Northamptonshire COVID-19 Weekly Surveillance Report - Northamptonshire County Council
←
→
Page content transcription
If your browser does not render page correctly, please read the page content below
Northamptonshire COVID-19
Weekly Surveillance Report
• Clinically vulnerable adults who shielded in the first lockdown are being urged to do so again – even if they have received both
doses of the vaccine
• A total of 3,009 Northamptonshire residents have tested positive for COVID-19 in the last week
• Mixing between households, in spite of national lockdown rules, is still the greatest cause of transmission locally
Data up to 24 January 2021
National Lockdown
All residents in Under the national lockdown restrictions, the Government is ordering everyone to stay at
Northamptonshire and home. You may only leave the house for limited reasons permitted in law, such as:
across England are • To shop for essentials
officially being told to • To work, if you absolutely cannot work from home
‘Stay at Home, Protect • To exercise once a day
the NHS and Save Lives.’ • To seek medical assistance, for example to get a COVID-19 test
• Or to escape domestic abuse
Full National Lockdown Guidance
2
Rapid COVID-19 Testing • Two community COVID-19 Rapid Testing Centres are open in Northamptonshire for key workers who are not showing symptoms of COVID-19. • The new community based testing sites are at Lodge Park Sports Centre in Corby and the University of Northampton. The test is called a Lateral Flow Test and involves a swab of the mouth and nose and provides a result within 30 minutes. • The aim of testing people who do not have COVID-19 symptoms is to identify those who may be infectious without being aware in order to reduce spread of the virus but it cannot definitively tell you if you do not have COVID-19. For those who test positive, immediate isolation is required for 10 days as with a PCR test. • Testing slots must be booked online in advance and priority is given to workers in the following sectors: Health or social care, transportation, education or childcare (if not receiving regular rapid tests via the workplace), essential shops, supermarkets or financial services, food production or processing, warehousing, packing or distribution, essential public sector services including waste, bin collections, security, construction, utilities or communications and agency workers. It is advisable for those people working in these sectors to take up the opportunity to get tested on a weekly basis to help to reduce the spread of the virus. • Further sites across the county will open in the coming weeks. 3
COVID-19: Let’s Use All The Tools We Have! Lockdown is starting to work but we have a long way to go. Remember: ‘act as if you have it’ because you may not know you do. Stay at home, stay safe, keep others safe and together we will beat this! • Get tested! Did you know that up to 80% of people who have COVID-19 may show no symptoms at all but they still carry the disease at a strength which could kill another person? If such a high percentage of the population could have the disease without showing symptoms, they could be casually spreading the disease everywhere they go. Community-based asymptomatic testing sites are now open to those who are unable to work from home and particularly those in high-risk workplaces or key worker roles. Testing is available at sites in Corby and Northampton with booking available through the NCC website. Large workplaces can also apply to host lateral flow device testing in house. Details will appear on the NCC website shortly. • Get vaccinated! Respond to the call when it’s your turn and get that jab in your arm. The more people who get vaccinated, the more likely we are to beat the coronavirus. The new mass Vaccination Centre is now open at the Royal Pavilion building in Moulton Park. This presents us with the opportunity of vaccinating even more people each week, as national supplies allow. Letters will be sent out to people in priority cohorts 1-4, over 80s, front line workers, over 75s and the over 70s and Clinically Extremely Vulnerable, explaining how they can book online or by phone. When you are contacted, please attend your booked appointments at exactly the time you’re asked to, so that we can avoid queues in this cold weather. • Complacency can kill! Although we have these new tools to help us in the fight against COVID-19, the new mutant strain of the virus is up to 70% more transmissible and 30% more deadly than the previous strain. Even though case rates are reducing slowly, they remain alarmingly high. However tired you may be, keep following the gold standard trio: hands, face space. We all know that COVID-19 is invisible which is why it presents us with such a mammoth challenge. We are in national lockdown and compliance with Government restrictions and regulations is essential if we are to see our positive case rates, hospitalisations and deaths continue to come down. 4
Total and Weekly Summary
A total of 37,496 positive cases have been identified in Northamptonshire to date. Of this number, 3,009 were
identified in the last week, 18th to 24th January 2021.
This graph shows the total number of people who have tested
positive for COVID-19 in Northamptonshire each week since
2nd November 2020.
Weekly case numbers increased significantly during the
course of December and into early January. Although cases
have been decreasing over the last two weeks, the latest
weekly case total is still 18% higher than that seen in the
week of 21st December 2020.
