How it affects South Africa's Economy - LONMIN BUILD TRENDS

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How it affects South Africa's Economy - LONMIN BUILD TRENDS
Build with Confidence

                 BUILD TRENDS
                         August 2012 Issue 141

                         LONMIN

                  How it affects South Africa’s
                            Economy

SA Economic Indicators   Government Corruption      Bitumen Shortage

Build Trends                                                      Page 1
How it affects South Africa's Economy - LONMIN BUILD TRENDS
South African Economic Indicators

 Consumer Price Index (CPI)      Producer Price Index (PPI)   FNB/RMB/BER Confidence Index

                                                              Building
           2011      2012                   2011      2012
  Jan       3.7       6.3          Jan       5.5       8.9               2011     2012
  Feb       3.7       6.1          Feb       6.7       8.3     Q1         24       34
  Mar       4.1       6.0          Mar       7.3       7.2     Q2         24       27
  Apr       4.2       6.1          Apr       6.6       6.6     Q3         23
  May       4.6       5.7          May       6.9       6.6     Q4         29
  Jun       5.0       5.5          Jun       7.4       6.6
  Jul       5.3       4.9          Jul       8.9              Business
  Aug       5.3                    Aug       9.6
                                                                         2011     2012
  Sep       5.7                    Sep      10.5
  Oct       6.0                    Oct      10.6               Q1         55       52
  Nov       6.1                    Nov      11.1               Q2         48       41
  Dec       5.0                    Dec       9.8               Q3         39
  Ave       4.9       6.0          Ave       8.4       7.5     Q4         26

   Source : www.statssa.gov.za

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not only negative, but also positive, possible outcomes.
South Africa's Mining Troubles                                     More importantly, regarding the potential pressure on
                                                                   domestic credit rating agencies to downgrade South
Run Deep                                                           Africa's credit rating, the impact on domestic bond yields
                                                                   appears to have been fairly muted. There has been an
                                                                   upward trend in domestic bond yields over the past month,
The strikes and violence at Lonmin Marikana platinum mine          but this appears to have been more in tandem with an
in South Africa have already carried a high cost: 44 deaths,       upward trend in global bond yields as some of the fears
34 after police opened fire on workers demanding higher            surrounding the Eurozone debt crisis and its dampening
wages. Some have compared recent events with apartheid-            impact on global economic growth, have receded. As for
era violence. As strikes spread to other mines, they could         equity markets, the markets have been reaching new
have wider financial ramifications for South Africa. Investors     highs, with the exception of the Lonmin share price
should watch closely for signs of further unrest.                  specifically. There has been an upward spike in the
Mining accounts for about 9% of South Africa's gross               platinum price, which means that ironically some of the
domestic product. But despite the country's rich resources,        other platinum mines will have benefited from the events at
South Africa has failed to ride the global commodity boom          Lonmin. To the extent that there are now wage demands
due to lack of investment in infrastructure. From 2001 to          being put by workers at other platinum mines, one could
2008, mining's contribution to the economy rose 19% in             argue that the benefits provided by the rise in the platinum
China, 10% in Russia and 7% in Brazil, but fell 1% in South        price caused by the Lonmin events, could pave the way for
Africa.                                                            other mines acceding to higher wages than might
Investors already have been worried this year by a debate          previously have been appropriate.
about nationalization of South African mines, which the                                             The fact of the matter is
ruling African National Congress has said won't happen. The
recent violence may further chill foreign direct investment;       Global risk                      that the domestic financial
                                                                                                    indicators    have     been
net foreign direct investment flows in the year to March 31
stood at just 1.9% of GDP, down from 4.4% at the end of
                                                                   aversion                         impacted upon far more by
                                                                                                    the generally more
2008, Royal Bank of Scotland notes.                                positive mood on global financial markets than by the
Politically, too, there could be turbulence. A key factor in the   specific tragedy at Lonmin. The fact that bond yields had
troubles at the Marikana mine has been the challenge posed         begun rising long before the tensions at Lonmin began
by the Association of Mineworkers and Construction Union,          taking hold was a function of improved global financial
or AMCU, to the established National Union of Mineworkers,         sentiment, partly on the expectation of renewed monetary
which has close ties to the ANC. The rise of the apparently        stimulus in advanced economies. Even though such
more radical AMCU may weaken the ANC, already facing               stimulus has not yet been forthcoming in a meaningful
pressure due to its failure to generate jobs. Unemployment         way, the mere fact that there is a prospect of it coming on
has been above 20% since 1997, according to the                    stream is assisting in driving equity and commodity
International Monetary Fund.                                       markets upwards and bond prices downwards. As one of
So far, the immediate financial reaction to the violence has       the accompanying tables shows, there has been no real let
been small, a 6.3% rise in platinum prices apart. The rand         up in the continuing flow of portfolio investment into South
has softened against the dollar, while government bond             African financial assets, especially into domestic bonds,
yields have fallen. But the underlying problems the strikes        with the yield on such bonds been attractively substantially
have exposed mean investors can't rely on that calm                higher than the yield available on bonds in most other
persisting.                                                        countries.
                                                                   The moral of the story is that South African financial
Source : The Wall Street Journal (South Africa), 24 August         indicators are still being influenced far more by what is
2012                                                               going on internationally than by any concerns regarding a
                                                                   slowdown in investment into the country resulting from
                                                                   anxiety surrounding the implications of the tragic events at
Marikana tragedy has only minor                                    Marikana.
negative effects on economy                                        However, the bigger concern should relate to fixed
                                                                   investment in new mines and associated ventures. Even in
                                                                   this regard, one should not exaggerate the negative
The impact of the Marikana tragedy on key indicators               impact. Already for several years, the threats of
relating to the South African economy has been relatively          nationalisation and increased government interference in
small. Indeed the Rand depreciated slightly more vis-à-vis         the mining industry had been depressing capital
the Dollar than most other currencies, but the extent to which     investment in the industry.
it depreciated was actually rather muted. This would seem to       The domestic mining industry has been in decline for
justify our assessment that the impact of last week's events       several years for reasons referred to above and one is
on domestic economic growth would be minimal in the short          therefore left to question whether any further significant
term and was unclear from a longer-term point of view, with        damage could have been inflicted by last week's events.

