Logic and Action Plan: Post-Quarterly Progress Meeting - Chesapeake Bay ...
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BIENNIAL STRATEGY REVIEW SYSTEM
Chesapeake Bay Program
Logic and Action Plan: Post-Quarterly Progress Meeting
Blue Crab Abundance Outcome – 2020-2021
Long-term Target: Maintain a sustainable blue crab population based on a target of 215 million adult females.
Two-year Target: Improve/maintain the effectiveness of the blue crab stock assessment model for management and continue to communicate the
status of the blue crab population and fishery to managers and the public.
Instructions: Before your quarterly progress meeting, provide the status of individual actions in the table below using this color key.
Action has been completed or is moving forward as planned.
Action has encountered minor obstacles.
Action has not been taken or has encountered a serious barrier.
Additional instructions for completing or updating your logic and action plan can be found on ChesapeakeDecisions.
Expected
Current
Factor Gap Actions Metrics Response and Learn/Adapt
Efforts
Application
What is impacting What current What further efforts What actions are What will we How and when do What did we learn
our ability to achieve efforts are or information are essential (to help fill measure or observe we expect these from taking this
our outcome? addressing this needed to fully this gap) to achieve to determine actions to address action? How will this
factor? address this factor? our outcome? progress in filling the identified gap? lesson impact our
identified gap? How might that work?
affect our work
going forward?
Scientific and Technical UMCES study Continue to collect 1.2 Improve our Improvement or Continual assessment
Understanding: examined the paired-tow data to fully understanding of continued of our analytical
Lack an understanding effects of evaluate the gear catchability effects on effectiveness of the methods, fisheries
of the effects of environmental efficiency discrepancy blue crab abundance blue crab stock surveys, and available
environmental factors on blue crab between MD and VA estimates. assessment model data is necessary to
variability, habitat, and abundance and and correct for bias. for management. ensure that we are
fishery conditions on recruitment. Identify harvest using the best possible
blue crab population Annual WDS reporting options and stock assessment
dynamics and provides population barriers to model and
catchability. estimates. Paired- appropriately
Updated March 3, 2020 Page 1 of 5Sources of uncertainty tow comparison implementation in each 1.3 Improve harvest managing the blue
and bias need to be data are collected jurisdiction. reporting and crab fishery with
identified, reconciled, to examine gear Document previous characterization of respect to our long-
and/or represented efficiency. efforts to analyze the catch composition. term outcome.
effectively in the stock MDNR implemented effects of environment Understanding
assessment. Ensuring an e-reporting on catchability to environmental effects,
1.4 Evaluate fisheries
use of the best system to verify determine next steps. catchability, and catch
surveys, indices, and
available data and catch and increase composition is
Increase understanding analytical models to
analytical methods can accountability. particularly critical to
of catch composition by determine the best
address these issues prepare for future
MDNR conducted a size and sex. approaches for blue
and improve the stock benchmark stock
stock assessment Continue to evaluate crab stock
assessment model and assessments.
update in 2017. the best data and assessment.
results.
CBSAC funded a analytical methods for
benchmark stock blue crab stock
assessment in 2011, assessment.
led by UMCES.
Public, The Blue Crab Continue to conduct 1.1 Analyze the Continued awareness Jurisdictions rely on
Nongovernmental Advisory Report is the WDS, data analysis, Winter Dredge Survey of the status of the the Blue Crab Advisory
Organization, and published annually and advisory report to results and develop blue crab population Report to inform
Government Agency to share WDS update the status of the annual Blue Crab and fishery. management actions
Engagement: results and the the blue crab Advisory Report. in response to
Communicating the current population population and fishery fishery/population
status of the estimate as well as each year. status.
