Deutsche Bank - Client & Creditor Presentation - May 2019 (including financials as of 31 March 2019)
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Deutsche Bank
Deutsche Bank – Client & Creditor
Presentation
May 2019
(including financials as of 31 March 2019)Summary
— Delivered on costs and headcount targets in 2018 with further progress in Q1 2019
Progress on — Strong foundations to support 2019 targets on path to further improve profitability over time
targets — Resilient revenues in less market sensitive businesses with volume growth and continued
investments in focus areas
— Strength of the balance sheet gives flexibility to execute the strategic plan and resources to
invest into our core client relationships
Balance sheet — DB is well positioned to meet all current and future regulatory requirements
strength — Cash and high quality liquid assets account for ~25% of Deutsche Bank’s funded balance
sheet, negatively impacting returns but providing further support
— Over 75% of the balance sheet is funded by long-term, diversified sources
— German bail-in law provides greater protection for various creditors, such as depositors,
derivative counterparties, beneficiaries of guarantees and letters of credit (LoCs), holders of
structured notes and money market instruments
Creditor /
Counterparty — Trading of Deutsche Bank’s preferred senior CDS (since May 2019) allows for a better
comparison with peers and better hedging of counterparty risk
considerations
— All rating agencies now have separate counterparty obligation ratings, covering - depending on
the agency - products such as deposits, derivatives and guarantees/LoCs
Deutsche Bank 1
Investor RelationsAgenda
1 Deutsche Bank today
2 Creditor / counterparty considerations
Deutsche Bank 2
Investor RelationsDeutsche Bank at a glance
€ bn
Key figures(1) (31 Mar 2019) Revenues by business(2) Leverage exposure by business(3)
Q1 2019 31 Mar 2019
IFRS assets 1,437
AM 0%
Leverage Sales & Trading
1,345
exposure (30%)
AM
Risk-weighted 9%
347 PCB
assets 28%
AWM
Common Equity
47.7 CIB 6%
Tier 1 capital
(4)
Germany
PCB 51%
34%
Tier 1 capital 52.3 40% CIB
71%
GTB
Total capital 61.6 (15%)
CET1 ratio 13.7%
Origination &
Advisory
Leverage ratio 3.9%
(7%)
Note: Throughout the presentation figures may not add up due to rounding differences. CIB: Corporate & Investment Bank, PCB: Private & Commercial Bank, AM: Asset Management
(1) All figures, except IFRS assets are on a CRR / CRD 4 fully loaded, pro forma basis
(2) Q1 2019 revenues of €6.4bn included revenues for Corporate & Other of €(15)m that are not included for the calculation of the percentages
(3) 31 March 2019 leverage exposure of €1,345bn included Corporate & Other exposure of €22bn (2%) that are not included for the calculation of the percentages
(4) CIB includes CIB other of €(84)m which is not shown in the graph
Deutsche Bank 3
Investor RelationsA safer and more secure organization
€ bn, at period end, unless otherwise stated
Shareholders’ equity Liquidity reserves(1) Most stable funding(2) Avg. Value-at-Risk(3) Level 3 assets(4)
In € m
(68)% (72)%
1.7x 4.0x 2.6x
76% 88
260 86
63
37
30%
27 25
65
2007 Q1 2019 2007 Q1 2019 2007 Q1 2019 2007 Q1 2019 2007 Q1 2019
Materially higher capital, liquidity and stable funding Risk at record-low levels
(1) Liquidity reserves include cash, highly liquid government, agency and government guaranteed bonds and other Central Bank eligible securities
(2) Most stable funding as a proportion of the total external funding profile. Most stable funding is defined as funds from Capital Markets & Equity, Retail, Transaction Banking and
Wealth Management deposits
(3) Value-at-risk (VaR) is the average risk of loss for Deutsche Bank‘s trading units based on a 99% confidence interval and a one-day holding period
(4) Level 3 assets tend to be less liquid instruments where fair value cannot be determined directly by reference to market-observable pricing. Examples would include more-complex
OTC derivatives, distressed debt and highly-structured bonds
Deutsche Bank 4
Investor RelationsMaintained strong balance sheet with prudent risk
management As of
31 Mar 2019 Comment
Prudent management
Common Equity Tier 1 capital ratio 13.7%
of capital resources
Excess above MREL
Loss-absorbing capacity € 123bn
requirement: € 19bn(1)
Reflects strong underwriting
Provision for credit losses as a % of loans 13bps
standards and low risk portfolios
Tightly controlled
Average Value-at-Risk € 27m
market risk
High quality loan portfolio
Loans as a % of deposits 77%
against stable deposits
Excess above LCR requirement
Liquidity coverage ratio 141%
