Quarterly Outlook, April 2022 - BGR Group

 
CONTINUE READING
Quarterly Outlook, April 2022
BGR Group
Click on the subjects
below to view:

Overview
                        Overview
                        The Russian invasion of Ukraine has overtaken virtually every
Bipartisan
Take                    issue in Washington - from foreign policy to federal spending
                        to the economy. In the past month, President Biden has devoted
International
                        significant amounts of time and resources to rallying support for
                        the Ukrainians and imposing severe sanctions on Russians and
                        the Russian government.
Commerce
                          The conflict has resulted in an increase in defense
                        spending and another potential increase in the coming                         KEY DATES
                        year. This comes after nearly two years of large-scale
Financial               domestic spending to deal with the pandemic.                      APRIL 18
Services                                                                                   • Face mask mandate on public
                           The situation in Ukraine has exacerbated the
                        economic challenges of inflation and supply chain                    transportation expires
                        disruptions that resulted from the pandemic. Look for
Health                  executive actions focused on easing financial burdens             JUNE 30
                        like increased fuel prices.                                        • Child Nutrition Waivers expire
                            Meanwhile, in the states, the Biden administration             • 1 percent reduction in the
Appropriations &        has begun to implement its signature achievement, the                Medicare Sequester expires
Budget                  Infrastructure Investments and Jobs Act. The admin-
                        istration will also be touting the confirmation of Judge          AUGUST 31
                        Ketanji Brown Jackson to a seat on the Supreme Court.              • Student loan deferral and 0
State                   Her historic confirmation, as the first Black woman to               percent interest rate expire
Advocacy                sit on the court, is expected soon. Many state legisla-
                        tures are wrapping up active legislative sessions cover-          SEPTEMBER 30
                        ing a wide range of topics.
Public                                                                                     • Government funding expires
Relations                  Even as the Ukraine conflict continues to dominate              • National Flood Insurance
                        headlines, Congress is poised to act on the continu-                 Program Authorization expires
                        ing response to COVID-19, a global competitiveness
                        measure, and spending bills for the coming fiscal year.            • Temporary Assistance for
                        The next three to four months promise to be busy with                Needy Families (TANF) and
                        both legislation and regulatory actions.                             the Child Care Entitlement to
                                                                                             States expire
                           The President and Congressional leaders will
                        need to balance a wide range of issues while                       • Food and Drug Administration
                        trying to increase their political standing with                     User Fee Programs expire
                        voters ahead of the midterm elections later this                   • The Agriculture Improvements
                        year.                                                                Act of 2018, known as the
                                                                                             Farm Bill, expires
                                                                                           • FAA Reauthorization Act of
                                                                                             2018 expires
                                                                                           • The PEPFAR Extension Act of
                                                                                             2018 expires

Contact Us                                                                         Quarterly Report, APRIL 2022   BGRDC.com   2
Click on the subjects
below to view:

Overview

                        2022 Congressional Calendar
Bipartisan                                    January                                  February                                              March
Take
                           S      M       T       W       T    F    S      S    M     T      W      T       F     S        S     M      T     W      T    F        S
                                                                    1                  1     2      3       4     5                     1      2     3    4        5
                           2       3      4       5       6    7    8      6     7    8      9      10      11    12       6       7    8      9     10   11       12
International              9      10      11     12       13   14   15     13   14    15     16     17     18     19       13    14     15    16     17   18       19
                          16      17      18     19       20   21   22    20    21    22     23     24      25   26        20    21     22    23     24   25       26
                          23      24      25     26       27   28   29    27    28                                         27    28     29    30     31
                          30      31
Commerce
                                               April                                        May                                              June
                           S      M       T       W       T    F    S      S    M     T      W      T       F     S        S     M      T     W      T    F        S
                                                               1    2      1     2    3      4      5       6     7                            1     2    3        4
Financial                                                                       9     10     11     12     13
                           3       4      5       6       7    8    9      8                                     14        5     6       7     8      9   10       11
Services                  10      11     12      13       14   15   16    15    16    17     18     19     20    21        12   13      14    15     16   17       18
                          17      18     19      20       21   22   23    22    23    24     25     26      27   28        19    20     21    22     23   24       25
                          24      25     26      27       28   29   30    29    30    31                                   26    27     28    29     30
Health

                                               July                                        August                                       September
                           S      M       T       W       T    F    S      S    M     T      W      T       F     S        S     M      T     W      T    F        S
Appropriations &
                                                               1    2            1    2      3      4       5     6                                   1    2       3
Budget
                           3       4      5       6        7    8   9      7     8     9     10     11     12    13        4       5    6      7      8   9        10
                          10      11     12      13       14   15   16    14    15    16     17     18     19    20        11    12     13    14     15   16       17
                          17      18      19     20       21   22   23    21    22    23     24     25     26    27        18    19     20    21     22   23       24
State                             25      26     27       28   29                                                                       27    28     29   30
                          24                                        30    28    29    30     31                            25    26
Advocacy                  31

