June 24, 2019 Electric Vehicle Council of Ottawa Monthly Meeting
←
→
Page content transcription
If your browser does not render page correctly, please read the page content below
June 24, 2019 Electric Vehicle Council of Ottawa Monthly Meeting
Agenda - New Board member! - Technology Adoption Curve (Mike) - E-bus Campaign update (Matt) - EV Study of LEAF – cost of ownership (Darren) - EV News (Gérard) - Upcoming/past events (Raymond) - Round table discussions
When will electric cars take over?
Warning! I cannot see the future!
Bloomberg New Energy Finance Source: https://about.bnef.com/electric-vehicle-outlook/
Bloomberg New Energy Finance Source: https://about.bnef.com/electric-vehicle-outlook/
J.P. Morgan Source: https://www.jpmorgan.com/global/research/electric-vehicles
J.P. Morgan Source: https://www.jpmorgan.com/global/research/electric-vehicles
What do you see when you look at these charts?
Typical Adoption Curve
New technology adoption through time Source: https://seekingalpha.com/article/4225153-evs-oil-ice-impact-2023-beyond
Why don’t the ‘expert’ charts look like historical data?
My predictions
And then…
…which produces this
Canada Projected EV Sales
3,000,000
Canada Sales…
2,500,000
2,000,000
1,500,000
1,000,000
500,000
0
YearWhat are the predictions?
Is this the future for the automotive sector? Source: https://seekingalpha.com/article/4225153-evs-oil-ice-impact-2023-beyond
Current Trends: National Energy Board Source: http://www.neb-one.gc.ca/nrg/ntgrtd/mrkt/snpsht/2019/01-01lctrcvhclcnd-eng.html
Source: http://www.neb-one.gc.ca/nrg/ntgrtd/mrkt/snpsht/2019/01-01lctrcvhclcnd-eng.html
2011 Nissan LEAF
Cost of ownership study
-Based on very detailed daily tracking of
all charging, costs, etc. over 7 years.
- Requested by other EVCO board
membersEV vs. ICE purchase 2011 Nissan LEAF SL 2011 Nissan Altima SV Purchase price: Purchase price: $42550.00 $33897.00 Add HST: $5531.50 Add HST: $4406.61 Total: $48081.50 Total: $38303.61 Less Ontario incentive: Net purchase: $38303.61 $8500.00 Net purchase: $39581.50
Cost to buy
Based on purchase price alone (including incentive), the Altima car would
have cost $1277.89 less to buy than the LEAF.Electricity vs Gas 2011-10-18 to 2018-09-30 Nissan LEAF Nissan Altima Total distance driven: Total distance driven: 103790km 103790km Cost of electricity: Cost of gas: $2423.03 $13408.75 Average: 2.3345 cents/km Average: 12.9191 cents/km
Cost of Energy Savings
Over 7 years, gas on average was 5.53 times more expensive than electricity
Note that there were several periods of high gas prices in the past 7 years.
Hydro rates dropped significantly in 2017.
Total savings: $10985.72Other costs
(some things like winter tires are not included because it
would be the same for both vehicles)
Nissan LEAF Nissan Altima
Cost of car rentals for longer road Cost of three oil changes annually
trips over 7 years: @$95 including taxes for synthetic
oil.
$1678.50
Assumes zero other maintenance.
(includes all taxes and fees)
Total: $1995.00Summary Nissan LEAF Nissan Altima $39581.50 (purchase) $38303.61 (purchase) $2423.03 (electricity) $13408.75 (gas) $1678.50 (car rentals) $1995.00 (oil changes) Total cost over 7 years: Total cost over 7 years: $43683.03 $53707.36
Conclusion Over the 7 year period, the Nissan LEAF was approximatively $10,000 less to own than the Nissan Altima. So even if there had been no $8,500 incentive, the LEAF still would have cost a bit less to own. Most charging was done at home, saving at least 300 trips to the gas station! Meeting new and interesting people simply because I bought a LEAF: Priceless!
Past Events Reaching outside the bubble!
Past Events May 29 – Strategy session with Councillor McKenna Jun 4 – Transport Canada – cancelled Jun 11 – Meeting with Councillor Ménard Jun 19 – Transit Commission meeting
Upcoming Events
Upcoming Events -
regular
Jul 11 – Green Drinks
The Fox & Feather Pub &
Grill - 283 Elgin Street
Jul 17 – EV Drinks
Arrow and Loon - Bank
and 5th
Jul 29 - Next EVCO
meetingCREDDO – Test Drives - Weekdays
Conseil Régional de l’Environnement et du
Développement Durable de l’Outaouais
June 27 (Thursday) and July 11 (Thursday) - Parc
du Portage durant le marché du Vieux-Hull.
July 24 (Wednesday) - Nordik
August 8 (Thursday) - Château Montebello
TBD - Environment CanadaUpcoming Events
Jun 27 – CREDO Test Drives – Parc du Portage
Jul 1 – Aviation Museum Event
Museum is open for free, Part of a larger event
Room outside – show EV’s
Room inside – cooler and we can snag “civilians”
E-Bus campaign
We will have a vintage MG TC (1947) beside our
cars
IF it starts (EV’s always “start” ☺)Upcoming Events
Jul 11 - CREDO Test Drives – Parc du Portage
Jul 24 - CREDO Test Drives – Nordik
Aug 4 – Automotion 2019 – Brockville
Space for up to 8 cars
Part of a large mostly vintage car show
Great opportunity to meet petrol headsUpcoming Events
Aug 8 - CREDO Test Drives – Château Montebello
TBD - CREDO Test Drives – Environment Canada
Aug 17 - EV Day in Brockville
Part of the Brockville Fun Fest
Gord McFarlane is organizerUpcoming Events
Sep 21 – GEDO
Protera e-bus
Test drives
May have EV training for $1,000 rebate
EV Showcase
Sep 26-29 GEDO – Part II
EVs used to drive people from site to siteOther
Hydro Ottawa EV Charging Program
http://hydroottawa.com/ev-register
Become a member of EV Society
https://evsociety.ca/join/You can also read
