Public transport and MaaS - Key note speech Hamburg, March 14, 2018 - MAAS-Alliance

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Public transport and MaaS - Key note speech Hamburg, March 14, 2018 - MAAS-Alliance
Public transport
and MaaS
Key note speech

Hamburg, March 14, 2018
Public transport and MaaS - Key note speech Hamburg, March 14, 2018 - MAAS-Alliance
180314_MaaS Alliance_KeyNote_Dyskin_vFinal.pptx   2
Public transport and MaaS - Key note speech Hamburg, March 14, 2018 - MAAS-Alliance
180314_MaaS Alliance_KeyNote_Dyskin_vFinal.pptx   3
Public transport and MaaS - Key note speech Hamburg, March 14, 2018 - MAAS-Alliance
180314_MaaS Alliance_KeyNote_Dyskin_vFinal.pptx   4
Public transport and MaaS - Key note speech Hamburg, March 14, 2018 - MAAS-Alliance
Why? Status symbols change; tuned car (1); iPhone 7+ (2)

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Public transport and MaaS - Key note speech Hamburg, March 14, 2018 - MAAS-Alliance
180314_MaaS Alliance_KeyNote_Dyskin_vFinal.pptx   6
Public transport and MaaS - Key note speech Hamburg, March 14, 2018 - MAAS-Alliance
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Public transport and MaaS - Key note speech Hamburg, March 14, 2018 - MAAS-Alliance
The whole eco system is changing already now; Visual: Uber taxi
stand in Chicago

                                                180314_MaaS Alliance_KeyNote_Dyskin_vFinal.pptx   8
Public transport and MaaS - Key note speech Hamburg, March 14, 2018 - MAAS-Alliance
Public Transport is about to experience significant changes –
PT companies need to find good answers to the right questions
Key questions for public transport of tomorrow

                   A                    B                     C                D                                E
            Will I have How can I                     How can I         Have I                      How can I
Questions

            a right to  keep the                      win the           done all                    leverage
            exist in an customer                      race              my home-                    my assets
            autonomous world
            when getting from
                                interface and avoid
                                being pushed into
                                                      against the
                                                      car           ?   work on                     commercially to
                                                                                                    become (more)
            A to B can be       the role of
                                              ?
                                                                        conventional
                                                                        levers         ?            independent
                                                                                                                         ?
            offered almost
            for free      ?     a mere carrier                                                      financially

                                                                                 180314_MaaS Alliance_KeyNote_Dyskin_vFinal.pptx   9
Public transport and MaaS - Key note speech Hamburg, March 14, 2018 - MAAS-Alliance
Cars are more and more losing their status and start to be consider-
ed as a public transport mean
Development of car positioning
Car centricity                                                                     Intermodal Integration

                 Increasing consideration of cars as
                 public transport and willingness of
                   passengers to switch transport
                 modes, requires an integrated view
                         on transport means
                                                       Integrating diffe-
                                                       rent transport
                                                       modes to allow
                                                       passengers
                                                       access to inter-
                                                       modal transport
                                                       services
                 >   Status symbol
                 >   Demand for efficiency
                 >   Individuality
                 >   Demand for convenience

                                                                     180314_MaaS Alliance_KeyNote_Dyskin_vFinal.pptx   10
Until recently, public transport differentiated clearly from car – Position
is threatened by shared mobility and will even deteriorate
Convenience and costs for 5 km travel in developed countries
Convenience/privacy
                                                                                Taxi costs:          Example Munich,
                                                                                                     incl. base fee + per
                                                                                                     km; 14 min driving
                                                                                                     time (finanztip.de)
H                                                     Robo
                                                      Cab                       Car Sharing:         Example Munich –
       Taxi                                                                                          Car2Go; 14 min
                 UBER Taxi                      Car                                                  driving time
                                                new                             Car new:             Private car, new, 4
                                                      Car                                            years usage, 60,000
M                                                     used                                           km total, Smart
                                                                                                     fortwo Coupe 1.0
                                  Car sharing                                                        (ADAC 5/2015)
                                                                                Car used:            Estimated 60% of
                                       Public                                                        new
                                      transp.                                   SDV-Taxi:            Only 2 instead of 4
                                                                   Bike                              cars used per km2,
L                                                                                                    80% higher mileage
                                                                                                     over usage period
                                                                          EUR   Public transport: MVV, Preisrechner
        12                   10   5                          2.5

Source: Roland Berger                                                            180314_MaaS Alliance_KeyNote_Dyskin_vFinal.pptx   11
For Public Transport companies, MaaS can help answer the most
relevant questions going forward
Relevant questions for Public Transport

                                                                  What advantages does
                                Which individual transport
                                                                 Public Transport have and
                                modes should be included
                                                                  how can I retain existing
                                   in the new mobility
                                                                      and attract new
                                         offering?
                                                                        customers?

