Follow-up for Positive COVID-19 Cases and their Close Contacts

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Follow-up for Positive COVID-19 Cases and their Close Contacts
Follow-up for Positive COVID-19
 Cases and their Close Contacts
             Tools for LBOHs
                         April 6, 2021

        Hillary Johnson, MHS, Infectious Disease Epidemiologist
       Scott Troppy, MPH, PMP, CIC, Surveillance Epidemiologist
    Alexandra DeJesus, MPH, CIC, Infectious Disease Epidemiologist
         Bureau of Infectious Disease and Laboratory Sciences
                    MA Department of Public Health
Follow-up for Positive COVID-19 Cases and their Close Contacts
Updates for today, Tuesday, 4/6/2021
▪ Variant’s of Concern Review with Dr. Catherine Brown
▪ LBOH Immediate Workflow – COVID-19 event only – please
  check your workflow TODAY and clear out the workflow
▪ LBOH Confirmed and Probable Report and the LBOH
  Notification for Immediate Disease (COVID only) Workflow
 ▪ Currently report is configured to run off of Event Date
 ▪ Updating MAVEN to address SARS-Coronavirus2 RdRp gene test so
   it will populate first positive specimen date in the Clinical QP#3
▪ On-Call Stats – March #’s                                             2
Follow-up for Positive COVID-19 Cases and their Close Contacts
COVID Variants of Concern
        MAVEN Users Webinar
         Dr. Catherine Brown
             April 6, 2021
Follow-up for Positive COVID-19 Cases and their Close Contacts
SARS-CoV-2 Variants
• Variant Classification Scheme
  • Variant of interest - A variant with specific genetic markers that have been associated with
    changes to receptor binding, reduced neutralization by antibodies generated against previous infection or
    vaccination, reduced efficacy of treatments, potential diagnostic impact, or predicted increase in transmissibility or
    disease severity.
       • Examples: B.1.526 and B.1.525 – New York, P.2 – Brazil

  • Possible attributes of a variant of interest:
       • Specific genetic markers that are predicted to affect transmission, diagnostics, therapeutics, or immune escape
       • Evidence that demonstrates it is the cause of an increased proportion of cases or unique outbreak clusters
       • Limited prevalence or expansion in the US or in other countries

      https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/cases-updates/variant-surveillance/variant-info.html
Follow-up for Positive COVID-19 Cases and their Close Contacts
SARS-CoV-2 Variants
• Variant Classification Scheme
  • Variant of concern - A variant for which there is evidence of an increase in transmissibility, more
    severe disease (increased hospitalizations or deaths), significant reduction in neutralization by antibodies generated
    during previous infection or vaccination, reduced effectiveness of treatments or vaccines, or diagnostic detection
    failures.
      • Examples: B.1.1.7 (UK), B.1.351 (South Africa), P.1 (Brazil)
      • Newly added: B.1.427 and B.1.429 – California
  • Possible attributes of a variant of concern:
      • Evidence of impact on diagnostics, treatments, and vaccines
      • Widespread interference with diagnostic test targets
      • Evidence of substantially increased resistance to one or more class of therapies
      • Evidence of significant decreased neutralization by antibodies generated during previous infection or
        vaccination
      • Evidence of reduced vaccine-induced protection from severe disease
      • Evidence of increased transmissibility
      • Evidence of increased disease severity

     https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/cases-updates/variant-surveillance/variant-info.html
Follow-up for Positive COVID-19 Cases and their Close Contacts
SARS-CoV-2 Variants
• Variant Classification Scheme
   • Variant of high consequence -                           A variant of high consequence has clear evidence that
     prevention measures or medical countermeasures (MCMs) have significantly reduced effectiveness relative to
     previously circulating variants.
       • None at this time
   • Possible attributes of a variant of high consequence:
       • Impact on Medical Countermeasures (MCM)
       • Demonstrated failure of diagnostics
       • Evidence to suggest a significant reduction in vaccine effectiveness, a disproportionately high number of
         vaccine breakthrough cases, or very low vaccine-induced protection against severe disease
       • Significantly reduced susceptibility to multiple Emergency Use Authorization (EUA) or approved therapeutics
       • More severe clinical disease and increased hospitalizations
   • A variant of high consequence would require notification to WHO under the International Health
     Regulations, reporting to CDC, an announcement of strategies to prevent or contain transmission, and
     recommendations to update treatments and vaccines.

     https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/cases-updates/variant-surveillance/variant-info.html
Follow-up for Positive COVID-19 Cases and their Close Contacts
Follow-up for Positive COVID-19 Cases and their Close Contacts
MA: 712
Follow-up for Positive COVID-19 Cases and their Close Contacts
MA: 58

MA: 12
Follow-up for Positive COVID-19 Cases and their Close Contacts
Variant Cases by Specimen Collection Date
60

