Key Trends in US Specialty Pharmacy and Access - Payer Perspectives and Developer Strategies, 2020-23 - Certara

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C E R TA R A E V I D E N C E & ACC E S S R E P O R T

Key Trends in US Specialty
Pharmacy and Access
Payer Perspectives and Developer Strategies, 2020-23
2                                                    CERTARA EVIDENCE & ACCESS REPORT                     OVERVIEW

Report overview
Welcome to the 2020 trends report
To allow for the optimal positioning of your product, portfolio or company, it is critical to
understand the various forces that shape the US speciality access landscape. For the last two
decades, our team has been tracking a wide range of critical market access developments.
Certara clients rely on tested playbooks to help them navigate complex and competitive
situations such as:

    ■    Increasing volume control over prescribed therapies by various payer types                                             Utilization
    ■    Tighter formularies and stricter utilization management                                                               Management
    ■   Provider incentives shifting away from volume, physicians’ flexibility to make
                                                                                                             Distribution
         Rx decisions
                                                                                                             Disruption
    ■    Increased patient exposure to out-of-pocket cost burden
    ■    Consolidation in the site-of-care landscape and payer cost shifting strategies

                                                                                                                                                ci     o
    ■   Rising complexity of reimbursement-relevant coding and billing procedures

                                                                                                                                                  ch F
         depending on setting/ site of administration
    ■   Growing payer ability to leverage biosimilar entrants and therapeutic

                                                                                                                                                    Re s ear
                                                                                                        ICER                     DRIVERS
         alternatives across crowded drug classes
                                                                                                       Impact                   OF CHANGE

We usually look at how these forces shape the landscape for individual product

                                                                                                                                                  20
or portfolio access. This report shares some of the broader and more ubiquitous

                                                                                                                                                20
market trends we have uncovered in our engagement with Certara’s ‘Compass
Expert Panel’, a leading proprietary database of formulary decision makers in
health plans, PBMs, hospitals/IDNs and channels influencing access, including                                   Alternative
specialty pharmacy, GPOs. Ready for rapid deployment, it is updated in real time                                Financing
and, to date, has been leveraged across hundreds of strategic projects in life sciences.
                                                                                                                                   Policy
                                                                                                                                 Disruption
We are convinced that the range of topics discussed in this report will peak your
interest, and hopefully encourage you to dig deeper. All of these are more than just trends.
Successful developers need awareness of their individual context, and strategic foresight
in order to thrive in an environment that gets more complex every day. We are specifically
including a section on future policies, some of which offer a drastic redesign of the current
landscape described in the earlier chapters of the report. To enable decision-making in the
face of ever more uncertainty, our consultants specialize in scientific value story development,
pro-active policy and payer engagement, as well as multi-faceted go-to-market and
distribution strategies.

Our team would be thrilled to schedule a personal consultation to discuss what these insights
may mean for your product or pipeline asset. Please feel free to reach out.

Authors                                                                          We would like to acknowledge the research of Maximilian Vargas, PhD
                                                                                 MBA and thank both him, and Barbara Pannone, PhD for her instructive
Isha Bangia PhamD MBA, Manager, US Market Access, Certara (New Jersey)           edits and feedback as well as Bill Weir for substantive copy review.

Ulrich Neumann FRSA, MBA, MSC MA, Senior Director & Head, US Access              Corresponding author: Ulrich Neumann at Certara, 295 Madison Avenue,
& Commercial Strategy, Certara (New York)                                        23rd Floor, New York, NY 10017. Email: ulrich.neumann@certara.com
CONTENTS                                         ACCESS TRENDS IN SPECIALTY PHARMACY 2020-23    3

Contents
   Research methodology                                                                         4
   Guidance on document use, important terms, and abbreviations                                 4
   Limitations                                                                                  4

The Shifting Landscape of Specialty Coverage
   Market context                                                                               6
   Key market trends                                                                            8
   Patient cost-sharing as leading response strategy                                            9

Utilization Management Restrictions
   Key trends with respect to Utilization Management (UM) reach across eight areas             12
   Prior authorizations and reauthorization                                                    13
   Designating preferred specialty products on the medical benefit                             18
   Increasing product exclusions of specialty drugs                                            19
   Split-fill programs                                                                         20
   Evidence-based pathways: Increased use to manage specialty drugs                            22
   Quantity restrictions and step edits                                                        24
   Developer takeaways                                                                         25

Distribution Channels Disruption
   Increase in limited distribution for specialty pharmaceuticals                              28
   Shifting away from ‘buy-and-bill’ on the medical benefit                                    28
   Disruptors on our radar                                                                     29
   Developer takeaways                                                                         30

Rising Cost Effectiveness Considerations
   Market context                                                                              33
   Key trends                                                                                  34
   Implications for developers                                                                 36
   “ICER”-ready? Targeting publications in support of ICER defense                             36

Innovative Financing for Novel Therapies
   The advent of transformative medicines as a driver for payment innovation                   38
   Case in point: How to value, how to pay for cures?                                          39
   Milestone-based outcomes contracts                                                          39
   Annuities payments/ installment financing                                                   43
   Reinsurance/ Stop loss                                                                      44
   Subscription-based pricing                                                                  45
   Implications for developers                                                                 46

Escalating Policy Environment
   Legislative context                                                                         51
   Passed regulations                                                                          51
   Major congressional legislation                                                             52
   Policy dashboards: Positioning payers on drug pricing proposals                             53

Endnotes                                                                                       57
4                                                                                                        CERTARA EVIDENCE & ACCESS REPORT

Research methodology
■ Using   Certara’s Compass research network,        ■ Respondentswere comprised of                    ■ Partsof the analysis presented in this
    we conducted an online survey among                national (n=17) and regional health plans           report have been accepted for publication
    active voting members of P&T committees            (n=14), pharmacy benefit managers                   as posters by the American Academy
    in US managed care organizations (MCOs),           (PBMs; n=7) and integrated delivery                 of Managed Care Pharmacy (AMCP) in
    followed by a set of semi-structured               networks (IDNs; n=6).                               2020, one of which has been awarded
    interviews for further interpretation and                                                              a prestigious gold ribbon in professional
    probing of key trends. In-depth interviews         ■ MCOs       were also categorized by size,        review.1,2
    often help to clarify the gap between                   based on the number of covered
    expressions in survey research and reality              lives, into large, mid-sized and small
    on the ground.                                          health plans
                                                       ■    Small plans:
The Shifting Landscape of
   Specialty Coverage
6                                                                             CERTARA EVIDENCE & ACCESS REPORT                           THE SHIFTING LANDSCAPE

Market context
■ No      universally accepted definition exists                             ■ While  larger, injectable, protein-based                ■ The FDA has approved over 140
       for specialty pharmaceuticals. Most refer                                molecules (known as biologics) are most                    new specialty drugs since 2013 and
       to high-cost a complex therapies, often                                  likely going to be specialty drugs, we note                approximately two-thirds of the 48
       for chronic conditions, which require                                    that roughly half of all specialty sales are               novel therapies approved in 2019 were
       special monitoring, dose adjustments,                                    still small molecular entities.4                           specialty drugs.7,8 About 60% of new
       special distribution and administration                                                                                             molecular entities awaiting FDA approval
       (self- or physician-administered                                       ■ Covering the range of $10,000 to                          through 2021 can be classified as specialty
       injectables) practices.                                                  $7,000,000 per patient annually, specialty                 pharmaceuticals 9 as late stage pipelines
                                                                                drugs are understood to be higher-                         are dominated by specialty therapies
                                                                                priced therapies, accounting for half of                   led by oncology indications and niche
                                                                                all US pharmaceutical spending, roughly                    products across a range of classes.
                                                                                evenly split between the medical and the
                                                                                pharmacy benefit categories.5,6

       FIGURE 1
       Pharmaceutical spending since 2015

                                                                                 Growth of specialty market (2015-2020)

                                                                                                                                                                                50%
                                                                                                                                            $510.9                     $513.7
    Non-discounted spend (BNs)

                                                                                                                    $483.8
                                 $500                             $446.4                    $455.0                                                                              40%
                                        $426.7
                                 $400   $264.6                    $267.4                    $258.9                  $264.6                  $266.2                     $266.0   30%

                                                                                                                                                                                       Growth
                                 $300                                                                                                                                           20%

                                 $200                                                                                                                                           10%

                                 $100   $162.0                    $179.0                    $196.1                  $219.5                  $244.6                     $247.8
                                                                                                                                                                                0%

                                   $0                                                                                                                                           -10%
                                          15                        16                       17                       18                      19                          20
                                        20                        20                      20                        20                      20                         20
                                                                                                                                                                  EB
                                                                                                                                                             TF
                                                                                                                                                           MA
                                             ■  Specialty   ■  Traditional   ■  Specialty growth     ■  Traditional growth   ■  Total market growth   –––  No growth

