Driving change: reforming urban bus services - A policy paper of the EBRD's Sustainable Infrastructure group - Changing Transport

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Driving change: reforming urban bus services - A policy paper of the EBRD's Sustainable Infrastructure group - Changing Transport
March 2019

Driving change:
reforming urban
bus services

A policy paper of the EBRD’s Sustainable
Infrastructure group
Driving change: reforming urban bus services - A policy paper of the EBRD's Sustainable Infrastructure group - Changing Transport
This policy paper contributes to the MobiliseYourCity
This policy paper was produced in                           Partnership for sustainable urban mobility, to which the
partnership with                                            EBRD is a contributing partner.

Acknowledgements
This bus sector reform policy paper has been prepared by
Colin Brader, ITP consultants, Ian Jennings, EBRD Senior
Urban Transport Specialist and Kjetil Tvedt, EBRD Principal
Economist.

The EBRD gratefully acknowledges support and contributions
from its co-publishing partners:

• UITP international public transport association, reviewed by
  Ayman Smadi, Kaan Yildizgoz, Dionisio Gonzalez and Jaspal
  Singh.

• Deutsche Gesellschaft für Internationale Zusammenarbeit
  (GIZ) GmbH, reviewed by Christian Mettke and Frederik
  Strompen.

The EBRD also kindly acknowledges the contribution of
speakers, Lisa Seftel Director of Transport (Johannesburg,
South Africa) and Karolis Dekeris, Urban Transport Specialist
(Kaunas, Lithuania) and the active participation of cities at the
policy dialogue seminar: Tbilisi (Georgia), Yerevan (Armenia),
Gjakova (Kosovo), Zarqa (Jordan) and Irbid (Jordan).

The contents of this publication reflect the opinions of the
authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of the EBRD.

Hyperlinks to non-EBRD websites do not imply any official
endorsement of or responsibility for the opinions, data or
products presented at these locations, or guarantee the
validity of the information provided. The sole purpose of links to
non-EBRD sites is to indicate further information available on
related topics.

Terms and names used in this paper to refer to geographical or
other territories, political and economic groupings and units,
do not constitute and should not be construed as constituting
an express or implied position, endorsement, acceptance or
expression of opinion by the European Bank for Reconstruction
and Development or its members concerning the status of
any country, territory, grouping and unit, or delimitation of its
borders, or sovereignty.
Driving change: reforming urban bus services - A policy paper of the EBRD's Sustainable Infrastructure group - Changing Transport
Contents

 1.            Introduction                                                       4
 2.            The case for bus sector reform                                     5
 3.            Understanding the bus sector and setting objectives                11
               The status of the bus network                                      12
               The state of regulation                                            13
               Understanding where planning and regulating happens                13
               Understanding the market (users)                                   15
               Understanding the market (operators)                               15
               Market consultation and surveys                                    17
 4.The process of reform                                                          19
   Roles and responsibilities                                                     19
 		     Public sector and private sector responsibilities                         19
   Defining the new bus system                                                    20
 		     Route optimisation                                                        20
 		     Financial optimisation                                                    20
 		     Route integration                                                         22
 		     Tariff setting and integration                                            22
   Defining a new operating model                                                 23
 		     Forms of contract                                                         24
   Branding the new bus service                                                   27
   Defining a reform plan                                                         27
   Compensating existing operators                                                29
 		     Fair compensation                                                         29
 		     Operator association                                                      30
 		     Alternative options                                                       30
 		     Support measures                                                          30

Driving change: reforming urban bus services                         March 2019    1
Driving change: reforming urban bus services - A policy paper of the EBRD's Sustainable Infrastructure group - Changing Transport
Contents              (continued)

5.Managing reforms                                                                      31
  Promoting reform                                                                      31
		    Political support                                                                 32
		    Institutional support                                                             34
		    Operator support                                                                  34
		    Communication strategy                                                            37
		    Importance of engaging users                                                      38
  Engaging with existing operators                                                      39
		Consultation                                                                          39
		Negotiation                                                                           41
  Capacity-building                                                                     41
  Performance, evaluation and monitoring                                                41
		    Performance criteria (KPIs)                                                       41
		    Collecting data                                                                   42

6.          Additional resources                                                        43
Annex 1. Public transport reform in the Philippines                                     44
Annex 2. Bus sector reform questionnaire and seminar                                    48
Annex 3. Working with the EBRD                                                           52

2    March 2019                                   Driving change: reforming urban bus services
Driving change: reforming urban bus services - A policy paper of the EBRD's Sustainable Infrastructure group - Changing Transport
Glossary
ADEME	French Environment and Energy             KfW	Kreditanstalt für Wiederaufbau
       Management Agency
                                                 KPI        Key performance indicator
AFC             Automated fare collection
                                                 LAMATA	Lagos Area Metropolitan Authority
AFD	Agence Française de
     Développement                               LRT        Light rail transit

AVL             Automated vehicle localisation   MaaS       Mobility as a Service

BRT             Bus rapid transit                MENA       Middle East North Africa

CEREMA	Centre for Studies and Expertise         NUMP       National urban mobility policy
        on Risks, the Environment,
        Mobility and Development                 O-D        Origin-Destination

CODATU	Coopération pour le                      PPP        Public-private partnership
        Développement et l’Amélioration
        des Transport Urbains et                 PSC        Public service contract
        Périurbains
                                                 PTA        Public transport authority
DBFO	Design-build-finance-operate
                                                 SUMP       Sustainable urban mobility plan
DBOM            Design-build-operate-maintain
                                                 TfL        Transport for London
EBRD	European Bank for Reconstruction
      and Development                            UCLG	United Cities and Local
                                                       Governments
GTFS	General transit feed specification
                                                 UITP	International Public Transport
GIZ	Deutsche Gesellschaft für                         Association (Union International
     Internationale Zusammenarbeit                     des Transport Publics)
     (GIZ) GmbH

