Investing the Proceeds of Growth: City of Philadelphia Budget Choices: 2020-2024 - Center City District

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Investing the Proceeds of Growth: City of Philadelphia Budget Choices: 2020-2024 - Center City District
Investing the Proceeds of Growth | 1

 CENTER CITY REPORTS

Investing the
Proceeds of Growth:
City of Philadelphia Budget Choices: 2020–2024

FEBRUARY 2020
CENTER CITY DISTRICT,
CENTRAL PHILADELPHIA DEVELOPMENT CORPORATION
FIND MORE REPORTS AT:

CENTERCITYPHILA.ORG

After decades of decline, Philadelphia                      2019. On an annualized, inflation adjusted                   within its geographic boundaries.1 It can do
has enjoyed 10 consecutive years of                         basis, that represents an increase of 2.7%                   this through program and capital budget
unprecedented economic expansion, adding                    per year.                                                    expenditures, but also through tax policy.
almost 89,000 jobs since 2009. Growth                                                                                    After decades of struggling against the
                                                            During his first term, starting in 2016,
produced not only more employment, but                                                                                   forces of decline, Philadelphia enters the
                                                            Mayor Kenney focused increased revenues
also rising salaries and more residents;                                                                                 2020s facing the new opportunities and
                                                            primarily on social inclusion: creating a new
accelerating real estate construction, sales                                                                             challenges of managing and expanding the
                                                            City-funded pre-K program, investing in
and rentals; and a flourishing hospitality                                                                               benefits of growth. This report suggests
                                                            libraries, recreation centers and community
and retail industry. All these contributed                                                                               three broad strategies or paths to consider:
                                                            schools; boosting support for the School
to an expanded municipal tax base that,
                                                            District of Philadelphia; and enlarging                      Strategy 1: Enlarge the share of tax revenues
when combined with several legislated rate
                                                            funding for social services, addiction                       devoted to address crime, criminal justice and
increases, produced a 39% upsurge in the
                                                            treatment and homelessness. As the mayor                     the city’s substantial social and educational
real value of tax revenues collected by the
                                                            prepares a new operating budget and                          needs and disparities.
City during the last decade.
                                                            five-year plan that will guide his second
                                                                                                                         Strategy 2: Place greater emphasis on
Expanding tax revenues fueled a dramatic                    term, it is helpful to reflect on recent trends
                                                                                                                         quality of life issues, infrastructure and
growth in municipal spending as the                         and to consider the different policy options
                                                                                                                         economic development to retain and attract
recovery accelerated. From fiscal year 2010,                Philadelphia now has, especially because
                                                                                                                         more residents and businesses with the
the low point of the recession’s impact on                  economic expansions do not last forever.
                                                                                                                         means to choose many other regional or
City operating expenditures, through 2019,
                                                            Cities are shaped by regional and national                   national locations.
spending from the General Fund, the city’s
                                                            economic and demographic trends, by
primary operating account, increased by                                                                                  Strategy 3: Invest more of the proceeds of
                                                            changing programs and priorities of
$1.6 billion, a 43% increase (4.0% per year),                                                                            growth in tax reduction, lowering the cost of
                                                            higher levels of government. However,
at a time when the region’s Consumer Price                                                                               working and doing business in Philadelphia,
                                                            in an era of diminished federal funding
Index (CPI) increased on average 1.3% per                                                                                to prompt more widespread and inclusive,
                                                            for cities, local government must play a
year. Adjusting for inflation, General Fund                                                                              private-sector job growth.
                                                            greater role influencing what happens
expenditures grew by 27% from 2010 to

1: In the last half-century, federal resources for cities have steadily declined as population has decentralized nationally. While Philadelphia’s leaders need to maximize the
revenues the city can secure from Washington D.C. and Harrisburg, it is important to underscore that through both recent national Democratic and Republican administrations
funding from higher levels of government has declined. The City of Philadelphia now generates 75.5% of its operating budget from tax and other revenues raised from within its
boundaries.

Center City District & Central Philadelphia Development Corporation                                                                                      CENTERCITYPHILA.ORG
2 | Investing the Proceeds of Growth

  Each of these strategies present viable         FIGURE 1: WAGE & EARNINGS TAX RATE HISTORY, 1952–2020
  alternatives, pursued by prior mayors. Each
                                                  WAGE AND EARNINGS TAX RATE
  exemplifies a theory of change, focusing                                                                                   1984:   4.9600%
                                                  5.0%
  on different levers to achieve policy goals.                                                                                                              2008:   3.9800%
  With limited resources however, governing       4.5%
  is about choice: not choosing one strategy                                                                                                                                          2020:   3.8712%
                                                  4.0%
                                                                                                                                     4.3125%
  to the exclusion of another; rather, deciding                                                                              1984:
                                                  3.5%
  the appropriate emphasis to place on each                                                                                                                  2008:   3.5392%          2020:   3.4481%
                                                  3.0%
  and then forging a blended strategy that
  secures the most prosperous future for all      2.5%
  city residents. This report seeks to inform     2.0%
  that decision by looking back at the trends
                                                  1.5%
  and decisions of the last two decades and
                                                  1.0% 1952: 1.2500%
  forward to the paths that might lead to
                                                      1952 1956 1960             1964     1968     1972     1976     1980   1984     1988   1992    1996   2000     2004     2008    2012     2016      2020
  more expansive and inclusive growth.
                                                               Resident                  Non-Resident
  Legacy from Recent History:                     Source: City of Philadelphia, Summary Schedule of Tax Rates Since 1952

  In the 1970s and 1980s, the loss of
  manufacturing, the decline of federal           FIGURE 2: MEDIAN HOUSEHOLD INCOME (CITY & SUBURBS)
  funding and the departure of working- and
  middle-class residents left behind physical
  deterioration, abandonment and growing                                                                                                                                    Bucks County
                                                                           Montgomery                                                                                         $86,055
  poverty. To respond to growing social
                                                                             County
  challenges, the City sought to sustain
                                                                             $88,166
  high levels of service through frequent
  municipal tax increases, even as the tax
  base was steadily contracting. (Figure 1)
  A real estate boom in the mid-1980s was
                                                                                                                                   Philadelphia
  followed by a national economic downturn                                                                                           $43,744
  at the end of the decade. A severe, local
  fiscal crisis ensued in 1990-1991, during
  which tax collections dropped precipitously.
  The City struggled to pay bills and meet
  contractual and budgetary obligations
  incurred when the economy was still
  expanding. Bankruptcy was prevented only
                                                                                                                                                                                    Burlington
  through state intervention with the creation                                                                                                                                       County
  of the Pennsylvania Intergovernmental                                                                                                                                              $84,992
  Cooperation Authority (PICA), the issuance
  of PICA-backed bonds to reduce debts, the              Delaware
  introduction of a new local sales tax and               County
                                                          $71,539
  the establishment of fiscal guardrails as
  part of a required five-year financial plan.
                                                                                                                                                           Camden County
  With PICA’s authority set to expire in 2023,
                                                                                                                                                              $67,118
  Philadelphia appears to have turned a
  corner.

  Despite positive trends however, the city
  still has the highest poverty rate of the 10
  largest U.S. cities and the second highest
                                                                                                             Tract
  of the largest 25. Too many residents have                           Gloucester                                    Less than $20K                $50K to $74,999               Not Available
  low incomes that create significant housing                           County                                       $20K to $34,999               $75K to $99,999         Source: US Census Bureau,
  affordability challenges. Job growth since                            $85,160                                      $35K to $49,999               $100K or More
                                                                                                                                                                           American Community Survey,
                                                                                                                                                                           2014-2018

