NATIONAL RENEWABLE ENERGY SOURCE INDUSTRY ROADMAP BELGIUM
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NATIONAL RENEWABLE ENERGY SOURCE INDUSTRY ROADMAP BELGIUM WITH THE COLLABORATION OF ODE‐VLAANDEREN AND THE SUPPORT FROM Disclaimer: The sole responsibility for the content of this publication lies with the authors. It does not necessarily reflect the opinion of the European Communities. The European Commission is not responsible for any use that may be made of the information contained therein 1
CONTENT 1. INTRODUCTION ............................................................................................................................... 3 1.1. Objectives of the “RES industry roadmap” ........................................................................ 3 1.2. Being part of the Repap2020 European project ................................................................ 3 2. TARGETS AND TRAJECTORY............................................................................................................ 5 2.1. Methodology........................................................................................................................... 5 2.2. Overall renewable energy targets and trajectories ............................................................... 6 2.3. Sectoral targets and trajectories ............................................................................................ 7 3. MEASURES FOR ACHIEVING THE TARGETS .................................................................................. 12 3.1. Measures on administrative procedures, regulations and codes ....................................... 12 3.2. Measures on Information ..................................................................................................... 15 3.3. Measures on certification of installers ................................................................................ 16 3.4. Measures on electricity infrastructure development.......................................................... 16 3.5. Priority/Guaranteed Access to the grid ............................................................................... 18 3.6. Biogas integration into the natural gas network ................................................................. 19 3.7. District heating and cooling infrastructure development ................................................... 19 3.8. Compliance of biofuels and other bioliquids with sustainability criteria ........................... 20 3.9. Support schemes for renewable electricity ......................................................................... 20 3.10. Support schemes for renewable heating and cooling ..................................................... 21 3.11. Support schemes for renewable resources in transport ................................................. 22 3.12. Biomass availability .......................................................................................................... 23 4. FLEXIBILITY / JOINT PROJECTS / EUROPEAN PERSPECTIVES ....................................................... 26 5. ESTIMATED COSTS AND BENEFITS OF RES POLICY SUPPORT MEASURES .................................. 26 ANNEX I 2020 targets calculated by the Green‐X and Primes models ........................................... 28 ANNEX II Method of approach / key assumptions ............................................................................ 40 Annex III Short characterization of the Green‐X model .................................................................. 47 EDORA – National Renewable Source Industry Roadmap – Rev. : February 2010 2
1. INTRODUCTION 1.1. Objectives of the “RES industry roadmap” The current document aims to show the vision of the renewable sector on the renewable energy share that could be consumed in Belgium by the year 2020. Trajectories and realizable targets for the main sectors (electricity, heating and cooling and transport) and renewable energy sources are also provided. In addition, this so‐called “RES industry roadmap“ gives key measures that should be implemented in order to reach the proposed targets, according to the renewable energy sector. The “RES industry roadmap” is mostly based on the template for National Renewable Energy Action Plans provided by a Commission Decision on the 30th of June 2009 [C(2009) 5174‐1] and should therefore facilitate the elaboration of the Belgian action plan on renewable energy required for the 30th of June 2010 under the Directive 2009/28/EC. The current document has been presented for final validation to the overall Belgian renewable sector on the 25th of January. From now on, the sector will present the proposed targets and measures to the decision makers and will provide them support to further develop the proposed measures. The sector would like to be instrumental in the development of an ambitious Belgian renewable action plan. After the official publication of the Belgian action plan planned at the end of June 2010, the sector will closely follow the Belgian decision makers in order to make sure that they efficiently implement the required measures. Further advanced versions of this “RES industry roadmap” could be published in the future in order to adapt the proposed 2020 targets (taking new elements, data, decisions or publications into account) and to add, develop or adapt some necessary measures. 1.2. Being part of the Repap2020 European project The current document is part of a broader European project, namely Repap2020 (see here under for a brief description of the project). EDORA (“Fédération de l’Energie D’Origine Renouvelable et Alternative) is in charge of the Belgian coordination of the Repap2020 project. EDORA has been working in close cooperation with ODE‐Vlaanderen in order to facilitate the collection of inputs from a wide number of actors of the Belgian renewable sector. The targets for 2020 proposed are based on a calculation performed by the Fraunhofer Institute Systems and Innovation Research and by Energy Economics Group (Wien University) realized according to PRIMES and GreenX models. The results of these calculations have been reviewed by the sector in order to present the feasible targets exposed in this document together with the necessary measures to reach these targets. Therefore specific working groups have been organized by sector leading to the consultation of more than 50 actors from industries, federation or independent institutes. The current document has been validated by the overall Belgian renewable sector on the 25th of January 2010. EDORA – National Renewable Source Industry Roadmap – Rev. : February 2010 3