Driving change: reforming urban bus services                                     March 2019   3
Driving change: reforming urban bus services - A policy paper of the EBRD's Sustainable Infrastructure group - Changing Transport
1. Introduction
Bus services dominate our public transport systems,                             This bus sector reform policy paper is for city
particularly in emerging economies, due to their cost                           authorities who seek to transform bus services in
effectiveness and adaptability, as well as the ease                             response to user expectations and environmental
of reallocation and reconfiguration of bus fleets to                            challenges. It builds on experience from cities in
respond to changing service requirements.                                       emerging markets and on proceedings of the bus
                                                                                sector reform seminar held at the EBRD in London in
However, cities are facing intensified calls to reform                          July 2017.
their bus services to provide high-quality, safe public
transport services for their users and address                                  Bus sector reform changes the way bus services are
environmental challenges, notably congestion and air                            provided. It is likely to have a major impact on current
pollution. To deliver sustainable solutions, cities are                         and future market actors, notably bus operators
increasingly looking to renew fleets and infrastructure,                        and passengers. The reform process will affect the
integrate their bus networks and introduce priority                             institutional, regulatory and operational structure and
bus corridors. Bus sector reform is recognised as a                             related planning, procurement, operation, monitoring
fundamental step in achieving these goals.                                      and evaluation functions of bus services in the city.
                                                                                The actors involved can be wholly public or include
    Bus sector reform                                                           a large proportion of private operators and often
                                                                                comprise a combination of the two.
    Reform of the bus sector changes the way bus
    services are planned, procured, monitored and                               The intention is to change the rules of the game, so
    operated. It can fundamentally affect the role of                           while their objectives may be noble, the city must
    the city authority1 through increased control over                          recognise the likely scale of opposition to reforms.
    financial flows, risks and service obligations and,                         The reform process will require periods of detailed
    in so doing, influence the composition, scale and                           consultation and negotiation to steer the reforms
    duties of bus operators and service providers. The                          towards the intended outcome. Careful thought
    need for the reform itself, and the process to deliver                      should be given to the process and ultimate goals
    it, must fully reflect the current operating model,                         and priorities, in order to direct reforms along a well-
    problem definition, service quality desired and                             prepared and determined path.
    institutions and actors involved.
                                                                                While presenting the “what” and the “why”, this
                                                                                paper focuses particularly on the “how” to improve
Delivering on these objectives requires enhanced                                services by laying out the rationale and steps for cities
sector funding, regulation and monitoring and,                                  to achieve bus sector reforms, with case studies,
importantly, a more engaged city authority to take an                           examples and illustrations. While it principally applies
active role in planning and regulation of the sector.                           to urban bus networks, many elements are relevant to
This is fundamental in order to provide financial                               regional and sub-regional public transport networks.
stability and to assume an increased level of risk, be
it political, operational and financial. To turn political
will into achievement, cities and national authorities
need to act in the interests of residents to deliver a
reform programme through effective and committed
negotiation with operators.

1
    In this paper, “city authority” refers to the authority responsible for the planning, organisation and regulation of public transport services
    within city boundaries. Its role may be taken on by a public transport authority (PTA) for the city or metropolitan area, as described on page 4

4         March 2019                                                                            Driving change: reforming urban bus services
Driving change: reforming urban bus services - A policy paper of the EBRD's Sustainable Infrastructure group - Changing Transport
2. The case for bus sector reform
Urban transport systems function within a complex         The response of city authorities is defined by the
political, social and environmental context, imposing     nature and intensity of these issues within the city
numerous demands and constraints that shape the           environment and of the required, or desired, response
nature of proposed solutions for a given urban context.   to externalities notably congestion, pollution and
                                                          safety. The scale and pace of reform is largely driven
Figure 1. Demands on and constraints of urban             by the demand for change from users and other
transport systems                                         residents of the city together with the political will and
                                                          resources of the city to deliver them.

                                                          For cities with low congestion or urban environment
      Lack of capital                                     constraints, reduced user expectations for off-peak
       funds for fleet                                    services, notably evenings or weekends, and where
     replacement, low                                     city resources are limited, low regulation systems may
        maintenance                                       provide the most efficient solution. In such a case,
          capacity             Multitude of               operators are in open competition on each route
                            service providers,            and compete for passengers by operating cheaper,
                              often with low              faster or better services than their competitors. Direct
                               service, fare              routes often provide the most attractive service
                                integration               option, due to lack of any fare or service integration
          Diverse
     stakeholders and                                     between competing providers. With low regulation
  interest groups: public                                 regimes, the city need not spend much money in
    and private actors                                    controlling service performance. However, this also
      and civil society                                   means that city control of the sector is weak and
                              Network effect-             cash-based payments are likely to predominate, with
                             inter-connectivity           little or no subsidy payments and resulting lack of
                             with other urban             transparent accounts, financial or operational data.
                            transport services            The city therefore has little ability to determine urban
                                                          transport policy or influence service provision, since it
    Limited availability                                  is bringing very little, notably funding, to the table.
      of urban space;
     road space is at
         a premium               Low cost
                              recovery, use of
                                subsidies to
                               sustain urban
                            transport services
    Urban mobility is
    a strategic public
  policy agenda- strong
       tendency for
          political
       interference
                             Dynamic urban
                            environment and
                             political context

Driving change: reforming urban bus services                                                      March 2019      5
Driving change: reforming urban bus services - A policy paper of the EBRD's Sustainable Infrastructure group - Changing Transport
Figure 2. Principal regulatory systems for urban transport

                                Low regulation                                     Integrated system
                             Competition in the route                            Competition for the route

    City environment

    Urban environment               Suburban                                                Urban

    Congestion                          Low                                                 High

    Pollution effects                Disperse                                           Concentrated

    Market response

    Public transport              Point-to-point                                     Integrated system
    (PT) services

    Fare type                         Single                                  Combined-time / distance based

    Market structure            Multiple providers                                Single / area providers

    Regulation                    Low (licences)                                 High (gross-cost contract)

    Funding                     Low (for example,                                     High (PT subsidy)
                                concession fares)

    City role                    Licence grantor                                   Planner and enforcer

As cities develop both the level of externalities and     As externalities are priced out of transport service
user expectations increase. Low regulation systems        through lack of regulation covering environmental
generate an increasingly imperfect market, in which       and safety standards, users are encouraged to
externalities remain un-costed and operations             make sub-optimal modal choice towards private
become increasingly inefficient, unable to                cars, taxis and minibus and the quality of the bus
consolidate and make the investments required             services deteriorates further.
of an expanding public transport system.

Such a system puts a high price on the community
by imposing an increasing level of external costs,
such as environmental pollution, safety and congestion,
onto all residents, users and non-users alike.

