Supply on demand Adapting to change in consumption and delivery models

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Supply on demand Adapting to change in consumption and delivery models
Supply on demand
                                                 Adapting to change
                                                    in consumption
                                                and delivery models

                                                            Sponsored by

A report from the Economist Intelligence Unit
Supply on demand Adapting to change in consumption and delivery models

                Contents

              About the report                                                                                         2

              Executive summary                                                                                        3

      1       Consumers want convenience and value, and they want it now                                               5

      2       Reasons to be cheerful                                                                                   7

      3       What is cheap, reliable and everywhere?                                                                 11

      4       Growing pains                                                                                           14

      5       Conclusion                                                                                              16

              Appendix: survey results                                                                                17

1   © The Economist Intelligence Unit Limited 2013
Supply on demand Adapting to change in consumption and delivery models

              About the
              report

    Supply on demand: Adapting to change in                        l Thomas Amos, co-founder, Sidekicker
    consumption and delivery models is an Economist                l Giles Andrews, CEO, Zopa
    Intelligence Unit (EIU) report sponsored by Zuora.
                                                                   l James Beshara, founder, Crowdtilt
    It delves into the shifting attitudes among business
    executives towards new consumption and delivery                l John Compton, manager, Streetclub by B&Q
    models, the drivers of change, and how companies               (Kingfisher)
    are adapting to accommodate the trend.                         l Chris Fletcher, research director, Gartner
    To shed light on this topic, the EIU surveyed 293              l Saar Gillai, senior VP and general manager, HP
    business executives in July-August 2013. Nearly                Converged Cloud
    two-fifths of the survey sample (39%) are based in             l Ed Lee, mayor, San Francisco
    the US, 31% in the UK and 30% in Australia. They
                                                                   l Ann Mack, director of Trendspotting, JWT
    hail from 18 sectors, with financial services,
                                                                   Worldwide
    professional services, technology, and healthcare,
    pharmaceuticals and biotechnology especially                   l Paul Marsden, consumer psychologist
    prominent in the sample. The respondents are                   l John Mewett, marketing director, Screwfix
    relatively senior—61% hold C-suite positions—and               (Kingfisher)
    they work in organisations of different sizes, with
                                                                   l Mark Norman, CEO, Zipcar (Avis)
    54% posting annual revenue of US$500m or more.
                                                                   l Aleyn Smith-Gillespie, associate director, Carbon
    To complement the survey findings, the EIU also                Trust Advisory Services
    conducted in-depth interviews with senior
    executives and industry experts. We would like to              The report was written by Sarah Fister Gale and
    thank all survey respondents, as well as the                   edited by Zoe Tabary of the Economist Intelligence
    following executives (listed alphabetically) for               Unit.
    their time and insights:

2   © The Economist Intelligence Unit Limited 2013
Supply on demand Adapting to change in consumption and delivery models

              Executive
              summary

    Under the impact of advances in technology,                    opportunities for businesses to engage with
    economic pressures and shifting cultural norms,                customers on a more regular basis and foster
    consumers are looking for cheaper goods and more               stronger relationships.
    convenient ways of accessing them. New models of
                                                                   For consumers, reduced transaction costs and more
    personal ownership are gaining attention in many
                                                                   convenient use of goods and services should be the
    industries based on the idea that people are
                                                                   biggest benefits. But adapting to these new
    increasingly interested in consuming and paying
                                                                   consumption and delivery trends will not be easy,
    for temporary or limited access to goods and
                                                                   and they will not impact every product or business
    services, rather than purchasing them outright.
                                                                   in the same way. Financial constraints,
    Judging by this Economist Intelligence Unit survey,            technological complexity, shifting regulations and
    businesses are responding by changing how they                 the need for new marketing strategies and
    price and deliver goods and services, with                     extensive change management are just a few of the
    subscription-based models in which companies                   challenges that companies must address to succeed
    offer ongoing access to a product or service for a             in this transition.
    periodic fee; rental models that give consumers
                                                                   The key findings of this research include the
    temporary use of a product or service; and sharing
                                                                   following:
    models that allow groups of people to jointly share
    ownership of a product or service among the                    A majority of businesses are changing the way
    preferred options.                                             they price and deliver their goods and services.
                                                                   Four-fifths of respondents see changes in how their
    Advances in technology are enabling this trend,
                                                                   customers access goods and services. For
    both by giving consumers greater insight into
                                                                   individuals, subscriptions and rental options are
    where and how they can access products and
                                                                   the most appealing consumption models to emerge
    services, and by allowing businesses to rapidly
                                                                   from this trend. As a result, over one-half of
    ramp up new sales models at relatively low costs.
                                                                   companies (51%) are changing, or are in the
    Businesses believe that these new models will                  process of changing, how they price and deliver
    enable new revenue opportunities, better                       their goods and services. The biggest change is the
    differentiation from competitors, and access to                introduction of subscription options for goods and
    new customer segments. They will also create new               services (implemented by 40% of companies),