                                                                                                                 Page 3
  Build Trends
The corollary to this again is that one should not exaggerate     "Government has a five-year priority list and a 20-year
the potential damage to overall economic growth emanating         project pipeline, which does not help the economy one bit.
from this particular event alone. Instead, one would like to      For this reason the private sector holds the key in many
think that last week's events highlighted some of the             instances.“
structural defects of the South African economy and in so         Luke Doig, senior economist at the Credit Guarantee
doing might work towards generating solutions which in the        Insurance Corporation, which underwrites domestic and
longer term could actually be to the benefit of sustainable       export credit insurance, said SA‟s private sector had long
growth.                                                           been the major contributor to fixed investment. "Only
                                                                  during 1975 to 1979 did the state‟s contribution to total
Source : Econometrix, 23 August 2012                              gross fixed capital formation exceed that of the private
                                                                  sector," he said. Reserve Bank data showed that in the
                                                                  first quarter, the private sector‟s contribution to gross fixed
                                                                  capital formation was 61.5%.
SA jobless rate slows to 24.9%                                    Statistics SA reported that employment in the construction
                                                                  sector had risen, with 26,000 jobs created in the first
                                                                  quarter.
South Africa's official jobless rate slowed to 24.9% of the       Ms Weimar said while SA‟s economy was growing and
labour force in the second quarter of 2012 from 25.2% in the      "officially left the recession behind", growth was limited to a
first quarter, a survey showed.                                   narrow range of industries. "The local economy is growing
In its latest quarterly Labour Force Survey, Statistics South     very slowly as a result of exports recovering very, very
Africa said the total number of unemployed people stood at        slowly.“
4.47-million in the three months to June from 4.5-million in      The Organisation for Economic Co-operation and
the first quarter. The expanded definition of unemployment,       Development said rapid economic growth in SA had to be
which includes people who have stopped looking for work           accompanied by policies to boost job creation and training
was at 36.2% from 36.6%.                                          opportunities. "The private sector is Africa‟s employer of
Historically, from 2000 until 2012, South Africa                  tomorrow," Mario Pezzini, director of its development
Unemployment Rate averaged 25.5 Percent reaching an all           centre, said.
time high of 31.2 Percent in March of 2003 and a record low
of 21.9 Percent in December of 2008. The unemployment             Source : Business Day, 2 August 2012
rate can be defined as the number of people actively looking
for a job as a percentage of the labour force                      Government
               South Africa Unemployment Rate                      counts cost
                                                                   of corruption
                                                                  Endemic corruption and maladministration have resulted in
                                                                  the government requiring the equivalent of five of its
                                                                  annual housing budgets to fix shoddily built reconstruction
                                                                  and development programme (RDP) houses.
                                                                  Public Protector Thuli Madonsela has begun a nationwide
                                                                  investigation into RDP houses and is collecting shocking
Source : Reuters 31 July 2012                                     testimony from poor people given state housing.
                                                                  The government has set aside R50bn to repair houses
                                                                  already built which could have provided subsidised
Nedbank criticises State over                                     housing     to    more      than     1-million     households.
slow “20 - Year Pipeline”                                         Human Settlements Minister Tokyo Sexwale said the
                                                                  government was exploring measures to stop the
                                                                  construction of substandard houses by private contractors.
In April Nedbank chairman Reuel Khoza was attacked by             He told a meeting with the construction industry in Pretoria
African National Congress leaders when he said SA‟s               that, among other measures, the government was
democracy was threatened by a "strange breed" of political        considering starting its own company to build the houses.
leaders who appeared incapable of dealing with the                "What we have been getting is less than credible, shoddy
demands of governance and leadership.                  Nedbank    workmanship. When we have the huge projects we give
economist Nicky Weimar said the government lacked                 them to credible companies who bring in their expertise,"
capacity and a cohesive strategic plan for the economy.           he said. "But when we build houses for our people, instead
"With government‟s planned R844bn investment in                   of bringing in those major, credible companies, we give it
infrastructure over the next few years there is the ability to    to people who believe it‟s their right to get the contracts.
inject growth into the market, but the state‟s ability to spend
it has become a worry," Ms Weimar said .