6       March 2019                                                    Driving change: reforming urban bus services
Driving change: reforming urban bus services - A policy paper of the EBRD's Sustainable Infrastructure group - Changing Transport
Figure 3. Low regulation and the imperfect market

                                                         Lack of resources

   Lack of enforcement                            Regulatory objectives unclear                         Lack of coherent policy

                                                Passive inappropriate regulation

                                     Operators                                        Network
                                     response                                      characteristics
                                     High risks                                     Illicit control
                               Minimum investment                                   Rigid network
                                  and organisation                               Unsatisfied demand
                                 Low service quality                            Legal, informal modes
                                Unsatisfied demand
                               Legal, informal modes

                                        Imperfect market
                                        Un-costed externalities
                                        (environment, pollution, safety, congestion)

Source: Diagram developed from Figure 9 in the GIZ Sourcebook Bus Regulation & Planning.

At a certain point, this lack of city engagement under
a low regulation policy reaches its limit, and pressure
from discontented residents compels city authorities
to act.

Driving change: reforming urban bus services                                                                  March 2019      7
Decline of public transport in former centrally planned economies

    Over the past twenty years, countries that                                                                      The lack of effective regulation, funding, fare or
    were once centrally planned have witnessed a                                                                    route integration, has resulted in numerous private
    dramatic decline in public transport services,                                                                  operators with poorly maintained minibuses, not
    in the face of rapid urbanisation, growing car                                                                  operating to a timetable, competing with each
    ownership and sustained strain on public                                                                        other for passengers at bus stops and with no, or
    funds. Public operators have struggled to                                                                       limited, duty to accept concessionary fares. This has
    obtain adequate funds for maintenance and                                                                       resulted in a critical lack of skills and investment
    investment, aggravated by an inherited policy                                                                   in the sector and has limited the interest of larger
    of concessionary travel for large parts of the                                                                  operators to enter the market.
    population.
                                                                                                                    In many cities, the poor state of public transport
    Such operators have often been reduced to a                                                                     services under such low-regulation scenarios now
    core network, with an outdated fleet and low                                                                    presents a clear case for reform towards more
    quality of service and in some cases, have been                                                                 sustainable urban transport solutions. This is given
    entirely disbanded. In their place, a fragmented                                                                added urgency with the continued rise of private
    private market has grown, with marshrutkas                                                                      vehicle ownership, as illustrated below (example of
    (minibuses) filling the gap with higher fares and                                                               Russia).
    poor service, but with direct routes and faster
    services better serving new residential and
    employment areas.

    45,000                                                                                                                                                                                                                 400

    40,000                                                                                                                                                                                                                 350
                                                                                                                                                                                                                    340

    35,000                                                                                                                                                                                                   317
                                                                                                                                                                                                                           300

    30,000                                                                                                                                                                                            270
                                                                                                                                                                                               258
                                                                                                                                                                                                                           250
                                                                                                                                                                                 244 246
                                                                                                                                                                          233
    25,000                                                                                                                                                         226
                                                                                                                                                            207
                                                                                                                                                                                                                           200
                                                                                                                                                     188
    20,000                                                                                                                                    176
                                                                                                                                       167
                                                                                                                                161
                                                                                                                         155                                                                                               150
                                                                                                                  144
    15,000                                                                                                 138

                                                                                      114
                                                                        95                                                                                                                                                 100
    10,000
                                                         76
                                  59
     5,000                 45                                                                                                                                                                                              50

        -     6                                                                                                                                                                                                            -
             1970

                    1980

                           1985

                                  1990

                                          1991

                                                  1992

                                                         1993

                                                                1994

                                                                        1995

                                                                               1996

                                                                                      1997

                                                                                             1998

                                                                                                    1999

                                                                                                           2000

                                                                                                                  2001

                                                                                                                         2002

                                                                                                                                2003

                                                                                                                                       2004

                                                                                                                                              2005

                                                                                                                                                     2006

                                                                                                                                                            2007

                                                                                                                                                                   2008

                                                                                                                                                                          2009

                                                                                                                                                                                 2010

                                                                                                                                                                                        2011

                                                                                                                                                                                               2012

                                                                                                                                                                                                      2013

                                                                                                                                                                                                             2014

                                                                                                                                                                                                                    2015

      Left-hand scale:            Bus            Tramway               Trolleybus            Underground                 Public inland waterway transport
      Right-hand scale:                  Cars per capita

    Source: National Research University, Higher School of Economics, Moscow, Russia.
    Note: Public transport passengers (left scale), modal split (graph) and car ownership, 1970-2015 (right scale) – Russia.

8           March 2019                                                                                                                           Driving change: reforming urban bus services
Why undertake bus sector reform?

Bus sector reform is needed when the existing             The increasing global trend to shift bus technology
low-regulation model becomes unsuited to the              from fossil fuel to electric powertrains will increase
requirements and expectations of the city and its         the need for bus sector reforms. Such bus fleet
residents and there is a desire to achieve significant    renewal schemes would require larger operational
improvement in the quality of bus services. This          platforms consistent with the new capital and
reform may be initiated by a major transport project,     resource requirements for such investments.
such as bus rapid transit (BRT) or light rail transit
(LRT), where major restructuring of the public            Bus sector reforms should seek to raise the game in
transport system is required to establish feeder and      urban transport services by restructuring how urban
secondary bus routes.                                     services are provided and, where possible, by pricing
                                                          in externalities. This is achieved through increased
Often a bus network has grown through evolution           sector regulation and introduction of more secure,
rather than purpose. In a planned situation, the          safe and low-emission transport. The aim is to support
network may have been appropriate to serve the            public transport as a credible alternative to car use,
needs of the city at the time of planning. As the city    improving the quality of life of all city inhabitants
grows and the needs of its population changes, often
the bus network remains static. In many cities, the
reaction has been to add routes to the bus network to
plug apparent deficiencies without revisiting the merit
of existing routes. This process of evolution has often
led to a large, outdated and ineffective network.

Such services are often added based on commercial
opportunity, following the rationale of profit
maximisation rather than level of service. This
results in further degradation of public operators
through unfair competition from a less restricted
private sector.

Motivation for reform most commonly originates from        Buses that are cramped, difficult to access and
either financial constraint or user discontentment.        uncomfortable are not good for people with
The former can be due to the escalating cost of            restricted or impaired mobility. Often the industry
subsidising bus services, together with an inability to    is not able to improve without coordination and
control such costs while maintaining service levels.       support.
The latter can result from protests about the quality,
                                                           Source: ITP.
cost or coverage of bus services. Further motivations
for reform can come from pollution and congestion
impacts (externalities) on the community, un
transparent practices or weak or unclear regulatory
capacity or incentives to perform.

