COVID-19 SITUATION ANALYSIS - CRISIS TYPE:EPIDEMIC BANGLADESH - ReliefWeb

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COVID-19 SITUATION ANALYSIS - CRISIS TYPE:EPIDEMIC BANGLADESH - ReliefWeb
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COVID-19                                           BANGLADESH
SITUATION ANALYSIS
                                                           APRIL 2021
CRISIS TYPE:EPIDEMIC

          Better Data   Better Decisions   Better Outcomes
COVID-19 SITUATION ANALYSIS - CRISIS TYPE:EPIDEMIC BANGLADESH - ReliefWeb
The outbreak of disease caused by the virus known as Severe Acute Respiratory
Syndrome (SARS-CoV-2) or COVID-19 started in China in December 2019. The virus
quickly spread across the world, with the WHO Director-General declaring it as a
pandemic on March 11th, 2020.

The virus’s impact has been felt acutely by countries facing humanitarian crises due
to conflict and natural disasters. As humanitarian access to vulnerable communities
has been restricted to basic movements only, monitoring and assessments have been
interrupted.

To overcome these constraints and provide the wider humanitarian community with
timely and comprehensive information on the spread of the COVID-19 pandemic, iMMAP
initiated the COVID-19 Situational Analysis project with the support of the USAID Bureau
of Humanitarian Assistance (USAID BHA), aiming to provide timely solutions to the
growing global needs for assessment and analysis among humanitarian stakeholders.
COVID-19 SITUATION ANALYSIS - CRISIS TYPE:EPIDEMIC BANGLADESH - ReliefWeb
CONTENTS
1. Executive Summary / Highlights
   Page 4

2. COVID-19 Epidemic Overview
   Page 11

3. COVID-19 Containment Measures
   Page 16

4. Information and Communication for COVID-19
   Page 17

5. COVID-19 Impact and Humanitarian Conditions
   Page 18

        Livelihoods                             19

          Food Security                         21

        Health                                  23

        Nutrition                               25

         WASH                                   27

         Shelter                                29

        Education                               30

         Protection                             32
COVID-19 SITUATION ANALYSIS - CRISIS TYPE:EPIDEMIC BANGLADESH - ReliefWeb
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY / HIGHLIGHTS
Figure 1. Overall COVID-19 data for Bangladesh (Source: (WHO sitreps and HEOC and Control Room, IEDCR, DHIS2) )

                      Infection                     Death                        Tests                   Vaccination

                    745K                          11K                      5.34M                      8.62M
    Bangladesh

                 COVID-19 infections         COVID-19 deaths               Tests conducted            Vaccinated as of
                  as of 25 April 2021       as of 25 April 2021           as of 25 April 2021           30 April 2021

                     525                             11                                                      0
 Community
 Cox’s Bazar

                                                                           37.6K
  Refugee

                 COVID-19 infections          COVID-19 deaths              Tests conducted            Vaccinated as of
                  as of 25 April 2021        as of 25 April 2021          as of 25 April 2021           30 April 2021

                   7,488                           84                      78.8K                        126K
Community
Cox’s Bazar
   Host

                 COVID-19 infections          COVID-19 deaths              Tests conducted            Vaccinated as of
                  as of 25 April 2021        as of 25 April 2021          as of 25 April 2021          30 April 2021

Throughout April, Bangladesh reported more than 2,000              weeks. During April, the number of operational isolation
fatalities from COVID-19, almost double the previous               facilities and functional beds decreased in comparison to
record of deaths in July last year, making it the deadliest        the previous month, while an increase in bed occupancy
month since the beginning of the pandemic. However, the            has been observed throughout April.
number of COVID-19 cases in Bangladesh has been on a
downward trend since the last week of April, likely due to         In Cox’s Bazar, the national COVID-19 containment measures
the restrictions which were imposed by the government              are being adopted locally. In response to the increase
on 5th April and extended until 5th May. The nationwide            in the number of cases among the host community, the
COVID-19 vaccination which was launched on 7 February              Government of Bangladesh and the Office of the Refugee
2021, is facing some challenges, primarily due to shortages        Relief and Repatriation Commissioner (RCCC) in Cox’s
of vaccines as a result of India’s decision to stop exporting      Bazar have imposed movement restrictions and other
the vaccine. Vaccination campaigns for international               mitigation measures in district and camp areas.
humanitarian workers have also started in Cox’s Bazar
district.                                                          Findings from the final Refugee influx Emergency
                                                                   Vulnerability Assessment (REVA 4) shed light on the impact
The nationwide increase in deaths has not yet been seen            of the COVID-19 on livelihoods, food security, adoption
in Cox’s Bazar including the refugee camps, despite an             of coping mechanisms for both the refugees and host
increasing trend in the positive COVID-19 cases among              communities. The assessment has shown an overall
both the host and refugee communities in the past few              increase in vulnerability and in the adoption of negative

 4 // 39                                                          Better Data      Better Decisions      Better Outcomes
coping strategies among the two communities, decreasing         WASH facilities increased protection risks for women
their ability to absorb future shocks. These findings are       and children.
utilised to analyse the potential impact of the ongoing
lockdown in Bangladesh, since the beginning of April.           As of April, schools and other educational institutions
Given the increased vulnerability and lack of ability to deal   remain closed, which in turn also increases protection
with shocks, the lockdown is expected to have negative          concerns for children. Schools continue to remain closed.
impacts if not mitigated.                                       Access to distance lear­ning remains challenging for
                                                                refugee children and children from the host community’s
Fire incidents continue to be reported in the camps in          poorer families. Protection actors highlight the increasing
Cox’s Bazar throughout April, destroying markets and            negative impact this is having on the mental health of
shelters. At the same time, people who were affected by         children, the exposure to risk that is faced by out-of-school
the massive fire which broke out on 22 March continue           children and the detrimental impact on their cognitive and
to report challenges in accessing markets, and in shelter       social development.
reconstruction. The fire incidents and loss of shelter and

5 // 39
                                                                Better Data     Better Decisions       Better Outcomes
Figure 2. Timeline of Major Event

                                                                                                           745,322       11,053
            25/04/2021   WHO report confirm COVID-19 deaths has exceed 11,000 in Bangladesh                CASES         DEATHS

                                                                                                           644.439       9,318
            05/04/2021   The government of Bangladesh declared nationwide lockdown                         CASES         DEATHS

                                                                                                           573,687       8.720
            22/03/2021   A massive fire broke out in Cox’s Bazar refugee camps                             CASES         DEATHS

                                                                                                           547,930       8,428
            03/03/2021   14,000 Rohingya refugee have been relocated to Bhashan Char Island                CASES         DEATHS

                                                                                                           538,062       8,205
            07/02/2021   The national-level vaccination programme started rolling out                      CASES         DEATHS

                                                                                                           464,932       6,644
            04/12/2020   Bangladesh has relocated 1,642 Rohingya to the Bhashan Char Island                CASES         DEATHS

                                                                                                           400,251       5,818
            26/10/2020   WHO report confirm COVID-19 cases has exceed 400,000 in Bangladesh                CASES         DEATHS

                                                                                                           207,453       2,668
            21/07/2020   GoB Ministry of Health made wearing of masks mandatory for all                    CASES         DEATHS

                                                                                                           202,066       2,581
            18/07/2020   DGHS confirmed that COVID-19 cases has exceed 200,000 in Bangladesh               CASES         DEATHS

                                                                                                           102,292       1,443
            18/06/2020   DGHS confirmed that COVID-19 cases has exceed 100,000 in Bangladesh               CASES         DEATHS

                                                                                                           47,153        650
            01/06/2020   GoB approves resumption of domestic flights on a limited scale                    CASES         DEATHS

                                                                                                           18,863        283
            15/05/2020   GoB Ministry of Health confirms first COVID-19 cases in Refugee Camps             CASES         DEATHS

                                                                                                           88            9
            05/04/2020   GoB extends general holidays till 14 April and transport ban till 25 April        CASES         DEATHS

                                                                                                           56            6
            03/04/2020   DIFE estimated unemployment of 2,138,778 workers in RMG sector                    CASES         DEATHS

            26/03/2020   GoB Ministry of Road, Transport and Bridges announced transport ban

                                                                                                           39            4
            25/03/2020   The government of Bangladesh announced a stimulus package                         CASES         DEATHS

                                                                                                           33            3
            23/03/2020   GoB Ministry of Public Administration declared general holidays                   CASES         DEATHS

                                                                                                           14            1
            18/03/2020   GoB Ministry of Health confirms first COVID-19 death in Bangladesh                CASES         DEATHS

                                                                                                                         0
            16/03/2020   GoB Ministry of Education orders closure of all educational institutions                        DEATHS