3   © The Economist Intelligence Unit Limited 2013
Supply on demand Adapting to change in consumption and delivery models

    followed by the enabling of sharing models (27%).              and they have better control over their spend,”
                                                                   points out Saar Gillai, senior VP and general
    The revenue impact is still relatively small, but is
                                                                   manager at HP. For businesses, the leading
    expected to grow steadily. More than one-half of
                                                                   benefits are access to new revenue opportunities
    the companies surveyed report that these new
                                                                   (37%), differentiation from competitors (27%),
    delivery models represent 10% or less of their
                                                                   and accessing new customer segments (27%).
    annual revenue, and 12% say that they represent
    more than 50% of revenue. However, 84% of                      Cost, technical complexity and regulation may
    respondents anticipate that the share of revenue               hamper the implementation of new consumption
    will change “somewhat” or “significantly” over the             and delivery models. Internal co-ordination
    next two years.                                                (selected by 33% of respondents), technical
                                                                   complexities (30%) and compliance regarding data
    Technology is proving a powerful enabler of new
                                                                   privacy and protection (27%) are viewed as the key
    consumption and delivery models. “Any area
                                                                   difficulties in implementing these new delivery
    where you’ve got fairly expensive goods that
                                                                   models. Regulatory hurdles can also be a stumbling
    customers don’t feel like they have to own, and
                                                                   block for lean start-ups, according to experts.
    enabling technology that allows them to easily use
    them, will be open to transitions in business                  Each company faces a different set of
    models,” says Aleyn Smith-Gillespie, associate                 circumstances, but there are some common
    director at Carbon Trust Advisory Services.                    elements all should think about, say executives
                                                                   interviewed in this report. Backing new delivery
    Consumers benefit from cheaper, more
                                                                   models with a strong business case, developing a
    convenient products, while businesses generate
                                                                   seamless user experience, working with regulators
    new revenue streams. “Consumers are getting
                                                                   and monitoring corporate reputation are some of
    accustomed to pay-as-you-go models, and they like
                                                                   the specific areas which new delivery models need
    that flexibility. They can instantly get all the
                                                                   to encompass.
    capabilities without paying up-front for the cap-ex,

4   © The Economist Intelligence Unit Limited 2013
Supply on demand Adapting to change in consumption and delivery models

               1                                Consumers want convenience and
                                                value, and they want it now

    Consumers’ desire to own high-value goods, such                                            and advisory company. “Consumers are demanding
    as cars and apartments, is being trumped by their                                          new types of services, and technology innovations
    interest in finding cheaper, more convenient                                               are enabling those services.”
    options to use them. In an increasingly cost-
                                                                                               Executives today are keenly aware of this
    conscious world, the benefits of temporary
                                                                                               transition. Fully 83% of survey respondents agree
    just-in-time access to products and services—
                                                                                               that consumers in general are changing how they
    without the cost and hassle of ownership—are
                                                                                               prefer to obtain access to goods and services, and
    becoming more appealing.
                                                                                               80% are seeing these changes in their own
    At the same time, the explosion of social media and                                        customers.
    mobile devices, as well as the growth of cloud
    computing, are dramatically increasing the speed                                           Subscribe, rent, share
    with which information is reaching consumers and
                                                                                               For individuals, subscriptions and rental options
    facilitating their access to goods and services.
                                                                                               are seen as the most appealing consumption
    “It’s a chicken and egg scenario,” says Chris                                              models to emerge from this trend. Asked about
    Fletcher, the research director of enterprise                                              their preferences as consumers, 38% of executives
    applications at Gartner, a US-based IT research                                            say they increasingly prefer to access goods and
                                                                                               services via subscription rather than purchase them