Driving change: reforming urban bus services                                                     March 2019        9
Barriers to reform of the bus sector

Barriers to reform can be summarised into six main themes:

 1.	Resistance to change. A status quo, or           4.	Ownership of assets. The ownership of assets
     equilibrium, has been established that,              such as depots, stations, and vehicle fleets
     while not optimal, is meeting a need. The            can restrict opportunities for control over
     private sector may have found a means of             service provision and competition in the
     making a reasonable return and the public            market. Access to finance for new vehicles
     sector a means of providing services that            may create an inevitable reliance on existing
     provides a network of sorts. While the               service providers. Addressing such issues
     service providers might be well established,         requires understanding, engagement and
     this does not imply that users are content           strong commitment to change.
     or that the city is receiving the level of
     service it should from the bus network.          5.	Increased transparency and accountability.
                                                          Licensed bus services are often dominated by
 2.	Lack of funds. Improvement of bus services           cash-based payment systems, with resulting
     requires investment in the bus fleet and             lack of transparency on ticket receipts and
     facilities, may require funds for the reform         wage incomes. Companies may seek to
     process itself and may engage the city in            under-report income to reduce tax exposure.
     providing longer-term operational subsidies.         By introducing new operating contracts (for
     With often limited ability to increase fares         example, public service contracts (PSC)) and
     to compensate, cities need to engage new             electronic or automated fare collection (AFC),
     funds for the reform process, where little           reforms can impose new accounting standards
     has been committed previously.                       and fiscal obligations.

 3.	Appetite for risk. Change requires               6.	Conflicts of interest. Those that are
     determination and commitment from city               instrumental to the reform process might
     authorities, with an appetite to reform for          either gain or lose through the action of
     improvement. Inevitably this invokes risk.           reform. This might be the case where there is
     Risk may be political, affect relationships or       a strong public-sector operator or where an
     financial. It may be all three. The existence        authority currently gains income from licensing
     of risk reinforces the need for clear                processes. The reform process should ensure
     objectives and a planned and systematic              that any self-interest is moderated by the group
     approach. Reform is most successful where            and strong leadership retains commitment to
     there is a champion with sufficient influence        its primary goals.
     and commitment to engage stakeholders.

10   March 2019                                                    Driving change: reforming urban bus services
3. Understanding the bus sector
   and setting objectives
Before embarking on reform of the bus industry it                          Road fatalities in the EU, by transport mode
must be clear both what the current status is (and
who are the key stakeholders) and what is the desired
outcome of reform, in other words what the reform is
seeking to achieve.

Transport enables a city to support economic growth
and social wellbeing within a context of acceptable
environmental impact and financial and political
constraints. As such, the objectives set for transport
                                                                             Car 46.4%            Pedestrian 19.8.%          Motorcycle 17.9%
must relate to achieving either the strategic interests                      Bicycle 6.6.%        Tram 3.3%                  Bus 0.4.%
of the city or improving the wellbeing of its residents.
                                                                           Bus sector reforms are often a key tool for effective
Reform objectives must, therefore, support wider city                      implementation of a SUMP. Common objectives for
objectives with the specific role of public transport                      reform include:
defined relative to other transport modes. Where
public transport is dominant, or its role responds                         • Financial efficiency – to contain funding support
to wider objectives, then a more comprehensive                               by government and ensure affordability of services
approach for high levels of accessibility and                                for the users.
willingness to invest in the transport system is
needed. Where public transport is less dominant or                         • Environmental controls – to limit or reduce the
its intended role less emphasised, then reduced                              adverse effect of the transport system on the
targets for accessibility and service levels might                           environment in terms of emissions, noise, safety
be appropriate.                                                              or visual impact.

Such objectives are often set within a sustainable                         • Accessibility – to ensure transport is accessible to
urban mobility plan (SUMP)2 for the city. A SUMP                             all, including disadvantaged groups and mobility
aims to create an urban transport system by                                  impaired, and that communities are well served.
addressing, as a minimum, the following objectives:
                                                                           • Level of service – to improve quality of services
• Ensuring all residents are offered transport                               towards the needs and expectations of users. The
  options that enable access to key destinations                             nature and scale of current deficiencies should be
  and services.                                                              assessed and improvements balanced with the
                                                                             needs of financial affordability.
• Improving safety3 and security.
                                                                           Once objectives are set and agreed across all
• Reducing air and noise pollution, greenhouse gas                         stakeholders, a set of actions can be developed,
  emissions and energy consumption.                                        with full account taken of current conditions, usage
                                                                           and demand.
• Improving the efficiency and cost-effectiveness of
  the transportation of people and goods.                                    Imagine your city in 20 years: what would you want
                                                                             it to look like? A place where children can play
• Contributing to enhancing the attractiveness                               safely? Where the air is clean? Where you can
  and quality of the urban environment and urban                             walk to do your shopping? With lots of parks and
  design for the benefits of residents, and of the                           green space? Where businesses can prosper?
  economy and society as a whole.
                                                                             “The spirit of a SUMP”, taken from Developing and Implementing
                                                                             a Sustainable Urban Mobility Plan, European Commission 2013.
2
    Developing and Implementing a Sustainable Urban Mobility Plan, European Commission (2013). 3Road fatalities data, EU Care database (2011).

Driving change: reforming urban bus services                                                                              March 2019        11
MobiliseYourCity Partnership

  The MobiliseYourCity Partnership                        The Partnership is supported by its implementing
  (www.mobiliseyourcity.net) is a global and              partners: the French Environment and Energy
  inclusive network of cities and countries as well       Management Agency (ADEME), Agence Française
  as an umbrella alliance of European development         de Développement (AFD), Centre for Studies and
  partners to support the planning and delivery of        Expertise on Risks, the Environment, Mobility
  sustainable urban transport systems.
                                                          and Development (CEREMA), Coopération pour le
  The partnership assists beneficiary partners,           Développement et l’Amélioration des Transport
  namely local and national authorities, in preparing     Urbains et Périurbains (CODATU), the EBRD, GIZ,
  sustainable urban mobility plans (SUMPs) and,           Kreditanstalt für Wiederaufbau (KfW) and the
  where relevant, national urban mobility policies and    Wuppertal Institute for Climate, Environment and
  investment programmes (NUMPs), applying adapted         Energy. It contributes to the UN’s Agenda 2030,
  techniques in stakeholder engagement, impact            specifically Sustainable Development Goal (SDG)
  mitigation and evaluation and monitoring methods.       11: Make cities inclusive, safe, resilient and
  MobiliseYourCity provides sets of methodologies         sustainable.
  and toolkits and links beneficiaries to Communities
  of Practice exchanges and capacity development
  programmes to improve availability of funding
  support, including emerging green funding sources.