       Source: IQVIA, National Sales Perspectives, February 2020

a
    >$670 sponsor-negotiated price per Medicare standards for 2019 3
THE SHIFTING LANDSCAPE                                                                          ACCESS TRENDS IN SPECIALTY PHARMACY 2020-23                                                   7

■ US    specialty drug spending saw a modest                                                   ■ In 2018, the top ten specialty categories
     annual growth of 3%, from 44.7% in 2018                                                       represented 87% of total specialty spend,
     to 47.7% in 2019 per ESI.10 On the basis of                                                   with oncology, inflammatory diseases
     non-discounted spending, specialty growth                                                     and multiple sclerosis as the leading
     has been outpacing traditional product                                                        categories.12 Prescription utilization
     growth, with a 10% to 0.3% dollar volume                                                      across commercial plans for oncology
     increase, per IQVIA.                                                                          and inflammatory conditions increased
                                                                                                   4.4% and 3.6% and unit cost rose 13.7%
■ The     two drivers of growing spending on                                                      and 10.5%, respectively.13 Notable drugs
     specialty drugs are an increase in unit                                                       from these classes include Keytruda
     cost and increased utilization. Specialty                                                     (pembrolizumab), Humira (adalimumab),
     utilization increased by 8% year-over-year                                                    and Enbrel (etanercept).
     (YOY) from 2017 to 2018.11

     FIGURE 2
     Three therapy areas responsible for 2/3 of
     historic (5-year) sales growth and are dominating
     growth in recent (1-year) launches

                                                                                           Top-10 therapy area growth %

                                      12
 1-year absolute growth (2018-2019)

                                                                                                                                                  ONCOLOGICS
                                      10

                                      8
                                                                                                                                                                       AUTOIMMUNE
                                      6
                                                                                                                                                            ANTIDIABETICS
                                      4
                                                                                                  ANTICOAGULANTS
                                                MENTAL                                                                                       HIGH 1-YEAR AND 5-YEAR GROWTH
                                      2         HEALTH
                                                                                           HIV ANTIVIRALS
                                      0     PAIN                      MS               RESPIRATORY AGENTS

                                      -2                               NERVOUS SYSTEM DISORDERS

                                      -4
                                           -6      -4    -2   0   2     4    6    8   10   12      14   16   18    20   22   24   26   28   30   32   34    36   38     40   42     44   46

                                                                                            5-year absolute growth (2014-2019)
     Bubble size = Total market size
     Source: IQVIA, National Sales Perspectives, February 2020                                                                         ●  Specialty   ●  Traditional    –––  No growth
8                                                                  CERTARA EVIDENCE & ACCESS REPORT                                                                 THE SHIFTING LANDSCAPE

     Key market trends
     ■ Our      survey confirms that inflammatory                                                                                                Top conditions of budget impact concern
            conditions, oncology and diabetes remain
            the top three categories of budgetary                                                                                 100%

                                                                                     Share of selection in top three categories
            concern for Commercial and Medicare
                                                                                                                                  90%
            payers.b They are responsible for two thirds
            of the absolute budgetary growth and                                                                                  80%
            dominate new launches. Budget impact is                                                                               70%
            attributable to the combination of high-
                                                                                                                                  60%
            priced therapies and a high number of
            patients in these categories.                                                                                         50%

                                                                                                                                  40%
     ■ Payers     are concerned that the growth                                                                                  30%
            of specialty drug costs is outpacing that
                                                                                                                                  20%
            of non-specialty drugs, pointing to new
            approvals, strong research pipelines, limited                                                                         10%
            competition and increased utilization                                                                                  0%
            among a growing number of patients.                                                                                                        Commercial                                 Medicare

     ■ Our      interviews confirmed the payer view
            that the slow introduction and uptake of                                                                               ■  Inflammatory conditions
            biosimilars into the market has hindered                                                                               ■  Diabetes
            potential cost savings.14 Payers express                                                                               ■  Multiple sclerosis
            hope that over the next decade, biosimilar                                                                             ■  Oncology                                        FIGURE 3
            introductions could lead to costs savings in                                                                           ■  All other                                       Leading conditions of budget impact concern
            the range of $25B to $44B.15

     ■ With         respect to their management of the specialty category, the top 3 challenges noted by payers outside of rising cost are:

         EN G E                                                         EN G E                                                                                               EN G E
                      The increased utilization and                                           A large number of rare disease                                                               Entry of one-time treatments such
          1                                                              2                                                                                                    3
CH ALL

                                                               CH ALL

                                                                                                                                                                    CH ALL

                      expanded indications of drugs                                           products (13%)                                                                               as gene therapies (12%)
                      (cited by 15%)

            ■ Payers     mention that utilization surges                  ■     It is estimated that 25-30M Americans                                                        ■       s of 2020, there are four gene therapies
                                                                                                                                                                                      A
                  can add the challenge of actuarial                              live with a rare disease. 65% of new                                                                approved by the FDA, with more
                  unpredictability since only about 5% of                         drug approvals in the next 3 years will                                                             than 900 INDs in clinical trials.17 The
                  patients may account for half of a payer’s                      fall into the rare disease and cancer                                                               cumulative effect of curative therapies
                  entire budget.                                                  categories, often for targeted therapies.                                                           across multiple conditions is expected
                                                                                  In the aggregate, payers are concerned                                                              to put increasing strains on current ‘pay-
            ■ Expanded       indications, from original                          about the rising median cost per orphan                                                             as-you-go’ payment systems.
                  rare disease patient groups at launch                           drug patient.16
                  to broader populations later on, make                                                                                                                        ■       ollapsing decades worth of potential
                                                                                                                                                                                      C
                  historic launch pricing untenable given                                                                                                                             cost-offsets into the single, one-time
                  considerable volume increases.                                                                                                                                      administration of a drug produces
                                                                                                                                                                                      extraordinary up-front budget pressures
                                                                                                                                                                                      on payers.

     b
          n=31, representing 169.6M Commercial and 29.2M Medicare lives
THE SHIFTING LANDSCAPE                                           ACCESS TRENDS IN SPECIALTY PHARMACY 2020-23                                                                         9

     ■ With          respect to their management of the specialty category, payers also see these top three opportunities:

           U N IT Y                                                       U N IT Y                                                      U N IT Y
                       Additional contracting                                        More aggressive utilization                                   More restrictive benefit
             1                                                              2                                                            3
PP O R T

                                                               PP O R T

                                                                                                                             PP O R T
      O                opportunities (33%)                           O               management (UM) (23%)                         O               designs (12%)

             ■ Traditionally,there has been little to                       ■    tilization management tactics remain
                                                                                 U                                                         ■    ayers express a strong desire to
                                                                                                                                               P
                 no contracting for medical benefit                              the focal point for payers in managing                        manage the medical benefit like the
                 products but that may be changing                               spend in the specialty category and are                       pharmacy benefit and increasingly
                 as systems evolve to incorporate                                expanding in most areas.                                      integrate coverage decisions across
                 pharmacy benefit strategies.                                                                                                  both categories. In shifting the medical
                                                                             ■    ayers are determined to become
                                                                                 P                                                             benefit to parity with the pharmacy
             ■    s more clinically undifferentiated
                 A                                                               more restrictive across the board with                        benefit, they hope to draw more
                 products (like biosimilars) enter a                             different tactics to contain costs.                           heavily on UM tactics such as product
                 category there are more opportunities to                                                                                      exclusions and preferred products.
                 contract for preferred access.
                                                                                                                                           ■    o longer protected from cost
                                                                                                                                               N
                                                                                                                                               containment, the medical benefit is now
                                                                                                                                               subject to the type of restrictions once
                                                                                                                                               limited to pharmacy benefit drugs.18
                                                                                                                                               Payers reiterate that a key medical
                                                                                                                                               management objective is to move
                          Managed market success requires the tactical employment of a growing                                                 specialty infusions towards the lowest
                          set of commercial partners. In today’s market, patient access and                                                    cost site of service.19
                          therapy use become a product of comprehensive employment of hubs,
                         ‘wrap-around’ services, patient assistance and ‘quick-start’ programs.
                          Interestingly, those are moving from specialty and orphan drugs to
                          increasingly ‘hub’-lite areas like chronic care.
                          PAUL GALLAGHER, Vice President, US Access Strategy, Certara

     Patient cost-sharing as leading response strategy

                                                                                                                                                   42%
     ■ Payers      listed “increased cost-sharing” as                ■ On      the Medicare side, 35% e of respondents
             the leading strategy to finance specialty                       have currently implemented cost-sharing
             therapeutics across 50% of Commercial                           for greater than 70% of covered lives. In the
             and 30% of Medicare lives overall.                              future 48%f are likely to use cost-sharing.

