Semiconductors Market Brief - China - Monthly - August 2020 - Hui He Principal Analyst, China Semiconductor Intelligence Service - Omdia

 
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Semiconductors Market Brief
- China - Monthly - August
2020

Hui He
Principal Analyst, China Semiconductor Intelligence
Service
askananalyst@omdia.com                                © 2020 Omdia   Brought to you by Informa Tech
Semiconductors Market Brief - China - Monthly - August 2020 | September 2020

Contents

• Overall market dynamics                                                                                                                                   3

• Industry highlights                                                                                                                                       4

• The design level of China semiconductors has been ahead of the manufacturing industry                                                                     5

• TSMC is still the most important wafer partner for Chinese semiconductor design companies                                                                 6

• Appendix                                                                                                                                                  7

Page 2                          © 2020 Omdia
Semiconductors Market Brief - China - Monthly - August 2020 | September 2020

Overall market dynamics

• The development of compound semiconductors (GaN and SiC) will be included in the new national semiconductor development plan.
  – In the next three years, with China’s new infrastructure plan, compound semiconductors will have a market growth rate of more than
    40%, especially in new energy vehicles, 5G communications, data centers, and other fields to start large-scale applications.
• Huawei officially announced that it will no longer produce Kirin chipset. At present, the 5nm chip in TSMC will be named kirin9000,
  which will be carried on Huawei’s Mate 40 smartphone and will be launched at the end of the year, with a total amount of approximately
  10 million units.
• Power semiconductor devices will be widely used in the construction of new infrastructure. Insulated-gate bipolar transistor (IGBT) is the
  core device for energy conversion and transmission. Shanghai Huahong Grace Semiconductor Manufacturing Corporation (HHGrace) has
  the first 12-inch power device foundry production line in China.
• ChangXin Memory Technologies (CXMT) launched mass production of 19nm DDR4/LPDDR4 now and will proceed with 17nm in 2021.
  The maximum capacity in its first phrase will be 70,000 pieces of wafer per month.
• Yangtze Memory Technologies Co., Ltd. (YMTC) launched its own brand of SSD product and sold to the open market.

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Semiconductors Market Brief - China - Monthly - August 2020 | September 2020

Industry highlights                                                                  Figure 1: Chinese IC design industry revenue forecast, 2010–24

                                                                                       200,000                                                                                                      70%

                                                                                       180,000
                                                                                                                                                                                                    60%
                                                                                       160,000
• According to the data from China’s State Council, China's chip self-
  sufficiency rate will reach 70% by 2025.                                             140,000                                                                                                      50%

  – In 2019, China’s chip imports amounted to $304 billion. However, this              120,000
                                                                                                                                                                                                    40%
    figure was a decrease of $8 billion compared with the import value in
    2018, a year-on-year (YoY) decrease of 2.6%.                                       100,000
                                                                                                                                                                                                    30%
   – According to Omdia forecast, 70% of the self-sufficiency rate is for                80,000
     specific application fields rather than the entire electronic market. Figure        60,000                                                                                                     20%
     1 is a forecast analysis made by Omdia based on the current Chinese
     semiconductor design industry and local design demand for                           40,000
                                                                                                                                                                                                    10%
     semiconductors.                                                                     20,000

• China’s National IC Investment Fund Phase II (please refer to the appendix),                 0                                                                                                    0%
  which was established in October 2019, was officially implemented in                               2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024

  March 2020; it has amassed ¥200 billion in financing.                                             Sensors & actuators                                 Optical semiconductor
                                                                                                    Discrete                                            Analog IC
• China’s new national policies will promote the development of the                                 Logic IC                                            Microcomponent
  integrated circuit (IC) industry (please refer to the Appendix).
                                                                                                    Memory                                              Chinese IC design industry revenues
                                                                                                    CAGR                                                Local design demand (%)

                                                                                    Source: Omdia                                                                                          © 2020 Omdia

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Semiconductors Market Brief - China - Monthly - August 2020 | September 2020

The design level of China semiconductors has been ahead of the
manufacturing industry
 Figure 2: Percentage of Chinese foundry process revenue, 2010–24                               Figure 3: Percentage of Chinese IC design companies by process revenue, 2010–24

   100%                                                                                            100%

    90%                                       Others                                                90%

    80%                                                                                             80%
                                         0.25/0.35-micron
                                                                                                           0.25/0.35-micron
    70%                                                                                             70%
                                                                                                                       0.18/0.15-micron
    60%                                  0.18/0.15-micron                                           60%

