Airports 4.0: Impact of Digital Transformation on Airport Economics - Viewpoint

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Airports 4.0: Impact of Digital Transformation on Airport Economics - Viewpoint
Airports 4.0: Impact of
Digital Transformation on
Airport Economics
Viewpoint

May, 2015
Airports 4.0: Impact of Digital Transformation on Airport Economics - Viewpoint
Agenda

1    What is Airport 4.0 ?

2    A holistic view at digital airport economics

3    Key success factors of a digital transformation

                                                       Arthur D. Little – Introduction to the Economics of Digital Airports – May 2015   2
1. What is an Airport 4.0 ?

   Airports are at the fore-front of global challenges and innovations of our society and business,
   among which Digital Transformation
                                                 Global trends

                                           Scarcity and stability of    Rise of emerging
                                                 resources                 economies

                          Social & demographic                                                  Urbanization and
                                  shifts                                                       integrated mobility

                       New health & wellbeing
                             demands
                                                                Airport                              Digital revolution

                                                               industry
                                                                                            Fast changing business
                          Hyper-competition
                                                                                                  ecosystems

                                New customer power                              Disruptive technological
                                 and sophistication                                    advances

                                                            Business trends

                                                                              Arthur D. Little – Introduction to the Economics of Digital Airports – May 2015   3
1. What is an Airport 4.0 ?

   The airport expenses into “smartization”, i.e. into digital based solutions, should grow by ~40% in
   2020 vs today with the objective of better customer experience and improved operations

                                                                                     Smart airport spending – in Bn$ 2014
        As a public service infrastructure, an airport is a processor /
         connector between the flow of aircrafts and the flow of                                                +39%
         [passengers + baggage]…
                                                                                                                             13.214
        …Hence the strong focus on airport operations for “smart                                                             1.126         Others
         airport” spending (see besides)                                                                                                    Car parks
                                                                                                                              2.393
                                                                                                9.517                                     317
                                                                                                   841                        1.012        Building Operation
                                                                                               232
        As an economic entity, it leverages this position in the value                         1.704                                       Security
         chain to monetize those flows through many different                                      769                        3.154         Baggage sorting
         approaches, at each step of the journey…                                                2.241                                      Check-in
                                                                                                                              3.010
        …Smart airport investment should then demonstrate an                                                                               Apron
                                                                                                 2.141                                      Airside Resource Mgt
         attractive business case, with high impact on growing                                                             444 245
                                                                                                  184         344
         revenues and lowering the costs and capital expenditures                                1.061                      1.513           ATM

                                                                                                  2014                        2020

   Source : Smart Airports Market Forecast 2014-2020, Profound Market Intelligence
                                                                                      Arthur D. Little – Introduction to the Economics of Digital Airports – May 2015   4
1. What is an Airport 4.0 ?

   Airports are currently mature to implement 2.0 digital solutions but should look forward for the next
   10-15 years in order to implement an Airports 4.0 model

      Airport models

                                 All about manual and analogic processes
        Airport 1.0
                                 Long lag-time between resource solicitation and the airport answer

                                 Implementation of self-service thanks to the automation of some key flow processing
        Airport 2.0
                                  tasks (bag-drop, passport check)

                                 Several focused initiatives to leverage digitalization so that to optimize flow
        Airport 3.0
                                  monitoring and processing

                                 Full-connected with all stake-holders
        Airport 4.0              Superior proactivty and reactivity to adapt to the real-time solicitation of the airport
                                  (operational needs, customer requests etc…)

                                                                        Arthur D. Little – Introduction to the Economics of Digital Airports – May 2015   5
Agenda

1    What is Airport 4.0 ?

2    Economics of Full Digital 4.0 Airports

3    Key success factors of a digital transformation

                                                       Arthur D. Little – Introduction to the Economics of Digital Airports – May 2015   6
2. Economics of Full Digital 4.0 Airports

   A Full Digital Airport leverages 6 technology clusters to optimize its economics by increasing
   capacity of existing facilities, lowering OPEX and boosting revenues
      Clusters for airport
      digital technologies                  Capacity increase                 OPEX optimization                                    Revenue growth

