Dallas Fort Worth International Airport - JP Morgan Transportation and Utility Forum October 22-23, 2020
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Dallas Fort Worth International Airport JP Morgan Transportation and Utility Forum October 22-23, 2020 Chris Poinsatte Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer
Investor Disclaimer The Investor Presentation you are about to view is provided as of October 22, 2020. If you are viewing this presentation after that date, events may have occurred that have a material adverse effect on the financial information presented. The information presented is not warranted as to completeness or accuracy and is subject to change without notice. You agree not to duplicate, copy download, screen capture, electronically store, or record this presentation, nor to produce, publish or distribute this presentation in any form whatsoever. This Investor Presentation is provided for your information and convenience only. This Investor Presentation does not constitute a recommendation or an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any security or other financial instrument or to adopt any investment strategy. Any offer or solicitation with respect to the Bonds will be made by means of a Preliminary Official Statement or Official Statement that will describe the actual terms of the Bonds. In no event shall the Issuers be liable for any use by any party of, any decision made or action taken by any party in reliance on, any inaccuracies or errors in, or any omissions from, the information contained herein and such information may not be relied upon by you in evaluating the merits of participating in any transaction mentioned herein. These materials may not be reproduced, disseminated, quoted or referred to, in whole or in part. These materials may not reflect information known to other professionals in other business areas of the Underwriters and their affiliates. 2
Note on Forward-Looking Statements Certain statements included or incorporated by reference in this Investor Presentation referenced herein may constitute “forward–looking statements” within the meaning of the United States Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995, Section 21E of the United States Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, and Section 27A of the United States Securities Act of 1933, as amended. Such statements are generally identifiable by the terminology used, such as “plan,” “project,” “forecast,” “expect,” “estimate,” “budget” or other similar words. The achievement of certain results or other expectations that may be contained in such forward–looking statements involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors which may cause actual results, performance or achievements described to be materially different from any future results, performance or achievements expressed or implied by such forward–looking statements. In addition, not all relevant events or conditions may have been considered preparing the forward-looking information and in developing any assumptions on which such forward looking information may be based. Accordingly, actual results will vary and the variations may be material. Prospective investors should understand the limitations inherent in forward–looking data and evaluate whether such data and any underlying assumptions are appropriate for their purposes. These materials may also contain historical market data; however, historical market trends are not reliable indicators of future market behavior. The Issuers may not issue any updates or revisions to those forward–looking statements if or when its expectations change, or events, conditions or circumstances on which such statements are based, occur. Neither the Issuers or their affiliates provide tax advice. Any statements contained herein as to tax matters were neither written nor intended to be used and cannot be used by any taxpayer for the purpose of avoiding tax penalties that may be imposed on such taxpayer. 3
Presentation Overview Airport Overview Air Service Update DFW Financial Update Capital Projects Debt Update 4
DFW is a Global Super Hub 164 gates in 5 terminals on 17,000+ Acres Capable of 4 Simultaneous 7 Runways Landings 3rd Busiest* 10th Busiest* 2019 Daily 2019 5 * In world Departures Passengers
Customer Experience & Digital Transformation Industry Customer Service Award winner in 2016, 2018 and 2019.
DFW is the largest carbon neutral airport in world and has a net zero target by 2030. 180,000 DFW Emissions 160,000 140,000 CO2e Emissions (metric tons) 120,000 IPCC* Milestone = 45% Reduction by 2030 100,000 80,000 60,000 DFW Net Zero IPCC Net Zero Target Target 40,000 20,000 79% Reduction 0 7 * SOURCE: Intergovernmental Panel of Climate Change (IPCC) Special Report: Global Warming of 1.5oC Recommendation to Policymakers
DFW region is faring better than US in COVID recovery. Source of charts - Dallas Morning News 10.04.20
Traffic has continued to increase steadily since bottoming out in April Passenger Trends 6 20% 5.6 Millions 8.2% 5 0% 4 (20%) Passengers YOY % Change 3.3 3.2 3.3 3.4 3 (40%) (45.5%) (44.8%) 2.2 (54.8%) (52.5%) 2 (60%) 1.4 (67.6%) 1 (79.4%) (80%) 0.5 (91.9%) 0 (100%) Feb-20 Mar-20 Apr-20 May-20 Jun-20 Jul-20 Aug-20 Sep-20 Passengers YOY % change 10 Source: Internal Statistics
Passenger and Cargo Airline Operations Passenger airline operations recovery flattened after July 4th weekend, down approximately 33% to 2019. Passenger and Cargo Operations 30% 20% July 4th Weekend shift Labor Day Weekend shift 10% 0% 7 day avg. Ops YoY (10%) (20%) (30%) (40%) (50%) (60%) (70%) (80%) 7 day avg. YoY Passenger Ops 7 day avg. YoY Cargo Ops 11 Source: Internal Statistics
DFW's domestic route network is largely intact. 93% of DFW’s domestic network is operational today. Flying in October 2020: 178 Resuming on/before June 2021: 8 Suspended: 6 12 Source: airline schedules per Diio.mi Schedules as of Sept 30, 2020. Caveat, airlines are frequently adjusting service.
