Citizen Centric Cities - The Sustainable Cities Index 2018 - Arcadis

Page created by Jon Greene
 
CONTINUE READING
Citizen Centric Cities - The Sustainable Cities Index 2018 - Arcadis
Citizen Centric Cities
        The Sustainable Cities Index 2018
Citizen Centric Cities - The Sustainable Cities Index 2018 - Arcadis
Citizen Centric Cities - The Sustainable Cities Index 2018 - Arcadis
Foreword

           T
                     he 2018 edition of Arcadis’ Sustainable Cities Index
                     (SCI) explores city sustainability from the perspective
                     of the citizen. We seek to understand in more depth
                     how different cities enable different citizen groups to
           meet their particular needs.

                                  In many cities, citizens face huge      This points to a series of core
                                  challenges to meet their basic          challenges for all cities that
                                  needs of survival, including shelter,   influence not only how they seek
                                  access to food, water and warmth.       to improve their performance,
                                  Once these are met, the human           but also how they prepare for a
                                  need for community, managing            digitally-driven transformation. It
                                  society and moving from “A to B”        is important to look at how cities
                                  take on far greater importance.         maintain services at current levels
                                  Cities are powerful engines that        of performance as they evolve,
                                  bring people together and allow         specifically if they use innovation
                                  for resource sharing to meet            to ensure that currently
                                  collective needs. Our study             recognized needs and wants are
                                  highlights that emerging needs,         met. Second, how they allocate
                                  such as digital connectivity, are       new resources to meet changing
                                  being addressed in cities at all        citizen requirements – prioritizing
                                  levels of sustainability.               initiatives to ensure that the
                                                                          greatest benefits are delivered.
                                  A critical point is that human          Finally, how do cities ensure
                                  needs are fundamentally                 that they are fit for the future –
                                  hierarchical in nature. And if          preserving resources so that the
                                  certain needs are not met,              needs of tomorrow’s citizens can
                                  for example if housing is too           be met as well as responding to
                                  expensive, then dissatisfaction         changes in business models and
                                  will follow. The SCI and other          economic circumstances.
                                  studies show that even highly
                                  developed cities can struggle           In the 2018 edition of the SCI,
                                  to meet the basic needs of their        we continue our exploration of
                                  citizens. As a result, the level of     the People, Profit and Planet
                                  peoples’ satisfaction associated        dimensions of city sustainability,
                                  with their purpose or well-being        building a greater understanding
                                  are undermined. Viewed from a           of the underlying characteristics
                                  citizen’s perspective, a city that is   of cities that enable some to
                                  highly ranked as sustainable but        outperform their peers. Our
                                  with elevated levels of congestion      intention is that by initiating
                                  not meeting accessibility needs, is     further debate on the nature
                                  not truly sustainable.                  of long-term success, cities will
                                                                          continue to challenge themselves
                                                                          to meet the needs of their people
                                                                          for both today and tomorrow.

                                                                          John Batten, Global Cities Director

                                          3
Citizen Centric Cities - The Sustainable Cities Index 2018 - Arcadis
Executive summary

                    T
                                he Sustainable Cities Index
                                ranks 100 global cities on three
                                pillars of sustainability: People
                                (social), Planet (environmental)
                    and Profit (economic).
                    The SCI overall findings highlight   York, San Francisco and Seattle
                    the following:                       are the only U.S. cities in the top
                    • The importance of the Profit       20. Two additional cities, Tokyo
                      pillar as a driver for long-term   and Sydney, are lower – ranking
                      sustainability                     high for People, but need to
                    • The need for mid-ranking           improve in both Profit and Planet.
                      cities to improve their
                      performance across all             Major cities across Africa and Asia
                      pillars as a differentiator        are represented in the bottom
                    • The growing potential              10 of the rankings. Importantly,
                      for cities to use the digital      it is the Profit performance of
                      evolution of their service         these cities, particularly related
                      provision to promote               to ease of doing business and
                      engagement with citizens           output that contributes to their
                      and as a key means of 		           weak relative performance.
                      improving the citizen              Growing a robust local economy           the top 50 cities. Edinburgh tops
                      experience of city life.           is a critical aspect of long-term        the sub-index, and the other
                                                         sustainability, particularly given       cities have scores within +/- 10%.
                    London is ranked the world’s
                                                         the close association of economic        Affordability of city life, access
                    most sustainable city in 2018
                                                         performance with improved                to public transport and income
                    with particularly high scores in
                                                         quality of life.                         inequality are the big swing
                    the People and Profit pillars. The
                    results highlight that strengths                                              variables. A cluster of cities at the
                                                         Although coastal cities including        bottom of the rankings highlights
                    reflected in London’s status can
                                                         New York and Seattle feature             the challenge of meeting
                    offset challenges associated with
                                                         in the top 20, most U.S. cities          citizen needs in many emerging
                    affordability and congestion.
                                                         fall in the bottom half of the           economies. The affordability,
                    London’s Planet ranking is lower,
                                                         ranking. U.S. cities tend to score       health, education and digital
                    but still in the upper quartile,
                                                         evenly across the three pillars,         infrastructure indicators all
                    reflecting air quality and waste
                                                         highlighting that these cities face      point to deep-seated challenges
                    management issues seen in other
                                                         broad challenges across all pillars      associated with improving life
                    large cities.
                                                         to improve their sustainability.         experiences in emerging cities.
                                                         In Latin America, Santiago, São
                    Stockholm, Edinburgh, Singapore
                                                         Paulo, Mexico City and Buenos            A group of smaller European
                    and Vienna complete the top five
                                                         Aires are all tightly clustered at       cities led by Stockholm, sit at
                    in the Index. Whereas Stockholm
                                                         the top of the bottom quartile,          the top of the Planet sub-index.
                    and Vienna score highly against
                                                         typically scoring better in People       Determinants of a high ranking
                    Planet criteria, Edinburgh is
                                                         and Planet than in the Profit pillar.    include low carbon energy
                    aligned more closely to the People
                    agenda. Singapore is highest                                                  infrastructure and significant
                                                         Kuala Lumpur benefits from               green spaces. The expanded 2018
                    ranked in the Profit sub-index
                                                         consistent scores across all pillars     Index also tracks investment
                    by a considerable margin.
                                                         and outranks all the cities in China     in low carbon transport
                                                         except for Shenzhen as well as           infrastructure, including bike
                    The top 20 sustainable cities are
                                                         a number of U.S. and European            sharing and electric vehicle
                    mostly established European
                                                         cities.                                  incentives – highlighting the rapid
                    metropolises. Additionally,
                    representing Asia are Singapore,                                              adoption of these solutions in
                                                         Performance across the People
                    Hong Kong and Seoul - both well-                                              many cities.
                                                         pillar is relatively consistent across
                    established trading cities. New
                                                                 4
Citizen Centric Cities - The Sustainable Cities Index 2018 - Arcadis
The Profit sub-index highlights            The city clusters are:
the extreme disparities in income.         • Balanced Innovators: Thirty-
The top of the sub-index is                  five cities in the SCI fall into this
dominated by global financial                cluster and have an average
centers. Singapore, London and               ranking of 21st. Particularly
Hong Kong head up the list and               strong in People and Profit
hold a sizeable lead over New York           sub-indices.
in 4th place. Sixty cities, ranging        • Post-industrial Opportunists:
from Oslo in 15th place to Lyon              Thirty-three cities in the SCI fall
in 74th place, have scores within            into this cluster and have an
a range of +/-20% highlighting               average ranking of 49th. Typical
complementary strengths in                   strengths are aligned to the
employment, tourism or ease                  People and Planet sub-indices.
of doing business. Ten cities, all           Cities in this cluster are mostly
                                             U.S. with some in Europe and
in developing countries have a
                                             Australia.
lower ranking due to challenges in
output, ease of doing business and         • Evolutionary Cities: Nineteen
                                             cities in the SCI fall into this
innovation infrastructure.
                                             cluster and have an average
                                             ranking of 84th. Cities are
The research features new
                                             particularly weak in the Profit
work on city archetypes and                  pillar. The cluster includes highly
clusters aimed at explaining the             disrupted Western cities such as
implications of a citizen experience         Athens as well as a number of
showing a close correlation to               large, emerging market cities.
the SCI rankings. The four city            • Fast-growing Megacities:
clusters used are based on an                Thirteen cities in the SCI fall into
analysis of the citizen experiences          this cluster and have an average
of city living combined with the             ranking of 85th. The Profit pillar
Index data.                                  is also weaker for this cluster.
                                             Cities in this cluster include very
                                             large cities from China and India.

