Angela Harrington Manchester City Council - 2nd July 2014 FACE conference
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Angela Harrington Manchester City Council 2nd July 2014 FACE conference
Contents Part 1: Manchester – The last five years – Employment growth in strategic locations – Demand for higher level skills Part 2: The regeneration of East Manchester – 2002 Commonwealth Games – Etihad Campus – Beswick Hub – Manchester Life Development Company Conclusions
Part 1: Manchester
The last five years…
An urban population explosion
570
Populations Compared
550
530
In thousands
510
Community Strategy target
2008 SNPP
490 2010 SNPP
2011 GMFM final
2011 SNPP interim
470 2012 GMFM final
19% increase between 2001 – 2011
Third biggest rise in England 2013 GMFM final
The biggest percentage of any UK city
Three times more than the national average
450
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
Source: ONS, Crow n copyright; Oxford Economics, copyright
In 2011 the population of the City stood at 503,102 - we suspect it is now closer to 550,000
There is no reason to believe that the rate of growth will slow
It is not unreasonable to expect Manchester to be home to 600,000+ people by 2021
A rapidly changing demographic…
Manchester is experiencing rapid demographic change:
• The population has increased ahead of forecasts
• It is increasingly ethnically diverse
• New residents are having more children
• There are more people in work
• People are better educated
• There are record numbers of graduates many of which are choosing
to live in the city centre and fringe
• At the same time however;
– High levels of worklessness; complex dependency and pockets of
deprivation remain
– Unprecedented pressure on school places
– Welfare reforms are changing neighbourhoods
A rapidly changing housing market…
• A revival in city centre living
• The private rented sector is now the dominant tenure
• High numbers of rented units within the apartment market
• Housing choices linked to work in the city centre & fringe
• Manchester’s residential growth strategy sets out our aim
to build 5000 new homes over the next 1-3 years
• However:
– There is a chronic lack of supply
– There is a shortage of developable land in the city centre & fringe
– Future development is likely to be tall, dense and for private rent
– Higher value sites across GM for lower density executive homes
Welfare reforms pricing residents out of central areas No properties advertised at or below LHA rates in the city centre & fringe (Nov 2013)
Employment growth in strategic locations…
Future Job Growth - Spinningfields Over 8,000 financial and professional jobs and the highest office rents in the North - £32sqft Next major opportunity is the ITV site and plans to strengthen Liverpool Road MOSI is another important element of this of this project
Future Job Growth – First Street HOME is due to open in spring 2015 and will have a 500-seat theatre; a 150-seat flexible studio space; a 500m2, 4m high gallery space; five cinema screens; digital production and broadcast facilities; a café bar and restaurants It forms part of the wider £80m First Street development, which has an ultimate aim of creating 10,000 jobs
Future Job Growth: St Peters Square
•
Town Hall Estate, Elisabeth House and the buildings opposite the Peace Gardens & Peterloo House
Potential for 10,000 jobs in the wider areaFuture Job Growth - The Corridor Partnership between the Universities & Hospital Trust Over the next 10 years the Corridor will attract £2.5bn private investment including a new International Centre for Graphene - a material discovered by scientists working at Manchester University
Future Job Growth - Manchester Science Park Expansion of Manchester Science Park to provide high quality space for knowledge based companies MSP Hub – 55k sq ft facility to encourage collaboration
Future Job Growth - Siemens Princess Road Campus The Siemens UK Industry HQ on Princess Parkway is being expanded creating a location for 2750 jobs Further development including a sustainable technology hub is planned
Future Job Growth – Etihad Campus Nearly £300m investment from 2008 - 250 new jobs Unparalleled investment in sport, leisure and community facilities - significant platform for new leisure led commercial development
Future Job Growth – City Council Digital Assets The Sharp Project - Digital & creative media hub used by Sky 1 and Channel 4 The Space Project Gorton – 500 jobs Alongside MediaCityUK establishes Manchester as the 2nd media centre in Europe
Future Job Growth - Airport City EZ New hub for global businesses linking a string of key sites Up to 10,000 new jobs over the next 10 years of which at least 7,000 would be new to GM All business rates (circa £10m+) available for reinvestment
Demand for higher level skills…
The ‘hourglass’ shape of economic change
Job growth at the top and bottom skill levels, decline in the middle
Forecast change in occupations in Greater Manchester over the next ten years
• GMFM suggests
Manchester’s labour
Managers and senior officials 9.7% market will increasingly
resemble ‘the hourglass
Forecast Change in Occupations in GM, 2012-22 (%)
economy’ – growth among
Professional 6.3% High Skill high skill jobs and low skill
jobs with slower growth at
intermediate skill levels
Associate professional & technical 8.0%
• At the high end of the skills
spectrum managers and
Administrative & secretarial 2.5% senior officials are forecast
to grow by 9.7%; at the
lower end, sales and
Skilled trades 1.5% Intermediate Skill
customer service jobs are
forecast to growth by
9.9%.
Process, plant & machine operatives 0.6%
• Greater Manchester’s
economy does still
Personal service 5.9% generate occupations ‘in
the middle’ of the skills
spectrum, but at a notably
Sales & customer service 9.9% Low Skill slower rate of increase. Of
these, generally office
based administrative work
Elementary 7.1% is expected to grow the
fastest.