Brief description of the Repap2020 project Repap2020 is a European project coordinated by the European Renewable Energy Council (EREC) and gathering 13 European participants. The specific objective of REPAP2020 is to facilitate the process of implementation of the RES Directive on a national level. The main target groups of REPAP2020 are Parliamentarians and Civil Servants in national administrations as well as national industry associations. REPAP2020 aims to support their political work in the field of Renewable Energy – mainly related to the Renewable Energy National Action Plans. REPAP2020 will – in a first phase before the notification of the renewable action plans (NREAPs) to the European Commission – accompany the development of the NREAPs by offering good advice to the relevant authorities on the design of the NREAPs. Furthermore, REPAP2020 will empower national industry associations to come up with their individual national RES roadmaps which will serve as important tool to influence the drafting phase of the NREAPs. In a second phase, the project will evaluate the NREAPs in order to facilitate a constant feedback and learning process. REPAP2020 will show good policy practice and highlight missing pieces in the individual NREAPs. REPAP2020 also aims at creating a network of key players in the field and at offering a platform for the RES industry as well as for Parliamentarians (both EU and national Parliaments) and National Administrations in charge of energy issues. These key actors will be involved both as input providers and disseminating partners. REPAP2020 shall enable them to express their views on the political process and help to improve the upcoming political decisions on RES within Europe and especially on the Member States’ level. EDORA – National Renewable Source Industry Roadmap – Rev. : February 2010 4
2. TARGETS AND TRAJECTORY 2.1. Methodology The proposed targets were provided by calculations performed for the EU27 by EEG (Energy Economics Group) based on the PRIMES and GreenX models1. The Green‐X model provides a detailed quantitative assessment of the future deployment of renewable energies on country‐, sectoral‐ as well as technology level. The core strength of this tool lies on the detailed RES resource and technology representation accompanied by a thorough energy policy description, which allows assessing various policy options with respect to resulting costs and benefits. The Green‐X database on RES potential and cost was used. The Green‐X database and the corresponding model use a quite detailed level of specifying costs and potentials. The analysis is not based on average costs per technology. For each technology a detailed cost‐curve is specified for each year, based on so‐called cost‐bands. These cost‐bands summarize a range of production sites, which can be described by similar cost factors. For each technology a minimum of 6 to 10 cost bands is specified by country. For biomass at least 50 cost bands are specified for each year in each country. The PRIMES model has been used for sectoral energy demand scenarios, primary energy prices, conventional supply portfolio by energy sector by country and corresponding conversion efficiencies and CO2 intensities. More information on models, the database and the scenario parameters is given in Annexes II and III. Once the calculations performed, the results were reviewed by the renewable industry sector in the different member states. In Belgium, EDORA based its feedback on a broad sectoral consultation during several working groups (about 50 different actors from different Belgian regions) and on existing independent studies2. As the model allows assessing various policy options, new calculations were performed based on the renewable sector’s comments from the different EU countries in order to define realizable targets in line with the updated sector trends. The targets, trajectories and cost & benefit analysis as calculated by the model are presented in Annex I. As the final calculations from the models didn’t completely fit to the sector expectations and vision, some last changes have been performed in the proposed targets (tables 1‐5). A special mention (footnote) indicates where the targets and trajectories proposed in tables 3‐5 differ from those calculated with the models. 1 The model Green‐X has been initially developed by the Energy Economics Group (EEG) at Vienna University of Technology in the research project “Green‐X – Deriving optimal promotion strategies for increasing the share of RES‐E in a dynamic European electricity market”, a joint European research project funded within the 5th framework program of the European Commission, DG Research Contract No. ENG2‐CT‐2002‐00607. For details on model, see Annexes II and III or www.green‐ x.at. 2 A.O.: “Impact of the EU Energy and Climate Package on the Belgian energy system and economy”, November 2008, Federal Planning Bureau; “Projet d’actualisation du Plan pour la Maîtrise Durable de l’Energie (PMDE) en Wallonie à l’horizon 2020”, March 2009, ICEDD, Econotec, Ibam; “Prognoses voor hernieuwbare energie en warmtekrachtkoppeling tot 2020”, October 2009, VITO. EDORA – National Renewable Source Industry Roadmap – Rev. : February 2010 5
2.2. Overall renewable energy targets and trajectories Overall share of renewable energy in final energy consumption in 2005, indicative trajectory & binding 2020 target (in % of final energy consumption) Table 1: Overall Renewable 2005 Average Average Average Average 2020 Targets Energy Targets and 2011‐2012 2013 ‐2014 2015‐2016 2017‐2018 Trajectories ktoe 887,69 2230,9 3041,08 3866,87 4803,25 5984,66 Expected Gross Final 39150 38333 38097 37913 37807 energy consumption moderate scenario (ktoe)4 37695 Expected Gross Final 39150 38098 36692 35517 34683 energy consumption low demand scenario (ktoe) 33700 % of the gross final energy consumption (moderate energy 2,27% 5,82% 7,98% 10,20% 12,70% 15,88% demand scenario) % of the gross final energy consumption (low energy demand 2,27% 5,86% 8,29% 10,89% 13,85% 17,76% scenario) 4 The moderate and low energy demand scenarios have been developed according to Primes EDORA – National Renewable Source Industry Roadmap – Rev. : February 2010 6
2.3. Sectoral targets and trajectories Targets for 2020 and indicative trajectory for the share of energy from renewable sources in the electricity, heating and cooling and transport sectors A special mention (footnote) indicates where the targets and trajectories proposed hereafter differ than those calculated with the models. Table 2: Ktoe/% energy 2005 Average Average Average Average 2020 demand 2011‐ 2013 ‐ 2015‐2016 2017‐2018 Targets scenario 2012 2014 Expected gross final moderate 7.912 8.327 8.501 8.693 8.927 9.230 electricity consumption (ktoe) low 7.912 8.686 8.682 8.713 8.855 9.036 Gross final consumption of 199 855 1196 1520 1900 2539 electricity from RES (ktoe) 2,52% 10,27% 14,07% 17,49% 21,28% 27,51% Share of RES electricity in moderate 2,52% 9,85% 13,78% 17,45% 21,45% 28,10% gross final electricity consumption (%) low Expected gross final moderate 21.312 19.666 19.243 18.863 18.534 18.135 consumption in heating and cooling (ktoe) low 21.312 19.039 17.793 16.805 16.236 15.558 Gross final energy consumption from RES in 688,6 1207,0 1592,0 1967,4 2356,0 2602,7 heating and cooling (ktoe) Share of RES heating and moderate 3% 6,14% 8,27% 10,43% 12,71% 14,35% cooling in final heating and cooling consumption (%) low 3,23% 6,34% 8,95% 11,71% 14,51% 16,73% Expected gross final moderate 9.926 10.341 10.352 10.358 10.346 10.331 consumption in transport (ktoe) low 9.926 10.372 10.217 9.998 9.592 9.107 Gross final energy consumption from RES in 0 169 253 379 548 843 transport (ktoe) Share of RES in transport moderate 0,00% 1,63% 2,44% 3,66% 5,29% 8,16% 1,63% 2,47% 3,79% 5,71% 9,25% (%) low 0,00% EDORA – National Renewable Source Industry Roadmap – Rev. : February 2010 7
