Replacing LIBOR: an overview - March 2019 - Association of Corporate ...

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Replacing LIBOR: an overview

                               March 2019
The LIBOR interest benchmark is                                                  “The absence of active underlying
                                                                                 markets raises a serious question
changing. This is an introduction to                                             about the sustainability of the LIBOR
                                                                                 benchmarks that are based upon
the key changes and how they may                                                 these markets… the planning and
affect you and your business.                                                    the transition must now begin.”
                                                                                 Andrew Bailey, Chief Executive Officer, FCA

What is LIBOR?                                                                            What’s changing and why
The London Interbank Offered Rate (LIBOR) is one of a number of Interbank                 Since 2013        International regulators began focussing on IBOR reform.
Offered Rates (IBORs) that are widely used in the global financial markets.
                                                                                          		                With the number of interbank unsecured borrowing
It’s used as a key interest rate benchmark across a number of derivatives,                                  transactions reducing in recent years, there has been an
bonds, loans, securitisations, deposits and other products, as well as for                                  increasing reliance on the expert judgement of panel banks on
banks’ and other financial institutions’ own funding and capital needs.                                     which to base LIBOR. This has led to concerns that LIBOR is no
                                                                                                            longer a representative or reliable benchmark reference rate.
LIBOR is calculated and published daily across five currencies (GBP, USD,
EUR, JPY and CHF) and seven maturities (overnight, one week, and 1, 2, 3,                 July 2017         Andrew Bailey, Chief Executive Officer of the Financial
6 and 12 months) by the Intercontinental Exchange Benchmark                                                 Conduct Authority (FCA) announced that the FCA would
Administrator (ICE BA).                                                                                     not persuade or compel LIBOR panel banks to make LIBOR
                                                                                                            submissions beyond the end of 2021.
It’s based on submissions by a panel of banks using available transaction data
and their expert judgement.                                                               July 2018         The FCA and US Commodity Futures Trading Commission
                                                                                                            (CFTC), among other regulators and industry groups, told
LIBOR should provide an indication of the average rate at which each                                        the global market they need to accelerate efforts to stop
LIBOR contributor can borrow unsecured funds in the London interbank                                        using products that reference LIBOR, and transition to
market for a given period, in a given currency. This average is published                                   alternate Risk-Free Rates (RFRs).
and used by the financial markets.

2 | Replacing LIBOR: an overview
There are a number of Risk-Free Rates
being considered

Working Groups have been set up to select alternative
RFRs across all major currencies.

         The Bank of England’s Working Group on Sterling
                                                             SONIA                                       Summary of IBOR replacement rates
         Risk-Free Reference Rates has recommended                                                        Currency     Alternative   Working group                 Nature
                                                             LIBOR is a forward-looking term
         using the Sterling Overnight Indexed Average rate                                                             rate
                                                             rate. However SONIA is a backward-
         (SONIA) as its preferred option. This reference
                                                             looking, overnight rate based on actual                   SOFR1         Alternative Reference Rates   Overnight,
         rate is already widely used in the derivatives                                                                              Committee (ARRC)              Secured
                                                             transactions that have taken place
         markets with a growing number of Bonds
                                                             the day before.                                           Reformed      Working Group on Sterling     Overnight,
         using it as well. The requirement for a Term
                                                                                                                       SONIA         Risk-Free Rates               Unsecured
         SONIA Reference Rate (TSRR) is actively being       Recognising that certain markets, for
         considered by the industry in conjunction with                                                                SARON2        National Working Group on     Overnight,
                                                             example cash and lending, may prefer
                                                                                                                                     Swiss Franc Reference Rates   Secured
         the Bank of England and the FCA.                    forward-looking term characteristics, the
                                                             Bank of England has gathered market                       TONAR3        Study Group on Risk-Free      Overnight,
         In the US the Alternative Reference Rate                                                                                    Reference Rates               Unsecured
                                                             views on a forward-looking Term SONIA
         Committee (ARRC) has recommended the
                                                             Reference Rate (TSRR). A decision should                  ESTER4        Working Group on Euro         Overnight,
         Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR).                                                                                    Risk-Free Rates               Unsecured
                                                             be made later this year.
         The requirement for a Term SOFR is also being
         considered by the industry and the ARRC.            A summary of responses to the
                                                                                                         1. Secured Overnight Financing Rate;
                                                             consultation can be found at
         The European Central Bank (ECB) has                                                             2. Swiss Average Rate Overnight;
                                                             www.bankofengland.co.uk *
         recommended that the Euro Short Term Rate                                                       3. Tokyo Overnight Average Rate;
         (ESTER) replaces the Euro Overnight Indexed         * Externally hosted website.                4. ESTER is the new wholesale unsecured overnight bank borrowing
                                                               National Westminster Bank Plc (NatWest)      rate, which the ECB will produce before 2020.
         Average rate (EONIA), which is currently not EU
                                                               is not responsible for the accuracy or
         benchmark regulation compliant. ESTER is due          content on this site.
         to be published by the ECB from October 2019.