       Flow monitoring &
                                       Wifi / Bluetooth or Imaging based or flow monitoring, Indoor geo-localization…
       management

                                       Check-in & Bag Drop, Self-Boarding, Baggage lifters, Automated Taxiing, New Security check points (?),
       Process automation
                                       Automated-Docking, …

       Collaborative Decision Making
                                       Total Airport Management Center, Real-time operation management
       (Air & Ground Ops)

       Intelligent Building            BIM, real-time energy and utilities management, intelligent preventive maintenance, data-based asset
       Management                      management, …

       Customer engagement             Beacons, Digital & interactive display, CRMs systems

       Predictive solutions            Automated planning management for key use of airport resources

                                                                                   Arthur D. Little – Introduction to the Economics of Digital Airports – May 2015   7
2. Economics of Full Digital 4.0 Airports

   Digital transformation as clearly a great impact on capacity utilization and therefore on required
   CAPEX for extension

    In % of airport assets                                                               Examples of capacity increase
                                              -9%
                                 100%
                                                                             Non-CAPEX focused solutions, i.e. process optimization through
      Energy & Utility           11,0%                  91%                   data-analytics :
                                                        10%
   Ground access &
                                                                               – Runway capacity increase by +10% (LGW)
                                 24,0%
         Car Parks                                                             – Check-in capacity >20% (CPH)
                                                        24%
                                                                             CAPEX-based solutions :
   Terminal Building
                                                                               – Automated bag-drop +30% (ORY)
                                 41,0%
         & Systems                                      35%                    – IATA future security check-point concept
                                                                               – …

           Runway &
                                 24,0%                  22%
              Apron
                                                                                Airside : 10% to 15% capacity increase
                                                                                Landside : up to 30% capacity gain, but unit cost +15% for
                             Asset Base 2.0         Asset Base 4.0              intelligent building & equipment
   Source : ACI average world airport P&L 2014, Arthur D. Little analysis

                                                                                            Arthur D. Little – Introduction to the Economics of Digital Airports – May 2015   8
2. Economics of Full Digital 4.0 Airports
2.0 An holistic view at digital airport economics
   Process automation and Energy & Building management could have a great impact on OPEX

    In % of airport revenues
                                 -14%                                                     Examples of OPEX optimization
                     52,3%
                                                                             Automation of passenger treatment processes saving 20% to
      Others         11,0%                    44,8%                           50% of staff

 Maintenance
                                                                             Sharing of real-time situation awareness for ground operating
                      2,5%                    11,0%
                      3,4%
                                                                              staff of airports, handlers, airlines and other 3rd parties : -10%
     Utilities
                      4,2%
                                                                              supervision costs
        SGA                                      2,2%
                                           2,9%
                                                                             Reduced labor-cost and external purchasing for maintenance
  Contracted                                  3,8%
                     12,7%                                                    (linked to CAPEX optimization and intelligent assets)
    Services
                                              10,1%                          Automated administrative processes (revenue accounting and
                                                                              billing, basic training etc…)

        Staff        18,6%                                                   Reduced energy consumption (lighting, heating…)
                                              14,8%

                                                                                Organizational challenges are also key to be considered to
                   OPEX 2.0                 OPEX 4.0                            leverage those gains potential
   Source : ACI average world airport P&L 2014, Arthur D. Little analysis

                                                                                              Arthur D. Little – Introduction to the Economics of Digital Airports – May 2015   9
2. Economics of Full Digital 4.0 Airports

   From an helicopter-view the impact of the Digital Transformation of airports on revenues seems
   quite significant

                                                                Potential threats on airport revenue streams
               Revenue Growth Accelerator
                                                             Moving some transactions away from the airport :
    Increased dwell-time thanks to better operation
                                                               – Duty-free online…
     efficiency driven by digitalization
                                                               – … with pick-up on-board of goods purchased
    Enhanced interaction with customers:
                                                             Disintermediation of services providers operating at
      – Better flow knowledge and tracking of individuals
                                                              airports :
        at the airport terminal
                                                               – Car sharing solutions using long-term parked
      – Ability to push sales and to propose hyper-
                                                                 vehicles
        segmented offers, instantly
                                                               – …
    Dynamic pricing (today in car parks, tomorrow in
     retail with discount coupons / bundled offers etc…)