                                       5
Citizen Centric Cities - The Sustainable Cities Index 2018 - Arcadis
6
Citizen Centric Cities - The Sustainable Cities Index 2018 - Arcadis
Citizen centric cities
                         Building a sustainable partnership

                         O
                                        ur latest update of the SCI highlights the rapid impact
                                        that digital technologies are having on the citizens’
                                        experience of the city and on the relationship between
                                        city and its people. As the adoption of automated
                         city services expands and as cities become more reliant on citizen-
                         sourced data to support basic functions, this relationship will
                         become even more complex.

                         The rapid development of urban         be managed more effectively on       Reflecting on the findings of
                         mobility solutions, whether            behalf of all stakeholders. On the   the SCI and growing evidence
                         delivered by mass transit,             negative side, greater awareness     of the importance of the citizen
                         ridesharing or ultimately by           of the pace and scale of change      perspective, we highlight three
                         connected and autonomous               may detract from city living and     aspects of citizen centric cities
                         vehicles (CAV) is perhaps the          some stakeholders - whether          that will be critical in underpinning
                         most extreme example of this           businesses, politicians or an        long-term city sustainability.
                         rapidly evolving trend. Changes        elite may wield disproportionate     • Short-term vs. long-term:
                         in mobility are already irreversibly   influence over future investment       Compared to the long-term
                         shifting the way in which cities       and management priorities.             challenges of city sustainability,
                         operate – only 15% of private-hire                                            many aspects of digital
                         car journeys are now undertaken        "The additional dynamism               disruption are inconsequential
                         by licensed taxi cab in San                                                   “noise”. Cities must keep their
                         Francisco – the harbinger of much
                                                                lent to cities through                 focus on long-term resilience,
                         greater change that could occur        digital disruption is both a           even as they navigate their way
                         if Mobility as a Service (MaaS)                                               through short-term change.
                                                                threat and an opportunity            • Firm foundations: The SCI data
                         develops at the pace predicted
                         by forecasters.                        for city leaders."                     consistently highlights that the
                                                                                                       foundations of city sustainability
                         The citizen centric analysis           However, the real negative is          are an educated and healthy
                         presented in the SCI highlights        that new technologies are not,         workforce, effective low-carbon
                                                                on current trajectories, going         infrastructure and ease of
                         the dramatic impact of change
                                                                anywhere far enough or fast            doing business. Irrespective of
                         affecting most city dwellers’
                                                                                                       where a city is positioned in the
                         experience of their city. There        enough to mitigate many of the
                                                                                                       SCI rankings, these attributes
                         is little evidence of stability and    negative impacts of city living.
                                                                                                       should never be put at risk by
                         balance in many citizens’ lives,       The cities at the top of the Index     city planning.
                         even in the highly sustainable         have succeeded in achieving a
                                                                                                     • Share the journey: City
                         cities at the top of the rankings.     degree of sustainable balance not      sustainability is a long-
                                                                only due to an historic economic       term project and cities are
                         The additional dynamism lent to        legacy but also due to far-sighted     increasingly connected.
                         cities through digital disruption is   decisions taken to manage the          Maintaining a city’s long-term
                         both a threat and an opportunity       impacts of growth. London’s            competitiveness and resilience
                         for city leaders. On the positive      sewers, New York’s grid-based          will need to be a shared
                         side, emerging opportunities for       planning and Copenhagen’s green        mission. User perspectives,
                         greater understanding of how           infrastructure are all examples        data and digital platforms
                         cities operate through data as         of far-sighted thinking that has       enable unprecedented levels of
                         well as means to communicate to        helped to mitigate some of the         collaboration and cities have a
                                                                                                       key role in leading the way.
                         citizens through a range of digital    problems of today and of the
                         platforms should enable cities to      future.
                                                                       7
Citizen Centric Cities - The Sustainable Cities Index 2018 - Arcadis
What enables a city to meet present and
future needs?

     S
                ustainable cities can be thought of as places that are
                planned and managed with consideration for social,
                economic, environmental impact, providing a resilient
                habitat for existing populations, without compromising
     the ability of future generations to experience the same.
     Accordingly, measures of sustainability need to be able to measure
     current city performance, ability to mitigate future impacts as well
     as investment in future capability – ideally measured from the
     perspective of the citizen.

                                 8
The three pillars   The Sustainable Cities Index is a broad measure of sustainability, encompassing measures of the social,
                    environmental and economic health of cities as shown in Figure 1.
                    Figure 1: The three pillars of sustainability

                           Reflects social mobility                     Describes management of                      Assesses business
                                and quality of                          energy use, pollution and               environment and economic
                            opportunity and life                                emissions                              performance

                                    Social                                  Environmental                               Economic

                                  People                                        Planet                                    Profit

                    The Sustainable                                 The UN SDGs emphasize
                                                                    the cross-cutting nature of
                                                                                                            • Investment in low carbon
                                                                                                              infrastructure (renewable
                    Cities Index ranks                              sustainability initiatives and the        energy, bicycle infrastructure
                                                                                                              and electric vehicle incentives)
                                                                    necessity for all cities to take a
                    100 global cities                               balanced approach in developing         • City resilience (natural
                                                                    an agenda. In this release of the         catastrophe exposure and risk
                    on three pillars of                             SCI, we bring an additional focus         monitoring).

                    sustainability: People,                         on how the characteristics of
                                                                    cities contribute to, or hold back,
                                                                                                            Metrics underpinning the Profit
                                                                                                            sub-index include:
                    Planet and Profit.                              the development of sustainability
                                                                                                            • Effectiveness of transport
                                                                    initiatives. Understanding citizen
                    The three pillars are                           needs and how cities function is          infrastructure (rail, air and traffic
                                                                    key to identifying how initiatives        congestion)
                    closely aligned to                              to improve sustainability               • Economic performance (GDP
                                                                                                              per capita, employment rates,
                    the UN Sustainable                              performance can be effectively
                                                                    implemented.                              ease of doing business, tourism,
                                                                                                              position in global economic
                    Development Goals                                                                         networks)
                                                                    Metrics used to build the People
                    (SDGs) and track                                sub-index indicators measure city       • Business infrastructure (Mobile
                                                                                                              and broadband connectivity,
                                                                    performance in terms of:
                    progress against UN                             • Personal well-being (health,
                                                                                                              employment rates and
                                                                                                              university technology research).
                    SDG commitments                                   education, crime),
                                                                                                            In 2018 we have revised the
                                                                    • Working life (income inequality,
                    covering:                                         working hours, the dependency         indicators of the indices to give
                                                                      ratio)                                greater emphasis to the digital
                    • Health and well-being
                                                                    • Urban living (transport               capabilities of cities. We use the
                    • Water and sanitation                                                                  adoption of digital solutions as
                                                                      accessibility, digital services and
                    • Industry, innovation and                        other amenities).                     a proxy measure for the pace
                      infrastructure                                                                        at which cities are equipping
                    • Inclusive, safe, resilient and                Data included in the Planet sub-        themselves to meet future
                      sustainable cities                            index ranks cities according to         needs. Connectivity, mobility,
                    • Climate change impacts                        environmental impacts covering:         citizen engagement and disaster
                    • Life on land                                  • Immediate needs of citizens           management are all areas where
                    • Partnership.                                    (water supplies, sanitation and       the adoption of new digital
                                                                      air pollution)                        solutions will enable cities
                                                                    • Long-term impacts (energy             to accelerate their sustainable
                                                                      consumption, recycling rates,         development.
                                                                      greenhouse gas emissions)

                                                                            9
Overall results

                  L
                          ondon tops the Index, ranking second in both People
                          and Profit as well as ranking 11th against the Planet
                          sub-index. London is one of few high performing
                          balanced cities in the Index with similar scores across
                  the three pillars.

