Are we ready to 'handover' to driverless technology? - VENTURER Insurance and Legal Report 2017/18 - AXA UK

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Are we ready to 'handover' to driverless technology? - VENTURER Insurance and Legal Report 2017/18 - AXA UK
Are we ready
to ‘handover’
to driverless
technology?
VENTURER Insurance and Legal Report 2017/18
Are we ready to 'handover' to driverless technology? - VENTURER Insurance and Legal Report 2017/18 - AXA UK
Contents
About VENTURER                                            04

Foreword                                                  05

Chapter 1:                                                06
Introduction and summary – Legal and insurance
implications of Trial 1 findings

Chapter 2:                                                08
Background – Policy and legislative developments
    – Overview                                            08
    – Industrial Strategy and CAV initiatives            08

Insurance framework and                                   09
legislative developments
    – Automated and Electric Vehicles Bill               09
    – Civil Liability and insurance model                 09

Chapter 3:                                                12
VENTURER Trial 1 results
    – Trial 1 – key results                               12
    – Safety                                              14
    – Traffic Management                                  15

Chapter 4:                                                16
Handover: outlining potential issues 
– Liability in the handover phase                         16
– Time lag in handover and regaining baseline control     18
– Unpredictable handover                                  20
– Conclusion                                              21
– Safety implications of the handover period             21
– Driver distraction                                      22
– Driver competence                                       23
– Safety of other road users                              24
– Traffic implications                                    25
– Impact on underwriting                                  25

Chapter 5:                                                28
Perspectives on insurance and civil liability 
– The current model of civil liability in motor claims    28
– Government position on civil liability                  29
– International dimensions                                32
– Autonomous driving technology,                          33
  safe systems and liability


                                                           2    3
Are we ready to 'handover' to driverless technology? - VENTURER Insurance and Legal Report 2017/18 - AXA UK
About                                                                                                                  Foreword
VENTURER
                             VENTURER brings together public sector, private sector                                      This report is our second as part of the VENTURER project and draws
                             and academic experts to understand the blockers and                                         on the excellent work done by our academic partners as well as the
                             enablers to wide scale adoption of Connected and                                            emerging legal and insurance environment.
                             Autonomous Vehicles (CAV).1
                                                                                                                         In the 2017 Autumn Budget                          Whilst some motor                            are both very important.
                             The VENTURER trials are intended to develop understanding of the insurance and              the Chancellor of the                              manufacturers have stated                    Once we get to Level 4 we have
                             legal implications of increased vehicle autonomy. The project is now in its third           Exchequer confidently                              their intention to go straight to            true autonomy and insurance
                             and final year and takes place in the Bristol and South Gloucestershire region.                                                                this higher level of automation,             protection for the ‘driver’ as well
                                                                                                                         stated that automated
                                                                                                                                                                            many cars will be coming to                  as their passengers, but this work
                                                                                                                         vehicles (AV) will be on
                                                                                                                                                                            market in the coming months                  and these reports have relevance
                                                                                                                         the UK’s roads by 2021.                            and years which will be Level                and importance not just when
                                                                                                                         This should excite everyone                        3 and capable of allowing the                we reach that end state, but
                                                                                                                         who believes in the positive                       driver to hand over control to               at every stage of the exciting
                                                                                                                         societal impact that these                         the vehicle, but only in certain             journey as things progress.
                             VENTURER is made up of organisations from various sectors:                                  vehicles could have, saving                        circumstances. Should the driver
                                                                                                                         lives and offering mobility                        wish to regain control or should
                                                                                                                         solutions to those who are                         the vehicle identify a reason for
                                                                                                                         currently unable to drive.                         handing back control, this will
                                                                                                                                                                            take place as part of the dynamic
                                                                                                                                                                            driving task i.e. whilst the car
                                                                                                                         We need to ensure, however,                        is still moving. It’s important
                                                                                                                         that we are as clear as we can                     to realise, therefore, that we
                                                                                                                         be about how we define the                         are discussing in this context               David Williams,
                                                                                                                         terminologies surrounding                          high-level driver assist features.
                                                                                                                         this technology. People must
                                                                                                                                                                                                                         Technical Director,
                                                                                                                                                                            With these, fundamentally,                   AXA
                                                                                                                         understand what the vehicles                       the driver remains responsible
                                                                                                                         are capable of and, very                           for the vehicle in the eyes of
                                                                                                                         importantly, what the law                          the law and potentially liable
                                                                                                                         allows us to do (or not do)                        from an insurance perspective
                                                                                                                         when travelling in them.                           in the event of an accident.

                                                                                                                         For example, the Automated                         This is what makes the findings
                                                                                                                         and Electric Vehicles Bill that                    of VENTURER’s Trial 1 results
                                                                                                                         is currently making its way                        so fascinating. Those trials have
                                                                                                                         through Parliament states                          a real-world application now as              Chris Jackson,
                                                                                                                         that the Secretary of State will                   the handover element will be an              Head of Transport Sector,
                                                                                                                         create a list of vehicles that will                increasingly common feature on               Burges Salmon LLP
                                                                                                                         be deemed to be “automated”.                       many vehicles in the near future.
                                                                                                                         As it stands, we anticipate that                   How we, as drivers, react in those
                                                                                                                         this definition is likely to fall                  circumstances and how motor
                                                                                                                         within SAE Level 4 (the most                       manufacturers incorporate the
                                                                                                                         widely used definition of the                      technology in the first place to
                                                                                                                         various stages of autonomy).2                      take account of that behaviour

                            1
                              VENTURER: A New and exciting autonomous vehicle project, http://www.venturer-cars.com/     2
                                                                                                                             SAE International, Automated Driving - http://www.sae.org/misc/pdfs/automated_driving.pdf
1
 VENTURER: A New and exciting autonomous vehicle project,                                                                                                                                                                                 2
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            SAE International, Automated Driving -
http://www.venturer-cars.com/                                                                                                                                                                                            http://www.sae.org/misc/pdfs/automated_driving.pdf
                                                                                         4                                                                                                 5
Are we ready to 'handover' to driverless technology? - VENTURER Insurance and Legal Report 2017/18 - AXA UK
Chapter 1

     Introduction and summary –
     Legal and insurance implications
     of Trial 1 findings