                                                                 Arthur D. Little – Introduction to the Economics of Digital Airports – May 2015   10
2. Economics of Full Digital 4.0 Airports

   Obviously, more efficient and faster processes are the key for customer spending increase at
   airports
                                                                Correlation between dwell time
       Split of passenger dwell time at airports
                                                                and spend-per-pax at airports
                                                                                  Spending ratio
             21%             26%                                                    3,5
                                                     Process time
         5%                                          Queue, Watch & Wait            3,0
                                                     Basic Needs
                                                     Commercial Dwell-Time          2,5
                     47%
                                                                                    2,0
                                                                           650                                                                       +40,0%
                       600
                                                                                    1,5
                                      330                     330
    Billion-hours                                                                   1,0
                                                   225
  lost at airports                                                                                                       Spend-per-pax : +2€ to
                                                                                    0,5                                  +3€ per additional hour
                     Check-In      Security &   Orientation   FIDS         Gate
                                   Passport                                         0,0                                                                             Minutes
            Impact of digitalization                                                       5      15     25      35      45     55      65      75     85 95+

   Source : Dolby & Holder, Arthur D. Little projects

                                                                                          Arthur D. Little – Introduction to the Economics of Digital Airports – May 2015     11
2. Economics of Full Digital 4.0 Airports

   Digital Transformation is also key to address the current and future Digital consumers, that are
   representing ~40% of the world population today
                        USA                       Western Europe                                                       Asia

         Current and future digital         Current and future digital                           Current and future digital
         consumers : 40% of pop.            consumers : 33% of pop.                              consumers : 33% to 50% of pop.
   Source : United Nations

                                                                     Arthur D. Little – Introduction to the Economics of Digital Airports – May 2015   12
2. Economics of Full Digital 4.0 Airports
2.0 An holistic view at digital airport economics
   Actually, revenue increase lead by Digitalization is still uncertain today : revenue upside can be
   threaten by “digital competitors” ; nevertheless digital interaction is a must-have
                                                                             Examples of revenues upsides and downsides because of
    In % of airport revenues
                                 +5,1%                                                            digitalization

                                              46%                           Retail + F&B :
                      44%
                                                7%        Others
                                                                             +5% to +15% thanks to increased dwell-time
                       7%                                                    > +10% (?) potential from enhanced customer interaction
                                                9%        Real Estate        ? competition from online dutyfree ?
                       9%
                                                     2%   Advertizing       Advertising :
                            2%             3%             F&B
                  2%                                                         Spectacular sales increase for products being advertised
                                                                              digitally today (but will it last ?), … hence higher revenues
                      13%                     15%         Retail              for advertising operators…
                                                                             … but that are not converted into higher advertising fee for
                       3%                       2%        Rental car          airports has ad operators claim for higher CAPEX for digital
                                                                              displays
                       9%                       9%        Car Parking
                                                                            Car park and car rental :
           Non-Aeronautical 2.0      Non-Aeronautical 4.0                    Yield management enables +6% to +10% sales increase…
                                                                             but price comparators or car sharing solutions might take-
   Source : ACI average world airport P&L 2014, Arthur D. Little analysis     way 10% to 20% of revenues
                                                                                            Arthur D. Little – Introduction to the Economics of Digital Airports – May 2015   13
2. Economics of Full Digital 4.0 Airports
2.0 An holistic view at digital airport economics
   Overall, unleashing the potential value of Airport 4.0 economics looks quite attractive vs the current
   Airport 2.0 business model with a significant EBIT improvement potential
    Total EBIT
    margin (% of             27,5%               39,1%
    revenues)
                                                                            A “full-digital greenfield” airport would generate more than
          Aeronautical                                                      +10pts EBIT margin
                             56,2%               56,2%
            Revenues
                                                                             Capacity increase by 15-20% minimum, but CAPEX reduction only
                                                                              by -10% (cost of intelligent building & equipment)

     Non-Aeronautical                                                        OPEX reduction by 15%
                             43,8%               46,0%
           Revenues
                                                                             Revenue growth mainly induced by the “side-effect” of better
                                                                              customer satisfaction and increased dwell-time