                  • Most highly ranked cities score well in one or two         well in the Profit Pillar, while cities more to the
                    pillars. This is exemplified by Singapore and Hong         east such as Prague, Warsaw and Moscow
                    Kong, both of which are in the top 10 driven by very       face greater challenges associated with their
                    high Profit rankings and middle of the road People         sustainability agenda.
                    and Planet rankings. Most of the top 10 cities do        • Many of the European cities are increasingly
                    have very high Planet scores - these are Northern          reliant on automated systems and data to
                    European cities, exemplified by Stockholm and              support their effective operation. They are also
                    Frankfurt which have been highly successful in             sensitive to corporate priorities for what makes a
                    combining economic prosperity and environmental            successful and sustainable city. We term the citizen
                    stewardship.                                               experience in these cities Balanced Innovators.
                  • The U.S. has four cities in the upper quartile. The      • In Asia, we find a clear distinction between the
                    Profit pillar is typically strong for these cities,        well-established Seoul and Tokyo and a large
                    New York ranked 14th overall and 4th in Profit.            group of cities in China and emerging markets.
                    Interestingly, Seattle, ranked 19th, is the epitome of     Of 23 cities in the sample, 14 are in the bottom
                    a balanced city, ranking around the upper quartile         quartile, facing significant challenges across all
                    in all three pillars. We include a large sample            pillars. The performance gap affecting cities in
                    of U.S. cities in the Index and 15 of them rank            the bottom quarter of the ranking is particularly
                    between 50th and 75th, an exceptionally consistent         daunting - figure 2 highlights that scores are
                    pattern. These cities are mid to low ranking across        disproportionately low. Delivering sustainable
                    all pillars, highlighting the complex challenge that       growth from such a baseline will require huge
                    post-industrial cities face. Most of the U.S. cities       progress against the agenda set out by the UN
                    are in the process of a post-industrial transition,        SDGs. These cities are characterized by higher
                    where cities are having to balance immediate               levels of informality. We have developed two
                    investment in response to change with long-term            models to describe these cities - Evolutionary Cities
                    sustainability. Sometimes this investment comes            and Fast-growing Megacities, reflecting the scale
                    at the expense of legacy employment and with               of cities in these clusters and the balance between
                    a greater sense of competition between city                organized and informal activities in the cities.
                    peers for available investment. We describe the
                                                                             • All cities in Latin America can be found in the
                    citizen experience in these cities as Post-industrial
                                                                               lowest quartile. All seven cities in the sample are
                    Opportunists.
                                                                               clustered within a range of 10 cities at the top end
                  • Sixteen European cities are in the upper quartile.         of quartile rankings. Latin American cities score
                    Many of these, Amsterdam and Vienna, for                   relatively well in People and Planet but do less well
                    example, are balanced cities where our measures            in the Profit rankings. This is a common pattern
                    suggest that the needs of citizens, business and the       for lower ranking cities. Citizen experience in Latin
                    environment are all served well. Cities in Southern        American cities most closely fits the Evolutionary
                    Europe such as Spain, Italy, and Greece, score less        Cities cluster.
                                                                             • Overall, the results of the Index highlight that
                                                                               a cluster of relatively small European cities are
          “Our neighborhood is very good. People                               particularly successful in balancing well-being
                                                                               and economic performance and are taking steps
           are so caring, and we can spend a lot of                            to mitigate some aspects of environmental
                                                                               impact. However, further down the scale, cities
                          time with our neighbors.”                            which represent the fastest growing economies,
                                                                               in Asia, South America and Africa all face huge
                                                                               challenges to deliver citizen-centric growth while
                                   Pooja, 44, New Delhi, India                 mitigating wider environmental impacts. Analysis
                                                                               of the three pillars provides further insight into
                                                                               these challenges.

                                                                10
Figure 2: Overall Index Rankings

        1 London                                                     51 Houston
    2 Stockholm                                                  52 Philadelphia
     3 Edinburgh                                                       53 Denver
     4 Singapore                                                      54 Warsaw
         5 Vienna                                                   55 Honolulu
          6 Zurich                                                 56 Melbourne
        7 Munich                                                    57 Budapest
            8 Oslo                                                    58 Moscow
    9 Hong Kong                                                         59 Dallas
    10 Frankfurt                                                   60 Pittsburgh
 11 Copenhagen                                                  61 New Orleans
  12 Amsterdam                                                          62 Lisbon
         13 Seoul                                                       63 Miami
    14 New York                                                  64 Indianapolis
          15 Paris                                               65 Jacksonville
16 San Francisco                                                    66 Shenzhen
    17 Hamburg                                                 67 Kuala Lumpur
         18 Berlin                                                  68 Baltimore
       19 Seattle                                                     69 Phoenix
        20 Dublin                                                      70 Atlanta
       21 Madrid                                                       71 Detroit
       22 Boston                                                       72 Tampa
       23 Prague                                                        73 Beijing
         24 Taipei                                                74 Guangzhou
       25 Ottawa                                                       75 Athens
   26 Vancouver                                                      76 Shanghai
   27 Rotterdam                                                      77 Santiago
    28 Barcelona                                                    78 Sao Paulo
  29 Manchester                                                   79 Mexico City
      30 Toronto                                                     80 Bangkok
     31 Montreal                                                81 Buenos Aires
     32 Glasgow                                                       82 Istanbul
        33 Tokyo                                                        83 Tianjin
       34 Sydney                                               84 Rio de Janeiro
     35 Canberra                                                          85 Lima
       36 Geneva                                                     86 Salvador
      37 Calgary                                                       87 Wuhan
 38 Birmingham                                                        88 Chennai
 39 Washington                                                     89 New Delhi
         40 Rome                                                     90 Chengdu
        41 Macau                                                   91 Bengaluru
         42 Milan                                              92 Johannesburg
     43 Antwerp                                                       93 Mumbai
     44 Brisbane                                                       94 Jakarta
  45 Los Angeles                                                        95 Manila
          46 Lyon                                                      96 Nairobi
      47 Brussels                                                 97 Cape Town
      48 Chicago                                                         98 Hanoi
   49 Wellington                                                          99 Cairo
         50 Leeds                                                    100 Kolkata
                     0%      20%    40%       60%        80%                         0%   20%   40%   60%   80%

                          People     Planet         Profit
The People sub-index

                       T
                                  he People sub-index measures social sustainability
                                  - quality of life in the present and prospects for
                                  improvement for future generations. Our working
                                  hypothesis is that factors like good health and education
                       hold the key to current social sustainability, and that a city’s digital
                       infrastructure will set the foundation for future quality of life. The
                       People sub-index addresses UN SDGs dealing with poverty, health
                       and well-being, education and reduced inequalities.