The majority of DFW's international network is operating with more currently scheduled to fly by 12/31/20.* Flying in October 2020: 36 Resuming on/before June 2021: 24 Suspended: 8 Source: Airline schedules per Diio.mi Schedules as of September 30, 2020 and Airline intel. 13 * Caveat, airlines are frequently adjusting service; see detailed list in appendix.
DFW has retained more service than any other American Airlines' hub. YoY departure and destination change for major U.S. airports 0% (10%) (20%) YOY % change (30%) (40%) (50%) (60%) (70%) (80%) YOY Departures YOY Destinations SLC DFW DEN SEA CLT PHX ATL MSP DTW LAS MCO IAD IAH ORD LAX MIA SFO EWR PHL JFK BOS DCA Oct. 2020 #Destinations 82 214 175 98 147 91 154 98 96 108 80 108 136 192 126 119 88 99 87 126 96 49 Oct. 2020 Departures 8,262 21,057 18,718 12,169 15,502 10,106 22,126 9,291 9,437 9,273 7,075 5,217 9,269 17,896 11,271 5,231 7,377 7,151 5,699 6,399 6,169 3,088 14 Source: mi.diio.net, schedule data Oct 2020 vs. Oct 2019
DFW is currently the 2nd busiest airport in the world based on published schedules.* 45,000 Oct 2019 Scheduled Departures (Top 25) 25,000 Oct 2020 Scheduled Departures (Top 25) 40,000 20,000 35,000 30,000 Departures Departures 15,000 25,000 20,000 10,000 15,000 10,000 5,000 5,000 0 0 = DFW = U.S. Airports = Int’l Airports = DFW = U.S. Airports = Int’l Airports * DFW was busiest airport in the world in July; 2nd in April, June, August, and October; and 3rd in September 15 Source: Diio.mi Schedules Oct 2020 vs. Oct 2019 (schedule as of Oct 1, 2020);
Forecasts assumed DFW demand fully recovers to 2019 levels 6-8 months after potential vaccine is deployed. 120% Pax as % of FY19 2019 levels 100% Vaccine 80% 60% Vaccine 40% For September, DFW was near the middle of its Base and Optimistic forecasts. 20% 0% BASE OPTIMISTIC Note: Based on capacity updated to include AA’s most recent guidance, along with DFW estimates DFW is not predicting if or when an effective vaccine will be developed. 16
Passengers comparison to post-COVID forecasts DFW is running 15.8% above its Baseline Forecast and 5.1% below its Optimistic Forecast as of 09/30/20. The Baseline was used for the FY20 Outlook and the FY 21 Budget. Actual vs. Baseline Actual vs. Optimistic FY20 FY20 Month Cumulativ Month Cumulativ Month FY19 Actual Baseline Optimistic FY20 Actual Variance % e Variance % Variance % e Variance % Oct 5,741,938 6,377,552 6,377,552 6,377,552 - - - - - - Nov 5,609,222 6,001,075 6,001,075 6,001,075 - - - - - Dec 5,620,106 6,394,228 6,394,228 6,394,228 - - - - - Jan 5,492,062 5,783,847 5,783,847 5,783,847 - - - - - Feb 5,137,190 5,557,975 5,557,975 5,557,975 - - - - - Mar 6,104,021 3,327,669 3,327,669 3,327,669 - - - - - Apr* 5,992,073 483,713 483,713 483,713 - - - - - May* 6,556,592 1,272,682 1,291,682 1,353,656 80,974 6.4% 80,974 6.4% 61,974 4.8% 61,974 4.8% Jun 6,839,573 1,916,108 2,120,483 2,213,443 297,335 15.5% 378,309 11.9% 92,960 4.4% 154,933 4.5% Jul 7,152,230 2,488,726 2,902,841 3,235,548 746,822 30.0% 1,125,131 19.8% 332,707 11.5% 487,641 7.7% Aug 6,873,067 2,887,645 3,883,541 3,266,754 379,109 13.1% 1,504,240 17.6% (616,787) -15.9% (129,146) -1.3% Sep 6,147,293 3,064,235 3,988,846 3,392,680 328,445 10.7% 1,832,685 15.8% (596,166) -14.9% (725,312) -5.1% 73,265,367 45,555,455 48,113,452 47,388,140 1,832,685 n/a 1,832,685 n/a (725,312) n/a (725,312) n/a * Note that Forecasts were completed in May 2020 after April results 17