  CENTERCITYPHILA.ORG                                                                                                Center City District & Central Philadelphia Development Corporation
Investing the Proceeds of Growth | 3

the end of the recession, while positive,                     $1,503,818.4 Without broader growth,                        the next nine years, with real (inflation-
remains low compared to other major cities.                   Philadelphia’s low median income and                        adjusted) total spending increasing by $1.1
Recent accelerating employment expansion                      limited assessed value of property outside                  billion by 2019, a 27% increase (Figure 4).5
is concentrated disproportionately in low-                    Greater Center City will leave the City and                 This translates into an average annual real
wage jobs, when compared to other major                       the School District with a diminished tax                   increase of 2.7%.
cities, which are growing a much larger                       base and continuing fiscal challenges
                                                                                                                          A recent analysis by The Pew Charitable
share of family sustaining jobs.2 Even with                   (Figure 3).
                                                                                                                          Trusts found that Philadelphia’s growth
the revival of neighborhoods surrounding
                                                              Looking in the rear view mirror at the                      in per capita government expenditures
Center City and University City, housing
                                                              recent past, Philadelphia’s growth appears                  from 2008 to 2018 is comparable to other
deterioration and abandonment remain
                                                              impressive. Out the side windows however,                   major cities. However, the analysis did not
major challenges in many communities.
                                                              we see many peer cities that faced similar                  examine the specific categories that grew,
Despite a few thousand luxury                                 challenges, passing by with faster rates of                 nor did it ask if there are alternative ways
condominiums downtown being added to                          growth, more family-sustaining jobs and                     for Philadelphia to allocate or invest these
Philadelphia’s citywide inventory of 680,000                  significantly lower poverty rates. The sunset               unprecedented proceeds of growth.6 That is
housing units, regional wealth remains                        of PICA in just three years provides the                    a central focus for this analysis.
overwhelmingly concentrated in the suburbs                    impetus and opportunity for Philadelphia
                                                                                                                          Expansion of the Base: With more jobs,
(Figure 2). We are far from reversing the                     both to look back and to consider the
                                                                                                                          higher salaries, increased business volume
effects of 50 years of decentralization,                      choices that might produce a more
                                                                                                                          and sales, population growth and new
disinvestment and decline. Philadelphia’s                     prosperous future.
                                                                                                                          construction, there is more to tax, even
median household income is just $43,744.
The median household income in Chicago
                                                              Fiscal Trends of the                                        without an increase in rates. An expanded
                                                              Past Decade:                                                municipal tax base is a huge dividend
is $55,198; New York City, $60,762; Boston
                                                                                                                          of growth. From 2009 to 2019, adjusting
$65,883 and San Francisco $104,552.3 The                      After reaching a peak in 2008, just before
                                                                                                                          for inflation, the base for the wage and
assessed value per pupil of city real estate                  the Great Recession, the City’s General
                                                                                                                          earnings tax grew by 27%; the sales tax
is $241,946, the state average is $489,935;                   Fund expenditures fell to a low point in
                                                                                                                          base expanded by 18%, while the real
Pittsburgh, $690,347; Lower Merion is                         2010 and then rebounded dramatically over
                                                                                                                          estate transfer tax base jumped by 131%.7

FIGURE 3: ASSESSED VALUE PER PUPIL: 2017 MARKET VALUE/2017-18 ENROLLMENT

 Lower Merion                                                                                                                                     $1,503,818

       Radnor                                                                                                                           $1,395,072

 Council Rock                                                                                         $990,724

    Pittsburgh                                                                $690,347

  Philadelphia                         $241,946

          Erie                      $214,146

      Reading            $85,540                            State Average:
                                                            $489,935

                 $0         $200,000          $400,000         $600,000          $800,000      $1,000,000       $1,200,000       $1,400,000       $1,600,000         $1,800,000

                                                                                                                                                  Source: PA Department of Education

2: Growing More Family Sustaining Jobs in Philadelphia, Center City District, October 2019.
3: US Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 2018 five-year estimates.
4: CCD calculations based on PA Department of Education data.
5: This calculation includes Department of Human Services expenditures within the grants revenue fund to account for the transfer of DHS grant funding to that
     fund in fiscal year 2012.
6: How Philadelphia’s Expenditures Have Increased in Recent Years, The Pew Charitable Trusts, December 2019.
7: Wage and earnings tax base growth calculation includes PICA tax revenues.

Center City District & Central Philadelphia Development Corporation                                                                                        CENTERCITYPHILA.ORG
4 | Investing the Proceeds of Growth

  FIGURE 4: CITY OF PHILADELPHIA ADJUSTED GENERAL FUND EXPENDITURES, FY 1998 – FY 2019
  (2019 DOLLARS IN BILLIONS)

   $6.0

   $5.0

                                                                                                                                                                                                                     $5.24
                                                                                                                                                                                                             $4.96
                                                                                                                                                                                                     $4.72
                                                                                                                                                                                             $4.66
                                                                                                                    $4.51

                                                                                                                                                                             $4.49
                                                                                                                               $4.46
                                                                                                            $4.44

                                                                                                                                                                                     $4.46
                                                                      $4.30

                                                                                     $4.30
   $4.0

                                                              $4.29

                                                                                                                                                                     $4.29
                                                                                                                                                          $4.21
                                                                                             $4.19

                                                                                                                                                  $4.18
                                                   $4.15

                                                                                                                                       $4.12
                                           $4.10
                                $3.96
                        $3.92
             $3.78

   $3.0

   $2.0

   $1.0

   $0.0
             FY98      FY99     FY00      FY01     FY02       FY03    FY04           FY05    FY06           FY07    FY08       FY09    FY10       FY11    FY12       FY13    FY14    FY15    FY16    FY17    FY18    FY19

    FIGURE 5: CITY OF PHILADELPHIA TAXABLE ASSESSED VALUE OF                                                                                                      Following the implementation of the Actual
    PROPERTY TAX YEAR 2013 – 2019 (DOLLARS IN BILLIONS)                                                                                                           Value Initiative (AVI) in 2013, total taxable
                                                                                                                                                                  assessed value increased from $91.9 billion
   $140.0                                                                                                                                                         to $115.6 billion in 2019, an 18% increase
                                                                                                                                                                  after adjusting for inflation (Figure 5).
   $120.0                                                                                                                              $115.6
                                                                                                                                                                  On top of a growing base came several
                                                                                             $104.2                 $105.0                                        legislated rate increases for use and
   $100.0                                                                                                                                                         occupancy, sales, parking and real estate
                     $91.9         $90.9              $90.2             $91.8
                                                                                                                                                                  transfer taxes. The real estate tax rate
                                                                                                                                                                  increased from 8.264% in 2010 to 9.771%
    $80.0
                                                                                                                                                                  in 2013, prior to the citywide reassessment
                                                                                                                                                                  under the AVI. Rates then increased again
    $60.0                                                                                                                                                         from 1.34% in 2014 (after AVI) to 1.3998% in
                                                                                                                                                                  2016.
    $40.0
                                                                                                                                                              As a result, the yield from every major
                                                                                                                                                              City tax rose (in inflation-adjusted dollars)
    $20.0                                                                                                                                                     from FY09 to FY19. Wage and earnings tax
                                                                                                                                                              revenues were up 25%; real property tax
                                                                                                                                                              revenues were up 53%; business income
      $0.0
                     2013               2014               2015               2016                   2017               2018               2019
                                                                                                                                                              and receipts revenues were up 23%; net
                                                                                                                                                              profits tax revenues rose by 158%; sales tax
                                                                                                                                                              revenues increased by 54% and real estate
                                                                                                                                                              transfer revenues were up 152%.

  CENTERCITYPHILA.ORG                                                                                                                             Center City District & Central Philadelphia Development Corporation
Investing the Proceeds of Growth | 5

In total, municipal tax revenues increased                     Increased Benefits to the School District:                      Other Revenue Sources:
from $2.95 billion to $4.11 billion during this                Because the School District of Philadelphia
                                                                                                                               For a complete understanding of the City’s
period, an increase of 39% in real terms.8                     is not an independent taxing authority,
                                                                                                                               overall financial picture, it is essential to
City tax revenue increased every year for                      the City of Philadelphia also collects
                                                                                                                               consider not only the General Fund, the
the past 10 years, with the exception of                       taxes for the benefit of its public schools.
                                                                                                                               City’s largest operating account, but also
2015, when state legislation required the                      Each of those major taxes also increased
                                                                                                                               other sources, such as federal and state
dedication of $120 million in local sales tax                  significantly in real terms from fiscal
                                                                                                                               grants and funds dedicated to specific
revenues to the School District. (Figure 6)                    2009 to fiscal 2019. The rise in real estate
                                                                                                                               purposes. Besides the General Fund, the
                                                               taxes resulted in an increase of 18% in the
Curtailment of Rate Reductions: The growth                                                                                     City also manages a Grant Revenue Fund,
                                                               revenue received by the School District
in revenues also reflects a significant,                                                                                       the Hotel Tax Revenue Fund, the Community
                                                               from this source.9 Use and occupancy tax
additional policy choice, discussed in                                                                                         Development Fund, the Housing Trust Fund,
                                                               revenues were up 38%, while school
detail below: the City did not continue                                                                                        the Car Rental Tax Fund, a Special Gasoline
                                                               income tax revenues rose by 70%. In
the substantial annual, across-the-board                                                                                       Tax Fund and a County Liquid Fuels Tax
                                                               addition, the District began receiving
reductions in the wage and business taxes                                                                                      Fund. Together, these constitute all local
                                                               $120 million annually in revenues generated
that began in 1996 and continued for 14                                                                                        tax, non-tax and grant revenue sources that
                                                               by the local sales tax, beginning in fiscal
consecutive years during the Rendell and                                                                                       pay for the programs that are largely within
                                                               2015. Overall District tax revenues increased
Street administrations and the first two                                                                                       the discretion of local decision-makers. By
                                                               46% in inflation-adjusted dollars over the
years of Mayor Nutter’s term.                                                                                                  comparing these over time, it is possible to
                                                               past decade.
                                                                                                                               track how priorities have changed between
                                                                                                                               fiscal year 1998 and 2018, the most recent
                                                                                                                               year for which complete data is available.10

