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Monday, June 8, 2020

ISO-NE security proposal sees                                                                                      In this issue

ongoing debate                                                                                                        ISO-NE security proposal
                                                                                                                    sees ongoing debate
Calpine with Vistra, NEPGA disagree with NESCOE
                                                                                                                      Texas Supreme Court to
The debate over ISO-NE’s energy security improvements (ESI)                                                         review ERCOT, Panda dispute
proposal continued at FERC last week with the states and
generators making dueling filings (PMT, May-19). The New                                                               NYSERDA asks for OK on
England States Committee on Electricity (NESCOE), which                                                             clean energy program
represents the region’s governors, filed an answer last Monday
that drew responses Friday from the New England Power                                                                  1 story in 20 seconds
Generators Assn (NEPGA) and Calpine and Vistra Energy.

NESCOE argued the ESI proposal presented an inherent risk
of uncompetitive offers and a unique challenge to mitigating
market power. The IMM and NESCOE’s expert witness – James
Wilson – both raised that issue in the first round of comments
last month.

The market monitoring issue is compounded by the confusion
around the central feature of the ESI – the energy call option.
At times the IMM calls it a “real option – apparently viewing it as
distinct from a financial option, but the IMM and the ISO also say
it is a financial, not a physical, obligation.”

One of the IMM’s major worries is that parties could submit
offers with no intent or ability to cover their option in real-time
by providing energy and instead, take the financial risk of an
unfavorable closeout. The IMM said the ability of ESI’s financial
consequences to induce performance in real-time remains to be
seen, arguing it will need to be monitored closely and ex ante
mitigation rules might need to be developed, or ex post probes
run if it fails.

“However, no assessment of market power or rules to effectively
mitigate the exercise of such power accompany the ISO-NE
filing,” NESCOE said.

FERC should reject the proposal as premature as it fails to
address market power, NESCOE argued. Generators argued
FERC could accept the rules and then approve market mitigation
later on, but NESCOE said they could not point to any instance
where that happened.

The IMM wants to file reports on ESI’s performance, but
NESCOE argued that would not be enough and should only be

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Power Markets Today                                                                      2                                             Monday, June 8, 2020

                                                                                                                                       Webinar recording
used as a complement for mitigating market power.

NEPGA said nothing in the Federal Power Act’s Section 206                                                               The Impact of
prohibits FERC from conditionally accepting one part of an overall                                                    Coronavirus on the
design conditioned on the latter approval of mitigation rules.                                                         Power Industry
“NESCOE mistakenly relies on a FPA Section 205 case that
                                                                                                                  A multi-media recording of Power
was rejected (without prejudice) due to its lack of market power                                                  Markets Today's webinar originally
analysis,” NEPGA said.                                                                                                  aired on May 20, 2020

“ISO-NE here acknowledges the need for – and is in the                                                                     Distinguished panel
process of completing – a market power analysis and has asked
the commission to approve the ESI proposal conditioned on
subsequent commission-approved mitigation rules.”

The state group also argued the ESI proposal would simply cost
too much, but NEPGA said its arguments were based on the
highest revenue projections from two specific resource types.                                                        Gavin Donohue
                                                                                                                         IPPNY
                                                                                                                                              Frank Graves
                                                                                                                                            The Brattle Group
Potential margins from two resource types operating under highly
stressed winter conditions say little about whether the rules are
just and reasonable, NEPGA said.

“The more relevant comparison is total potential market-wide
costs averaged over multiple years versus the reliability benefits
those costs will bring,” NEPGA said. “As explained below, when
the totality of the impact assessment projected cost evidence is                                                       Bill Kinneary
                                                                                                                            NEM
                                                                                                                                            Jamie Wimberly
                                                                                                                                                DEFG
considered, it shows relatively modest costs more than justified in
that they represent the cost of a reliable day-ahead operating plan                                               Much of the world is largely sheltering
for the near and long-term.”                                                                                      in place to try to flatten the curve of
                                                                                                                  the coronavirus and that has rocked
                                                                                                                  the economy with a huge spike in
NESCOE is the main supporter of the alternate rules before                                                        unemployment. The power sector is a
FERC, of which the biggest difference is that they are limited to                                                 vital industry with the grid needing to
the winter season only. Calpine and Vistra argued that would                                                      stay reliable in order to keep modern
                                                                                                                  society functioning.
not do enough as the risk of shortfalls is not limited to only
winter months.                                                                                                    The virus has destroyed demand for
                                                                                                                  power and other sources of energy.
                                                                                                                  With people staying home, residential
ISO-NE had a scarcity event in September 2018 that triggered its                                                  demand has gone up, but C&I demand
pay-for-performance rules but Calpine and Vistra noted that is not                                                for power is down. The economic
the only example of the ISO’s grid being stressed outside of winter.                                              impacts have had states react by
                                                                                                                  banning utility disconnections and some
                                                                                                                  states even ending meter reads to avoid
Outage offers insight                                                                                             potential spreading of the virus. ISO/
                                                                                                                  RTOs began to implement their version
In the last two weeks – on May 29 – ISO-NE experienced issues                                                     of social distancing before the states
when a 1,250-MW power plant tripped offline and then six hours                                                    started requiring everyone to in order to
                                                                                                                  keep their workforces healthy.
later a major power line went down, leading to the loss of another
1,340 MW. ISO-NE fixed the issue by dispatching a number of                                                       Find out how the power industry is
                                                                                                                  adapting to changes caused by the
combined-cycle plants outside the market.                                                                         coronavirus from our panel of industry
                                                                                                                  experts by downloading Power
“Had that product been in place for the event, ISO-NE would have                                                  Markets Today's webinar, " The Impact
known that required reserves were in place, thereby avoiding                                                      of Coronavirus on the Power Industry,"
                                                                                                                  originally aired on May 20, 2020.Call
the need to take out-of-market actions,” Calpine and Vistra                                                       +1-301-769-6812 (1-888-637-7776
said. “Additionally, had fuel supply been tighter when the event                                                  toll-free in the US and Canada) to
occurred, the replacement energy reserves would have provided                                                     order up by phone.
generators issuing such options with an incentive to firm up their
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Power Markets Today                                                                      3                                         Monday, June 8, 2020

