Ganesh Polytex Limited Dark Horse Dhamaka - Stock pick for July 2010

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Ganesh Polytex Limited Dark Horse Dhamaka - Stock pick for July 2010
Ganesh Polytex Limited

Dark Horse Dhamaka – Stock pick for July 2010
Ganesh Polytex Limited Dark Horse Dhamaka - Stock pick for July 2010
Best Buying Price

   Consortium advocates a two-phase buying strategy:

      1st Phase : Buy at the recommended price range Rs 47.5-52.5 [60% of investment]

      2nd Phase : Add if the price falls down to Rs 40-44 [40% of investment]

   Recommended average buy price – Rs. 46.8

   Expect at least 8-10 times returns in the next 3 years time frame!!

                                                                                         2
Ganesh Polytex Limited Dark Horse Dhamaka - Stock pick for July 2010
Table of Contents
 The Theme – Page# 4
 Overview – Ganesh Polytex Limited – Page# 7
 Ganesh Polytex – Waste Recycler – Page# 11
 Ganesh Polytex – Products & Applications – Page# 16
 Ganesh Polytex – Expansion Plans – Page# 23
 Forward Revenue estimate & Financial Statements – Page# 27
 The Management – Page# 32
 Shareholding Pattern – Page# 34
 Buying Strategy - Page# 36
 Investment Rationale - Page# 38
 Challenges/Risks Involved – Page# 40

                                                               3
Ganesh Polytex Limited Dark Horse Dhamaka - Stock pick for July 2010
The Theme

            4
Ganesh Polytex Limited Dark Horse Dhamaka - Stock pick for July 2010
From the research desk of Consortium Securities
Non Bio-Degradable waste, especially the PET bottles pose serious threats to our
environment. Considering the humongous growth in consumption, there successful
recycling is extremely important. The use of Plastic products has been a major cause of
concern since long. We have seen people, organizations clamoring about reducing the
usage of Plastic products.

These days as we move across streets, parks, etc, we see many PET bottles littered around
giving not just a bad look but also posing serious threats to our environment.

PET is one of the fastest growing segments in plastics providing a hygienic, durable and
user friendly packaging solution for all kind of bottled drinks, beverages, liquor,
pharmaceuticals, chemicals, and other liquid products.

As the consumption of PET is growing, so as the quantum of its waste is increasing at rapid
pace. PET bottle waste being Non-Biodegradable, its recycling is inevitable else piling of it
will be the biggest threat to the environment.

                                                                                                5
Ganesh Polytex Limited Dark Horse Dhamaka - Stock pick for July 2010
From the research desk of Consortium Securities
We see a huge opportunity in the huge challenge that the nation and the world faces and we
are happy to announce Ganesh Polytex Ltd as the Dark horse Dhamaka pick for the month of
July 2010 , which directly plays a role in solving the problem of managing huge quantum of PET
bottles waste.

Ganesh Polytex Ltd is a waste management company & is one of The largest PET Waste
Recycler in India.

Company Business model is interesting as it transforms post-consumer pet bottle waste (which
is otherwise hazardous for environment being non bio-degradable in nature) back again into
environmental friendly, hygienic, and comfortable fibers which are more economical in
comparison to virgin fibers.

The company has charted out aggressive capex plans for the next three years. We expect the
company’s impressive business module coupled with aggressive expansion plans to translate
into healthy growth with increased profitability in the near future.

Harveer S. Kalra
Consortium Securities Pvt Ltd

                                                                                                 6
Ganesh Polytex Limited Dark Horse Dhamaka - Stock pick for July 2010
Overview – Ganesh Polytex Ltd

                                7
Ganesh Polytex Limited Dark Horse Dhamaka - Stock pick for July 2010
The Company
 Ganesh Polytex Ltd (GPL). was incorporated as a Public Limited company in the year 1988. At
  Present Company is the largest PET waste recycling company with prominent presence in recycled
  Polyester Staple Fiber (RPSF) and largest to recycle PET bottle waste in the country, with forward
  integration to manufacture RPFY.