                                                                                                           3             0
            08/03/2020   GoB Ministry of Health confirms first COVID-19 cases in Bangladesh                CASES         DEATHS

          Containment measures       COVID cases         Economic

6 // 39                                                                     Better Data           Better Decisions   Better Outcomes
Figure 3. Refugee population by camp as of 27th April 2021 (Source: UNHCR 31/03/2021)

                                                                             Raja Palong               Total Refugee Population
                                                                                                       884,041 Individuals
                                                                          Camp 1E

                                                                     Camp 1W                           189,660 Families
                                                                                          Kutupalong
                                                                                                       Kutupalong RC
                                                                                     Camp     RC
                                                 Camp 4      Camp 3
                                                                                      2W Camp 2E       17,024
                                      Camp 4                                                             Kutupalong Balukhali
                                     Extension                                 Camp 6       Camp 7
                                                                  Camp 5                                 Expansion Site (*22 Camps)

                                Camp 20          Camp 17               Camp 8W                           603,315
                                Extension                                                   Camp 8E

                                                                                                                                                                        Bangladesh                  Cox’s Bazar
                                            Camp 20                                    Camp 9
                                                           Camp 18        Camp 10

                                                                                                                         r
                                              Camp 19

                                                                                                                          ma
                                                                           Camp 11

                                                                                                                     Myan
                                                                  Camp 12
                                            Camp 13

                                                                             Camp 14, 15, 16
                                                      Camp 14
                                                                             105,578                                                                            Camp 25
                                                                                                                                                                           Nhilla
                                                 Camp 15                       Palong Khali
                                                                                                                        Camp 25
                                                                                                                                                             Camp 25
                                                                Camp 16
                                                                                                                        7,778
                                                                                                           Camp 24                                              Camp 24
                                                                                                           26,717
                                                                                                                                                                                                        Naf
                                                   Choukhali                                                                                                                                           River
                                                                                                                                                                      Camp
          Refugee Population                                                                                                                                           26
               0 - 17,002                                                                                              Nayapara RC
                                                                                                                                                                      Nayapara
               17,003 - 26,474                          Camp 21              Camp 21
                                                                                                                       22,578                                            RC
               26,475 - 32,815                          16,995
                   32,816 - 50,869                                                                                     Camp 26
                   Myanmar                                                                                             40,661
                                                                                                                                                                                   Camp 27
                                                                                             Bangladesh
                                                                                                                       Camp 27
          1         0.5          0                    1 Km
                                                                                                                       15,507

                                                                                            Whykong                                                             Teknaf

                                         Camp 23
              Ja
                lia                      6,559
                      Pa
                          lon
                             g                                                                                                              Camp 22
                                                                                                                 Camp 22                                                                   Nhilla
                                                                                                                 21,329
              Bay of                          Camp 23                                                                   Creation date: May 13, 2021
                                                                                                                        Data Sources: UNHCR Refugee Population data as of March 31, 2021
              Bengal                                                                                                    Projection: BUTM

                                                                                                                        The boundaries and names shown and the designations used on this map do not imply
                                                   Baharchhara                                                          official endorsement or acceptance by iMMAP

7 // 39
                                                                                                             Better Data                      Better Decisions                              Better Outcomes
CONTEXT - ECONOMIC
Most of the statements and analysis in this section remain      undermine years of steady progress in poverty reduction
identical to the March 2021 report due to the lack of new       in Bangladesh (World Bank 12/04/2021).
evidential reports published during the reporting period, as
the situations have not significantly evolved. The majority     The Government’s Report on SDG’s in June 2020 showed
of the analysis and statements here are retrieved from          that the COVID-19 pandemic decreased employment
various reports published by The World Bank. Reports            opportunities for the poorest, setting back progress in
from IMF, Bangladesh Bank, UNDESA, UNICEF, IOM, REVA4           reducing the poverty rate which had fallen from 40% to
findings, and Dhaka Tribune have also been used in the          20.5% between 2005 to 2019, before increasing to 29.5%
following analysis.                                             in 2020. Joint research by the South Asian Network on
                                                                Economic Modeling (SANEM) and ActionAid Bangladesh
                                                                indicate that household incomes decreased by 70%
Socio-economic Impact and Poverty Level in Bangladesh
                                                                due to the onslaught of COVID-19 in 2020. About 42% of
The pandemic has already unsettled Bangladesh’s long-           5,577 households went below the poverty line due to the
standing macroeconomic stability. Still, Bangladesh             pandemic last year, according to the survey carried out
is leading the recovery process amongst South Asian             by SANEM in November and December.
economies, due to higher-than-expected exports and
remittances, in spite of the recent spike in infections.        Another study conducted jointly by The Institute for
Bangladesh is struggling with another wave of the               Human Rights and Business (IHRB) and the Subir and Malini
pandemic, and this is challenging the growth going              Chowdhury Centre for Bangladesh Studies at the University
downstream. The challenge for government policy is to           of California, Berkeley, in support of UNDP Business and
sustain the effective response that Bangladesh made             Human Rights in Asia (B+HR Asia), the UNDP Bangladesh
during the initial phase of the pandemic, including             Country Office, and the Swedish International Development
supporting its most vulnerable through social safety nets,      Cooperation Agency on Bangladeshi Garments workers
through support for the agriculture sector, and so forth.       revealed that 82% of interviewed workers’ income in April-
Going forward, there is always the need to strengthen           May 2020 had declined from February 2020. Among the
the fiscal revenue capacity of the economy to support           responders, 77% reported difficulty feeding all household
expenditures. And again, working with development               members (Dhaka Tribune 13/04/2021).
partners to also help fiscal cushioning (IMF, 14/04/2021).
                                                                The COVID-19 pandemic is poised to impose a substantial
Movement restrictions due to recently imposed lockdown          economic cost in the long run, especially with the prolonged
are expected to once again disrupt economic activity.           school closures. A recent simulation note by the World
Fiscal risks include a shortfall in international support for   Bank quantified the loss of learning in terms of labour
COVID-19 vaccination programs, cost overruns on major           market returns and indicated that the average Bangladeshi
infrastructure projects, and delays in tax reforms. In the      student will face a reduction in annual earnings of between
event that external financing for the Rohingya response         $198 to $335 once they enter the labour market, which
declines, additional public expenditure may be required.        represents between 4% and 6.8% of annual income. In the
In turn, higher borrowing from domestic banks could             intermediate scenario, aggregating for all students, this
constrain the availability of credit to the private sector.     would cost the Bangladesh economy to lose $89 billion in
                                                                Gross Domestic Product (GDP) annually.
Challenges in the implementation of credit and social
protection programs under the government’s economic             Government Fiscal and Monetary Policy
stimulus program could also undermine the recovery.
External risks stemming from the fragile global economic        The Government has allocated higher for health, agriculture,
recovery, include weak demand for ready-made garments           and social safety net programs in the FY21 Budget, although
(RMG) products and reduced employment of Bangladesh’s           effective targeting remains a challenge. As a precautionary
overseas workforce. Low public debt levels and a low risk       measure, the government has decided that 25% of
of public debt distress provide some buffer, although risks     budgetary allocations for development projects will be
remain tilted to the downside.                                  placed on hold, affecting low-priority projects. In January
                                                                2021, the government increased the COVID-19 Emergency
COVID-19 has intensified the needs of vulnerable groups,        Response and Pandemic Preparedness Project costs
including informal and returning overseas migrant workers.      by BDT. 56.6 billion ($666.7 million) mostly reflecting the
The pandemic-related economic effects threaten to               procurement, preservation, and distribution of vaccines.