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Why not let the major companies build some of the houses?         Basil Read, another major player in diversified
It will force them to bring empowerment partners.                 construction, engineering and mining, expects headline
Mr Sexwale said the government could not be blamed. "I            earnings per share to fall 75%-85% in the six months to
don‟t remember government building houses, but the service        June, compared with the same period last year.
providers," .                                                     Murray & Roberts says it expects a diluted headline loss
Kerwin Lebone, a researcher at the South African Institute of     per share for the year ended June to be between 235c and
Race Relations, said the state‟s housing subsidy last year        255c, which represents an improvement of 44%-48% over
was R55,000 for a single-stand RDP house. "R50bn will             last year. However, considering it made a loss attributable
provide subsidised housing to just over 1-million households      to equity holders of R1.7bn last year, the firm remains
and thus halve the housing backlog of 2.3-million. It is a        mired in red ink.
crying shame that this amount has to be used to fix shoddy        Many of the industry's woes stem from the generally poor
workmanship. “Mr Lebone said research had shown that              macroeconomic environment. But along with this, SA
40,000 government officials were investigated for subsidy         suffers from a mutual lack of trust between business and
fraud by the auditor-general, 1,910 were arrested, 1,296          the government, predicated on issues ranging from
were convicted, and R44m was recovered. "The government           corruption, poor service delivery, and allegations of private
knows the people who are best qualified to deliver quality.       sector bid-rigging
They know who delivered quality stadiums under tight              Marie Ashpole, who is spokeswoman for industry body, the
deadlines for the 2010 Soccer World Cup. The appointment          South African Institution of Civil Engineering, says it has
of construction companies with a proven track record is the       followed       with    dismay     auditor-general    Terence
way to go," he said.                                              Nombembe's claim of Rll bn in unauthorised and irregular
Stevens Mokgalapa, Democratic Alliance spokesman on               expenditure by municipalities in the past financial year.
human settlements, said the R50bn allocated to fix RDP            This affects the building of infrastructure. Ms Ashpole cites
houses was "fruitless and wasteful" expenditure. "The             reports of farmers in the Lichtenburg district in North West
government should not be spending all this on rectification       who cannot get their crops to market, as roads in the area
almost R930m is going to be spent this financial year alone,      have become "appalling". "Some of the 'tarred' roads were
which means the government is building backwards, not             so bad that, in order to be able to travel on them, they had
forward," he said.                                                to be covered with sand“. Ms Ashpole says.
 North West residents yesterday appealed to Ms Madonsela          billions have been spent on tenders given to contractors...
to resolve their problems with RDP houses. They packed the        or incompetent cronies that could not 'fix' the roads.“
Klerksdorp town hall and told how they had been forced to         The government is trumpeting its proposed multi-trillion
sign up and occupy houses even when they complained               rand infrastructure plan. But the continuing slew of poor
about       the     poor     standards    of     construction.    results from infrastructure firms indicates SA is a long way
A contractor told me that someone else would sign my              from its prerecession growth path.
“happy letter” if I kept refusing to sign. My house is now        Director and chief economist of consultancy Econometrix,
falling apart," said Margaret Nteu of Kanana township.            Azar Jammine, says SA needs to "implement" its policies,
Foundations were constructed and abandoned three years            while fostering greater co-operation between the state and
ago in Joubertina township, Buti Tshabalala told the hearing.     private sector. "There is so much rhetoric that is doing
                                                                  damage to the economy of this country.“
                                                                  The Manufacturing Circle 2012 second-quarter survey
Source : Business Day, 3 August 2012                              released this week shows that manufacturing confidence is
                                                                  fragile in the country.
                                                                  Many of SA's construction and engineering groups have
Delays in government's                                            manufacturing divisions that service the development of
                                                                  infrastructure. The report says that rising costs of
infrastructure plans are hurting                                  electricity, fuel and labour, a scarcity of raw materials, and
                                                                  muted domestic demand will hit manufacturing in future.
the construction sector                                           Added to this is the poor performance of SA's mining
                                                                  sector.
                                                                  Questions remain over policy making. SA's ferrochrome,
A slew of large construction and engineering companies            platinum and steel industries are reeling, aluminium
released trading updates. But despite recent reports that see     smelting is threatened, and zinc production in SA has
some light at the end of the tunnel for infrastructure markets,   closed down as a result of soaring energy prices.
expectations are poor.                                            Basil Read says earnings for the year have been
Aveng, SA's biggest diversified construction and                  negatively affected by difficult trading conditions in the
engineer-ing group, expects lower head-line earnings per          sector. Multimillion rand losses have come from contract
share for the year to June, falling between 50% and 60%           disputes. These include roads contracts in the Free State,
from last year. It says the depressed South African               which last month sounded the death knell for listed
construction sector and delays in the state's infrastructure      construction and engineering company Sanyati Holdings.
plans are hurting, even as other operations reflected steady
or improved financial performances in the period.                 Source : Business Day, 17 August 2012