                       • Edinburgh ranks first here based on the                    • Santiago and Buenos Aires score relatively highly
                         combination of a highly educated and healthy                 in the People sub-index based on reasonably
                         workforce, a reasonably equal distribution of                strong scores in health and education, making
                         income and low crime rate.                                   them peers of many cities in the U.S. However,
                       • The rest of the top 10 includes smaller cities               cities in Brazil, Mexico and Peru rank much lower
                         from Europe, developed cities in Asia and San                as a result of poorer educational attainment and
                         Francisco representing the U.S. All these cities have        digital provision.
                         strengths and weaknesses, but a recurring feature          • The bottom three cities are all found in Africa but
                         of these cities is their relatively high education           cities from all continents other than Europe and
                         scores, reflecting university rankings as well as            Oceania can be found in the lower quartile. Scores
                         participation rates. There are also some indications         are particularly low for health and education
                         of a better digital experience. All cities in the top 10     outcomes, affordability and digital capability.
                         form part of the Balanced Innovator cluster.                 Crime, income inequality and work-life balance
                       • Typically, cities in Europe, developed Asia and              are worse than for other cities but in reality, the
                         Oceania score well in the People sub-index. Cities           performance of most cities in the lower half of the
                         in the U.S. are lacking, with only two in the upper          sub-index is significantly worse than the top half
                         quartile. The citizen experience of U.S. cities is           of the sub-index, highlighting common challenges
                         affected by higher than average income inequality,           for many cities in Africa, Asia, Southern Europe
                         crime and limited access to public transport. Many           and the U.S. This finding highlights challenges
                         U.S. Post-industrial Opportunist cities are ranked           for the citizen experience across most city types,
                         below 50th in the sub-index.                                 particularly in Evolutionary Cities such as Jakarta
                                                                                      or Cape Town.
                                                                                    • As part of our increased focus on the forward-
                                                                                      looking capability of the city, we have also looked
          “There's a real shortage of housing. That's                                 at how cities are using technology to improve
                                                                                      quality of life for their citizens. Our ranking takes
            why house prices and trending prices are                                  into account digital services associated with
                                                                                      transport and property taxes as well as measures
           sky high. You pay a lot of money for not a                                 of connectivity including the affordability of
                                                                                      broadband and the availability of Wi-Fi.
                                        lot of space.”                              • The top 10 cities score well across these metrics,
                                                                                      with cities such as San Francisco clearly having
                          Kirsten, 27, Amsterdam, Netherlands                         many digital advantages. However, aspects of
                                                                                      digital services including Wi-Fi and digitally-
                                                                                      accessed transport are widely available in a large
                                                                                      share of the cities sampled, only in the bottom
                                                                                      quartile does a real digital gap emerge. Digital
                                                                                      is a strong point for U.S. cities, with only three
                                                                                      cities having low levels of digital integration in the
                                                                                      transport system.

                                                                       12
Figure 3: People sub-index
    1 Edinburgh                                                                   51 Beijing
        2 London                                                           52 Washington
           3 Paris                                                          53 Guangzhou
          4 Taipei                                                              54 Toronto
   5 Stockholm                                                                55 Shenzhen
        6 Prague                                                                  56 Lisbon
          7 Seoul                                                             57 Budapest
  8 Amsterdam                                                                 58 Honolulu
9 San Francisco                                                          59 Kuala Lumpur
       10 Madrid                                                               60 Santiago
        11 Tokyo                                                               61 Houston
 12 Manchester                                                                    62 Dallas
  13 Rotterdam                                                               63 Pittsburgh
     14 Moscow                                                             64 Jacksonville
    15 Canberra                                                           65 Buenos Aires
       16 Macau                                                            66 Philadelphia
         17 Lyon                                                              67 Shanghai
       18 Dublin                                                                 68 Denver
       19 Vienna                                                                69 Geneva
      20 Seattle                                                                70 Chicago
 21 Hong Kong                                                                   71 Phoenix
  22 Wellington                                                                  72 Atlanta
     23 Glasgow                                                                   73 Miami
   24 Barcelona                                                                  74 Tampa
      25 Sydney                                                                 75 Istanbul
     26 Brussels                                                                  76 Tianjin
         27 Milan                                                          77 Indianapolis
    28 Frankfurt                                                            78 Mexico City
      29 Ottawa                                                               79 Baltimore
   30 New York                                                               80 Sao Paulo
   31 Singapore                                                           81 New Orleans
          32 Oslo                                                              82 Chengdu
33 Birmingham                                                                    83 Wuhan
    34 Montreal                                                                  84 Detroit
      35 Munich                                                                85 Bangkok
        36 Berlin                                                               86 Chennai
        37 Rome                                                              87 New Delhi
  38 Melbourne                                                                      88 Lima
      39 Calgary                                                                    89 Cairo
40 Copenhagen                                                            90 Rio de Janeiro
     41 Warsaw                                                               91 Bengaluru
   42 Hamburg                                                                      92 Hanoi
       43 Zurich                                                                  93 Manila
      44 Boston                                                                 94 Mumbai
     45 Brisbane                                                               95 Salvador
  46 Vancouver                                                                  96 Kolkata
        47 Leeds                                                                 97 Jakarta
      48 Athens                                                             98 Cape Town
     49 Antwerp                                                          99 Johannesburg
 50 Los Angeles                                                                100 Nairobi
                     0%       20%         40%       60%       80%                              0%         20%        40%        60%   80%

                          Affordability         Education       Health      Public transport    Digital

                          Income inequality          Work-life balance      Crime       Demographics            Cultural offerings
The Planet sub-index

                       T
                                 he Planet sub-index measures the sustainable attributes
                                 of a city such as green space and pollution in addition to
                                 leading indicators of environmental mitigation such as
                                 support for low carbon transport. The Planet sub-index
                       addresses UN SDGs for clean water and sanitation, clean energy
                       and climate action.

                       • Our data highlights that all cities in the upper        • The natural attributes of Latin American cities
                         quartile of the Planet sub-index are European or          including São Paulo and Salvador mean that
                         North American cities including four from Canada.         these cities score highly across most of the Planet
                         Asian cities including Hong Kong and Singapore            sub-index rankings and appear in the top half of
                         which score well overall do less well in the Planet       the rankings. Waste management tends to be
                         sub-index – partly due to resilience risks associated     challenging in these cities, leading to lower scores
                         with their exposure to natural catastrophe. This is a     for some cities including Buenos Aires.
                         problem also faced by many cities in the U.S.           • Cities in the lowest quartile come mostly from
                       • Stockholm leads the Sustainable Cities Index              Asia and Africa. Hanoi comes at the bottom of
                         on the Planet pillar, thanks to investment in             the rankings, facing legacy challenges associated
                         sustainable infrastructure, low emissions and good        limited green space, high levels of air pollution and
                         air quality. For the top 10 cities, distinguishing        poor waste management provision. Low levels
                         features tend to be the legacy of lots of green           of access to resources means that greenhouse
                         space, below average air pollution and effective          gas emissions in the bottom 10 cities including
                         waste management. As a leading indicator of               Kolkata and Cairo are as low as those in the top 10.
                         investment in low-carbon infrastructure, all              However, investment in low carbon technologies
                         of these cities have made significantly larger            will inevitably be a lower priority when basic citizen
                         investments in bicycle infrastructure than many of        needs like water and waste management still
                         their peers.                                              need to be fixed. There are an equal number of
                       • The remainder of cities in the top half of the sub-       Evolutionary Cities and Fast-growing Megacities in
                         index are located in Europe, Oceania, Brazil and          the bottom quartile.
                         (mostly) coastal cities in the U.S. These all fit the   • The presence of developed world cities including
                         Balanced Innovators. Accordingly, this means that         Athens, Atlanta, Istanbul, Melbourne and Moscow
                         14 cities in the U.S., including Chicago, Houston         in the bottom quartile highlights that there is no
                         and Los Angeles are in the bottom half of the sub-        room for complacency. There are few common
                         index. All U.S. cities have a below-average energy        themes linking these cities other than isolated,
                         use profile, and these three cities also have limited     very low scores in single indicators such as GHG
                         green space provision as well as sub-par waste            emissions (Melbourne), waste management
                         management. In paradox, in car-loving U.S. cities,        (Moscow) or green space (Atlanta and Athens).
                         air quality is typically good, although greenhouse        However, given low levels of investment in
                         gas (GHG) emissions tend to be on the high side.          mitigation technologies such as Electric Vehicles
                                                                                   and bicycle infrastructure, there is inconclusive
                                                                                   evidence as to whether these cities are actively
                                                                                   addressing their challenges.