                                            October                                   November                                          December
Public
                           S      M       T       W       T    F    S      S    M     T      W      T       F     S        S     M      T     W      T    F        S
Relations
                                                                    1                  1      2      3      4     5                                  1    2        3
                           2       3      4       5       6    7    8      6     7     8      9     10     11     12       4     5       6     7      8    9       10
                           9      10      11     12       13   14   15    13    14    15     16     17     18     19       11   12      13    14     15   16       17
                          16      17      18     19       20   21   22    20    21    22     23     24      25   26        18   19      20    21     22   23       24
                          23      24      25     26       27   28   29    27    28    29     30                            25    26     27    28     29   30       31
                          30      31
                        Current as of December 14, 2021

                                                                         IMPORTANT PHONE NUMBERS
                                               KEY
                                                                         White House Switchboard                  (202) 456-1414
                                    House in Session Only
                                                                         U.S. Capitol Switchboard                 (202) 224-3121
                                    Senate in Session Only               Senate Republican Cloakroom              (202) 224-6191
                                    House & Senate in Session            Senate Democratic Cloakroom              (202) 224-4691                The Homer Building
                                                                                                                                               601 13th Street, NW
                                    Federal Holiday                      House Republican Cloakroom               (202) 225-7350               Washington, DC 20005
                                                                         House Democratic Cloakroom               (202) 225-7330                  202.333.4936

Contact Us                                                                                               Quarterly Report, APRIL 2022         BGRDC.com        3
Click on the subjects
below to view:

                        Political Snapshot
Overview
                        Public Opinion Update (as of April 4, 2022):

                                                          Direction of Country Polling Average
Bipartisan
Take
                                          27.6%
                                            Right Direction
                                                                                                                     65%
                                                                                                                    Wrong Track
                                                                            Source: RealClear Politics
International

                                                    President Biden’s Average Approval Rating

Commerce
                                          40.8%   approve
                                                                                                                     54%
                                                                                                                     disapprove
                                                                            Source: RealClear Politics

Financial
Services                                                    2022 Generic Congressional Vote

Health                                    45.9%
                                          favor Republicans
                                                                                                                42.3%
                                                                                                                   favor Democrats
                                                                            Source: RealClear Politics

Appropriations &
Budget
                        President’s Party Usually Loses Seats in Midterms
                        Gallup presidential approval the week before the midterm                                             Democrat         Republican
State
Advocacy                       JOHNSON
                                   1966
                                          NIXON
                                           1970
                                                    FORD
                                                     1974
                                                            CARTER
                                                             1978
                                                                        REAGAN
                                                                     1982      1986
                                                                                        BUSH
                                                                                         1990     1994
                                                                                                         CLINTON
                                                                                                             1998
                                                                                                                        G.W. BUSH
                                                                                                                      2002   2006
                                                                                                                                      OBAMA
                                                                                                                                    2010   2014
                                                                                                                                                    TRUMP
                                                                                                                                                    2018
                                                                                                              66%
                                                                                63%                                    63%
                                           58%                                            58%
Public                                               54%
Relations                 Approval
                                                             49%
                          50%

                                   44%                                                             46%                               45%      44%
                                                                     42%                                                                            41%
                                                                                                                              38%

                        President’s party gain/loss of seats
                                                                                                             +5        +8
                        HOUSE
                                                                                -5        -8
                                           -12               -15                                                                           -13
                                                                     -26
                                                                                                                              -30
                                                                                                                                                    -40
                                   -47               -48                                          -52
                                                                                                                                     -63
                                           +2                                                                         +2                            +2
                                                                     +1
                        SENATE
                                                                                          -1
                                                             -3
                                   -4
                                                     -5                                                                       -6     -6
                                                                                -8                 -8
                                                                                                                                              -9
                         SOURCE: National Journal

Contact Us                                                                                          Quarterly Report, APRIL 2022           BGRDC.com        4
Click on the subjects
below to view:

                        Economic Snapshot
Overview

                          Jobs Added: 431,000 added in March
Bipartisan                Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics
Take

                          Unemployment Rate: 3.6% in March
                          Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics
International

                          Labor Force Participation Rate: 62.4% in March
                          Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics
Commerce

                          Real GDP: Projected to be 1.7% quarter over quarter for Q1 2022; Increased
                          6.9% Q4 2021
Financial                 Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis
Services

                          Consumer Inflation Expectation:          7.9% in February
                          Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics
Health

                          Fed Interest Rate Increase: As of March 2022, the Fed increased the rates 25
Appropriations &          basis points, up to 0.50%. The Fed is expected to raise rates again during the May FOMC
Budget                    meeting.
                          Source: Federal Reserve

State                     Average Cost of Gas: $4.24 for regular; $4.91 for premium
Advocacy                  Source: gasprices.AAA.com

Public
Relations

Contact Us                                                              Quarterly Report, APRIL 2022   BGRDC.com    5
Click on the subjects
below to view:

