the average business is not going
                             damage that might        worse than it was before the credit crunch.”                     base,” he says. “And shopping groups are, with       to expand – it is very difficult to convince people
                             be inflicted on the        Learning to live without lending from                          one or two exceptions, creditworthy.”                to invest if there is no prospect of recovery in
                             domestic economy by      banks appears to be a pattern that has stuck                       But the general fragility of the UK and            the future.”
                             the eurozone crisis,     for many companies, regardless of their credit-                  European economies has continued to threaten            Though Brompton has enjoyed success in
those supplying manufactured goods for sale or        worthiness. And, in a reversal of positions, cash-               the amount of help many businesses can expect        expanding exports, sterling’s recent appreciation
export would do well to keep calm and carry on.       rich companies are now concerned about the                       to receive from clearing banks as the threat of      against a weakening euro has forced the com-

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  W
  For Will Butler-Adams, managing director of         health of the banks.                                             a double-dip recession looms.                        pany to impose a mid-year price increase on its
Brompton Bicycle, a stagnation of high street           The latest quarterly SME finance monitor                         “We have a variety of credit lines. We are not     range of folding bikes destined for the continent,                     ALLS OF CASH OFTEN PROVE
spending in the UK and European slowdown has          published by BDRC Continental, the consultancy,                  deciding against doing anything because of a         which accounts for about 40 per cent of sales.                         less durable than the kind made      A loans drought
not hindered 20 per cent year-on-year growth in       suggested there was an increasing proportion of                  shortage of cash,” says Mr Mills. “But we have       Much of its business is naturally hedged, as the                       of bricks and mortar. Prudent
sales of its niche range of folding bikes that can    medium and smaller businesses who were “happy                    been diversifying our banking facilities – we are    proportion of sales made in the eurozone is                            businesses build up cash or pay      weakens collective
cost more than £800.                                  non-seekers” of bank lending, who had neither                    nervous and there is safety in numbers.”             matched by the proportion of parts priced in                           down debt when performance has
  But the company, one of Britain’s few remain-       applied for finance nor wanted or needed to.                       Instead, the main constraint on trade, he says,    euros – just as parts sourced in Asia and priced      been strong, lest it disappoints later on. That is    economic confidence
ing bicycle manufacturers in a sector dominated         “There is a lack of trust in the banks in this                 is the general lack of confidence in economic        in dollars are matched by dollar-pegged receipts.     the position of many large businesses as continu-
by east Asian suppliers, is typical of many small     market,” confirms Mr Butler-Adams. “There is                     demand in the UK and continental Europe,                And Mr Butler-Adams argues that businesses         ing eurozone turbulence – most recently mani-         capital expenditure and bolster payouts to share-
businesses that successfully navigated the finan-     a very uncertain situation in Europe – we are                    which accounts for the bulk of the 40 per cent       caught by surprise in the last recession are          fested in Spain’s property crash – threatens to       holders instead. Similarly, no stock analyst ever
cial crisis and subsequent recession of 2009. Like    not out of the woods.”                                           of JML’s sales not generated in the UK.              better prepared in general to face the next           depress growth further. The dissipation of these      got fired for short-termism. BT Group, the tele-
many of its small and medium-sized enterprise           Concern over the health of banks exposed to                                                                         phase of difficulties. “Businesses struggling three   reserves through cost subsidies during periods of     communications company, recently suffered City
(SME) peers, it is pondering investment, but          large-scale defaults in Europe has also provoked                                                                      years ago have gone bust or done something to         tougher trading or, indirectly, through bank          criticism for raising its final dividend by 12 per
wary of relying on bank borrowing to do so.           a defensive financial strategy at JML, the           In a reversal of positions, cash-                                make their situation better. But we have to get       deleveraging mean that their impact is rarely as      cent. This increment was regarded as derisory
  Investment plans for Brompton – which               consumer goods distributor.                                                                                           out and export. There is no recovery coming           dramatic as suggested by such bald numbers as         when a higher total could have been achieved by
include new factory space for expanded produc-          More than three years on from the demise of        rich companies are concerned                                     from the UK – or Europe.”                             the $2tn of surplus liquidity reputedly lurking on    the simple expedient of spending less on the roll-
tion and a first store in China – are tempered by     one of its best-known outlets, Woolworths, JML’s                                                                         Plans for a new shop in Shanghai reflect           the balance sheets of US and European compa-          out of faster broadband, a cost that promises to
the desire to maintain a £1m buffer within larger     founder John Mills argues that in spite of contin-   about the health of the banks                                    booming Asian prospects, and new sales and            nies at the end of 2011.                              benefit both BT and the broader economy.

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        M
cash balances.                                                                                                                                                              distribution leads are being pursued in South           European politicians would it were otherwise.
  “We have £2.5m in the bank,” Mr Butler-                                                                                                                                   America. Business in the US remains positive.         Most of them believe, with varying degrees of                           ANY BILLIONS OF THE
Adams says. “Four years ago we were operating                                                                                                                               And even in the flatlining economies of Europe,       fundamentalism, that austerity is the only route                        putative wall of cash have been
in the red – now we want £1m in the bank                                                                                                                                    Brompton’s cult status still leaves the company       to post-financial crisis stability and then growth.                     returned to shareholders. There is
as a minimum against [problems] and if                                                                                                                                      keen to invest in expansion – if paid for out of      The implicit contradiction is that many of the                          plenty more to come. UK listed
the banks don’t lend – and another £1.5m to                                                                                                                                 its own resources.                                    tribunes of the people would nevertheless like                          companies paid gross dividends of
play with.”                                                                                                                                                                    For Mr Mills, though, his company’s success in     companies to make the stimulatory investments         £68bn in 2011, according to Capita Registrars, the
  Mr Butler-Adams’ reluctance to rely on bank                                                                                                                               navigating the “sink or swim” conditions facing       seen as inadvisable for the public sector because     UK administrator of company share registers.
