Land and water condition for agriculture: constraints and opportunities - Dr Richard George, Principal Research Scientist Department of Primary ...

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Land and water condition for agriculture: constraints and opportunities - Dr Richard George, Principal Research Scientist Department of Primary ...
Land and water condition for agriculture:
     constraints and opportunities
           Dr Richard George, Principal Research Scientist
   Department of Primary Industries & Regional Development, Bunbury
Land and water condition for agriculture: constraints and opportunities - Dr Richard George, Principal Research Scientist Department of Primary ...
The context talk…
  • Emphasis – water balance
  • Start dryland and end irrigation –
     • system constraints (broad acre) – land degradation
     • opportunities (irrigation) - water
  • Context sustaining south & growing north…
    examples…
  • Key message – manage water, manage degradation
    and improve productivity & resilience
                                                            1993
Land and water condition for agriculture: constraints and opportunities - Dr Richard George, Principal Research Scientist Department of Primary ...
The South: “Wheatbelt”

Region 25.115 M ha
Native Veg – 7.601 M ha
Cleared - 17.514 M ha cleared

Majority 2400mm evaporation

Rapid and extensive clearing
1950s to 1983.

Roots to bedrock… used water
365 days… resilient to aridity
                                 Wheatbelt ~ 15 M ha

                                                       3
Land and water condition for agriculture: constraints and opportunities - Dr Richard George, Principal Research Scientist Department of Primary ...
WA 2016/17 agriculture = production
            & exports

                                                                                   $7 billion GVAP
                                                                                  *2.47 multiplier
                                                                            $17 B to WA economy

                                      https://www.agric.wa.gov.au/food-export-investment/western-
                                      australia’s-agrifood-fibre-fisheries-and-forestry-industries-2018
Land and water condition for agriculture: constraints and opportunities - Dr Richard George, Principal Research Scientist Department of Primary ...
17.9 mt

                                                 1994    2007    2014
                  Farm size (ha)                 2500    4000    6000
                  Yield (t/ha)                   1.8     2.1     2.6
                  Total net asset                $3m     $6.5m   $12m

Annual rainfall   WA Production                  8mt     12mt    17mt
changes < 1975    No. Growers producing 85% of   1200    800     600
and after 2000    WA crop
                  GVAP WA crop                   $1.4b   $2.8b   $5.5b
Land and water condition for agriculture: constraints and opportunities - Dr Richard George, Principal Research Scientist Department of Primary ...
1994    2007    2014    2025
                        Farm size (ha)                 2500    4000    6000    12000
                        Yield (t/ha)                   1.8     2.1     2.6     3.0
                        Total net asset                $3m     $6.5m   $12m    $20m

Growing season          WA Production                  8mt     12mt    17mt    22mt
rainfall changes        No. Growers producing 85% of   1200    800     600     300
< 1975 and after 2000   WA crop
                        GVAP WA crop                   $1.4b   $2.8b   $5.5b   $9b
Land and water condition for agriculture: constraints and opportunities - Dr Richard George, Principal Research Scientist Department of Primary ...
But…       annual systems…
                                                    •
Land and water condition for agriculture: constraints and opportunities - Dr Richard George, Principal Research Scientist Department of Primary ...
Eventually consequences under ~150 day
              agriculture system                                                   Salinity & Waterlogging

Summer 2008

                                                              ….Visible

                                                              Salinity, water and wind erosion, acidification,
                                                              eutrophication

              Invisible… soil/subsoil acidity, non-wetting,   Community: water quality, biodiversity,
              compaction, soil decline…. GRDC                 infrastructure….                            8
Land and water condition for agriculture: constraints and opportunities - Dr Richard George, Principal Research Scientist Department of Primary ...
Extent and Risk - Mapping

ABS Census 1955-2002
Satellite maps 1998-2000
New planned 2019-2021

1 M ha severe
+ 1 M ha moderate/transient?

Interactive tools

2018 OAG Report
2019 Salinity Consultative Review

                                    9
Land and water condition for agriculture: constraints and opportunities - Dr Richard George, Principal Research Scientist Department of Primary ...
Extent and Risk - Mapping