Table 3 : CONTRIBUTION OF RENEWABLES TO ELECTRICITY CONSUMPTION Type of energy 2005 Average 2011‐2012 Average 2013‐2014 Average 2015‐2016 Average 2017 ‐2018 2020 MW GWh MW GWh MW GWh MW GWh MW GWh MW GWh 56,0 304,0 142,9 803,8 215,0 1.214,5 295,7 1.686,3 405,3 2.295,3 590,1 3.189,5 Biogas 293,0 960,0 670,0 3.198,5 774,8 3.770,9 837,1 4.088,0 866,3 4.229,9 999,7 4.906,7 Solid biomass 52,8 326,0 84,4 592,2 90,3 630,6 96,5 670,8 103,5 716,2 112,8 776,6 Biowaste 5 Hydro 10MW 55,0 163,8 55,0 163,8 55,0 163,8 55,0 163,8 55,0 163,8 55,0 163,8 Geothermal6 0,0 0,0 3,5 29,1 10,5 87,2 24,5 203,4 38,5 319,6 59,5 493,9 Photovoltaic7 2,0 1,7 632,0 537,2 1.060,0 901,0 1.631,0 1.386,4 2.352,0 1.999,2 3.439,9 2.923,9 Tide & Wave8 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0,1 0,4 Wind onshore9 167,0 367,4 1.895,3 4.169,7 2.819,6 6.203,1 3.335,2 7.337,4 3.464,1 7.621,0 3.500,0 7.700,0 Wind offshore 0,0 0,0 72,8 236,3 216,7 700,1 579,9 1877,6 1380,8 4455,2 2824,6 9060,6 Gross final 2.315,6 9.947,8 13.913,0 17.680,5 22.091,5 29.531,6 consumption of electricity from RES 5 The Hydro potential has been adapted from the model calculation as the sector plans 480GWh hydro production by 2020 6 The geothermal potential has been adapted from the model calculation, considering the projections from AGEOP (Association pour la géothermie profonde). These projections are based on potential geological zones and production sites together with a realizable growth rate. 7 The load factor has been adapted from the model calculation: 850 full load hours per year have been taken into account. In addition the trajectory has been adapted from the model calculation. Yearly growth factors of 20%, 15% and 10% have been considered for the periods 2011‐2013, 2014‐2016 and 2017‐2019, respectively. 8 The tide & wave potential has been adapted from the calculation, taking into account a first demonstration plant before full development between 2020 and 2030. 9 The onshore wind potential has been adapted from the model calculation as the sector plans an installed capacity of 3500MW in 2020. Full Load hours / year: 2200. EDORA – National Renewable Source Industry Roadmap – Rev. : February 2010 9
Table 4 : CONTRIBUTION OF RENEWABLES TO HEATING &COOLING Type of Energy 2005 Average 2011‐ Average 2013‐ Average 2015‐ Average 2017‐ 2020 Targets 2012 2014 2016 2018 MWth Ktoe MWth Ktoe MWth Ktoe MWth Ktoe MWth Ktoe MWth Ktoe 110,9 25,0 206,6 35,5 286,6 40,9 332,9 43,5 337,2 43,8 369,0 45,5 Biogas (grid) Solid biomass 118,7 34,0 316,6 87,8 484,2 133,0 591,8 166,3 651,6 186,5 866,3 247,6 (grid) 0,0 0,0 357,1 65,5 381,8 70,6 407,5 75,9 436,1 81,8 471,4 90,2 Biowaste (grid) Solid biomass 4975,1 616,0 7528,1 932,1 9578,7 1186,0 11528,1 1427,4 13405,1 1659,8 12960,4 1604,7 (non‐grid) Geothermal 4,7 2,6 19,8 7,2 37,1 10,7 68,0 15,6 100,1 21,9 147,2 31,7 Solar Thermal 79,5 3,0 812,0 30,6 1810,0 68,3 2833,9 107,0 4138,9 156,2 6383,7 241,0 64,5 8,0 389,1 48,2 665,5 82,4 1063,3 131,7 1662,4 205,8 2763,2 342,1 Heat pumps Gross final energy consumption from RES in heating and 688,6 1207,0 1592,0 1967,4 2356,0 2602,7 cooling EDORA – National Renewable Source Industry Roadmap – Rev. : February 2010 10
Table 5 : CONTRIBUTION OF RENEWABLES TO TRANSPORT FUEL CONSUMPTION Consumption in 2005 Average Average Average Average 2020 Targets Ktoe10 2011 2013 2015 2017 2012 2014 2016 2018 Bioethanol 28,8 43,2 64,8 93,7 144,1 Of which imported11 0 4,8 7,3 10,9 15,7 24,2 Biodiesel 0 122,9 184,3 276,4 399,3 614,3 Of which imported 0 20,6 31,0 46,4 67,1 103,2 Biofuels from wastes, 0 16,9 25,3 37,9 54,8 84,3 residues, non‐food cellulosic material, and ligno‐cellulosic material Of which imported n.a. 8,5 12,7 19,0 27,4 42,2 Final energy from renewable 0 sources consumed in 168,6 252,8 379,1 547,8 842,7 transport 12 10 While the 2020 overall target remains the same than the one calculated by the models, the contribution of the different technologies have been adapted. As the mandatory share of bioethanol and biodiesel is on volume basis, the 2020 bioethanol and biodiesel targets are planned to follow the 2008 picture of fossile mix (19% gasoline and 81% gazole). A linear projection has been followed. Moreover, the following hypothesis has been followed: by 2020, 10% of all biofuels will come from second generation ones. 11 Imported fuel 12 As defined in Article 5(1)c EDORA – National Renewable Source Industry Roadmap – Rev. : February 2010 11
3. MEASURES FOR ACHIEVING THE TARGETS Preliminary remark: the list of measures proposed hereafter are presented as answers to questions mentioned in the template for National Renewable Energy Action Plans provided by a Commission Decision on the 30th of June 2009 [C(2009) 5174‐1]. This presentation should facilitate the work of the decision makers during their redaction of the Belgian action plan for renewable energy that must be sent to the European Commission by the 30th of June 2010. The presented measures are sometimes general and sometimes specific to a region or a technology. As this list of measures is non exhaustive, further versions of this “RES‐industry roadmap” will very likely be published in order to integrate new measures or to further develop the measures presented hereafter. In any case, the measures presented in such an action plan further need specific development for their implementation. The renewable sector will provide support to the decision makers before and after the publication of the Belgian action plan in order to bring its technical feedback on the political decisions needed to reach the Belgian targets. POLICY MEASURES 3.1. Measures on administrative procedures, regulations and codes13 • Who are the administrative bodies responsible for authorization, certification and licensing procedures on national/or regional and local level? How should the competences be best defined and coordinated? Most of authorizations for renewable energy plants are given at the regional level, except for offshore which directly depends on the federal authority. However, part of the authorizations is of local authorities competence (e.g. public roads). This can lead to a project blockade. Some biomass projects could also suffer of delay due to shared competences as waste legislation directly depends on the federal authority. On biofuels, excise duties also depend on federal authority. In order to support an ambitious renewable development policy, it is of crucial importance to improve and better coordinate the authorization and licensing procedures, together with the policy frameworks in the different decision making levels, in order to avoid bottlenecks. • Are there unnecessary obstacles or non‐proportionate requirements detected related to authorization, certification and licensing procedures applied to plants and associated transmission and distribution network infrastructure for the production of electricity, heating or cooling from renewable sources, and to the process of transformation of biomass into biofuels or other energy products? If so, what are they? ‐ In order to develop the renewable sector as prescribed in the respective targets exposed in this document, numerous obstacles urgently need to be removed. ‐ Initially planned to be a distribution grid, the current electricity grid must progressively be seen as decentralized production grid. Therefore grid reinforcement in some specific regions is needed to allow the necessary deployment of renewable productions plants without delaying their installation. Current long lasting authorization procedures for electricity grid development, limited financial means and lack of renewable deployment strategy in terms of spatial planning could lead to several bottlenecks within the electricity grid in the near future. 