borrowing even during a phase of expanding                                                                                                                                  many UK mid-tier businesses still leaves Britain      of its higher indebtedness.                           This is a 19.4 per cent increase and the highest
export-led sales growth might appear overly con-                                                                                                                            facing an economic policy disaster leading to           Unsurprisingly, company boards remain scepti-       figure for five years and the company’s forecast
servative to many. Surely it is precisely at such                                                                                                                           high unemployment, stagnant living standards          cal that their hurdle rates for investment can be     for 2012 is £76bn.
times that businesses ought to be borrowing                                                                                                                                 and a manufacturing decline prompted by a             surpassed when spiking yields for Mediterra-             Shareholders reasonably expect that a one-off
rather than hoarding cash?                                                                                                                                                  defence of sterling.                                  nean government debt point to a long                          gain by a company should mean a one-off
  But such an approach appears to fit a pattern                                                                                                                                “The real route to re-establishing the scale of    period of turbulence and weak                                      payout to them. More broadly, extem-
of fractured trust between the SME sector and                                                                                                                               investment needed to create a manufacturing           growth. For example, the UK’s                                         pore returns of capital are a signal
banks. Created during the crisis of 2008-09, it has                                                                                                                         renaissance in the UK is a devaluation of ster-       Office for Budget Responsibil-                                           that current rates of return.
yet to heal. Now the relationship is threatened                                                                                                                             ling,” says Mr Mills, who apart from establishing     ity, an independent fore-                                                  Share buybacks have been a
still further by nervousness over the future                                                                                                                                his own business is also former Labour finance        caster, expects output to                                                   sop to investors over the past
willingness and ability of banks to extend credit                                                                                                                           chief of Camden Council in London.                    grind along at below 3                                                       couple of years, despite the
as the eurozone crisis deepens.                                                                                                                                                As an importer of many consumer goods              per cent a year until                                                         reasonable objection that
  A report commissioned by the Institute of                                                                                                                                 manufactured in east Asia and denominated             2015.                                                                          repurchases represent poor
Chartered Accountants for England and Wales                                                                                                                                 in dollars, he is aware that his key policy             In a recent note, Mor-                                                       value when made, as is cus-
into access to finance for SMEs, published early                                                                                                                            prescription – effectively the same devaluation       gan Stanley, the invest-                                                       tomary, during market ral-
last year, concluded the majority of respondents                                                                                                                            argument some support to revive the Greek             ment bank, argues that                                                         lies. Buybacks are automat-
felt that “whatever trust existed between banks                                                                                                                             economy – would hurt the cost base of his own         an improvement in the                                                          ically earnings enhancing
and SMEs in 2009 has mainly dissipated, due to                                                                                                                              business in the short term.                           availability of credit is                                                     and tax free for continuing
the ways SMEs have been treated by banks in                                                                                                                                    “But it is what is best for Britain, not JML,”     needed to stimulate                                                          investors, who are thus
the last nine to 12 months, in particular when                                                                                                                              he says. “If the exchange rate did go down, we        investment even when                                                        happy to ignore the critics.
seeking finances”.                                                                                                                                                          are experienced enough to overcome this prob-         company balance sheets are                                                   Takeovers – another use
                                                                                                                                                                            lem. Life would be difficult but not terminally       healthy. A loans drought                                                 for corporate cash – have by
                                                                                                                                                                            damaging – it is what is best for the country.”       weakens collective economic                                            contrast been notable for their
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  confidence, even among those who                                    scarcity. Here, as with investment
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  do not want to borrow, the argument                            in organic growth, a heightened percep-
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  runs. European banks are shrinking their                tion of risk is to blame. Meanwhile, private
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  balance sheets as they write down dud loans and       equity companies, reliable purchasers of publicly
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  seek to meet tougher capital requirements, so no      listed companies before the crunch, have suffered
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  recovery is likely soon. After the decade hubristi-   the double indignity of tighter credit and a
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  cally dubbed “nice” (non-inflationary, constantly     boycott by equity funders of the weakest of
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  expanding) come the years of collective paralysis.    their number.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    Business has at least benefited from a recovery        Raising top-line growth through mergers and
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  that came in the wake of the credit crunch and        acquisitions is a long-standing, if unspoken,
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  was propelled by such engines as restocking and       strategy of chief executives hungry for a pay
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  unrepeatably rampant Chinese growth. UK corpo-        increase. With that avenue blocked, they can at
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  rate earnings before interest, tax, depreciation      least expect the boost to remuneration that
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  and amortisation as a percentage of sales rose        special payouts should deliver via bonus formulae
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  from 9.9 per cent in 2008 to 15.4 per cent in 2011,   shackled to total returns. But, as UK shareholders
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  but slipped to 13.5 per cent in the last quarter,     seize back the ownership that was always theirs
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  according to the S&P Capital IQ database. The         for the taking, bosses can no longer look forward
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  dread hand of mean reversion weighs heavily on        to the upward rebasing of their pay. All in all, for
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  the shoulder of business.                             both executives and investors, there is just a hint
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    For bosses, investment cycles are overlaid by       of a doomed golden-age vibe to cash-rich 2012. It
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  their own career plans. If you are not intending      is appropriate that a remake of The Great Gatsby
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  to stick around – or fear that increasingly asser-    will be released this year.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  tive investors might provide you with an expe-
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  dited exit – the temptation is to forget about        Jonathan Guthrie is the FT’s City editor
12   FINANCIAL TIMES THURSDAY MAY 31 2012
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