             “Since arriving six months ago, I have                              • Across the Index, many cities are at risk to natural
                                                                                   catastrophes. Even top 10 cities like Munich have
         begun to feel healthier and more relaxed.                                 a high exposure to flood risk. We have added a
                                                                                   natural disaster monitoring indicator to assess how
        While the city feels so equal and fair, I wish                             early warning technology is being used to mitigate
                                                                                   these risks. The indicator highlights that the 10
        it was easier to really connect with people                                cities with the greatest risk exposure have below
                                                                                   par early warning systems. Interestingly, some
                            and make new friends.”                                 cities with the lowest risk profile including Calgary
                                                                                   and Ottawa, have highly developed warning
                                      Erik, 26, Stockholm, Sweden                  systems, demonstrating the extent to which some
                                                                                   cities are prepared to invest in their citizen’s long-
                                                                                   term quality of life.

                                                                     14
Figure 4: Planet sub-index
     1 Stockholm                                                                   51 Calgary
      2 Frankfurt                                                                  52 Chicago
           3 Zurich                                                               53 Brisbane
          4 Vienna                                                                  54 Denver
   5 Copenhagen                                                               55 Jacksonville
             6 Oslo                                                                 56 Detroit
      7 Hamburg                                                                      57 Miami
           8 Berlin                                                                58 Phoenix
         9 Munich                                                                 59 Houston
     10 Montreal                                                              60 Los Angeles
       11 London                                                                    61 Nairobi
       12 Geneva                                                                 62 Budapest
       13 Ottawa                                                                     63 Tokyo
      14 Toronto                                                                 64 Shenzhen
        15 Madrid                                                                   65 Tampa
  16 Amsterdam                                                                   66 Baltimore
   17 Vancouver                                                                      67 Dallas
    18 Edinburgh                                                                    68 Prague
      19 Glasgow                                                                69 Pittsburgh
     20 New York                                                              70 Mexico City
  21 Manchester                                                               71 Guangzhou
    22 Barcelona                                                                      72 Taipei
 23 New Orleans                                                                      73 Macau
         24 Rome                                                                   74 Warsaw
           25 Paris                                                         75 Johannesburg
       26 Seattle                                                                76 Shanghai
 27 Birmingham                                                                    77 Santiago
          28 Leeds                                                                  78 Atlanta
        29 Boston                                                                   79 Athens
          30 Seoul                                                                   80 Tianjin
        31 Dublin                                                              81 Melbourne
      32 Salvador                                                            82 Buenos Aires
    33 Sao Paulo                                                            83 Kuala Lumpur
      34 Antwerp                                                                84 Bengaluru
           35 Lyon                                                                   85 Beijing
 36 Philadelphia                                                                86 New Delhi
     37 Honolulu                                                                   87 Moscow
   38 Rotterdam                                                                    88 Istanbul
         39 Lisbon                                                                 89 Mumbai
          40 Milan                                                                  90 Wuhan
    41 Singapore                                                                     91 Manila
   42 Wellington                                                                   92 Chennai
43 San Francisco                                                                  93 Chengdu
     44 Canberra                                                                  94 Bangkok
  45 Washington                                                                95 Cape Town
      46 Brussels                                                                   96 Jakarta
47 Rio de Janeiro                                                                      97 Lima
  48 Indianapolis                                                                      98 Cairo
       49 Sydney                                                                   99 Kolkata
   50 Hong Kong                                                                     100 Hanoi
                      0%       20%        40%       60%         80%                               0%      20%     40%     60%        80%

                           Energy        Air pollution        Greenhouse gas emissions        Waste management      Water & sanitation     Green spaces

                           Bicycle infrastructure        Electric vehicle incentives     Environmental exposure   Negative emmission       Natural disaster
                                                                                                                  technologies             monitoring
The Profit sub-index

                       T
                                   he Profit pillar                               • Looking at regional groupings of cities across
                                                                                    the sample, U.S. cities perform better against
                                   measures the                                     the Profit sub-index than other elements of the
                                                                                    Index. Interestingly, highly ranked cities including
                                   economic health of                               Chicago, Houston and Denver do not perform
                                                                                    anywhere near as well under either the People
                                   a city, incorporating                            or Planet metrics. The long-term prioritization
                                                                                    of economic performance over other aspects of
                       indicators that reflect the                                  sustainability has given many U.S. cities a legacy
                                                                                    that is particularly challenging to overturn.
                       productive capacity of cities                              • By contrast in Europe, while the top 12 economic
                                                                                    performers do well across all metrics, there is a
                       today, as well as the presence                               further block of 15 cities including cities in the UK,
                       of infrastructure and regulatory                             France and Italy that do not score so highly. In the
                                                                                    UK this may reflect the consequences of economic
                       enablers that support growth                                 over-centralization, whereas elsewhere in Europe
                                                                                    the data points to issues faced by many European
                       and prosperity in the present and                            cities in reinventing themselves for the new
                                                                                    economy – particularly with respect to tourism,
                       the future. UN SDGs addressed                                transport infrastructure and connectivity. This
                                                                                    mixed pattern of performance means that
                       by the Profit pillar include                                 the innovator/opportunist model is less effective
                                                                                    in explaining city performance at the lower end
                       economic growth, innovation                                  of the spectrum.
                                                                                  • Latin American cities are all in the bottom quartile
                       and infrastructure.                                          and score lowest across the Profit sub-index.
                                                                                    This result reflects below-par scores across most
                                                                                    metrics including output, tourism and connectivity.
                       • The Profit sub-index has the greatest dispersion
                                                                                  • A key feature of the Profit sub-index are the
                         across the three pillars. The top ten cities including
                                                                                    particularly low scores for the lowest ranked
                         New York, Hong Kong and Zurich score much
                                                                                    cities in the Index—highlighting huge barriers to
                         higher than in the other sub-indices, while the
                                                                                    economic, social and environmental progress.
                         lower quartile does much worse. These results
                                                                                    Low scores for ease of doing business and
                         highlight that inequality of economic performance
                                                                                    relative output are the main drivers but scores
                         is central to the challenge of city sustainability.
                                                                                    are low across the board. These challenges are
                       • Singapore, London and Hong Kong come out                   also evidenced across the bottom 25 cities.
                         comfortably on top in this pillar breaking away            There is a close relationship between poor Profit
                         from other top-performing cities on transportation,        rankings, low People rankings and a low overall
                         ease of doing business and connectivity.                   Index ranking. Sixteen of the bottom cities are
                         Singapore is the stand-out city with high levels of        Evolutionary Cities where informal patterns of
                         employment delivering correspondingly high levels          working are common in commerce and the service
                         of output. The remaining top 10, comprising U.S.           industry. The impact of these practices on ease
                         coastal cities, as well as Seoul and three European        of doing business may help to explain why the
                         cities including Zurich all score well on ease of          differential in performance on the Profit pillar is
                         doing business and output, but the performance of          so marked.
                         the transport system is much more mixed.
                                                                                  • In the Profit pillar, we have included digital
                                                                                    connectivity and university technology research
                                                                                    and development as forward indicators for
                                                                                    sustainable growth. Singapore, London and Hong
             “The air pollution used to be really bad...                            Kong have outstanding scores in these areas,
                                                                                    and the top 10. New York, San Francisco and
              you couldn’t even see the sky on some                                 Boston also do well. These results highlight that
                                                                                    economically strong cities will often continue to
               days. Things are getting better now as                               have an advantage in reinventing themselves as
                                                                                    well as sustaining current performance.
            they start to clean things up, but it’s a bit
                       incredible how bad things got.”
                                       Zhang, 43, Shenzhen, China