ABS Census 1955-2002
Satellite maps 1998-2000
New planned 2019-2021

1 M ha severe
+ 2.8 M ha valley hazard

Interactive tools

2018 OAG Report
2019 Salinity Consultative Review

                                    10
2013

                                GRDC 2018 – main 5 soil constraints costing $330 ha or
                                $4.3 billion year (ROSA tool) with treatment enabling an
                                increase of 1 T/ha…

Salinity Chapter

First full review 2013

                                                                                     11
Landcare, Regenerative Ag….

                              …adaptation to use more water … to create resilience
                                           & regional development

                                        New needs – e.g. GHGs like CO2
                                                                    #ClimateSmartAg
…wetter North …drier South…
                                                                       1600
Perth dams     -1% rain -3%                                            1400

                  runoff                                               1200

                                                       Rainfall (mm)
                                                                       1000

                                          ~11,000 GL                   800

                                                                       600

                                          (865 GL/a)                   400

                                          ~200 TDS                     200

                                                                         0
                                                                          1880    1900        1920   1940          1960    1980      2000   2020
                                                                                                            Year

                                                                                 Annual rainfall     10 yr Mean           Long-term Mean

             186 GL
             (68 GL/a)
                                   2030
             1300 TDS
2016 – use ~ 300 GL/a

$400m GVAP

•   Food & fibre crops
•   Cattle
•   Horticulture
•   Tree crops
•   Bush tucker
…Growing in the North (La Grange)…

…catalyst to respectful                                 Broome
                          Before project 3 GL used of
irrigated agricultural    50 GL available.
development…
                          After project 100% applied
                          for….
3 TOs & 7 Stations
2 Hort businesses
•   Soils, chemistry, risks
•   Regolith depths, aquifers, salinity, chemistry
•   Aquifer use – modelling, saltwater interface
•   Aquifer ages, recharge and hydrodynamics with
    strong cultural recognition.
Myalup
               Grow
               Stable
               Less

 $877 m GVAP
               18
 ~350 GL
40 T/ML

5-9 T / ML
Opportunities for growth and
                                           sustainability – to 2040 ?
• Water & food planning –
    •   Major international drivers in food supply and demand (quality): eg wheat.
    •   Changing food culture (vegan, paleo, ….)
    •   Increasing pressure on finite resources
    •   Recognising resource impacts & costs (energy) & market advantage

• Dryland - Better manage landscapes soil and water – RegenAg...

• Irrigation – growth – then unconventional water supplies
    •   Brackish water sources – and desalinisation
    •   Stormwater & wastewater - WWTP & MAR
    •   Mining & post mine closure – legacy opportunities
    •   Horticulture - protected cropping**
Contact
              Work - PO Box 1231, Bunbury 6230.

Questions ?   richard.george@dpird.wa.gov.au
              M 0404 819 532

                                                  21/18
Report Cards
    https://www.agric.wa.gov.au/climate-land-water/resource-
    assessment/report-card-conditions-and-trends

    Salinity interactive model
    https://www.agric.wa.gov.au/resource-
    assessment/interactive-groundwater-and-salinity-map-
    south-west-agricultural-region

    La Grange case study
    https://www.agric.wa.gov.au/assessment-agricultural-
    expansion/la-grange-interactive-soil-and-groundwater-map

    Myalup case study
    https://www.agric.wa.gov.au/assessment-agricultural-
    expansion/myalup%E2%80%93wellington-assessment-
    expanded-irrigation

What www searchers are downloading - from Climate Land
and Water DPIRD website (August)
                                                               22
Wheatbelt ‘average crop’ water balance – 400mm rainfall (1mm = litre/m2)

                                                                                 180 mm (transpiration to grain)
20

                                                                  100 mm (Evaporation)
                                                                                                  1mx1m

10             10       Minimum 10 + 10 mm (runoff & recharge)

                                                  100 mm (summer)

                                                                                                        23
1963

Farm cleared   Drilled 1993   Bluegums 1995   Harvest 2014-16
Highest t CO2-e/ha sequestration areas
Water Balance

   - ve (leaching)

   -ve (dry/runoff)

   -ve (water use)

-ve (runoff/recharge)
  -ve excess runoff

  -ve store/runoff

   -ve - all above

-ve lost water storage
       -ve runoff
 -ve groundwater26rise
What do we do with 60,000 GL…
(aka 400mm) in wheatbelt
agriculture………
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