of 100%: € 68bn
(1) Requirement for Minimum Requirement for Eligible Liabilities (MREL) set at 9.14% of Total Liabilities and Own Funds of € 1,134bn
Deutsche Bank 5
Investor RelationsFocused on delivering improved returns to shareholders
Post-tax return on tangible equity, in %
/ ~ / : progress towards full year objective
— Adjusted cost reductions (€ 1bn)
— Balance sheet and liquidity optimization
(>€ 300m) >4%
— Growth in stable businesses
— Tax rate normalization (to ~35%)
>1%
~ 2.5%
— Assumes greater client activity and
constructive market environment
~ Market share recovery
~ Potential increases in credit loss
provisions and non-operating items
0.5%
2018 More controllable Market/event sensitive 2019
RoTE RoTE target
Deutsche Bank 6
Investor RelationsConservatively managed balance sheet
After netting, € bn, as of 31 March 2019
Assets Liabilities & equity
1,063 1,063
Trading and
Liquidityreserves(1) 203 related liabilities(2)
(24%) 260 (19%)
Other liabilities(4)
52
(5%)
Trading and
related assets(2) 331
(31%)
Deposits
576 (54%)
77% loan-to-
deposit ratio(5)
Loans(3)
(39%) 415
Long-term Debt(6)
168 (16%)
Other assets (4) Equity
(5%) 57 65 (6%)
Note: Net balance sheet of € 1,063bn includes adjustments to the IFRS balance sheet (€ 1,437bn) to reflect the funding required after recognizing (i) legal netting agreements of € 264bn,
(ii) cash collateral of € 42bn received and € 29bn paid, and (iii) offsetting pending settlement balances of € 40bn
(1) Liquidity reserves incorporates a € 184bn from cash and equivalents portfolio along with a € 76bn of highly liquid securities
(2) Trading and related assets and liabilities includes debt and equity securities (excluding highly liquid securities), derivatives, repos, securities borrowed and lent, brokerage
receivables and payables, loans measured at fair value
(3) Loans at amortized cost, gross of allowances
(4) Other assets include goodwill and other intangible, property and equipment, tax assets, cash and equivalents which are not part of liquidity reserve and other receivables. Other
liabilities include accrued expenses, investment contract liabilities, financial liabilities designated at fair value through P&L excluding those included in trading and related liabilities
(5) Gross loans at amortized cost as well as loans measured at fair value versus total deposits
(6) Including trust-preferred securities and AT1 instruments
Deutsche Bank 7
Investor RelationsDerivatives exposure – headline numbers materially
overstate the economic risk
IFRS derivative trading assets and the
impact of netting and collateral Comments
€ bn, as of 31 March 2019 — Gross notional derivative exposure amounts are not
exchanged and relate only to the reference amount of
Interest Rate Currency Equity/index Credit / Other
all contracts. It is no reflection of the credit or market
331 risk run by a bank
— IFRS balance sheet derivatives trading assets are the
present value of future cash flows owed to DB and as
a result represent the credit risk to the Bank
— Unlike US GAAP, IFRS accounting does not allow for
(261) all Master Netting Agreements(2) to reduce derivative
assets shown on the balance sheet
— DB’s reported IFRS derivative trading assets of
€331bn would fall to €21bn on a net basis, after
considering the Master Netting Agreements in place
and collateral received
(41) — In addition, DB actively hedges its net derivatives
(8) trading exposure to further reduce the economic risk
21
IFRS Impact of Cash Financial Net amount
Master Collateral Instrument
Netting Collateral(1)
Agreements
Note:
(1) Excludes real estate and other non-financial instrument collateral
(2) Master Netting Agreements allow counterparties with multiple derivative contracts to settle through a single payment
Deutsche Bank 8
Investor RelationsWell balanced loan book composition
IFRS loans at amortized cost, 31 March 2019
Corporate & Investment Bank
Private & Commercial Bank
Global Transaction Bank — Well diversified Loan Portfolio
— 2/3rd of the loan portfolio is in PCB, mainly
16% including German retail mortgages and
German
Wealth Management
mortgages
Asset backed — 1/3rd of the loan portfolio is in CIB, around
securities
34% half are loans to Global Transaction
6%
Banking counterparties predominantly
investment grade rated
— The remainder comprises well-secured,
CIB Other(3) 8% mainly asset backed loans, commercial real
estate loans and collateralized financing as
well as relationship loans managed within a
7%
concentration risk framework
Commercial — Deutsche Bank has high underwriting standards
2% 10% and a defined risk appetite across PCB and CIB