                                                                                                                                  Upcoming webinars
fuel arrangements in advance of the event.”
                                                                                                                  Hear from the experts
Texas Supreme Court to review ERCOT,                                                                              Power Markets Today's editorial staff
Panda dispute                                                                                                     hosts online events or "webinars"
                                                                                                                  where industry experts present highly
The Texas Supreme Court agreed to review a dispute between                                                        relevant and valuable information and
ERCOT and Panda Power, which sprung out of a lawsuit the firm                                                     insight on the topics most important to
                                                                                                                  our industry – and answer questions
filed after its investment in a natural gas plant did not pan out. The                                            from the audience. These events are
legal question before the court is whether ERCOT qualifies for the                                                available for live attendance and post-
same immunities that government entities get under state law.                                                     event, multi-media downloads. Click
                                                                                                                  here to see what we have coming up.
The case involves investments from earlier this decade as the last
few years have had shortages of reserves and much higher prices.
                                                                                                                                  Webinar recordings
The case has now found its way to the highest court in the state
after ERCOT filed to appeal a lower court’s decision. In a filing
Panda made last year, the firm argued the lower court’s decision                                                  Catch up on webinars
made no sense as it found ERCOT entitled to “sovereign immunity,”                                                 you've missed
but that it is not a governmental unit and those conclusions are
irreconcilable, the ISO said.                                                                                     Catch up on retail, ISO/RTO, and
                                                                                                                  ERCOT markets, and more by visiting
                                                                                                                  Power Markets Today's webinar library
ERCOT wants the court to find it is a governmental unit, but Panda                                                where a multi-media recording of every
would rather the court reverse the finding that the grid operator is                                              webinar we've presented is available
entitled to sovereign immunity. The grid operator noted the Texas                                                 for immediate download. Don't miss
Supreme Court found a private university’s police force entitled to                                               this chance to hear industry experts
sovereign immunity as even though it is paid by a private entity, it                                              break down the most critical topics
also performs critical governmental functions.                                                                    impacting power markets today. Click
                                                                                                                  here to catch up.
“ERCOT has more indicia of governmental-unit status than did the
police force” at the university, the grid operator said in a filing last
year. “It exercises uniquely governmental powers, including the                                                                         Abbreviations
power to make law, and it does so while under the state’s complete
authority and supervision.                                                                                        Glossary of
“It is subject not only to conflict-of-interest and public-information                                            abbreviations
laws, but – more significantly – sunset review. It even receives                                                  If you do not recognize a term or
public funding. No other privately organized entity in Texas meets all                                            abbreviation in Power Markets Today,
these criteria.”                                                                                                  please visit our online glossary to get
                                                                                                                  up to speed. We use them as part of
Panda argued ERCOT’s claims that it is a state agency cannot                                                      our commitment to deliver the most
be right, arguing Texas’ deregulation of the electric industry was                                                concise, easy-to-read news possible
designed to make government less involved in the electricity market                                               The link to the glossary is also
                                                                                                                  available at the end of every issue.
– not more. “It is passing strange for this market-focused overhaul
to have resulted in the creation of a governmental grid operator                                                  NOTE: More common or important
entitled to sovereign immunity, as ERCOT claims,” Panda said.                                                     terms listed in the glossary are linked
                                                                                                                  to a search of our archive on that
NYSERDA asks for OK on clean                                                                                      term, letting readers zoom into a
                                                                                                                  particular topic. Click here to view the
energy program                                                                                                    complete list.

The New York State Energy R&D Authority (NYSERDA) filed
a petition with the PSC last week to set up the Clean Energy
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Power Markets Today                                                                      4                                        Monday, June 8, 2020

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Resources Development & Incentives Program. The “build-ready”
program and petition were required under the Climate Leadership &
Community Protection Act (CLCPA) in 2019, NYSERDA said.                                                           Introductory offer:
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Power Markets Today                                                                      5                                       Monday, June 8, 2020

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dropped 4¢ to close at $1.782/MMBTU. Both the six-to-10-day
and eight-to-14-day forecasts showed colder-than-normal weather                                                   Quickly find
across most of the eastern 2/3 of the country and the Pacific                                                     background on
Northwest, with some hotter-than-normal weather from California
to Texas and in the Rockies.                                                                                      important issues
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