 The company is having two production units:

     o   One at Raipur, Rania, Kanpur Dehat (U.P) which is on the main highway- Kanpur Jhansi Road.
     o   Second unit, where the company has done major expansions, is located at Rudrapur
         (Uttarakhand). This unit is entitled for exemption from Central Excise and Income Tax for a
         period of 10 years.

 The company went into diversification in the year 1994 to produce Regenerated Polyester Staple
  Fiber in India. This was the first venture of its type in India to produce PSF from polyester waste &
  bottle flakes.

 In the year 2006, the second unit at Rudrapur (Uttarakhand) was set up with a production capacity
  of 6000 MT per annum which was subsequently increased by installing three more lines. The total
  aggregate capacity of the Kanpur & Rudrapur plant is 4800 MT per month or 57600 MT per
  annum.

                                                                                                          8
Ganesh Polytex Limited Dark Horse Dhamaka - Stock pick for July 2010
Milestones Achieved
 Year                                         Achievements
1987-88   Incorporation and commencement of business
 1989     Creation of Dyeing and Doubling facilities for 360 TPA
 1991     First public issue of 2.10 lakh shares and Capacity expansion
          Dyeing 1080 MT
1992-93   Creation of Texturising capacity – 216 spindles
1993-94   Rights issue of 34.50 lakh shares
1994-95   Expansion of Dyeing capacity to 1150 TPA.

1996-07   Expansion of Dyeing capacity to 1800 TPA and recycled PSF to
          10800 TPA. Equity Capital expanded to Rs.9.37 crore

2007-08   Set up Rudrapur Unit for recycled PSF with an capacity of 21600 TPA and Expanded
          dyeing capacity to 2400 TPA.

2008-09   Expanded Capacity of Kanpur Unit for RPSF to 18000 TPA.
          Equity Capital expanded to Rs.9.87 Crores

                                                                                             9
Ganesh Polytex Limited (As on July 21st 2010)
   CMP = Rs 52.00 (Jul 21st 2010) – The stock is in         PE   = 6.15
                                                                Incepted      GoingEdServ
                                                                           in 2001,    forward,     the revenue
                                                                                             is World's               is expected to
                                                                                                          first 4th generation
    the consolidation phase facing stiff resistance at          education
                                                             increase       companydue
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                                                                                             uses
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                                                                                                     major capacity        expansion.
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                                                                                companydemandcommands and supply
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                                                                            low from    development
                                                                                 visibility.   However, to deployment.
                                                                                                             it should be able to
   52 week’s high/low = Rs 56.5/8.05 –The stock
                                                                EdServ's  business  is web   enabled
                                                             command a very high multiple once         and   is run through   a
                                                                                                                       the investors
    recently made a new 52 week high. As it is in the           secured partner-driven center network in Integrated
    strong bullish phase it can continue to make new         understand     the business model.
                                                                Learning Model through its EdCenter brand.
    highs.
   Peak share price = Rs 56.5 (19th July ‘2010) –
    When the stock reaches its life time high it goes
                                                             EdServ’s  is India’s
                                                               Shareholdings        only
                                                                                 : No  Ofcompany   to Share
                                                                                           shares [%  have seamlessly
                                                                                                             Holding ]
                                                               integrated   education   and  placement
                                                                    Total Foreign: 0.3lakhs [0.3%]     end-to-end  in
    into a strong bullish phase in the absence of any          partner  based   web network.
    resistance. At CMP Ganesh Polytex is very close                 Total   Institutions:  0.1 lakh [0.1%]
    to its life time peak of 56.5.                                  Total Non Promoter Corporate Holding 25.1lacs
                                                              EdServ  focuses on the bottom of the pyramid, the Real
                                                                   [20.3%]
   Trading volume = Min 1.37 lacs shares (approx)             India, the hugely
                                                                    Total         recession-proof
                                                                             Promoters              market
                                                                                          0.586 crore       having the
                                                                                                       [47.6%]
    per day –These are early days for a company                continuous
                                                                    Total need
                                                                             Publicof&affordable  education
                                                                                       others 39.2lacs      and a career
                                                                                                         [31.8%]
    which is soon going to create a huge impact in             growth   pathOutstanding
                                                                    Total    and guidance.   The company
                                                                                            Shares          also[100
                                                                                                    1.23crore    rolled
                                                                                                                      %]out
    the Waste Recycling sector. The stock is liquid           EdCampus, Ed-Cademy, and EdCenters with EdClass
    This shall help investors to get in and out of stock      during the year that offer learning, jobs, metrics, and
                                                              Debt/Equity = 2 [Mar’10]
    easily.                                                   live lectures, online in-campus.
                                                              ROCE = 14.2% [Mar’10]
   EPS = Rs 8.45 – The company is expected to end            ROE = 17.6% [Mar’10]
    the FY 11 with a net profit of Rs 13 crore on the        EdServ  hasRatio
                                                                  Current   launched
                                                                                  = 1.0in[Mar’10]
                                                                                          the year 2009, World's first 4th
    equity base of Rs 13 crore, culminating into an           Generation
                                                                  Deliverededucation
                                                                              Volume per model
                                                                                            daythat has a definite
                                                                                                = Approx  58% job
    EPS of Rs 10                                              fitment  for every aspirant who wishes to seek a career
                                                                  BSE Code   514167
                                                               as a fresher.