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Energy Generation
Concrete and                                                       Power utility Eskom has submitted a licence application to
construction industry                                              the National Energy Regulator of South Africa (Nersa) for
                                                                   its proposed 100 MW Sere wind farm project, to be
launch their own                                                   developed near Vredendal, in the Western Cape, for
TV channel                                                         around R3-billion.

                                                                    Wind Power
The concrete and construction industry has launched its first
dedicated Web TV channel, Concrete.TV, which will not only
provide a video platform for regional and global coverage in       Should Eskom receive the 20-year sanction being sought,
the professional and do-it-yourself market, but also enable        the first unit could be operational by October 2013, with the
easy access to specialised video content.                          final unit being installed by May 2014.
Concrete.TV producer Fiona Summers says the channel aims           The project, which is backed partly by a portion of a $3.75-
to become the „go to‟ resource for the concrete and cement         billion World Bank loan extended in 2010, would involve
industry, helping to solve industry-specific challenges,           turbines with capacities of between 1.5 MW and 3 MW
highlight its successes and react to industry news.                each.
“Traditional communication channels are losing their efficacy      The development will also receive funding from the Clean
and, in a connected world, there is an inevitable trend            Technology Fund, the African Development Bank and
towards next generation, on demand multi-media content             Agence Française de Développement, with the balance
delivery,” she explains.                                           being derived from internal revenue sources.
The channel is supported by several key organisations,             The utility has requested that its licence become effective
including the Concrete Society of Southern Africa, the             from October 2012 and says it does not envisage seeking
Cement and Concrete Institute, the South African Ready-mix         an expansion, owing to the fact that a site wind-resource
Association and the Aggregate and Sand Producers                   assessment indicates the potential for such an expansion
Association of South Africa.                                       to be negligible.
The channel, launched on August 8, is aimed at contractors,        Eskom modelling anticipates that the project will be able to
architects and associations, as well as suppliers of ready-mix     produce 225 000 MWh a year from 2014, of which 202 500
concrete, cement and materials, and aims to cover all              MWh will be fed into the grid, with the balance used
aspects of the concrete and construction industry.                 internally.
Features on the site will include a monthly roundup of news,       The project, which is located near Koekenaap, on South
projects and products as well as interviews with industry          Africa‟s West Coast, will be connected to the grid through
leaders and thorough coverage of key industry events.              the Skaapvlei substation at a voltage of 132 kV and into
It will also offer an option for vendors to host their own         the existing Juno-Koekenaap distribution line.
Vendor Channel to showcase company products and                    The project should create 11 permanent jobs and Eskom
projects.                                                          will seek to maximise local content during construction,
                                                                   even though such targets will not form part of the
Source : Engineering News, 24 August 2012                          evaluation criteria.
                                                                   The utility indicates in its application that it will enter an
                                                                   operations and maintenance contract with the supplier of
                                                                   the turbines for a period of five years from operational
Brikor to sell non-                                                acceptance. However, a detailed plant life-cycle plan
                                                                   would be developed once the equipment suppliers had
core operation                                                     been selected.