Overview

Bipartisan
Take
                        Bipartisan Take
International
                        RUSSIAN INVASION OF UKRAINE CREATING POLICY AND
                        POLITICAL CHALLENGES FOR WASHINGTON
                            One month into the                                                          real military threats from
Commerce
                        Ukraine-Russia conflict,                                                        Russia, China and Iran.
                        Washington policymakers                                                         A rethink of bureaucratic
                        are focused on two impor-                                                       structures, with a new
Financial               tant tasks: helping Ukraine                                                     emphasis on flexibility and
Services                and punishing Russia. Aid for                                                   efficiency, is needed. This
                        Ukraine includes both mili-                                                     new Cold War II is just
                        tary assistance and humani-                                                     getting started and many
                        tarian aid. The needs of                                                        changes are coming.
Health                                                      Lester Munson         Fred Turner
                        Ukraine’s immediate neigh-
                                                             BGR PRINCIPAL          BGR SR.V.P.          One can reasonably
                        bors, who have taken in the
                                                                                                       expect further actions
                        vast majority of the nearly 4 million Ukrainian
                                                                               from Congress before the end of this year and in
Appropriations &        refugees, will become an acute challenge in the
                                                                               the coming years. Most immediately, Congress
Budget                  immediate future. The multilateral economic
                                                                               can suspend “Most Favored Nation” trade status
                        sanctions regime on Putin and Russia will
                                                                               for U.S. imports from Russia. President Biden
                        continue to expand, and loopholes that have
                                                                               has already announced support for such legis-
State                   given Putin room to operate will be closed. The
                                                                               lation as the Administration cannot do this by
Advocacy                West has made clear it is pursuing a sanctions-
                                                                               executive action. Moreover, several Members
                        first strategy. Unfortunately, the conflict does not
                                                                               of Congress have discussed legislation to expel
                        show any signs of letting up. It will dominate for
                                                                               Russia from the World Trade Organization. The
Public                  at least the next six months to a year.
                                                                               repeal of MFN for Russia has already passed the
Relations
                           In the long run, the impact of the Russian          House but has been slowed down in the Senate.
                        invasion will lead to profound changes in U.S.         It’s likely to move sometime this quarter, however.
                        national security policies and resources. While
                                                                                   On top of the already full agenda for House
                        the President requested over $800 billion for
                                                                               and Senate leadership this year, the war in
                        national security for 2023, Congress will likely go
                                                                               Ukraine could require Congress to cancel some
                        even farther and increase that number. A conse-
                                                                               of its scheduled work periods outside of Washing-
                        quent increase in resources for the State Depart-
                                                                               ton and/or extend the legislative year beyond the
                        ment, the Intelligence Community and foreign
                                                                               November elections. In the meantime, Congress
                        assistance programs won’t be far behind.
                                                                               will work to confirm a new justice to the Supreme
                          However, these potential budget increases            Court, pass comprehensive legislation to counter
                        won’t come without strings attached. Look for          China’s industrial rise and the threats posed to
                        House and Senate committees to do a deep dive          the U.S. economy, fully fund the government for
                        on priorities and transparency in the coming           Fiscal Year 2023, and pass legislation laying out
                        months and beyond. New dollars will come with          priorities for national defense. It is a full plate
                        demands for accountability and results.                which presents both potential and pitfalls for both
                                                                               parties and the administration.
                           The old methods of dealing with the post-
                        9/11 world will need to be updated for the new
Contact Us              reality: the United States and its allies face very
                                                                                   Quarterly Report, APRIL 2022    BGRDC.com      6
Click on the subjects
below to view:

Overview

Bipartisan
Take
                        International and Trade
International
                        THE U.S. IMPOSES ECONOMIC COSTS ON RUSSIA
                        In response to the Russian invasion of Ukraine, the United
Commerce                States has sought to act in lockstep with the European Union,
                        the United Kingdom, and as many other partners it can rally to
Financial               impose unprecedented economic costs on Russia and isolate the
Services                country from the international community through sanctions,
                        visa restrictions, and export controls. Additionally, the U.S.,
Health                  in coordination with EU allies, created a task force within the
                        Department of Justice to prevent Russian elites from evading
Appropriations &
                        sanctions, and to target assets associated with corruption owned
Budget                  by Russian elites.
                           The U.S. has imposed export controls on          ment. This includes restrictions on semiconduc-
State                   Russia, including Russia-wide denial of exports     tors, telecommunications, encryption security,
Advocacy                of sensitive technology, primarily targeting        lasers, sensors, navigation, avionics, maritime
                        the Russian defense, aviation, and maritime         technologies, and technologies used for oil and
                        sectors. In addition to sweeping restrictions on    gas development – which cuts off an estimate of
Public                  the Russian defense sector, the U.S. government     over 50% of Russian high tech imports. The U.S.
Relations               imposed Russia-wide restrictions on sensitive       has also banned Russian energy imports, and
                        U.S. technologies produced in foreign countries     prohibited new investments in Russian energy
                        using U.S.-origin software, technology, or equip-   production.
                                                                                                          Continued on next page

Contact Us                                                                      Quarterly Report, APRIL 2022    BGRDC.com     7
Click on the subjects
below to view:

Overview
                             “The U.S. remains open to imposing additional
                             export controls and sanctions as the conflict
Bipartisan                   progresses and is currently not communicating
Take
                             what would precipitate a reduction in sanctions
                             – likely to provide Ukraine greater leverage as it
International
                             negotiates with Russia.”
                                                                               Walker Roberts
                                BGR PRINCIPAL, CO-HEAD OF INTERNATIONAL AND TRADE PRACTICE
Commerce