                                                                                                                                  10
Ganesh Polytex – Waste Recycler

                                  11
PET Waste Recycling company
        Ganesh Polytex Ltd is the largest PET waste recycling
         company with prominent presence in recycled Polyester
         Staple Fiber (RPSF) and largest to recycle PET bottle waste
         in the country, with forward integration to manufacture
         RPFY.

        Ganesh Polytex is market leader in this segment of
         manufacturing of Recycled polyester staple fiber (RPSF) &
         has been in the field of Recycled PSF for over 15 years.

        Besides procuring the Waste from vendors, the company
         has set up its own procurement centers in different cities to
         insulate itself from raw material shortage as well as price
         fluctuations.

        Finished product finds application for spinning of yarn,
         stuffing in toys and other life style products like pillows,
         quilts, mattresses and furniture, non-woven carpets and
         fabrics, medical & packaging textile, geo textile, fur fabrics,
         construction and paper industry and other technical textile.

                                                                           12
Raw Material

 The major raw material required for Recycled PSF is post- consumer PET bottle waste.

 PET is one of the fastest growing segments in plastics providing a hygienic, durable and user
  friendly packaging solution for all kind of bottled drinks, beverages, pharmaceuticals, liquor,
  chemicals, and other liquid products.

 As the consumption of PET is growing, so as the quantum of its waste is increasing.

 PET bottle waste is non bio-degradable in nature (takes thousands of years in decomposing) and
  hence, poses a serious threat to soil, water sources and forests and thus harmful for human being
  and other living creatures. Therefore, its recycling is inevitable else piling of it will be the biggest
  threat to the environment.

                                                                                                             13
Increase in consumption of PET bottles
Region        PET Resin Capacity                                   Demand
Global         17.5 million tonnes                           14.0 million tonnes
India          0.80 million tonnes         0.40 million tones and the rest is being exported due
                                                            to price advantage
 With life style changes and higher disposable income, demand of PET bottles is set to grow at
  much faster pace as the per capita PET consumption in India is 0.22 kg. as compared to the world
  average of 2.1 kg. in 2008.

 As per industry estimates, about 65% of PET bottles consumption is available for recycling. That
  means, indigenous availability of PET bottle waste would be 3.0 lakh tone during 2010, which is
  much more than the overall requirement of entire domestic recycling capacity (aggregate installed
  capacity of about 1.75 lakh ton per annum during 2010) in the country.

 The consumption of PET bottles is expected to grow to 0.60 million tonne by 2012, availability of
  waste will also increase correspondingly.