Building and construction materials manufacturer Brikor said       Source : Engineering News , 20 August 2012
it would sell its Bronkhorstspruit properties and operations to
businessperson Marius van Wyk for R10-million, to regain
focus on its core operations and to strengthen its financial
                                                                   Nuclear Power
position.
The JSE-listed company, which is pursuing a restructuring
programme to restore operations to profitability, said in a        State-owned Eskom is embarking on a multibillion-rand
statement that the sale was in line with its strategy to dispose   project to replace six steam generators at the Koeberg
of noncore operations to strengthen its cash resources and         nuclear power station, in the Western Cape, during 2016
improve its debt burden.                                           and 2017.
The proceeds from the disposal will be utilised to reduce          As part of its ongoing maintenance and refurbishment
debt‚” Brikor stated.                                              plans, the power utility issued a tender to identify suppliers
                                                                   able to design, manufacture and install three steam
Source : Engineering News, 24 August 2012                          generators in each of Koeberg‟s two units.

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The supplier would also be required to undertake any safety           cleared with minimum delays,” he indicated. Ndebele
analyses and studies required to replace the generators.              added that Sanral had also been in talks with the road
The installation of the generators would be undertaken during         construction industry to directly import bitumen from
scheduled refuelling, inspection and maintenance outages of           abroad. “The success of this initiative will determine the
the two units at Koeberg.                                             future direction to be adopted with regard to direct
The dates of the anticipated outages were dependent on the            importation of bitumen by the road construction industry,”
requirements of Koeberg and the electricity supply system, as         the Minister said.
well as the commercial negotiations with chosen suppliers,            Meanwhile, Martins said although delays or shortages in
the utility added.                                                    bitumen supply had been identified, his department was
Eskom noted that the current steam generators in Unit 1 and           not aware of instances where it impacted on the retention
2 have been in operation since 1983/84 and 1984/85,                   of jobs, or the creation thereof.
respectively.                                                         “The primary reason for the shortages is due to oil
The utility said that the new generators would incorporate            companies experiencing unplanned shut downs at the
modern design features that would allow ease of                       refineries or not having sufficient storage capacity to
maintenance and inspections and improve heat-transfer                 maintain minimum bitumen reserves during shutdowns,”
efficiency, leading to the overall efficiency of the Koeberg          the Minister pointed out.
power station. Eskom said the outcome of a “commercial                Also contributing to the shortage was the fact that oil
process”, currently being undertaken, would determine the             companies planned their maintenance shutdowns during
total cost for the project.                                           the peak bitumen consumption periods, which rendered
Further, in efforts to facilitate localisation and skills transfer,   them unable to supply sufficient quantities of South African
as well as allow understanding of the scope of the                    Bureau of Standards-specified grade bitumen.
replacement project, Eskom aimed to host a workshop during            Martins said it was also established that bitumen
the tender process, facilitating the interaction of local             consumers, such as asphalting-producing companies, did
companies interested in entering the nuclear sector and               not always collect their orders on time from the refineries.
potential Eskom suppliers that meet the project criteria.
South Africa plans to increase its nuclear capacity and has           Source : Engineering News, 10 August 2012
said that localization will be a key part of any contracts to be
awarded.

Source : Engineering News, 30 July 2012
                                                                      SA begins to embrace new
                                                                      building techniques
Bitumen shortage
                                                                      A concerted strategy by the local banking sector and
is hampering road                                                     government to increase the financing of structures built
                                                                      using alternative building technologies (ABTs) in South
projects                                                              Africa is not only driving the increased application of these
                                                                      techniques, but is also targeting sceptical end-user
The bitumen supply shortage is straining road maintenance in          perceptions.
South Africa, and could lead to smaller projects, such as             South African consumers have long preferred the brick-
pothole repairs, being deferred to focus on major                     and-mortar construction approach and have been slow to
infrastructure projects, Transport Minister Ben Martins said          react to ABTs, which have entered the market at an
this week.                                                            increasing rate over the past decade.
The Gauteng Freeway Improvement Project, as well as the               Overhauled banking policies and a renewed push by
N1 and N2 toll road projects could also be affected by the            government are aiming to shift this perception, which
shortage of bitumen, which is used to produce asphalt for             stakeholders hope will enable the practice to gain
road construction.                                                    momentum and develop into a standalone industry.
Responding to a question by Congress of the People Eastern            Several bankers have developed a model policy for the
Cape Member of Parliament Zola Mlenzana, Martins stated               financing of properties constructed using alternative
that although there were no measures in place to alleviate the        building systems, with local bank Absa appearing to lead
local shortage, the department had been engaging with the             the private-sector charge by focusing on the development
relevant stakeholders to find a sustainable solution.                 of sustainable integrated projects in line with government‟s
“Various members of the Southern African Bitumen                      housing policy.
Association formed a consortium for importing bitumen and             Absa, in association with parastatal the National Home
the Department of Transport provided support by                       Builders Registration Council (NHBRC) and the National
recommending the relaxation of import duties on bitumen,              Housing Finance Corporation, launched the first housing
while the South African National Roads Agency Limited                 innovation competition in 2005 in Shoshanguve, Tshwane,
(Sanral) is providing support with the logistics planning             to draw innovative housing designs to the affordable
requirements to ensure that bitumen received at the ports is          market.