                                                                     16
Figure 5: Profit sub-index
     1 Singapore                                                          51 Budapest
         2 London                                                             52 Miami
    3 Hong Kong                                                            53 Moscow
      4 New York                                                             54 Detroit
         5 Munich                                                           55 Ottawa
     6 Edinburgh                                                       56 Indianapolis
 7 San Francisco                                                       57 Manchester
          8 Boston                                                         58 Glasgow
           9 Zurich                                                   59 Birmingham
          10 Seoul                                                             60 Milan
   11 Stockholm                                                           61 Montreal
        12 Prague                                                              62 Rome
          13 Taipei                                                   63 New Orleans
           14 Oslo                                                         64 Bangkok
 15 Copenhagen                                                                 65 Leeds
        16 Vienna                                                          66 Brussels
  17 Amsterdam                                                                67 Beijing
           18 Paris                                                         68 Phoenix
         19 Dublin                                                     69 Jacksonville
        20 Seattle                                                       70 Shenzhen
       21 Chicago                                                            71 Tampa
      22 Houston                                                        72 Wellington
        23 Denver                                                             73 Lisbon
    24 Hamburg                                                                  74 Lyon
  25 Los Angeles                                                          75 Shanghai
 26 Washington                                                               76 Athens
      27 Warsaw                                                        77 Guangzhou
         28 Tokyo                                                               78 Lima
       29 Geneva                                                           79 Santiago
   30 Vancouver                                                             80 Istanbul
        31 Sydney                                                      81 Mexico City
          32 Berlin                                                          82 Jakarta
       33 Calgary                                                             83 Tianjin
    34 Frankfurt                                                     84 Johannesburg
         35 Macau                                                     85 Buenos Aires
      36 Toronto                                                         86 Sao Paulo
37 Kuala Lumpur                                                             87 Chennai
   38 Rotterdam                                                         88 Cape Town
      39 Brisbane                                                            89 Wuhan
   40 Pittsburgh                                                            90 Mumbai
         41 Dallas                                                             91 Hanoi
 42 Philadelphia                                                         92 Bengaluru
   43 Melbourne                                                      93 Rio de Janeiro
      44 Antwerp                                                         94 New Delhi
       45 Atlanta                                                          95 Salvador
    46 Baltimore                                                          96 Chengdu
    47 Barcelona                                                             97 Nairobi
     48 Honolulu                                                              98 Manila
        49 Madrid                                                               99 Cairo
     50 Canberra                                                          100 Kolkata
                      0%      20%       40%       60%      80%                              0%   20%       40%       60%         80%

                           Employment         Economic Development      Ease of Doing Business   Transportation Infrastructure

                           Tourism       Connectivity      University Technology Research
Explaining patterns of city sustainability
                                             City Clusters

                                             W
                                                                 hy is one city more sustainable than another? Is
                                                                 it because of physical attributes such as a safe,
                                                                 resilient location or as a result of far-sighted
                                                                 investment in green space? Is it the result of
                                             long periods of investment in health, education and transport
                                             infrastructure, or the impact of more recent actions taken to
                                             mitigate the impacts of unfettered growth? Most importantly,
                                             how do these drivers relate to citizen needs, both now and in the
                                             future? When comparing cities at opposite ends of the spectrum,
                                             these differences appear easy to spot, often in the levels of
                                             health and education infrastructure and the levels of meaningful
                                             employment, but as one compares peer cities, the differences are
                                             harder to discern.

                                                                         18
19
To provide greater insight into the factors that
influence city development and performance, we
have developed a deeper understanding of how
citizens and cities relate.
                                                             Figure 6: Creating city clusters
This insight is derived from city archetypes based
on urban ethnographic research into how cities are
evolving and the experience of the citizens living
within them. The results of this research is a set of
four city clusters.

                                                                             ple

                                                                                                                                     Pla
Our starting point for developing the clusters is

                                                                          Peo

                                                                                                                                        net
that all cities are composites of different citizen
experiences. Elements of a fast-growing city where                                                   Sustainable
citizen needs are met in part through an informal                                                    Cities Index
economy can be found alongside aspects of the
most advanced, smart city technologies, where
services and infrastructure are integrated using data
and digital platforms. These experiences of a city,
whether Informal or Sensing for example, help to
connect the citizen to the city.                                                                             Profit

Our research has focused on eight archetypes that
highlight how cities are experienced by citizens. A
single archetype is not intended to describe a city.
                                                                                                ng                    Acce
In each city, the archetypes combine to define the                                           nsi                          ssi
character of a city clusters. More detail about the                                        Se                                ble
archetypes can be found in the Appendix.

                                                                                                                                           Au
                                                                          t
                                                                       ien

                                                                                                                                             tom
                                                                  Resil

                                                                                                                                                ated
                                                                                                 Citizen Centric
                                                                                                 City Archetypes

                                                                                                                                                   ce d
                                                                   Info

                                                                                                                                             la n
                                                                     rm

                                                                                                                                          Ba
                                                                        al

                                                                                      En
                                                                                            ter
                                                                                                p                            u pted
                                                                                                     ris e            D is r

                                                                                                    s             Post
                                                                                                ator                   Ind
                                                                                             nov                          us
                                                                                           In                               t
                                                                                  d

                                                                                                                                ria
                                                                                ce

                                                                                                                                   lO
                                                                              an

                                                                                                          City
                                                                                                                                     ppo
                                                                           Bal

                                                                                                        Clusters
                                                                                                                                        rtunists

                                                                                          Formed by assigning relevance to
                                                                          Ev o lu t

                                                                                            each of the indicators in the
                                                                                           sub-indices for each archetype
                                                                              io n

                                                                                                                                      es
                                                                                ar

                                                                                                                                 iti

                                                                                      Ci
                                                                                                                               ac
                                                                                      y

                                                                                           tie
                                                                                                 s                              eg
                                                                                                                            M
                                                                                                        Fast- grow      ing

                                                        20
Figure 7: City archetypes detail

Using integrated                                                                                       Using accessible
sensors to manage city                                                                                 infrastructure to
services                                                                                               enable all people
                                                                                                       to go about their
                                                                                                       daily lives
                                                      g                  Acce
                                                 ensin                       ssib
                                                S                                le

At risk from                                                                                           Run to an
disruption and heavily                                                                                 increasing extent
invested in mitigation                                                                                 automated

                                                                                           Au
                                          nt

measures                                                                                               processes and AI

                                                                                             tom
                                      ilie
                                   Res

                                                                                                ated
                                   Info

                                                                                              ce d
                                                                                            la n
                                     rm

                                                                                           Ba
                                       al

Unplanned cities                                                                                       Prosperous,
where citizens create                                                                                  healthy and with a
their own services                                                                                     good work-life
and structures                                                                                         balance
                                               En                                      d
                                                    ter
                                                        p                      r u pte
                                                            ris e         D is

Aligned to the needs                                                                                   Facing economic
of businesses and                                                                                      decline and
their employees                                                                                        needing to
                                                                                                       re-invent

                                                                    21
Fast-growing
                                                              Figure 8: City clusters and archetype relationship

Megacities,
Post-industrial                                                                   Balanced

Opportunists,                                                                    Innovators

Evolutionary
Cities, Balanced
Innovators
                                                                               Post-industrial
When looking at the clusters, our first hypothesis
                                                                               Opportunists
is that a highly developed, world city will be
experienced in a radically different way to a rapidly
developing, emerging economy city. Our second
hypothesis is that the detailed difference between
peer cities described by a cluster will explain in
part their differing sustainability performance
All city clusters feature a different balance
of archetypes that lead to different citizen
experiences. Furthermore, not all people will
be familiar with the experiences associated with
each archetype.