FIGURE 6: CITY OF PHILADELPHIA TAX REVENUES BY CATEGORY, FY 1990 – FY 2019
(2019 DOLLARS IN BILLIONS)

$4,500

$3,600

$2,700

$1,800

 $900

    $0
          FY90 FY91 FY92 FY93 FY94 FY95 FY96 FY97 FY98 FY99 FY00 FY01 FY02 FY03 FY04 FY05 FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18 FY19
             Wage and Earnings           Real Property        Business Income           Sales        Real Estate Transfer          Other
                                                              and Receipts

8: These calculations include wage, earnings, and net profits taxes dedicated to the Pennsylvania Intergovernmental Cooperation Authority (PICA). These are effectively local
    taxes although they are dedicated to PICA and used to cover debt service payments on PICA debt. The amounts of PICA taxes not required for debt service are transferred to
    the City General Fund.
9: The real estate tax of 13.998 per $1,000 of taxable assessed value is divided in 2020: 6.317 goes to the City and 7.681 goes to the School District.
10: Funds excluded from the analysis are the city’s “enterprise” funds: the Water and Aviation funds, which are financed primarily by user charges, the HealthChoices Behavioral
     Health Fund, which finances Medicaid behavioral health services though federal and state dollars, and the Acute Care Hospital Assessment Fund, which holds tax funds
     received from local hospitals that are returned to the state to finance the Medicaid program. These latter funds were established relatively recently, and excluding them allows
     for comparisons over long time periods, the focus of this report.

Center City District & Central Philadelphia Development Corporation                                                                                          CENTERCITYPHILA.ORG
6 | Investing the Proceeds of Growth

  In fiscal year 2018, the sum total of                        The City’s spending growth began to                            FIGURE 7: CITY OF
  revenue received by these funds was                          accelerate after fiscal 2015, increasing $529                  PHILADELPHIA REVENUES
  $5.74 billion with tax revenues being                        million or 10% in real terms from 2015 to                      IN MAJOR FUNDS, BY FUND
  the largest share, accounting for 68.5%                      2018. This represents an average annual                        AND TYPE FISCAL YEAR 2018,
  of all revenue11 (Figure 7). Other local                     increase of 3.2%.                                              (DOLLARS IN MILLIONS)
  sources, besides taxes, include fees for
                                                               While data for all operating expenditures in
  licenses and permits, emergency medical                                                                                       REVENUES BY SOURCE
                                                               fiscal 2019 is not yet available, rapid growth
  services, trash collection and court filing
                                                               appears to have continued. General Fund                          LOCAL TAXES
  fees, interest earnings, and code violation
                                                               spending increased 6.3% in FY19, and is                          General Fund                         $3,856           67.2%
  fines. These constitute another 7.0% of
                                                               projected to increase an additional 7.7% in                      Hotel Room Tax Fund                      $69           1.2%
  revenue. Together, they add up to 75.5%
                                                               fiscal 2020, at a time when inflation is less
  of City operating revenue – all generated                                                                                     Car Rental Tax Fund                        $6          0.1%
                                                               than 2% annually.14
  locally, based on decisions made locally. The                                                                                 TOTAL                                $3,931           68.5%
  other large source of funding is grants from                 Changes in Priorities Over                                       LOCALLY-GENERATED
  federal and state governments and other                      Two Decades:                                                     NON-TAX
                                                                                                                                                                       $403            7.0%
  entities, which make up 23.4% of revenues.                                                                                    GRANTS
                                                               Overall, real spending increased by $1.22
  Figure 9 shows how these revenues are                        billion or 26% from fiscal 1998 to fiscal                        Federal                                $401            7.0%
  allocated by broad program categories.                       2018. Some portions of the city budget                           State                                  $881           15.3%
  Public safety and court costs form the                       grew while others declined, reflecting not
                                                                                                                                Other                                    $63           1.1%
  largest category at $1.51 billion; health                    only the priorities of different mayors and
                                                                                                                                TOTAL                                $1,345           23.4%
  and human services is next at $1.45                          city councils, but also mandated pension
                                                               contributions and declines in some                               INTERFUND
  billion; employee benefits is third at $1.38                                                                                  TRANSFERS
                                                                                                                                                                         $55           1.0%
  billion; economic development, culture                       categories of federal funding. However,
                                                                                                                                OTHER                                      $8          0.1%
  and recreation comes next at $593 million;                   some clear patterns emerge over the last
  governance and administration totals $502                    two decades.                                                     TOTAL                                $5,742         100.0%

  million; debt service and other consumes                                                                                      REVENUES BY FUND
                                                               Figure 11 compares expenditures
  $338 million; and education receives                                                                                          General                              $4,556           79.4%
                                                               (in constant 2018 dollars) in 1998 to
  $158 million.12
                                                               expenditures in 2018 in seven broad                              Grants Revenue                       $1,017           17.7%
  Expenditure Trends                                           program categories. In six out of seven,                         Community
                                                                                                                                                                         $33           0.6%
  Over Two Decades:                                            spending increased. The largest categories                       Development

                                                              – public safety, health and human services,                       Hotel Room Tax                           $69           1.2%
  Figure 10 looks at longer-term trends,
                                                               and employee benefits – all increased                            Car Rental Tax                             $6          0.1%
  comparing total City expenditures from
                                                               substantially, by 23%, 12%, and 91%                              County Liquid Fuels
  fiscal year 1998 to 2018. Total expenditures,                                                                                                                            $9          0.2%
                                                               respectively in the last two decades. The                        Tax
  expressed in constant 2018 dollars,
                                                               largest dollar increase was in employee                          Special
  increased 26% over the 20-year                                                                                                                                         $37           0.6%
                                                               benefits, rising by $657 million in real terms,                  Gasoline Tax
  period, from $4.71 billion to $5.94 billion.
                                                               representing more than one-half of the total,                    Housing Trust                            $14           0.2%
  Real spending declined in only six of the
                                                               real increase in spending in all categories.                     TOTAL                                $5,741         100.0%
  20 years.13
                                                               Education spending increased by more than
                                                                                                                              Figure 8 shows all these revenue sources in pie chart form.

  11: T
       he tax amount includes local wage, earnings and net profits dedicated to the Pennsylvania Intergovernmental Cooperation Authority (PICA). The amount shown is PICA taxes
      net of the cost of PICA debt service.
  12: A detailed listing of how City departments and agencies were assigned to these categories is presented in the Appendix.
  13: The reasons for declining expenditures were: Fiscal 2005 and 2006. Reduced spending reflected austerities due to the City’s deteriorating financial position. The fund balance
     had declined from $295 million in fiscal 2000 to $14 million in fiscal 2004. Increasing pension costs were also a factor, because the pension fund incurred significant losses in
     the recession of the early 2000s. Fiscal 2009 and 2010. Spending declined due to the recession, which caused significant reductions in most major tax revenues. The City cut
     spending through a hiring freeze, efficiencies in criminal justice and child welfare programs, adopting self-insurance for employee health care benefits, and state-authorized
     deferrals of pension contributions. Fiscal 2013. City spending declined modestly ($9.1 million) due to lower spending in economic development, housing, health, and human
     Reinvestment Act (ARRA) of 2009. Fiscal 2015. Spending in fiscal 2015 was lower due to two unusual factors that had increased costs in 2014: repayment of deferred pension
     payments, and retroactive wages for City firefighters that were paid in fiscal 2014 but represented prior year wages, due to a delayed contract settlement.
  14: Quarterly City Managers Report, Period Ending September 30, 2019, City of Philadelphia Budget Office, November 15, 2019.