     ■ 42%        of respondents c have currently                    ■ Mid-sized        plans (≥920,000 and
10                                                                                                              CERTARA EVIDENCE & ACCESS REPORT                                         THE SHIFTING LANDSCAPE

                       Patient out-of-pocket cost by type of cost-sharing                                                                                                                    ■ Data  from IQVIA shows that the growing
                                                                                                                                                                                               shift towards higher deductibles and
                                     100%                                                                                                  ■  Deductible                                       coinsurance (Figure 4) comes with trade-
                                      90%                                                                                                  ■  Coinsurance                                      offs as it can have a significant impact
Share of patient out-of-pocket (%)

                                                       21%                                                   26%                           ■  Co-pay                                           on patient’s medication compliance and
                                      80%
                                                                                                                                                                                               drug waste. Patients generally show high
                                      70%                                                                                                                                                      sensitivity to higher out-of-pocket costs,
                                                       24%
                                      60%                                                                                                                                                      as cost exposures are increased, the rate of
                                                                                                             29%
                                                                                                                                                                                               prescription abandonment accelerates to
                                      50%
                                                                                                                                                                                               over 60% at $250 monthly patient out of
                                      40%                                                                                                  FIGURE 4                                            pocket costs.
                                      30%                                                                                                  Rising patient cost share of
                                                       54%
                                                                                                             44%
                                                                                                                                           deductibles and coinsurance
                                      20%
                                                                                                                                           (Commercial)
                                      10%
                                                                                                                                           Source: IQVIA Rx Benefit Design;
                                       0%                                                                                                  IQVIA analysis

                                                      2013                                                   2017

                                                                                                    30-day new-to-brand abandonment by patient out-of-pocket cost in 2018 (top brands)
                                                                         New patient abandonment (% NBRxs)

    FIGURE 5                                                                                                 80%
    Increasing abandonment with
                                                                                                             70%
    level of patient cost exposure
                                                                                                             60%
    Source: IQVIA Formulary Impact Analyzer;
    IQVIA Analysis, Dec 2018
                                                                                                             50%
                                                                                                             40%
                                                                                                             30%
                                                                                                             20%
                                                                                                             10%
    ■  Commercial
                                                                                                              0%
    ■  Medicare
                                                                                                                        .00           99           99            99               99         .99              .99
                                                                                                                                                                                                                          4.9
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             9              .99      0+
                                                                                                                      $0           -9.         -19
                                                                                                                                                  .
                                                                                                                                                             -29
                                                                                                                                                                .
                                                                                                                                                                              -39
                                                                                                                                                                                 .
                                                                                                                                                                                          -49             -74          -12                49      $25
                                                                                                                                .01         $10           $20           $30            $40             $50                             5-2
                                                                                                                              $0                                                                                    $75          $ 1 2

                                                                                                                                                             Patient out-of-pocket cost

                                     CASE EXAMPLE

                                     Hemophilia has traditionally been an                                            that payers have started to implement                              The restrictions in this setting mimic
                                     indication with treatments managed under                                        utilization management criteria seen with                          those traditionally seen in categories
                                     the medical benefit however as the category                                     pharmacy benefit drugs, in indications                             managed under the pharmacy benefit.
                                     expands, new options have entered such                                          with drugs predominantly covered under
                                     as self-administered Hemlibra.                                                  the medical benefit, like hemophilia.                              As Certara hypothesized, payers
                                                                                                                                                                                        are becoming more stringent in the
                                     A client approached Certara to better                                           Among national and regional payers                                 management of indications with largely
                                     understand utilization management                                               and PBMs, Certara confirmed that most                              infusible drugs, like hemophilia, in an
                                     around hemophilia treatments and                                                treatments across all four hemophilia                              attempt to manage high costs.
                                     what restrictions are in place for these                                        indications are covered with a PA to the
                                     products. Certara conducted qualitative                                         FDA-label or PA beyond the label tied to
                                     research to validate the hypothesis                                             clinical trial design.
Utilization Management
       Restrictions
12                                                         CERTARA EVIDENCE & ACCESS REPORT                               UTILIZATION MANAGEMENT RESTRICTIONS

                                                                                                                      8
         KEY TRENDS WITH RESPECT TO UTILIZATION MANAGEMENT (UM)
         REACH ACROSS EIGHT AREAS
               ND       Prior authorizations limiting to                                       ND

                1                                                                               5
         TRE

                                                                                         TRE
                        populations narrower than label-                                                    Split-fill program
                        approved indication

               ND                                                                              ND
                        Reauthorization criteria based on                                                   Evidence-based pathways promoted
                2                                                                               6
         TRE

                                                                                         TRE
                        improved clinical response to drug                                                  to specify drug use

               ND                                                                              ND
                        Designate preferred medical benefit
                3                                                                               7
         TRE

                                                                                         TRE
                                                                                                            Quantity restrictions
                        specialty products

               ND                                                                              ND
                                                                                                           “Brand A before Brand B”
                4                                                                               8
         TRE

                                                                                         TRE
                        Medical benefit products excluded
                                                                                                            step edits expanded

                    Average level of utilization management among payers, ranked by level of current implementation

      Quantity restrictions

      “Brand A before Brand B” step edits in specialty categories

      Reauthorization criteria are based on improved clinical response to drug

      Split-fill program

      Designate preferred medical benefit specialty products

      PA limit to populations narrower than FDA-approved indication based
      on clinical study design

      Implement evidence-based pathways that specify which drugs to use

      Exclude particular medical benefit products

                                                                               Not            Limited rollout   Implemented for   Implemented for   Implemented for   Fully implemented,
                                                                           implemented         90% of lives

                                                                                                                ■  Commercial      ■  Medicare

     FIGURE 6
     Average level of UM tactics in 2020, as estimated
     by Commercial and Medicare payers
UTILIZATION MANAGEMENT RESTRICTIONS                     ACCESS TRENDS IN SPECIALTY PHARMACY 2020-23                                                                          13

      ND           ND

       1            2     Prior authorizations and reauthorizations
TRE

             TRE

 ■ Payers    limit drug utilization to populations
      narrower than the FDA approved
      indication, based on clinical study design.
      Restrictions beyond the FDA label make
      the PA process more rigorous and limit
      use of specialty medications.

 ■ Payers    require confirmation of clinical                                      Physician prescribes
                                                                                   treatment/medication
      response to drug as renewal criteria. These
      reauthorization criteria are used by payers
      to ensure that continued use of a product
      is warranted. Evidence of clinical response
      to treatments is often required at annual or
      six-month intervals.

                                                                                                                                          Pharmacy processes prescription
                                                                                                                                           claim and medication requires
       CURRENT STATE                                                                                                                         a prior authorization from
                                                                                                                                                      the payer
 ■ 55%    of surveyed payers g utilize PAs beyond
      the label for an estimated 70% or more of
      their Commercial and Medicare lives.

 ■ 70%    of payers from PBMs h and 50% of
      IDNs i implement PAs beyond the label for                              Pharmacy or payer initiates prior
      at least 70% covered Commercial lives.                                authorization process electronically
                                                                                 or by directly contacting
                                                                                         physician
 ■ According    to the Kaiser Family Foundation,
      72% of beneficiaries with Medicare
      Advantage require a prior authorization for
      Part B drugs.20 We find that 35% of payers
      are implementing a narrow PA for 70% (or
      more) Medicare lives.
                                                                                                                                         Physician will complete and submit
                                                                                                                                            required documents such as
 ■ Two-thirds     of payers j utilize reauthorization                                                                                         diagnosis confirmation
      criteria based on improved clinical                                                                                                              to payer
      response to drug for at least 70% of
      Commercial lives, including 86% of PBMs k,
      80% of small and mid-sized plans l, 66% of
      IDNs m, and 56% of larger MCO plans.n
                                                                             Clean approval from the payer may
                                                                           take 1-10 days. An approved drug may
                                                                           require a reauthorization every 6 to 12
                                                                            months from a payer. A rejection and
                                                                                appeal cycle may take 2 days                        FIGURE 7
                                                                                        to 2 months                                 Customary steps in the
                                                                                                                                    prior authorization 21

 g                                                       j
     n=17, representing 34.3M Commercial lives               n=21, representing 145.4M Commercial lives
 h                                                       k                                                           m
     n=5, representing 24.8M Commercial lives                n=7, representing 57.3M Commercial lives                    n=6, representing 5.1M Commercial lives
 i                                                       l                                                           n
     n=3, representing 1.1M Commercial lives                 n=15, representing 10.9M Commercial lives                   n=9, representing 135.5M Commercial lives
14                                                              CERTARA EVIDENCE & ACCESS REPORT                                    UTILIZATION MANAGEMENT RESTRICTIONS

      FUTURE EXPECTATION
■ All  commercial payers plan to expand                        ■ We  should note that US payers understand                        ■ 80%      of smaller and mid-sized plans o are
     the use of more stringent PA criteria                        this to be a response mechanism, not a                                  more likely to embrace this approach than
     for specialty medications. All PBM                           fait accompli. They use more stringent PA                               are large payers.
     respondents and nearly eight in ten IDNs                     criteria in reaction to a certain pricing level.
     are likely to expand implementation of                       Certara’s price testing research routinely                        ■ Based    on survey results, payers are expected
     narrow PA in the future.                                     probes for price points at which payers are                             to maintain status quo on the Medicare side,
                                                                  open to remove additional restrictions.                                 not aiming to expand PA beyond the label.