     The VENTURER consortium                            incidents arising as a result                       From a legal and insurance                    The regulatory background           of drivers as issues around        is expected of them to support
     has reported separately                            of system failures whilst a                         perspective, the Trial 1 results              defining requirements for           allocation of liability between    uptake of the technology and
     the results of Trial 1, in                         vehicle is in autonomous                            confirm that the allocation of                handover of control will            insurers, drivers and OEMs are     underpin the development of
     which it investigated the                          mode. This is intended to                           liability that accompanies the                also need to reflect human          resolved by the courts on an       autonomous driving systems
                                                                                                            transfer of control between                   factors. OEMs, insurers and         emerging case by case basis.       which are safe by design.
     handover of control from                           avoid the procedural issues,
                                                                                                            system and human driver                       consumers will all benefit from
     an autonomous driving                              delay and complexity which                          needs to be considered                        clear standards informed by         For these reasons handover         It is also clear that all the
     system to a human driver.3                         would result from affected                          carefully. Increased attention                rigorous experimental and           is a live issue. The results       work being done in the UK must
     This report considers the                          third party motorists                               needs to be paid to the                       empirically-obtained data           of VENTURER Trial 1 and            be seen in an international
     legal and insurance aspects                        otherwise being faced with                          consequences of automation                    around how human drivers            other similar trials should be     context, with the UN Economic
     of handover in the context                         the prospect of claiming                            for fault-based systems of                    interact with automated driving     considered for relevance to        Commission for Europe
     of the VENTURER Trial 1                            against original equipment                          negligence. Proper regard must                systems for the purposes of         the development of a suitable      (UNECE) actively looking
     results and Government                             manufacturers (OEMs) for                            be had to the difficulties for                passing control between an          handover protocol as part of the   at whether the handover
     proposals for insurance of                         accidents caused by product                         human drivers in responding                   autonomous driving system and       Government’s drive to enable the   process should be entrenched
                                                                                                            where an automated system                     a human driver. The standards       introduction of AV technology      in the system at the
     autonomous (or ‘automated’)                        failure. We are supportive of
                                                                                                            passes them control of a vehicle              introduced need to reflect the      to UK roads, understanding that    manufacturing stage.
     vehicles.4 Government has                          Government’s proposals for                                                                                                            the immediate application will
                                                                                                            and the circumstances in                      capabilities it is reasonable for
     signalled its willingness to                       legislative reform to facilitate                    which they will be considered                 us to expect of human drivers,      apply to SAE Level 3 vehicles
     extend the current regime                          an insurance regime for                             liable for events around                      and respect the limitations         and form part of Advanced
     of driver insurance to                             autonomous vehicles.                                the handover period.                          of human performance by             Driving Assist Systems (ADAS).
                                                                                                                                                          designing in safety. This in        Standards need to afford drivers
                                                                                                                                                          turn will inform expectations       sufficient certainty as to what

     3
       VENTURER – Trial 1 Findings are available at http://www.venturer-cars.com/. This report is one of a series produced by the VENTURER partners and
     is the follow-up to the first AXA Insurance Report produced in July 2016 (also available at http://www.venturer-cars.com/).
     4
      “Automated” vehicles being the term used in the Vehicle Transport and Aviation Bill, previously introduced as the Modern Transport Bill
     and now intended to be introduced to Parliament as the Automated and Electric Vehicles Bill.

                                                                     6                                                                                                                            7
Are we ready to 'handover' to driverless technology? - VENTURER Insurance and Legal Report 2017/18 - AXA UK
Chapter 2
  Background – Policy and legislative developments                                                                                                        Insurance framework and legislative developments
                                                              Government has recognised the                     This was followed on 7 September                                                       relies on an automated system                 The purpose of this is to obviate
  Overview                                                    potential benefits and taken a                    2017 when the Government launched
                                                                                                                                                          Automated and                                and is not therefore directly                 the need for an affected third
  The House of Lords, Science
                                                              proactive approach to CAVs and has                MERIDIAN, aimed at creating a             Electric Vehicles Bill                       in control of the vehicle.                    party to seek redress from an
                                                              made it a policy priority to position             cluster of excellence along the                                                                                                      OEM, maintainer or other third
  and Technology Select                                       the UK a global leader in this area.              M40 corridor between Coventry             The Automated and Electric                   The Government chose to                       party who might have some
  Committee published a                                                                                         and London and accelerating the           Vehicles Bill, originally                    address this in Part 1 of the                 degree of responsibility for the
  report on ‘Connected and                                    This activity has included:                       development of CAV technology,            announced in the Queen’s                     Automated and Electric                        defective performance of the
  Autonomous Vehicles: The                                                                                      growing intellectual capital and          Speech following the election,               Vehicles Bill by defining a                   automated driving system,
  future?’ on 15 March 2017                                   •	Providing funding for in excess of             attracting overseas investment.           was published in October                     framework for how CAVs                        where liability is ultimately with
  outlining the potential uses                                   twenty driverless car projects;                                                          2017. The Bill replaces the                  involved in accidents will be                 the manufacturer of the vehicle,
  and benefits of connected                                                                                     Cementing all the above, the              previous Vehicle Technology                  treated for insurance purposes.               the company that programmed
                                                              •	Publication of the DfT code of                 Government published its Industrial                                                    This proposes to extend the                   the algorithm operating the
                                                                                                                                                          and Aviation Bill, which failed
  and autonomous vehicles:                                       practice for testing driverless                Strategy White Paper7 in November         to complete its legislative                  requirement on the insurer to                 vehicle in autonomous mode
                                                                 cars and ‘The Pathway to                       2017 which committed the UK to                                                         pay out to affected third parties             or a person who in some
                                                                                                                                                          passage through Parliament
                                                                 Driverless Cars: Summary                       becoming a world leader in the way                                                     where the system, rather than                 other way is responsible for
                                                                                                                                                          due to the General Election on
                                                                 report and action plan’;                       people, goods and services move.                                                       the driver, is at fault.                      the system’s failure.
                                                                                                                                                          8 June 2017. The substantive
  The possible applications                                                                                     In the paper the Government stated
                                                              •	Establishing the Centre for                                                              clauses are nearly identical
        of connected and                                         Connected and Automated                        its intention to see fully self-driving   to those put forward in the
     autonomous vehicles                                         Vehicles (CCAV); and                           cars, without a human operator, on        previous iteration of the Bill.
    (CAVs) are far-reaching,                                                                                    UK roads by 2021. It will therefore
                                                              •	Introducing legislative proposals                                                                                                          We expect automated cars to appear from the 2020s.
     straddling a variety of                                                                                    make ‘world-leading changes’ to           The Bill aims to support
                                                                 to modernise relevant insurance                                                                                                             They present an enormous opportunity for the UK:
     different sectors. The                                                                                     the regulatory framework, including       innovation in self-driving
                                                                 legislation, through the Automated                                                                                                       securing high quality jobs and investment; creating new
     examples provided in                                                                                       updating the code of practice for         technology in the UK and to
                                                                 and Electric Vehicles Bill (which                                                                                                       mobility solutions that can transform lives; and, as I said
    our evidence included—                                                                                      testing automated vehicles to             ensure that the UK remains a
                                                                 replaces the Vehicle Technology                                                                                                             earlier, improving road safety. In 2016, human error
      but were not limited                                                                                      allow developers to apply to test         world leader in new industries.
                                                                 and Aviation Bill which was                                                                                                               was responsible for a very significant proportion of all
   to—aerial, marine, public                                                                                    their vehicles nationwide without         It contains two parts:
                                                                 dropped as a result of the                                                                                                              reported accidents. Automated cars will radically change
   roads, private and public                                                                                    a human safety operator and               Part 1, which sets out the
                                                                 General Election 2017).6                       carrying out a project with the Law                                                        that. To support consumers and businesses involved in
      transport (including                                                                                                                                broad parameters of how
                                                                                                                Commission to set out proposals for       automated vehicles involved                    automated vehicle accidents, they will need an insurance
     metro and rail), space,
                                                              Industrial Strategy and                           a long-term regulatory framework          in accidents will be treated                  framework that is fit for purpose. Currently, they may not
     military, warehousing,
                                                                                                                for self-driving vehicles.                for insurance purposes; and                    be covered for collisions that result from vehicle failure,
      ambulance services,                                     CAV initiatives                                                                             Part 2, which covers electric                 because in the UK only the driver is insured. Victims might
     precision agriculture,
                                                                                                                                                          vehicles and charging.                            have to take vehicle makers to court, which would be
         inspection and                                       As part of the Government’s                                                                                                                 time-consuming and expensive, undermining the quick
   monitoring of resources,                                   long-term strategy in this area,                                                                                                              and easy access to compensation that is a cornerstone
  working in dangerous and                                    it announced a new ‘Connected                                                               Civil Liability and                             of our insurance system. Not tackling this problem risks
  hazardous environments                                      and Autonomous Vehicle Hub’
  (such as nuclear facilities)                                or ‘CAV Hub’ at Loughborough’s
                                                                                                                                                          insurance model                                jeopardising consumer protection and undermining the
                                                                                                                                                                                                                   automotive industry’s competitiveness.8
       and the delivery of                                    Olympic Park Campus, which will
                                                                                                                                                          Under current legislation,
    humanitarian supplies.5                                   act as a co-ordination centre for
                                                                                                                                                          the insurers of the driver who                – Rt Hon John Hayes MP, Minister of State for Transport Legislation
                                                              the development of autonomous
                                                                                                                                                          is at fault pay out to third
                                                              vehicles in the UK, as well as looking
                                                                                                                                                          parties who have suffered
                                                              at the wider framework to support
                                                                                                                                                          damage. The question then
                                                              CAVs, such as data management,
                                                                                                                                                          arises as to where liability
                                                              cyber-security and insurance.
                                                                                                                                                          should sit where a driver