Financial Update 18
Financial Highlights To date, DFW’s metrics and financial performance for FY20 and FY21 are marginally better than the projections included in the Official Statement • Used $26 million less of CARES Act funds projected to be needed for FY20 • FY20 Bond refundings were more successful than expected allowing for significant reductions in debt service between FY20 and FY22 • Achieved flat airline rates and charges in FY20 and FY21 Budget compared to FY20 Budget • Lowered the FY20 Airline True-Up Adjustment of $31 million (from reduced terminal rental rates for Q4) to an FY20 Outlook of approximately $20 million Of $68 million of April/May 2020 rent deferrals, $253,000 (0.4%) remains uncollected ($190,000 relates to RAC bankruptcies) DFW’s unrestricted cash position remains strong at $916 million as of 8/31/20 (9/30 available soon) 19 Use Agreement negotiations on hold until November 2020
Percent Change in Key Metrics (FY19 vs FY20) October passengers through first 18 days are about 40% less than same period in 2019. Percent Increase (Decrease) FY 2019 to FY 2020 Selected Information Oct to Feb March April May Jun Jul Aug Sep * Total Passengers 9% (45%) (92%) (79%) (68%) (55%) (52%) (45%) Total O&D Passengers 4% (42%) (92%) (87%) (77%) (68%) (65%) (58%) Total Operations 8% (11%) (57%) (56%) (51%) (33%) (32%) (33%) Total Landed Weights 8% (13%) (61%) (59%) (54%) (36%) (35%) (34%) Landing Fees (10%) (25%) (56%) (57%) (47%) (33%) (33%) (30%) Terminal Rents*** 7% 7% 7% 1% 0% 0% 1% 0% Other Terminal Revenues** (1%) (31%) (71%) (69%) (66%) (61%) (57%) (57%) DFWCC Revenues Parking and Ground Transportation 3% (40%) (96%) (90%) (82%) (72%) (67%) (55%) Concessions 5% (45%) (74%) (71%) (71%) (51%) (55%) (54%) Rental Car** 7% (59%) (67%) (58%) (61%) (45%) (43%) (38%) Commercial Development 10% 11% 9% 10% 6% 7% 10% 14% Other 10% 3% (0%) (14%) (4%) (24%) (24%) (18%) Total DFWCC Revenues 6% (32%) (65%) (64%) (60%) (50%) (49%) (42%) * September 2020 numbers are outlook (except TUR info) versus last year's actuals. O&D info. is not yet available. ** Results corrected removing bad debt adjustments to more closely reflect activity. . lowered terminal rentals by $10M per month in July, Aug, and Sep. *** DFW 20
Financial Summary – FY20 Projection** vs Y/E Estimates* FY 20 Comparisons Projection in Final Official Y/E Increase In millions, except ratios Statement Outlook* (Decrease) Revenues Airfield $ 168 $ 167 $ (2) Terminal 389 374 (15) DFW Cost Center 203 210 8 PFCs & Other 105 120 16 CARES 170 144 (26) Total Revenue $ 1,035 $ 1,015 $ (20) Expenditures Operating Expenses $ 481 $ 462 $ (19) Debt Service 473 472 (1) Total Expenditures $ 954 $ 934 $ (20) Airline Cost $ 450 $ 442 $ (9) Cost per Enplanement $ 19.39 $ 17.28 $ (2.11) DFWCC Net Revenues $ 164 $ 164 $ - Transfer to DFW Capital $ 94 $ 94 $ - Coverage Ratio 1.0x 1.17 1.17 - Coverage Ratio 1.25x 1.45 1.45 - *Outlook as of October 1, 2020 21 ** Projections included in POS dated June 26, 2020, and 2020A, B and C investor presentations.