 8 // 39                                                        Better Data     Better Decisions       Better Outcomes
The government has announced two additional stimulus             depressed external demand for RMG (which still made
packages BDT. 15 billion ($176.7 million) for the micro and      up 83% of the country’s merchandise exports in FY20).
cottage entrepreneurs and BDT. 12 billion ($141.36 million)      Imports also declined by 12.1%. Lower industrial activity
cash assistance program for the disadvantaged elderly            limited the demand for intermediate goods. A depressed
people, widows, and female divorcees (IMF 06/04/2021).           business outlook and low investment growth weighed
Although the government had initially planned to provide         on capital goods and machinery imports which declined
the cash incentives to 5 million families under the cash         by 33.8% in FY20. As a result, the trade deficit widened
assistance program valued BDT. 12 billion ($141.36 million),     by 7.7% in FY20. In the first eight months of FY21 (July
only 3.5 million families received them. The initiative had to   2020 to February 2021), merchandise exports began to
be stopped after allegations surfaced regarding anomalies        recover gradually, but total merchandise exports were still
over the list of beneficiaries (Dhaka Tribune 13/04/2021).       1.1% below what they were over the same period of FY20.
Following the recent lockdown, the Government                    Likewise, the recovery in imports has also been slow, with
inaugurated the distribution of another BDT. 8.8 billion         total imports declining by 6.8% in the first seven months
($103.7 million) as financial support to poor families using     of FY21 (July to January). Retail sales data from key export
electronic fund transfer (EFT) (Dhaka Tribune 29/04/2021).       markets suggest that the apparel sector continues to
                                                                 struggle, with ongoing movement restrictions, particularly
The Export Development Fund was raised from $3.5 billion         in Europe.
to $5 billion, with the interest rate slashed to 1.75% and
the refinancing limit increased. Bangladesh Bank has
                                                                 Employment and Labor Market
created several refinancing schemes totaling BDT. 390
billion ($4.6 billion), a 360-day tenor special repo facility,   Bangladesh experienced a significant rise in unemployment
and a credit guarantee scheme for exporters, farmers, and        among low-income groups, where 90% of the jobs are in
SMEs to facilitate the implementation of the government’s        the informal sector. A significant portion of these is the
stimulus packages. Bangladesh Bank also announced                daily wage earners such as transport workers and vehicle
an agriculture subsidy program that will be in place until       drivers, street hawkers and vendors, small businesses,
mid-2021. In addition, the government has taken measures         tea-stall or food stall owners, and daily labourers. The
to delay non-performing loan classification, relax loan          impact on job losses has been worse in the Micro, Small,
rescheduling policy for NBFIs, waive credit card fees and        and Medium Enterprises (MSMEs) sector which plays a
interests, suspend loan interest payments, relax credit risk     critical role in providing jobs, employing 20.3 million people
rating rules for banks, extend tenures of trade instruments,     in Bangladesh (about 20% Bangladesh adult population).
and ensure access to financial services. Recently, the           A staggering 37% of Bangladesh’s workers have lost their
bank imposed an additional 1% general provision against          jobs, temporarily or permanently, and 58% of firms have
loans that have enjoyed deferral/time extension facilities.      reduced their working hours. More jobs may be at risk as the
                                                                 end of the pandemic is not insight (World Bank 18/02/2021).
Impacts on Trade and Labor Market
                                                                 A recent study result from the International Food Policy
As one of the countries in South Asia most exposed to global     Research Institute (IFPRI) and Cornell University shows,
economic conditions, with a high share of foreign trade and      in between June 2020 and January 2021, the proportion
dependence on remittances, Bangladesh is predicted to            of pandemic-induced unemployment witnessed a 70%
enjoy a stronger rebound in 2021. However, the recovery          decline. In June 2020 the month after the government-
is now facing significant risks with further lockdowns. The      announced lockdown in Bangladesh ended, 17.2%
growth pathway seems uneven and economic activity well           of main household earners of a sample population
below pre-COVID-19 estimates, as many businesses need            in rural Bangladesh reported being unemployed, but
to make up for lost revenue and millions of workers, most        that percentage dropped to only 5.1% in January 2021
of them in the informal sector, still reel from job losses,      (Bangla Tribune 10/04/2021). Migrant returnees are also
falling incomes, worsening inequalities, and human capital       vulnerable to a number of challenges such as the current
deficits (World Bank 12/04/2021).                                unemployment, ill health, debt repayment aside from
                                                                 battling with the social stigmas related to return (IOM
Recent World Bank updates on Bangladesh indicate exports         08/03/2021).
fell by 16.8% in FY20 due to supply chain disruptions and

9 // 39
                                                                 Better Data      Better Decisions       Better Outcomes
Socio-economic Profile and Poverty Level in Cox’s Bazar        forced back to Cox’s Bazar due to job losses overseas.
                                                               According to the Ministry of Expatriates Welfare and
Cox’s Bazar district had a high level of poverty even before   Overseas Employment, over 400,000 migrant workers
the pandemic and has among the lowest development              have returned to Bangladesh since March 2020. The return
indicators in the country before the 2017 refugee influx       of the migrants heightened competition over the already
(UNICEF 13/08/2020). According to the Bangladesh Bureau        scarce livelihood opportunities and contributed to the
of Statistics, Cox’s Bazar is one of the lowest-performing     collapse of the local economy due to their inability to pay
districts in Bangladesh in terms of education and skills       back loans (IOM 26/02/2021).
training, with about 33% of the population living below
the poverty line (IOM 26/02/2021).                             For the refugees within the camp setting, the contraction of
                                                               the local economy and the reduced humanitarian footprint
Adding to that education deprivation and poverty, the          as a consequence of the containment measures, have had
region has been facing the impact of COVID-19 in the local     a severe impact on their already unstable local income-
economy. Almost 700,000 people have lost their source          generating and self-reliance activities. Although the
of income, since the COVID-19 outbreak in mid-March            findings from the Refugee influx Emergency Vulnerability
2020. About one year after the COVID-19 lockdowns in           Assessment (REVA 4) indicated some recovery in the
Cox’s Bazar, most people still have limited access to jobs     second half of 2020, the findings also showed an increase
and women are less likely than men to secure any job at        in economic vulnerabilities in comparison to 2019.
all. Adding to the struggle for jobs are the many migrants

 10 // 39                                                      Better Data     Better Decisions       Better Outcomes
COVID-19 EPIDEMIC OVERVIEW

Epidemic Overview at National Level                                  COVID-19 cases confirmed by RT- PCR, GeneXpert, and
                                                                     Rapid Antigen tests including 11,000 related deaths with a
The deadliest month closes with a downward trend in                  Case Fatality Rate (CFR) of 1.48%. On 19 April, the highest
infection                                                            daily death was recorded at 112. In week 16, 26,372 new
                                                                     cases were reported, a 22.9% decrease compared to the
April 2021 has been the deadliest month yet due to the               previous week. However, 668 new deaths were reported,
COVID-19 pandemic. Bangladesh reported 2,404 fatalities              with a 3.4% increase. Weekly new tests experienced
in April, almost double the previous record of 1,264 deaths          an almost 5% decrease in comparison to the previous
in July of last year. April 2021 accounts for almost 20%             week, recording 175,434 tests, while tests per million per
of the total case fatalities since the beginning of the              week was only 103. Bangladesh accounts for 0.51% of the
pandemic. According to the Directorate General Health                COVID-19 cases of the world, placing it among the top 33
Services (DGHS) press release, as of 25 April 2021, since the        countries worldwide (WHO 26/04/2021).
beginning of the pandemic, there were more than 745,000

Figure 4. Total tests, COVID-19 cases, and deaths for Bangladesh (Source: WHO sitreps)

             Bangladesh                31-Dec             31-Jan              28-Feb            29-Mar            25-Apr

   Cases per month                           48,578               21,629               11,077         49,498           149,608

   Total confirmed cases                    513,510              535,139           546,216           595,714           745,322

   Tests per month                          454,897              424,124           392,305           544,803            756,671

   Total tests conducted                  3,227,598             3,651,722         4,044,027        4,588,830          5,345,501

   Deaths per month                               915                568                 281              496              2,149

   Total deaths                                 7,559               8,127              8,408             8,904             11,053

Mass vaccination is at stake with supply uncertainty                 and registration in the “SUROKKHA” web portal has been
despite government efforts                                           temporarily suspended from 26 April 2021. All the COVID-19
                                                                     vaccination sites were functional during the month of
Bangladesh is facing a shortage of vaccines as a result of           Ramadan (the month of fasting for the Muslims) to get the
India’s decision to stop vaccine exports and was forced              second dose of COVID-19 only (WHO 26/04/2021).
to stop administering the first dose. The nationwide
COVID-19 vaccination was launched on 7 February 2021                 The Government of Bangladesh is making all-out efforts
and the second dose inoculation started on 8 April 2021.             to collect and procure vaccines from Russia, China, and
As of 25 April 2021, more than 8 million doses of Oxford/            other sources, including trying to have AstraZeneca’s
AstraZeneca (COVISHIELD) vaccine were administered in                vaccine from other countries manufacturing the vaccine.
the whole country, out of which, almost 6 million people             On 27 April, Bangladesh approved Sputnik V for emergency
received their first dose and more than 2 million received           use following discussions with Russia. They are also in
their second dose. Almost 4 million (62%) males and                  talks with China to have Sinopharm’s COVID-19 vaccine
over 2 million (38%) females received their first dose of            and got confirmation to have 0.5 million doses by 12 May.
vaccine, while 1.5 million (64%) males and over 8 million            Meanwhile, Bangladesh Medical Research Council (BMRC)
(36%) females received their second dose of vaccine. So              has already approved local company Globe Biotech’s
far, 11.7% of the country’s eligible population has been             ‘Bangovax’ vaccine (Dhaka Tribune 06/05/2021).
vaccinated with the first dose, while in Dhaka metropolitan
the coverage is 38.0%. The COVID-19 first dose vaccination