  CENTERCITYPHILA.ORG                                                                                             Center City District & Central Philadelphia Development Corporation
Investing the Proceeds of Growth | 7

                                                                                                         to a decline in real General Fund spending.
FIGURE 8: CITY OF PHILADELPHIA REVENUES BY TYPE                                                          Grants revenue for operations in these
MAJOR FUNDS, FY 2018                                                                                     areas has kept up with inflation. Notably,
                                                                                                         there was a significant capital grant from the
                                                                                                         William Penn Foundation in 2016 of up to
   $2.29 B          Wage, Earnings and Net Profits Tax
                                                                                                         $100 million for the Rebuilding Community
   $650 M           Real Estate Tax                            15%                                       Infrastructure Initiative (“Rebuild”) to
   $446 M           Business Income and Receipts Tax                             35%                     transform city parks, libraries, recreation
                                                         7%                                              centers and playgrounds. The decline in
    $332 M          Real Property Transfer Tax
                                                                                                         the City’s support for the Pennsylvania
    $198 M          Sales Tax                            7%                                              Convention Center reflects the state’s
    $276 M          Other Taxes                            5%                                            assumption of additional financial
   $403 M           Locally-Generated Non-Tax               4%                  11%                      responsibility for the Center following its
                                                                  6%       8%                            expansion in 2011.
    $401 M          Federal Grants
                    State Grants                                                                         Reduced spending in Planning and
     $881 M
                                                               $5.74 Billion                             Development results primarily from cuts
      $63 M         Other Grants                              Total Revenue                              in the federal Community Development
      $63 M         Interfund Transfers and Other                                                        Block Grant (CDBG) and related programs,
                                                                                                         but also reflects some reduced local
                                                                                                         taxpayer support. These reductions were
FIGURE 9: CITY OF PHILADELPHIA EXPENDITURES BY
                                                                                                         partially offset by new local funding
PROGRAM CATEGORY MAJOR FUNDS, FY 2018
                                                                                                         through the Housing Trust Fund, which
                                                                                                         receives dedicated revenue from real estate
     $1.51 B       Public Safety and Judicial                                                            recording fees.
                                                                      6%
    $1.45 B        Health and Human Services                                                             The reduction in the Streets Department
                                                             8%                 26%
                                                                                                         primarily results from declines in local
    $1.38 B        Employee Benefits                                                                     support. State grant funding from the
                                                         10%
                   Economic Development,                                                                 county liquid fuels and special gasoline tax
    $593 M
                   Culture and Recreation                                                                grants has largely kept pace with inflation.
    $502 M         Governance and Administration                                                         However, Mayor Kenney has signaled his
                                                               23%              24%                      intention to increase spending for sanitation
    $338 M         Debt Service and Other
                                                                                                         services in the coming fiscal year.
     $158 M        Education
                                                                                                         The only subcategories within the economic
                                                            $5.94 Billion                                development category that increased during
                                                         Total Expenditures                              this period are arts and culture (+$4.5
                                                                                                         million) and the Department of Commerce
                                                                                                         (+$34.1 million) (Figure 12).
200%, primarily due to higher contributions                During the last two decades, reductions
                                                                                                         The last increase is entirely due to growth
to the school district and new community                   occurred for the Free Library (-$4.4
                                                                                                         in the special-purpose Hotel Room Rental
schools and pre-K programs established by                  million); Parks and Recreation (-$8.3
                                                                                                         Tax, which supports the City’s convention
the Kenney administration. The only broad                  million); City support for the Pennsylvania
                                                                                                         sales and tourism marketing agencies.
category that declined was the economic                    Convention Center (-$29.1 million); housing
                                                                                                         This investment of industry-specific tax
development, culture and recreation, which                 and planning programs that recently
                                                                                                         dollars has supported efforts to expand
decreased by 18%.                                          consolidated under the Department of
                                                                                                         the hospitality industry and fill the
                                                           Planning and Development (-$90.7 million);
Appendix 1 contains a brief overview of                                                                  increased number of hotel rooms, resulting
                                                           the City’s operating subsidy to SEPTA
changes in those major spending categories                                                               in significant job growth in entry-level
                                                           (-$0.7 million); and the Streets Department
and various subcategories of spending.                                                                   positions in hotels, restaurants and
                                                           (-$33.1 million).
The discussion that follows below focuses                                                                food services.
on the one category that decreased:                        The reasons for lower spending vary by
Economic Development, Culture                              category. In the case of parks, recreation
and Recreation.                                            and libraries, reductions are primarily due

Center City District & Central Philadelphia Development Corporation                                                               CENTERCITYPHILA.ORG
8 | Investing the Proceeds of Growth

  Changes in Local Funding                                                 programs. The largest increases were in                               judicial system and for social needs like
  Over Two Decades:                                                        employee benefits ($584 million), and public                          health, human services, and education.
                                                                           safety, and judicial programs ($287 million).                         Emphasis shifted away from Strategy 2
  Because federal and state funds may rise
                                                                           Economic development, culture and                                     priorities: improving quality of life across
  or fall, a different way to frame this analysis
                                                                           recreation programs declined $63 million                              all neighborhoods, facilitating commerce,
  is to look at just the priorities for local tax
                                                                           (Figure 14).                                                          helping attract and retain residents and
  dollars. The picture remains largely the
                                                                                                                                                 businesses. Where the City has invested in
  same. From fiscal 1998 to 2018, local tax                                In sum, City budget priorities during the
                                                                                                                                                 economic development in the last decade,
  support through the General Fund for every                               past two decades shifted toward employee
                                                                                                                                                 it has yielded significant dividends, though
  major spending category increased in real                                benefits and to those activities termed in
                                                                                                                                                 primarily focused on lower wage sectors.
  terms, with the exception of economic                                    the introduction as Strategy 1 priorities:
  development, culture and recreation                                      expanding support for public safety, the

  FIGURE 10: CITY OF PHILADELPHIA EXPENDITURES, ALL PROGRAM CATEGORIES
  MAJOR FUNDS, FY 1998 – FY 2018 (2018 DOLLARS IN BILLIONS)
  $7.00

  $6.00

                                                                                                                                                                                                              $5.94
                                                                                                                                                                                                   $5.77
                                                                                                                                                                                        $5.65
                                                                                                                        $5.56
                                                                                                              $5.57

                                                                                                                                                                      $5.48
                                                                                                     $5.52

                                                                                                                                                                                $5.41
                                                                                  $5.39
                                                                         $5.41

  $5.00

                                                                                                                                                   $5.30
                                                                                                                                         $5.29

                                                                                                                                                           $5.29
                                                                                             $5.28
                                                                 $5.35

                                                                                                                                $5.23
                                                     $5.17
                                         $5.04
                                 $4.92
                       $4.88
           $4.71

  $4.00

  $3.00

  $2.00

  $1.00

  $0.00
           FY98        FY99     FY00     FY01       FY02        FY03     FY04     FY05       FY06    FY07    FY08       FY09    FY10    FY11      FY12     FY13      FY14      FY15     FY16      FY17      FY18

  FIGURE 11: CITY OF PHILADELPHIA EXPENDITURES BY PROGRAM CATEGORY
  MAJOR FUNDS, FY 1998 AND FY 2018 (2018 DOLLARS IN BILLIONS)

  $1,600
                                                             $1,513
                           $1,449
  $1,400
                                                                                          $1,383
             $1,292
                                          $1,233
  $1,200

  $1,000

    $800                                                                     $725                        $721

    $600                                                                                                              $593
                                                                                                                                                 $502
                                                                                                                                   $454
    $400                                                                                                                                                                      $338
                                                                                                                                                                   $237
    $200                                                                                                                                                                                                   $158
                                                                                                                                                                                                $49
      $0
                     Health and                  Public Safety               Employee Benefits               Economic                  Governance                   Debt Service                  Education
                   Human Services                and Judicial                                          Development, Culture         and Administration               and Other
                                                                                                          and Recreation
             FY98              FY18

  CENTERCITYPHILA.ORG                                                                                                             Center City District & Central Philadelphia Development Corporation
Investing the Proceeds of Growth | 9

Given compelling local need and the decline                 well-maintained parks are critical to                   event of an economic downturn of having
in federal funds to facilitate inclusion, it                ensuring that Philadelphia remains an                   to choose between cutting services or
is understandable why City priorities have                  attractive place to live, locate a business             increasing taxes. Cutting services in a
moved in this direction. Public safety is an                and to work. However, absent more funds                 recession will be devastating to those in
essential focus in a city where crime rates                 from higher levels of government, the                   need. Raising tax rates will be counter-
remain high. Quality public education is                    City must rely on its own municipal tax                 productive to the retention and attraction
key to lifting children out of poverty and                  base, which remains relatively small in                 of business and the growth of family
increasing workforce participation.                         comparison to other major cities and to                 sustaining jobs.
                                                            adjacent counties, whether measured in
Avoiding Either/Or Choices:                                 terms of property values or income. This
                                                                                                                    Philadelphia has already found creative
                                                                                                                    ways to avoid these either/or choices.
Still, quality of life factors like clean and               constrains Philadelphia’s ability to fund
                                                                                                                    During the past 20 years, the largest
pothole free streets, reliable transit, and                 all programs and creates the risk in the