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Absa head of retail markets Arrie Rautenbach explains that           The human settlements market was not exclusively
the Eric Molobi Housing Innovation Hub has provided a                focused on providing houses and homes, but also satisfied
space in which private companies can permanently                     a job creation function. “From an alternative technologies
showcase building technologies and where the durability of           perspective, when you are working in the human
these techniques can be tested.                                      settlements market, you have to manage the issue of job
                             “The aim of this hub was to set a       creation. While new technologies must be sustainable, so
  Permanent                  benchmark of good quality and           too must the skills transfer, making labourers employable
  Showcase                   cooperation between a set of            in a wider market,” she said. De Lange also stresses that
                             stakeholders and role-players, as       the correct implementation of building technology is
well as to show that low-cost housing construction can be            imperative to avoid the negative impact of time constraints
fast-tracked with cooperation and innovative technology,” he         on quality. “In the construction industry, everything is about
explains.                                                            quality – whether the product is factory-manufactured,
In addition to the 17 low-cost alternative- technology houses        precast or cast on site. The focus needs to be on the end
built at the hub, this private-public partnership also hosts an      product and how well it will last over time,” she says
on-site laboratory at which various alternative housing              While government asserts it is not in a position to support
materials are tested and research into alternative                   specific alternative materials or technologies, it has
technologies is conducted.                                           ensured that all housing projects have facilitated the
The laboratory reviews rational designs of ABTs that do not          application of alternative technologies and that, in such
comply with deemed-to- satisfy rules as stipulated by the            cases, tender processes are specifically designed to allow
South African National Standard (SANS) 10400, and tests              for alternatives. “That said, we will only support housing
the materials used at building sites.                                technologies and systems that can be sustained in the
NHBRC engineer Paimaan Byron emphasises that the costs               South African context,” NDHS chief director of
of such tests undertaken by the NHBRC are borne by the               communications Xolani Xundu stresses.
construction company, should such testing indicate                   A review by the NDHS research directorate in 2010
noncompliance. “Should the material comply with SANS                 reported that, while the policy space does not prohibit the
10400, the account is for the NHBRC,” he says.                       use of ABTs in government housing projects, most ABTs
Interestingly, Byron points out that a common misconception          have limited production capacity as a result of beneficiary
in the industry is that alternative technologies always include      perceptions and institutional or developmental issues.
novel or engineered materials that have not previously been          Results revealed that housing beneficiaries tended to feel
used in construction. In reality, it is simply the way in which      devalued by the State, and felt that they had been
the materials are engineered into a design that brands them          provided with an inferior product when ABT methods were
as innovative. “Innovative housing techniques refer to any           used.
deviation from traditional construction methods that are not         Of the 2.9-million housing units delivered for low-income
specified within the limitations of SANS 10400 – it does not         earners between 1994 and 2010, only 17 000 were
necessarily have to be a material that has never been used           constructed using innovative systems.
before,” he notes.                                                   “The major impediment to large-scale roll-out is the
The importance of the hub, Byron adds, is that it is the first       inability of alternative technology providers to build at
time in South Africa that these engineering methods have             scale, a lack of understanding regarding the necessary
been tested over the long term to determine their resilience         certification and end-user perception,” asserts Xundu.
to the harsh African climate.                                        He adds that the industry should be willing to operate
Following seven years of exposure to the elements, a                 within government constraints in the low-cost housing
number of these ABT houses have experienced significant              environment, be transparent about product strengths as
and often irreparable damage, while others have                      well as weaknesses, and ensure the availability of system
demonstrated a robust construction technique and remained            information to foster positive user perception.
in good condition.                                                   “We will embark on a consumer education drive to dispel
While building innovations have proved attractive to the             negative perceptions and we expect innovators to do the
general housing market as a result of a trend towards a              same,” he says.
more sustainable, energy efficient way of living, it is its
potential for wide-scale application in the low-cost or              Source : Engineering News, 27 July 2012
subsidised housing sector that is the driving force behind
government and banking sector investment.
                                Despite the ability of alternative
  Other                         construction      methods       to
                                accelerate the delivery of
  Imperatives                   housing, Cement & Concrete
Institute human settlements technical marketing consultant
Adele de Lange warns that the social agenda of the country,
specifically with regard to job creation and poverty
alleviation, must not be discarded during this process.