Chesapeake Bay blue CBSAC’s Continue to collaborate
crab population and recommendations with the Fish GIT,
fishery is key to to managers. fisheries managers, and
ensuring public Results of the other CBP workgroups
2.1 Investigate Improvement or Understanding how
understanding of UMCES ecosystem to identify applications
applications of the continued environmental factors
regulations and study were shared of research results for
blue crab ecosystem effectiveness of the affect blue crab
investment in a healthy with CBSAC and the management and
study results to blue crab stock population dynamics
population. Fish GIT. cross-cutting indicator
management and assessment model is an important
Communicating results development.
other cross-outcome for management. component of the
of blue crab research priorities. stock assessment
and identifying model. CBSAC is
applications ensures interested in
that the best available identifying approaches
science is used to to incorporate these
inform management. study results into the
model.
Updated March 3, 2020 Page 2 of 5ACTIONS – 2020-2021
Action Responsible Party Geographic Expected
Description Performance Target(s)
# (or Parties) Location Timeline
Management Approach 1: Planning and implementing the benchmark stock assessment.
December – March
2019-2020
Conduct the annual Winter Dredge Survey. MDNR, VIMS Bay-wide
December – March
2020-2021
Analyze results of the Winter Dredge Survey and March – May 2020
MDNR, VIMS, CBSAC Bay-wide
develop management recommendations. March – May 2021
Analyze the Winter Dredge Survey results
1.1 and develop the annual Blue Crab Conduct the annual stock assessment update
Advisory Report. and develop recommendations on the March – May 2020
MDNR, CBSAC Bay-wide
effectiveness of the current model as a tool for March – May 2021
blue crab management.
Develop and distribute the annual Blue Crab
June – July 2020
Advisory Report, including results of the stock CBSAC Bay-wide
June – July 2021
assessment update, to managers and the public.
Document previous efforts to examine the
effects of habitat and depth on catchability and CBSAC Bay-wide Winter 2021
evaluate options for next steps.
Improve our understanding of Evaluate potential for GIT/CBT to fund an
NCBO, CBSAC Bay-wide Spring 2021
1.2 catchability effects on blue crab analysis of environmental effects on catchability.
abundance estimates.
December – March
Conduct annual paired-tow comparisons to
2019-2020
evaluate gear efficiency differences between the MDNR, VIMS Bay-wide
December – March
MD and VA Winter Dredge Surveys.
2020-2021
Evaluate current harvest reporting efforts,
Improve harvest reporting and provide recommendations to jurisdictions, and CBSAC Bay-wide Spring 2021
characterization of catch composition. identify barriers to implementation.
1.3
Compile and summarize existing catch
composition data and survey efforts for a future MDNR, CBSAC Bay-wide Winter 2021
benchmark stock assessment, and provide
Updated March 3, 2020 Page 3 of 5recommendations for such surveys to PRFC and
VMRC.
Document the methodology of the fishery-
independent trawl surveys, compare and
standardize indices, and provide CBSAC Bay-wide Spring 2021
Evaluate current indices and analytical recommendations on the most appropriate
models to determine the best indices for stock assessment.
1.4
approaches for blue crab stock
assessment. Evaluate the efficacy of the Winter Dredge
Survey as an index of abundance and determine
UMCES Bay-wide Fall 2020
the best analytical approach for blue crab stock
assessment.
Management Approach 2: Cross-outcome collaboration and multiple benefits.
Present and discuss the ecosystem study results
UMCES Bay-wide Winter 2020
at a CBSAC meeting.
Identify and evaluate options for incorporating
the ecosystem study results into the current CBSAC Bay-wide Spring 2021
Investigate applications of the blue crab management framework.
2.1 ecosystem study results to management
and other cross-outcome priorities. Advise CRWG on relevant climate indicators
NCBO, Climate
associated with blue crab abundance and Bay-wide Fall 2020
Resiliency Work Group
recruitment.
Advise FAT on relevant forage indicators NCBO, Forage Action
Bay-wide Fall 2021
associated with blue crab abundance. Team
Updated March 3, 2020 Page 4 of 5Updated March 3, 2020 Page 5 of 5
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