 The present installed capacity of Recycled PSF in India is about 1.63 lakh tonne, Ganesh Polytex
  Ltd has a capacity of 57600 MT per annum & is at the first position in the sector.

                                                                                                      14
Collection of Raw Material
 Availability of Raw material is almost free of cost, but the critical issue is collection of waste and
  transportation / processing cost.

 Ganesh Polytex Ltd. is in this line of business since last 15 years and has a well-streamlined
  network of its collection centers (operating on franchisee module) of PET waste spread all over the
  Country at strategic locations.

 It has also developed a network of traders over the periods who exclusively supply the material to
  the Company.

 Further there is huge possibility of imports of PET bottle waste from foreign countries and this
  avenue is still to be tapped by the Company as imported bottles are little bit costly due to
  transportation factor. In case of need, the company may plan to set up a raw material processing
  /washing unit in near future at Europe or USA, where abundant quantity of raw material is
  available.

 Company also uses other types of polyester waste viz. Waste undrawn fiber, POY/ PFY waste,
  polyester film waste etc., which is also available in small quantities.

                                                                                                           15
Ganesh Polytex – Products and Applications

                                             16
Products & Applications
                        Ganesh Polytex Products Category

Recycled Polyester Staple Fibre (RPSF)         Dyed Texturised / Twisted Filament Yarn

                                  Raw Material Used

  Post Consumer PET bottle Waste and               POY/FDY and Grey Texturised Yarn
other kind of industrial Waste of Polyester

                                  Application/ End use

Textile Sector : Spun Yarn; Hosiery Yarn etc.         Fabrics, Saree, Dress Material,
Industrial Sector – Filter Fabrics; Geo textile;      Upholstery and furnishing fabrics,
 Non-woven carpets and Fabrics; Medical and           Sewing Threads, Cords etc.
packaging textile etc.

                                                                                      17
Recycled Polyester Staple Fibre (RPSF)
 Ganesh Polytex (GPL) product includes low-end basic segment to mid and high-end premium
  segment.

 Recycled PSF replaces 100% virgin PSF in textile sector due to its most distinctive advantage of
  cost-effectiveness and it replaces Foam, Cotton, P.P. fiber etc. in other industrial sectors due to
  its durability, comforts and hygienic characteristics besides cost-effectiveness.

 Polyester has now become common man’s fabrics in terms of prices, durability and comforts in
  comparison to cotton and other fibres.

 With growth in the economy and growing middle class, the per capita consumption of polyester
  fabric is also set to increase both for clothing and non-clothing applications. In fact, with growing
  per capita income consumption of non-clothing fabric will grow at much faster rate than clothing
  fabric.

 As Recycled Polyester Fibre is suitable both for clothing and non-clothing applications, its
  demand is improving both in textile and industrial sector. This bodes well for GPL as it has strong
  presence in both the sectors

                                                                                                          18
Market demand & Industry Scenario

                 Major User Industry Of Recycled PSF

Non-woven/technical
                            Yarn spinning              Stuffing
      textile

                                                                  19
Non-woven/Technical Textile

 Textile for non-clothing applications is classified in non-woven and technical textiles, which are
  growing roughly at twice rate of textiles for clothing applications and now account for major chunk
  in total textile production.

 The large Indian population of over one billion with nearly 48% in the age group of 18-35 and 250
  million strong middle class which has high purchasing power and living standards presents a
  potential huge market for non-woven products & with the Indian economy poised for a rapid
  growth of more than 8% during the next five years, non-woven production and consumption is
  expected to see rapid growth.

 Areas of non-woven applications like infrastructure, automotive textiles, carpets, interlinings and
  wading, furnishings and beddings, agricultural textiles, medical textiles, sports textiles etc are
  already seeing a lot of activity and are bound to grow at rapid rate in order to catch up with the
  developed world.

 The market size of technical/non-woven textile in India grew from Rs.31,000 crore during 2003-04
  to Rs.44,000 Crore during 2007-08. Further, as per an internal document prepared by the textile
  ministry, it is estimated that the technical textile market would grow to Rs.78,060 Cr. by 2014–15
  with an annual growth rate of 14%.