     Chart 1

    Q          What do you see as the main benefits to consumers from new consumption models?
               (% respondents)

                                                                Reduced transaction costs                                                         36%
                                              More convenient use of goods and services                                                         34%
                                 Easier to upgrade or downgrade products and services                                                          33%
                                       Reduced amount of waste from underused assets                                                     27%
                                       More convenient payment for goods and services                                              20%
                                        Greater personalisation of products and services                                   16%
               Ability of consumers to act as product and service providers themselves                  9%
                              Ability to connect with a like-minded community of users                7%
                                                                                       Other         3%
                                                                                 Don’t know        1%
      Note: Figures do not add to 100% as respondents were able to select more than one option. Source: Economist Intelligence Unit.

5   © The Economist Intelligence Unit Limited 2013
Supply on demand Adapting to change in consumption and delivery models

                               outright, and 26% prefer to rent. The models they              and it’s one of the most critical components for
                               prefer shift somewhat based on their location. US              success, says Paul Marsden, a consumer
                               executives are the most interested in subscription             psychologist. “The consumer doesn’t want to do
                               options (42%), compared with just 31% of their UK              anything extra, so the business model has to be
                               counterparts; and twice as many UK as Australian               effortless,” he says. “Or the value they derive has
                               respondents prefer to share ownership of goods                 to be so great that it can overcome their laziness.”
                               and services.                                                  Interestingly, the two benefits most often touted
                                                                                              by peer-to-peer sharing companies—the ability to
                               These changing preferences are not surprising,
                                                                                              connect with like-minded users and the
                               says Aleyn Smith-Gillespie, associate director at
                                                                                              opportunity for consumers to act as product and
                               Carbon Trust Advisory Services, a consultancy
                                                                                              service providers themselves—receive the lowest
                               offering expertise on sustainable business strategy
                                                                                              scores in the survey. This suggests that the
                               and models. “If you can add value to the customer,
                                                                                              business trend is about value and convenience
                               if you can reduce their cost and make things more
❛❛                                                                                            rather than community-building or altruism. [It
If you can add                 convenient for them, then these models can work.”
                                                                                              should be noted, though, that the interviewees in
value to the                   He anticipates that similar trends are likely to               this survey were business executives rather than
customer, if you               occur with appliances, equipment and high-value                broad consumers.]
can reduce their               goods. “In these models, customers don’t just
                                                                                              Respondents’ personal preferences also bleed over
cost and make                  reduce their costs, they get an additional level of
                                                                                              into how they do business, with 37% saying that
things more                    expertise and access to evolving technology
                                                                                              their business units increasingly prefer to rent
                               without the capital investment,” he says. This idea
convenient for                                                                                goods rather than purchase them, while 35% prefer
                               is reinforced by the fact that reduced transaction
them, then these                                                                              to access goods via subscription and 16% prefer to
                               costs are viewed as the number one benefit of this
models can work.                                                                              share ownership. UK businesses are more
                               trend for consumers.
                                                                                              interested in renting (42%), while US businesses
❜❜
                               The ease with which consumers can upgrade or                   lean towards subscription (44%).
Aleyn Smith-Gillespie,
associate director at Carbon   downgrade services and reduce waste also ranks
Trust Advisory Services                                                                       Ultimately, companies will need to adapt their
                               highly on the list of benefits. “We are in an
                                                                                              business models to account for regional differences
                               ‘as-a-service’ economy, where customers expect
                                                                                              in infrastructure, cost structures and customer
                               options,” agrees Saar Gillai, senior vice president
                                                                                              behaviour, says Mr Smith-Gillespie. “For a global
                               and general manager at Hewlett Packard
                                                                                              company, this will probably be starkest between
                               Converged Cloud, an IT multinational company.
                                                                                              developed and developing economies, and can be
                               Having open lines of communication with
                                                                                              both an opportunity as well as a challenge. For
                               customers enables businesses to proactively
                                                                                              example, in some regions business models
                               provide those options, he says. “We can see what
                                                                                              requiring live tracking of vehicles and products
                               the customer is trying to do, and tailor a solution
                                                                                              may find local infrastructure and mobile services to
                               that’s flexible enough to meet their needs.”
                                                                                              be lacking—although this is improving. On the
                               Convenience also makes the list of top benefits—               other hand, urban density and premiums on space
                                                                                              can be a driver of sharing models.”