  The MobiliseYourCity Partnership is jointly co-
  financed by the MobiliseYourCity European
  Commission's Directorate-General for International
  Cooperation and Development, the French Ministry
  of Ecological and Solidarity-based Transition, the
  French Facility for Global Environment, and the
  German Federal Ministry for the Environment,
  Nature Conservation and Nuclear Safety.
                                                          Source: istockphoto.com

The status of the bus network                             networks, lack of information from private operators
                                                          can be a critical problem in reforming the bus
In most instances the known qualities of the bus          network. Developing efficient survey methods is
network relate to:                                        therefore critical in defining new networks, providing
                                                          credible network data for the reform process and
• number of buses per route, type, availability           allocating risks and subsidies.

• service level in terms of routing, hours of operation   Additional information needed to assess the bus
  and frequency                                           system includes:

• revenue per passenger type                              • passengers per line, per day

• operating costs.                                        • bus operating speeds

However, such information may only be available           • boarding and alighting by stop
from public operators or from systems with effective
ticketing and control systems. For poorly regulated       • origin-destination (for network restructuring)

12    March 2019                                                       Driving change: reforming urban bus services
• breakdown of operating cost                                 The state of regulation

• user perception of service level                            In many instances, the way in which public transport
                                                              is regulated responds to inherited legacy rather
• non-users’ expectation of service level that would          than current needs. In such cases, a critical review
  to attract them to use the network.                         is necessary, covering governance, regulation,
                                                              contractual arrangements and assessment of the role
Reliable data underpins the credibility of the                and authority of stakeholders and levels of influence.
reform process. Without it, restructuring of the bus          This should include the institutional capacity roles
network risks user discontent as new lines become             and relationships, of those within the bus system,
overcrowded or infrequent and fares are disputed.             including bus operators themselves.
Without it, negotiations with private operators are
biased in favour of the better informed and risks and         Understanding where planning and
subsidies poorly allocated, to the detriment of the city      regulating happens
and its residents. The pursuit of reform through lengthy
negotiation and change requires robust data collection,       While most cities have a transport planning unit
initiated during preparation of the reform plan and           within either a transport or engineering division, the
monitored and updated through the reform process.             resources allocated to public transport vary widely.
                                                              Institutional mapping will aid the understanding
In using such data, there needs to be a full awareness        of where decisions are made in the planning of
that purely observing movements within an existing            public transport networks, levels of integration
transport network does not necessarily constitute             with other city and national departments, budgets
underlying demand, but rather illustrates market              and resources allocated and the contracting and
reaction based on the supply of services. As a result,        monitoring of services.
latent or induced demand from new services may
often not be accounted for.

Understanding the network (mapping tools)

 New mapping tools provide an opportunity                  Such tools have enhanced bus network planning
 for cities to tackle the critical data deficiency,        (re Odessa below) and been applied for preparation
 especially for low regulatory systems.                    of bus route maps in Amman, Cairo and Cape Town,
                                                           among others.
 In many instances the true extent of the bus
 network may not be known either because a)
 routes are not monitored and are allowed to
 deviate from licensed routeing; b) licenses are
 not given; or c) exact routeing is not specified.
 In such instances digital mapping tools can
 be useful. Cell phone applications, such as
 TransitWand, can be used on vehicles to
 geocode routes, stopping places and boarding
 and alighting. This information can be converted
 into a general transit feed specification (GTFS)
 network for compatibility with route planning
 software. Care must be taken not to assume
 that network mapping information represents
 demand (see Chapter Four).                                Source: ITP.

Driving change: reforming urban bus services                                                         March 2019    13
Stakeholder mapping is a valuable exercise when             A city with a mature and integrated transport policy
existing resource and practices are insufficiently          may have an established public transport authority
known or when stakeholders’ roles frequently extend         (PTA) either as a dedicated unit or as a function within
outside their formal mandate, often as a result of          another department.
operational imperative.
                                                            The core tasks of a PTA generally comprise:
  Building a roadmap for Greater Cairo
  Transport Regulatory Authority (GCTRA)                    • planning of infrastructure and services to meet
                                                              transport demand, combined with the financial
 The GCTRA was established in 2012 as a public                planning of fare level and required subsidies
 transport authority to regulate, plan, monitor and
 assess performance of transportation in the Greater        • tendering, contracting and monitoring contracts
 Cairo region. However, its role and capacity has             with public transport operators under a regime
 remained limited and it needed to better define its          based on equal treatment for public and private
 priorities and actions within the sector, contribute         operators
 towards sector policy and development objectives
 and build the required funding and capacity.               • preparing improvements to public transport
                                                              system, for example infrastructure and service
 In order to achieve this, GCTRA is preparing a               expansions (metro, LRT, BRT, buses), ticketing
 roadmap and short-term action plan, based on                 systems (including AFC), integrated fares,
 comprehensive stakeholder mapping, as per the                passenger information)
 framework below.
                                                            • developing sustainable transport modes
 Mandates                  Capacities                         (public transport, soft modes for example, cycling
 Legal status              Funding                            and walking)
 Area                      Staffing
 Themes                    Departments in                   • promoting public transport and informing the
 Governance                planning, regulation,              public.
 Regulatory framework      project development
                                                            A GPS-based automated vehicle localisation
 Actions                   Stakeholders                     (AVL) system provides real-time data for improved
 Policies                  Public, private partners         operational management allowing both operators
 Development plans         User participation               and the authority to monitor performance. Installation
 Projects                  Communication                    of such a system could constitute a pre requisite for
 Operations                strategy, methods                subsidy payments and/or fleet renewal.

 The action plan will establish objectives and priorities
 to support, complement and, where necessary
 redefine, the role and efforts of stakeholders. The
 roadmap will provide for a staged development
 of GCTRA, initially focused on developing priority
 actions, a coordination framework to pool resources
 for delivery and building capacity and recognition of
 the organisation

 The assignment is supported by the EBRD and
 implemented by consultants ITP (UK) and InfraOne
 (Egypt). Adoption of the plan is anticipated in Q2 2019.
 Source: EBRD.