11 // 39
                                                                    Better Data        Better Decisions      Better Outcomes
Figure 5. Vaccination map of Bangladesh showing Cox’s Bazar in Chittagong division (Source: DGHS 29/04/2021)

                                              Vaccination Coverage in Bangladesh (as of 29th April 2021)
                                                                                                                             Panchagarh

                                                                                                      Thakurgaon
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 Total- 8,624,313
                                                                                                                                                   Nilphamari

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     5,428,909
                                                                                                                                                                                 Lalmonirhat

                                                                                                                                                                       Ran gpu r                            Kurigram

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         3,195,404
                                                                                                                                          Din ajpur

                                                                                                                                                                                                Gaibandha

                                                                                                                                                             Joypurh at                                                               Sh erpu r
                                                                                                                                   Naogaon                                                                                                                                   Netrakona                                  Sunamganj                                         Sylhet
                                                                                                                                                                                                                           Jamalpur
                                                                                                                                                                                        Bogra
                                                                                             N awabganj                                                                                                                                                  Mymensingh

                                                                                                                         Rajsh ahi                                                                                                                                                                                          H abiganj                       Maulvibazar
                                                                                                                                                                Natore                            Sirajganj                         Tangail                                              Kishoreganj

                                                                                                                                                                                       Pabna                                                              Gaz ipu r
                                                                                                                                                    Kushtia                                                                                                                       Narsingdi
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           Brahamanbaria
                                                                                                                                  Meherpur                                                                                  Manikgan j
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         Dhaka
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         Narayanganj
                                                                                                                                                                                                     Rajbari
                                                                                                                                          Chuadanga Jhenaidah
                                                                                                                                                                                                                           Faridpur                  Mu nshigan j                                   Comilla
                                                                                                                                                                                           Magura

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         Shariatpur                 Chandpur
                                                                                                                                                                                                     Narail                            Madaripur                                                                                                                 Khagrachhari
                                                                                                                                                                       Jessore
                                                                                                                                                                                                                               Gopalganj                                            Lakshmipur
                Vaccination Coverage                                                                                                                                                                                                             Barisal
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 Feni

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           Noakhali
                                    721,342 - 1,527,097                                                                                                          Satkhira                                                            Pirojpur                                                                                                                                         Rangamati
                                    325,364 - 721,341                                                                                                                                                             Bagerhat                 Jhalokati                                                                                                   Chittagong
                                                                                                                                                                                         Khulna
                                     134,611 - 325,363                                                                                                                                                                                                     Patuakhali
                                     74,379 - 134,610                                                                                                                                                                                                                            Bhola

                                     28,252 - 74,378                                                                                                                                                                                    Barguna                                                             Noakhali

            0                      40                      80                                              160
                                                                                                            KM

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               Bandarban
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  Cox's
             Percentage of Total Vaccine Allocation by                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            Bazar

             Division in Bangladesh
                       31%                 ** 8,624,313 First Dose COVID-19 Vaccinations completed (as of 29th April)

                                               21%

                                                                       13%
                                                                                                  11%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        Cox's Bazar COVID-19 Vaccination Trend in April 2021
                                                                                                                                 10%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     5,024
                                                                                                                                                            5%                         5%                         4%                                                                                                                             4,424
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     4,162
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           4,252

                      Dhaka                Chittagong                 Khulna                   Rajshahi                   Rangpur                       Sylhet                   Barishal                 Mymensing                                                                                       3,389
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         2,842              2,957

             Bangladesh COVID-19 Vaccination Trend in April 2021                                                                                                                                                                                                                          2,542
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   2,568                                                          2,724 2,846
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              2,594

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                2,352
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         1,750
                                                                                                 236,467 233,773
                                                                                                               229,890                                                                                                                                                              1410
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               1,668 1,352
                                                                                                                                                                          207,504
                                                                               189,348                         207,548                              186,840                      191,090                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         1,050
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  488 376
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           276                            337
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  199
                                                                   156,646                        161,335                                                                 168,772                                                                                                    304

                                                                                                                                     154,965 154,615                                               132,248
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    24-Apr
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           22-Apr

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 29-Apr
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         20-Apr

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             25-Apr
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      26-Apr
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               27-Apr
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        28-Apr
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   12-Apr

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  21-Apr
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 10-Apr

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                19-Apr
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            13-Apr
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     15-Apr
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              17-Apr
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       18-Apr
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          11-Apr
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         4-Apr
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 3-Apr

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 5-Apr
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         6-Apr
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 7-Apr
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         8-Apr
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         1-Apr

                                                                                                                                                                                                         119,101
                                                            96,127                                                                                                                                  120,569
                                                                                                                                                                                                                      106,929

           42,360 39,843                                                                                                                                                                                                                 Creation date: 15 May 2021
                                             41,322                                                                                                                                                                                      Data Sources: Health Emergency Control Center, DHIS2 Covid-19 data as of , 29th April 2021
                   2,914 45,538                     16,181
                                                                   13,028                                                                                                                                                                Projection: BUTM
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         The boundaries and names shown and the designations used on this map do
                                                                                                                                                                              24-Apr
                                                                                                                                                                     22-Apr
                                                                                                                                                   20-Apr

                                                                                                                                                                                                                           29-Apr
                                                                                                                                                                                       25-Apr
                                                                                                                                                                                                26-Apr

                                                                                                                                                                                                                  28-Apr
                                                                                                                                                                                                         27-Apr
                                                                                             12-Apr

                                                                                                                                                            21-Apr
                                                                           10-Apr

                                                                                                                                          19-Apr
                                                                                                      13-Apr
                                                                                                               15-Apr

                                                                                                                                 18-Apr
                                                                                                                        17-Apr
                                                                                    11-Apr
                                   4-Apr
                   2-Apr
                           3-Apr

                                           5-Apr
                                                   6-Apr

                                                                   8-Apr
                                                           7-Apr
           1-Apr

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         not imply official endorsement or acceptance by iMMAP

12 // 39                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      Better Data                                                    Better Decisions                                                                                Better Outcomes
New variants, limited capacity, and public resistance         Epidemic Overview in Cox’s Bazar
continue to pose challenges in containing pandemic
                                                              While an increasing trend in the positive cases among
Health experts suggested poor adherence to health safety
                                                              both host and refugee communities has been observed in
rules as the root cause of the surge in the virus infection
                                                              the past few weeks, the upward trend of deaths following
rate in the country (Dhaka Tribune 23/03/2021). Concerns
                                                              the nationwide surge has not yet been seen in Cox’s Bazar
about the spread of more contagious and deadlier variants
                                                              including the refugee camps. As of 25 April 2021, a total
of the virus have been raised by experts, notably the more
                                                              of 7,448 individuals from the host community in Cox’s
infectious UK and South African variants. Research from
                                                              Bazar district have tested positive and, a total of 84 deaths
icddr,b suggests that the South African variant accounts
                                                              being reported, with a Case Fatality Ratio (CFR) of 1.1%.
for 81% of the positive cases in Dhaka since the third week
                                                              At the same period, a total of 525 COVID-19 cases have
of March this year. Whilst data is still emerging, study
                                                              been reported among Rohingya/FDMN and 11 deaths
reports indicate that the Oxford-AstraZeneca vaccine
                                                              being reported due to confirmed COVID-19 in the camps
may offer as little as 10% protection against the South
                                                              with a Case Fatality Ratio of 2.1%. Currently, 478 general
African variant.
                                                              isolation beds are functional in 12 Severe Acute Respiratory
Despite all these concerns, the number of new coronavirus     Infection (SARI) Isolation and Treatment Centers (ITCs)
cases in Bangladesh has been on a downward trend since        with the provision of oxygen to assist both the Rohingya
the last week of the month, likely due to the restrictions    refugee population and the nearby host communities
imposed on 5 April and extended until 5 May. However,         of Cox’s Bazar. In April, a considerable increase in bed
Owing to the delayed onset of symptoms and severity,          occupancy was observed, indicating the increased demand
there is a lag in hospital admissions and deaths. The rise    for hospitalization due to presentation of severe disease
in COVID-19 cases has left hospitals overwhelmed, with        at admission (WHO 28/04/2021).
shortages of Intensive Care Unit (ICU) beds being widely
                                                              Along with the countrywide COVID-19 vaccination
reported. As the newly bred Indian variant threat is on the
                                                              campaign, vaccination for international humanitarian
horizon, experts highlighted the importance of carrying
                                                              workers has started in Cox’s Bazar. WHO and Health
the lockdown effectively (Dhaka tribune 01/05/2021).
                                                              Sector partners continue supporting the Government
                                                              of Bangladesh (GoB) in the preparation for the COVID-19
                                                              vaccination campaign for the Rohingya community,
                                                              scheduled to start in the coming weeks, pending the
                                                              revised arrival date of the allocation of vaccines from
                                                              the COVAX facility for Bangladesh (WHO 02/04/2021). As
                                                              of 25 April, a total of 79,918 people have received their first
                                                              dose of vaccination, while 42,236 received the second
                                                              dose (WHO 26/04/2021).