                                                                                                        20
Yarn Spinning

 Recycled PSF is used in yarn spinning in replacement of virgin grade PSF, which is about 15%
  costlier that recycled PSF.

 Recycled PSF can be used 100% in coarse counts of yarn (up to 30 count – which account for
  almost 40% of the total yarn consumption in India), and for fine counts (above 30, which are
  mostly used in apparels & wearing cloths), it is blended with virgin grade PSF.

 Due to cost & sale price equation as well as growing demand for non-apparels fabric, use of virgin
  grade PSF is being replaced by Recycled PSF.

 This has opened up a large window for Recycled PSF in spinning sector because present domestic
  market size of coarse denier spun yarn is about 4.00 lakh tonne per annum.

                                                                                                   21
Stuffing
 With improvement in life style and urbanization coupled
  with increasing disposable income, use of home furnishing
  products like quilts, comforters, mattresses, pillows,
  furniture etc. is increasing and growth in their market size is
  in double digit.

 Traditionally these products were stuffed with cotton,
  foam, coir etc. with increasing prices and decreasing
  availability, cotton is almost out for such uses.

 Recycled PSF is now being preferred over other traditional
  products like foam and coir because of its inherent qualities
  like hygiene, wash-ability, light-weight and user friendly
  characteristics.

 Likewise there is phenomenal growth in market of soft toys,
  where there is no substitute of Recycled PSF in stuffing.

 Estimated market size of all these products in India is over
  Rs.15,000 crore.

                                                                22
Ganesh Polytex – Expansion plans

                                   23
Ganesh – Leading all the way
Rank   Company In this Sector (RPSF)      Place         Present Capacity
                                                             MTPA
 1.          Ganesh Polytex Ltd          Kanpur &            57600
                                         Rudrapur
 2.         Reliance Industries Ltd       Hazira             42000
 3.          Shiva Tex Fab (P) Ltd       Ludhiana            18000
 4.         Rishiraj Filaments Ltd           -               12000
 5.             Allainz Fibres            Gujrat             6000
 6.            Arora Fibres Ltd           Silvassa           6000
 7.            Himalaya Fibres          Baddi (H.P)          6000
 8.               K.K.Fibres            Baddi (H.P)          6000
 9.          Capital Fibres (P) Ltd          -                600
10.             Nirmal Fibres          Gajraula (U.P)        3600

                    TOTAL                                1,63,200 MTPA

                                                                           24
Economies of Scale

 Ganesh Polytex Ltd. has the largest capacity in the industry, which has enabled the company to
  optimize per unit cost of production and ward off the competition due to economics of scale.

 Since the product is replacement of downstream virgin PET product market, it has ever increasing
  demand from both - the replacement market and growing uses from consumer market.

 PET recycling has drawn the attention of many big business houses including Reliance Industry.
  Company would not be affected by the presence of large players like Reliance because of enough
  wide market and multiple uses.

 Rather their presence is beneficial for the development of down stream consumption of recycled
  PET and products .

 Ganesh Polytex Ltd is having the largest product range in the industry on the one hand and source
  of raw material (PET bottle waste) is open market which can’t be influenced.

                                                                                                      25
Expansion Plans
 GANESH POLYTEX LTD is encouraged to expand its production to match with the demand and
  diversify into forward integration for value added products. Company has a ambitious growth
  plans which includes enhancing the recycling capacity to over 100,000 TPA in stages over the next
  2 years.

 Aggressive Capex Plans Over The Next Three Years.

      Ganesh Polytex has charted out expansion plan with a capital outlay of Rs.850millions over
       the next three years. The company shall invest Rs.250millions for ramping up of Recycled PSF
       capacities by 14,400 MT/pa. The project shall be operational in FY11.

      The company has expanded additional capacity of Recycled Polyester Staple Fiber (RPSF) by
       18,000 TPA at Rudapur with an estimated cost of Rs.250mn.