                                                                                PA BEYOND THE LABEL
                  CURRENT LEVEL OF IMPLEMENTATION                                                                                FUTURE LIKELIHOOD FOR EXPANSION

                                                                                         Average all payers

                                                                                                PBMs

                                                                                             Large plans

                                                                                           Mid-sized plans

                                                                                             Small plans

                                                                                                 IDNs

    Not          Limited     Implemented   Implemented   Implemented        Fully                                Not at all    Unlikely        Somewhat    Somewhat    Likely       Highly
implemented   rollout 90% of lives

      FIGURE 8                                                                          FIGURE 9                                                                      ■  Commercial
      PA to populations narrower than the FDA approved indication                       Reauthorization criteria based on improved clinical response to drug          ■  Medicare

                                                         REAUTHORIZATION BASED ON CLINICAL RESPONSE
                  CURRENT LEVEL OF IMPLEMENTATION                                                                                FUTURE LIKELIHOOD FOR EXPANSION

                                                                                         Average all payers

                                                                                                PBMs

                                                                                             Large plans

                                                                                           Mid-sized plans

                                                                                             Small plans

                                                                                                 IDNs

    Not          Limited     Implemented   Implemented   Implemented        Fully                                Not at all    Unlikely        Somewhat    Somewhat    Likely       Highly
implemented   rollout 90% of lives

o
    n=12, representing 11.6M Commercial lives
UTILIZATION MANAGEMENT RESTRICTIONS              ACCESS TRENDS IN SPECIALTY PHARMACY 2020-23                                                                 15

■ There  will be a 62% increase in the          ■ Most of Certara’s physician research             ■ 9
                                                                                                        in 10 physicians report that PAs cause
  number of payers using reauthorization           engagements are aimed to give a nuanced             delays in patient care.26,27
  criteria for Medicare lives, up from 42% to      perspective on the level of disruption or
  68% of payers.                                   burden of the administrative procedure that       ■ PAs also impact therapeutic areas
                                                   is associated with PA. It depends on various        with recognized need of treatment
■ Nearly 9 in 10 commercial payers are likely     factors such as provider type, indication,          personalization. According to a survey
  to expand future use of reauthorization          type (e.g. soft, or requiring lab values etc.)      among cancer radiologists, 73% report
  criteria as a means for cost containment.        and associated requirements (e.g. step edits).      their cancer patients regularly express
                                                                                                       concern about the delay caused by prior
■ WhilePAs and reauthorizations are seen as     Patient burden                                        authorizations, forcing a third of doctors to
  an effective means for cost containment                                                              pursue different treatments than the ones
  and reduction of drug waste from the           ■ Nearly 8 in 10 physicians find that PAs may        indicated just to avoid such delays.28
  payer perspective, they do increase the          result in patients stopping treatment and
  treatment burden for patients, providers         sometimes lead to treatment abandonment.25
  and developers from an access perspective.

Provider burden

■ According  to the American Medical
  Association (AMA), 9 in 10 physicians find
  that prior authorizations have a negative
  impact on patient outcomes and believe                             The prior authorization process is out of control. It is
  the burden associated with PAs has                                 increasing and rather than a tool for preventing unnecessary
  increased over the past 5 years.23 79% of
                                                                     or expensive care, prior authorizations negatively impact my
  physicians report that they sometimes,
  often or always have to submit medication                          patients’ health and is a significant cause for family physician
  reauthorizations when a patient with a                             burnout and the closure of small private practices.
  chronic condition is stabilized.24
                                                                     DR. JOHN CULLEN, American Academy of Family Physicians (AAFP) 22

                                                  Opportunities in specialty category

       23% OF SURVEY
                                                       7%
                                                             4%
                                                                    11%

                                                                                               33%
                                                                                                            FIGURE 10
                                                                                                            Payer noted opportunities in the specialty category

      RESPONDENTS FIND
       MORE AGGRESSIVE                               12%
                                                                                                            ■  Additional contracting opportunities
                                                                                                            ■  More aggressive UM
     UM AN OPPORTUNITY                                                                                      ■  Encourage biosimilar and generic utilization
       IN MANAGING THE                                                                                      ■  More restrictive benefit designs

     SPECIALTY CATEGORY                                       10%                                           ■  Changes to physician drug reimbursement
                                                                                  23%                       ■  Stakeholder education
                                                                                                            ■  Other
16                                                     CERTARA EVIDENCE & ACCESS REPORT               UTILIZATION MANAGEMENT RESTRICTIONS

                           The prior authorization obstacle course

                            6%                           70%                              40%
                                                                                                      FIGURE 11
                         265 Million                   186 Million                   74.4 Million     Challenges encountered in the course of
4.4 Billion              Prescriptions                 Requiring PA                  Abandoned
                         rejected                      requests
                                                                                                      prior authorizations
annual
prescriptions                                                                                         Data from Avalere, Covermymeds, TrialCard, published
                                                                                                      in: Basta, N.The Prior Authorization Obstacle Course.
                                                                                                      Pharmaceutical Commerce.https://pharmaceuticalcommerce.
 2014                                                                                                 com/special-report/hub-services-special-report-2016/.
                                                                                                      Published March 15, 2016. Accessed April 08. 2020

                           94%                           30%                         Due to complex
                                                                                     policies and
                         4.2 Billion                   80 Million                    procedures
                         Prescriptions                 Resolved at
                         filled                        pharmacy

     CMS concerned about
     denials in Medicare
                                                                   hen beneficiaries and providers appealed preauthorization
                                                                  W
     Advantage                                                    and payment denials, Medicare Advantage Organizations
                                                                  (MAOs) overturned 75 percent of their own denials during
     ■ When the US HHS Office of Inspector
      General (OIG) ran an audit of Medicare
                                                                  2014–16, overturning approximately 216,000 denials each year.
      Advantage Plans (operated by private                        During the same period, independent reviewers at higher levels
      companies commissioned by CMS,                              of the appeals process overturned additional denials in favor
      many covering prescription drug
      benefits) it found notable over- and
                                                                  of beneficiaries and providers. The high number of overturned
      misuse of coverage and payment                              denials raises concerns that some Medicare Advantage
      denials, contributing to “physical or                       beneficiaries and providers were initially denied services and
      financial harm” of beneficiaries.
                                                                  payments that should have been provided. This is especially
     ■ CMS  confirmed that yearly audits                         concerning because beneficiaries and providers rarely used the
      discovered widespread performance                           appeals process, which is designed to ensure access to care and
      issues regarding denials, leading to
      citations, a variety of fines and sanctions.29              payment. During 2014-16, beneficiaries and providers appealed
                                                                  only 1 percent of denials to the first level of appeal.
                                                                  HHS OFFICE OF THE INSPECTOR GENERAL, 2018
UTILIZATION MANAGEMENT RESTRICTIONS                             ACCESS TRENDS IN SPECIALTY PHARMACY 2020-23                                                                     17

                                                                            Restrictive prior authorization practices can cause
                                                                            unnecessary, stressful and potentially life-threatening delays
                                                                            for cancer patients. ... In its current form, prior authorization
                                                                            causes immense anxiety and wastes precious time for
                                                                            cancer patients.
                                                                            PROF. PAUL HARARI, MD, FASTRO
                                                                            Chairman of Human Oncology, University of Wisconsin-Madison 30

   CASE EXAMPLE

    ■ Amanufacturer in early Phase 3 planning to launch a                                                         Product PA status across payers
      second-to-market product for a rare disease wanted
      to assess the current level of management and access                                           75%
      in the category.                                                                               70%
                                                                                                     65%
    ■ Certara conducted MCO payer interviews covering
      a total of 73M lives. Almost ¾ of commercial                                                   60%

      payers were managing the category, with a prior                                                55%
      authorization going beyond the FDA label. Payers                                               50%
      anticipated similar coverage for new category
                                                                                    Share of lives

                                                                                                     45%
      entrants and criteria beyond the label most often
                                                                                                     40%
      aligned with clinical trial criteria. Certara, together
      with the commercial team, engaged the clinical team                                            35%

      to clarify how the clinical trial design would impact                                          30%
      access and as a result commercial forecasts and                                                25%
      product revenue, if based on a broad indication.                                               20%
                                                                                                     15%
    ■ In
        such instances, tighter integration across
                                                                                                     10%
      manufacturers between clinical and commercial
      teams, especially at earlier stages is warranted.                                              5%
      Incorporating payer feedback early in the                                                      0%
      development process can align commercial forecasts                                                                  Commercial                   Medicaid
      with clinical development to ensure maximized
                                                                                                                                       Covered lives
      revenue and access.