FIGURE 12: CITY OF PHILADELPHIA EXPENDITURES FOR ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT, CULTURE,
AND RECREATION PROGRAMS (2018 DOLLARS IN BILLIONS)

                                                                                                                    Notes:
                                                                                      AMOUNT         PERCENT
 PROGRAMS                                          FY98                FY18                                         1.Includes Art Museum subsidy, Office of Arts and
                                                                                      CHANGE          CHANGE
                                                                                                                      Culture and the Creative Economy, Atwater Kent
  Arts and Culture1                                 $4.5                $8.9              $4.5           100%         Museum subsidy, Civic Center subsidy, and Mural
                                                                                                                      Arts Program.
  Free Library                                     $54.5               $50.1             ($4.4)             -8%
                                                                                                                    2. Includes Camp William Penn.
  Parks and Recreation     2
                                                   $81.5               $73.2             ($8.3)          -10%       3. Includes Office of Housing and Community
                                                                                                                        Development, Department of Planning and
  Commerce/City Representative                     $51.4               $85.5             $34.1              66%         Development, City Planning Commission,
  Convention Center Subsidy                        $44.1               $15.0           ($29.1)           -66%           Historical Commission, and Zoning Board
                                                                                                                        of Adjustment.
  Planning and Development      3
                                                  $171.1               $80.4           ($90.7)           -53%
  SEPTA Subsidy                                    $82.7               $81.9             ($0.7)             -1%
  Streets                                         $231.2              $198.1           ($33.1)           -14%
  TOTAL                                          $720.8               $593.1          ($127.7)           -18%

FIGURE 13: ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT AND RECREATION PROGRAMS LOCAL TAX SUPPORT AND
TOTAL SPENDING, FY 1998 – FY 2018 (2018 DOLLARS IN BILLIONS)

$900

$800                                   $786
                    $721                                     $736                 $728
                                                                                                     $697
$700
                                                                                                                         $604               $613
                                                                                                                                                                   $593
$600

$500
                                $440               $432
            $415
$400                                                                     $385                $365
                                                                                                                                    $336                 $351
                                                                                                                  $290
$300

$200

$100

  $0
                 FY98               FY99                   FY00                FY02               FY07               FY12                 FY17                 FY18

            Local Tax Support       Total Expenditures

Center City District & Central Philadelphia Development Corporation                                                                                CENTERCITYPHILA.ORG
10 | Investing the Proceeds of Growth

  reductions in federal funding have been in       FIGURE 14: CHANGE IN GENERAL FUND TAX SUPPORT FOR
  the area of community development – not          PROGRAM CATEGORIES, FY 1998 – FY 2018
  resources to address homelessness, but           (2018 DOLLARS IN BILLIONS)
  funding to rehabilitate existing homes,
  reinforce stable neighborhoods and improve        $700

  housing quality and options for working                    $584
                                                    $600
  families whose incomes are constrained.
  The City has increased local funding for          $500
  housing and community development
                                                    $400
  by harnessing the proceeds of growth:
  committing expiring abatements from               $300                     $287
  market rate development to affordable
  housing, providing density bonuses (not           $200
                                                                                            $108
  exactions) in return for contributions to                                                                 $85
                                                    $100
  affordable housing and dedicating transfer                                                                                $41
                                                                                                                                               $8
  taxes to the Housing Trust Fund. These              $0
  are promising ways to align, rather than
                                                   -$100                                                                                                       -$63
  juxtapose, the momentum of the market                     Employee       Public Safety   Education     Debt Service     Health and      Governance and    Economic Development
  with the need for affordable housing, so                   Benefits       and Judicial                  and Other     Human Services     Administration       and Recreation

  long as they are not achieved by adding even
  more costs onto development. Other cities        Public services in general, such as                         in education, job training and services
  also augment constrained capital budgets         sanitation, public safety and education,                    for those of limited means and mobility
  by making greater use of tax increment           and physical projects, like playgrounds,                    and seeks to stabilize moderate-income
  financing (TIF) districts to capture the         recreation centers and street paving                        neighborhoods, it must simultaneously
  proceeds of local growth for broader capital,    produce visible results. They signal progress               prompt faster employment growth.
  transit and public area improvements that in     toward stated goals. They build the public’s                Only in this way will there be sufficient
  turn prompt additional private investment.       confidence in government and send positive                  opportunities in the city for those seeking
                                                   signals to those who seek to invest.                        to enter the workforce and to enjoy the
  There is also a lot of evidence that quality
                                                                                                               benefits of growth. Only the creation of
  of life investments, like cleaning, greening     However, 41.2% of all working residents
                                                                                                               more family-sustaining jobs will persuade
  and gardening on abandoned lots in low           of Philadelphia reverse commute to jobs
                                                                                                               those with the option to leave that there
  income neighborhoods, improve community          outside the city. At the same time, our
                                                                                                               are promising reasons to stay.16 This leads
  confidence and home values and have a            two largest employment nodes, Center
                                                                                                               to a consideration of Strategy 3: Expanding
  positive effect on Strategy 1 objectives,        City and University City hold 53% of all of
                                                                                                               employment by lowering the cost of working
  reducing crime and enhancing perceptions         Philadelphia’s jobs and are easily accessible
                                                                                                               and doing business in Philadelphia.
  of safety.                                       at the center of the regional transit
                                                   system. Therefore, as Philadelphia invests

  FIGURE 15: CITY AND SCHOOL DISTRICT OF PHILADELPHIA TAX RATES

                          WAGE TAX                                         BIRT

                                                               GROSS                          NET                   REAL           USE AND                  REAL ESTATE
   YEAR            RESIDENT        NON-RESIDENT
                                                             RECEIPTS                      INCOME                 ESTATE        OCCUPANCY                     TRANSFER

   1995              4.9600%             4.3125%             3.25 mills                      6.50%               8.2640%                 4.6200%                    3.000%
   2000              4.6135%             4.0112%             2.65 mills                      6.50%               8.2640%                 4.6200%                    3.000%
   2005              4.3310%             3.8197%               1.9 mills                     6.50%               8.2640%                 4.6200%                    3.000%
   2010              3.9296%             3.4997%            1.415 mills                      6.45%               8.2640%                 4.6200%                    3.000%
   2015              3.9200%             3.4915%            1.415 mills                      6.41%               1.3400%                 1.1300%                    3.000%
   2020              3.8712%             3.4481%            1.415 mills                      6.20%               1.3998%                 1.2100%                    3.278%

  CENTERCITYPHILA.ORG                                                                              Center City District & Central Philadelphia Development Corporation
Investing the Proceeds of Growth | 11

Tax Policy, An                                                     authority from the Commonwealth to levy                              (Figures 1 & 15). Further increases in the
Historical Perspective:                                            a temporary 1% wage tax. By the 1960s, as                            1980s brought it to 4.96%, as Philadelphia
                                                                   the city lost its industrial base and jobs and                       became a very highly taxed municipality,
When Philadelphia thrived with a vibrant
                                                                   residents accelerated their movement to the                          compared to competitor cities and nearby
manufacturing economy in the early 20th
                                                                   suburbs, the City doubled the wage tax to                            suburbs. Today, despite recent reductions,
century, anchored by railroads and rivers,
                                                                   2% and added new business taxes.                                     our wage tax still remains almost four times
the majority of jobs in the region were
                                                                                                                                        as high as most surrounding municipalities
concentrated in the city. Local government                         In the 1970s, additional rate increases were
                                                                                                                                        and our business taxes can add a 20%
supported itself primarily through the                             levied on a steadily declining tax base to
                                                                                                                                        to 30% premium to locating in the city
real estate tax. In 1939, a decade into                            support generous municipal employee labor
                                                                                                                                        compared to adjacent suburbs.
the Great Depression when property                                 contracts. In that decade, the wage tax
values plummeted, Philadelphia received                            was raised multiple times from 2% to 4.3%                            In an era when post-industrial firms and

FIGURE 16: FISCAL IMPACT OF WAGE AND EARNINGS TAX RATE REDUCTIONS
(2019 DOLLARS IN MILLIONS)

$40                            $38.4

$35

$30                                                                                    $29.2
                                        $28.2

$25           $24.1

                                                $20.4                          $21.1
$20                    $18.0
      $17.3
                                                               $14.9 $14.7                     $14.9 $14.7 $14.5
$15

                                                        $9.6                                                            $10.0
$10

                                                                                                                                                                       $4.7 $4.9      $5.1 $5.2
 $5
                                                                                                                                                      $1.7     $1.8
                                                                                                                                $0.6 $0.0 $0.0
 $0
       FY96     FY97    FY98    FY99     FY00    FY01   FY02    FY03    FY04    FY05    FY06     FY07   FY08     FY09    FY10   FY11    FY12   FY13     FY14   FY15    FY16    FY17   FY18     FY19

Note: The most significant wage cuts over this period occurred at the beginning of FY09, when the resident wage tax declined from 4.219% to 3.98% and the non-
resident tax from 3.7242% to 3.5392%. The FY09 reductions were financed primarily by a large infusion of $86.5 million in state gaming proceeds, a funding stream
that the City has continued to receive at a much reduced rate over the past decade. (In the figure, the $14.5 million reduction in FY09 represents the amount of the
reduction financed by local taxpayers.) In all other years, the primary source of reductions came from the decision not to spend every tax dollar collected for services.