13 The below listed questions are taken from the template of the European Commission which Member States will have to answer in their NREAP. They are listed here to give an exemplary indication which points you should touch upon in this section. This applies to all points mentioned under this point. EDORA – National Renewable Source Industry Roadmap – Rev. : February 2010 12
‐ Lack of current clarity on strong granted priority access to the grid and dispatching for renewable energy could lead to project delays and renewable energy curtailments in the future when the renewable sector will reach a critical share compared to the traditional energy sources one. Current legislations and technical regulations are not sufficient to guarantee the dispatching of renewable electricity whatever the production and demand profiles are at any time (current legislation could always argue grid security reason to de‐ prioritize renewable production). ‐ Recently a tariff on the injection of electricity in the grid is applied on all decentralized installations. It is a new obstacle which increases the cost of renewable energy compared to the cost of centralized installations (mostly non‐renewable). This tariff must be repealed. ‐ Being obliged to finance themselves the access to the grid, the renewable energy producers are de facto discriminated compared to non‐delocalized electricity producers. These costs must be paid by the TSOs and directly socialized. ‐ The renewable project authorization procedures are still too long. A global framework is needed in order to consider the overall advice on the project in the likely cases where opposite advices arise from different consulted bodies or authorities (especially the case in Flanders). In most of the cases, a single negative advice among numerous other positive ones for a wind project currently leads to either project refusal or nearly automatic appeal procedures, further delaying the realization of the project. ‐ Numerous aeronautic constraints still affect renewable development as wind turbines installations. Considerable share of the Belgian territory (onshore and offshore) is still under military control zones (exclusion, high risk or training zones). In addition civilian aeronautic constraints (airport, radar…) further impact the wind energy development. Solutions could however be found to reduce and/or reshape these zones and radar locations (or to put more radars), to water down some constraints in order to take into account the windfarm development as prominent criteria. ‐ In addition a clear, scientific and integrated framework on the nature protection criteria is sometimes lacking leading to consulted bodies imposing their own unilateral criteria. This is particularly the case for the advisory bodies consulted during the wind turbine authorization procedure. ‐ The increasing presence of lobby groups that disseminates erroneous rumors on renewable energies (e.g. impacts of wind turbines) negatively impacts social acceptance and local decisions during the authorization process. In other cases, public information on renewable energy sources (e.g. on pellets) and their advantages are scarce. In both cases, public information campaigns are necessary. ‐ There isn’t any infrastructure allowing district heating ‐ There is a lack of legal framework for the exploration and exploitation of energy from the underground (deep geothermy). ‐ The current of biofuels policy (too low quotas) doesn’t allow further ambitious development. The current gap between production costs of biofuels compared to fossil fuels would need higher mandatory level. • Is comprehensive information on the processing of authorization, certification and licensing applications for RES installations available? Not a major problem for most technologies. However, for hydro, the administrative procedures remain particularly intricate and seem to be specific to each sites and the « historical » character of some legislations or private agreements. No comprehensive information currently exists to complete such a procedure. Further development of heat production technologies including district heating will need clarification of existing authorization procedures or even elaboration of new ones. New procedures or legislative modifications for the biogas sector (e.g. on injection possibilities on the grid or transport use) must be implemented. EDORA – National Renewable Source Industry Roadmap – Rev. : February 2010 13
• Should authorization procedure take into account the specificities of different renewable energy technologies? If yes, how? Yes, it is already the case. • Should the renewable energy potential be taken into account in spatial planning? Yes. A top‐down approach with clear objectives per technology is firstly needed. Then, regional spatial planning with identification of possible favorable zones for renewable development must be anticipated in order to ensure, in early stage, the necessary grid re‐enforcements. The government must give clear guidelines to the TSOs in order to ensure this grid re‐enforcement, on schedule. The government also closely follows it up. The publication of these zones must be closely evaluated for each technology by the governments in order to avoid investment speculations and wrong or confusing messages among the population and local authorities. This renewable spatial planning must be linked to a careful analysis of current constraints and decisions on their review (and removal) in order to be able to comply with the identified renewable targets. These decisions must be taken by ministers in charge of the energy, the environment and spatial planning and the Defense, acting in close cooperation. Aeronautic constraints must then be watered down by restricting military exclusion zones for wind development. For radar constraints, mitigation measures, operational modification and surveillance engineering modifications shall be put in priority, whereas wind project redesign shall be the last option. Spatial wind farm planning related to nature protection criteria should be based to the last scientific evidence and should be balanced with the positive externatilities generated by wind energy