Real Estate(2)
4% portfolios
PCB other(1) Wealth Management
International mortgages 6% 7%
Consumer Finance Business Finance
Note: Figures may not sum due to rounding off difference. Loan amounts are gross of allowances
(1) PCB other predominantly includes Postbank recourse CRE business, financial securities and PCB non- strategic including a FX-mortgage portfolio in Poland
(2) Commercial Real Estate Group in CIB and Postbank non-recourse CRE business
(3) CIB Other comprises CIB relationship loans, FIC (excl. ABS & CRE), Equities (Collateralized financing), Leverage Debt Capital Markets and CIB non-strategic
Deutsche Bank 9
Investor RelationsLitigation update
€ bn, unless stated otherwise
Litigation provisions(1)
― Further progress has been made in resolving legacy
7.6 matters throughout the quarter
― Decrease in provisions predominately due to
payments for past settlements, releases for lower-
than-expected settlements or agreements-in-
principle to settle, partially offset by additions for
matters in resolution stage
2.0
1.2 1.1 ― Provisions include approximately € 0.1bn related to
settlements already achieved or agreed in principle
31 Dec 2016 31 Dec 2017 31 Dec 2018 31 Mar 2019 ― Contingent liabilities remained stable in Q1 2019
compared to Q4 2018
Contingent liabilities(1,2)
2.7 2.7 2.7
2.3
31 Dec 2016 31 Dec 2017 31 Dec 2018 31 Mar 2019
Note: Figures reflect current status of individual matters and are subject to potential further developments
(1) Includes civil litigation and regulatory enforcement matters
(2) Includes possible obligations where an estimate can be made and outflow is more than remote but less than probable for significant matters
Deutsche Bank 10
Investor RelationsAgenda
1 Deutsche Bank today
2 Creditor / counterparty considerations
Deutsche Bank 11
Investor RelationsGerman insolvency law strengthens position of depositors
and counterparties
Deposits ≤ €100k /
€ bn short-term liabilities(1)
Deposits > €100k of natural
Loss persons / SMEs
participation Other deposits(2), structured
only if TLAC is notes, MM instruments,
— Creditors, including depositors, derivative exhausted operating liabilities, new
plain-vanilla senior preferred
counterparties, beneficiaries of guarantees and LoC’s, notes(3)
structured note holders and money market
instruments sit above € 63bn of equity, Tier 1 and Plain-vanilla
Tier 2 instruments and also € 60bn of senior non- senior non-preferred notes and
60 Schuldscheine >1 year (unless
preferred debt liable for bail-in qualified as preferred
deposits)(4)
— Deutsche Bank has € 122bn of Total Loss Absorbing € 122bn of
Capacity (TLAC). Senior plain-vanilla debt < 1 year TLAC 14 AT1 / Tier 2 / Adjustments(5)
will not qualify as TLAC but still represents loss-
absorbing capacity
48 CET1(5)
31 March 2019
(1) Insured deposits and deposits by credit institutions and investment firms with original maturity € 100k of large caps, all remaining deposits of financial institutions and the public sector
(3) Includes all plain-vanilla senior notes issued on or after 21 July 2018, the terms of which do not indicate that they are non-preferred
(4) Includes (i) all plain-vanilla senior notes issued before 21 July 2018 and (ii) all plain-vanilla senior notes issued on or after 21 July 2018 the terms off which explicitly refer to the non-
preferred rank
(5) Regulatory capital under fully loaded rules; includes AT1 and T2 capital issued out of subsidiaries to third parties which is eligible until YE 2021. Includes adjustments reflecting TLAC
eligible capital instruments that do not qualify as fully loaded regulatory capital; add-back of regulatory maturity haircut for T2 instruments with a maturity >1 year, G-SIB TLAC
holding deduction
Deutsche Bank 12
Investor RelationsHistoric CDS spreads do not reflect Deutsche Bank’s
counterparty risk or funding costs
Limited correlation with DB’s cost of funding or
issuance plans German creditor hierarchy
DB 5yr EUR-CDS in bps(1) DB average issuance spread, in bps(2)
DB debt issuance, in € bn
Deposits ≤€100k / short-term liabilities
300 60
Deposits >€ 100k of natural persons / SMEs
200 40
Structured notes,
Plain vanilla
100 20 derivatives, NEW senior
senior preferred
other deposits
bonds preferred CDS
>100k(3)
8.8 4.8 6.2 5.7 10.9 2.9 4.5 1.2 7.8
0 0
17Q1 17Q2 17Q3 17Q4 18Q1 18Q2 18Q3 18Q4 19Q1
Plain vanilla Senior non-
— The movement in Deutsche Bank CDS spreads since early 2016 senior non-preferred preferred
reflects the introduction of the German bail-in law on 1 January bonds CDS
2017
— As a result of lower volumes and bail-in law, there has been Tier 2