      Who can be relevant
    partners for implementing                 How can I win the race                           What additional revenue
    & operating new transport
             modes?
                                         against the car in a profitable way?                  potential can be created?

                                  How can new transport                 How can future
                                 modes complement and            technologies be anticipated
                                not cannibalize the existing       to be included in today's
                                         offering?                         offering?

                                                                                      180314_MaaS Alliance_KeyNote_Dyskin_vFinal.pptx   12
How mobility will develop is primarily dependent on the
technological progress as well as the customer acceptance
Key influencing factors and trends impacting the advancement in mobility in next 15 yrs.

           Progress in micro-                                                            Automated driving
                                                                                                                      Technological
           electronics (SoC,                                                             (Level 4 City)               progress concerning
           MEMS, …)                        Digitalization of
                                                                               Sharing vs. owning
                                                                                                                      automated driving (cars,
                                           operations & sales
                                                                                                                      busses, trains) and
                  Environmental
                     regulations
                                                              GDP development                                         consumer attitude
                                               PT-Electrification                                                     towards the car as
                                                                                                                      primary means of
Impact

                                   City regulations
           Connecti-
                                Urbanization                                                                          individual transport are
           vity/IoT                                                        Car is not a status symbol
                 Smart products/                                           anymore                                    the key parameters for
                         devices                    New   materials                                                   the future development
                                                    (lightweight, nano, compounds, ..)
                Safety regulations                                                                                    of mobility
                Distribution of disposable income
                                    Automated driving (Level 1-3)

                                                              Uncertainty
         Economy/society         Regulation        Consumer       Technology       Most relevant trends for MaaS

1) Lower impact for suppliers
Source: Expert interviews; Roland Berger                                                                           180314_MaaS Alliance_KeyNote_Dyskin_vFinal.pptx   13
Four scenarios can be derived to describe the mobility of the future,
not all of them with a strong PT share – "Anarchy" must be avoided
Mobility scenarios in Germany, 2030
                                       Mobility scenarios 2030
                                            Driving together

                       "Maximum capacity"                         "Hyper-efficiency"

  Intelligent stand-   TRANSPORTATION            Status                                               Highly connected,
    alone solutions        SYSTEM                 quo                                                 integrated system
                           "Anarchy"                           "Connected individuality"

                                                BEHAVIOR
                                                MOBILITY

                                             Driving alone

                                                                               180314_MaaS Alliance_KeyNote_Dyskin_vFinal.pptx   14
New technologies and new business models disrupt the mobility –
Other transportation segments have experienced similar situations
Key elements of mobility disruption
 Mobility disruption                                                                     Similar examples
 Examples                                         Key dimensions
               Autonomous
                 Shuttles
      Level 5                               1
    Autonomous           e-Vehicles             Standardization of
      Driving
               New
                                                service offering
  RoboCabs technologies

                                                       2   Online focused
                                                           operation models
   Shared
   Mobility
                New business
                  models                          3   Digital platforms and
          Ride-Hailing        Mobility on
                                                      partnerships
                               Demand
               Ride-Pooling

Source: Roland Berger                                                         180314_MaaS Alliance_KeyNote_Dyskin_vFinal.pptx   15
The global trade and intermodal logistics skyrocketed after
introduction of a standard intermodal shipping container
Example – Standardization
INTRODUCTION OF INTERMODAL SHIPPING CONTAINER
                                                                KEY LEARNINGS FOR PUBLIC
                                                                TRANSPORT AND MAAS

                                                                > Addressed need for
                                                                  scalable and simple global
                                                                  logistics
                                                                > All players along the whole
                                                     ISO late     value chain profited from it
                                                     1960's     > Central agency responsible
                                             Today                for the elaboration and
                                             >60% of              implementation of the
                            Main reason      global               standards
                            for new global   shipments
                            production
                            footprint

                                                                180314_MaaS Alliance_KeyNote_Dyskin_vFinal.pptx   16
The low cost carriers have unlocked new market potential and are
growing much faster and more profitable than traditional competitors
Example – Online focused operating model
THE RISE OF LOW COST AIRLINES
                                                                        KEY LEARNINGS FOR PUBLIC
                                                                        TRANSPORT AND MAAS