14   March 2019                                                         Driving change: reforming urban bus services
Figure 4: Key functions of an urban public                 Understanding the market (operators)
transport authority
                                                           How the operating market is structured needs to
                    Management                             be understood; for any public sector operator, what
                                                           role do they play and what support do they receive;
                                                           for private operators, their scale and composition,
                                                           operating and business practices and the extent to
  Planning         Projects            Contracting         which their obligations are different to those of the
                   •C
                     ommunication
                                                           public operator. Moreover, the financial realities of
  • T ransport                        •P
                                         rocurement
     planning                                              operations need to be understood prior to reforms
                   • Bus rapid        •M
                                         onitoring
                                                           and prior to any commitment to offer financial
  •F
    inancial         transit
                                                           support through Government funding or otherwise.
   planning        • Smart card
                   •P
                     assenger                              UITP working group on informal transport
                    information
                                                            The International Public Transport Union (UITP)
                                                            launched their “Working Group on Formalisation or
Understanding the market (users)                            Corporatisation of Informal or Individually Operated
                                                            Public Transport” at the UITP MENA congress and
Public transport users are not a homogenous group.          exhibition in April 2018, with representatives of
However, while diverse in terms of their status and         public transport regulators, operators and industry
needs, they may only be offered a single service type       from 11 different countries. The working group has
(for example a standard bus or minibus). Various            the following main objectives:
user groups may be granted concession fares,
allowing them to travel at reduced rates or for free.       • Steering UITP activities on the relevant topic at
Such social policy seeks to meet affordability needs          the global level.
or recognise the contribution to society of certain
groups (civil service, war veterans and so on). The         • Facilitating networking and exchange between
affordability of concession fares for the city authority      members on formalisation.
will depend on how well they target social need while
maintaining the efficiency of the transport network         • Compiling, developing and building
as a whole.                                                   international knowledge.

Public transport users can also be diverse according        • Benchmarking projects and experiences.
to their income, with consequential differing
willingness to accept higher fares in return for            • Focusing on current issues, analysing and
improved services. Where objectives relate to                 promoting innovations.
reducing car use, there may be a need to consider
higher service levels for users who may otherwise           • Stimulating debates and interactions.
choose to travel by car, where current service
standards are considered to be insufficient.                • Preparing advocacy arguments and positions.

The need to understand the views, needs and                 The group will aim to share knowledge and provide
responses of public transport users is fundamental          coordination and integration of solutions to
and requires effective and regular market                   informal transport. UITP also developed a three-day
consultation and surveys.                                   capacity-building programme on the formalisation
                                                            of informal transport to support its members.
                                                            Source: Kaan Yıldızgöz (UITP).

Driving change: reforming urban bus services                                                     March 2019       15
As private operators are driven by profit, their         Where new operators are sought, there needs to be a
prevalence is an indicator of commercial opportunity,    definition of the market opportunity and the proposed
and often due to the lack or insufficiency of services   relationship between new and existing operators.
by the public operator. Changes to the bus network
or to the means by which public transport is organised   One key element of successful bus sector reform is
or contracted will therefore have an impact on           to understand the financial realities of the affected
existing operators.                                      bus industry. It is thus indispensable to analyse the
                                                         financial context of bus operations. This important
There will be inherent resistance to change because      step should build the basis for any financial
it threatens profits and the current business model      decision by the government, especially during the
of operators. In such cases, the authorities must        development of financial support mechanisms.
understand in detail their business’s environment,       For an example of relevant steps to be taken
financial position, legal requirements, motivations      by government to develop a financial support
and business plans and practices, in order to define     mechanism, see Annex 1 Public Transport
reform strategies which offer workable solutions and     Reform, Philippines.
opportunities to enable enough operators to support
the change process.

Figure 5. Understanding the market: users and operators

                     Users                                           Operators

     Needs                                           Existing operators

     • Income                                        • impacts on profit

     • Dependents                                    • impacts on opportunities for expansion

     • Commute                                       • Impacts on reliability of patronage
                                                       (competition)
     • Vulnerable groups (concessions,
       accessibility
                                                     New operators

     Willingness to pay                              • Relationship to existing operators

     • Shorter waiting times                         • Competition

     • Higher comfort                                • Consolidation of exisiting operators into
                                                       new bodies
     • Faster journey times

16     March 2019                                                    Driving change: reforming urban bus services
Market consultation and surveys

Effective and consistent consultation is essential                         Data collection using traditional paper-based methods.
to determine the principal drivers and nature of
the reform.                                                                Such surveys can provide a credible basis for
                                                                           assessment of user expectations, gauge public
User preferences can be assessed using user                                acceptability for reform components and priorities
surveys, for example:                                                      and willingness to pay for service improvements.
                                                                           This provides vital input to the definition of the path of
• Passenger surveys, at bus stops/terminals and/                           reform and its overall objectives and timeline.
  or onboard buses to determine travel patterns
  and preferences.                                                         Operators can be consulted through one-to-
                                                                           one interviews and/or operator and stakeholder
• Tariff surveys and stated preference surveys4                            workshops. Depending on the nature and scale of the
  to assess acceptance of tariff increase or                               proposed new operating contracts and, this exercise
  adjustment for service improvements.                                     should be tailored to interested operators at a local,
                                                                           regional and/or international level.
• Satisfaction surveys, to assess the level of
  appreciation for various components of
  existing services (for example cost, regularity,
  punctuality, cleanliness, driver behaviour and
  so on).

• User focus groups to determine user expectations
  and priorities for network development and service
  quality, as well as suggestions for improvement.

4
    Stated preference surveys request the respondents’ preference to a series of alternative options for service improvement, with corresponding
outcomes. It is frequently used to establish the ‘willingness to pay’ of users for a given service improvement.

Driving change: reforming urban bus services                                                                              March 2019        17
Figure 6. Smart data collection method

          GPS                                     GPRS/3G                     Internet
                                                                                                O-D Data server
                                                                                                Geo-spatial database
                                                                                                including O-D survey
                                                                           Web server           metadata

                                                                                 APIs
     O-D Capture app
     Core editable Qs:
                                                    O-D Data review                     O-D Visualiser
     • O&D
                                                    • Track survey progress             • Data binned by location
     • Mode used
                                                    • Real-time                         • Simple averages
     • Purpose
                                                    • Simple view/download of           • CSV + GeoJson download
     • Responses batched
                                                      raw data
     • OTA upload

       Using smartphones and tablets to capture data and web analysis tools can increase accuracy,
                                   reduce cost and improve analysis.

Source: ITP data collection and network analysis methodology for Manila.

The nature of potential future operators in the
reformed bus market is an essential component
in determining the shape, scale and time frame for
reform. Reform can only succeed if there are actors
available to deliver the required level and quality of
services in the reformed market. Understanding
which operating market should be targeted is a
critical part of the reform strategy and a source of
constant referral and revisit throughout the process.