                                                                                                           Commercial                              Medicaid
                                                                                                           ■  Specialty PA beyond label            ■  Covered PA beyond label
                                                                                                           ■  Specialty PA to label                ■  Covered PA to label
      FIGURE 12                                                                                            ■  Preferred                            ■  Covered
      Prior authorization criteria for a rare disease product
                                                                                                           ■  Medical exception only
18                                                                CERTARA EVIDENCE & ACCESS REPORT                                     UTILIZATION MANAGEMENT RESTRICTIONS

      ND

       3       Designating preferred specialty products on the medical benefit
TRE

 ■ Compared     to treatments on the
      medical benefit, medications covered                         FIGURE 13
      on the pharmacy benefit traditionally                        Total specialty spend between benefit type
      allow payers to have more control on                         Data source: Medicines Use and Spending in the                                   US health plan sponsors are
      management and utilization.                                  US IMS, April 2016. NHE, Artemetrix, CVS Health                                  projected to waste more than
                                                                   Internal Analysis, 2016.
                                                                                                                                                    $9 billion, or 49% of their total
 ■ Specialty  drugs covered on
                                                                                                         55% of total                               pharmacy spend on specialty
      the medical benefit (physician-
      administered) are no longer immune
                                                                                                         drug spend                                 medication services that
      to UM tactics, such as product                                                                                                                provide no additional value.
      exclusions and designated preferred                              36% of total                                                                 This wasteful spending could
      products, as payers try to integrate                             drug spend                                                                   be recovered if payers applied
      medical and pharmacy benefits.                                                                                                                the same cost-saving
                                                                                                                                                    techniques from the pharmacy
 ■ According    to Express Scripts data, up                                                                                                        benefit on medications that are
      to 15% of the specialty spend could be
                                                                              2015                             2020                                 administered through the
      reduced by health plans implementing
                                                                                                                                                    medical benefit.
      medical benefit management services.31                           ■ Medical benefit         ■ Pharmacy benefit
                                                                                                                                                    BRIAN SEIZ
                                                                                                                                                    PharmD, President
                                                                                                                                                    Pharmacy at Express Scripts 32

        CURRENT STATE                                                     FUTURE EXPECTATION
 ■ All  surveyed p IDNs currently implement                       ■ Going    forward, all payers will likely expand,
      preferred medical products for 70% or                            or in the case of IDNs continue, this model
      more lives.                                                      of preferred medical treatments.

 ■ 1   in 2 MCO plans q, regardless of plan size,                 ■ Based   on the status quo, we may see more                                     FIGURE 14
      implements this UM tactic for medical                            preferred products on PBM and MCO                                             Designating preferred specialty products
      benefit drugs.                                                   formularies in the coming years.

                                                           PREFERRED SPECIALTY PRODUCTS ON MEDICAL BENEFIT
                    CURRENT LEVEL OF IMPLEMENTATION                                                                                  FUTURE LIKELIHOOD FOR EXPANSION

                                                                                           Average all payers

                                                                                                  PBMs

                                                                                              Large plans

                                                                                            Mid-sized plans

                                                                                              Small plans

                                                                                                   IDNs

     Not           Limited     Implemented   Implemented    Implemented        Fully                                  Not at all   Unlikely       Somewhat     Somewhat       Likely       Highly
 implemented    rollout 90% of lives
                                                                                                                                              ■  Commercial    ■  Medicare

 p                                                                 q
      n=6, representing 18.6M Commercial lives                         n=18
UTILIZATION MANAGEMENT RESTRICTIONS                                             ACCESS TRENDS IN SPECIALTY PHARMACY 2020-23                                                                                  19

      ND

       4           Increasing product exclusions of specialty drugs
TRE

 ■ The    concept of product exclusions                                         ■ In   2014, ESI started excluding certain                                  CURRENT STATE
      traditionally applied to small-molecule                                         specialty products like biologics
      drugs on the pharmacy benefit.                                                  Cimzia, Simponi, Stelara, Xeljanz for                            ■ We     find that there is still overall limited
                                                                                      inflammatory indications.35 In 2019, 50                                implementation of product exclusions
 ■ Payers     started introducing product exclusion                                  new drugs were excluded, including                                     across all payers today, with only a quarter
      lists as another UM tool and cost containment                                   specialty products like Onpattro                                       of payers r excluding particular specialty
      strategy. While traditional drug classes see this                               for polyneuropathy of hereditary                                       products covered on the medical benefit
      more than specialty drugs, specialty drugs in                                   transthyretin-mediated amyloidosis.                                    70% or greater covered Commercial lives.
      rare diseases and on the medical benefit are                                    In 2020, ESI is excluding 32 new drugs
      no longer immune to exclusions.                                                 from its national formulary including                            ■ 12%     of survey respondents consider more
                                                                                      specialty products like Factor VIII                                    restrictive benefit designs a key opportunity
 ■ The    first exclusion list, released by CVS                                      recombinant products for hemophilia                                    in managing specialty pharmaceuticals.
      in 2012, only applied to small-molecule                                         and granulocyte stimulating agents.36
      non-specialty drugs. In 2017, CVS also
      began excluding products for rare diseases                                 ■ Other   important payers such as                                          FUTURE EXPECTATION
      such as Gleevec and Tasigna for chronic                                         Cigna, Aetna, Optum, and Prime
      myeloid leukemia (CML), though still on                                         Therapeutics also began product                                  ■ All   payer archetypes anticipate to expand
      the pharmacy benefit.33,34                                                      exclusions since 2016.37                                               use of this tactic to more covered
                                                                                                                                                             Commercial lives in the next few years,
                                                                                                                                                             with more than two-thirds s of the 31 payer
                                                                                                                                                             respondents likely to begin excluding
                                                                                                                                                             particular medical benefit products.
                                                                                                                                   242
      FIGURE 15
      Number of brand exclusions from PBM formularies
                                                                                                                      196
      Source: Drug Channels Institute. Numbers of Products on                                                                            173
      PBM Formulary Exclusion Lists, 2012 To 2019.; 2018.                                                    154             154
      https://www.drugchannels.net/2018/08/2019-express-
      scripts-formula. Accessed April 16, 2020.                                           124
                                                                       95
                                                                                     87               85
                                                       72        66
                                      50        48                                                                                                           FIGURE 16
                    38
             0                 0                                                                                                                             Exclude particular medical benefit products
               2012              2013             2014             2015               2016              2017            2018        2019

                                                      ■  Express Scripts ■  CVS Caremark

                                                                                                     PRODUCT EXCLUSIONS
                         CURRENT LEVEL OF IMPLEMENTATION                                                                                            FUTURE LIKELIHOOD FOR EXPANSION

                                                                                                             Average all payers

                                                                                                                     PBMs

                                                                                                                   Large plans

                                                                                                               Mid-sized plans

                                                                                                                   Small plans

                                                                                                                      IDNs

     Not                Limited         Implemented      Implemented      Implemented            Fully                               Not at all   Unlikely        Somewhat      Somewhat       Likely      Highly
 implemented         rollout 90% of lives
                                                                                                                                                              ■  Commercial     ■  Medicare

 r                                                                               s
     n=8, representing 47.2M Commercial lives                                        n=21, representing 77.1M Commercial lives
20                                                                   CERTARA EVIDENCE & ACCESS REPORT                                UTILIZATION MANAGEMENT RESTRICTIONS

      ND

       5          Split-fill programs
TRE

 ■ Split-fill(also known as partial fill)                            ■ Split-fill
                                                                                  programs showed lower
      programs for oral medications allow                               discontinuation rates, pharmacy costs
      payers to reduce medication waste,                                and potential wastage as demonstrated
      improve medication adherence and                                  by a study of an oral oncology split
      consequently drive down costs.                                    fill program in a national specialty
                                                                        pharmacy. Within six months, the
                                                                        Walgreens program saved $2,646.74
       CURRENT STATE                                                    monthly in medication wastage.39