      The company has also firmed up plans to set up a facility for manufacturing Recycled Partially
       Oriented Yarn (POY) as a part of forward integration for value added product. The plant will
       have a capacity of 18000MT/pa and shall entail an investment of Rs.350 millions. The new
       facility shall be operational in FY12.

                                                                                                        26
Forward Revenue Estimates & Financial Statements

                                                   27
Revenue Forecast
  FINANCIAL MATRIX          2005-06   2006-07   2007-08   2008-09   2009-10   2010-11    2011-12
                                            Actual                                Projections
      Net Sales (Cr)         51.94     62.67     105.42   135.37      190       234       400
   Other Income (Cr)          0.2      0.33       0.38     0.08        0         0         0
       EBDITA (Cr)           5.77      7.01      12.35     17.1       26        35         75
   EBDITA Margin (%)         11.1      11.18     11.71     12.63      14        15         17
   CAGR Growth (%)          28.25%                                   35%
    Depreciation (Cr)         1.4      1.81       3.6      5.66        7        10         17
         PAT (Cr)            1.46      1.89       3.75     4.35        9        13         30
     PAT margin(%)           2.81      3.01       3.55     3.21      4.50      5.50       6.25
 Cash Generation (Cr)        2.86       3.7       7.35     10.01      16        23         47
Equity Share Capital (Cr)    9.37      9.37       9.86     9.86      12.32     13.38       19
     Net worth (Cr)          14.2      15.99      20.2     23.98      31        48        108
  Total Borrowing (Cr)       14.19     27.91      46.6     61.35      82        68         82
    Gross Block (Cr)         32.45     47.29     66.97     85.83      111       116       175
   Debt Equity Ratio         0.36      0.78       1.11     1.29      1.37      0.66       0.51
         EPS (Rs)            1.57      2.03       3.62     4.35      8.01      8.78        15
     Book Value (Rs)         15.16     17.07      20.5     24.33     31.7      35.86       54
        RONW(%)              9.92      11.5      16.33     16.26     25.29     24.46      27.36

                                                                                                  28
Income Statement (Last 5 Years)
                        The Company’s sales and net
                         profits have grown at healthy
                         compounded annual growth rate
                         (CAGR) of 28% and 30%
                         respectively in the past four
                         years.

                        The Revenue and Profitability
                         grew exponentially from Rs 52
                         crore to Rs 199 crore and Rs 1.47
                         crore to Rs 9 crore respectively.

                        Its EBIDTA improved to Rs. 24.30
                         crore in FY09-10 from Rs. 4.77
                         crore in FY06 on the back of
                         improved product mix.

                        Growth plans are likely to propel
                         CAGR of 35-40% in its top and
                         bottom lines during next five
                         years.

                                                         29
Quarterly Results
                     The company has been
                      recording a sequential
                      growth in revenue and net
                      profit for the last 4
                      quarters.

                     The company has been
                      able to scale up it’s NPM by
                      almost 90% from 3% to
                      5.70%.

                     In the last 4 quarters itself,
                      the company has recorded
                      a growth of 142% in it’s net
                      profit from Rs 1.28 crore to
                      Rs 3.11 crore.

                     GPL has recently upgraded
                      it’s facility by 18,000 TPA.
                      The revenue from the new
                      facility shall start coming in
                      from Q1 of FY 11.
                                                 30
Balance Sheet

   For the last 5 years the Gross Block of the company has witnessed continuous expansion from Rs 28 crore to Rs
    85 crore. The company has been expanding its capacity on a consistent basis enabling the company report
    higher sales and profitability.

   As per the projected estimates, the company intends to bring down its Debt/Equity ratio to almost 0.5 in the
    next two years, while it will still continue with capacity expansion through internal accruals and limited equity
    dilution.

                                                                                                                        31
Management

             32
Men at the Helm
 Mr. Shyam S. Sharma – Chairman & MD – A textile engineer.
   Served the Birla group for 25 years in various senior positions and
   promoted the said company in the year 1987. He is well versed with
   the fiber and textile technology with an experience of more than 45
   years.