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26% Black Ownership of                                             Sephaku Cement
PPC South Africa                                                   saves 25%
Pretoria Portland Cement Company Limited (PPC) is pleased          Five-hundred employees of Chinese company Sinoma
to announce a second phase broad-based black economic              International Engineering are currently working on site to
empowerment transaction which entails the placing of an            construct cement producer Sephaku Cement‟s new
additional 39.3m ordinary shares or 6.5% of PPC's increased        Aganang cement production facility, near Lichtenburg, in
share capital under black ownership. Following the first phase     the North West, with 200 more to arrive within the next few
BBBEE transaction for 15.3% during 2008, this will increase        weeks. The Aganang operations will include limestone
the direct black ownership of the PPC Group to 20.8%.              mining and the chemical processing of raw materials to
Taking into account the 80:20 revenue split between the            produce clinker.
Groups South African and international businesses the              Sephaku did initially go out to tender for South African
transaction will result in an effective 26% black ownership of     contractors, but realised that no South African contractor
PPC's South African operations and enable the company to           would be willing to take a turnkey risk on such a plant,
meet the South African mining rights conversion requirements       Sephaku Cement CEO Pieter Fourie said. “The fixed
as set out by the Department of Mineral Resources in terms         prices we received from the Chinese Sinoma saved us
of the Mining Charter.                                             25% on total development,” he says.
Of the additional shares being issued the major portion or         However, skills transfer and the use of local labour are
68% shares will be issued to the employees of PPC's South          provided for in the contract with Sinoma. One South
African businesses. 27% of shares will be issued to PPC's          African labourer is used for every three Chinese workers.
existing strategic black partners and 5% to a newly created        “I must reiterate that the Chinese workers will only be here
trust that will focus on Black women groups in areas where         during the construction of the plant; therefore, permanent
the company operates. The transaction value of                     jobs for South Africans will be created during the entire life
approximately R1.1bn is estimated based on the 30 day              of the plant, which is expected to be between 30 and 40
volume weighted average price of PPC shares.                       years,” he adds. Meanwhile, the skills transfer between the
Paul Stuiver, CEO of PPC, said: This transaction was               Chinese and the South African workers is progressing well,
structured for the benefit of those parties closest to our         especially with regard to the work ethic.
business. We were particularly keen for our 2400 South             The Chinese building style does differ from the South
African employees to participate at a significant level and this   African style in some practical ways, says Fourie. “The
transaction will result in them owning approximately 7% of the     concrete and steel are the same but concrete pumps and
PPC group. An employee trust has been established to hold          cranes are used more extensively for placing concrete.
the employee shares. All permanent employees of PPC in             Other practical examples include their wheelbarrows that
South Africa will participate. A portion of shares has been set    are properly balanced, the ways in which they rapidly fix
aside for new employees joining the company during the next        the steel, using tailor-made tools rather than pliers and
three                                                    years.    doing all steel fixing preparation work at a one-metre level
The SBPs are the same as those which participated in the           above ground. These are minor differences that result in
first phase BBBEE transaction during 2008 being Peu,               significant productivity improvements,” he explains.
Nozala, Portland Consortium and Palama Cement                      Language did prove to be a challenge, but both companies
Consortium (formerly Capital Edge) who have contributed to         have appointed translators to deal with this. “We also
the company on a number of fronts during the past four             experienced some challenges relating to safety
years. PPC has established the Bafati Investment Trust for         management, as our safety culture is very different to
the purpose of holding shares for black women groups in the        theirs. We have, however, worked together on this and are
vicinity of its operations. The board of trustees for this trust   proud to have more than one-million lost-time injury-free
will comprise a majority of women. Paul Stuiver commented:         hours on this site,” Fourie points out.
This transaction demonstrates our on-going commitment to           Sephaku started construction on the R2.3-billion, 2.5-
transformation and broad-based empowerment in the spirit of        million-ton-a-year cement production facility late last year,
the Mining Charter. Additionally it will further enhance our       with first production scheduled for September 2013, after
BBBEE credentials.                                                 the commissioning of the plant‟s clinker in August 2013.
The transaction will also allow PPC to streamline its corporate    “We decided on this project because the average cement
structure by creating separate South African and international     plant in South Africa is about 38 years old and we believe
operating entities, thereby aligning the company's structure       it is time to add capacity in preparation for the country‟s
with its strategy to expand its footprint on the African           future growth,” says Fourie.
continent. At the same time the holding company, Pretoria
Portland Cement Company Limited will be renamed to PPC             Source : Engineering News, 10 August 2012
Limited. Paul Stuiver concluded.