Sources: GMFM, 2012Rising demand for higher skill levels
Net requirement by sector over the next ten years
Sources: GMFM, 2012Science and maths are the most popular broad level 3 subject areas
among young people (A-level, BTECs etc)
Number of EFA funded Level 3 course starts 2011-2013 (Manchester residents)
Level 3
2011/12 2012/13
Agriculture, Horticulture and Animal Care 67 107
Arts, Media and Publishing 3683 3247
Business, Administration and Law 3305 3101
Construction, Planning and the Built Environment 127 104
Education and Training 1 1
Engineering and Manufacturing Technologies 291 256
Health, Public Services and Care 2524 2409
History, Philosophy and Theology 849 872
Information and Communication Technology 1195 1182
Languages, Literature and Culture 1568 1582
Leisure, Travel and Tourism 1399 1526
Preparation for Life and Work 15 9
Retail and Commercial Enterprise 371 338
Science and Mathematics 6192 7272
Social Sciences 2168 2152
Grand Total 23755 24158
Source: EFAThe highest number of Manchester vacancies are currently in
programme / software development and nursing
Top 20 vacancies in Manchester by detailed occupation, December 2013
• According to Labour Insight,
the detailed occupation with
Solicitors 132 most vacancies in
Sales Related Occupations N.e.c. 134 Manchester in December
Primary And Nursery Education Teaching Professionals 136 2013 was programmers and
Care Workers And Home Carers 138
software development
professionals with 567,
Information Technology And Telecommunications Professionals N.e.c. 141
followed by nurses with 333.
Business And Financial Project Management Professionals 141 Together these accounted
Marketing And Sales Directors 141 for almost 22% of the top 20
It Operations Technicians 144 Manchester vacancies.
Sales Supervisors 147 • When compared to GM,
Call And Contact Centre Occupations 150 Manchester has a greater
Other Administrative Occupations N.e.c. 156 number of higher skilled IT,
Chartered And Certified Accountants 159
Business and Digital jobs
It User Support Technicians 161
Book-Keepers, Payroll Managers And Wages Clerks 200
Business Sales Executives 253
Web Design And Development Professionals 261
Human Resources And Industrial Relations Officers 298
It Business Analysts, Architects And Systems Designers 321
Nurses 333
Programmers And Software Development Professionals 567
Source: Labour InsightPart 2: The regeneration of East Manchester
Density and industry in the 1950’s
Commonwealth Games Stadium Site - 1999
Initial investment in the National Cycling Centre
Commonwealth Games 2002
• A major opportunity to radically
improve the economic and social
prospects of Manchester and the
profile and image of the North West
• A major opportunity to create a sports and
cultural infrastructure capable of hosting and
delivering world class events
• A focus for partnership action and investment
• A unifying theme to justify bids for a wider range
of regeneration programmes in East
Manchester
• Re-positioning Manchester and East
Manchester as an international investor and
visitor destinationImpact and legacy • Over £600m of public investment • 6,300 full-time jobs • Television audience approx 1 billion people worldwide • An extra 300,000 visitors per year • £28m spent by Games participants and visitors • £22m in additional business benefits • Enhanced civic pride • Sportcity Complex – 48,000 seater stadium, English Institute of Sport, athletics, tennis centre squash and National Cycling Centre, Aquatics and Hockey centres
Etihad Campus Development Journey
• 1994 - Manchester Velodrome opens
• 1999 - City of Manchester Stadium construction starts
• 2001 - East Manchester Strategic Regeneration Framework
(SRF) published
• 2002 - Commonwealth Games
• 2003 - MCFC move to City of Manchester Stadium
• 2003 - Regional Athletics Arena opens
• 2008 - Abu Dhabi United Group become owners of MCFC
• 2008 – 2018 East Manchester SRF (revised)
• 2010 - The East Manchester Academy and Beswick Library
open2011 - Stadium name changes to Etihad
2011 - BMX Centre opens, National Cycling Centre
established
2012 - Beswick Masterplan published
2013 - City Football Academy (CFA) and Beswick Hub
(phase 1) commences
2013 - Metrolink (Ashton Line) opens
2013 - Stadium expansion commences
2014 - Beswick Hub and CFA complete
2015 - Stadium expansion completeMCFC Stadium Expansion
Etihad Campus 2014
Beswick Community Hub Project
• The Beswick project forms a gateway to the Etihad Campus and establishes
this as a special area when approached from the south along Alan Turing
Way.
• The BCH project includes;
• Connell Sixth Form College
• Leisure Centre
• Manchester Institute of Health and Performance
• Retail Units
• Highways and Public Realm works
• Linked to the recently built East Manchester Academy and Beswick Library
to form a community hub
• Local economic benefit targets established for construction jobs,
apprentices, supply chain localityMasterplan
Connell Sixth Form College and Institute of Health and Performance
New Community Leisure Centre
Manchester Life Development Company • Example of innovative public/private partnership to deliver shared priorities • Partnership between Abu Dhabi United Group (ADUG) & Manchester City Council • Multi phased initiative over next 10 years • £1 billion investment & 6,000 new homes (predominantly in market rented sector) • Phase One will deliver 830 new homes in Ancoats & New Islington starting in 2015
Conclusions…
Manchester’s economy is growing but
challenges remain....
Key challenges for Manchester City Council & strategic partners
• Providing a framework for further devolution of powers and local control of
budgets
• Promoting a sustainable growth plan based on high density development -
public transport, people and jobs
• Utilising public assets including land assembly to attract major regeneration
investment in the city
• Making the case and bidding for resources which generate returns linked to
sustainable development; reduced worklessness and employment growth
Priorities for the next five years:
• Preparing for growth: Planning ahead and influencing partners
• Providing homes for working households
• Delivering the welfare reform agenda
• Fiscal devolution
• Greater Internationalisation
• GM capacity for reform
• Local capacity for growthYou can also read