The latest week’s figures are likely to increase further as data
for the most recent days are subject to reporting delays.
5
Total Cases by District and Borough
This table shows the total number of people who
have tested positive for COVID-19 up to 24th January
Cases in week 2021 in each of Northamptonshire’s seven districts
Total cases to Change from
Area 18 Jan to 24 Jan and boroughs.
24 Jan 2021 previous week
2021
Northamptonshire’s total weekly cases shows an
Northamptonshire 37,496 3,009 Decrease increase of 18% when compared to the week of 21st
Corby 3,782 401 Decrease December 2020.
Daventry 3,404 219 Decrease
Northamptonshire as a whole, and all districts and
East Northamptonshire 3,569 285 Increase boroughs except for East Northamptonshire, have
Kettering 4,388 406 Decrease seen a decrease in case numbers when compared to
the previous week. These decreases are good news
Northampton 14,625 1,138 Decrease but we must work together to maintain this trend.
South Northamptonshire 4,050 228 Decrease
Please note that extreme caution must be applied
Wellingborough 3,678 332 Decrease
when viewing week on week changes. To see the
overall changes in areas in context please see slides
14, 15 and 16.
6
Rates of Cases by District and Borough
The data in this table show us what the total and
Cumulative Rate per Compared to Compared to
most recent week’s positive COVID-19 case
rate per 100,000 15 County rate 15 England rate 15
Area numbers for our districts and boroughs would
100,000 to Jan to 21 Jan Jan to 21 Jan Jan to 21 Jan
21 Jan 2021 2021 2021 2021 look like if each area had the exact same
population size (100,000).
Northamptonshire 4,858 450.2 - Sig higher
Corby 5,069 603.7 Sig higher Sig higher
This helps us to compare geographic areas with
different sized populations more accurately.
Daventry 3,877 304.8 Sig lower Sig lower
East Northamptonshire 3,684 305.7 Sig lower Sig lower
Northamptonshire’s infection rate per 100,000
population for the most recent week is 450.2,
Kettering 4,188 444.1 Similar Similar which is significantly higher than the national
Northampton 6,366 589.0 Sig higher Sig higher average.
South Northamptonshire 4,216 292.1 Sig lower Sig lower
All district and borough infection rates, except for
Wellingborough 4,489 442.9 Similar Similar Northampton and Corby, are significantly lower
Source: Gov.uk Coronavirus Dashboard than or similar to the national average.
*Please note that the word sig means ‘significant’, Northampton and Corby’s rates are significantly
which is a statistical term that simply means that the higher than the national average.
research is valid.
7
Percentage Change in Recent 7-day Case Rate
This chart shows percentage changes in case rates over the last 3 months. Percentage changes are calculated by
comparing to the previous non-overlapping 7-day period. It shows that Northamptonshire’s case rates increased more
rapidly in December than they did ahead of the previous national lockdown in November and have decreased more
slowly following the implementation of national lockdown policies.
* Data for the last 5 days are not displayed as they will be incomplete.
Source: Gov.uk Coronavirus Dashboard
8
Deaths Within 28 Days of Positive Test
This table shows total number of deaths of people
Total deaths Deaths in week Change from who had a positive test result for COVID-19 and died
Area to 24 Jan 18 Jan to 24 Jan previous within 28 days of the first positive test, reported up
2021 2021 week to 24th January 2021 for each of Northamptonshire’s
seven districts and boroughs.
Northamptonshire 1,144 58 Decrease
Northamptonshire as a whole, and all districts and
Corby 106 8 Decrease
boroughs except for East Northamptonshire, have
Daventry 120 8 Decrease seen either a decrease or no change in numbers of
deaths when compared to the previous week. East
East Northamptonshire 158 7 Increase
Northamptonshire has seen an increase in deaths
Kettering 148 12 Decrease compared to the previous week.
Northampton 406 14 Decrease
We must work together now more than ever to
South Northamptonshire 95 4 No change reduce numbers of deaths as recent scientific
evidence suggests that the new variant of COVID-19
Wellingborough 111 5 Decrease
in the UK is deadlier than the original virus.
Source: Gov.uk Coronavirus Dashboard
* People who died more than 28 days after their first positive test are not included, whether or not COVID-19 was the cause of death.
9
Rate of Weekly Lab Confirmed Cases
This graph includes all testing data. Recent data
shows that Northamptonshire’s rate of cases in the
last seven days remains above the England average.