 ■ AllianceRx   Walgreens Prime research                             ■ Only about 30% of all payers t have not                                               FIGURE 17
      found that within the first 3 months of                           implemented any split fill programs                                                    Monthly mean differences in
      implementing a split-fill program, payers                         for specialty products within their                                                    cost between split-fill and
      would see savings of $2,724 per month on                          organizations, half of them PBM and                                                    non-split fill
      average for one oral oncology medication.                         IDN payers.
      Within the first month, split-fill was
      associated with a $132.50 lower copay
      than non-split fills (p
UTILIZATION MANAGEMENT RESTRICTIONS                     ACCESS TRENDS IN SPECIALTY PHARMACY 2020-23                                                  21

     FUTURE EXPECTATION                                                 Categories with split-fill programs       Number of mentions (total=30)
■ In  the future, the utilization of split-fills is
                                                                                      Oncology                                       17
    likely to remain relatively stagnant, with
    75% of payers u continuing use. Oncology,
    inflammatory conditions and MS are                                       Inflammatory conditions                                  5
    the top indications in which payers
    implement split fills, though split-fill is                                   Multiple sclerosis                                  5
    present in other indications like diabetes,
    asthma and hypercholesterolemia.                                              High cholesterol                                    2

                                                                             Attention deficit disorders                              1

                                                                                                              FIGURE 19
                                                                                                              Indications with most split-fill use

               We continue to expand the
               number of medications available
               under our split-fill program to
               support patients and maximize
               the investments health plans
               make in their patients.
               RICK MILLER
               VP, Clinical and Professional Services
               AllianceRx Walgreens Prime 40

u
    n=23, representing 184.9M Commercial lives
22                                                                  CERTARA EVIDENCE & ACCESS REPORT                                 UTILIZATION MANAGEMENT RESTRICTIONS

      ND

       6          Evidence-based pathways: Increased use to manage specialty drugs
TRE

 ■ Treatment    guidelines like the National                        ■ In2019, ESI estimated that $1.3B could
      Comprehensive Cancer Network (NCCN),                             be saved annually in specialty costs by
      and supporting literature have been used                         implementing evidence-based UM policies
      by payers to provide evidence-based care.                        for medical benefit drugs, similar to those
                                                                       done for the pharmacy benefit.41
 ■ Payers    are able to standardize care and
      maintain indication costs by covering                          ■ ESIreports that 15-20% of current drug
      specific products recommended per                                claims do not follow treatment guidelines.42
      evidence-based pathways.

                                                                                 EVIDENCE-BASED PATHWAYS
                       CURRENT LEVEL OF IMPLEMENTATION                                                                             FUTURE LIKELIHOOD FOR EXPANSION

                                                                                              Average all payers

                                                                                                    PBMs

                                                                                                 Large plans

                                                                                               Mid-sized plans

                                                                                                 Small plans

                                                                                                    IDNs

     Not              Limited     Implemented   Implemented   Implemented         Fully                             Not at all   Unlikely    Somewhat    Somewhat     Likely   Highly
 implemented       rollout 90% of lives

                                                                                      ■  Commercial        ■  Medicare

           FIGURE 20
           Level of implementation of
           evidence-based pathways for drug use
UTILIZATION MANAGEMENT RESTRICTIONS             ACCESS TRENDS IN SPECIALTY PHARMACY 2020-23                                                                      23

      CURRENT STATE
■ In our analysis, PBMs and IDNs v see
    the highest level of implementation of
    evidence-based pathways, as well as
    the highest expressed interest to expand
    them further.

■ Rheumatology,    cardiology, diabetes and                    Treatment guidelines                                                                     86%
    MS are found to have the most uptake
                                                         Randomized controlled trials                                                              81%
    of evidence-based pathways outside
    of oncology. Clinical guidelines and                        Retrospective studies                                                  57%
    randomized controlled trials are the most
                                                                     Registry studies                                            48%
    common sources for evidence-pathway
    development 43 (Figure 21).                                    Claim data studies                                      43%

                                                           Provider experience/usage                                       43%

                                                                Observational studies                                      43%

                                                                         Compendia                              29%

    FIGURE 21                                                          Fee schedules               19%
    Top sources of data for development
    of evidence-based pathways
                                                                               Other         10%   {   Phase II studies
                                                                                                       Internal analysis

                                                                                        0%                 20%              40%              60%     80%       100%
                                                                                                                       Percentage of respondents

      FUTURE EXPECTATION
■   60% of payers w of which half are large    ■    ertara research indicates that oncology,
                                                    C
    health plans, are likely to implement           diabetes, and MS are key therapeutic areas
    evidence-based pathways that specify            where payers rely on evidenced-based
    which drugs to use in the near future;          pathways in formulary decision-making
    this is an almost 4-fold increase from          processes.
    the status quo of payers fully utilizing
    evidence-based pathways for Commercial      ■   In oncology, a pathway is typically
    lives. As larger plans are more likely to        developed for first-line treatments and not
    adopt evidence-based pathways, smaller           later lines. Payers develop these pathways
    and mid-sized plans may follow suit.             to specify which drugs should be used first
                                                     and while physicians are not required to
■ We  find that the expected increase in            follow the guidance, they are incented to
    providing evidence-based care will               do so, usually a monetary incentive.
    come largely from IDNs and MCOs as
    opposed to PBMs.

v                                               w
    n=9, representing 40.5M Commercial lives        n=10, representing 76.6M Commercial lives
24                                                                    CERTARA EVIDENCE & ACCESS REPORT                              UTILIZATION MANAGEMENT RESTRICTIONS

      ND               ND

       7                8          Quantity restrictions and step edits
TRE

                 TRE

 ■ Quantity   limits and step edits have                           ■ Our  research confirms that quantity
      been cited as two of the most                                    restrictions and step edits are the most                      FIGURE 22
      common restrictions payers use in drug                           implemented UM tactics, with the latter                       Current and future utilization of quantity limits
      management.44                                                    seeing further expansion across all payer
                                                                       types in the future.

                                                                                   QUANTITY RESTRICTIONS
                            CURRENT LEVEL OF IMPLEMENTATION                                                                       FUTURE LIKELIHOOD FOR EXPANSION

                                                                                              Average all payers

                                                                                                    PBMs

                                                                                                 Large plans

                                                                                               Mid-sized plans

                                                                                                 Small plans

                                                                                                    IDNs

     Not               Limited      Implemented   Implemented   Implemented       Fully                            Not at all   Unlikely       Somewhat     Somewhat         Likely      Highly
 implemented        rollout 90% of lives
                                                                                                                                           ■  Commercial    ■  Medicare

           FIGURE 23
           Current and future utilization of Brand A before B step edits

                                                                                                STEP EDITS
                            CURRENT LEVEL OF IMPLEMENTATION                                                                       FUTURE LIKELIHOOD FOR EXPANSION

                                                                                              Average all payers

                                                                                                    PBMs

                                                                                                 Large plans

                                                                                               Mid-sized plans

                                                                                                 Small plans

                                                                                                    IDNs

     Not               Limited      Implemented   Implemented   Implemented       Fully                            Not at all   Unlikely       Somewhat     Somewhat         Likely      Highly
 implemented        rollout 90% of lives
                                                                                                                                           ■  Commercial    ■  Medicare
UTILIZATION MANAGEMENT RESTRICTIONS              ACCESS TRENDS IN SPECIALTY PHARMACY 2020-23                                                        25

DEVELOPER TAKEAWAYS
■ Clinical
         trial designs are subject to scrutiny   ■ Arobust assessment of clinical trial              ■ Key   considerations for developers include:
  as a means to limit product use with a           designs through the payer perspective
  narrower PA than the FDA label.                  early on in the clinical development                 ■ Willinclusion in certain guidelines
                                                   phases is warranted to ensure the most                 or treatment protocols, such as the
■ Developers  of specialty pharmaceuticals        appropriate and widest patient inclusion               NCCN, allow for better access at the
  will be subject to more stringent                criteria are developed.                                payer level?
  reauthorization criteria which will likely
  align with clinical response.                  ■ Anexpanded use of product exclusions                ■ Does the timing of inclusion vs. P&T
                                                   by payers suggests that payers are unable              review impact access?
■ Strong engagement with payers via               to distinguish value across products in
  advisory board and primary research              crowded therapeutic areas.                           ■ Does use of evidence-based pathways
  provides vital insight on PA management                                                                 vary across payer segments?
  and criteria that may be included in PAs.      ■ Payersmay use product exclusions to
                                                   negotiate deeper rebates with developers.            ■ What can developers do to support
■ Developers  must be proactive with                                                                     physician use of evidence-based
  payer engagement to understand the             ■ Developers must leverage attributes of                pathways?
  current reauthorization environment              product value that may warrant a preferred
  for their product’s respective indication        product status, outside of and beyond price.
  and competition.