production compared to traditional power plants (in terms of CO2 emission, toxic waste…). In any case, a clear, scientific and integrated framework on the nature protection criteria should be developed. For offshore wind development, the spatial planning must lead to enlarging the existing devoted zone and designate a new zone for offshore energies in order to reach the 2020 target and strive to 3800MW installed in 2030. In addition, specific areas must be devoted to other renewable offshore technologies (tide and wave) for both demonstration and development sites. The development of these technologies requires increased R&D funding, a specific financial support system and consequent grid (onshore and offshore) reinforcements. Spatial planning must be adapted for district heating development and development of heat plants in zones with high density in energy demand. These developments must allow an optimal mix of renewable energy technologies and sources, and maximize heat recovery. Some flexibility must also be foreseen for biomethenisation plants, in order to allow its development in agriculture zones. A special emphasis must be set on designing specific zones for ‘Ecozoning’ development, with the adequate infrastructure to allow the development of economic activities in an energetically optimized concept (synergies to be found between energy and raw material supply and demand and optimization of heat recovery). Obligation to connect to conventional gas systems should be abolished. • Should timetables for processing applications be communicated in advance? Yes, with mandatory deadlines. EDORA – National Renewable Source Industry Roadmap – Rev. : February 2010 14
• How many steps should be needed to obtain the final authorization? Should there be a one‐ stop shop for coordinating all the steps? Should a timetable for processing applications be communicated in advance? A one‐stop shop procedure is already in place for the wind energy authorization process in Wallonia (so‐called “permit unique” delivering environment and planning permits). This could also be envisaged for other technologies and in Flanders. The connection permit should however not be part of this “permit unique” as in this case the grid connection studies would have to be financed by the developers even without the authorization to build. For offshore wind process, a one‐stop shop is not desirable. Distinct processes between concession and authorization procedures prevent the wind energy developers to finance expensive studies without any guarantee to even have a concession. • For which small scale projects, should there be simplified and less burdensome authorization procedures? Simplified procedures should be considered together with the compensation mechanism for small scale installations depending on concerned technology and area of application. For instance, underground heat pumps or small scale installations in agricultural sector could benefit from simplified procedures for installed capacities higher than 10kW. 3.2. Measures on Information • How should specific information be targeted at different groups, as end consumers, builders, property managers, property agents, installers, architects, farmers, suppliers of equipment using renewable energy sources, public administration? Positive communication campaigns based on real time renewable production and shares must be performed by the governments on regional and federal levels. Therefore, an observatory of renewable energy must be put in place in order to have up to date indicators on renewable energy production. Public authorities have a major role to play in raising awareness of the population (exemplary buildings). The current “resistance to Wind” mainly based on rumors and disinformation constitutes a major constraint to wind energy projects development. The regions must finance information campaigns in order to counter the dissemination of erroneous rumor on the impact of wind energy. These campaigns should be based on in situ enquiries amongst the population. Municipalities must actively participate in these campaigns. Education programs should also be supported by the Regions which could take advantage of events such as Wind days. The region must ensure that updated information on the status of the wind energy projects is forwarded to the consulted bodies in order for them to have the most accurate view of the impact of the new wind farm project they have to comment. Recent and reliable information about job creation and economic added value on a local scale should be disseminated amongst the population, with a special focus on youth, in order to attract new vocations in the technical field. Offshore wind farms can have a role as touristic attraction. On cruises correct information on wind energy is important. The public must have access to information that shows clearly the importance of offshore wind and the contribution of offshore wind to a more sustainable energy supply. A lot of educated professionals will be needed in future offshore activities. A special training program can lead to sustainable jobs in the next years. Public information campaigns are also necessary to show the advantages of specific renewable energy sources (e.g. pellets, biofuels, solar thermal, heat pumps). EDORA – National Renewable Source Industry Roadmap – Rev. : February 2010 15
• How will you ensure that certification schemes or equivalent qualification schemes become or are available by 2012 for installers of small‐scale biomass boilers and stoves, solar photovoltaic and solar thermal systems, shallow geothermal systems and heat pumps ? Quality certification initiatives do exist but on a voluntary basis, and with different frameworks between regions. Certification schemes for installers should be harmonized between regions in order to insure high homogenous quality of installations and equipment throughout the country and avoid concurrency distortion between regions. • How should guidance for planners and architects be provided to help them consider the optimal combination of renewable energy sources, high efficiency technologies and district heating and cooling when planning, designing, building and renovating industrial or residential areas? These topics should be a part of the compulsory formation of new planners and architects. Already graduated planners and architects should go through compulsory in service training on these topics. • What should be the role of regional and local actors in the design and management of programs for information, awareness raising and training programs for citizens on the benefits and practicalities of renewable energy sources? Each local community should have an energy counselor at its disposal for continuous information of inhabitants and public building administrator. 3.3. Measures on certification of installers Qualification requirements for installers should be established and harmonized through a broad consultation of the existing organizations comprising industry, government and stakeholders. Quality labeling for industries must be ambitious but progressive at affordable costs for SMEs and micro‐enterprises. An audit system with on site verification must be put in place, at term. 3.4. Measures on electricity infrastructure development • How should transmission and distribution grids be developed to integrate renewable electricity while maintaining the secure operation of the electricity system? How is this requirement included in the transmission and distribution operators’periodical network planning? In order to integrate a higher share of renewable electricity with a granted priority access to the grid and dispatching, significant changes in the grid structure and management are necessary. Several grid reinforcements in some specific regions are needed to allow the necessary deployment of renewable productions plants without delay. EDORA – National Renewable Source Industry Roadmap – Rev. : February 2010 16