13 // 39
                                                              Better Data      Better Decisions        Better Outcomes
The Trajectory of COVID-19 in Cox’s Bazar
Figure 6. COVID-19 cases in Cox’s Bazar as of 31st March 2021 (Source: WHO 29/04/2021)

           Refugee Camp Highlight                                                                                        Host Community Highlight
                                    Confirmed                                   COVID-19                                                             Confirmed                                      COVID-19
                  525               Cases                             11       Deaths                                       7,448                   Cases                               84        Deaths

                                                         Raja Palong                                                                                             Satkania                  Bandarban
                                                                                                                                                                                             Sadar
                                                  Camp
                                                   1E

                                             Camp                                                                                            Banshkhali
                                              1W                                                                                                                            Lohagara
                                                               Kutupalong
                           Camp                                    RC
                                                          Camp                                                                                                                                                          Ruma
                             4                             2W
                                      Camp                         Camp
              Camp                      3                           2E
                4                                                                                                                                                                                                            Thanchi
            Extension                                   Camp            Camp

                                                                                                                                    ia
                                           Camp           6               7     Palong Khali

                                                                                                                                ubd
                                             5

                                                                                                                               Kut
                                                                                                                                                    Pekua                                      Lama
                             Camp                 Camp
           Camp               17
            20                                     8W              Camp
         Extension                                                  8E
                                                 Camp
                       Camp                       10                                                                                                           Chakaria
                        20           Camp                   Camp
                                      18                      9

                           Camp
                            19
                                                  Camp                                                                                                                            Bangladesh
                                                    11
                                            Camp
                       Camp                  12
                        13

                                                                                                                                                     khali
                                                                                                                                                 esh                                                              Alikadam
                                                                                                                                             Mah

                                    Camp                                                                                                                                                       Naikhongchhari
                                    14

                                                                                            Nhilla                                                           Cox's                      Ramu
                             Camp                                               Camp                                                                         Bazar
                             15                                                  25                                                                          Sadar
                                          Camp
                                           16
                                                                                Camp
                                                        Bangladesh               24

                                                                                                           Naf
                              Choukhali                                                   Camp            River
                                                                                           26                                                                                   Ukhia

                                                                                        Nayapara
                                                                                           RC                          Number of Cases
                                                                                                                                                                                                         Myanmar
                                                         Camp
                                                         21
                                                                                                                                   109 - 252
     Number of Cases
             0 - 10                                                                                                                253 - 668
             11 - 21                                                                               Camp
                                                                                                    27                             669 - 861
            22 - 38
                                                                                       Teknaf                                      862 - 3959
            39 - 70                                                                                                                                                                            Teknaf
     Number of Deaths                                                                                                  Number of Deaths
              1                                                                                                                    2-3

              3                                                 Whykong                                                            4-5                                Bay of
                                                                                                                                                                      Bengal
                                                                                                                                   6 - 10
     1      0.5        0                  1 Km

                                                                                                                                   11 - 51

                                                                                                                          10      5          0               10 Km
    Jalia
   Palong                                                                                                 Camp
                                                                                                           22

                        Camp                                                                                         Creation date: 13 May 2021
                         23                                                                                          Data Sources: WHO COVID-19 Situation Report as of April 25, 2021
                                                                                                                     Projection: BUTM
    Bay of                                                                                                           The boundaries and names shown and the designations used on this map do not imply official
    Bengal                        Baharchhara
                                                                                                                     endorsement or acceptance by iMMAP

14 // 39                                                                                                          Better Data                        Better Decisions                               Better Outcomes
Figure 7. Bi-weekly positive case rate in the host and refugee communities (Source: WHO 28/4/2021)

Figure 8. Bi-weekly total persons in isolation and new cases in the host and refugee communities (Source:WHO
28/4/2021)

                                                                                                         Host community                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               Refugee community

                    1.389                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  160
 1400
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     146

           1.086
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         1.050             120
 1050
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                117
                                1038                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      116

                                       911                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 101

                   808
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     795

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 654                       80
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                79

  700                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   679

                                                                 604
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           72

                                                    564                                    543
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           66

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 60                                                                                                             60

                                              454
                                                                              468                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               50
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      52

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             44

                                                                                                        329                                                                                                                                                                                                40
                                                           377

  350
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    38

                                                                                                                                  281                                                                                                                               285
                                                                        328
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 34

                                                                                                                     234
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           295

                                                                                                                                               230
                                                                                     287          289                                                                                                                                                                                                                     31

                                                                                                                                         267
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 28                                                                                                             28                                                            28
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      27

                                                                                                                                                            187 171
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       26                                                                                                                                          26

                                                                                                               225                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    24

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     22

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       123
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  18
                                                                                                                                                      159                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                16
                                                                                                                                                                   145                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         15                       15
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           14
                                                                                                                            130                                                                                                                               126
                                                                                                                                                                                             122                                                                                                                               12
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    11
                                                                                                                                                                                105                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       10             10

                                                                                                                                                                                      18 23 15 16 38
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      9
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  8   8
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         7                                                                                                    7
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     6                        6                                              6
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          5
                                                                                                                                                                                                          51                                     55                                                                                                         4                                                                                         4
                                                                                                                                                                                                                       47
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    33

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            0
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  1

    0
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 Jun wk 1-2
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 Jun wk 3-4
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  Jul wk 1-2
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  Jul wk 3-4
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 Aug wk 1-2
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 Aug wk 3-4
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 Sep wk 1-2
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 Sep wk 3-4
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  Oct wk 1-2
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 Oct wk 3-4
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 Nov wk 1-2
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 Nov wk 3-4
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 Dec wk 1-2
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 Dec wk 3-4
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 Jan wk 1-2
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 Jan wk 3-4
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  Feb wk 1-2
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 Feb wk 3-4
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  Mar wk 1-2
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 Mar wk 3-4
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  Apr wk 1-2
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 Apr wk 3-4
            Jun wk 1-2
                         Jun wk 3-4
                                       Jul wk 1-2
                                                    Jul wk 3-4
                                                                 Aug wk 1-2
                                                                              Aug wk 3-4
                                                                                           Sep wk 1-2
                                                                                                        Sep wk 3-4
                                                                                                                     Oct wk 1-2
                                                                                                                                  Oct wk 3-4
                                                                                                                                               Nov wk 1-2
                                                                                                                                                            Nov wk 3-4
                                                                                                                                                                         Dec wk 1-2
                                                                                                                                                                                      Dec wk 3-4
                                                                                                                                                                                                   Jan wk 1-2
                                                                                                                                                                                                                Jan wk 3-4
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             Feb wk 1-2
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          Feb wk 3-4
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       Mar wk 1-2
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    Mar wk 3-4
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 Apr wk 1-2
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              Apr wk 3-4

                                                     Total person in Isolation                                                                                 New cases (positive)                                                                                                                                                                    Total person in Isolation                                                          New cases (positive)