Financial Summary – FY21 Projected* vs. FY21 Budget FY 21 Comparisons Projection in Official Approved Increase In millions, except ratios Statement Budget (Decrease) Revenues Airfield $ 177 $ 174 $ (3) Terminal 395 395 - DFW Cost Center 228 222 (6) PFCS & Other 125 138 13 CARES 129 128 (1) Total Revenue $ 1,054 $ 1,057 $ 3 Expenditures Operating Expenses $ 508 $ 495 $ (13) Debt Service 473 468 (5) Total Expenditures $ 981 $ 963 $ (18) Airline Cost $ 458 $ 469 $ 11 Cost per Enplanement $ 17.24 $ 17.28 $ 0.04 DFWCC Net Revenues $ 164 $ 164 $ - Transfer to DFW Capital $ 94 $ 94 $ - Coverage Ratio 1.0x 1.16 1.20 0.04 Coverage Ratio 1.25x 1.43 1.48 0.05 22 * Projection as included in June 26, 2020 Preliminary Official Statement and Investor Presentation for 2020A, B and C Bonds.
Projected Unrestricted Cash Balances Unrestricted cash was $916 million at 8/31/2020; in addition, DFW did not draw down a planned $26 million of CARES funds because it was not needed. Unrestricted cash at 8/31/2020 $916 million, which is 675 days cash on hand based on FY21 budget. * Chart was included in Investor Presentation for 2020A, B and C Bonds. 23 .
Capital Project Update 24
Capital Project Summary Terminal F is on hold. Terminal C Renovation will be 35% designed in November 2020 DFW/Airlines to discuss next steps on these two projects once 35% design complete DFW deferred $100M of projects for COVID; most of which are still on hold 10 Year ($2.5 billion) Infrastructure Capital Program has been respread over 15 years, lowering projected annual spend starting in FY23 Total amount to be borrowed will be dependent on Use Agreement negotiations Forecasts do not include funding for Terminal C Renovation or new Terminal F 25
Major Project Summary Project Budget Substantial Completion High C Gate Replacement $225M to $250M Summer 2022 Terminal D South Extension (4 gates) $207M March 2021 Baggage System Replacement (5 terminals) $183M 3-5 years Runway 18R-36L Rehabilitation $150M March 2021 Northeast End Around Taxiway $131M December 2021 Taxiway M South Rehabilitation $50M November 2020 High C Gates Terminal D South Baggage System 18R36L NE End Around Taxiway M 26
Projected Capital Spend of Approved Program Capital spend is likely to be slower than shown. DFW projects issuing approximately $350M - $400M in CP and/or bonds each in FY21 and FY22 for financing. DFW projects FAA grants of approximately $97M through FY22. * Projected capital spend excludes suspended projects and funding for Terminal F and post 35% design and construction of a Terminal C Renovation . 27
Debt Update 28
Conservative Fiscal Management Conservative practices provide significant financing flexibility in the future. Fixed-Rate No Swaps No Surety Funded Bonds Policies Pension Plans Historically fixed rate No swaps or other Fully cash-funded Employee Pension Plan derivative exposure debt service reserve closed in 2010; CP added for interim fund DPS Plan Active financing 84.5% Funded $2.1B in bonds 7.25% Discount Rate callable over next Fixed amortization period three years providing flexibility OPEB overfunded as of 01/01/20 29
2020 Bond Results Incredible investor response to DFW’s three bond issues During a 16-day period, DFW sold over $2 billion of bonds in three separate transactions – two tax- exempt and one taxable • 183 unique investors • 859 orders totaling $15.6 billion • Over-subscribed 8.2x, 5.1x, and 8.3x • Gross savings of $613 million • NPV savings of $471 million 30
DFW Airport Current Debt Profile DFW’s debt profile provides flexibility for future principal placement. Annual Debt Service $500M $450M $400M $350M $300M Debt Service Paid by Airline Rates Fees and Charges and PFIC $250M $200M $150M $100M Debt Service Paid by Passenger Facility Charges $50M CARES Act - 31 Source – DFW Treasury Department records, October 13, 2020