   5
     House of Lords Science and Technology Select Committee, Connected and Autonomous Vehicles: The future?
  (15 March 2017), p.11 https://www.publications.parliament.uk/pa/ld201617/ldselect/ldsctech/115/115.pdf
  6
      HMT, The Queen’s Speech 2017, The Automated and Electric Vehicles Bill, p. 27.                                                                      8
                                                                                                                                                            Second reading of the Automated and Electric Vehicles Bill (23 October 2017)
  7
      https://www.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/662508/industrial-strategy-white-paper.pdf                                https://hansard.parliament.uk/commons/2017-10-23/debates/BDAB60DC-D67C-44CF-B0CB-9FBE8DAE3F30/AutomatedAndElectricVehiclesBill

                                                                                       8                                                                                                                             9
Chapter 2

       This represents the minimum                     Additionally, in a situation where   The question of liability
       step possible to accommodate                    there is a product failure when      becomes more complex
       automated vehicles within                       the vehicle is in an autonomous      when we consider the
       the existing insurance                          function, the driver may be          handover point between
       framework, which speaks to the                  the victim of a personal injury      autonomous and manual
       consequences of fault through                   that he or she did not cause.        driving phases. Determining
       reliance on the insurance policy                Under existing legislation, a        at what point fault lies either
       of the driver. For insurance                    driver’s insurance only needs        with the driver (driver error)
       purposes, the system will                       to cover third parties and not       or with the system (product/
       effectively ‘become’ the driver                 the driver themselves. After         maintainer error), will be critical
       under these proposals (to the                   extensive consultation, the          in determining where liability
       extent the behaviour of the                     Government has decided to            and financial responsibility,
       system triggers a claim), with the              widen insurance cover so that        and potentially criminal liability,
       insurer then separately being                   this includes damage to the          ultimately rests. This issue
       entitled to pursue the OEM or                   driver where the automated           has also been raised during
       other third party responsible                   vehicle is driving itself. The       the ongoing passage of the
       for the system’s failure to                     intention behind the legislation     Automated and Electric
       recover any compensation                        is to emphasise that if there is     Vehicles Bill. We look at this
       which the insurer has paid to                   an insurance ‘event’ (accident)      in chapter 5 of this report.
       affected third parties.                         the compensation route for the
                                                       individual remains within the
                                                       motor insurance settlement
                                                       framework, rather than through
                                                       a product liability framework
                                                       against a manufacturer.9

                 Summary
                 Part 1 of the Bill (clauses 1–7)              for third parties for personal
                 addresses the insurance issues                injury or property damage due to
                 that will arise when responsibility           a driving related incident. Such
                 for a vehicle is shared between               principles need to be extended
                 the driver and the system itself.             to cover automated vehicles.
                 The application of ‘intelligence’             The Government believes
                 to cars is gathering pace and there           that answering the insurance
                 is a strong push by manufacturers             questions sooner rather
                 to develop automated vehicles,                than later will encourage
                 which will drive themselves.                  manufacturers to develop
                 Currently it is a requirement that            transport technology in the
                 all (human) drivers have to have              United Kingdom with the
                 insurance when they drive in                  confidence that they can
                 order to provide compensation                 exploit market opportunities.10

       9
        The House of Commons Library, Automated and Electric
       vehicles Bill 2017-19 (20 October 2017) p.3
       10
            Ibid, p.9

                                                                    10                                                            11
Chapter 3

     VENTURER Trial 1 results
     As we outlined in the first VENTURER insurance report,11 switching control between a human
                                                                                                                                                       VENTURER Trial 1 – key results
     driver and an autonomous driving system raises difficult questions around the allocation                                                          The following conclusions drawn by the investigators are of particular relevance
     of liability. The proper allocation of responsibility and liability between the system and                                                        from the perspective of allocation of liability around the handover event:
     the driver requires a clear understanding of the handover process, when and how control
     switches to the driver and vice versa.

                                                                                                                                                                  The findings from the driving simulator study, supported by
     VENTURER Trial 1 involved                            performance, the initial literature                  The results of Trial 1 indicated                 similar experimental conditions used in the road study, suggest
     simulator and road experiments at                    review undertaken by the                             better performance in frequent                     that designers of AV technology with handover functionality
     Bristol Robotics Laboratory on the                   VENTURER team having identified                      handover scenarios than might                     need to proceed with caution. The experiments highlight the
     University of the West of England                    that studies to date had focused                     have been expected by reference                   need to consider human performance under multiple driving
     campus. The experiments tested                       on driver performance following                      to earlier studies. However, delays                 conditions and scenarios in order to plot accurate takeover
     drivers’ ability to retake control                   long periods of disengagement                        in regaining control of various                                 and handover time safety curves.14
     following a period of automated                      from the driving task. The trials                    lengths were observed at different
     driving and measured takeover                        also sought to cover a wider and                     speeds, with other effects on
     time (the time it took participants                  slower range of speeds and to                        baseline driving being observed.
     to put their hands back on the                       involve less experienced drivers                     These included slower driving by
                                                                                                                                                       The results of Trial 1 confirmed the difficulties for human drivers executing the
     controls) and the handover                           than in previous studies. Using                      participants following handover
                                                                                                                                                       handover task. This highlights the need for a rigorous evidence base informing the
     period (the total time to achieve                    a road vehicle alongside a simulator                 and a marked delay in achieving
                                                                                                                                                       development of appropriate standards around handover.
     a level of control consistent                        with the scenario parameters                         baseline performance when
     withbaseline indicators).                            set to replicate the road vehicle,                   retaking control at speeds ranging
                                                          combined with a simulator                            from 20-50mph.
     Previous studies have shown                          environment which represented
     that drivers experience a delay                      the real-world test circuit, and                     Full details of the Trial 1 results     Handover process
     in regaining effective control                       a within-subjects design for the                     and a separate summary
     following handover of control                        road and simulator conditions,                       document can be found
                                                                                                                                                                 Autonomous
     from the system.12 Trial 1 was                       amounted to a novel experimental                     viewed online.13                                                                      Transition                         Manual driving
     conceived to test the effect of                      design for CAV research.                                                                                 driving
     more frequent handover on driver
                                                                                                                                                                                             1. Handover request to
                                                                                                                                                                                             transfer control from
                                                                                                                                                                                             autonomous driving to
                                                                                                                                                                                             manual driving