                                                                        > Think unconventionally on
                                                                          commercial and
                                                                          operational side
                                                                        > Don't underestimate new
                                                                          entrants with attractive
                                                             New cost     offerings to protect own
                                                             paradigm     business
                                                 Demand                 > Account for incentivized
                                                 creation,                demand and not only for
                                LCC CAGR1)       where not                modal share shift
                                7.1% vs          expected               > Scrutinize the operational
                                other carriers
                                CAGR1) 3.5%
                                                                          model to be more efficient

1) 2007-2016

                                                                        180314_MaaS Alliance_KeyNote_Dyskin_vFinal.pptx   17
Dynamic packaging has allowed to new tour operators and incum-
bents to create wider and more transparent offering at lower cost
Example – Digital platform and partnerships
GREATER CHOICE FOR CUSTOMERS THROUGH DYNAMIC PACKAGING
                                                                  KEY LEARNINGS FOR PUBLIC
                                                                  TRANSPORT AND MAAS

                                                                  > Use new digital capabilities
                                                                    to platforms that offer the
                                                                    customer the right product
                                                                    at the optimal price
                                                          Pure    > Strive for simplicity and
                                                         online     transparency to attract
                                                         sales      customers of tomorrow
                                             Dynami-              > Set the correct legal
                                             cally                  framework to protect the
                           Higher            sourced                customers
                           customization     inventory            > Be creative in pricing
                           and flexibility

                                                                  180314_MaaS Alliance_KeyNote_Dyskin_vFinal.pptx   18
We see Mobility-as-a-Service concepts developing in two waves
building on shared intermodal mobility
Development of mobility as a service concept
Today's                                            Wave 2                        "Mobility as                      Low
world                                              (Focus autonomous driving)     a Service"
                                                              (Electric) auto-
                                                              nomous driving

                                                        Fully connected
 Wave 1                                                 vehicles
 (Focus sharing and integration)
                                                   Managed
                                                                                                               Level of
                                                   mobility
                                                                                                              passenger
                                      Regulatory                                                                effort
                                      "push"
                        Inter-modal                            Shared intermodal
                        integration                            mobility
Car sharing & ride
hailing

2015                                                2020+                                2030+                     High

Source: Roland Berger                                                            180314_MaaS Alliance_KeyNote_Dyskin_vFinal.pptx   19
Players of different backgrounds are working on MaaS development
worldwide but with different targets
Latest developments in the MaaS eco-system

 Moovel platform for transit                                                                                                            Alibaba with high stakes in
 agencies to enable multimodal                                                                                                          mobility companies e.g. car and
 ticketing and fare validation, e.g.                                                                                                    bike sharing or map services;
 in Portland incl. UberX and                                                                                                            Alipay (online payment platform)
 transit                                                                                                                                as basis for a MaaS platform
 Goal: Mobility as second pillar                                                                                                        Goal: Diversify and collaborate
 for Daimler despite only cars                                                                                                          to become relevant mobility
                                                                                                                                        player

 Yandex ("Russian Google") has already                        RTA has created in 2017 it's digital arm                      "Choice" is a Mobility Marketplace by
 integrated several modes of transport and                    that shall service as MaaS platform and                       NZTA1) (incl. e.g. taxi, bus, ride sharing )
 is experimenting with autonomous                             main mobility gateway                                         for Queenstown, pilot launched in 2017
 vehicles to provide comprehensive offer                      Goal: Double the share of public transport,                   Goal: Improve transport options for
 Goal: Utilize it's technological advantage                   avoid over-investment in road infrastruc-                     residents and tourists, boost tourist
 and payment service to offer MaaS                            ture and profit from innovative mobility                      industry and solve congestion issue
       Transport provider      Platform provider         Regulator
1) Collaboration between the NZTA (New Zealand Transport Authority), Otago Regional Council, Queenstown Lakes District Council, Auckland Transport, supported by Destination
Queenstown and Queenstown’s local transport providers
                                                                                                                                 180314_MaaS Alliance_KeyNote_Dyskin_vFinal.pptx   20
The MaaS-ecosystem has complex relationships between the
different stakeholders – Various pain points still to be removed
Roles in MaaS-ecosystem
                                                                              No shared vision on achieving
                                                                              intermodal transport
               Regulator                                                                                                                 No definition of
                                   Lacking support by national
                                                                                  Offering the app                                       standards so far
  Defining standards and
                                   government
  regulations E.g. public
                                Demand infrastructure & data
                                                                                     Platform                      Supply data
  sector                                                                             provider
                                Supply infrastructure & data                                               Demand mobility solutions