6                              © The Economist Intelligence Unit Limited 2013
Supply on demand Adapting to change in consumption and delivery models

                                         2                            Reasons to be cheerful

                             The demand for temporary access to goods and                              delivery infrastructures which support that
                             services has the potential to upend long-                                 environment.”
                             established business models that are built on a
❛❛                                                                                                     The most popular addition is the introduction of
This is a pay-as-            financial foundation of receiving full payment in
                                                                                                       subscription models (40%), followed by the
                             exchange for outright ownership of goods. For
you-go economy.                                                                                        integration of shared goods and services (27%). In
                             companies to alter this model requires them to
To succeed,                                                                                            Australia, 46% of respondents are incorporating
                             radically change the way in which they operate.
companies need                                                                                         subscription models, compared with 40% in the UK
to create payment            They seem to be figuring it out, though. A majority                       and 34% in the US. Smaller companies are also
and delivery                 of companies in the survey have already changed                           more likely to embrace subscription options (45%),
                             or are in the process of changing how they price                          while larger companies are almost as likely to
infrastructures
                             and deliver their goods and services. That number                         enable sharing (31%) as subscription (33%).
which support                jumps to 67% in Australia, compared with 42% in
that environment.            the US and 48% in the UK. Adapting pricing and
                                                                                                       In the past few years start-ups and established
❜❜                                                                                                     businesses alike have begun offering rental,
                             delivery models is a necessary part of the
Saar Gillai, senior VP and                                                                             sharing and subscription options for everything
                             transition from one-off sales to a subscription,
general manager, HP                                                                                    from cars, textbooks and entertainment to
Converged Cloud              rental or sharing-based offering, according to Mr
                                                                                                       part-time workers and heavy equipment. The trend
                             Gillai: “This is a pay-as-you-go economy. To
                                                                                                       even extends into the financial services industry,
                             succeed, companies need to create payment and

                              Chart 2

                             Q          How is your company primarily changing, or how does it intend to change, the way it prices
                                        and delivers goods and services?
                                        (% respondents)

                                           We are integrating subscription goods
                                              and services to our business model                                                                      40%
                                                 We are integrating shared goods
                                               and services to our business model                                              27%
                                         We are integrating leasing/rental goods
                                              and services to our business model                             17%
                                         We are integrating exchange (barter) of
                                        goods and services to our business model    2%

                                                                           Other                       14%
                               Source: Economist Intelligence Unit.

7                            © The Economist Intelligence Unit Limited 2013
Supply on demand Adapting to change in consumption and delivery models