                                                                                                                                                                                              2. Takeover time from            3. Handover period driver
                                                                                                                                                                                              request to contact with          performance measured as
                                                                                                                                                                                              controls                         significantly different to ‘baseline’

                                                                                                                                                                                                                     4. Total handover time
                                                                                                                                                                                                              = takeover time plus handover period

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               5. ‘Baseline’ manual
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    driving achieved

     11
       VENTURER, AXA Annual Report 2016.(https://www.axa.co.uk/uploadedFiles/Content/Newsroom_v2/Media_Resources/Reports_and_Publications/Downloads/
     Driverless_Cars/VENTURER%20-%20AXA%20Annual%20Report%202016%20FINAL.pdf)
     12
       Morgan, P., Alford, C. and Parkhurst, G. (2016) Handover issues in autonomous driving:
     A literature review. Project Report. University of the West of England, Bristol, UK. Available from: http://eprints.uwe.ac.uk/29167
     13
          http://www.venturer-cars.com/.
                                                                                                                                                       14
                                                                                                                                                            VENTURER - Trial 1 Summary, page 3 http://www.venturer-cars.com/
                                                                       12                                                                                                                                13
Chapter 3

            Safety                                                                                                                             Traffic Management
            For a safety-critical system,                     In the development of standards          underlines the need for a process
            the average response time is                      and assessment of liability,             around handover, and does not                                      It is important that driver assistance features such as ‘lane
            limited as a valid measure: the                   due regard will be needed as to          support a liability model which                                       keeping’ are retained and functioning within vehicles,
            system also needs to be able to                   how a wide range of individuals          expects a human driver to take                                     particularly during handover. Rather than handover being
            account for the slowest expected                  perform. As a minimum, these             responsibility immediately when                                  from autonomous system to human driver, in practice it might
            responder. Indeed, this would be                  findings emphasise the need for a        previously disengaged from the                                      be from autonomous system to human driver supported
            a failsafe in the case of an upper                managed process which respects           driving task.                                                                          by driver assistance.
            acceptable limit to takeover.                     slower responders: it may be the
            It is reasonably likely that the                  case that a lower bound criterion                                                                         Some commentators see high-speed, limited access roads as the
            extremes of driver behaviour and                  based on a statistical analysis                                                                           most natural first niche for AVs. Where handover is concerned,
            performance during handover                       needs to be set to capture the                                                                            however, the findings suggest that lower speeds, similar to those
            have not been measured in Trial 1                 majority of responses without                                                                              in urban areas, are moderately safer. It may be that AV systems
            given the modest sample size.                     trying to mitigate for all. It also                                                                         should follow procedures to slow the vehicle to a lower, safer
                                                                                                                                                                                               speed, such as 40.16

                                    An additional finding from the road trial that was not evident
                                                                                                                                               Some commentators see high-                 These findings underline the need     a system in which safety is not
                                     from the simulator trial was the time lag between accepting
                                                                                                                                               speed, limited access roads as the          to design safety into the handover    dependent on an individual’s
                                       responsibility for control and beginning to take control.
                                                                                                                                               most natural first niche for AVs.           procedure. Acknowledging              split second decision-making
                                                                                                                                               Where handover is concerned,                and accommodating driver              capability is likely to result in
                                      This represents a risk of a different nature, during which                                               however, the findings suggest that          shortcomings will be necessary to     safer journeys.
                                     the autonomous system has ceded control, the human has                                                    lower speeds, similar to those in           reduce the scope for human error.
                                   signalled acceptance, but in practice he or she has not exerted                                             urban areas, are moderately safer.          This type of systems approach         More broadly, the VENTURER
                                   control and could not be regarded as being in control. It would                                             It may be that AV systems should            draws on the lessons learned          Trial 1 results and the team’s
                                   therefore be important that future handover design relies not                                               follow procedures to slow the               in the development of modern          analysis indicate that further
                                    on the human signal for the passage of control, but evidence                                               vehicle to a lower, safer speed,            safety culture and acknowledges       technical investigation will be
                                                                                                                                               such as 40mph.16                            that individuals may not perform      needed before it is possible to
                                        of active input into the human-machine interface by
                                                                                                                                                                                           well in safety critical situations.   define an appropriate use case
                                                          the human driver.15
                                                                                                                                                                                           To the extent possible, designing     and supporting liability model.

            Noting that the UK has not                        when it indicated it considered          may wish to consider how best to
            ratified the Vienna Convention,                   the human was not performing             minimise unnecessary handovers.
                                                                                                                                               Mean time to takeover STISIM controls following
            international standardisation is                  well enough.                             Designers and regulators will also      a handover request
            strongly desirable where possible                                                          wish to have regard to the limited
                                                              This may be an area for regulators
            and ultimate driver responsibility                                                         human capability to manage
                                                              to assess in the creation of
            for control reflects the traditional                                                       the transition between
                                                              regulations or guidance around
            liability model. A requirement                                                             controlled and uncontrolled
            for evidence of active input (and
                                                              autonomous driving – e.g. where
                                                                                                       environments.                                                   3

                                                                                                                                            Takeover time (seconds)
                                                              a vehicle is in autonomous mode,
            any assessment of the quality of
            input) raises interesting liability
                                                              the current law would mean                                                                              2.5
                                                              that drivers should be obliged
            considerations. Query for instance
                                                              to remain engaged to retain                                                                              2
            how a requirement for the system
                                                              a degree of ‘feel’ for the vehicle
            to validate that the input of the
                                                              and awareness of its surroundings,
            human driver is of sufficient
                                                              even if not actively controlling the
                                                                                                                                                                      1.5
            quality sits with the requirement
                                                              vehicle (i.e. when driving using
            for human override assumed by
                                                              ADAS in a Level 3 vehicle). At level
                                                                                                                                                                       1
            the Vienna Convention, or the
                                                              4, it may be very difficult to require
            potential difficulty of determining
                                                              a human to retain this degree                                                                           0.5
            liability consequences if a human
                                                              of ‘feel’, and as such regulators
            driver were to override the system                                                                                                                         0
                                                                                                                                                                                 20-mph             30-mph                40-mph                50-mph
            15
                 VENTURER – Trial 1 Summary, page 3 http://www.venturer-cars.com/
                                                                                                                                                 16
                                                                                                                                                       Ibid.