15 // 39
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           Better Data                                      Better Decisions                                                                              Better Outcomes
COVID-19 CONTAINMENT MEASURES
COVID-19 Containment Measures at the National Level                                                                                                                                                                              and vehicles on the roads on a day-to-day basis during
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 the lockdown, and warned that the hopes of an improved
As COVID-19 cases continued to rise alarmingly since                                                                                                                                                                             situation rely on the strict maintenance of lockdown
mid-March, the Government imposed a nationwide                                                                                                                                                                                   directives along with the public health measures being
lockdown initially for one week from 5 April, to reduce                                                                                                                                                                          properly followed and implemented (UNB 23/04/2021).
the spread of the virus. This is in addition to the 18 set
directives effective from 29 March. In the first days of the                                                                                                                                                                     Meanwhile, the government has decided on the closure
April lockdown, some shopkeepers and traders staged                                                                                                                                                                              of schools and colleges to be extended with schools and
protests demanding the reopening of businesses, arguing                                                                                                                                                                          colleges scheduled to reopen on 23 May. Universities
that they had suffered huge losses last year during the                                                                                                                                                                          will resume academic activities on 24 May. Chittagong
lockdown. Other shops opened during the lockdown                                                                                                                                                                                 University (CU) postponed the admission test of the first-
breaching the government imposed restrictions (Dhaka                                                                                                                                                                             year undergraduate courses due to COVID-19. The closure
tribune 05/04/2021, UNB 25/04/2021). On 14 April, the                                                                                                                                                                            has been extended several times in the past year, most
government enforced an eight-day strict lockdown until                                                                                                                                                                           recently this month, to help prevent the spread of COVID-19
21 April (UNB 15/04/2021), which was extended until 28                                                                                                                                                                           (UNICEF 23/04/2021, Dhaka Tribune 15/04/2021).
April. Meanwhile, the Bangladeshi police launched the
movement pass website and started taking applications                                                                                                                                                                            Restrictions were placed and extended on international
for passes that will allow citizens to stay outside for up to                                                                                                                                                                    passenger flight operations to and from Bangladesh. On
3 hours. Traders and shoppers will both need movement                                                                                                                                                                            26 April, the government sealed all Bangladesh-India
passes to commute to and from shops and malls during                                                                                                                                                                             border closed following the grave situation in India and
the COVID-19 lockdown. Industries and factories are set                                                                                                                                                                          to stop the contiguous Indian variant from spreading in
to remain open on the condition that they maintain health                                                                                                                                                                        the country (GoB 28/04/2021, UNB 30/04/2021, Al Jazeera
protocols. The respective factories or industries must take                                                                                                                                                                      05/04/2021). The temperature screening continues to
measures to ferry their employees in their own vehicles.                                                                                                                                                                         take place at most of the points of entry. Nationwide,
However, emergency service providers will not require                                                                                                                                                                            there are thousands of people in isolation and being
the pass (Dhaka Tribune 15/04/2021). The Cabinet Division                                                                                                                                                                        quarantined. As of 24 April, incoming passengers carrying
issued a notice on 23 April allowing shops and shopping                                                                                                                                                                          PCR-based COVID-19 negative certificates, and either
malls to operate from April 25 (10am-5pm) on the condition                                                                                                                                                                       already vaccinated with first dose or not yet vaccinated,
that they would maintain proper safety protocols (Dhaka                                                                                                                                                                          will have to complete a mandatory three days institutional
Tribune 25/04/2021). The public health experts showed                                                                                                                                                                            quarantine at government facilities (WHO 25/04/2021,
concern over the steady increase in the number of people,                                                                                                                                                                        Dhaka Tribune 25/04/2021, IOM 01/04/2021)

Figure 9. Point of Entry analysis of COVID-19 at Bangladesh (Source: IOM 01/04/2021)
                                                 BANGLADESH                                                                                                                                                                                               Operational status PoE                     Timeline COVID-19 cases
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               Fully operational
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                Con�rmed COVID-19 cases
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               Partially operational                Source of con�rmed COVID-19 cases: world
                                                                        Timeline of con�rmed national COVID-19 cases (weekly change), status of PoEs and                                                                                                                                            Health Organization (WHO)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               Fully closed
                                                                        country-level mobility restrictions
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               Unknown status
                                                                               30,000                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     45
                   Number of con� rmed COVID-19 cases (weekly change)

                                                                               20,000                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     30

                                                                                                                                                                20                                                                                       23                   23             23                   23
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               Number of assessed PoEs

                                                                                                                         19                20                                    20                                   20                  20
                                                                                                                                                                                                  20                                                      1                   1                1                   1
                                                                                                                                            1                    1                1
                                                                                                                          1                                      2                                                                                        10
                                                                                                                          3                 4                                     5                                                                                           10              10                   10
                                                                               10,000                                                                            3                                                                        10                                                                                              15
                                                                                                                                                                                                    10                 10
                                                                                                                                                                                  2

                                                                                                                                            15
                                                                                                                         15                                      14                                                                                       9                   9                9                   9
                                                                              March                                                                                              12                  7                 7                   7

                                                                                                                                                                                                     3                 3                   3              3                   3                3                   3
                                                                                    0                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     0
                                                                                                    MAR                APR                MAY                JUN                JUL               AUG                SEP                 OCT             NOV             DEC                JAN                  FEB
                                                                                                 16 March
                                                                                               Closure of all
                                                                                                                     End of March                   31 May                            21 July                                           25 October                                     7 December
                                                                                                educational          Government                        End of                   Facemasks                                    A ‘no mask, no service’                                   Mandatory pre-
                                                                                              institution (or        places districts                general                   mandatory in                                  policy is put in place in                                 departure COVID-19
                                                                                                                     with severe                   holidays*                        public                                    public-private offices                                   tests for all entrants
                                                                                            29 January 2021
                                                                                           extended until 28
                                                                                                                     caseloads (red                                                                                           (on 4 December 2020                                      into the country who             7 February
                                                                                                                     zones) under                                                                                               extended to include                                    are above 10 years old           Launch of COVID-19
                                                                                             February 2021)
                                                                                                                     lockdown                                                                                                         supermarkets)                                    of age                           vaccina�on campaign
                                                                                                                                                      1 June                16 June                                 16 - 30 August                               8 November
                                                                                                  26 March                                                                                                                                                       Opening of the Benapole border
                                                                                 Government declares general                         Resumption of domestic                  Resumption of                           Normalization of
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 crossing point with India to travellers
                                                                                  holidays from 26 March to 4                      commercial �ights (limited                international                           passenger train
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 The border point was opened to
                                                                                  April 2020 (extended until 31                         availability) and road               �ights (limited                         movements and
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 commercial trade in July 2020
                                                                                                    May 2020)*                             transport services                availability)                           intercity trains
                                                                        *General holidays include measures such as the closure of businesses and offices, educational institutions and a ban on all modes of transport

 16 // 39                                                                                                                                                                                                                      Better Data                                              Better Decisions                                                                 Better Outcomes
Containment Measures in Cox’s Bazar                           closed in the host community and inside the camps (WHO
                                                              28/04/2021).
In Cox’s Bazar, the national COVID-19 containment
measures are being adopted locally. In response to            Humanitarian actors are continuing to help in the detection
the increase in the number of cases among the host            of COVID-19 cases, provide COVID-19 hygiene education,
community, the Government of Bangladesh and the Office        and refer patients with fever to local health facilities for
of the Refugee Relief and Repatriation Commissioner           medical treatment. A camp-wise dedicated Contact
(RCCC) in Cox’s Bazar have imposed movement restrictions      Tracing (CT) network (34 supervisors and 311 volunteers) has
and other mitigation measures in district and camp areas.     been embedded in the Rapid Investigation and Response
All tourist activities remain suspended in the district for   Teams (RIRTs) for COVID-19. WHO is closely supporting
the upcoming weeks. To avoid the spread of COVID-19,          contact tracing through the Camp Health and Disease
organizations are asked to maintain strict protocols such     Surveillance Officers (CHDSO). In the Cox’s Bazar refugee
as physical distancing, hand washing, and the use of masks.   camps, different points of entry (POE) have been functional
Education centers like schools and learning centers remain    in different strategic locations (WHO 28/04/2021).

INFORMATION AND COMMUNICATION FOR COVID-19

Information Sources and Gaps                                  COVID-19 and its preventive measures (WHO 12/04/2021,
                                                              UNHCR 18/03/2021).
Information on awareness messages and household visits
are provided by the UNB. Communication channels and
means are extracted from two reports of WHO, UNHCR,
                                                              Information Challenges
UNCT. GURD, and Al Jazeera show the challenges.
                                                              Misinformation and rumors are still among some of the
                                                              most major challenges in combating the spread of the
In Cox’s Bazar various NGOs and INGOs are conducting
                                                              COVID-19 pandemic. Reports indicate, most refugee
awareness campaigns (door-to-door) and providing
                                                              and host communities of Cox’s Bazar who had COVID-19
leaflets related to COVID-19 to circulate information
                                                              symptoms did not want to get tested for COVID-19 due to
on mitigation strategies to the families and spreading
                                                              misinformation and rumors about the virus: fear of being
awareness messages on health and hygiene to prevent the
                                                              isolated, stigmatized, and deported. Some people believe
spread of coronavirus. Organizations continue to support
                                                              that compared to other countries like the United States
the COVID-19 prevention campaign within the camps.
                                                              and Brazil, Bangladesh has not been hit hard by the virus,
Meanwhile, community corona protection committees
                                                              which has led to people underestimating its dangers. There
comprising members, including local leaders and influential
                                                              has been a noticeable change in behaviour towards the
and general people actively spread COVID-19 awareness
                                                              virus; when the virus first hit the country last year, people
messages. They also refer COVID-19 suspects to healthcare
                                                              emptied the shelves of the pharmacy and supermarkets to
centres, while arranging for tele-counseling services by
                                                              buy hand sanitizers, however, now, they often do not wash
expert medical professionals (UNB 07/04/2021).
                                                              their hands (GURD 01/04/2021, Al Jazeera 01/04/2021).

