Frédéric Leroy Vrije Universiteit Brussels - Red meat: facing the challenges of the post-truth era - Red Meat Sector Conference

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Frédéric Leroy Vrije Universiteit Brussels - Red meat: facing the challenges of the post-truth era - Red Meat Sector Conference
Frédéric Leroy
      Vrije Universiteit Brussels
Red meat: facing the challenges
     of the post-truth era
Frédéric Leroy Vrije Universiteit Brussels - Red meat: facing the challenges of the post-truth era - Red Meat Sector Conference
July 29th, RED MEAT SECTOR CONFERENCE, CHRISTCHURCH, NEW ZEALAND

                                   Red meat: facing the challenges of the post-truth era
Research Group of Industrial Microbiology
and Food Biotechnology
Prof. Dr. ir. Luc De Vuyst                                          Prof. dr. ir. Frédéric       LEROY
Prof. Dr. ir. Frédéric Leroy
Prof. Dr. Stefan Weckx
Frédéric Leroy Vrije Universiteit Brussels - Red meat: facing the challenges of the post-truth era - Red Meat Sector Conference
Foodscapes are getting surreal/hyperreal

      Food.                            The future of food?
                                                        Water, Mung Bean Protein
                                                        Isolate, Expeller-Pressed Canola
                                                    ?   Oil, Contains less than 2% of
                                                        Dehydrated Onion, Gellan Gum,
                                                        Natural Carrot Extractives
                                                        (color), Natural Flavors, Natural
                                                        Turmeric Extractives (color),
                                                        Potassium Citrate, Salt, Soy
                                                        Lecithin, Sugar, Tapioca Syrup,
                                                        Tetrasodium Pyrophosphate,
                                                        Transglutaminase, Nisin
                                “Egg-free”              (preservative). (Contains soy.)

 Solid nutrition,                      Flimsy nutrition,
 in a flimsy shell.                    in a solid bottle.
Frédéric Leroy Vrije Universiteit Brussels - Red meat: facing the challenges of the post-truth era - Red Meat Sector Conference
The case of post-modern meat

     Food.                      The future of food?

   According to                According to
   most people.                a loud minority.
Frédéric Leroy Vrije Universiteit Brussels - Red meat: facing the challenges of the post-truth era - Red Meat Sector Conference
When the Narrative crosses a line (UPFs being proclaimed UN Environment’s “Champion of the Earth”)
Frédéric Leroy Vrije Universiteit Brussels - Red meat: facing the challenges of the post-truth era - Red Meat Sector Conference
Enters the pharmakon

                       φαρμακός
Frédéric Leroy Vrije Universiteit Brussels - Red meat: facing the challenges of the post-truth era - Red Meat Sector Conference
Propagation: the role of mass media

                           In 2017, the Guardian received a $886,600 grant from
                           OPP to publish a series (Animals farmed) that paints
                           animal agriculture as inhumane, unhealthy and
                           dangerous to the environment. OPP was founded by
                           Moskowitz (Facebook), has links to animal right
                           activists and is an investor in Impossible Foods.

                                         Appetite 125 (2018) pp. 345-355

• Post-truth (declared “an era” in 2004): the scientific method is sub-
  ordinated to the amassing of information via cherry-picking, invention,
  and bricolage

• Attention economy (clickbait, etc.): media need to attract attention in a
  setting of information overload, driving sensationalism and favouring
  manipulation by activists
Frédéric Leroy Vrije Universiteit Brussels - Red meat: facing the challenges of the post-truth era - Red Meat Sector Conference
Propagation of the Narrative: the role of mass media

         In 2017, the Guardian received a $886,600 grant from
         OPP to publish a series (Animals farmed) that paints
         animal agriculture as inhumane, unhealthy and
         dangerous to the environment. OPP was founded by
         Moskowitz (Facebook), has links to animal right
         activists and is an investor in Impossible Foods.

                      Appetite 125 (2018) pp. 345-355

                    2006

            Red meat can
          'raise cancer risk'
Frédéric Leroy Vrije Universiteit Brussels - Red meat: facing the challenges of the post-truth era - Red Meat Sector Conference
2015: a pivotal year?
Frédéric Leroy Vrije Universiteit Brussels - Red meat: facing the challenges of the post-truth era - Red Meat Sector Conference
Appeal to authority shapes dietary beliefs and policies

                                                                           2017
                                                                           Flemish food pyramid

                                         To conclude, we regret that fermented meat products are being incorrectly
                                         stigmatized as unhealthy foods in certain nutritional models, whereas they
                                         have many nutritional and other benefits to offer.
Authoritarian push for a Great Food Transformation (and its Planetary Health Diet )

 Vegan, vegetarian, or semi-vegetarian
When authority becomes controversy

 Vegan, vegetarian, or semi-vegetarian
Grand Narratives require solid backers: but what’s in it for them?