                                                                          14                                                                                                                   15
Chapter 4

  Handover: outlining potential issues
  The ‘handover problem’ arises more as a feature of the development of autonomous
  vehicles, which are ‘high-level driver assist’ but not ‘highly or fully’ autonomous:
  where drivers do not need to engage with a range of tasks in the driving process
  when the autonomous mode is selected, but do need to be able to take control
  when necessary. Manufacturers have identified this of central importance in the
  development of autonomous vehicles, with Mercedes-Benz commenting that this is
  the most difficult stage of the transition to autonomous vehicles17 and Ford intending
  to bypass this stage completely and move directly to level four automation.18

        The VENTURER Trial 1 demonstrates that handover continues to present difficulties in the
        context of more frequent transfers of control between vehicle and driver. Both industry and the
        Government will need to work to find effective solutions to some of the issues raised below, in order
        to encourage sufficient public confidence in the technology and therefore support wider uptake.

  Liability in the handover phase
  As discussed in Chapter 2,                        driver involved in an accident with    when compensation is payable.
  Government’s approach to                          that of a reasonable driver. The       Civil liability is a compensatory
  the development of insurance                      basis of the doctrine therefore        concept. Clearly however the law
  regulation (as set out in the                     requires a baseline of what a          will in due course need to look
  Automated and Electric Vehicles                   reasonable driver is (objectively)     at what behaviours and actions
  Bill) assumes that insurers                       required and not required to do.       are to be defined as constituting
  would pursue rights of recovery                   That is well known and long-           fault for the purposes of criminal
  if negligence could be proven                     established in conventional            law. The criminal law is not about
  in respect of some other party                    driving. No equivalent baseline        compensation but about sanction
  or the vehicle manufacturer.                      currently exists for a new situation   by the state against individuals
  However, the handover period                      – that of handover. These trials       and organisations for conduct
  currently represents an area                      and the further work which will        falling below the level specified as
  of uncertainty as to where                        follow on from them will need          required. That issue will be looked
  to apportion liability.                           to inform that baseline.               at in our third and final report.

  The issue is that negligence as                   This report focuses on the civil
  a concept is defined objectively                  liability and insurance position
  by comparing the actions of the                   – which in turn determines

  17
    Wheels Mag, ‘Mercedes-Benz autonomous tech hits handover speed hump’
  (July 2016) https://www.wheelsmag.com.au/news/1607/mercedes-benz-autonomous
  tech-hits-handover-speed-hump.
  18
    BBC news, “Ford’s self-driving car ‘coming in 2021’’ (August 2016)
  http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/technology-37103159.
                                                                            16                                                    17
Chapter 4

            Time lag in handover and regaining baseline control
            Assuming that an autonomous          in completion of an effective         either the development or the
            vehicle was involved in an           handover process presents a           take-up of the technology. This
            incident causing damage to           complication in respect of the        then raises the question of how
            another road user while in fully     basic liability model: where in       to judge a reasonable length of
            autonomous mode due to a             the handover period should the        time for handover, and the extent
            malfunction of the vehicle’s         human driver’s responsibility end     to which the handover process
            technology, insurers would           and the insurers’ right of recovery   should be standardised.
            (if having to pay out to an          against the OEM start?
            affected third party under the                                             Government has signalled its
            Government’s proposed new            It would appear unreasonable          intention to designate certain
            legislation) then be able to         to expect people to be able to        vehicles, or categories of
            pursue rights of recovery from       disengage from the driving task       vehicles, as ‘automated’ vehicles.
            the vehicle manufacturer (or         only to have to resume control        Assessing whether a vehicle
            other person responsible for         of the vehicle immediately. On        is “automated” (i.e. capable
            the vehicle or system failure).      the other hand, it would also         of driving in autonomous
                                                 appear impracticable, from            mode and benefiting from
            Contrast this with the position      the perspective of developing         the insurance arrangements
            where a driver is engaged in the     good driving habits as well           described in the Automated and
            driving task and responsible for     as encouraging effective              Electric Vehicles Bill) will require
            the vehicle where, if an incident    manufacturer and supply chain         definition by reference to some
            arises due to a mistake of the       engagement in designing               form of minimum standards.
            driver, he or she (and his/her       systems which seek an optimum
            insurers) will be liable.            balance between safety and
                                                 performance, to expect OEMs
            The VENTURER Trial 1                 (or other potentially liable
            experiments found time lags in       third parties, such as software
            drivers retaking control following   providers or system maintainers)
            handover from the automated          to create a handover system that
            system (e.g., of just under three    took an undue length of time                                                 We recommend that as part          acceptable handover protocol.        liability will rely on case by
            seconds at a speed of 20mph),        once the vehicle had indicated                                               of the process of defining         SAE Level 4 should arguably only     case development of the law
            together with other delays in        the intention of handing back                                                standards for automated            request dynamic driving task         – it will be for the courts to
            returning to baseline driving        control to the driver. A balance                                             vehicles consideration is given    handover when not safety critical    determine where the limits of
            performance, particularly at         between the two will need to be                                              to how an effective handover       and a suitable and acceptable        human control end and where
            higher speeds. This time lag         struck so as not to discourage                                               protocol may look, the process     handover protocol is in place        the liability of OEMs begins
                                                                                                                              through which control is handed    to ensure that handover, if          (in much the same way as the
                                                                                                                              over to the driver (including      accepted, is not only safe and       courts establish whether a driver
                                                                                                                              probably an element of active      effective but potentially also       is at fault now). In assessing
                                                                                                                              monitoring and feedback) and       optimal (i.e. it could be the same   where these boundaries lie, we
                                                                                                                              the time periods for a driver to   as the Level 3 normal operation      would expect the courts to pay
                                                                                                                              be able to retake control.         handover protocol or even            close regard to the difficulties
                                                                                                                                                                 more generous to give drivers        of handover, including as
                                                                                                                              This may include establishing      even more notice and time to         demonstrated by the results
                                                                                                                              different conditions and           assume control in full command       of VENTURER Trial 1.
                                                                                                                              procedures for handover at         and a state of readiness to
                                                                                                                              SAE Level 3 and SAE Level 4.       drive progressively).
                                                                                                                              SAE Level 3 hands off operation
                                                                                                                              should only have a realistic       Notwithstanding the
                                                                                                                              expectation of handing over to a   development of standards,
                                                                                                                              driver in normal operation mode    defining the boundaries
                                                                                                                              under a suitably established and   between driver and system

                                                          18                                                                                                     19
Chapter 4