With the exception of Daventry, South
Northamptonshire and East Northamptonshire, all
districts and boroughs now have weekly total rates
above the England average, with recent data
showing a rising case rate trend in East
Northamptonshire and Kettering.
All other districts and boroughs are showing
decreasing trends in case rates over the last couple
of weeks. Corby’s rate is currently the highest in the
county, followed closely by Northampton. As Corby
saw the sharpest increase in cases after Christmas,
its case rate is currently 211% higher than it was on
21st December 2020.
Source: Gov.uk Coronavirus Dashboard.
* These are 7-day rolling total numbers of cases as a rate per 100,000 population – this is done to even out the fluctuations we see in testing volumes on
weekdays vs weekends.
10Recent Cases by Age and Gender
This graph shows the number of positive test results for
COVID-19 in Northamptonshire over the last 28 days by
gender and by ten-year age band.
Overall, more women than men tested positive for COVID-
19 in the last 28 days.
The age group with the most positive tests was 30 to 39
year olds for both men and women. Case numbers are
currently highest amongst working age adults. The new
variant is appearing to cause more hospital admissions and
deaths in this age category.
Over the last 4-week period there have been further
increases in numbers of cases amongst people aged 60+.
This is of particular concern as these age groups tend to be
at greater risk of more severe disease, observed hospital
admission and death.
*Please refer to the gov.uk coronavirus dashboard heat map for more information on cases in specific age groups.
11Rate of Weekly Lab Confirmed Cases in
Ages 60+
This graph includes testing data for people
aged 60+. It shows that the rate of
confirmed cases for people aged 60+ in
Northamptonshire has started to fall in the
last week following the sharp rise seen since
Christmas.
Northampton and Kettering’s case rates for
ages 60+ are currently higher than the
Northamptonshire average. Corby’s case
rate for ages 60+ has fallen slightly below
Northamptonshire average in the last week.
Northampton’s rate remains the highest in
the county, followed by Kettering’s.
Case rates in all districts and boroughs
remain high but have decreased or
plateaued in the last week.
* These are 7-day rolling total numbers of cases as a rate per 100,000 population – this is done to even out the fluctuations we see in testing volumes on
weekdays vs weekends.
12Hospital Beds Occupied by Confirmed
COVID-19 Patients This chart shows the trend in numbers of beds at
Northampton and Kettering General Hospitals occupied
by COVID-19 patients since 1st August 2020.
It shows that the number of beds occupied due to
COVID-19 remained relatively steady over the late
summer through to mid-October, at which point
numbers of patients in hospital began to increase
sharply.
Although case rates went down during the second
national lockdown, the numbers of patients in
hospital due to COVID-19 continued to rise. There has
been a further sharp rise in hospital bed occupancy
following a brief decline in the run-up to Christmas.
The latest data shows that a total of 346 COVID-19
patients occupied hospital beds in Northamptonshire
on 26th January 2021. Bed occupancy appears to now
be on a decreasing trend following the record high of
422 seen on 13th January 2021.
13Cases by Community – Last 28 Days The chart shows the local communities within Northamptonshire where COVID-19 infections over the last 28 days are highest. Knowing the areas with the highest case numbers in the last 28 days help us to prioritise and focus our support locally. 14
Case Rates by Community – Last 28 Days per 100,000 population These graphics show what positive COVID- 19 case numbers over the last 28 days would look like if each local community had the exact same size population (100,000). The map illustrates the 28-day infection rate per 100,000 population across the whole county. * Please note that the numbers shown on this page represent the best possible estimate we can make from a wider range of numbers, because there is always a margin of error when calculating cases per 100,000 population – particularly where actual case numbers are small. 15
Change in Case Rates by Community – Fortnightly
per 100,000 population
Rank Name
If each community had the exact
1. Kettering Central East (Kett)
same size population (100,000) in
2. Kettering East (Kett)
Northamptonshire, this graphic
3. Stornton & Sixfields (Nton)
shows how COVID-19 case numbers
in the last 14 days would have 4. Oundle, Warmington & Titchmarsh (EN)
changed in each community 5. Daventry South & Southbrook (Dav)
compared to the previous 14 days. 6. Kettering Town & West (Kett)
7. Kettering Avondale Grange (Kett)
The 15 areas with the greatest 8. St Michael's Road (Nton)
increases in case rates are listed 9. Ringstead, Woodford & Stanwick (EN)
next to the map. 10. Brickhill (Wboro)
11. Eastfield (Nton)
Areas with the greatest increases in 12. Geddington, Rushton & Stoke Albany (Kett)
rates of infection show us where 13. Barton Seagrave (Kett)
we need to prioritise and focus our 14. Raunds (EN)
support locally. 15. Town Centre & Semilong (Nton)
* Please note that the numbers shown on this page represent the best possible estimate we can make from a wider range of numbers, because there is always a
margin of error when calculating cases per 100,000 population – particularly where actual case numbers are small.