    where companies are creating virtual environments                    Mr Smith-Gillespie is not surprised by their
    in which consumers can source, lend and borrow                       optimism. “Goods and assets that have a relatively
    money electronically without the time and costs                      high cost but low utilisation will be open to a shift
    associated with traditional banks.                                   away from ownership towards a leasing, rental, or
                                                                         subscription-based business model, particularly
    Mr Smith-Gillespie points to Digital Lumens, a US
                                                                         when combined with a service package that
    lighting company that has shifted from selling
                                                                         guarantees convenience and access,” he says. He
    equipment to delivering lighting-as-a-service under
                                                                         also believes that these new delivery models can
    a “managed asset” model: “Customers pay for the
                                                                         provide greater financial stability for the vendor by
    outcome, not the product.” It is still early days for
                                                                         turning a single sale into a long-term revenue
    many of these fledgling businesses, but there is a
                                                                         stream. But that can require upfront financing by
    lot of optimism about their future success.
                                                                         the business to cover the initial cost to deliver the
    Small revenue, big growth                                            product or service system, as well as cash flow to
                                                                         cover maintenance, insurance and any other
    expectations
                                                                         ancillary business costs.
    More than half (53%) of respondents say these new
                                                                         It won’t work for everyone, however. In sectors
    delivery models represent 10% or less of their
                                                                         that offer lower cost, disposable or frequently used
    annual revenue, and only 12% say they represent
                                                                         goods, the model won’t be cost effective, maintains
    more than half of their revenue. The financial
                                                                         Gartner’s Mr Fletcher: “It’s hard to argue that you
    impact is somewhat higher in UK and US companies
                                                                         would generate enough revenue from renting a
    than in Australian companies, with respectively
                                                                         ladder or a lawn mower. And if it’s not going to be
    16% and 14% saying they represent more than half
                                                                         profitable, it doesn’t make sense.”
    of their revenue, against 6% of Australian
    companies.                                                           In those cases, business owners can look for
                                                                         added-value opportunities, suggests John Mewett,
    But the revenue impact from these models is on an
                                                                         the marketing director of the Screwfix Community
    upward trend. Fully 84% of respondents anticipate
                                                                         Forum, a trade forum for contractors hosted by
    the share of revenue they represent to change
                                                                         Kingfisher, a European home-improvement
    somewhat or significantly over the next two years.
                                                                         retailer. Although Kingfisher’s products do not
    Smaller companies are more likely to anticipate a
                                                                         lend themselves to a rental or subscription model,
    significant increase (34%), compared with 21% of
                                                                         the company has invested in building a sharing
    larger companies.
                                                                         environment.

     Chart 3

    Q          How, if at all, do you expect the revenue your company gains from new delivery models of
               goods and services to change over the next two years?
               (% respondents)

               Increase significantly                                        28%
                  Somewhat increase                                                                                      56%
                        Stay the same                13%
                 Somewhat decrease            1%
               Decrease significantly        0%
                           Don’t know         2%
      Source: Economist Intelligence Unit.

8   © The Economist Intelligence Unit Limited 2013
Supply on demand Adapting to change in consumption and delivery models

     Chart 4

    Q          What are the key business benefits you would associate with implementing
               new delivery models?
               (% respondents)

               Opening up new revenue opportunities                                                                              37 %
                     Differentiation from competitors                                                       27%
                   Accessing new customer segments                                                          27%
                           Increasing customer loyalty                                                   25%
               Reducing waste from underused assets                                            21%
                              Strengthening our brand                                       19%
                       Accessing new product markets                                     17%
               Improving our environmental footprint                   8%
                                                  Other        4%
                                             Don’t know   2%
      Source: Economist Intelligence Unit.

    The Screwfix Forum brings together professionals                              Even in sectors such as hard goods, where the
    and DIY enthusiasts to exchange tips about home                               fundamental product is still a one-off sale,
    improvement projects, socialise and even share                                companies are creating add-on services that are
    tools or business opportunities. “These services                              bundled with the core product. General Motors’
    aren’t monetised and don’t generate revenue                                   subsidiary Onstar, for example, is a subscription-
    directly, but they do build brand loyalty and can                             based roadside assistance service that car owners
    indirectly generate sales in stores,” says John                               can pay for through a monthly fee.
    Compton, the manager of Streetclub.co.uk, a
                                                                                  For other organisations, these new models are seen
    sharing website for neighbours by Kingfisher-
                                                                                  as an opportunity to alleviate the impact of rising
    owned B&Q, another DIY firm.
                                                                                  manufacturing costs. Businesses that devise ways
    Unlocking business benefits                                                   for customers to reuse existing products can derive
                                                                                  more long-term value from the assets they pay to
    According to the survey, the leading business                                 create, while simultaneously allowing customers to
    benefit of these new delivery models is access to                             reduce their own cost of ownership and
    new revenue opportunities (37%). Differentiation                              environmental footprint. “Resource efficiency is a
    from competitors (27%), accessing new customer                                core part of the proposition,” says Mr Smith-
    segments (27%) and increasing customer loyalty                                Gillespie. “It is a real value add that a provider can
    (25%) also figure prominently.                                                give to a customer, and that customers are
                                                                                  seeking.”
    These new models also allow businesses to form
    closer relationships with the customers they serve,                           To fully benefit from new delivery models,
    Mr Smith-Gillespie points out. As the owner of the                            organisations need to work proactively with
    goods, be they cars, equipment or virtual servers,                            manufacturers, vendors and material suppliers to
    the vendor takes on the role of a trusted and expert                          design products that best accommodate
    supplier, providing maintenance and services to                               consumers’ demands. If companies can deliver
    support the product and the customer. “This value                             reliability as part of the value proposition, they can
    proposition opens up opportunities for long-term                              secure customer loyalty while lowering their own
    customer relationships with multiple touch-points,                            maintenance and support costs.
    thus enabling providers to broaden and deepen
    their revenue streams,” he says.