Source : Engineering News, July 2012

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Ndlovu was unable to provide information on how much
Imported Cement saga continues                                  cement had been imported into South Africa to date this
                                                                year, stating this information was kept by the SA Revenue
                                                                Service and Statistics SA.
Recently there has been coverage in the media about the         Bryan Perrie, the managing director of the Cement and
increase in imported cement, the quality thereof and the        Concrete Institute (C&CI), questioned how the NRCS
impact of these imports on the local industry.                  could ensure that all the required conformity tests were
                                                                being done, when it did not know how much cement was
                            From AfriSam‟s perspective, we
 AfriSam‟s                  recognise that competition in
                                                                being imported.
                                                                “Some producers have got samples and tested them and
                            the    cement       industry  is
 perspective                inevitable and we welcome
                                                                some of them were found to be sub-standard. We‟re not
                                                                saying all of them are sub-standard,” he said
healthy competition. It is a clear indication that the
competitive landscape is changing and confirms our belief
that we cannot continue to conduct our business like we
have done in the past.
AfriSam welcomes the announcement made by the National
Regulator for Compulsory Specifications (NRCS) where it
committed to promoting fair competition in the South African
cement industry while at the same time protecting
consumers against unethical and exploitative trade
practices.
AfriSam supports the Regulator‟s decision to step up control
over the industry, as it is in the best interest of both
suppliers and consumers that all cement sold in South
Africa complies with the regulations set by the NRCS.

 NRCS‟s                         The National Regulator for
                               Compulsory      Specifications    Data from Stats SA
 response                      (NRCS) confirmed that some
                               50kg bags of cement in a         Source : Engineering News, 7 August 2012
consignment of cement imported from Pakistan were
underweight, but stressed it had not found any inferior
quality cement on the local market.
Thomas Madzivhe, the NRCS‟s acting chief executive, said
yesterday that complaints of non-compliance received about
Lucky Cement imported from Pakistan had been fully
investigated and the NRCS was satisfied the certification
bodies had done all the necessary checks and tests and
that the cement complied with South Africa‟s regulations.
Madzivhe said the NRCS suspected market access and
competitive and market share issues might be a reason for
the complaints.
Musa Ndlovu, the NRCS‟s acting executive for non-
perishable products, said a directive had immediately been
issued against Lucky Cement when complaints of non-
compliance were received at the end of 2010, which meant
this cement could not be sold in South Africa.
Ndlovu said the NRCS had done a full 28-day test on the
cement, but the results did not provide it with any tangible
evidence to prove the product was non-compliant in terms of
quality. It had only found evidence once of non-compliance
but this was based on “short measure” and not quality, he
said.
He added that the NRCS did regular sample testing of
cement to check its conformity with the compulsory standard
but was not required to do sample testing for every 500 tons
of cement imported into the country.

  Build Trends                                                                                            Page 10
Build with Confidence

     AfriSam (South Africa) (Pty) Ltd
     Reg No: 2006/005910/07
     PO Box 6367
     Weltevredenpark 1715
     South Africa
     Tel: (011) 670 5721
     e-mail: nadeen.gordon@za.afrisam.com

     www.afrisam.com
     Tel: 0860 141 141
     e-mail: customer.service@za.afrisam.com

     Main sources of information:
     Industry Insight
     Tel: (021) 554 0886 / 0688
     www.industryinsight.co.za

     Econometrix
     Tel: (011) 483 1421
     www.econometrix.co.za

     Cement and Concrete Institute
     Tel: (011) 315 0300
     www.cni.org.za

     Disclaimer:
     AfriSam, its shareholders, employees and agents
     accept no liability for (or in respect of) any direct,
     indirect, incidental or consequential loss or damage
     of any kind or nature, whatsoever arising, from the use
     of or reliance on information provided in this publication

Build Trends                                                                      Page 11
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