 Mr. V. D. Khandelwal – Executive Vice President – A Post
   Graduate in Commerce and having experience of more than 36 years
   in trading of different types of textile yarns. He is one of the Promoter
   Director and looks after the affairs of the company since inception.

 Mr. Sharad Sharma – Joint Managing Director – A Commerce
   graduate with more than 17 years in marketing of yarns and fiber. He
   is engaged with the company since 1992.

 Mr. Rajesh Sharma – Executive Director – A Commerce
   Graduate with rich experience spanning over 20 years in plant
   administration. Looks after the administration of the company’s
   Rudrapur unit.

                                                                          33
Shareholding Pattern

                       34
Shareholding – Promoters & Non Promoters

 At the end of Mar’ 10 the Promoter holding stands at 47.55%, which is reasonable and the increase in
  stake further reflects the confidence of the management in the prospects of the company.

 The Promoter’s have been increasing their stake consistently for the last 5 quarters.

 The total Paid-up Equity Share Capital of the Company has been enhanced from Rs. 9,85,50,000/- to Rs.
  12,32,00,000/-because of allotment of 24.65 Lakhs Equity Shares to the Promoters and Others,
  consequent upon the exercise of conversion option of warrants

                                                                                                     35
Buying Strategy

                  36
Best Price to Buy

 In the last 11 months, the stock has already appreciated by around 400%, while for last 4 months it’s
  been consolidating.

 As evident from the chart the stock’s been witnessing higher lows, however it’s been facing a strong
  resistance at around Rs 52.5. We expect the stock to consolidate for some more time and would
  therefore suggest a buying price range of Rs 47.5 to Rs 52.5

                                                                                                          37
Investment Rationale

                       38
Investment Rationale

 The company is the leader in its area of operations and recently surpassed the annual production
  capacity of Reliance Industries Ltd.

 The investors lack the understanding of the Business Model of the company. Once the investors
  realize the true potential and the main area of operation i.e. Waste Recycling, the stock will
  command very high multiples.

 The company is contemplating a change in the name of the company to reflect the true
  operations. A change in name will lead to better visibility and a change in perception, which will
  result in Re-rating.

 The company has chalked out an aggressive expansion for the next two years, which will not only
  increase the profitability and sales but also result in margin expansion.

 Based on the Projected income and sales, the company is available at low valuations thereby
  ensuring safety of margin.

                                                                                                       39
Challenges / Risks involved

                              40
Challenges / Risks involved

Following are some of the key risks that could derail our estimates and expectations –

 A change in the manufacturing technology of PET bottles may affect the company’s ability to
  recycle the waste

 Availability of Raw material is almost free of cost, but the critical issue is collection of waste and
  transportation / processing cost.

 The increasing number of players are now making a shift from conventional yarn manufacturing
  techniques to Re-cycling PET bottles for manufacturing yarn. This may hurt company’s waste
  collection dominance and it’s ability to procure raw material at cheaper rates.

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Powered by the JV between:
Consortium Securities & HBJ Capital
About Consortium Securities & HBJ Capital

   Consortium Securities                                        HBJ Capital
        Consortium Securities is a decade old financial               HBJ Capital Services Pvt Ltd is a NextGen
        services firm with a vision to simplify the complex           Financial services provider with equity research
        world of the financial markets. The company                   as its core competence. HBJ Capital was
        provides a wide range of services nationwide to a             founded in 2005 by a group of 6 consisting of Ex-
        substantial and diversified client base that                  Infoscions, IIM and IIT graduates. While they
        includes retail clients, HNI’s, corporates and                were all from different academic backgrounds
        financial institutions. Consortium’s services                 and industries, they were having something in
        include: Portfolio Management, Broking &                      common - passion towards Equity markets and
        Advisory- Equity, Commodity and Foreign                       Investment research. Today, HBJ Capital with its
        Exchange and Corporate Financial Services. The                business headquartered at Bangalore, operates
        company has outlets in over 100 cities across 14              end to end research services in public and
        states. Well regarded for its leadership and path             private equity with more than 70 associates. HBJ
        breaking approach to investing, Consortium was                Capital provides services across 3 broad
        recognized as one of the leading brokers in India             domains - Independent Equity Research (Retail),
        in 2007 and 2008.                                             Corporate consulting and Institutional Services.