9   © The Economist Intelligence Unit Limited 2013
Supply on demand Adapting to change in consumption and delivery models

                       Harnessing small players                                       This approach has been practiced for years in the
                                                                                      software-as-a-service sector, where global
                       In the meantime, the market to accommodate                     enterprise software firms, including Oracle, IBM
                       consumers’ demand for subscription, rental and                 and SAP, have acquired dozens of cloud-driven
                       sharing options is still fairly wide open. Thanks to           start-ups to round out their service offerings.
                       the proliferation of cheap, reliable, virtual
                       technology, anyone with some spare cash and an                 It is also moving into the car rental business, where
                       idea can start a company, which means that lean                in the past year Avis Budget Group has purchased
❛❛                     start-ups have a chance to step into well-                     Zipcar, a US membership-based car-sharing
It is logical that     established marketplaces and lure dissatisfied                 company, and Enterprise Holdings has acquired
these acquisitions     customers with more agile delivery models.                     Zimride, a ride-sharing and car-pooling company.
will continue in                                                                      “These acquisitions have enabled the acquired
                       Smaller firms tend to be more alert to shifting
other sectors as                                                                      small firms to rapidly expand their reach. In the
                       market trends and are more able to adapt than
companies              their larger counterparts. The survey highlights               case of Zipcar, it means continuing its quest to
demonstrate that       this idea, with more than one-half of executives at            build a global fleet”, says Mark Norman, the
they can produce       large firms saying their company underestimates                company’s CEO, albeit under the aegis of a larger
sustainable            the impact of changes in the way consumers want                owner. “It is logical that these acquisitions will
                                                                                      continue in other sectors as companies
business models        to access goods and services, compared with just
                       one-third of executives at small companies.                    demonstrate that they can produce sustainable
with proven                                                                           business models with proven profitability”,
profitability.         However, big companies have the advantage of                   according to the mayor of San Francisco, Ed Lee,
❜❜                     deep pockets. While it may take them longer to                 who is credited with coining the term “sharing
Ed Lee,                adapt their culture and processes to the new trends,           economy” to identify entrepreneurs using the
mayor, San Francisco
                       they have the option to acquire smaller companies              Internet to connect services and products with
                       that have demonstrated success as a way to gain                buyers. “It makes sense that [these companies]
                       immediately access and expertise in this area, says            will become attractive for purchase or imitation by
                       Ann Mack, the director of Trendspotting at JWT                 already established businesses in the
                       Worldwide, a marketing communications firm.                    marketplace,” he says.
                       “Instead of fighting the encroaching competition,
                       partner with them,” she advises.

10                     © The Economist Intelligence Unit Limited 2013
Supply on demand Adapting to change in consumption and delivery models

                                       3                              What is cheap, reliable and
                                                                      everywhere?