■ Developers  should educate payers on
  clinical endpoints/ responses that are most
  relevant for their product.

                                                                       The definition of what constitutes “value” for healthcare
                                                                       interventions is an incredibly complex and hotly
                                                                       debated topic. However, regardless of the school of
                                                                       thought you come from, there is broad consensus that
                                                                       value assessment must take into consideration a
                                                                       multitude of factors beyond purely economic ones.
                                                                       Especially important in value assessment are factors
                                                                       such as unmet needs and disease severity, in particular
                                                                       this applies for rare diseases. Whether they are explicitly
                                                                       or implicitly captured in the assessment criteria, it is
                                                                       clear that healthcare decision-makers are indeed
                                                                       swayed by these factors, and as such it is critical for
                                                                       developers take a holistic approach to their evidence
                                                                       development and communication activities.
                                                                       ROMAN CASCIANO
                                                                       General Manager and SVP, Certara Evidence & Access
26                                               CERTARA EVIDENCE & ACCESS REPORT                                                                                                 UTILIZATION MANAGEMENT RESTRICTIONS

     CASE EXAMPLES

     ■ A manufacturer in a specialty                                                                                             Average importance and motivation of messages
       category needed to test the brand
       messaging and determinants of                                                                                                                       Motivation to learn more
       value for its flagship product.                                                                                          VERY                                                                                      VERY
                                                                                                                                                                         NEUTRAL
                                                                                                                             UNMOTIVATING                                                                               MOTIVATING
       Certara conducted an evidence-
       based assessment of the product’s
       value story with 15 MCOs and

                                                                                                        IMPORTANT
                                                  Importance to formulary decision making
                                                                                                                             Important, but                                                                           Both important

                                                                                                           VERY
       GPO. Certara was able to identify                                                                                     not motivating
                                                                                                                                                                                               M3
                                                                                                                                                                                                                      and motivating
                                                                                                                                                                                  M6
       key clinical and class elements                                                                                       Re-work wording                                                               M16
                                                                                                                                                                 M11
       important to payers which were
                                                                                                                                                           M14
       likely to result in perceived                                                                                                                                                                             M13
                                                                                                                                                            M10
       meaningful differentiation.
                                                                                                              NEUTRAL
                                                                                                                                                                                                                 M1
                                                                                                                                                             M4
                                                                                                                                                           M9

                                                                                                                             Neither important                                                          M7        Unimportant, but
                                                                                                                             nor motivating                                                                             motivating
                                                                                                        UNIMPORTANT

                                                                                                                             Consider removing                                                        M2             “Nice to have”
       FIGURE 24                                                                                                                                                                                                         messages
                                                                                                            VERY

                                                                                                                                                                       M12
       Payer assessment of key elements of                                                                                                                                              M8
                                                                                                                                                                             M5                M15
       product value

     ■ Adeveloper in the oncology space                                           rely heavily on evidence-based pathways                                                        NCCN guidelines over the FDA label
       wanted to understand the impact                                             to guide formulary decisions. Through                                                          for product use. Certara advised the
       inclusion in the NCCN guidelines has                                        discussions with our proprietary payer                                                         manufacturer to develop a strong key
       on formulary coverage when the FDA                                          network, Certara assessed the extent                                                           opinion leader (KOL) education and
       label is narrow. The developer was                                          to which national and regional MCO                                                             engagement strategy as an initial step
       anticipating a narrow FDA label, but                                        payers align formulary coverage with                                                           to be positioned in clinical guidelines.
       inclusion in the NCCN guidelines for                                        NCCN guidelines and FDA labels. Certara                                                        We recommended that the developer
       a broader indication. Certara’s initial                                     was able to validate that a majority of                                                        conduct an advisory board to facilitate
       hypothesis was that in oncology, payers                                     payers will align coverage with broader                                                        KOL engagement around product value.

                                                                                                              Payers expect use of Product X in all eligible patients if recommended
                                                                                                                 by the NCCN, otherwise will be consistent with trial inclusion/
                                                                                                                             exclusion criteria or FDA-specific label
       ■  Patients per inclusion/excluion
          criteria only                                                                                                       Expected patients for Product X by indication / guidelines recommendations scenarios (n=10)
       ■  Patients   per FDA indication only                                                                  100%
       ■  All eligible patients
                                                                                                                  80%
                                                                                            Share of payers

                                                                                                                  60%

                                                                                                                  40%

                                                                                                                  20%
       FIGURE 25
       Evidence-based pathways                                                                                          0%
       impact on access                                                                                                                With expected FDA indication                     With expected FDA indication for
                                                                                                                                                                                       NCCN guidelines recommendation

                                                                                                                                                      Potential scenarios at the time of review
Distribution Channels
      Disruption
28                                                   CERTARA EVIDENCE & ACCESS REPORT                                           DISTRIBUTION CHANNELS DISRUPTION

Increase in limited distribution for specialty pharmaceuticals
■	Payers’   preferred distribution channel for

                                                                                                                      }
     pharmacy benefit specialty medications
     are specialty pharmacies through a                                                                                                  Small patient population
     limited distribution network, which are
     today owned by various market entities.                                 Exclusive                                                   Greater control over inventory
     Approximately 80% of payers required                                   Distribution
                                                                               (1 SP)                                                    Better access to data
     certain specialty drugs to be dispensed
     through specialty pharmacies in 2018.45                                                                                             Control over REMS program

                                                                       Limited Distribution                                              Better integration with
■	Limited   distribution networks can limit                       (2-10+ Specialty Pharmacies)                                          reimbursement hubs
     medication access for providers, as
                                                                                                                                         Need for higher quality management
     HCPs and hospitals not part of a limited
                                                                           Open Access                                                   of patients
     network may have to pay higher costs to                           (Retail and Specialty)
     obtain drugs.

                                                                                                                                         FIGURE 26
                                                                                                                                         Distribution channels for specialty pharmaceuticals

Shifting away from ‘buy-and-bill’ on the medical benefit
■	Specialty    drugs are reimbursed through
     the supply chain as either a pharmacy
     benefit, or as a medical benefit through the
     buy-and-bill model. Each channel receives
     different reimbursement and is subject to
     different management practices.

                                                                  Chargeback for contract pricing
■	Similar   to utilization management,
     distribution on the pharmacy benefit                                                                                                        Rebate payment
                                                                                                                Manufacturer                                                   Third-party
     allows payers to have more control and                            Wholesaler payment                                                                                   payer / Health plan
     management over medication use as                                    for product
     compared to buy-and-bill practices on the
     medical benefit. Payers leverage specialty
                                                                                   Product shipment
     pharmacies to provide cost management                     Drug
     and coordinated patient care leading to                 wholesaler
                                                                                   Product shipment
     better health outcomes.

                                                                       Provider payment for                       Provider
                                                                    product at contract pricing                                                     Reimbursement to provider
                                                                                                    Physician       Hospital    Clinic
                                                                                                     office        outpatient

                                                                                                                           Copayment or
     FIGURE 27                                                                              Administer drug
                                                                                                                            Coinsurance
     Flow of buy-and-bill distribution
     Adapted from: Fein, Adam. J., The 2016–17                                                                    Patient                                                 Product movement
     Economic Report on Pharmaceutical Wholesalers                                                                                                                        Financial flow
     and Specialty Distributors, Drug Channels
     Institute, September 2016, Exhibit 28.
DISTRIBUTION CHANNELS DISRUPTION                        ACCESS TRENDS IN SPECIALTY PHARMACY 2020-23                                                      29

      CURRENT STATE                                           FUTURE EXPECTATION
■ Today   only about 30% of PBM respondents x          ■	Research   shows an upwards trend in the        ■	Across our survey respondents, about
    have fully implemented mandated use                     mandated use of specialty pharmacy                 two-thirds have not increased physician
    of specialty pharmacy and/or direct                     from payers. More than 75% of payers,              reimbursement for lower cost options
    contracting to eliminate buy-and-bill                   including MCOs, IDNs and PBMs are likely           among specialty buy-and-bill products.
    across Commercial lives whereas 80% of                  to expand use of specialty pharmacy
    IDNs y have done so.                                    within the next three years.

■ 42%   of large, mid-sized and small health           ■	On   the medical benefit side, the key trend
    plans z have specialty pharmacy use and/                being seen is an overall push away from
    or direct contracting implemented for                   the traditional buy-and-bill practices
    70%+ of Commercial lives.                               towards alternative distribution strategies
                                                            that allow payers to have more control
                                                            over drug use such as payers taking over
                                                            distribution themselves.