FIGURE 17: FISCAL IMPACT OF BUSINESS INCOME AND RECEIPTS TAX RATE REDUCTIONS
(2017 DOLLARS IN MILLIONS)

$18
                                       $16.8
$16
                       $14.1
$14      $13.4
                                                                 $9.6
$12

$10                                                 $9.2

 $8

 $6

 $4

 $2                                                                                                                                                                                      $1.8
                                                                                                                                                 $1.0           $1.0          $1.0
                                                                $2.5
 $0
         2004           2005           2006         2007         2008          2009            2010       2011           2012          2013       2014          2015          2016           2017

          Gross Receipts               Net Income

Center City District & Central Philadelphia Development Corporation                                                                                                       CENTERCITYPHILA.ORG
12 | Investing the Proceeds of Growth

  employees are highly mobile, one way                        to jump-start development; by 14 years of                    the proceeds of growth should be invested in
  to measure the City’s commitment to                         sustained and predicable tax reduction and                   tax reduction, lowering the cost of working
  economic growth is the extent to which it                   by long-term municipal financial stability,                  and doing business in Philadelphia, to prompt
  takes the less visible steps to improve its                 courtesy of the guidelines and guardrails                    more widespread and inclusive, private-sector
  attractiveness through tax competitiveness.                 established by PICA.                                         job growth?
  Effective and equitable tax policy is more
  than geographic or industry-specific,
                                                              Philadelphia 2020 ­— A Tale of                               To answer, it is important to underscore
                                                              One City Growing Too Slowly:                                 that 14 years of significant, annual tax
  targeted inducements, abatements or
                                                                                                                           reduction implemented by Mayors Rendell,
  incentives. Rather, it should be a citywide                 The rebound from decades of manufacturing
                                                                                                                           Street and Nutter from 1996 to 2010 was
  effort to create a competitive setting for the              decline, however, is far from complete.
                                                                                                                           not primarily achieved by securing new
  growth of jobs of all kinds.                                Philadelphia has the highest poverty rate of
                                                                                                                           sources of revenue to pay for tax reduction
                                                              the 10 largest U.S. cities. More than 200,000
  Beginning in 1992, with the infusion of new                                                                              (though new gaming revenues did have a
                                                              city households, that make $50,000 or less,
  revenues from PICA, with their requirement                                                                               significant impact in one year). Wage and
                                                              devote 30% or more of their incomes to
  for a balanced budget, a five-year plan                                                                                  business tax reduction occurred largely
                                                              pay for housing. While job growth has been
  and the provision that all municipal labor                                                                               because not every tax dollar collected by
                                                              positive since the end of the recession, it
  contracts take into account their impact                                                                                 the City was devoted to salaries and services.
                                                              remains low compared to other major cities.
  on the municipal budget, the City regained                                                                               Instead, some was reserved to enhance
                                                              Philadelphia has added jobs at the rate of
  financial stability. Following decades of rate                                                                           competitiveness.
                                                              1.5% per year since 2009; the 25 largest
  increases across most of the city’s major tax
                                                              cities have achieved growth rates of 2.3%                    The Slowdown of Tax Relief: As shown in
  sources, in 1996 the Rendell administration
                                                              per annum. Cities like Boston, New York                      Figure 16, the amount of collected revenue
  began a multiyear plan of reductions in
                                                              and Washington D.C. have exceeded their                      not spent on services, but dedicated to wage
  wage and business taxes, recognizing
                                                              1970 job levels. Philadelphia still has 23%                  tax reductions, in constant 2019 dollars,
  their deleterious effect on local growth.
                                                              fewer jobs than in 1970. Recent accelerating                 ranged from $9 million to $38 million per
  Significant reductions continued through
                                                              employment expansion is concentrated                         year for 15 consecutive fiscal years, from
  eight years of the Street administration
                                                              disproportionately in low-wage jobs, when                    1996 to 2010 for an average of $19.3 million
  and the first two years of the Nutter
                                                              compared to other major cities, which are                    per year. Continuous wage tax reduction
  Administration. They were temporarily
                                                              growing a much larger share of family                        came to a halt with the recession. There
  suspended during the recession and
                                                              sustaining jobs. High school and college                     was no reduction in fiscal 2012 and 2013.
  resumed at a much slower rate beginning
                                                              graduation rates outside of Greater Center                   Beginning in fiscal 2014, the City resumed
  in FY14. (Figures 16 and 17)
                                                              City remain very low in comparison to our                    the reductions, but at a much lower level,
  The city’s resurgence in the past decade                    suburbs and many                                             with reductions since that time averaging
  builds upon the national economic                           other cities.                                                just $5 million per year.
  expansion, upon favorable demographic
                                                              2020 and Beyond ­—                                           From fiscal years 1996 to 2010, the revenue
  trends and a growing national preference
                                                              Choosing the Path Forward:                                   forgone due to tax cuts in any single year
  for walkable, transit-oriented, live-work
                                                                                                                           was never more than 1% of total General
  settings with diverse cultural amenities.                   In 2020, Philadelphia has an extraordinary
                                                                                                                           Fund obligations. The actual revenue
  Local strengths include professional and                    opportunity created by the 39% increase in
                                                                                                                           impact of the tax rate reductions ranged
  business services; education, health care                   the real value of tax revenues received by
                                                                                                                           from 0.23% to 0.98% of General Fund
  with a growing focus on biomed innovation;                  the City during the last decade. As Mayor
                                                                                                                           spending, and averaged 0.47% of the budget.
  a burgeoning technology sector, small                       Kenney begins his second term, he has the
                                                                                                                           When the rate cuts resumed in FY14, they
  business formation and a vibrant restaurant                 ability to adjust spending priorities to focus
                                                                                                                           were significantly smaller, never exceeding
  and startup scene.                                          more on key quality of life challenges, gar-
                                                                                                                           one-tenth of one percent of General Fund
                                                              ner new support for investments in schools
  The stage was set for growth in the 1990s                                                                                spending.15 Had Philadelphia devoted the
                                                              and, by revisiting tax policy, he can set in
  by major investments in quality of life                                                                                  same amount to wage tax reduction from
                                                              motion more expansive and inclusive growth
  and hospitality; by sustained, well-funded                                                                               2014 to 2019 as the average committed
                                                              trends, leaving a legacy that bears fruit long
  public space management programs                                                                                         from 1996 to 2010 ($19.3 million per year)
                                                              after his second term in office ends.
  and enhancements in Center City and in                                                                                   rather than $5.2 million per year, the wage
  University City; by citywide tax abatements                 To consider Strategy 3, it is necessary first                tax for city residents would have been
                                                              to pose the question: How large a portion of

  15: T
       hese calculations include Department of Human Services’ obligations in the Grants Revenue Fund to allow for comparisons over time. Beginning in fiscal year 2012, the City
      shifted the majority of that department’s spending from the General Fund to the Grants Revenue Fund.