Information Channels and Means                                According to a recently published study conducted by
                                                              Overseas Development Institute (data collected between
UN agencies and NGOs are providing hotline services, and      July and August 2020) about the experience of COVID-19
other channels such as radio broadcasting and videos          among adolescents in Bangladesh, adolescents living in
to share information related to healthcare services           urban areas have more precise knowledge of COVID-19
and key messages regarding the COVID-19 pandemic              compared to their rural counterparts. Adolescents from
and its preventive measures among refugee and host            both rural and urban areas have received misinformation
communities within Cox’s Bazar. They are also distributing    about COVID-19 symptoms. It is worth mentioning that
COVID-19 leaflets and posters developed in Burmese and        adolescents were mostly found to acquire their knowledge
Bengali languages to provide information concerning           from their family and community.

17 // 39
                                                              Better Data      Better Decisions       Better Outcomes
COVID-19 IMPACT AND HUMANITARIAN CONDITIONS
Since 05 April Bangladesh has been under lockdown                monsoon season and the extension of re-introduced
imposed by the Government of Bangladesh, which                   lockdown.
continues to be extended due to a surge in COVID-19
cases. In compliance with the government’s decisions,           • During April, the number of operational isolation faci-
the Refugee Relief and Repatriation Commissioner (RRRC)           lities and functional beds decreased in comparison to
issued a directive further restricting activities to only         the previous month, while an increase in bed occupan-
critical services and assistance. The following situational       cy has been observed throughout April.
analysis report relies on the findings from the final Refugee
influx Emergency Vulnerability Assessment (REVA 4) to           • Increase in the number of refugee children treated
analyse the potential impact of the ongoing lockdown on           for SAM in the first quarter of 2021, in comparison to
the Rohingya and host community households in Cox’s               the same period last year. For the host community in
Bazar, especially the impact on livelihoods and food              Ukhiya and Teknaf Upazila, acute malnutrition rates
security. While data in the REVA 4 was collected from             have decreased since 2019. GAM and SAM prevalence
7 November to 3 December, findings show the overall               by WHZ were slightly higher in Ukhia. Global stunting
impact of containment measures and the lockdown on                rates by HAZ were higher in Teknaf than in Ukhiya.
households, and therefore the findings remain relevant.           The prevalence of severe stunting rates were similar
                                                                  across both Upazilas.
Reconstruction is ongoing in the camps affected by the
massive fire which broke out in the Rohingya camps,             • WASH-related services including repair and mainte-
in the Kutupalong mega camp on 22 March 2021, and                 nance were exempted from suspension by the latest
the subsequent smaller fire incidents in April. Some of           RRRC directives. Solid waste management remains a
the affected people are still facing some challenges in           challenge.
accessing services, and are struggling to deal with the
impact of the fire. The report utilises the latest Inter-       • Fire incidents, including the most recent one on 12
Sector Coordination Group (ISCG) report, and recent               April, continue to destroy shelter. Some refugee
assessments conducted in the affected areas; the Host             households in the fire-affected camps are facing po-
Community Joint Needs Assessment and Rapid Host                   tential eviction by the landowners from the host com-
Community Housing, Land and Property Assessment.                  munity, which is likely to cause communal tensions.
As a result of the latest RRRC directives, it is expected         Temporary shelters built in the affected camps have
that people affected by the fire are going to face some           been damaged due to strong winds and rainstorms in
challenges in accessing services and reconstruction will          April, shelter conditions are of concern for the refu-
likely be hampered.                                               gees, especially ahead of the monsoon season.

                                                                • As of April, schools and other educational institutions
• The ongoing lockdown in Bangladesh, since the be-               remain closed, with plans to reopen on 23 May. A fire
  ginning of April, is likely to further impact both the re-      on 12 April damaged another learning center, in addi-
  fugee and host communities’ income-generating and               tion to 207 learning centers damaged by the fire last
  self-reliance activities. It is expected that, similarly to     month.
  the lockdown in 2020, the April lockdown would parti-
  cularly impact day labourers. However, more refugee           • Efforts to reunite unaccompanied children following
  and host communities households are buying food on              the 22 March are ongoing, however, the longer chil-
  credit and spending savings, which is likely to reduce          dren are separated, the less likely they are to be reu-
  their ability to deal with future shocks, including on-         nified. Those separated from their families are also at
  going nationwide lockdowns and fires.                           risk of gender-based violence (GBV), child labour, and
                                                                  trafficking. Women living in these temporary shelters
• Fires have caused a shortfall in some food commo-               are vulnerable to protection risks. Relocations to Bha-
  dities in the affected markets and a slight increase            san Char Island continue, bringing the total population
  in prices in nearby markets. More increases in food             of the island to 18,750 people.
  prices are expected with the upcoming festive and

 18 // 39                                                       Better Data     Better Decisions     Better Outcomes
LIVELIHOODS
                                                              Nine out of ten Rohingya households and six out of ten
Information sources, gaps, and challenges                     Bangladesh households reported adopting at least one
                                                              livelihood-based coping strategy in 2020. The most
The final report of the Refugee influx Vulnerability          used strategies by the Rohingya refugees in 2020 are
Assessment (REVA 4) data collected from 7 November            buying food on credit (55%) and spending savings (25%),
to 3 December was utilised to understand the impact of        increasing by 15% and 6% respectively in 2020 compared
continuous lockdowns (including the lockdown in April)        to the previous year. Findings also show that host
is likely to have on both populations, Rohingya and host      communities are increasingly dependent on spending
communities, in terms of income levels and self-reliance      savings and buying food on credit as coping strategies.
opportunities. Information about the nationwide lockdown      These are considered as stress strategies, which reduces
during April and the impact on local businesses and           the ability of households to deal with future shocks. Paying
industries are provided by a local media source; Dhaka        these debts will remain a burden on households in the long
Tribune. Data on women’s labour participation and debt        term (Dhaka Tribune 15/04/2021, REVA 4 15/04/2021, ODI
behaviour is provided by a women’s survey conducted           04/2021). In fact, the WFP market monitor for March 2021,
between November and December 2020 in Ukhia Upazila.          anticipated that credit borrowing might reduce in the
Findings from the WFP’s Market Monitor (March 2021) were      coming days, as more households become blacklisted as
published in mid-April and were utilised in the analysis.     uncreditworthy, owing to earlier debts (WFP 19/04/2021).
                                                              This is an indication of the deteriorating financial situation
Income-generating and self-reliance activities were           of both the host and refugee communities, as they depend
heavily impacted by the containment measures in               primarily on buying food on credit as a livelihood-coping
2020, the ongoing lockdown in Bangladesh is likely to         strategy.
further impact both the Rohingya and host
                                                              The host community has especially experienced an
communities livelihood opportunities
                                                              increase in credit dependency from 41% to 53%, this in line
Data from the latest REVA 4, show an overall decrease         with the national trend, as the percentage of households
in household’s income for both the host and Rohingya          taking a loan has doubled between February 2020 and
communities in comparison to pre-crisis levels. This          March 2021 in Bangladesh (REVA 4 15/04/2021, Dhaka
income decrease along with increased food prices has          Tribune 20/04/2021, BIGD and PPRC 20/04/2021). According
resulted in diminishing household’s purchasing power and      to the REVA 4 findings, when households were asked how
their ability to meet basic needs, such as food and health.   they would cope with an unforeseen future emergency
Whilst data for REVA 4 was collected at a time when the       expense, close to half of Rohingya and host community
economy was on a path towards recovery, the residual          households said they would seek to borrow from friends
impacts of the contraction on the economy continued           or relatives, while 36% in the Rohingya community stated
to be felt, with many poor households still struggling to     that they had no source of getting money - as opposed to
reintegrate into the economy (REVA 4 15/04/2021).             8% in the host communities (REVA 4 15/04/2021). These
                                                              findings indicate that both populations lack the capacity
Purchasing power in the camp is directly linked with the      to cope with future emergencies, especially as savings
availability of cash in hand from different self-reliance     deplete and debt increases.
activities, however, with these activities currently
restricted, the majority of households have very low          Instances of selling non-food assistance following the
purchasing power (WFP 19/04/2021). The lockdown during        fire that broke out on 22 March were reported
April is expected to continue to disrupt income-generating
activities of the host communities and self-reliance          Despite the percentage of Rohingya households selling
activities of the Rohingya and subsequently impacting         their non-food assistance decreased by 17% between
the household’s income and purchasing power, especially       2019 and 2020 (REVA 4 15/04/2021), according to the WFP
given the most recent Refugee Relief and Repatriation         Market Monitor for March 2021, selling of non-food items
Commissioner (RRRC) directives which limit humanitarian       among the affected people by the camp fires, particularly
activities to critical operations only.                       bamboo provided for rebuilding and utensils, continue
                                                              to be reported in the camps of Cox’s Bazar mainly driven
More refugee and host communities households are              by the desire to buy food and clothes (WFP 19/04/2021).
buying food on credit and spending savings, likely to         Selling non-food assistance is a crisis livelihood
reduce the household’s ability to deal with future            coping mechanism, linked to direct reduction of future
shocks, including ongoing nationwide lockdowns                productivity (REVA 4 15/04/2021).