                            Furthermore, the U.S. is working to strip        imposed by the United States and its allies, as
                        Russia of its most favored nation / permanent        the unprecedented scale of the response will
Financial
                        normal trade relations (PNTR) status, which          have numerous spillover effects, and could be
Services
                        would mean the U.S. is no longer obligated to        exacerbated by secondary sanctions on the
                        grant Russia trade advantages, like reduced          Russian financial sector.
                        tariffs, on imported goods. This move could
                                                                                 The U.S. remains open to imposing addi-
Health                  precipitate removing Russia from the World
                                                                             tional export controls and sanctions as the
                        Trade Organization, as all members of the
                                                                             conflict progresses and is currently not commu-
                        WTO are obligated to grant most favored nation
                                                                             nicating what would precipitate a reduction in
Appropriations &        status to other members. While the U.S. has not
                                                                             sanctions – likely to provide Ukraine greater
Budget                  significantly targeted the commodities trade, it
                                                                             leverage as it negotiates with Russia. There is
                        is likely to be impacted by significant sanctions
                                                                             still significant room for further U.S. action,
                        targeting some Russian banks. However, the
                                                                             including greater export controls, further sanc-
State                   imminent revoking of PNTR with Russia could
                                                                             tions on the Russian financial sector, secondary
Advocacy                subject key commodities to heightened tariffs,
                                                                             sanctions in certain sectors, or sanctions on key
                        despite lack of sanctions activity.
                                                                             commodities. The administration has existing
                           Thus far, sanctions have hit the Russian          authorities to impose these restrictions, and to
Public                  economy hard, and many Russian families and          add additional Russian elites to the sanctions
Relations               businesses are leaving the country to preserve       list as well, so we are unlikely to see significant
                        their savings and freedoms. The pinch of these       Congressional legislative action – instead their
                        sanctions will only increase, as wind-down peri-     action will be more rhetorical and focused on
                        ods are finished and their full effect is imposed.   pressuring the Biden administration to take the
                        Many companies have already made their own           steps available to it. The Biden administration
                        decision to pull out of the Russian market, but      will continue to seek collaboration with Europe,
                        companies will need to stay vigilant to remain       rather than acting unilaterally, though it will
                        compliant with sanctions and restrictions            also work to not be undercut by Congress.

                                        INTERNATIONAL AND TRADE PRACTICE CO-HEADS
                                                                 Walker Roberts
                                                                   Maya Seiden

Contact Us                                                                       Quarterly Report, APRIL 2022   BGRDC.com     8
Click on the subjects
below to view:

Overview

Bipartisan

                        Commerce
Take

International
                        COMPETITIVENESS BILL COMING TOGETHER

                        With the U.S. response to Russia’s invasion of Ukraine taking
Commerce
                        center stage in Washington, progress temporarily slowed on other
                        bipartisan priorities. Congress has finally moved U.S. competitiveness
Financial               legislation a few steps closer to conference this week. Interestingly,
Services
                        several lawmakers felt that the situation in Ukraine is creating
                        stronger momentum to finalize the package.
Health
                           The immediate impacts of recent interna-
                        tional sanctions on Russia have many in Wash-
                        ington even more concerned about the future
                                                                          “While the Senate
Appropriations &
Budget
                        implications of America’s reliance on semi-       and House versions
                        conductors and other critical technology from
                        China.                                            may appear to be
State                      The Senate moved last week to amend the        as far apart as
Advocacy                House-passed America Creating Opportuni-          ever on some key
                        ties for Manufacturing, Pre-Eminence in Tech-
                        nology, and Economic Strength (COMPETES)          policy issues, there
Public                  Act by replacing its language with the text of    are some recent
Relations               the United States Innovation and Competition
                        Act (USICA), which passed the Senate with         indications that a common overall
                        bipartisan support last summer. Congress is       vision is starting to coalesce.”
                        next expected to convene a formal conference
                        committee to reconcile differences between the                                     Robin Colwell
                        two bills.                                                              BGR SENIOR VICE PRESIDENT,
                                                 Continued on next page                              COMMERCE PRACTICE

Contact Us                                                                  Quarterly Report, APRIL 2022   BGRDC.com    9
Click on the subjects
below to view:

Overview                   While the Senate and House versions may         to include cybersecurity measures shared by
                        appear to be as far apart as ever on some key      both bills, as well as others contained only in
                        policy issues, there are some recent indica-       USICA or COMPETES. Additionally, a bipar-
                        tions that a common overall vision is starting     tisan group of House members has recently
Bipartisan              to coalesce. For example, a top priority in both   introduced a version of the Facilitating Amer-
Take                    USICA and COMPETES is expanding research           ican-Built Semiconductors (FABS) Act, which
                        programs at the Department of Energy and           resembles language that was considered in the
                        National Science Foundation. COMPETES              Senate last June. This measure would create a 25
International           builds off existing programs, while USICA          percent investment tax credit for the semicon-
                        creates new programs for certain targeted          ductor sector.
                        emerging technologies. A few weeks ago, the
                                                                              While there are plenty of issues still to be
                        Senate Energy and Natural Resources Commit-
                                                                           worked out, the trend on USICA/COMPETES
Commerce                tee introduced a bipartisan bill, the Depart-
                                                                           is very positive and points to a potential major
                        ment of Energy Science for the Future Act of
                                                                           bipartisan accomplishment to come in this elec-
                        2022, that closely tracks COMPETES Act DOE
                                                                           tion year.
                        provisions. There have also been bicameral calls
Financial
Services
                                                   COMMERCE PRACTICE CO-HEADS

Health                                                           Justin Rzepka
                                                                Jonathan Mantz

Appropriations &
Budget

State
Advocacy

Public
Relations

Contact Us                                                                     Quarterly Report, APRIL 2022   BGRDC.com   10
Click on the subjects
below to view:

Overview

Bipartisan

                        Financial Services
Take

International           HOW AND WHEN WILL TAX EXTENDERS MOVE?