            Unpredictable handover                                                                                             Conclusion
            VENTURER Trial 1 tested the           result of issues with the              Further trials on an unpredicted      The Government, manufacturers,                    around when a driver (or an OEM)                 systems and processes,
            handover period when the              design of the system or how            handover may provide data             insurers and drivers will want                    may be criminally liable for                     including an appreciation
            driver knew he or she might be        the system performs, would             on the time lag for regaining         to ensure that the allocation                     mis-managing handover.)                          of what it means to be a skilled
            alerted to take control in certain    insurers seek rights of recovery       effective control in an unpredicted   of responsibility between driver                                                                   driver in an increasingly automated
            situations, described as ‘predicted   against manufacturers? Secondly,       handover to assist with this          and system during the handover                    More broadly, as has been                         world, in order for the allocation
            handover’. The trial did not test     in the event that the driver is        final question. However, given        phase is fair and proportionate to                observed in similar contexts,                    of liability to remain fair and
            ‘unpredictable’, unplanned            not able to take back control or       the difficulty of takeover on a       reflect the capabilities of users.                where a system is designed not                   manufacturers incentivised
            handover situations where             the handover is not executed           planned basis, it must follow         Any other approach risks stifling                 to require the input of a human                  to deliver safe systems.
            a vehicle might suddenly              properly, does responsibility          that unplanned takeover is yet        the appeal of the technology                      being (or to require limited input),
            have a technical fault or             lie with the driver for this failure   more problematical from the           and unfairly penalising drivers.                  if that input is required it is not              In the following sections of
            other issues. In the case of          – or with the manufacturer as          human driver’s perspective and        Separately, a review of the                       likely to be of high quality.19                  this chapter we look at other
            an unpredictable handover,            a result of the failure of the         less suitable as a basis for fixing   relevant road traffic law and                     Accommodating the increased                      outcomes of Trial 1 which
            the process can be expected to        system causing the unpredicted         the driver with responsibility        guidance for drivers will be                      difficulties of handover may                     reinforce the need to view
            occur in the context of a crisis.     handover? Thirdly, assuming            for an incident.                      required (e.g. as to the extent to                require development of a more                    handover in the context
                                                  the driver is able to regain                                                 which clarification is required                   nuanced understanding of safety                  of system design.
            Given that there is a time lag        control, what is a ‘reasonable’        This links again to the need
            in regaining effective control        length of time for handover            going forward (assuming that
            in a predicted handover, it can       in such a scenario and again,          negligence will remain a part
            be expected that there will also
            be a time lag in an unpredicted
                                                  should this be standardised?
                                                  Finally, consideration will need
                                                                                         of the legal attribution of civil
                                                                                         liability) to establish a new
                                                                                                                               Safety implications of the handover period
            handover, and possibly one            to be given to liability issues        baseline for negligence.
            of a greater length. This raises      in the event that handover is                                                Distance travelled                                50mph do not compensate for                      time to ensure it is safe. Due to the
            questions for both manufacturers      completed successfully but                                                   during handover                                   the greater distance travelled at                limited sample size in VENTURER
            and insurers. Firstly, where the      the driver is then unable to                                                                                                   higher speeds. At 50mph, a vehicle               Trial 1, it is reasonably likely that
            handover is unpredicted as a          manage the stricken vehicle.                                                 The findings from the STISIM                      will be travelling at 22.5 metres                the extremes of human takeover
                                                                                                                               simulator, supported for some                     per second, so given the average                 and handover performance have
                                                                                                                               experimental conditions by the                    time of two seconds for takeover,                not been captured in the data.
                                                                                                                               on-road Wildcat, suggest that the                 it will have travelled a distance
                                                                                                                               designers of highly autonomous                    equivalent to 45 metres, or half                 To solve this problem and ensure
                                                                                                                               vehicle technology will need to                   a full football field, two lengths               that highly autonomous vehicles
                                                                                                                               consider human performance                        of a typical swimming pool                       are safe, the system may need
                                                                                                                               under multiple driving conditions                 or a row of nine parked cars                     to incorporate speed dependent
                                                                                                                               and scenarios in order to plot                    before the driver actually begins                phased handover periods,
                                                                                                                               accurate takeover and handover                    to manipulate the vehicle                        or require the vehicle speed
                                                                                                                               time safety curves.                               controls.20 Moreover, basing these               to be automatically reduced to
                                                                                                                                                                                 estimations on average takeover                  a manageable safe speed before
                                                                                                                               In particular, the differences in                 times is limited, as any system                  handover is attempted. 21
                                                                                                                               faster response to take control                   would also need to account for
                                                                                                                               shown between 30, 40 and                          the slowest expected takeover

                                                                                                                                   The American Society of Safety Engineers, “Automation vs Human Intervention, What is the Best Fit for the Best Performance”
                                                                                                                                  19

                                                                                                                                  http://www.asse.org/practicespecialties/management/automation_human_intervention/.
                                                                                                                                  20
                                                                                                                                       VENTURER – Trial 1 Findings http://www.venturer-cars.com/.
                                                                                                                                  21
                                                                                                                                       Ibid.

                                                           20                                                                                                                    21
Chapter 4

            While most behaviours measured                   Given that, following rollout of the             To mitigate this risk, it may
            in the STISIM simulator                          technology, a scenario could arise               be possible to employ driver
            experiment showed greater                        where large numbers of vehicles                  assistance features, such as
            caution following takeover, the                  on multilane roads could be                      active lane keeping, while in
            findings relating to steering input              transitioning from autonomous to                 human driven mode. This would
            at all speeds suggested a reduced                human control at approximately                   mean that rather than viewing
            level of control. In particular, the             the same time within the same                    the handover period as a move
            positioning within the lane at the               space, these behaviours could be                 from autonomous system to
            highest speed condition (50mph)                  problematic. Looking at the most                 human driver, in practice it might
            is cause for concern.                            extreme scenario, there is the                   be from autonomous system to
                                                             potential for two human drivers                  supported human driver, or in
                                                             to drift lanes during this period,               other words a move between
                                                             endangering each other and                       levels of automation.22
                                                             potentially causing a collision.