  CENTERCITYPHILA.ORG                                                                                           Center City District & Central Philadelphia Development Corporation
Investing the Proceeds of Growth | 13

reduced to 3.6881% rather than 3.8809%.                       in annual increments of 0.05% to 6.20% in                       net income), reducing the tax base but not
For suburban residents working in the city,                   2020. The rate is scheduled to decline to                       the rate. This exemption has mitigated
the rate would have dropped to 3.2863%                        6.0% in 2023.                                                   the impact of BIRT on thousands of small
rather than 3.4567%. If cuts in this range                                                                                    businesses, removing more than 50,000
                                                              While the fiscal impact of the gross receipts
were projected forward for the next four                                                                                      from the tax rolls, while shifting the burden
                                                              cuts ranged from $9 million to $17 million
years, by 2024 the wage tax could be                                                                                          to larger businesses. A 2018 CPDC analysis
                                                              from 2004 to 2008, since resuming in 2014,
reduced to 3.5148% for city residents and to                                                                                  of Department of Revenue records found
                                                              the reductions in the net income portion
3.1323% for suburban residents who work                                                                                       that office-using firms account for 21% of
                                                              have not cost more than $1.8 million
in Philadelphia.16                                                                                                            citywide jobs, but shoulder 57% of the BIRT
                                                              per year. If reductions beginning in 2020
                                                                                                                              burden. When added to Use and Occupan-
There were also significant reductions in                     were funded at the same annual dollar
                                                                                                                              cy charges, these taxes place a premium
the Business Income and Receipts Tax                          commitment between 2004 and 2008, ($13.1
                                                                                                                              from 20% to 30%, depending on the type of
(BIRT) beginning in 1996, with the gross                      million/year), the net income portion of the
                                                                                                                              firm, on the cost of locating within the city
receipts portion reduced each year from                       BIRT could be reduced to 5.15% by 2024.17
                                                                                                                              compared to the surrounding suburbs. As
1996 to 2008, cutting the rate from 3.25
                                                              The Shifted Tax Burden: Since the reces-                        a result, while the exemption was helpful
mills to 1.415 mills (a 56% reduction)
                                                              sion, the City also altered the structure of                    to many small neighborhood businesses,
(Figure 17). The rate reductions ceased
                                                              the BIRT, changing how revenues within                          it shifted the burden onto precisely those
during the recession and in 2011, the City
                                                              and outside the city are apportioned for tax                    firms with the greatest ability to leave
adopted a new policy approach, maintaining
                                                              purposes to favor all businesses located                        the city.
the gross receipts tax at 1.415 mills,
                                                              in Philadelphia. In addition, new regula-
implementing instead modest reductions                                                                                       The Case For Tax Reform:
                                                              tions exempted the first $100,000 in gross
to the net income portion of the BIRT. This
                                                              receipts from the BIRT tax base (along                         Those who defend the diminished size
rate dropped from 6.45% in 2013 to 6.4% in
                                                              with a proportionate reduction in taxable                      of reductions suggest that it is all the
2014, and has been reduced subsequently
                                                                                                                             City can “afford,” given other compelling
                                                                                                                             needs and cuts that were made during the
FIGURE 18: CITY AND SCHOOL DISTRICT OF PHILADELPHIA                                                                          Great Recession. They frequently cite the
TAX REVENUE DISTRIBUTION BY TAX CATEGORY, FY 1995 – FY 2019                                                                  cumulative, multiyear total of the reductions
                                                                                                                             from 1996 to the present, rather than the
                                                                                                                             actual annual amount of the commitment
100%
              3%                 3%                  3%                  4%                 5%                               in relation to the overall size of the General
              4%                 4%                  4%                                                         7%
                                                                         6%                 7%                               Fund. Nor do they weigh the positive impact
              10%                                                                                               7%
                                 11%                 13%                                                                     on business decisions by firms considering
                                                                        11%                 11%
 80%                                                                                                           11%           10 to 15 year leases, if the City’s five-year
                                                                                                                             plan provides reassurance that occupancy
                                                                                                                             costs due to business taxes will go steadily
                                                                                                                             down, narrowing the gap between city and
 60%
              47%                48%                                                                                         suburban occupancy costs.
                                                    46%                 45%
                                                                                           44%                 43%
                                                                                                                             The core argument for tax reduction, on
                                                                                                                             the scale of the Rendell, Street and first
 40%
                                                                                                                             few Nutter years, is that it constitutes an
                                                                                                                             investment in citywide job retention and
                                                                                                                             expansion, putting more income into the
 20%                                                                                                                         hands of wage earners, while making the
              36%                                   34%
                                 33%                                    34%                33%                 33%           city a more competitive place for businesses
                                                                                                                             of all sizes to grow.

  0%                                                                                                                          A further justification for wage and business
              FY95                FY00               FY05                FY10               FY15               FY19           tax reduction, first advanced in the Rendell
          Real Property Tax        Personal Income Tax         Business Income Tax           Sales Tax       Other Tax
                                                                                                                              years and reaffirmed by two independent

16: This calculation assumes that the wage tax base will increase at the rates projected in the City’s FY20-FY24 Five Year Financial Plan, and that the value of the City’s annual
     investment in wage tax cuts increases by 2.5% annually through 2024.
17: This calculation assumes the BIRT net income tax base will increase at rates projected in the City’s five-year plan, and that the annual investment in BIRT reduction will
     increase at 2.5% annually.

Center City District & Central Philadelphia Development Corporation                                                                                            CENTERCITYPHILA.ORG
14 | Investing the Proceeds of Growth

  tax reform commissions, one in 2003 and                       larger share of local tax revenue, nor were                   business taxes are avoidable through
  another in 2009, is that the overall mix of                   they used to offset and reduce the burden of                  relocation within the region, they have
  taxes that Philadelphia levies is counter-                    other taxes. What needs to occur is growth                    the most significant negative economic
  productive. It is not that Philadelphia taxes                 in the base as more businesses choose to                      impact.19
  too much; Philadelphia disproportionately                     expand, develop and lease more real estate.
                                                                                                                              Each day, as 41.2% of Philadelphia’s
  taxes the wrong things.                                       Growing demand for office and workspace
                                                                                                                              workforce reverse commutes to jobs in the
                                                                produces rising rents and more property
  Considering all local taxes (including                                                                                      suburbs, they work alongside colleagues
                                                                used for business purposes, yielding higher
  those levied by the City and on behalf of                                                                                   who live in the suburbs, paying no more
                                                                assessed values and a greater share of
  the School District), wage and business                                                                                     than their locality’s 1% wage tax. Since
                                                                real estate tax revenues from commercial
  taxes in fiscal year 2019 comprised half                                                                                    state law obligates suburban employers
                                                                properties. What little change in the
  of all local tax revenue, while real estate                                                                                 to withhold the 3.8% wage tax from city
                                                                proportional weighting of Philadelphia’s tax
  taxes (including the use and occupancy tax)                                                                                 residents, there is a significant incentive
                                                                portfolio that has occurred during the past
  made up just 31%. The sales tax and real                                                                                    (a 2.8% salary increase) for reverse
                                                                quarter century has been largely due to
  estate transfer tax each generate 6% of                                                                                     commuters to find homes closer to
                                                                the increase of sales and parking tax rates
  revenue, while other levies (including taxes                                                                                their jobs. The amenities and lifestyle of
                                                                and new taxes on cigarettes and sweetened
  on parking, amusements, liquor, cigarettes,                                                                                 Philadelphia have a strong appeal, but they
                                                                beverages.
  and sweetened beverages) make up the                                                                                        are pitted each day against pocketbook
  remaining 6%.                                                A recent analysis by the Pew Charitable                        issues that Philadelphia has the direct
                                                               Trusts found that, among the 30 largest US                     ability to address.
  The basic share of City tax revenue that
                                                               cities, Philadelphia’s overall reliance on
  comes from these different sources has not                                                                                  Philadelphia can perhaps continue to levy
                                                               the property tax in 2015 was the lowest – at
  changed significantly since 1995. Excluding                                                                                 these taxes at rates significantly higher than
                                                               only 25% of tax revenue raised by local
  the volatile real estate transfer tax, wage                                                                                 the region and other cities and still achieve
                                                               government. That study also concluded that
  and earnings taxes have declined modestly,                                                                                  modest levels of growth during periods of
                                                               Philadelphia ranked second highest out of
  from 47% to 43% of all tax revenue.                                                                                         economic expansion, as we are currently
                                                               30 major cities in the percent of total local
  Business tax revenue has increased from                                                                                     doing, because of significant amenities
                                                               revenues derived from business taxes and
  10% to 11% of the total (Figure 18).                                                                                        and locational advantages. However, slow
                                                               third in its dependence on the wage tax.18
                                                                                                                              growth and low wage jobs will never
  Despite recommendations of the two tax                       In 2020, Philadelphia’s very high reliance on
                                                                                                                              generate sufficient revenues locally to
  commissions that the city should increase                    wage and business taxes still makes us an
                                                                                                                              meet needs unless the tax base grows. Nor
  its reliance on the real estate tax (taxing                  outlier among competitor cities.
                                                                                                                              will it create sufficient well-paying jobs
  what cannot easily move, rather than
                                                                Options and Choices For                                       for those with the education and means to
  taxing highly mobile businesses and
                                                                the Next Four Years:                                          leave. Both can achieved best by lowering
  employee salaries), revenues from the
                                                                                                                              wage, business and use-and-occupancy tax
  property tax have actually declined from                      Put simply, funding for schools, recreation,
                                                                                                                              barriers more aggressively, bringing them in
  36% to 33% of total taxes. This occurred                      housing and social services is essential to
                                                                                                                              line with other cities and nearby suburbs.
  despite the enactment of the AVI, which                       meet the needs of Philadelphia’s residents.
  held the promise of realizing increased real                  However, it is not sufficient to secure a                     What is an appropriate wage tax rate?
  estate tax revenue in growth areas (and                       future with more of the well-paying job                       One can compare Philadelphia rates to
  lower taxes in areas that were struggling)                    opportunities.                                                other major cities with local income taxes.
  assuring that assessments would more                                                                                        With the notable exception of New York,
                                                                Wage and Business Tax Reform: To realize
  closely reflect market values. The 2009 tax                                                                                 America’s largest city and one with global
                                                                more expansive and diversified growth, as is
  commission specifically recommended                                                                                         reach, no other large U.S. city levies a local
                                                                occurring in other large cities, Philadelphia
  dedicating a portion of increased revenue                                                                                   resident income tax at a rate that exceeds
                                                                should reaffirm its commitment to a
  from rising real estate taxes to lowering                                                                                   3.05%, the rate in Baltimore. (Notably,
                                                                more competitive tax structure by making
  the rates for wage and business taxes.                                                                                      their commuter income tax is only 1.25%,
                                                                significant, predictable, ongoing reductions
  However, increases in the real estate and                                                                                   and other Maryland counties typically
                                                                to wage and business taxes. Philadelphia’s
  the use and occupancy tax rates during                                                                                      levy income taxes at similar rates.) Most
                                                                unique mix of taxes is an outlier compared
  the past decade have not been sufficient                                                                                    business leaders interviewed as part of the
                                                                to other cities, and, because wage and
  to cause real estate taxes to constitute a                                                                                  2009 tax commission process suggested a