limited correlation between Deutsche Bank’s CDS spreads and
the Bank’s funding costs
AT1
— A new CDS framework for German banks was introduced in
May 2019, allowing for standardized trading of senior preferred
CDS contracts CET1
(1) Referencing non-preferred senior instruments
(2) Based on the 4-week moving average issuance spread vs. 3-month Euribor. AT1 instruments excluded from spread calculation
(3) Deposits >€ 100k of large caps, all remaining deposits of financial institutions and the public sector
Deutsche Bank 13
Investor RelationsCurrent Ratings
part of loss-absorbing capacity
senior to loss-absorbing capacity
Counterparty obligations
(e.g. Deposits / Structured A3 BBB+(1) A- A (high)
Notes / Derivatives / Swaps)
Senior Preferred(2) A3 BBB+ A- A (low)
Long-
term
unse-
cured Non-preferred Baa3 BBB- BBB+ BBB (high)
Tier 2 Ba2 BB+ BBB -
Legacy T1 B1 B+ BB -
AT1 B1 B+ BB- -
Short-term P-2 A-2 F2 R-1 (low)
Outlook Negative Stable Negative Negative
Note: Ratings as of 26 April 2019
(1) The Issuer Credit Rating (ICR) is S&P‘s view on an obligor‘s overall creditworthiness. It does not apply to any specific financial obligation, as it does not take into account the nature
of and provisions of the obligation, its standing in bankruptcy or liquidation, statutory preferences, or the legality and enforceability of the obligation
(2) Defined as senior unsecured debt rating at Moody‘s and S&P, as preferred senior debt rating at Fitch and as senior debt at DBRS
Deutsche Bank 14
Investor RelationsRating landscape – senior unsecured and short-term
ratings Moody‘s S&P
Operating company / Preferred Senior(1)
Holding company / Non-preferred Senior(2)
Rating scale EU Peers Swiss Peers US Peers
Short-term Long-term BAR BNP HSBC SOC CS UBS BoA Citi GS JPM MS
P/A-1 Aa2/AA
P/A-1 Aa3/AA-
P/A-1 A1/A+
P/A-1 A2/A
P/A-2 A3/A-
P/A-2 Baa1/BBB+
P/A-2 Baa2/BBB
P/A-3 Baa3/BBB-
Note: Data from company information / rating agencies, as of 26 April 2019. Outcome of short-term ratings may differ given agencies have more than one linkage between long-term and
short-term rating
(1) Senior unsecured instruments that are either issued out of the Operating Company (US, UK and Swiss banks) or statutorily rank pari passu with other senior bank claims like deposits
or money market instruments
(2) Senior unsecured instruments that are either issued out of the Holding Company (US, UK and Swiss banks) or statutorily rank junior to other senior claims against the bank like
deposits or money market instruments (e.g. junior senior unsecured debt classification from Moody’s and senior subordinated from S&P)
Deutsche Bank 15
Investor RelationsCautionary statements This presentation contains forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements are statements that are not historical facts; they include statements about our beliefs and expectations and the assumptions underlying them. These statements are based on plans, estimates and projections as they are currently available to the management of Deutsche Bank. Forward-looking statements therefore speak only as of the date they are made, and we undertake no obligation to update publicly any of them in light of new information or future events. By their very nature, forward-looking statements involve risks and uncertainties. A number of important factors could therefore cause actual results to differ materially from those contained in any forward-looking statement. Such factors include the conditions in the financial markets in Germany, in Europe, in the United States and elsewhere from which we derive a substantial portion of our revenues and in which we hold a substantial portion of our assets, the development of asset prices and market volatility, potential defaults of borrowers or trading counterparties, the implementation of our strategic initiatives, the reliability of our risk management policies, procedures and methods, and other risks referenced in our filings with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. Such factors are described in detail in our SEC Form 20-F of 22 March 2019 under the heading “Risk Factors.” Copies of this document are readily available upon request or can be downloaded from www.db.com/ir. This presentation also contains non-IFRS financial measures. For a reconciliation to directly comparable figures reported under IFRS, to the extent such reconciliation is not provided in this presentation, refer to the Q1 2019 Financial Data Supplement, which is accompanying this presentation and available at www.db.com/ir. Deutsche Bank 16 Investor Relations
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