            Driver distraction
            One of the cited socio-economic                  even if they are aware that car                  Chancellor for Research and
            benefits of autonomous vehicles                  may hand over control to them.                   Knowledge Exchange and
            is that people will regain time                  Evidence provided to the House                   Professor of Human Factors at
            otherwise lost to driving and will               of Lords Science and Technology                  the University of Nottingham,
            be able to engage in other more                  Committee inquiry into                           notes, “it is therefore important
            productive activities such as                    autonomous vehicles is relevant                  to understand the implications
            sleeping, reading, watching films/               in this context. As Professor                    of increased autonomy on the
            TV or replying to emails while                   Neville Stanton explained,                       capability of humans to maintain
            the car is driving autonomously.                 “even the most observant human                   vigilance and attention in order
            It is clear that this benefit is only            driver’s attention will begin to                 to be able to respond to an
            realistic when fully autonomous                  wane. Their mind will wander.”23                 emergency situation. It may also
            vehicles that are capable of                     A driver may well fall asleep                    be necessary for the rollout of
            coping with any circumstance                     by accident or get distracted by                 highly autonomous vehicles
            they encounter are achieved, as                  engaging in conversations with                   to be accompanied with the                     Driver competence
            any handover period in a highly                  other passengers – these are                     advice – or even law – that in
            autonomous vehicle would not                     problems that can occur with                     some or all circumstances the                  As well as risks with driver                        This could be addressed by                          there is a need to maintain
            be safe if the driver was otherwise              a manual vehicle so are arguably                 driver must maintain attention                 concentration, there are also                       strategies to ensure sufficient                     the understanding that people
            engaged and therefore the time                   more likely with a Level 3 vehicle               to the driver situation and                    potential negative implications                     driver exposure to maintain skills.                 have “an appropriate level of
            lapse for takeover is slower.                    where less concentration                         that other activities should be                of highly autonomous vehicles                       When giving evidence to the                         competence through a driving
                                                             is required when the car is                      minimised or avoided.” 24                      for drivers’ competence. Drivers                    Lords Science and Technology                        test”, and that there is a need to
            However, it is within the realm                  in autonomous mode.                                                                             could become complacent                             Committee, Professor Natasha                        consider whether any such driving
            of possibility that a driver’s                                                                                                                   and over-reliant on technology                      Merat from the Institute for                        test includes an understanding of
            attention could wane when                        As Professor Sarah Sharples,                                                                    as they get used to driving in                      Transport Studies at the University                 how an autonomous vehicle will
            a car is in autonomous mode                      Associate Faculty Pro-Vice-                                                                     autonomous mode, creating                           of Leeds suggested that there                       behave rather than just focusing
                                                                                                                                                             the problem of ‘de-skilling’,                       should be a system of driver                        on control of the vehicle.27
                                                                                                                                                             particularly in terms of a reduction                licencing for autonomous
                                                                                                                                                             in ‘situational awareness’.25 Given                 vehicles, as well as a need for
                                                                                                                                                             that a driver may need to take                      driver training, including for
                                                                                                                                                             back control of the vehicle, even                   those drivers who already have
                                                                                                                                                             with a fully autonomous vehicle,                    licences for conventional vehicles. 26
                                                                                                                                                             this could be problematic.                          Professor Sharples added that

            22
                 Ibid.                                                                                                                                        Morgan, P., Alford, C. and Parkhurst, G. (2016) Handover issues in autonomous driving: A literature review. Project Report. University of the West of
                                                                                                                                                             25

                                                                                                                                                             England, Bristol,
            23
              House of Lords Science and Technology Committee inquiry into autonomous vehicles: written evidence (AUV0029) from Professor Neville Stanton,   UK http://eprints.uwe.ac.uk/2916.
            Chair in Human Factors Engineering, University of Southampton (October 2016) http://data.parliament.uk/writtenevidence/committeeevidence.svc/
            evidencedocument/science-and-technology-committee-lords/autonomous-vehicles/written/41762.html.                                                  26
                                                                                                                                                               House of Lords Science and Technology Committee inquiry into autonomous vehicles: oral evidence session, question 60 (November 2016) http://
                                                                                                                                                             data.parliament.uk/writtenevidence/committeeevidence.svc/evidencedocument/science-and-technology-committee-lords/autonomous-vehicles/
            24
              House of Lords Science and Technology Committee inquiry into autonomous vehicles: oral evidence session, question 56 (November 2016)           oral/43733.html.
            http://data.parliament.uk/writtenevidence/committeeevidence.svc/evidencedocument/science-and-technology-committee-lords/autonomous-
            vehicles/oral/43733.html.                                                                                                                        27
                                                                                                                                                                  Ibid.

                                                                         22                                                                                                                                      23
Chapter 4

             Safety of other road users                                                                                                                                   Traffic implications
            The risk of complacency                                and regional differences in                            to the presence of automated                    Another often-cited benefit of          Current free flow traffic conditions     Further investigation into
            also extends to other road-                            pedestrian and cyclists’ behaviour                     vehicles, particularly if human                 autonomous vehicles is the              typically show average speeds            whether the observed cautious
            users who will interact with                           are complex for human drivers to                       drivers know autonomous                         reduction in congestion and             that are at or moderately                behaviour would, in practice,
            autonomous vehicles, such as                           understand, let alone the sensors                      vehicles are designed to be risk                improvement in traffic flows,           above the speed limit. If the            be eroded by the competitive
            pedestrians, cyclists and other                        and cameras of an autonomous                           averse and compliant with traffic               through the transmission of traffic     cautious driving behaviour               pressure of other drivers in the
            drivers. An understanding of                           vehicle.29 Professor Sharples has                      rules.31 The study provides some                information such as the location        and reduced speed found in               context of widespread roll-out
            how autonomous vehicles                                also pointed out that risks to                         evidence that, as autonomous                    of road closures or incidents.          VENTURER Trial 1 is replicated           of the technology in a real-world
            will affect the behaviour of                           autonomous vehicle users’ safety                       vehicles become more prevalent,                 However, from the perspective           across drivers in general in the         environment, or whether caution
            these other road-users will be                         may arise as a consequence                             some human drivers may                          of traffic management, the              real world, and if they persisted        would depress traffic speeds,
            important in developing both                           of other road users adapting                           adapt their driving behaviour.                  findings around delayed                 with greater experience of               is needed. Investigation by
            the technology and the policy for                      their behaviour in response to                         At junctions, human drivers                     response and cautious driving           autonomous vehicles, then this           highway engineers on the effect
            the rollout of these vehicles.                         autonomous vehicles being on                           may pull out into smaller gaps                  behaviour following takeover            could cause a build-up of traffic        of cautious driving following
                                                                   the road.30 In the reverse, other                      between vehicles when there are                 could be important.                     and therefore have a reverse             handover on traffic flow would
            In particular, it is important                         road users may need to adapt                           more autonomous vehicles in                                                             effect on road networks.33               also be valuable to gain a fuller
            to understand how human                                their behaviour and expectations                       the traffic, but when overtaking,                                                                                                understanding of the potential
            behaviour may change as                                to accommodate the conduct                             participants typically chose to                                                                                                  extent of any problem.
            a result of the interaction                            of various types of automated                          wait until the approaching vehicle
            with autonomous vehicles.                              vehicle: for example it could                          had passed in all instances,
            The Government previously                              be the case that pedestrians                           regardless of whether the vehicle               Impact on underwriting
            commissioned a scoping study                           would become complacent and                            was an autonomous vehicle
            to understand the main social                          assume that autonomous vehicles                        or a human driven vehicle.                      Data on driver performance during       performance of drivers with a range      who are highly experienced
            and behavioural questions                              would avoid them, thereby                              Comments from drivers who did                   handover will enable underwriters       of age and driving experience.           drivers, and in some cases
            relating to autonomous vehicles,                       crossing roads at any point.                           not adapt their behaviour towards               to assess the risk class and            This is particularly the case given      experienced and trained for
            which identified nearly 400                                                                                   autonomous vehicles suggest                     category of a driver based on           the current policy debate around         simulator studies. However,
            open questions and concluded                           The Greenwich Automated                                they may be motivated to do so                  their behaviour. This judgment          high car insurance premiums              VENTURER Trial 1 determined
            that behavioural aspects have                          Transport Environment (GATEway)                        in certain circumstances, such as               enables a decision to be made on        for younger drivers, 34 and the          the age range of participants
            been under-researched.28                               project has carried out a trial                        when they are in a hurry.32                     a driver’s insurance cover and the      potential benefits autonomous            with a view to including younger,
                                                                   with a TRL driving simulator,                                                                          premium he or she should pay.           vehicles can bring to groups             less experienced drivers
            Professor Merat believes one                           comprising two driving tasks:                          Further research is needed                                                              whose driving might be restricted        as well as older and more
            of the reasons for the lack                            crossing a ‘give way’ junction and                     in this area to gain a fuller                   It is therefore important               through lack of experience and           experienced drivers.
            of research on pedestrians’                            overtaking a slow-moving vehicle                       understanding of the impact of                  to examine behaviour and                limited or declining skills.
            understanding of autonomous                            on an urban dual carriageway, in                       the technology on the behaviour                 performance when handover
            vehicles is that it is a very                          order to understand more about                         of other road users.                            is required multiple times              Previous studies into the
            complicated topic: cultural                            how human drivers might respond                                                                        throughout a driving scenario,          handover period have generally
                                                                                                                                                                          as well as considering the              used middle-aged participants