                                           $       $$                 $$$

                                                                            Where next?
      Pleasure                                          Novelty                                          (Quarterly
                                         Global
      Convenience                        markets        & lifestyle                                      revenue )
                                                        marketing                                        growth

                             High prices

                       Added value
                       = ultra-processing
                       + story-telling
                                                                                         Lofty promises
        Cheap materials

                                                                                     •    Economic capital
Difficult sector (welfare, farmers, …)                                               •    Cultural capital
limited processing, small margins
                                                                                     •    Scientific capital

                                                                                     = the Narrative
We’ve been there before… ($$$ + ‘progressive’ appeal + scientific backup)

Margarine was created in 1869 to meet a
request of Napoleon III to create a butter
substitute for the army and lower classes
(from beef tallow), the patent was bought by
Jurgens (NL, now Unilever). In 1911, P&G
introduced Crisco, initially intended to make
soap from cottonseed oil.
‘Systemic change’ requires social engineering
The scale of change to the food system is unlikely to be successful if left to the individual or the whim of consumer choice. This
change requires reframing at the population and systemic level. By contrast, hard policy interventions include law, fiscal measures,
subsidies and penalties, trade reconfiguration, and other economic and structural measures….[C]ountries and authorities should not
restrict themselves to narrow measures or soft interventions.
‘Types of behaviour change interventions’

            "Prime Minister Justin Trudeau is defending his
            government's update to the Canada Food Guide in
            the wake of attacks by Conservative Leader
            Andrew Scheer who suggested the changes were
            riddled with "bias" and driven by "ideology.“ […]
            The process was flawed […] Complete lack of
            consultation. Seems to be ideologically driven by
            people who have a philosophical perspective and
            a bias against certain types of healthy food
            products. So absolutely we want to get that right."
Tax?
Ban?

          NYC Mayor Bill de Blasio
          •    Reduce (by 50%) the city’s
               beef purchases
          •    Phase out all purchase of
               processed meat by 2030
          •    Introduce Meatless Mondays
               in all public schools

       “How about restaurants in 10-15 years
       start treating carnivores the same way
       that smokers are treated? If they want
       to eat meat, they can do it outside the
       restaurant.”

       Christiana Figueres
       Former Executive Secretary of the United
       Nations Framework Convention on Climate
       Change and convener of Mission 2020
But is a ban or a sin tax justified?

                                       Sin tax   Prof. Michael E. Mann
                                                 Earth System Science Center
                                                 Penn State University
Individual GHG emissions of a Western individual

                                                   12 t CO2-eq
Breakdown in categories and effect of dietary shifts
                                                                                                                                       12 t CO2-eq

                                                                                                                                     Switch to plants
                                                                                                                                      1-6% effect

                                                                                                           2.4
                                                                                                        t CO2-eq
                                  Avoid flights
                                     London-LA
                                  - 1.6 t CO2-eq                                   Vegan                                   6%   3%
                                  London-Rome                                  - 0.8 t CO2-eq
                                  - 0.2 t CO2-eq
                                                                              Vegetarian                                   4%   2%
                                Live car free                                 - 0.5 t CO2-eq
                           - 1.0-5.3 t CO2-eq
                                                                              Flexitarian                                  2%   1%
            https://ravijen.fr/?p=440; Carbone 4; Agreste; INSEE; 2015-2016
                                                                               - 0.3 t CO2-eq
            Environmental impact of dietary change: a systematic review.
            Hallström et al. (2015) Journal of Cleaner Production
            The rebound effect of switching to vegetarianism. A microeconomic analysis of Swedish consumption behaviour.
            Grabs (2015) Ecological Economics
            The climate mitigation gap: education and government recommendations miss the most effective individual actions
            Wynes & Nicholas, (2017). Environmental Research Letters
Same order of magnitude (few %) is found on macro level

        Dietary change US
        • Vegan = - 2.6%
                                                                  Livestock
        • Meatless Monday = - 0.3%                                    4%

                    Compared with systems with animals, diets formulated for
                    the US population in the plants-only systems had greater
                    excess of dietary energy and resulted in a greater number of
                    deficiencies in essential nutrients.
Fossil fuels, the elephant in the room
In Flanders, a single steel factory
produces more GHG-e than all
agriculture combined!                 78 Mt CO2-eq/y   Agriculture
                                                       7 Mt CO2-eq/y (9%)     Transportation = 21%   Energy = 22%
                                                       Livestock: 5 Mt (6%)   Industry = 28%         Others = 19%

       ArcelorMittal Ghent
       9 Mt CO2-eq/y (12%)

       Brussels Airport
       6 Mt CO2-eq/y
Is livestock (meat/dairy) used as a scapegoat?
                       The cement industry
                       produces 7% of man-made CO2. If
                       it were a country, it would trail only
                       the US and China in emissions of
                       CO2. China used more cement
                       between 2011 and 2013 than the
                       U.S. used in the entire                  Global tourism accounts for 8% of the world’s GHGE
                       20th Century.

                                                                ICT is expected to reach >14% by 2040
                                                                (by 2020, the footprint of smart phones alone would surpass the
                                                                individual contribution of desktops, laptops and displays)

          Umwelt Belastung Punkten
          Keeping a horse is >1/3 of
          a person’s environmental                              FAO: 30% of the world’s agricultural land is currently
          impact
                                                                occupied to produce food that is never eaten; food
                                                                waste is up to 20% of purchases

                                                                 US pet feed impact is 25–30% of the
                                                                 environmental impact from animal production
Beware of slogans and metrics
                                  1

                                14.5%

    2006 - 2013
14.5% number is a global number
                                                                                                                                2
                   GLEAM                                                 Per capita beef consumption
                                                                         vs. enteric methane (2013, FAOSTAT)

                                                                        India is #1 emitter, but with less than 1 kg beef/p/y

                                     FAO

Spatial distribution of GHG efficiency of bovine meat
production (kg CO2-eq per kg product) in the year 2000

                                                Herrero et al. (2013)
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