Based on clear and ambitious regional targets, TSOs must analyze the possibilities of reaching these targets with the current grid. The TSO must then identify the needed reinforcements in order to reach or even overshoot the targets. It is essential to switch to a grid management strategy based on an increased share of decentralized production units. Experience in other countries could help. These reinforcement and management strategy must be developed together with the regional and federal authorities, which must identify the possible locations where the renewable deployment would take place. This planning must be linked to decisions on the removal of some current constraints to renewable development (onshore and offshore) and reinforcements of the interconnection capacities with neighboring countries. The authorities should closely follow up the TSOs grid adaption in order to assess the fulfillment of their adopted targets. In order to allow the full development of renewable offshore production sites, clear middle‐term and long term targets should be adopted as soon as possible in order to anticipate both offshore and onshore grid reinforcements. In this view, the 2030 targets for offshore wind energy together with other renewable offshore energy sources (tide and wave) must be considered. New financing means are needed in order to accelerate the modernization of the grid. • How will the development of intelligent networks and storage facilities be ensured? Decisions on the share of variable renewable energy production should be taken together with decisions on the share of controllable renewable energy capacities, on storage capacities, interconnection reinforcements and smart grid developments. This is essential to guarantee a systematic and secure priority in the dispatching of renewable electricity. • How should the interconnection capacity with neighboring countries be reinforced? Increased interconnection capacities must be part of a national energy strategy (related to the increased shared of variable renewable energy production) and international strategy. An increased interconnection should be decided among the pentalateral forum and should also be part of a broader EU strategy (e.g. among the North Sea countries linked to the TEN‐E initiatives). An increased onshore interconnection with neighboring countries must be closely analyzed. In addition, a Blueprint on an offshore interconnection should be developed on international level, together with increased cooperation between TSOs and regulators. In this context, Belgian authorities must further lead the EU negotiations with other North Sea countries to speed up the development of a European offshore supergrid allowing the integration of an increased and controllable renewable electricity share on the Belgian grid (based on guaranteed electricity production from wind, ocean, hydro and other dispatchable renewable sources). Concretely, a hub (substation) must be implanted in the Belgian North Sea (or onshore) with offshore interconnections to UK, France and Dutch grids. Consequent Belgian onshore grid reinforcements must be anticipated (even further than the current STEVIN project) to take full advantage of these interconnections. • How should the grid infrastructure authorization procedures be accelerated? The TSO currently assesses the authorization procedures for grid reinforcement as long‐lasting and complex. The procedure should urgently be simplified and strictly time‐limited (1‐3 years depending on the scale of the project). • Should there be priority connection rights or reserved connection capacities provided for new installations producing electricity from renewable energy sources? EDORA – National Renewable Source Industry Roadmap – Rev. : February 2010 17
Any authorized renewable project should be guaranteed to have access to the grid when the power plant is ready to produce. This requires accelerated and financially guaranteed grid connection process (no more financed by the developer or the producer). • How should the costs of connection and technical adaptation be shared between producers and transmission and distribution system operators? How should it be ensured that transmission and distribution system operators are able to recover these investment costs? Should any modification of these cost bearing rules be planned in the future? The connection costs of renewable energy production (onshore and offshore) should be adapted, as the RES producer must not be proportionally penalized. The needed offshore substation together with its connection to the onshore grid and the consequent onshore grid reinforcements must be financed by the TSO. Revenues from a possible windfall profits or stranded benefits recuperation of depreciated power plants could be used to finance these grid reinforcements. 3.5. Priority/Guaranteed Access to the grid • Should priority or guaranteed access be ensured? Explain. Priority access to the grid for renewable installation required by the directive 2009/28/EC is currently inscribed in federal and regional legislations and technical regulations. However, this priority is associated to several conditions (“as far as it is possible”, “taking into account the security of supply”, depending of the grid security…). Amending these federal and regional legislations and technical regulations is now necessary to guarantee unconditional priority access to any renewable production installation without causing any delay to the injection. The current reservation system for the grid connection should be abandoned and the grid connection and reinforcement procedures must be fully in charge of and coordinated by the TSO and dramatically speed up. Any authorized renewable project must have automatic granted connection to the grid. • How should it be ensured that transmission system operators, when dispatching electricity generating installations give priority to those using renewable energy sources? Priority dispatch to renewable electricity is envisaged under conditions by the current federal technical regulations but apparently not guaranteed at the regional level legislations. Problems linked to the lack of guaranteed dispatching for renewable power have not been experienced yet due to the current renewable share. However, with