                                                                        Supply mobility    Demand mobility
                                                                        solutions          solutions
                                                                                                        Critical mass needed
                                                       Traveler using the                               to be operationally
 Streets,               Infrastruc-                    e.g. app to plan,
                                                                                      Customer          efficient                             IT/Service-
 tracks,                ture provider                  book and pay his
 Wi-Fi…                                                journey                                                                                provider
                                                                                                                                                    Providing the
                                                                  Demand transport           Supply transport
                                                                                                                                                    underlying IT-
                                                                                                                                                    platform and data

                                   Use infrastructure                                Transport                  Supply transport
                                   Supply infrastructure                             provider                   Generate and send data
                                                                                                                             Uncertainty regarding sharing
                                                                            Companies actually
             Lacking agreement and cooperation                              offering transport                               data (Data ownership and
             across operators and authorities                                                                                privacy)

Source: Roland Berger                                                                                                  180314_MaaS Alliance_KeyNote_Dyskin_vFinal.pptx   21
The value proposition of the MaaS concept should take into account
the goals of various market players but also customer's perspective
Goals concerning an intermodal mobility platform (selection)

        Regulator/Authority                                                       Operator

> Increase of public transportation                                   > Connection of different transport modes
> Decrease of urban traffic                                           > Optimization of transportation supply
> Decrase of pollution within the city                                  (portfolio, punctuality, customer
                                                                        experience, etc.)

                                                                                  Provider of physical
        Integrator
                                           GOALS         @                        infrastructure & modes
> Customer and data monetization                                      > Optimization of vehicle portfolio
  – Commissioning                                                       management
  – Advertising                                                       > Predictability of maintenance demand
  – Big Data                                                          > Decrease of infrastructure attrition
                                                                        (roads, etc.)
        Customer

> Convenience of planning, booking, and paying by   > Existence of one central contact for the whole trip
  mobile app                                        > Reduction of number of access cards and paying methods
> Avoidance of time-consuming searching             > Reduction of transaction time
> Easy comparability of means of transport
                                                                              180314_MaaS Alliance_KeyNote_Dyskin_vFinal.pptx   22
To optimize the MaaS offering, passengers' 'pain points' throughout
the journey would need to be tackled
Customer journey along the value chain                                                                                                          Illustrative

                                                            Tickets                                                                   8
                                                   4                          5
                                                                                                      6

                         2             3                                                                                                               9

                                                                                                                         7
               1

 1                       2                         4                         5                         6                              8
Inspiration,            Planning,                 Departure station         In transit                Arriving station              After the journey
travel plans            booking                   "We managed to get        "Made it to the next      "Finally there! Can I         "Long time since the
"I have a meeting in    "Why is it so difficult   here just in time –       train but now I need      grab a quick coffee           last train ride. Shall I
Marina, what else can   to find my location       let's proceed quickly     to check the time for     and withdraw some             cancel my next taxi
I do in that side of    on the planner ?"         to the ticket machine"    the next feeder bus       cash?"                        ride?
town?"                                                                      and tram to my final
                         3                        "The ticket machine       destination but there      7
                        Way to departure          is under maintenance      is no free Wi-Fi
                                                  and does not accept       available here on the     Way to final                    9
                        station                   credit card – I have to   metro"                    destination
        "What is the    "There is a delay in      wait in queue at the
                                                                            "Why is there so little   "Is there a feeder            Sharing, contact
        fastest way     feeder buses and          ticketing booth so I                                bus coming by in the          "Hey, let's go to
        to get to the   the route is              will have to take the     space on the train
                                                                            during peak-hour t?"      next 5 min that can           Marina by boat on the
        meeting in      congested – how           next train"                                         take me to my                 weekend!"
        Marina?"        shall I reach my                                                              meeting location?"
                        train in time now?"

                                                                                                               180314_MaaS Alliance_KeyNote_Dyskin_vFinal.pptx   23
In order to realize the vision of Mobility-as-a-Service, it is important
to think integrated and beyond the boundaries of your own company
Five key takeaways for the workshops
MaaS Alliance                   Don't think about what is possible today, but anticipate what
workshop                  1
                                mobility customers will really need in the future

  > Principles of data                   Jointly create a long-term vision of the MaaS offering
    sharing                      2       and then define clear steps and priorities on how to
                                         achieve it
  > Ownership of
    customer, branding
                                     3     Try to apply the greenfield approach first – And
  > Sale channels &                        then evaluate how to close the gaps
    payment integration
  > Governance models                    Think about how you can benefit from ideas that
    and indicators               4       can be brought in by newcomers to the public
                                         transport sector

                          5    Put simplicity and reduction of friction points in the first place
                               when evaluating ideas and developing initiatives
                                                                    180314_MaaS Alliance_KeyNote_Dyskin_vFinal.pptx   24
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