Callable Bonds DFW has approximately $2.1 billion of callable bonds to refund for savings over the next three years. $1.0B $0.9B $0.8B $0.7B Tax-Exempt $0.6B $0.4B Callable Par $0.5B Tax-Exempt $0.5B $0.4B $0.3B Tax-Exempt Taxable $0.6B $0.2B $0.5B Taxable $0.1B $0.3B $0.0B 2021 2022 2023 Year of Planned Refunding 32 Source – DFW Treasury department records
2021 Plan of Finance DFW anticipates one taxable and up to two tax-exempt deals in the summer of 2021 • Bond issuances may include refunding of existing bonds, refunding of commercial paper (CP) and/or new money • Taxable deal estimated between $600 million and $700 million • Tax-exempt deals estimated to total between $450 million and $550 million CP program • $750 million authorization; self liquidity currently provides about $650 million of capacity; none currently outstanding • Approximately $200 million of bond proceeds are available for FY21 capital expenditures as of 10/1/2020 • DFW currently estimates new CP issuances totaling approximately $350 million to $400 million in FY21 33
Recent Investor Page Additions DFW is reviewing and updating its Investor Web Page to make it more helpful to investors. If you have thoughts, please let us know. New disclosures recently added: • Monthly liquidity reports • Passenger levels compared to the baseline and optimistic passenger forecasts Coming soon: • Major capital projects summary for approved projects over $50M that are in progress 34
Wrap Up DFW has emerged from COVID 19 stronger relative to other airports • DFW was the busiest airport in the world in July 2020 and largest in the US from May through July 2020 • Passengers through Sep 2020 are running better than DFW’s conservative baseline projection used for its FY21 budget DFW’s FY20 financial results and FY21 budget are marginally better than projections included in the 06/26/20 Official Statement and 2020 Investor Presentations Congress approved CARES because Airports and Airlines provide “Essential Services” • DFW did not draw $26 million of planned CARES funds for FY20, leaving a cushion for FY21 and beyond • DFW has $155 million available for future DFW had $916 million of unrestricted cash and investments at 8/31/20 and anticipate similar balances through FY21 DFW has numerous liquidity options, if necessary, beyond FY21 35
Thank You 36
Appendix 37
Scheduled Service Dates for International Service Destinations Scheduled to Return by 2Q 2021 Montreal-PET, QC, CA Nov 1, 2020 Buenos Aires, BA, AR Dec 1, 2020 Not Yet Scheduled to Return Vancouver, BC, CA Nov 1, 2020 Shanghai, CN Dec 1, 2020 Auckland, NZ Toronto, ON, CA Nov 1, 2020 Hong Kong, HK Dec 17, 2020 Guayaquil, EC Mazatlán, MX Nov 4, 2020 Lima, PE Dec 17, 2020 Munich, DE Providenciales, TC Nov 19, 2020 La Paz, MX Dec 19, 2020 San Pedro Sula, HN Grand Cayman, KY Nov 21, 2020 Loreto, MX Dec 19, 2020 Tegucigalpa, HN Huatulco, MX Nov 21, 2020 Beijing, CN Mar 27, 2021 Tel Aviv-Yafo, IL Quito, EC Nassau, BS Nov 21, 2020 Santiago, CL Mar 27, 2021 Sydney, NS, AU Punta Cana, DO Nov 21, 2020 Dubai, AE Mar 28, 2021 Roatan, HN Nov 21, 2020 Rome-Da Vinci, IT Mar 28, 2021 Ixtapa/Zihuatanejo, MX Nov 21, 2020 St. Kitts, KN May 22, 2021 Belize City, BZ Dec 1, 2020 Santo Domingo, DO Jun 5, 2021 38 Source: Diio.mi Schedules through June 2021 and Airline Intel
FY21 baseline passenger forecast was estimated at 53.1M, with a more optimistic estimate of 63.6M. Passengers (millions) 90.0 79.2 80.0 76.6 76.7 75.8 73.3 71.1 70.0 63.6 60.0 53.1 50.0 48.1 45.6 40.0 30.0 20.0 10.0 0.0 Note: DFW internal projections. OL = Outlook 39
10-15 Year Infrastructure Capital Program (ICP)* Estimated to be approximately $2.5B.* Spend varies by fiscal year between $200M - $300M depending on assessed needs. DFW will fund the ICP with cash, grants and debt. The amounts will be estimated when the Use Agreement negotiations are complete. Airside 45% Landside 30% Facilities 25% * The ICP is in addition to the Approved Capital Program shown on slide 27. DFW does not estimate 40 significant spend to begin on the $2.5 billion ICP until FY23.
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