increasing renewable production share, lack of clear priority dispatch for renewable energy could lead to renewable power plants being forced to sometimes switch off in the future. It is therefore important to adapt the current legislation and technical regulations in order to guarantee unconditional priority dispatching for electricity from renewable energy sources. The grid security should intrinsically be based on a systematic priority dispatching for renewable electricity, consequent interconnections and storage capacities must be activated to implement this rule. In the very unlikely cases where renewable productions must be shortly switched off (e.g. higher renewable production than the overall demand associated to congestions in the interconnections), consequent financial compensations should be given to these renewable energy producers. • What grid and market related operational measures should be taken to minimize curtailment of electricity from renewable energy sources? EDORA – National Renewable Source Industry Roadmap – Rev. : February 2010 18
Curtailment could be reduced with a strong unconditional priority dispatch for renewable electricity in the legislation. Curtailment could further be prevented by the development of a strategy in order to balance an increased share of variable renewable energy production by increased interconnection and backup power plants. Any curtailment of renewable energy must lead to financial compensations to the related producers. 3.6. Biogas integration into the natural gas network • How should one ensure that charging of transmission and distribution tariffs is not discriminating against gas from renewable energy sources? ‐ A support mechanism should be developed for biogas production and coupled with an obligation for gas distribution companies to support the injection of biomethane. ‐ A compulsory share of renewable gas injection should be considered. ‐ Socialization of biogas enrichment and compression costs should be considered. • Should any assessment be carried out at national or regional level on the need to extend gas network infrastructure to facilitate the integration of gas from renewable sources? ‐ A master plan bringing heat supply and demand together should lead to heat load maps on a regional level. ‐ Policies must be developed to allow power developers to connect to existing or planned network. ‐ Clarity must be set on ownership and investment needs of gas network in order to allow funding of potential needed reinforcements. 3.7. District heating and cooling infrastructure development • What are the needs for new district heating and cooling infrastructure using renewable energy sources and contributing to the 2020 target? How should these plans be promoted? Regional and local authorities’ awareness must be raised on the potentials and advantages of district heating and cooling development and the opportunities of public – private partnerships. Feasibility evaluation of district heating infrastructure development should be compulsory for any new construction of housing estates and communities of sufficient densities and collective habitat. District heating infrastructure should be developed in priority in zones with high energetic density and a potential of combination of different ER technologies and energy recuperation. Clear political will must be showed to favor the use of public money for the development of district heating instead of traditional gas network. Existing gas distribution managing utilities must be progressively transformed into heat distribution utilities. EDORA – National Renewable Source Industry Roadmap – Rev. : February 2010 19
3.8. Compliance of biofuels and other bioliquids with sustainability criteria The Belgian law of 22nd of July 2009 contains an obligation of 4% volume biofuels incorporation for biodiesel and bioethanol. Under the Art2‐8°, the notion of “sustainable fuels” is defined, which already includes sustainability criteria. The future Fuel Quality Directive, once transposed in the Belgian law, will implement the sustainability criteria for biofuels. FINANCIAL SUPPORT 3.9. Support schemes for renewable electricity What further improvements could be implemented to ensure reaching the target in the electricity sector? Investment aid: What investment aid should be granted by the scheme? (subsidies, capital grants, low interest loan, tax exemption or reduction, tax refund). Who could benefit from this scheme? Investment support schemes should be widened to allow the broad participation of historically excluded sectors and the emergence of new partnerships like the public private partnerships or co‐ investment of medium/large companies from the energy sector. Low rate loans must also be considered as well as tax reduction mechanisms or public financial warranty system. These mechanisms should take into account the possibility of flexible pay back levels taking into account the periodical variability of the RE production. A specific public warranty mechanism should be put in place to cover geological exploration risks for geothermal exploitation (EGS, but also geothermal heat). Tax reduction mechanisms for individuals should not be limited to a few technologies (like PV, Solar thermal and geothermal) but also allow small scale wind technologies, hydroelectricity, aero‐ and hydrothermal heat pumps and bio‐CHP. Should applications be continuously received and granted or are there periodical calls? If it is periodical, what should be the frequency, conditions? Continuous. Operational aid: If your country has a tradable certificates system: Should there be an obliged share of total supply? Who would have the obligation? Should there be technology specific bands? Which technologies should be covered by the scheme? Should an international trade of certificates be allowed? What would be the conditions? Should there be a floor / bottom price? Should there be a penalty for non‐fulfilment? How long should a plant be able to participate in the scheme? What start and end dates (duration) are foreseen for the whole scheme? Should the scheme be periodically revised? EDORA – National Renewable Source Industry Roadmap – Rev. : February 2010 20