50

40

                                                 P.1
30
                                                 B.1.351
                                                 B.1.1.7
20

10

0
60

50

40

30   P.1
     B.1.351
20   B.1.1.7

10

0
SEX      Count
Female        511
Male          516
Transgender    1
Grand Total   1028
Where we are right now
    • B.1.1.7
       • Community transmission
       • Individual investigation not necessary
    • B.1.351
       • Remain very rare
       • Individual investigation helpful
            • Ask about recent travel or contact with someone with recent travel
    • P.1
       • Most common on Barnstable County – community
         transmission
       • Individual investigation helpful outside of Barnstable
            • Ask about recent travel or contact with someone with recent trave
Sequencing/Variant Surveillance
                • Massachusetts
                     • State Public Health Laboratory (200 samples/week)
                     • Broad

                     • BU/NEIDL – all positive cases from BU and certain cases from BMC
                • Nationally
                     •   LabCorp
                     •   Quest
                     •   Helix/Illumina
                     •   Aegis
                     •   CDC
                • 10 days to 2 week time lag for sequencing results (from specimen
                  collection date)

 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/transmission/variant-cases.html
https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/cases-updates/variant-surveillance/genomic-surveillance-dashboard.html
https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/cases-updates/variant-proportions.html
Estimated proportion of variants in jurisdictions
reporting > 300 sequences for the 4 week time
period ending 3/13/2021
 State B.1.1.7 Variant P.1 Variant   B.1.351 Variant   B.1.427/B.1.429
  FL       34.5%          1.2%            0.3%               9.4%
  MI       39.0%          0.1%            0.1%               7.2%
  CA       10.3%          0.7%            0.1%              56.1%
  MA       18.6%          1.4%            0.2%               3.6%
  GA       22.1%                          0.2%               4.8%
  MN       25.5%                          0.2%              10.9%
  MD       20.4%                          1.6%               4.0%
  CO       16.6%                          0.3%              25.9%
  PA       14.1%                          0.3%               4.8%
  TX       25.2%          0.1%            0.2%               8.0%

• Utilizes CDC and national vendor sequence data only
    • less prone to collection bias
• Stable at the national level, less stable at smaller geographic levels
• Modeling-based estimates currently in development
• Conversations with CDC, APHL and CSTE about
    • Right-sizing surveillance
    • Metadata to indicate reason for sequencing
COUNTY            B.1.1.7   B.1.351   P.1   Grand Total
BARNSTABLE
                    35                63        98
COUNTY
BERKSHIRE
                    3                           3
COUNTY
BRISTOL COUNTY     36                 2         38
ESSEX COUNTY       177        3       6        186
FRANKLIN COUNTY     3                           3
HAMPDEN
                    17        1                 18
COUNTY
HAMPSHIRE
                    11                          11
COUNTY
MIDDLESEX
                   183        5       7        195
COUNTY
NORFOLK COUNTY     130        1                131
PLYMOUTH
                    65                3         68
COUNTY
SUFFOLK COUNTY     197        2                199
WORCESTER
                   117                1        118
COUNTY
Grand Total        974        12      82       1068
                                                          Courtesy of the Viral Genomics Lab at the Broad

          Comments from the Viral Genomics Lab at the Broad re: P.1
          •   Indicates 5 distinct importations into MA
          •   44/52 genomes – transmission cluster
          •   4 cases which link closely to 2 cases in Nebraska
          •   1 case links closely to Italian genomes
          •   Data suggest additional undetected P.1 cases
                • Requires additional genomic and epidemiologic work
Sequencing
• Surveillance
   • Random sample
   • Understand what is happening in our communities
• Reinfections and vaccine breakthrough
   • Understand extent of impact
Ongoing work
• Cluster investigations in Barnstable County with LBOH and CTC
• Contributing specimens to CDC for random sampling of variants in
  MA
• Collaborating with Broad CRSP and Viral Genomics to sequence more
  specimens
   • Randomly
   • Outbreak investigation
• Participating in national discussions on
   • right-sizing surveillance
   • Electronic laboratory reporting of variant results
MAVEN 4/5/21 - Updates for Variant’s
COVID-19 Variant’s of Concern
 ▪ Added variable to capture if specimens were sequenced
   and a new variant was identified (Variant of Concern) in
   SARS events [MAEDSS-13037]
  ▪ Added question to the Clinical Question Package and COVID Wizard
     ▪ Not editable by local users
  ▪ If question is answered as Yes users will need to review lab data to
    see which variant has been sequenced
  ▪ Information will be updated on an ongoing basis in the question
    package
  ▪ Added to the LBOH Confirmed and Probable Report
COVID Confirmed and Probable Report