DISRUPTORS ON OUR RADAR
      Cigna: 2020 Embarc Benefit Protection
      ■ High-cost,  curative therapies bring               ■ The2020 initiative “Embarc Benefit         ■ Through  previous vertical integration
         significant challenges to the traditional            Protection” establishes Cigna as an          and expansion, Cigna owns a specialty
         buy-and-bill reimbursement model.                    in-network gene therapy provider.            pharmacy network (Accredo), specialty
         As more one-time treatments like                     Employers and plan sponsors will pay a       pharmacy distributors (CursaScriptSD,
         gene therapies enter the market, novel               $12 per-member monthly fee for access        ESI), a medical benefits management
         distribution alternatives are emerging.              to Luxturna and Zolgensma with a zero        company (eviCore) and a PBM (ESI).
                                                              OOP. Eventually, Cigna plans to include      Cigna can use this armamentarium to
                                                              more gene therapies, like CAR-Ts, into       be an in-network gene therapy provider.
                                                              the program.                                 The Embarc program increases Cigna’s
                                                                                                           position as it will serve as payer and
                                                                                                           distributor, the first time we have seen
                                                                                                           this level in a high-cost area.46,47

                         Payers that participate with us will be
                         getting the best price. They will be getting
                         uniform utilization management.
                         STEVE MILLER, MD, Chief Clinical Officer, Cigna

x                                                       y                                                  z
    n=2, representing 34.3M Commercial lives                n=5, representing 15.2M Commercial lives           n=13, representing 131.9M lives
30                                                         CERTARA EVIDENCE & ACCESS REPORT               DISTRIBUTION CHANNELS DISRUPTION

DISRUPTORS ON OUR RADAR
                                                                                                           BCBS of Massachusetts
       Amazon: PillPack                                                                                    has partnered with
                                                                                                           PillPack to integrate their
       ■ Amazon’s   acquisition of PillPack, the online                                                   pharmacy services into
         pharmacy, is an enormous advance for the
         retailer within the drug distribution channel.
                                                                                                           BCBS’s website and app
         PillPack brings economies of scale to the                                                         concluding that
         medication supply chain by coordinating,                                                         “Members have reported
         organizing, packaging and supplying
         presorted doses of medications directly to
                                                                                                           higher satisfaction with
         millions of patients.                                                                             PillPack than with other
                                                                                                           pharmacy options”.      49

       ■ While still unclear how PillPack will play
         in the specialty category, PillPack could
         limit distribution through PBM-owned
         specialty pharmacies and provide an
         alternative avenue of distribution that
         developers and health plans directly
         contract or integrate with PillPack’s
         ecommerce model which can decrease
         the practice of polypharmacy.48

DEVELOPER TAKEAWAYS
■	The   shift away from buy-and-bill on the               ■	Insuch instances, payers can verify         ■	As utilization moves away from buy and
     medical benefit side means that health                  coverage before a drug is shipped/             bill, patients may experience greater
     plans are contracting more directly with                dispensed to patients, allowing for            cost sharing as the product is now paid
     developers as a means to achieve deeper                 more management of utilization. Such a         out of their pharmacy benefit, providers
     discounts on products and avoid markups                 proactive approach allows payers to have       may experience benefits related to
     from provider facilities.50                             similar influence in managing the medical      inventory management and challenges
                                                             benefit as they do pharmacy benefit.           related to reductions in revenue and
■	Payers    are taking on more distributor                  However, hospital purchasers (pharmacy         additional access controls. Manufacturers
     roles. The shift to alternative strategies              directors) in Certara research have voiced     may experience additional controls on
     such as direct contracting and clear-                   their frustration with mandated buys from      utilization as authorization becomes even
     bagging spurs payers’ more pro-active                   specialty pharmacies, leading many to          more proactive.
     distribution management.51                              open up their own specialty pharmacy, or
                                                             in some instances push back to request
■	Consider    direct purchasing such as when                buy-and-bill.
     Harvard Pilgrim contracted directly to
     receive Luxturna from Spark Therapeutics
     rather than hospitals purchasing the
     product. Harvard Pilgrim supplies Luxturna
     to its contracted treatment centers, but it
     can avoid any additional markups hospitals
     would have added to Luxturna.52
Rising Cost Effectiveness
     Considerations
32                                          CERTARA EVIDENCE & ACCESS REPORT                  RISING COST EFFECTIVENESS CONSIDERATIONS

FIGURE 28
Payer readiness to employ ICER in P&T

          We are integrating ICER assessments directly                         We used the ICER report in our negotiations.
          into the formulary evaluation process of our P&T                     Did we receive the ICER price? The answer is
          committee. It has helped us improve the quality                      no, we didn’t..
          of our value assessments.                                            NATIONAL PBM

          REGIONAL PLAN

          It will be necessary to include new bases of clinical and financial review… such as comparative
          effectiveness and QALYs, as the drugs are too expensive to pay for if they don’t deliver enough either
          to individuals or populations.
          NATIONAL PBM

          People are finding the QALY concept                   I think everyone would welcome, including pharma and
          to be more and more acceptable.                       payers, a value-based pricing mechanism … In the UK,
          As these kinds of approaches get                      they have NICE and in the United States we have ICER .
          adapted… pharma will have to change                   REGIONAL PLAN
          its view on what best pricing is.
          NATIONAL PBM

          I don’t know what the right threshold is. But the fact that there is no agreement doesn’t mean that the
          threshold is unlimited. The Brits actually get this, while we pretend it’s an unlimited budget.
          REGIONAL PLAN

          Information from ICER on complex disease states has                          ICER is responding to real needs in
          been helpful… using their report saves us roughly                            the marketplace, which is why it has
          $10-30k per P&T meeting.                                                     become so visible.
          REGIONAL PLAN                                                                IDN

          …an important component to drug coverage decisions, helping to ensure the most clinically appropriate
          and cost-effective medications are preferred in drug formulary.
          NATIONAL PBM
RISING COST EFFECTIVENESS CONSIDERATIONS                       ACCESS TRENDS IN SPECIALTY PHARMACY 2020-23                                                                           33

Market context
■	The  public debate around drug pricing                      ■	97%  of reports the organization
  has spurred demand for standardized                             published online in 2018 found that
  value assessment in the US. A venture-                          developer WAC prices do not match
  funded think-tank called “ICER” (Institute                      the value the products provide,
  for Clinical and Economic Review), has                          requesting discounts beyond 60% in
  made its name as America’s “drug price                          nearly half of all reviews. To further
  watchdog”, selecting pharmaceutical                             address affordability concerns,
  products for review under cost-                                 “ICER” also projects a budget impact
  effectiveness criteria. The incremental                         of interventions on the basis of a                                            FIGURE 29
  health gains are measured in quality                            population-level back of the envelope                                         (Simplified) components of
  adjusted life years and equal value of                          calculation for the US healthcare                                             ICER’s value framework and
  life years gained, as complimentary                             system, as shown in Figure 30.                                                cost-effectiveness calculation
  method the organization suggests for
  life extending treatments (Figure 29).

                            The ICER framework

                                                                                                                             Cost ($)
                                      Long-term                                                                                                                Even more effective
                                                                                                                                                               Higher cost
                                   value for money

                                                                                                                                                           More effective
                                                                                                                                                           Higher cost
          Comparative clinical                          Incremental
                                                                                                                                        Effectiveness (QALYs and evLYGs)
             effectiveness                           cost-effectiveness                             Cost-effectiveness
                                                                                                    Threshold

               Other benefits or                        Contextual
                disadvantages                         considerations

                                             Item                                  Parameter                                   Estimate                  Source

                                               1        Growth in US GDP +1%                                                      3.5%             World Bank, 2019

                                                                                                                                                   CMS National Health
                                               2         Total personal medical care spending, 2018 estimate                  $2.95 Trillion
                                                                                                                                                   Expenditures, 2019
                                                         Contribution of drug spending to total health care spending (%)
                                               3                                                                                 16.9%             Calculation
                                                         (Row 4 + Row 2)

                                                                                                                                                   CMS National Health
                                               4         Contribution of drug spending to total health care spending, 2018   $498.6 Billion        Expenditures, 2019;
                                                                                                                                                   Altarum Institute, 2018
FIGURE 30
Assumptions, ICER budget                                 Annual threshold for net health care cost growth for ALL drugs
                                               5                                                                              $17.4 Billion        Calculation
                                                         (Row 1 x Row4)
impact calculation
                                                         Average annual number of new molecular entity approvals over
Source: ICER                                   6                                                                                  42.6             FDA, 2019
                                                         5 years (2014-2018)
                                                         Annual threshold for average cost growth per individual new
                                               7                                                                             $409.6 Million        Calculation
                                                         molecular entity (Row 5 + Row6)
                                                         Annual threshold for estimated potential budget impact for each
                                               8                                                                              $819 Million         Calculation
                                                         individual new molecular entity (doubling of Row 7)
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