Who should be managing the scheme? Green certificate system could be optimized by reviewing the support level in relation to the real additional cost of each technology. This will allow to take into account the learning curves of each technology and the evolution of raw material costs. Increased support to emerging or small scale technologies must be considered in addition to the PV increased support. However, existing mechanism (GC) must be maintained but finely optimized. The support level could be periodically reviewed at the only condition that the system remains predictable on the long term in order to create a favorable climate for investors (e.g. 15 years). Equilibrium of the system must be closely monitored in order to avoid unexpected GC market crash if stocks become excessive. Market player participation to the green certificate exchange market should be encouraged in order to increase liquidity of the system. Congruency in support mechanism schemes must be improved between regions in order to favor exchangeability of GC (penalty and minimum price levels). Clear and fair rules must be found to allow injection of offshore GC on the regional markets without market distortion due to higher offshore support. Support should be adapted to allow the development of large scale photovoltaic installations in Wallonia. The 20MW installed power limit for biomass needed to benefit from production support in Wallonia could be re‐considered taking into account logistics (CO2) and emission reduction optimization in large scale installations. Reduced support could be an option to counter market distortion. The support mechanism for biomethanisation should take into account the avoided CO2 emission of the whole process (e.g pellets drying, concentration of digestat…) 3.10. Support schemes for renewable heating and cooling What measures could be best to ensure development of heating and cooling renewable energy sources? An obligatory share of renewable heat should be laid for all new constructions (private and public buildings) for 2012. Financial support for investing in individual heating systems should be added up in case of installation of collective heating system. Production support mechanism for heat could be similar to that of electricity support but with adapted levels (based on CO2 avoided emissions and not on MWh production in order to avoid over‐ subsidization of heat technologies compared to electricity). Small scale renewable heating systems must be supported in remote areas where the development of collective plants is not possible in the short term. Heat pumps support mechanism must take into account the advantages of cooling. These support mechanisms will need the implementation of simple and reliable metering mechanisms. What support schemes could best encourage the use of district heating and cooling using renewable energy sources? ‐An obligation to connect to district heating when available should be planned and supported with a financial mechanism (prime) if needed and emphasized with a prohibitive penalty in case of non connection. ‐ A support mechanism for the construction of district heating should take into account the raw material cost and energetic density of the network in order to promote highly efficient systems (high density of habitations and/or high energy consumption facilities or industries). ‐ Public support should be compatible with public‐private partnerships and third party financing. EDORA – National Renewable Source Industry Roadmap – Rev. : February 2010 21
3.11. Support schemes for renewable resources in transport What should be the concrete obligations / targets per year (per fuel or technology)? Since July 09 there is an obligation to incorporate 4% v/v of bioethanol in gasoline and 4% v/v biodiesel in the gazole. For 2020, we should set also intermediate binding targets for biofuels. The difficulties experienced until now in implementing long term targets at national level not only suggest the need for mandatory targets, but also the necessity that those targets are detailed over shorter periods of time, certainly not over a decade. A sustained and progressive growth in the use of biofuels could be best achieved by establishing intermediate targets for biodiesel and bioethenol in line with the trajectory exposed before in the table (contribution of renewable to transport fuel consumption).Consequent measures should be enforced. Should there be a differentiation of the support according to fuel types (biodiesel, bioethanol) and technologies (second generation biofuels, renewable electricity)? As there is a technology gap between the first and the second generation biofuels, the support should be focused on R&D to further develop the second generation fuels, by financing the development of the technology using raw material like wastes, residues, non‐food cellulosic material, and ligno‐ cellulosic material whose contribution shall be considered to be twice. This must decrease the production cost and increase the competitivity of those new fuels. EDORA – National Renewable Source Industry Roadmap – Rev. : February 2010 22
3.12. Biomass availability Table 6 : Biomass availability in 2006 Imported Exported Primary Final Amount of Net energy energy Sector of ktoe domestic amount production use origin Non‐ resource EU EU/non‐EU (ktoe) (value in (value in EU ktoe) ktoe) A) Biomass from 14 1. direct supply of wood biomass from 206,3 213,4 419,7 forestry : forests and other wooded land for energy generation 2. indirect supply of wood biomass for 283 283 energy generation B) Biomass Of which: from agriculture 1. agricultural crops and fishery 54,8 54,8 109,5 and fisheries: products directly provided for energy generation 2. Agricultural by‐products / 100 100 processed residues and fishery by‐products for energy generation C) Biomass from waste: 1. Biodegradable fraction of municipal 79 ,8 79,8 solid waste 2. Biodegradable fraction of industrial 21 21 waste (including paper, cardboard, pallets) 3. Sewage sludge Total 744,8 268,2 1013 Sources: PMDE 2007, Projet d’actualisation du Plan pour la Maîtrise Durable de l’Energie (PMDE) en Wallonie à l’horizon 2020, ICEDD, ECONOTEC, Ibam, 2009 and IEA BIOENERGY – TASK40, “Sustainable International Bioenergy Trade Securing Supply and Demand Country report Belgium” VITO/CRA‐W, Guisson and Marchal, 2009. 14 Biomass from forestry should also include biomass from the forest‐based industries. Under the category of biomass form forestry processed solid fuels, like chips, pellets and briquettes should be included in the corresponding subcategories of origin. EDORA – National Renewable Source Industry Roadmap – Rev. : February 2010 23
Table 7 : Biomass availability in 2020 Imported Exported Primary Final Amount of Net energy energy Sector of ktoe domestic amount production use origin Non‐ resource EU EU/non‐EU (ktoe) (value in (value in EU ktoe) ktoe) A) Biomass from 15 1. direct supply of wood biomass from 558 558 forestry : forests and other wooded land for energy generation 2. indirect supply of wood biomass for 610 1451 2061 energy generation B) Biomass Of which: from agriculture 1. agricultural crops and fishery 382 620 1002 and fisheries: products directly provided for energy generation 2. Agricultural by‐products / 929 929 processed residues and fishery by‐products for energy generation C) Biomass 610 610 from waste: 1. Biodegradable fraction of municipal solid waste 2. Biodegradable fraction of industrial waste (including paper, cardboard, pallets) 3. Sewage sludge Total 3089 2071 5160 What measures could best encourage the use for energy purposes of unused arable land, degraded land, etc. planned? 15 Biomass from forestry should also include biomass from the forest‐based industries. Under the category of biomass form forestry processed solid fuels, like chips, pellets and briquettes should be included in the corresponding subcategories of origin. EDORA – National Renewable Source Industry Roadmap – Rev. : February 2010 24
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