                                      22
First Positive Specimen Date – Antigen Test

                                              23
First Positive Specimen Date – PCR Test

                                          24
On-Call Events, MAVEN Help Desk &
   COVID-19 Weekly Webinars
             Statistics

            March 2021 Report

                Reed Sherrill, Surveillance Epidemiologist
        Scott Troppy, MPH, PMP, CIC, Surveillance Epidemiologist
         Bureau of Infectious Disease and Laboratory Sciences
                    MA Department of Public Health
MAVEN User Requests & Training
     3/1/2020 - 4/5/2021
Status                                                                                     Count
Pending Users                                                                            108
Processed Users                                                                         2,086
Total New Users Trained Or In Process                                                   2,194
Total MAVEN Users                                                                       1,690*
Pending = User has submitted a URF and is in the training process
Processed = Trained internal and external staff with VG MAVEN accounts created and MAVEN accounts created by
ISIS staff and then access granted appropriate access.
Total MAVEN Users = Includes MDPH, LBOH, CTC, Higher Ed, Infection Prevention and other trained staff
*Total New Users Trained/in process exceeds total MAVEN users due to retraining and/or individuals coming
offline and back on again
                                                                                                                                 26

                                                                           *these data are accurate as of 4/5/2021 at 10:30AM.
MAVEN On-Call Events
         3/1/2021 – 3/31/2021
Program Area                                           Count
Division of Global Populations                         11
Epidemiology                                          170
Immunization (COVID-19)                              1598
Immunization (non-COVID-19)                            51
Informatics and Surveillance (ISIS)                    74
STD                                                     3
Total On-Call MAVEN Events                           1,907
                                                                                          27

                                      *these data are accurate as of 3/6/2021 at 6:30PM
MAVEN On-Call Events
         3/1/2020 – 3/31/2021
Program Area                                           Count
Division of Global Populations                       154
Epidemiology                                        3,725
Immunization (COVID-19)                             37,744
Informatics and Surveillance (ISIS)                 2,327
STD                                                   23
Total On-Call MAVEN Events                          43,973
                                                                                           28

                                      *these data are accurate as of 4/5/2021 at 10:30AM
For Reference what our call volume
        usually looks like….
      Year        Total On-Call Events
                        Created
      2015               6,739
      2016              12,830
      2017              12,605
      2018               9,296
      2019              10,652
      2020              40,029
                                                                             29
      2021               6,384
                        *these data are accurate as of 4/5/2021 at 10:30AM
MAVEN Help Desk Emails
  3/15/2020 – 3/31/2021
       Month               Count
    March 2020             2,383
     April 2020            7,816
     May 2020              7,603
     June 2020             6,602
     July 2020             5,231
    August 2020            6,280
  September 2020           5,313
    October 2020          9,587
  November 2020           12,225
  December 2020           13,273
    January 2021          11,727
   February 2021          8,244
                                                                             30
     March 2021           8,977
Total Emails received    105,261
                        *these data are accurate as of 4/5/2021 at 10:30AM
Tuesday and Friday Webinars
for COVID-19 Investigations/Follow-up
 lead by Hillary Johnson and Scott Troppy

                                            31
Tuesday’s Webinar Attendance, 2020
                                                                3/24/2020 – 12/22/2020
1000
                                                                                                                                                                                                      910
 900

 800

 700

 600                                      575 570

            501                     515
 500              475                               474         466
                              455
                        432
                                                          394         395 403
                                                                                                                                375                                                             389         392 409
 400                                                                                                                                                      352 344                                                     350
                                                                                331                                                                                                   333 348
                                                                                                            313 323                   315                                 323
                                                                                            286                       290 303               275 292 284
                                                                                                                                                                    302         296
 300                                                                                  265         254 272

 200
       93
 100

  0

                                                                                                                                                                                                                            32
Friday’s Webinar Attendance, 2020
                                          4/8/2020 – 12/18/2020
600

500                           468         481
      432         419               422
                                                      398
400                                             374
                        356
            309                                             309
                                                                  288   275
300
                                                                                                                                                     243
                                                                                                                                         221               212
                                                                                                                                   196         196
200                                                                                                                          161
                                                                                                           148
                                                                                         107   120   122
                                                                              92   104                           104   105
100

 0

      *4/8 was a special Wednesday Introductory Contact Tracing Training
      **9/18 started Friday DPH Office Hours (webinar live question session)
                                                                                                                                                                 33
Tuesday’s Webinar Attendance, 2021
                         1/5/2021 – 3/30/2021
500   466
                                                                              447
450
                        391                                             402
400               379         369                                 379
            328                     338         338   329   345
350
300
250                                       235
200
150
100
 50
  0

                                                                                    34
Friday’s Webinar Attendance, 2021
                         1/8/2021 – 3/26/2021
200
             182                                                         181
180
                   174
      164                                                    160
160                             149   150                          155
                          137                    138
140                                                    124
120
100                                         83
 80
 60
 40
 20
  0

                                                                               35
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