    50%                                                                                             50%
                                                                                                                           0.13/0.11-micron
    40%                                                                                             40%
                                         0.13/0.11-micron
    30%                                                                                             30%                                                                      28nm                    14/16nm
                                                                                                                                 90nm
                                                                                      0.191                                                    0.045&0.040nm
                                              90nm                                                                         0.055&0.065nm
    20%                                                                                             20%
                                         0.055 & 0.065nm                                                                                                                                          10nm
                                                                  28nm                                                                                                                                     7nm
    10%                                                                                0.15         10%
                                        0.045 & 0.040nm              14/16nm
     0%                                                                                              0%                                                                            5nm
       2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024                 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024

      Others               0.25/0.35-micron        0.18/0.15-micron      0.13/0.11-micron             Others                    0.25/0.35-micron             0.18/0.15-micron                0.13/0.11-micron
      90nm                 0.055 & 0.065nm         0.045 & 0.040nm       28nm                         90nm                      0.055&0.065nm                0.045&0.040nm                   28nm
      14/16nm              10nm                    7nm                                                14/16nm                   10nm                         7nm                             5nm

Source: Omdia                                                                    © 2020 Omdia   Source: Omdia                                                                                          © 2020 Omdia

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Semiconductors Market Brief - China - Monthly - August 2020 | September 2020

TSMC is still the most important wafer partner for Chinese
semiconductor design companies
• According to the guidance of the Chinese government for the          Figure 4: Worldwide foundry revenue from China's IC design market, 2019
  whole IC industry, the compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of
  the whole industry will exceed 20% by 2025.                                                         0.7%
                                                                                               1.6%          4.3%
• Because of the trade conflicts between China and the US and the                              2.5%                                                             TSMC
  sanctions imposed by the US in recent years, China has made                           2.4%
                                                                                                                                                                SMIC
  great progress in the semiconductor design. However, the basic                        5.6%
                                                                                                                                                                Huali
  manufacturing technology and upstream equipment and                              4.9%                                                                         Huahong Semiconductor
  materials of semiconductors are still far behind the international             0.8%                                                                           UMC
  Tier 1 level.                                                                                                                                                 CSMC
                                                                                                                                                                GlobalFoundries
• TSMC is still the main wafer supplier of Chinese semiconductor                                                                          60.6%
                                                                                  16.6%                                                                         Wuhan Xinxin
  design companies. TSMC has a huge wafer share in the                                                                                                          GTA(ASMC)
  semiconductor of Chinese market every year; more than 50% of                                                                                                  Others
  the bulk wafer service revenue still comes from TSMC.

                                                                       Source: Omdia                                                                                             © 2020 Omdia

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Appendix

Page 7     © 2020 Omdia
Semiconductors Market Brief - China - Monthly - August 2020 | September 2020

China’s National IC Fund Phase II

 Table 3: China’s National IC Fund Phase II investment list
 (millions of yuan)

 Company name                      Investment date            Amount (¥ millions) Major products

 UNIS                              March 17, 2020                         2,250 System-on-chip (SoC) and RF frontend (RFFE) in mobile devices, the Internet
 (Spreadtrum and RDA)                                                           of Things (IoT), connectivity, security, and set-top boxes (STBs)

 Telink                            March 26, 2020                            27 Bluetooth, Zigbee, low-power wireless personal area networks (LoWPANs),
                                                                                and low-power 2.4Gb

 SMIC                              May 16, 2020                          10,555 Advanced process technology, especially in SMIC South

 SMIC                              July 7, 2020                          3,517.5 Advanced process technology, especially in SMIC South

 Source: Omdia                                                                                                                                                             © 2020 Omdia

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Semiconductors Market Brief - China - Monthly - August 2020 | September 2020

China’s central government’s IC industry incentive policy (1/2)

 Table 4: Policy                                                                           Table 5: Import preferences

 Policy            Contents                                                                Process         Enterprise                         Commodity

 IPO               Supports eligible enterprises in listing on the science and
Semiconductors Market Brief - China - Monthly - August 2020 | September 2020

China’s central government’s IC industry incentive policy (2/2)

 Table 6: Comparison

 Segment                           Description                                 Segment                                       Description
Semiconductors Market Brief - China - Monthly - August 2020 | September 2020

Appendix

Further reading
Mobile Phones & Electronics Market Tracker - China (June 2020)
OEM Semiconductor Spend Tracker (July 2020)
Application Market Forecast Tool AMFT - China Local Design (July 2020)
Semiconductor Industry Tracker - China

Author
Hui He, Principal Analyst, China Intelligent Service
askananalyst@omdia.com

Page 11                                        © 2020 Omdia
Semiconductors Market Brief - China - Monthly - August 2020 | September 2020

Appendix

Omdia Consulting
We hope that this analysis will help you make informed and imaginative business decisions. If you have further requirements, Omdia’s consulting team may be able to help you. For more
information about Omdia’s consulting capabilities, please contact us directly at consulting@omdia.com.

Citation Policy
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