                        President Biden recently signed the FY 2022 omnibus
Commerce
                        appropriations bill, which funded several major policy priorities
                        for the administration, including the bipartisan Infrastructure
Financial               Investment and Jobs Act (IIJA). One notable omission, however,
Services
                        was a tax extenders package. As a result, roughly 40 different tax
                        provisions were left to expire in 2021.
Health
                           Some of these provisions were new tax           title was left out of the omnibus. The omission
                        programs implemented under the various             of tax extenders from the omnibus package begs
                        COVID-19 relief packages, such as the Child        the question of when the expired revenue provi-
Appropriations &        Tax Credit and the Employee Retention Tax          sions may finally leave the station.
Budget                  Credit, while others included credits passed
                                                                              Our team sees several major vehicles that
                        under the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act (TCJA), includ-
                                                                           could carry an extenders package sometime this
                        ing section 163 (j), which limits the ability of
State                                                                      year: the China competitiveness bill, a revised
                        certain businesses to deduct interest expenses,
Advocacy                                                                   Build Back Better reconciliation bill, a short-
                        and the changes to research and development
                                                                           term continuing resolution, a year-end omnibus
                        amortization.
                                                                           appropriations bill, and the National Defense
Public                     Typically, tax extenders are attached at        Authorization Act (NDAA). Each of these
Relations               the end of a Congressional session to a larger     larger packages has its own real and potential
                        moving vehicle, such as an omnibus spend-          challenges, which could further complicate the
                        ing bill. Due to the uncertainty of the FY 2022    inclusion of a tax extenders section.
                        spending package, among other reasons, the tax                                   Continued on next page

Contact Us                                                                     Quarterly Report, APRIL 2022     BGRDC.com    11
Click on the subjects
below to view:

Overview

                           “The omission of tax extenders from the omnibus
Bipartisan
Take
                           package begs the question of when the expired
                           revenue provisions may finally leave the station.”
                                                                                           Joel Bailey
International                                                                     BGR VICE PRESIDENT

Commerce
                           The China competitiveness bill will be worked     midterms in a lame duck session. One of these is
                        out in a conference committee over the next          the NDAA, which historically does not include
Financial               several months and is a major priority for Senate    controversial, non-defense riders. Due to the
Services                Majority Leader Chuck Schumer (D-NY). If             potential concern that the tax extenders might
                        Democrats can find consensus around a revised        delay passage of the NDAA, this is the least likely
                        reconciliation bill, with a possible focus on        vehicle. The most likely option is some form
                        climate, prescription drugs and deficit reduc-       of a budget. Given that House Ways & Means
Health
                        ing revenue raisers, it may be challenging to add    Committee Chairman Richard Neal (D-MA) has
                        dozens of tax extenders that will cost rather than   publicly stated he will work to pass an extenders
                        raise money. Senator Joe Manchin (D-WV) has          package, and suggested working with Committee
Appropriations &        stated repeatedly his concerns over Build Back       Ranking Member Kevin Brady (R-TX) to pass an
Budget                  Better provisions that would increase the federal    updated SECURE package, we could very well
                        budget deficit and the national debt.                see this being coupled with an extenders package
                                                                             and a larger end of year spending bill.
State                      While the China competitiveness bill will
Advocacy                likely be considered before the midterm elec-           The lack of clarity is not atypical even in an
                        tions, and a reconciliation bill cannot be           election year. However, the extenders process is
                        considered after September 30, there are a few       always one to watch closely.
                        vehicles that are likely to be addressed after the
Public
Relations
                                             FINANCIAL SERVICES PRACTICE CO-HEADS
                                                                    Sean Duffy
                                                                    Andy Lewin

Contact Us                                                                        Quarterly Report, APRIL 2022   BGRDC.com   12
Click on the subjects
below to view:

Overview

Bipartisan
Take
                        Health and Life Sciences
International
                        COVID-19 AND PANDEMIC PREPAREDNESS
                        As we enter a third year of a world with COVID-19, dealing with
Commerce                the pandemic at hand and incorporating lessons learned into our
                        national response capacities are priorities for both Congress and
Financial               the Biden administration. However, turning that support into
Services                laws and funding has proven to be an uphill battle so far in 2022.
                           On March 15, the Senate Health, Education,
Health                  Labor, and Pensions Committee approved the
                        bipartisan Prepare for and Respond to Existing
                        Viruses, Emerging New Threats, and Pandem-
Appropriations &        ics Act (PREVENT Pandemics Act) (S. 3799)
Budget                  by a vote of 20-2. Committee leadership touts
                        the legislation as strengthening public health
                        infrastructure and medical product supply
State                   chains,, improving the management of the Stra-
Advocacy                tegic National Stockpile, improving infectious
                        disease and threat monitoring, and reducing
                        disparities for at-risk communities. While the
Public                  final vote was overwhelmingly positive, the bill
Relations               took nearly a year to develop and does not have
                        a companion House bill or process.
                           This markup happened concurrently with
                        warnings from the Biden administration that
                        several efforts to combat the current COVID
                        emergency have run out of money, including
                        funding for the purchase and administration
                        of vaccines, antibody treatments, oral thera-
                        peutics, and diagnostic tests. The White House
                        originally requested $22 billion in supplemental
                        funds. Congressional leadership had planned to
                        include around $15 billion in COVID funding
                        in the Omnibus spending bill. However, it was
                        delayed after several House Democrats opposed
                        taking unused state support dollars from the
                        American Rescue Plan to offset the new funding