                                                                                                                                                                          Participant sample Trial 1 experiments

                                                                                                                                                                                   Experiment                UWE STISIM Simulator           Wildcat Road Vehicle
             House of Lords Science and Technology Committee inquiry into autonomous vehicles: written supplementary evidence (AUV0095) from the
            28

            Government – Department for Transport (DfT) and the Department for Business, Energy and Industrial Strategy (BEIS) (December 2016) http://data.
            parliament.uk/writtenevidence/committeeevidence.svc/evidencedocument/science-and-technology-committee-lords/autonomous-vehicles/
            written/44865.html.                                                                                                                                               Number of participants                    31                            27
            29
              House of Lords Science and Technology Committee inquiry into autonomous vehicles: supplementary written evidence (AUV0092) from Professor
            Natasha Merat, Institute for Transport Studies, University of Leeds (November 2016) http://data.parliament.uk/writtenevidence/committeeevidence.
            svc/evidencedocument/science-and-technology-committee-lords/autonomous-vehicles/written/43683.html.                                                                                              Powered to detect a
                                                                                                                                                                                   Sample size                                            Medium to large effect size.
                                                                                                                                                                                                           medium-large effect size. 35
            30
              House of Lords Science and Technology Committee inquiry into autonomous vehicles: written evidence (AUV0049) from Professor Sarah Sharples
            and colleagues, University of Nottingham (October 2016) http://data.parliament.uk/writtenevidence/committeeevidence.svc/evidencedocument/
            science-and-technology-committee-lords/autonomous-vehicles/written/41871.html.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                18-69 years of age.
             GATEway (Greenwich Automated Transport Environment) research project led by TRL, launched in February 2015 https://gateway-project.org.uk/
            31                                                                                                                                                                                                                                20-60 years of age
                                                                                                                                                                                                             Mean = 41.0, Standard
            ppr807//.                                                                                                                                                                                                                       Mean = 39.6, Standard
                                                                                                                                                                                    Age range                  Deviation = 13.9,
            32
              Published GATEway Project Report PPR807, ‘Driver responses to encountering automated vehicles in an urban environment’ (February 2017)                                                                                          Deviation = 12.5,
                                                                                                                                                                                                           3 > 60-years of age hence a
            https://gateway-project.org.uk/                                                                                                                                                                                                6 participants ≥ 50-years
            wp-content/uploads/2017/02/Driver-responses-to-encountering-automated-vehicles-in-an-urban-environment-1.pdf.                                                                                  mean age > 40 years of age
            33
                 VENTURER – Trial 1 Findings http://www.venturer-cars.com/.
            34
                 BBC News, MPs debate £1,200 cap on insurance costs for young drivers (March 2017) http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-39327089.                                                                      16 male                       17 male
                                                                                                                                                                                     Gender
                                                                                                                                                                                                                    15 female                     10 female
            35
              (Cohen’s f = .25 – .4) with power of .8 (determined using G*Power 3.1.7 software: Faul et al., 2007). Faul, F., Erdfelder, E., Lang, A.-G., & Buchner, A.
            (2007). G*Power 3: A flexible statistical power analysis program for the social, behavioural, and biomedical sciences. Behaviour Research
            Methods, 39, 175-191.
                                                                                24                                                                                                                                25
Chapter 4

            While age has not been                             pool due to faster handover                        is more widely taken up, if as
            considered as an independent                       times, this could bring a benefit                  expected vehicle crashes decline
            variable in the data analysis, if it               to them as a group in the form                     when vehicles are in automated
            is the case that younger people                    of reduced premiums.                               driving mode, it is possible that
            are able to react faster to a                                                                         those still driving manual cars will
            handover request and therefore                     The effect of autonomous vehicles                  be priced out of the market for
            have a quicker takeover time,                      on insurance premiums across                       insurance. Insurers, manufacturers
            then arguably they could see                       the board will also need to be                     and the Government will have
            a reduction in their insurance                     considered. Given that one of                      to work together to provide
            premiums. Typically, younger                       the key benefits of autonomous                     a solution to this problem. One
            drivers face higher insurance                      vehicles is the increase in safety                 option could be to help those who
            premiums because they are                          (90% of all motor accidents are                    can’t access driverless technology,
            typically regarded as carrying                     caused by human error), those                      for example by introducing a
            a higher risk, due to their age                    driving autonomous vehicles can                    scheme to encourage people
            as well as factors such as their                   expect to see a reduction in their                 to ‘cash in’ their old, non-
            driving experience and claims                      premiums: Telegraph Money has                      autonomous cars to help them
            history.36 However, if in the                      reported that annual premiums                      afford an autonomous vehicle,
            context of autonomous vehicles,                    could be reduced by £265 on                        known as a scrappage scheme.
            younger people were found to                       average by 2020.37 Looking further
            bring less risk to the insurance                   to the future as the technology

                               Lots of work has been done on this by insurance companies and by
                                market consultants, and they predict substantial reductions in the
                               total premium pot. There will probably be a slight increase initially
                               because you will have more expensive gadgets strapped around the
                               periphery of vehicles, but once we see a higher proportion of these
                                vehicles on the road, consultants predict a 50%-plus reduction in
                                 the total motor premium market. From our perspective, we are
                                 planning in that regard. The good thing is that it will not happen
                               overnight, and therefore as we see motor premiums reduce we can
                                   move our staff and our capital on to other lines of business.38
                                                         – David Williams, Technical Director, AXA

            36
              House of Commons Transport Select Committee and Petitions Committee one-off oral evidence session on cost of car insurance for young people:
            question 38 (February 2017) http://data.parliament.uk/writtenevidence/committeeevidence.svc/evidencedocument/petitions-committee/the-cost-
            of-car-insurance-for-young-people/oral/48201.pdf.

             The Telegraph, ‘Driverless cars will shave £265 off insurance premiums in five years’ (May 2015) http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/
            37

            personalfinance/insurance/motorinsurance/11623218/Driverless-cars-will-shave-265-off-insurance-premiums-in-five-years.html.

             Automated and Electric Vehicles Bill Committee oral evidence session (October 2017) https://hansard.parliament.uk/commons/2017-10-31/
            38

            debates/b1d00f88-a22b-4291-937d-8f6a47d335d7/AutomatedAndElectricVehiclesBill(FirstSitting)

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