  18: The Cost of Local Government in Philadelphia, The Pew Charitable Trusts, March 2019.
  19: Other factors that may account for Philadelphia’s slow job growth rate and the disproportionately small share of family-sustaining jobs created since 2009 are outlined in
       CPDC’s October 2019 report, Growing More Family-Sustaining Jobs. However, local tax policy looms large and is largely within local control.

  CENTERCITYPHILA.ORG                                                                                             Center City District & Central Philadelphia Development Corporation
Investing the Proceeds of Growth | 15

reasonable goal for Philadelphia would be                     tax from 3.4481% in 2020 to 3.3023% in               pay debt service and returned the remainder
to get the wage just below 3%. Other cities                   2025. The stronger strategy would result             to the City’s General Fund. Currently, PICA’s
with income taxes include Indianapolis                        in a resident rate of 3.5433% and a non-             share of the wage tax revenue exceeds $550
(2.02%), Detroit (2.4%), and Columbus (2.5%).                 resident rate of 3.1566% by 2025. For BIRT,          million annually. Because the debt service
                                                              if the entire competitiveness investment             was structured in large declining tranches,
The annual commitment to wage tax
                                                              were allocated to lowering the net income            unlike the level debt service of a typical
reduction can be incremental, because the
                                                              tax, under the moderate scenario the rate            home mortgage, the amount currently
cumulative impact can be significant. Since
                                                              would drop from 6.20% in 2020 to 5.50% in            devoted by PICA to retire the bonds has
1996, the resident wage tax has declined by
                                                              2025. Under the stronger scenario, BIRT’s            declined to just $47 million per year, with
more than a percentage point (from 4.96%
                                                              net income rate would be lowered to 4.81%            the balance annually transferred to the
to 3.87%), and the gross receipts portion
                                                              in 2025.                                             City in form of a grant to supplement the
of the BIRT has declined by 56% (from
                                                                                                                   operating budget.
3.25 mills to 1.415 mills). The principle                     Predictability is particularly important for
of continuous, reliable, predictable and                      businesses and office tenants considering            PICA will sunset in 2023. City and state
fiscally responsible reductions should be a                   long-term leases. If current wage and                officials and civic leaders are beginning to
cornerstone of the city’s fiscal policy.                      business tax rates are committed to a                discuss whether to reauthorize its oversight
Rather than lock in a schedule of rate                        downward trajectory in the five-year plan,           powers and/or its ability to issue debt for
reductions that may be not achievable                         this provides confidence to businesses               some new purpose; whether its oversight
in time of contraction, Philadelphia                          that tax rates and higher-than-suburban              powers might be increased or decreased;
could adopt simple rule: expressing its                       occupancy costs will steadily decline.               or if it simply goes out of business.20
commitment to competitiveness as a                            Considering how many regional and
                                                                                                                   If the Authority’s debt issuance powers
percentage of total annual expenditures.                      national firms currently have small
                                                                                                                   are renewed, the PICA portion of the wage
If tax revenues and budgeted spending                         outposts, clustered in coworking spaces on
                                                                                                                   tax could also be reauthorized. (However,
rise, so does the amount committed to tax                     short-term agreements, Philadelphia has a
                                                                                                                   given how little is currently devoted to
reduction. If they fall, the dollar amount of                 significant opportunity to lock in for a longer
                                                                                                                   debt service and how much flows into
tax reduction would be curtailed.                             term many expanding businesses who value
                                                                                                                   the City operating budget, only modest
                                                              our workforce, but are concerned about our
A moderate tax reform strategy, based on                                                                           amounts could be borrowed, unless the
                                                              costs.
the experience of the last two decades,                                                                            City restructured its sources of operating
would commit 0.5% of the budget to wage                       Expiration of PICA and Opportunities for             income.) If the bonding capacity of PICA is
and business tax rate reductions. A strong                    Change. The expiration of PICA in 2023,              not reauthorized, the resident portion of the
tax reform strategy would set the annual                      the last year of Mayor Kenney’s second               wage tax will automatically drop by 1.5%
investment in tax competitiveness and                         term, will occur as many candidates will be          (currently that would achieve a reduced
economic growth at 1.0% of budgeted                           positioning to run for Mayor. This creates           resident rate of 2.3%). Alternatively, in 2023
spending. Based on projected spending                         another significant opportunity for change.          the City will have to increase the wage
growth rates in the current five-year                                                                              tax rate for residents by 1.5%, largely to
                                                              When PICA was created in 1991, it was given
financial plan, the moderate scenario would                                                                        stay even with wage tax revenues, while
                                                              the authority to receive a portion of City tax
result in a $28 million allocation to tax cuts                                                                     not having a visible impact on taxpayers.
                                                              revenues to pay debt service on bonds that
in 2021, an amount that would increase to                                                                          Regardless, the decision represents a major
                                                              it issued to ease the City’s fiscal crisis. The
$30 million by 2025. The stronger scenario                                                                         landmark for the City that should not be
                                                              City decided to allocate to PICA the first
would result in a $56 million investment                                                                           taken lightly, if only because its implications
                                                              1.5% of the wage tax paid by City residents.
in tax reduction in 2021, increasing to $61                                                                        need to be represented now in the coming
                                                              Since FY92, PICA has used this revenue to
million by 2025. Based on the proportional                                                                         five-year plan.
revenue generated by the wage tax and
the BIRT, a reasonable allocation would                       FIGURE 19: STRONGER TAX REDUCTION SCENARIO:
be to devote 70% of the funds allocated to                    PROJECTED WAGE AND BIRT RATES, 2021–2025
competitiveness to the reductions in the
wage tax and 30% to BIRT reductions.
                                                                                                  2020           2021      2022       2023        2024      2025
The moderate strategy would reduce the
                                                                Wage Tax Resident Rate         3.8712%    3.8035%       3.7368%    3.6713%     3.6067%   3.5433%
resident wage tax from 3.8712% in 2020
                                                                Wage Tax Non-Resident Rate     3.4481%    3.3879%       3.3286%    3.2704%     3.2130%   3.1566%
to 3.7072% in 2025 and the non-resident
                                                                BIRT Net Income Rate              6.20%         5.93%      5.65%      5.37%      5.09%      4.81%

20: The Future of Fiscal Oversight in Philadelphia, The Pew Charitable Trusts, January 2020.

Center City District & Central Philadelphia Development Corporation                                                                           CENTERCITYPHILA.ORG
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