19 // 39
                                                              Better Data      Better Decisions       Better Outcomes
Female labour force participation is low, partially due                                include women’s age, education level, marital status,
to pre-existing barriers in accessing the labour                                       gender of household head, and having children under 5
market. Women are often instead engaging in home-                                      years old. Women in their 20s are likely to participate in
based activities or those perceived as non-essential,                                  the labour force in both communities, as well as women
including unpaid care work resulting from COVID-19                                     in their 40s in the host communities, and in their 50s in
and its related measures                                                               the camps. Marriage was found to be a negative driver in
                                                                                       female labour force participation in both communities.
According to a survey conducted between November and                                   In general, women are often engaged in limited to low-
December 2020 in Ukhiya Upazilla on women in the host                                  return and home-based activities or those perceived as
and Rohingya communities, 35% of women in the Rohingya                                 “non-essential” such as tailoring, rearing hens/ducks or
camps worry about “not getting a good job/nothing to                                   gardening, with most of the women’s income coming from
do better in their life” every day compared to 17% in the                              remittances or help from relatives (REVA 4 15/04/2021).
host community (child protection Cox’s Bazar sub-sector                                Home-based activities which primarily fall on women
14/04/2021). This is consistent with data from the most                                have meant that the responsibility of the unpaid work
recent Refugee influx Emergency Assessment (REVA 4),                                   resulting from COVID-19 and its related measures, including
where only 10% of Rohingya women participated in the                                   care work has also fallen exclusively on women (CARE
labour force in 2020, host communities showed similar                                  International 14/10/2020, Poverty Action 04/2020).
trends. Determinants of female labour force participation

Figure 10. Gender disaggregated labour force indicators (Source: REVA 4 15/04/2021)

                        Unemployment from overall population          3%
                                                                           9%
                                                                            10%
    Host community

                          Employment from overall population                                                          63%
                                        Unemployment in LFP                             24%
                                                                             12%
                                          Employment in LFP                                                                       76%
                                                                                                                                        88%
                              Labour force participation (LFP)                13%
                                                                                                                             72%
                        Unemployment from overall population           6%
                                                                                           28%
    Refugee community

                          Employment from overall population          4%
                                                                                                      43%
                                        Unemployment in LFP                                                       59%
                                                                                                   39%
                                          Employment in LFP                                          41%
                                                                                                                     61%
                              Labour force participation (LFP)              10%
                                                                                                                            70%

                                                                 0%            20%
                                                                              Female      Male 40%             60%            80%             100%

Female labour force participation in camps remained                                    31% of host community women and 47% of Rohingya
comparable to 2019 levels, indicating that women have                                  women are in debt. Most women get their loans from
been facing barriers in accessing the labour market even                               relatives and neighbors, and took out these loan as per
before the pandemic (REVA 4 15/04/2021, child protection                               their husband‘s decision
Cox’s Bazar sub-sector 14/04/2021). The lack of livelihood
opportunities is reflected in the concerns of women in                                 Thirty-one percent of host community women and 47%
covering basic needs. Sixty-one percent of Rohingya                                    of Rohingya women said that they are currently in debt
women worry that “their family might not have enough                                   from a loan that has to be repaid at some point. Women
money to pay for basic needs’’ with 35% of host community                              from both communities primarily get their loans from
women feeling the same every day (child protection Cox’s                               relatives, and neighbors (child protection Cox’s Bazar sub-
Bazar sub-sector 14/04/2021).                                                          sector 14/04/2021). This is consistent with findings from
                                                                                       the REVA 4 where more than half of refugees (both men

20 // 39                                                                            Better Data        Better Decisions       Better Outcomes
and women) stated that they would borrow money from
friends or relatives for future emergency expenses (REVA                FOOD SECURITY
4 15/04/2021). The majority of women refugees took out
loans to cover their own healthcare expenditure, followed        Information sources, gaps, and challenges
by covering personal expenses. For women in the host
community, the majority take out loans or borrow money for       The WFP’s Market Monitor provides a trend analysis of
personal expenses followed by covering medical expenses.         food prices, focusing on the increase in rice prices since
However, data also shows that 64% of HC women and                the second half of 2020. Findings from the Refugee influx
68% of RC women confirmed that they took this loan as            Vulnerability Assessment (REVA 4) (data collected from
                                                                 7 November to 3 December) are utilised in the analysis.
per their husband‘s decision (child protection Cox’s Bazar
                                                                 The impact of camp fires on access to markets, food, and
sub-sector 14/04/2021).
                                                                 the response efforts by the humanitarian organisations
                                                                 is provided by WFP and the updated report by the Food
The April lockdown has led to the closure of most                Security Sector. Community feedback on the impacts of
workplaces, particularly impacting day labourers,                the fire and needs are found in the BBC Media Action report.
transport workers, and small businesses

The recent nationwide lockdown in April has led to the           Rice prices stabilized in March 2021, but remain 60%
closure of most of the workplaces, as a result informal and      higher than a year before
daily wage labourers who do not have a financial ability to
                                                                 Rice prices continued to increase steadily from the second
cope with unemployment have been disproportionately
                                                                 half of 2020 until the first two months of 2021 due to the
impacted. For example, according to a local media source,
                                                                 drawdown in stock levels, a shortfall in production following
ready-made garment (RMG) workers on the second day of
                                                                 severe flooding in June/July, low import volumes, and tight
strict lockdown highlighted difficulties getting to work.
                                                                 supplies. While rice prices stabilised in March, it remained
They included transportation shortage, higher fares,
                                                                 60% higher than a year before and is expected to remain
overcrowded transport, as well as frequent harassment
                                                                 high until mid-2021 (WFP 19/04/2021).
at police check-posts as some of the challenges they
faced (Dhaka Tribune 15/04/2021).
                                                                 Cereals including rice dominate the food expenditure
                                                                 patterns of the Rohingya and host community households.
This has also been the case during the lockdowns
                                                                 While refugees may be cushioned from the increase by
throughout 2020, where day labourers in the refugee
                                                                 food assistance, for host community households, rice is
and host community in Cox’s Bazar faced the harshest
                                                                 an out-of-pocket payment, and in the absence of universal
livelihoods losses and income losses whereas monthly
                                                                 food assistance; they are more vulnerable to price increase
salaried workers and self-employed have relatively
                                                                 and food insecurity (REVA 4 15/04/2021).
been more protected in terms of income losses (REVA
4 15/04/2021, Dhaka Tribune 18/04/2021, Dhaka Tribune
20/04/2021). Therefore, it is likely that daily labourers will   Figure 11. Food expenditure as a proportion of
be heavily affected by the lockdown, if not mitigated, as        household expenditure by affected group (Source: REVA
they constitute the majority of the working population           4 15/04/2021)
within the host community economy.                                                                                                        67 %          67 %
                                                                                                                                                 62 %

The shrimp export industry is one of the most
negatively impacted industries in the country as a
                                                                                                                                   40 %
result of the COVID-19 related containment measures
                                                                                                       27 %          27 %
Shrimp exports have come to a halt due to the                                                                 25 %          25 %                               25 %

lockdown, impacting shrimp prices, and causing a rise in
unemployment. Shrimp cultivation and farming are one of                          8%   7%
                                                                                           10 %
                                                                                                  7%
the main sources of income in Cox’s Bazar. The countrywide           1% 1% 1%

April lockdown has also forced the supply chain system                   75%

to come to a halt. If the situation continues, the shrimp                         Unregistered refugee                 Registered refugee
farmers will likely not be able to meet the demand at the                         All refugees                         Host community
beginning of the season, causing economic losses to the
industry and likely to result in further job losses (Dhaka       Fires impacting camp markets and reducing market
Tribune 25/04/2021, ACAPS 10/2020).                              capacity and causing a shortfall in some food
                                                                 commodities and a slight increase in prices in nearby

21 // 39
                                                                 Better Data          Better Decisions                             Better Outcomes
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