16Summary of Outbreaks 25/01/2021
Two or more cases linked by place and time to that setting. Totals are 28 day counts for care homes and hospitals, and 14
day counts for all other locations.
In the last 28 days Corby Daventry East Northants Kettering Northampton South Northants Wellingborough County total Case total
Outbreaks 6 6 6 7 22 6 5 58 625
Care home/service 4 5 6 7 17 4 5 48 535
Childcare 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 11
Workplace 0 0 0 0 3 2 0 5 55
Education 0 1 0 0 2 0 0 3 22
Hospital/hospice 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 2
Other 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
• Please note that this summary covers all situations classified as ‘active’. An active situation has had at least 1 positive case within the previous 28 days.
• Outbreaks are pended if there are no new cases reported for Care H/Heath care in 14 days and 7 days for others.
• Although outbreaks have increased this week and are related to a particular setting - it is important to note that the majority of cases are due to community
household transmission.
17Winter Flu - Protecting the Immune System
Winter Flu immunisation uptake up to end of week 02 (11-17 Jan 2021)
This data represents 91.3% of GP practices uploading their data for week 02. Please note that individuals can appear in more than one
cohort, e.g. pregnant and in risk category.
Number of further
Total Number eligible Number of immunisations
Target Group immunisations required to Target %
people given
meet target
Over 65 120,542 98,147 Target met 75%
Under 65 at risk 93,829 50,078 20,294 75%
Pregnant Women 5,921 2,266 2,175 75%
2 and 3 year olds 17,653 9,558 3,682 75%
The table below shows that the current progress for flu uptake has improved in all eligible categories compared to week 02 in 2020.
Total Combined At-Risk
STP Year 65 and over Population 6 months to All Pregnant Women All Aged 2-3 years
under 65 years
Northamptonshire STP 2020/21 81.4% 53.4% 38.3% 54.1%
Northamptonshire STP 2019/20 70.1% 41.8% 35.2% 38.7%
Northamptonshire STP Change +11.3% +11.6% +3.1% +15.4%
18Public Health Measures • Public Health Northamptonshire, Environmental Health Departments within District and Borough Councils, Northamptonshire County Council and Northants Police will use enforcement powers where there is non-compliance in relation to COVID-19 Regulations. • The Health Protection (Coronavirus, Restrictions) (All Tiers) (England) Regulations 2020 are currently in force imposing Tier 4 restrictions nationally since 6th January 2021. • There are a number of established forums within Northamptonshire to discuss and agree a consistent approach to these Regulations. • Although there are a variety of agencies enforcing these restrictions, we have established a Joint Enforcement Team to target non- compliance which includes a multi-agency approach to interventions. • We will continue to engage with our community to ensure compliance with the objective of supporting public health and reducing the transmission rate of COVID-19. • However, gatherings in private dwellings; undertaking non-essential journeys; a failure to wear face coverings and failure to self- isolate when required to do so will result in the use of proportionate enforcement powers aimed at protecting public health which can include the service of Fixed Penalty Notices. 19
Got Symptoms? Get Tested • To find out more information about local testing sites visit: Northamptonshire COVID-19 Testing Update. • Tests can be booked online at NHS COVID-19 or by calling 119. Home testing kits can also be ordered subject to availability. • It is vital that when you leave the house to be tested you must go straight to the testing centre and return home immediately to self- isolate until you get your results. • Advice on how to access a COVID-19 test can be found here: COVID-19 Guidance on Getting Tested. 20
Help, Guidance and Fines
• Government Financial support is now available for eligible individuals who have to
self-isolate for up to 14 days. Details of financial support can be found here.
• Northamptonshire County Council has put together a Self-isolation support pack for
residents.
• Those who do not follow Test and Trace guidance, or those who breach self-isolation,
or lockdown legislation will be fined £1,000.
22You can also read