3 | Replacing LIBOR: an overview
What this means
                                                                         for you
                          Existing contracts                             These changes may be relevant to some
                          Ahead of the likely discontinuation of         products you have purchased or may be
                          LIBOR, market participants will need to        thinking about purchasing.
                          think about the best way to review and
                          amend documentation, processes and
                                                                         While the market for alternative RFRs is still developing, LIBOR
                          contractual agreements for any existing
                                                                         continues to be a widely accepted benchmark in corporate
                          contracts that reference LIBOR and
                                                                         and commercial loans and other financial products.
                          mature after 2021.
                                                                         For new or existing products that may be affected, the global
                                                                         financial markets are working together to agree how best
                          New contracts
                                                                         to transition to the alternative RFRs by the end of 2021, or
                          New contracts that reference LIBOR will        in some cases earlier.
                          need to consider whether fallback provisions
                          would be needed in the absence of a specific   We’ll continue to speak to you as these plans develop and you
                          RFR being identified. Work is ongoing in the   may also find it helpful to get in touch with your independent
                          market to determine the best way to do this    professional advisers on what the transition may mean for
                          with minimal disruption.                       you and the products you hold.

4 | Replacing LIBOR: an overview
A few things to think about

Overnight rate versus a term rate                                Different product approaches                                    Multi-currency products
• LIBOR is a term rate that includes an element of               • The general market consensus is that it may be                Replacement RFRs may change how a multi-currency
  credit spread reflecting the borrowing risk in the               sensible to include fallback provisions in contractual        product operates, and again the market is working
  interbank market.                                                documentation (fallback provisions are already included       together to find the best solution.
                                                                   for derivatives products) in case an IBOR stops being
• A term rate provides borrowers with a known interest             used before the relevant transition is completed.
  rate for the period of borrowing and therefore the
  amount of interest due at the end of the borrowing term,       • This may take the form of a roadmap to determine
  something that some borrowers may find helpful for               a replacement rate or reference to a specific
  cashflow forecast.                                               replacement rate.

• An overnight rate, based on actual transactions                • As the alternative RFRs market develops, it’s possible
  and reset on a daily basis in arrears, removes any               that differences could occur in relation to fallbacks for
  expectation of future events inherent in a term rate.            different products. These could be, for example, different
                                                                   trigger events, timings, or even a different fallback rate.
• SONIA is likely to be a less volatile rate known only at the
  end of the borrowing period and borrowers may favour
  this rather than a more volatile term rate known at the
  start of the borrowing period

• Development of a TSRR would provide borrowers with
  a rate at the beginning of the borrowing period, similar
  to LIBOR, although it wouldn’t include credit spread.

• Alternative term RFRs are also being considered in
  the US and Europe that may operate in different
  ways to a TSRR.

5 | Replacing LIBOR: an overview
What’s happening now?                                                                                                                 What happens next?
NatWest supports the market transition from                                                                                           We are waiting for the outcome of the Bank of England’s
LIBOR. We’re working closely with our regulators,                                                                                     consultation on a term SONIA to help guide the direction
market participants, industry bodies and trade                                                                                        of both existing LIBOR products and the development of
associations, to make sure the transition is as                                                                                       new products. This will shape many of our transition plans.
smooth as possible.                                                                                                                   We’ll be back in touch with you as these progress.

                                                                                                                                      In the meantime, if you’d like to know more
                                                                                                                                      please speak to your Relationship Manager
                                                                                                                                      or usual contact within the bank.

                                                                                                   Regulatory announcements
                                                                                                   Co-ordinated UK and US
                                                                                                   regulatory statements that LIBOR
                                                                                                   discontinuation “is a certainty”
                                                                                                   ESTER announced
                                                                  SOFR data                        ECB proposes ESTER as
                                                                  published in US                  replacement of EONIA
                                                                  The planned replacement
                                                                                                   SOFR activity
                                                                  of USD LIBOR, Secured
                                                                                                   Financial institutions
                                                                  Overnight Financing Rate,
                                                                                                   begin SOFR-linked issuance
                                                                  did not exist historically                                                                            EU Benchmark Regulation
                                                                                                   in the US                          Drive to future state
                                                                                                                                                                        Transition period ends, only EU
                                                                  BoE publishes Reformed                                              Development of the
                                                                                                   SOFR swaps to be cleared                                             Benchmark Regulation compliant
                                                                  SONIA                                                               TSRR continues
                                                                                                   on CME                                                               Benchmarks allowed in new
                                                                  The Sterling Overnight Indexed
                                                                                                                                      ESTER (EUR RFR)                   contracts
                                                                  Average rate was chosen as       BoE Term SONIA
                                  Andrew Bailey                                                                                       publication starts
                                                                  the preferred RFR to replace     Working Group                                                        EONIA will no longer
                                  announcement
                                                                  GBP LIBOR                        Consultation paper issued.         EURIBOR decision on EU            be compliant
                                  FCA announced that they will
                                                                                                                                      Benchmark compliance
 IBOR review                      not persuade or compel banks    SONIA linked issuance            Banks submit detailed                                                RFRs in place
 Bank of England (BoE) Working    to submit the inputs used for   First FRN issuance linked        LIBOR transition plans             Regulatory responses to           Banks no longer compelled
 Group on Sterling RFR founded    LIBOR after 2021                to SONIA                         to FCA/PRA                         banks’ LIBOR transition plans     to submit LIBOR

 2015                             2017                            2018 H1                          2018 H2                            2019                              2021

6 | Replacing LIBOR: an overview
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March 2019
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