                                                 Continued on next page

Contact Us                                                                 Quarterly Report, APRIL 2022   BGRDC.com   13
Click on the subjects
below to view:

Overview

                           “While the nation remains focused on getting
Bipartisan
Take
                           ‘back to normal' – we expect continued
                           congressional battles over what to do now to keep
                           Americans protected from COVID and how we
International
                           will address pandemic responses in the future.”
                                                                              Remy Brim, Ph.D.
                                                          BGR PRINCIPAL AND PRACTICE CO-HEAD
Commerce

Financial               needs. A smaller package, without funding for         end the PHE will have a very real impact on
Services                international vaccinations, stalled in the Senate     Medicaid enrollment, federal Medicaid fund-
                        this week. House and Senate Republicans have          ing, and additional payments for hospitals for
                        expressed a reluctance to provide additional          inpatient COVID patients. Keep in mind the
                        funding without knowing where the previous            declarations that keep COVID products with
Health                  funding went and requested a full accounting          Emergency Use Authorizations (EUAs) on the
                        from the Administration. Administration offi-         market and protect providers who administer
                        cials note this information has been provided         these treatments and vaccines are separate from
Appropriations &        but it has not been made public. Negotiations         the PHE.
Budget                  are still ongoing, and could result in a smaller or
                                                                                 While the nation remains focused on getting
                        more targeted package in the face of a potential
                                                                              “back to normal” – we expect continued
                        summer wave.
                                                                              congressional battles over what to do now to
State
                          HHS is expected to renew the Public Health          keep Americans protected from COVID and
Advocacy
                        Emergency (PHE) when it expires on April 15.          how we will address pandemic responses in the
                        However, it is unclear whether it will be renewed     future.
                        again in July. The Administration’s decision to            HEALTH AND LIFE SCIENCES
Public
Relations

                                                              PRACTICE CO-HEADS
                                                                  Brent Del Monte
                                                                  Remy Brim, Ph.D.

Contact Us                                                                        Quarterly Report, APRIL 2022   BGRDC.com   14
Click on the subjects
below to view:

Overview

Bipartisan
Take
                        Appropriations & Budget
International           BUDGET AND APPROPRIATIONS PROCESS LAUNCHES LATE

                        President Biden sent his budget request to Congress on March 28,
Commerce                laying out his funding ambitions for Fiscal Year 2023 (FY 2023)
                        that officially begins on October 1, 2022. The President’s $5.8
Financial               trillion budget request includes a billionaire’s tax and increased
Services
                        defense spending aimed at supporting Ukraine as it continues its
                        fight against Russian aggression. The submission by the White
Health                  House typically kicks off the appropriations process for the coming
                        fiscal year. The administration and Congress are already behind.
Appropriations &           The FY 2022 budget process concluded five
Budget                  and a half months late when the President
                        signed a $1.5 trillion omnibus bill in mid-
                                                                            “Given the
                        March. It took until early February for appro-      condensed legislative
State                   priators to formally agree on a topline sum and
Advocacy                how the money would be split between defense
                                                                            calendar, Democrats
                        and nondefense spending. Congressional lead-        may choose to focus
                        ers and top appropriators have already started
Public                  discussing their plans for moving quickly to
                                                                            on spending bills
Relations               pass the 12 annual spending bills – known as        instead of a broader
                        the 302(b) allocations – for FY 2023. Sen. Susan
                        Collins (R-ME), who is expected to become the       budget package.”
                        GOP’s top Senate appropriator next year, said                                                Bill Viney
                        she has already talked to House Majority Leader             BGR PRINCIPAL, APPROPRIATIONS PRACTICE
                        Steny Hoyer (D-MD) about trying to return to
                        regular order for moving the funding measures.
                           It’s an open question as to whether or not the   Back Better legislation as envisioned late last
                        House and Senate will advance a budget reso-        year, one reconciliation vehicle is still available
                        lution for the coming fiscal year. They will at     for use. That vehicle expires at the end of the
                        least need to “deem” a top-line spending number     current fiscal year, September 30, 2022. Given
                        in order to write appropriations bills. When        the condensed legislative calendar, Democrats
                        approved by both chambers, a budget resolution      may choose to focus on spending bills instead
                        also sets in motion a reconciliation process that   of a broader budget package.
                        can be used to move spending-related legislation      One reason why? In 2021, the appropriations
                        on a majority vote in the Senate. Because Senate    process saw a significant change – the restoration
                        Democrats have been unable to move the Build                                      Continued on next page

Contact Us                                                                      Quarterly Report, APRIL 2022     BGRDC.com    15
Click on the subjects
below to view:

Overview                of earmarks, now known as Community Project             Timeline for FY 2023 Appropriations Process
                        Funding requests. After an 11-year hiatus, the       (subject to change):
                        $1.5 trillion FY 2022 omnibus spending pack-
                        age included more than 2,700 member-directed           March
Bipartisan              projects. For FY 2022, individual members of
Take                                                                            • The President submits the FY 2023
                        Congress solicited requests for funding from              budget.
                        constituents, which were then submitted to the
                        House and Senate Appropriations Committees
                                                                               April – May
International           for review and inclusion in the final funding
                        bill. In the House, the Committee on Appropria-         • Appropriators begin agency budget
                        tions is accepting submissions from members               hearings.
                        between April 4 - 30. Information regarding             • The House Appropriations
Commerce                how the member request process will work is               Committee deadline for requests is
                        included in Committee guidance available here.            April 30. Individual member offices
                        All transparency and accountability require-              have their own deadlines in April.
                        ments the Committee announced last year for
Financial                                                                       • Members of Congress prioritize
                        Community Project Funding requests remain in
Services                                                                          initiatives and make formal requests
                        place, including limiting spending on Commu-
                        nity Project Funding to no more than 1 percent            to the appropriations committee.
                        of discretionary spending. One of the biggest           • House and Senate create their
Health                  changes is that members can now request up to             budget resolutions and set the 302b
                        15 projects instead of the 10 previously allowed.         allocations, which set the spending
                        The Senate Appropriations Committee has not               levels for the 12 appropriations
                        yet issued guidance for FY 2023 earmarks,                 subcommittees.
Appropriations &
                        referred to as Congressionally Directed Spend-
Budget
                        ing in the Senate. Last year, Senate requests were     June
                        due between mid-June and early July. This year,
                                                                                • Appropriations committees begin
                        it appears that most Senate requests will be due
State                                                                             the markup process.
                        earlier, and in most cases, before Memorial Day.
Advocacy
                           Member-directed spending projects may be            July
                        the only thing that can get the budget and appro-       • Appropriations bills are brought to
Public                  priations process back on schedule ahead of a
                                                                                  the floor of both houses.
Relations               contentious midterm election season.
                                                                               October
                                                                                • October 1 is the beginning of the
                                                                                  next fiscal year. Recently, Congress
                                                                                  rarely meets this deadline. Many
                                                                                  are predicting this year’s process
                                                                                  will carry over into a lame duck
                                                                                  session.

                                                   APPROPRIATIONS PRACTICE HEAD
                                                                      Bill Viney

Contact Us                                                                         Quarterly Report, APRIL 2022   BGRDC.com   16
Click on the subjects
below to view:

Overview

Bipartisan
Take
                        State Advocacy
International           STATES TACKLE WIDE RANGE OF TOPICS IN
                        LEGISLATIVE SESSIONS

Commerce                It has been a busy year for state and local governments. Ongoing
                        coronavirus pandemic response aside, the majority of states have
                        been working through state legislative sessions, many of which
Financial
Services                are nearing adjournment. These sessions have been dominated by
                        budget negotiations, redistricting, and a host of complex issues
Health
                        including, most recently, sanctions against Russia. The coming
                        changes in state legislative leadership are also grabbing attention,
                        with nearly a third of the top legislative posts in the country’s 99
Appropriations &
Budget                  state legislative chambers turning over.
                           All states enacting a new budget for FY 2023
State                   have now released a budget proposal. These            “Many state
Advocacy                budgets show states are finding themselves
                        in the unexpected position of having record           legislatures are
                        budget surpluses. This is driven in part from
                        historic federal stimulus dollars as well as better
                                                                              addressing social
Public
Relations               than expected tax revenues. In fact, more than        and cultural
                        half the states now expect to exceed revenue
                        projections this fiscal year, projections that
                                                                              issues…as a result,
                        were already far higher than in previous years,       corporations are
                        according to a survey from the National Confer-
                        ence of State Legislatures. A list of proposed and/   facing increasing pressure from
                        or enacted state budgets can be found here. It is     employees to weigh in against
                        worth noting that most state and local govern-
                        ments are set to receive the second tranche of        legislative actions that are outside
                        American Rescue Plan Act (ARPA) - Coronavi-           traditional business priorities.”
                        rus State and Local Fiscal Recovery Funds early
                        this summer.                                                                             Loren Monroe
                                                                                                  PRACTICE HEAD AND PRINCIPAL
                           Several states have passed – or are considering
                        – record budgets, allocating extra dollars across
                        a range of areas including broadband, workforce       opment. This has created new opportunities
                        training, cybersecurity, healthcare (including        for private sector engagement. States are also
                        addressing staff shortages and healthcare access      surging resources to support behavioral and
                        and delivery), education, and economic devel-                                       Continued on next page

Contact Us                                                                        Quarterly Report, APRIL 2022     BGRDC.com    17
Click on the subjects
below to view:

Overview
                        mental health programs - see Maine and Ohio,         active litigation, including New York (see What
                        for example - accelerated by concerns emerging       Redistricting Looks Like in Every State). The
                        from the coronavirus pandemic.                       outcomes could impact the national political
Bipartisan
                                                                             picture.
Take                       State lawmakers in at least a dozen states
                        have made, or are currently considering, both           Finally, many state legislatures are address-
                        temporary and permanent tax cut measures.            ing social and cultural issues including restrict-
International           Iowa, for example, enacted a 3.9 percent flat tax.   ing abortion, barring transgender athletes from
                        Mississippi had its largest-ever tax cut passed      competing in school sports, and banning teach-
                        by lawmakers to reduce the state income tax          ing of critical race theory. As a result, major
                        over four years, beginning in 2023. In Georgia,      corporations are facing increasing pressure from
                        Governor Brian Kemp (R-GA) recently signed           employees to weigh in against legislative actions
Commerce
                        into law a $1.6 billion state income tax refund      that are outside traditional business priorities.
                        measure. Governor Phil Murphy (D-NJ) and             As legislators act, business leaders are navigating
                        Governor Kathy Hochul (D-NY) have proposed           how to effectively express positions on specific
Financial               property tax relief plans.                           legislation while simultaneously advancing their
Services                                                                     commercial interests.
                           Looking outside of budget negotiations, state
                        officials continue to work to finalize the redis-       For the remainder of 2022, state and local
                        tricting process. Forty states have completed        governments will continue to be quite active as
Health                  redrawing their congressional maps (not count-       they deploy ARPA dollars, prepare to spend new
                        ing the six states with only one congressional       federal Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act
                        district). Only Florida, Ohio and New Hamp-          (IIJA) funds as well as address hot button issues
Appropriations &        shire continue to work through the process.          important to base voters as we move into the
Budget                  Several redistricting proposals remain under         2022 primary and general elections.

State
Advocacy                                  STATE AND LOCAL ADVOCACY PRACTICE HEAD
                                                                  Loren Monroe
Public                                MANAGING DIRECTOR OF STATE & LOCAL ADVOCACY
Relations                                                         William Crozer

Contact Us                                                                       Quarterly Report, APRIL 2022   BGRDC.com    18
Click on the subjects
below to view:

Overview

Bipartisan

                        Public Relations
Take

International           POST PANDEMIC COMMUNICATION MUST BROADEN,
                        NOT NARROW

Commerce                The pandemic has been part of
                        our lives for so long that most                      “Tolerance has given
                        people have begun to treat it as                     way to rejection.
Financial
Services                routine. It isn’t.                                   Obstacles are
                                                                             viewed as dead
Health
                           COVID-19 will be seen as a historic divide        ends. Competitors
                        between a world that still had a semblance of
                        cohesion and a new, fragmented society that          are mortal
                        finds any excuse to fight.                           enemies. Improved
Appropriations &          Lack of human contact is a major cause. Too
Budget                  many have lost the skill of getting along because
                                                                             communications can
                        we didn’t have to – except online, which isn’t the   be an antidote. But to succeed it
                        same thing.
State                                                                        must embrace the change and
                           Tolerance has given way to rejection. Obsta-
Advocacy
                        cles are viewed as dead ends. Competitors are
                                                                             offer credible alternatives.”
                        mortal enemies. Scarcity of commodities and                                            Jeff Birnbaum
Public                  the growing chasm between the haves and have-                                          PRACTICE HEAD
Relations               nots have made this even worse.
                                                   Continued on next page

Contact Us                                                                      Quarterly Report, APRIL 2022   BGRDC.com   19
Click on the subjects
below to view:

Overview
                           The result is near-constant conflict between      additional tools to do so, including OTT (Over
                        people, organizations, and governments. Crime        the Top) advertising on streaming services.
Bipartisan              and mental illness are rising. The U.S. is expand-
                                                                                Such extreme targeting produces results. It
Take                    ing economic warfare on two fronts – with China
                                                                             effectively sells products and ideas. But it also
                        and now Russia. Even the typically genteel
                                                                             exacerbates alienation and misunderstanding.
                        Oscars aren’t safe.
                                                                             Our parallel universes grow farther apart when
International             Improved communications can be an anti-            we cater to these ever-narrower interests.
                        dote. But to succeed it must embrace the change
                                                                               Such targeting also limits the number of
                        and offer credible alternatives.
                                                                             people to whom marketers can sell their goods
                           For example, adherents of the political left      and concepts.
Commerce                and right rarely get information from the same
                                                                                The way out is to propound messages that
                        places. They don’t even accept the same facts.
                                                                             attract multiple audiences.
                        Outreach to each side must be tailored to this
Financial               schism.                                                 Earth-shaking events can do this, like Russia’s
Services                                                                     invasion of Ukraine. So can certain policies, such
                          Pinpointing audiences isn’t new. But it has
                                                                             as expanding job-training programs.
                        become even more important in this radically
                        polarized age.                                          The key to post-pandemic communications,
                                                                             therefore, is to use divergent channels not just to
Health                     Communicators need to segment their audi-
                                                                             please narrow audiences but to assemble broader
                        ences more finely and react to feedback faster to
                                                                             ones.
                        get their points across. Technology has provided
Appropriations &
Budget
                                                  PUBLIC RELATIONS PRACTICE HEAD
State                                                          Jeffrey H. Birnbaum
Advocacy

Public
Relations

Contact Us                                                                        Quarterly Report, APRIL 2022   BGRDC.com   20
CONTACT US

601 13TH ST. NW
WASHINGTON, DC 20005
WWW.BGRDC.COM

Jo Maney, Public Relations Principal
Usman Rahim, Financial Services Policy Analyst
Katie McHenry, Executive Assistant
LaVidaCo Communications, Report Design
You can also read