                  OPEX       -52,3%              -44,8%                     Challenges for airport operators are the following :
                                                                             At what pace can we achieve our full digital transformation ? What
                                                 -18,3%                       are the key success factors ?
           Depreciation      -20,2%
                                                                             How to preserve most gains for the airports while sharing part of
                           Airport 2.0         Airport 4.0                    this additional profit between stakeholders ?
   Source : ACI average world airport P&L 2014, Arthur D. Little analysis

                                                                                                Arthur D. Little – Introduction to the Economics of Digital Airports – May 2015   14
Agenda

1    What is Airport 4.0 ?

2    Economics of Full Digital 4.0 Airports

3    Key Success Factors of a digital transformation

                                                       Arthur D. Little – Introduction to the Economics of Digital Airports – May 2015   15
3. Key Success Factors of a digital transformation

   A Digital Transformation requires new skills and talents ; it should involve the entire airport
   organization

      Revenue focused departments                 Operation focused departments                          New business analytics department :
                                                                                                          Small team : 5-20 people
     Airline marketing                          Airport Operations – Airfield /                         Data & fact-based-driven, process
     Commercial revenues & passenger             Terminal
                                                                                                           agnostics : mix of new comers and
      marketing                                  Airport Maintenance / Facility
                                                   Management
                                                                                                           some grey-hair process experts
     Real-Estate
     Other internal service providers
                                         Transfor-      Flight statistics & forecast                     Ability to gain autonomy in
                                          mation                                                           developing tools and analysis in-
      (handling, security…)
                                           team
                                                                                                           house…
                                         Business
             Airport planners,           Analytics                                                        … and to embrace open-innovation
                                                          Support functions
          designers & developers                                                                          Transverse approach, no hierarchical
                                                                                                           linked towards existing departments,
     Program & master-planning                  Strategy
                                                                                                           but could be split into revenue
     Engineering (when in-house)                Finances
                                                                                                           focused experts vs operation
     Project management                         Human Resources
                                                                                                           focused experts
                                                 …
                                                                                                          Commando spirit

                                                                                        Arthur D. Little – Introduction to the Economics of Digital Airports – May 2015   16
3. Key Success Factors of a digital transformation

   Achieving a Digital Airport Vision and Business Model requires the combination of (1) a usual
   strategic planning approach and of (2) Design Thinking bricks

                                          Digital Transformation Governance

                                                             Sourcing
           Strategic Vision :                                strategy :
              Ambition target,                             in-house / open-
                                        Ideate                                                                                      Imple-
         alignment of priorities for                          innovation                  Prototyping
                                       solutions                                                                                   mentation
             change, impact on                               Customized /
             airport economics                              vendor solution
                                                                  …

                                                   Change management

       Boosting creativity, shortening “go-to-market” cycles, winning the buy-in of the organization…
       … while focusing efforts and managing potential conflicts of interest

                                                                              Arthur D. Little – Introduction to the Economics of Digital Airports – May 2015   17
3. Key Success Factors of a digital transformation
3. Key Success Factors of a digital transformation
   A successful Digital Transformation must provide tangible and economic benefit to every
   stakeholders of an Airport 4.0
                                       Airports & Airlines :
                                        Transform into a « Smart airport » , consider risk-
                                         sharing and value-based relationships
                                        Find a modus vivendi with airlines to manage the
                                         battle for consumer ownership through digital
    Airports & Investors :                                                                                   Airports & The City
                                         media
     Implement lean & agile                                                                                  Contribute to the aviation
      business model :                                                                                         industry green effort
      – Skills and activities of                    Next generation airport                                   Contribute to & prescribe
        tomorrow ?                                     business model                                          mobility strategies based on
      – Integrator vs Orchestrator ?                                                                           digital-enabled solutions

      – “Flexible” CAPEX ?
                                       Airports & Consumers :
                                        Leverage big data & technology to understand
                                         « hyper-consumers » and boost both customer
                                         experience and commercial revenues
                                        Find the right balance between being “a
                                         connector” and a “place of enjoyment”

                                                                               Arthur D. Little – Introduction to the Economics of Digital Airports – May 2015   18
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                                                                                  Arthur D. Little – Introduction to the Economics of Digital Airports – May 2015   19
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