18     March 2019                                                              Driving change: reforming urban bus services
4. The process of reform
Roles and responsibilities                                                 • providing the necessary infrastructure such as
                                                                             bus stops, separate busways and terminals
In contexts where city authorities provide strong
engagement and funding of public transport                                 • negotiating with and subcontracting operators
and benefit from mature operating markets, the                               for routes or route packages
organisational model of public transport is
generally the following:5                                                  • monitoring and controlling the performance of
                                                                             such operators.
"A combination of transport authority planning
and control of public transport services on the                            Bus services can be provided by public or private
one hand and competition between independent                               operators or a mix of both, according to operational
operators for the operation of public transport                            and strategic requirements, national regulation
services on the other has the strongest merit."                            and local context. Routes or route packages allow
                                                                           operators to compete for the route. The operators
Moreover, publicly owned operators are generally                           able to satisfy quality requirements and offer the
allowed within the competitive market, provided                            most economically advantageous tender will be
they operate under the same conditions as private                          awarded a contract for a given
operators, ie under a ‘level playing field’ for all                        period of time.
market players.6
                                                                           While in larger cities a transport authority may
Public sector and private sector responsibilities                          function as a separate entity, in many cities it sits
                                                                           within an existing city department. However, its
At the heart of bus sector reforms are the definition                      function is more important than its location.
of new roles, responsibilities and contract
arrangements for public and private operators. This                        As bus services reform, it will be necessary
often includes the creation of a transport authority                       for the city to consider taking on some of the
role either with the city or as an autonomous entity,                      responsibilities for the new fleet and infrastructure
with responsibility for:                                                   and ensuring financial sustainability for operations.
                                                                           This particularly relates to those tasks shown in
• planning the route network                                               the shared portion of Figure 7.

Figure 7. Principal responsibilities of public and private sector

       Public sector responsibilities                                                                          Private sector
       • Provision of infrastructure                                                                        responsibilities
          (bus stops separate busways and                   • Depot provision                              Vehicle maintenance •
          terminals)                                                                                             Route operation •
                                                            • Infrastructure maintenance
       • Planning the route network                                                                       Train & employ drivers •
                                                            • Provision of vehicles
       • Monitoring and control
                                                            • Revenue collection
       • Contracting

5 
    European Union research project, ISOTOPE, (Improved Structure and Organisation for urban transport operations of passengers in Europe)
    completed in 1997 and follow up project MARETOPE (Managing and Assessing Regulatory Evolution in Local Public Transport Operations in Europe).
6
    As clarified by European Commission and regulated under EU 1370/2007.

Driving change: reforming urban bus services                                                                              March 2019         19
Defining the new bus system                              data, data from mobility providers (such as Uber) or
                                                         ticketing data.
Reform of a bus sector is best implemented on
an optimised network, in order to produce good           Financial optimisation
outcomes for the user and address key elements
of poor-quality service. The new bus network will        Financial optimisation is required where:
generally require two main reform components
or stages:                                               • the relationship between revenue and operating
                                                           cost (cost recovery) is insufficient, often resulting in
• First, an optimised network (routes and service          high subsidy levels
  levels) should be defined, based on travel patterns
  (origin-destination) of bus users. Optimisation can    • compensation payments and other financial flows
  be related to routes or financial performance but        are not reliably and predictably made, resulting in
  ideally should be a combination of both.                 high commercial risk and investment backlog.

• Secondly, integration of services, combining           • Financial optimisation comprises tariff policy,
  route and tariff integration, is the ultimate step       including fares and concessions. However, fare policy
  of combining several service lines into a single,        is often a highly sensitive political issue for the city
  attractive transport offer to the user.                  and the appropriate policy must balance the need
                                                           for cost recovery and operational sustainability with
Route optimisation                                         the conflicting political sensitivities and imperatives.
                                                           The most appropriate fare policies balance such
A bus network that is not periodically evaluated will      needs by containing fare levels to ensure sustained
develop inefficiencies as the city changes and the         passenger levels while offering concession fares to
needs of the residents and users of the city alter.        certain groups of the population, such as low-income
Network inefficiencies relate to the supply of bus         groups, the elderly or children.
services failing to meet the demands of the travelling
public. This optimisation requires study of mobility
patterns and modal choice preferences. Moreover,
care must be taken not to assume that high bus
passenger levels necessarily equate to demand
being satisfied, as bus trips may have already been
distorted by an existing network which no longer
matches demand.

Route optimisation may also have to adjust to new
congestion patterns and infrastructure availability
(road lanes, bus stops and so on) to adjust the route
network and locate bus priority corridors.

Understanding of the network, for both supply and
demand, will be greatly assisted by modelling tools,
based on a comprehensive and up-to-date data set.
Such tools may have been produced as part of a
SUMP, notably a multi-modal assignment model. If
this does not exist, other assessment techniques
can be used through collection of route-based
boarding-alighting data, harvesting mobile phone

20    March 2019                                                     Driving change: reforming urban bus services
Formalisation and corporatisation of informal or individual public transport operators in Turkey

 Municipalities throughout Turkey have increasingly sought to address deteriorating services manifested by the
 deformation and concentration of public transport lines in the city centre, poor safety, comfort or social security
 standards, poor driving behaviour, no data for evaluation and planning, no transfers or service integration and
 low tax revenues.

 The reform model on the next page illustrates the steps for transfer of responsibilities from individual ownership
 to institutional (corporate) bus operations, suitable for high-quality bus services. It was mainly developed for
 Turkey but is applicable more broadly.

 From individual to institutional

  Institutional       Institutional      Institutional      Institutional          Institutional           Institutional
   Rationalisation    Rationalisation     Rationalisation    Rationalisation        Rationalisation         Rationalisation

     Line pool           Line pool             Line pool        Line pool               Line pool              Line pool

   Revenue pool        Revenue pool       Revenue pool        Revenue pool           Revenue pool            Revenue pool

     Cost pool           Cost pool             Cost pool        Cost pool              Cost pool               Cost pool

     Fleet pool          Fleet pool         Fleet pool          Fleet pool             Fleet pool              Fleet pool

     Staff pool          Staff pool            Staff pool       Staff pool             Staff pool              Staff pool

    Rights pool         Rights pool        Rights pool         Rights pool            Rights pool             Rights pool

    Personal            Personal           Personal           Personal                Personal                Personal

    Association         Umbrella
     chamber            company                                                                             Company

      Owner                                                                                                 Partner
     operator                                                                                           Share holder

  The reforms were applied differently by                   • Keyseri: individual operators, gross cost
  municipalities in response to their particular local        contracts, route restructuring.
  context:
                                                            • Sanliurfa: municipal company, buses rented
  • Istanbul: five companies, shares by licence               from individuals (fixed rental value); former
    holders; individually owned public buses; gross           drivers recruited by company.
    cost contract (eight years); bus maintenance
    facility provided by authority.                         The principal lessons learned from the reform
                                                            process were: take a step by step approach;
  • Edime: operator cooperative: biennial elections         start with electronic fare collection first; there is
    of operator representatives to management               no single formula; start with the most organised
    board; management contract with each                    group; each step may turn up a new problem; non-
    bus owner/licence holder; resource pooling              technical aspects are important and participation
    (revenues, vehicles, staff, costs, new bus              is key.
    purchases); restructured bus network.                   Source: Kaan Yıldızgöz (UITP) and Erhan Öncü (U-Art).