As a result, differences in cities reflect how widely
                                                                                Evolutionary
available an experience is as well as its character.                               Cities
For example, in a rapidly developing city, experiences
associated with resilience, sensing and automation
may only be available to an elite, whereas the
experience of a large share of the population will
be much more precarious and informal. By contrast,
in highly developed city like Hong Kong, the
experience of a highly Automated and Accessible
city infrastructure is almost ubiquitous.

                                                                                Fast-growing
                                                                                 Megacities

                                                                   Disrupted        Informal        Balanced       Resilient

                                                                   Automated        Sensing         Accesible      Enterprise

                                                         22
Cluster one.
                                                                    Figure 9 Cluster 1: Balanced Innovators

Balanced
Innovators.
Thirty-five cities fit this profile, all of which are in                                          Balanced
the top half of the Index. All but one of the top                                                Innovators
25 cities in the Index are classified as Balanced
Innovators. This suggests a close association
between the attributes of a sustainable city. The
key citizen experiences associated with this profile
are convenience and security associated with
Automation and Sensing and high quality of life
associated with an absence of Disruption as well
as the infrastructure necessary for a Connected
city. Cities that match the Balanced Innovator
                                                                           Disrupted         Informal         Balanced          Resilient
profile need to be prosperous and as a result,
many of the service industry dominated cities of                           Automated         Sensing          Accesible         Enterprise
Northern Europe, Coastal U.S. and Asia fit within
this profile. Looking forward, the role of technology
in enabling seamless infrastructure and in
supporting high expectations for service quality                      Cities
will grow exponentially.
                                                                      Amsterdam / Antwerp / Barcelona / Berlin
The challenges that these cities face include                         / Boston / Brisbane / Brussels / Canberra /
addressing an aging population – which requires                       Copenhagen / Dublin / Edinburgh / Frankfurt
affordable housing and a diverse range of services.                   / Geneva / Hamburg / Hong Kong / London /
As they prosper, and their development accelerates,                   Macau / Madrid / Milan / Munich / New York /
the ties that bind these cities socially and politically              Oslo / Paris / Prague / Rome / San Francisco /
to their hinterlands may become strained,                             Seattle / Seoul / Singapore / Stockholm / Sydney
particularly given these cities continuing need for                   / Taipei / Tokyo / Vienna / Zurich.
investment. This is reflected in the pace of change
associated with the Balanced Innovator city, both                     Defining city archetypes:
in terms of citizen expectation and the need for
investment and innovation.                                            Enterprise - Aligned to the needs of businesses
                                                                      and their employees.
                                                                      Automated - Run to an increasing extent
                                                                      automated processes and AI.
                                                                      Sensing - Using integrated sensors to manage
                                                                      city services.

                                          “People take a lot of pride in where they live here and
                                          care for each other.”
                                          Jane, 30, Melbourne, Australia

                                                                     Accessible – using accessible infrastructure to enable all people to go about thei

                                                                     Automated – run to an increasing extent automated processes and AI

                                                                     Disrupted – facing economic decline and needing to re-invent
                                                           23
                                                                     Balanced – prosperous, healthy and with a good work-life balance
Figure 10 Cluster 2: Post-industrial Opportunists

Cluster two.
Post-industrial
Opportunists.
                                                                                            Post-industrial
                                                                                            Opportunists

Thirty-three cities fit this profile, all of which
are place in the middle two quartiles of the SCI.
Accordingly, these are cities that in most cases
deliver a good quality of life, but which have
room to improve. The cluster consists mainly of
American cities together with some European and
Australian cities. Citizen experiences supported by
a growing role of technology are mostly positive
                                                                        Disrupted           Informal         Balanced          Resilient
but might potentially be undermined by the impact
of automation on legacy employment. Cities that                         Automated           Sensing          Accesible         Enterprise
match this profile have a more balanced economy
so are less likely to be faced with the economic
dislocation that has been seen in some recession-
hit cities such as Detroit. However, even though                     Cities
these cities tend to be relatively well-managed,
there may well be underlying tensions associated                     Atlanta / Baltimore / Birmingham / Budapest /
with the need to assure city resilience and to assure                Calgary / Chicago / Dallas / Denver / Glasgow /
long-term sustainability of the city’s economic                      Honolulu / Houston / Indianapolis / Jacksonville /
model in response to change. Looking forward,                        Leeds / Lisbon / Los Angeles /Lyon / Manchester
these cities will likely be competing against one-                   / Melbourne / Miami / Montreal / Moscow / New
another to attract new investment and new                            Orleans / Ottawa / Philadelphia / Phoenix /
city dwellers.                                                       Pittsburgh /Rotterdam / Toronto / Vancouver /
                                                                     Warsaw / Washington / Wellington.
The challenges that these cities face are often
associated with the need to compete by driving                       Defining city archetypes.
change. The adaptation of city infrastructure to
accommodate digital innovation is a good example                     Accessible - Using accessible infrastructure to
of these challenges, with citizens increasingly                      enable all people to go about their daily lives.
concerned about how data is used and how
                                                                     Automated - Run to an increasing extent
accountable organizations delivering city services
                                                                     automated processes and AI.
will be in the future. Another challenge is associated
with the increasing dynamism of these cities.                        Resilient - At risk from disruption and heavily
As a result, the work-life balance and integrated                    invested in mitigation measures.
communities associated with the Balanced archetype                   Sensing - Using integrated sensors to manage
is less present. This can be seen in the war for talent              city services.
between cities, manifested as a competition for
employers and the people that they bring. The
competition run by Amazon for their second U.S. HQ
has vividly brought this reality to life over the past
year. Given the potential pace of change and sense of
dislocation in these cities, it is also essential that they
retain a sense of coherent identity around which a
diverse but increasingly connected group of citizens
can rally around. Manchester’s resilience following
terrorist attack in 2017 was built on just such a strong
shared sense of city identity.
                                                                    Accessible – using accessible infrastructure to enable all people to go about their

                                                                    Automated – run to an increasing extent automated processes and AI
                                                              24
                                                                    Disrupted – facing economic decline and needing to re-invent
Figure 11 Cluster 3: Evolutionary Cities

Cluster three.
Evolutionary
Cities.
                                                                                                      Evolutionary
                                                                                                         Cities

Nineteen cities fit this profile. All of these cities in
the bottom third of the SCI. This is a very diverse
group that includes rapidly growing cities in
emerging markets as well as cities in developed
economies that are changing rapidly in response
to new circumstances. Core citizen experiences
in these cities are focused on aspects of informal                                   Disrupted          Informal        Balanced         Resilient
entrepreneurialism - articulated possibly as micro-
                                                                                     Automated         Sensing          Accesible        Enterprise
enterprise or alternatively as community self-help.
One driver of the informal economy is the role of
citizen enterprise in delivering services where city
authorities are absent. Another driver is the core
                                                                                  Cities
role of community – often at a really local level. On
this basis, communities within the city are likely                                Athens / Bangkok / Buenos Aires / Cape
to be far more sustainable than the aggregate                                     Town / Detroit, Hanoi / Istanbul / Jakarta /
city itself. Enterprise also has a key role – shaping                             Johannesburg / Kuala Lumpur / Lima / Manila /
service delivery according to market logic than a                                 Mexico City / Nairobi / Rio de Janeiro / Salvador,
public service agenda.                                                            Santiago / Sao Paulo / Tampa.