                                                                                                                          43
Disclaimer
 The information and opinions in this report have been prepared by Consortium Securities Pvt Ltd (Consortium Securities) and are subject to change
  without any notice. The report and information contained herein is strictly confidential and meant solely for the selected recipient and may not be
  altered in any way, transmitted to, copied or distributed, in part or in whole, to any other person or to the media or reproduced in any form, without prior
  written consent of Consortium Securities. While we would endeavour to update the information herein on reasonable basis, Consortium Securities, its
  subsidiaries and associated companies, their directors and employees (“Consortium Securities and affiliates”) are under no obligation to update or
  keep the information current. Also, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that may prevent Consortium Securities from doing so.
  Nonrated securities indicate that rating on a particular security has been suspended temporarily and such suspension is in compliance with applicable
  regulations and/or Consortium Securities policies, in circumstances where Consortium Securities is acting in an advisory capacity to this company, or
  in certain other circumstances.
 This report is based on information obtained from public sources and sources believed to be reliable, but no independent verification has been made
  nor is its accuracy or completeness guaranteed. This report and information herein is solely for informational purpose and may not be used or
  considered as an offer document or solicitation of offer to buy or sell or subscribe for securities or other financial instruments. Though disseminated to
  all the customers simultaneously, not all customers may receive this report at the same time. Consortium Securities will not treat recipients as
  customers by virtue of their receiving this report. Nothing in this report constitutes investment, legal, accounting and tax advice or a representation that
  any investment or strategy is suitable or appropriate to your specific circumstances. The securities discussed and opinions expressed in this report
  may not be suitable for all investors, who must make their own investment decisions, based on their own investment objectives, financial positions and
  needs of specific recipient. This may not be taken in substitution for the exercise of independent judgement by any recipient. The recipient should
  independently evaluate the investment risks. The value and return of investment may vary because of changes in interest rates, foreign exchange
  rates or any other reason. Consortium Securities and affiliates accept no liabilities for any loss or damage of any kind arising out of the use of this
  report. Past performance is not necessarily a guide to future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those set forth in projections.
  Forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change without notice.
 Consortium Securities and affiliates, including the analysts who have issued this report, may, on the date of this report and from time to time, have
  long or short positions in, and buy or sell the securities of the companies mentioned herein or engage in any other transaction involving such securities
  and earn brokerage or compensation or act as advisor or have other potential conflict of interest with respect to company/ies mentioned herein or
  inconsistent with any recommendation and related information and opinions. Consortium Securities and affiliates may seek to provide or have
  engaged in providing corporate finance, investment banking or other advisory services in a merger or specific transaction to the companies referred to
  in this report, as on the date of this report or in the past. Consortium Securities may have issued other reports that are inconsistent with and reach
  different conclusion from the information presented in this report. Consortium Securities and affiliates may act upon or make use of information
  contained in the report prior to the publication thereof.
 This report is not directed or intended for distribution to, or use by, any person or entity who is a citizen or resident of or located in any locality, state,
  country or other jurisdiction, where such distribution, publication, availability or use would be contrary to law, regulation or which would subject
  Consortium Securities and affiliates to any registration or licensing requirement within such jurisdiction. The securities described herein may or may
  not be eligible for sale in all jurisdictions or to certain category of investors. Persons in whose possession this document may come are required to
  inform themselves of and to observe such restriction. This publication is not to be disseminated in the United States in any form or so ever.
  Consortium Securities Inc accepts responsibility for its contents accordingly, though its accuracy and completeness cannot be guaranteed. Any person
  receiving this report and wishing to effect a transaction in any security discussed herein must do so through Consortium Securities.
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