Driving change: reforming urban bus services                                                                March 2019        21
Route integration                                         prioritise affordability and maximise patronage.
                                                          Through the development of a SUMP, fare elasticity
Free flowing transport systems may require little         may have been considered, possibly using simple
service integration as buses can travel where             stated preference surveys to test user sensitivity to
demand is highest and point-to-point services can         proposed fare changes with corresponding levels of
operate with minimal constraint. However, as cities       service. Even if current fares sit well within the realms
expand, objectives change and/or operators are not        of affordability, increases may be met with opposition.
effectively meeting user need they may require larger     Any fare increases must thus be treated sensitively
bus fleets to transport passengers. Services may          and form part of the communication plan for the bus
become increasingly constrained by congestion             sector reform.
and pollution externalities, requiring increased
service management.                                       Tariff integration is the key element of service
                                                          integration for the user, neutralising the cost related
Service integration responds to these constraints         to changing bus or transport mode during the journey
by focusing on overall journey patterns of transport      and thus encouraging choice of the most efficient
users and combining travels into several trips. This      combination of routes, rather than with the fewest
is notably applicable for multi-model transport with      changes. This can be achieved in two main stages:
high-volume corridors, and dedicated corridors for
rail and bus rapid transit, with a hierarchy of           Combined fares, where a reduced fare, normally
secondary and feeder bus lines.                           with single ticket, is offered for a journey comprising
                                                          more than one mode or bus. These are often formed
Tariff setting and integration                            by simple agreement between two operators for
                                                          mutual ticket acceptance with an agreement for
Tariff policy is a compromise between cost recovery       redistribution mechanism on monies received. This
of providing services and affordability for users. A      could comprise, for example, “metro plus bus” tickets
further dynamic is the application of societal policies   for metro feeder routes.
to subsidise some types of user such as children,
elderly, students and so on. Through the reform           Integrated fares, where several trip combinations
process, it is important not to penalise existing         can be made with the same ticket for the same
users or compromise the potential to attract new          fare, notably tariff zones, time-based tickets and
users by setting the tariff too high. A commercial        hopper fares (free transfer). This requires a more
approach may seek to set fares according to revenue       comprehensive agreement, usually through operator
maximisation, whereas a societal approach will            association or with the city, for recognised ticket types
                                                          and redistribution of fares, often on passenger or
                                                          vehicle-kilometre basis.

                                                          Tariff integration often provides the route to service
                                                          integration, by reducing or eliminating the financial
                                                          penalty for changing transport mode or bus and
                                                          thus better aligning user payments to the level of
                                                          service received.

                                                          A key tool for tariff integration and development of
                                                          adaptable ticket fares are automated fare collection
                                                          (AFC) systems, widely used in larger cities and towns,
                                                          often implemented with real-time information (RTI)
Source: ITP.                                              and bus fleet management systems for effective user
Collecting fares in cash is slow, opens potential         information and fleet management. To understand
for fare leakage and robbery.

22     March 2019                                                     Driving change: reforming urban bus services
more about preparation and implementation of AFC           or initial equity participation in the new operator, if
systems, the reader is referred to the EBRD Policy         required by the market or the reform process itself.
Paper “On the move: delivering automated fare              Such a contribution from the city could anticipate, for
collection” available at www.ebrd.com (see page 43).       example, gradual phasing out of existing operators
                                                           with parallel buyback by operators from the equity
Adoption of an AFC system can have additional,             stake of the city.
non-tariff benefits such as:
                                                           Ownership and equity participation in the operator
• creating an extensive user database, which is highly     setup thus needs to consider the optimal balance
  informative for operational and network planning         between three main actors in the new bus services:

• collecting user information, both real time and          • the city (and/or public agencies)
  post journey, and user feedback tools improves the
  passenger experience                                     • existing operators (operators displaced by the
                                                             new services)
• improving safety by the removal of on-board
  cash collection                                          • new operators (with requisite operational experience).

• providing a platform to expand Mobility as a             This operator setup should consider the optimal
  Service (MaaS) functionality.                            balance between such actors at each stage of
                                                           the reform process, considering that the reform
Defining a new operating model                             period may require a transition period to establish
                                                           the company and bus operations, ensure risks are
Efficient bus services require fixed infrastructure to     manageable and allow the operators to develop the
provide regular and quality services. This notably         technical and financial ability to assume operators
includes depots for maintenance and stabling,              independently. The participation of city in the
requiring available land sites with suitable road          company may be considered through this transition
access. Moreover, development of higher capacity           phase, to ensure alignment of city actions, such as
bus routes on priority bus corridors (or bus rapid         land for depots, bus priorities, leasing of buses etc, for
transit) require higher levels of street infrastructure.   efficient provision of services and allow subsequent
Such infrastructure comprises strategic assets for         release of equity to new operating owners.
the bus system and imposes economies of scale
(fleet size, workforce and so on) for operations.          The balance of existing and new operators should
Consideration of such fixed assets is critical in          principally be an operational and market-driven
determining efficient company size and related form        assessment, to ensure the required skills are
and scope of contract.                                     provided in the new structure, the operators are
                                                           sufficiently represented and incentivised and, most
Improving bus services may require skills outside          importantly, that the new operations are sufficiently
of the local market and bringing in regional or            aligned with market expectations to ensure efficient
international expertise. However, this consideration       tender response.
must accompany engagement with the local market
to provide opportunity to participate in the new
operations, where possible.

Moreover, the nature of reform, the risks and timeline
involved may require direct participation of the city
in bus operations, by providing or facilitating new
operating assets, such as the depot and fleet, and/

Driving change: reforming urban bus services                                                      March 2019      23
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