A key challenge that Evolutionary Cities face is the                              Defining city archetypes.
level of disruption affecting cities that are at a turning
point in their trajectory. This disruption might affect                           Enterprise - Aligned to the needs of businesses
jobs, crime levels and even mobility choices. As a                                and their employees.
result, the citizen experience can be focused much
more on the downside associated with the change.                                  Informal - Unplanned cities where citizens create
This is why the drive obtained from Enterprise and                                their own services and structures.
Informal aspects of citizen experience is so important                            Disrupted - Facing economic decline and
in building momentum around initiatives that will                                 needing to re-invent.
improve the quality of life.

From the perspective of citizen experience,
where people have less overall control over city
development and service delivery, there is a much
greater likelihood of dissatisfaction – either due
to the variable provision of services or due to the
disruption of tight-knit networks and communities
when development finally occurs. These factors
are significant barriers to consistent sustainable
development in cities.

                                          “Don’t move here if you’re tired because you’ll
                                          need a lot of energy to do everything that the city
                                          has to offer.”         Accessible – using accessible infrastructure to enable all people to go about thei

                                                                                 Automated – run to an increasing extent automated processes and AI
                                          Jennifer, 48 São Paulo, Brazil
                                                                                 Disrupted – facing economic decline and needing to re-invent

                                                                   25            Balanced – prosperous, healthy and with a good work-life balance
Figure 12 Cluster 4: Fast-growing Megacities

Cluster four.
Fast-growing
megacities.
                                                                                                     Fast-growing
                                                                                                      Megacities

Thirteen cities fit this profile. All but three of these
cities are in the bottom quartile of the Index.
All are located in rapidly growing economies
including China and India, subject to high levels
of inward-migration, investment in infrastructure
and change. Cities like Mumbai, Shanghai and
                                                                                   Disrupted           Informal         Balanced          Resilient
Shenzhen exhibit significant inequality in terms of
income and access to resources and opportunity.                                    Automated           Sensing          Accesible         Enterprise
Citizen experiences include high levels of informal
economic activity as well as the powerful influence
of enterprise – often directed by the state to
deliver development and services. Citizens have                                 Cities
little control over the way in which the city evolves
but paradoxically the models suggest that many                                  Beijing / Bengaluru / Cairo / Chengdu / Chennai
citizens retain a sense of stability through kinship                            / Guangzhou / Kolkata / Mumbai / New Delhi /
and community links highlighted by the Balanced                                 Shanghai / Shenzhen / Tianjin / Wuhan.
city archetype. Supporting these social networks
                                                                                Defining city archetypes.
through periods of rapid growth will demonstrate
the extent to which these cities can thrive in line
                                                                                Enterprise - Aligned to the needs of businesses
with the people agenda.
                                                                                and their employees.
A key challenge for the city is engagement with the                             Informal - Unplanned cities where citizens create
citizen. A good example of this is citizen experience                           their own services and structures.
of technology in comparison to other city clusters.
                                                                                Resilient - At risk from disruption and heavily
This is not necessarily a reflection on the level of
                                                                                invested in mitigation measures.
technological advancement as some of these cities,
particularly in China, have a very sophisticated
technology infrastructure. This is more a reflection
on other citizen priorities. Another key problem is the
accommodation of informal development – providing
the basic infrastructure necessary to accommodate
fast population growth. This challenge is reflected in
the problems that many of these cities face with air
quality as well as provision of food and clean water.
Long-term resilience for these cities, some of which
are exposed to a relatively high disaster risk, will be
an important aspect of citizen’s experience as these
cities continue to absorb growth.

                                          “As a woman I don't feel secure especially at night. It is
                                          very unsafe for a woman to travel alone at night and
                                          even staying alone at home is also unsafe.”
                                                                               Accessible – using accessible infrastructure to enable all people to go about thei
                                          Sangeeta, New Delhi, India Automated – run to an increasing extent automated processes and AI
                                                                               Disrupted – facing economic decline and needing to re-invent

                                                                 26            Balanced – prosperous, healthy and with a good work-life balance
Appendix
           Disclaimer, authorship and
           acknowledgements
           This report was commissioned by Arcadis and               credible sources (e.g. the World Health Organization,
           informed by research produced by the Centre for           CDP, Siemens etc.) Most sources are publicly
           Economics and Business Research Ltd (Cebr), an            available. With Arcadis wanting to include 100 cities
           independent economics and business research               in a global report, we had to use a data set that
           consultancy established in 1992. The expert               could be comparable. There are a lot of varied data
           commentary was compiled by a cross section of             sources around the world. Finding like-for-like data
           Arcadis’ city and sustainability experts. The views       for all 100 selected cities limited our selection of
           expressed herein are those of the authors only and        sources. Some geographies or cities that did not have
           are based upon their independent research. While          sufficient, comparable data were excluded. We focus
           every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy         on data and sources that are credible, comparable
           of the material in this document, neither the Cebr        and valid. City-level data was used wherever possible,
           nor Arcadis will be liable for any loss or damages        though in some cases only national-level data exists.
           incurred through the use of this report.                  Where there is no comparable city-level data across
                                                                     countries, the national value is taken, and a national
           Data is constantly changing. Both Cebr and Arcadis        database is used to scale the cities so that they were
           have made every effort to ensure the quality and          given a spread around the national average.
           accuracy of the data. Cebr used its vast databases
           and connections to compile the data from globally

           Methodology
           The Sustainable Cities Index is constructed by            Several of the indicators have outlying values – these
           a three-stage averaging process. Some of the              are defined as observations two standard deviations
           indicators are composites, meaning these take an          away from the mean. These are given the maximum
           average of their component sub-indicators. In most        or minimum score, as appropriate, and the next-
           cases this is the simple average, however given the       highest/lowest value is defined as the boundary
           importance of housing costs to household spending         observation which is used to calculate the scores of
           the affordability index was weighted 70:30 in favor       the other (non-outlier) values.
           of housing. The three sub-indices are calculated
           by taking weighted averages of their component            City-level data are used wherever possible, though
           indicators and the overall score is calculated by         in some cases only national-level data exist. Where
           taking the simple average of the three sub-indices.       there is no comparable city-level data across
                                                                     countries, the national value is taken, and a national
           Even where there is no weighting system applied,          database is used to scale the cities so that they are
           since the number of indicators differs across sub-        given a spread around the national average.
           indices, the weights in the overall index do implicitly
           differ. The same applies for the sub-indicators: two      In 2018 we have revised the calculation of the
           components which go into one indicator will naturally     indices to give greater emphasis to the digital
           have half the weight of another indicator within the      capabilities of cities. We use the adoption of digital
           same pillar which has only one component.                 solutions as a proxy measure for the pace at which
                                                                     cities are equipping themselves to meet future
           The averaging process demands that the scores             needs. Connectivity, mobility, citizen engagement
           be converted into common units, for which we use          and disaster management are all areas where the
           percentages. Each is scaled such that the worst-          adoption of new digital solutions will enable cities to
           performing city receives 0% and the best performer        accelerate their sustainable development.
           receives 100%. Since the sub-indices and the overall
           index are simply averages of the indicators, they are     1 The Weighting used for each indicator are shown in
           also measured in percentage terms.                        the table.

                                                        27
You can also read