                           The Internet, mobile technology, secure online                                          perceived drivers of change in this area. Economic
                           transactions, social media and the ubiquity of                                          factors and demand for greater convenience—both
                           cloud computing are among the many                                                      issues that can be addressed thanks to
❛❛                         technological advances that are making it possible                                      technological advances—complete the list of the
You can connect
                           for companies to provide these kinds of delivery                                        top three drivers.
with people in a           models for any number of products and services,
way you couldn’t           remotely and electronically, to a broader
                                                                                                                   Not surprisingly, technology-driven products and
previously, and                                                                                                    services that can be accessed and purchased
                           community of customers.
                                                                                                                   electronically—including software, news media,
it’s changing the
                           “You can connect with people in a way you couldn’t                                      consumer electronics, and music and
mindset of                 previously, and it’s changing the mindset of                                            entertainment—are expected to see the biggest
businesses and             businesses and consumers,” says Thomas Amos,                                            shifts in consumption and delivery patterns over the
consumers.                 the co-founder of Sidekicker, an Australian firm                                        next three years. More durable items, including
❜❜                         that links companies with people seeking                                                cars, homes, appliances and fashion, are seen as
Thomas Amos,               temporary work assignments.                                                             least likely to experience big shifts in the near term.
co-founder of Sidekicker
                           The survey shows that advances in technology,                                           Location, for example, can be a challenge in
                           including cloud computing, are top of the list of                                       providing durable goods, particularly for small

                            Chart 5

                           Q          Of the following, which would you say is the single most important driver of changes in the
                                      way consumers obtain access to goods and services?
                                      (% respondents)

                                                      Technology advances
                                                      (eg cloud computing)                                                                                        37%
                                      Economic factors (eg, cost pressures,
                                      demand for greater value for money)                                                                    27%
                                          Demand for greater convenience                                                                 25%
                                              Policy or regulatory changes               5%
                                                   Environmental concerns       2%
                                                                       Other       3%
                             Note: Percentages were rounded up and may not add up to 100%. Source: Economist Intelligence Unit.

11                         © The Economist Intelligence Unit Limited 2013
Supply on demand Adapting to change in consumption and delivery models

     firms. While the Internet makes it possible to reach           apps and broadband wireless continues to allow us
     clients all over the world, delivery models for these          to evolve the service.”
     goods have to support that reach with fast,
                                                                    Such models are of particular interest to younger
     efficient and cost-effective options. That can be
                                                                    consumers, who have grown up being able to access
     tricky for smaller companies with limited budgets,
                                                                    their email, do their banking and get their groceries
     says Mr Amos. “You’ve got to be able to ramp up,
                                                                    delivered, all from their laptops and mobile phones.
     and match supply with demand.”
                                                                    They also recognise the value in having access to
     We’re all tech companies                                       goods without the burden of ownership in a way
                                                                    that previous generations may not have had.
     Mr Norman of Zipcar credits innovative
     technology—including GPS, secure ignition, the                 A survey released in February 2013 by Zipcar shows
     mobile web and apps, RFID access and proprietary               that 80% of millennials (commonly referring to
     fuel access—with the success of his company. He                people born between the 1980s and the 2000s)
     refers to it as “a technology and service company              find it much harder to own a car because of the
     that happens to manage a large fleet”.                         high cost of petrol, maintenance and parking,
                                                                    compared with 69% of those aged 49 and above.
     “Ubiquitous wireless networks enabled the
     existence of Zipcar in 2000,” he says. “And the                They also feel more comfortable working with
     preponderance of smartphones, downloadable                     peer-based companies, thanks to the grassroots
                                                                    conversations that often support these new

      Zopa revolutionises banking
      Zopa is a UK-based peer-to-peer lending service               capital,” says Mr Andrews, referring to the excess
      launched in 2005, at a time when UK consumers                 capital banks are required to hold as part of
      were highly indebted and bank lending had                     financial industry regulations.
      reached historical levels. “It started because we
                                                                    And he couldn’t have done it without the far
      didn’t like the way banks were treating people,”
                                                                    reach and easy access of the Internet. “It provides
      says Zopa’s CEO, Giles Andrews. “We wanted to
                                                                    enormous distribution possibilities, which allowed
      create a more efficient business that created value
                                                                    us to scale and provide checks and balances at all
      for customers and allowed us to make a profit.”
                                                                    stages of the transaction,” he says. Though he
      The resulting service allows people to sidestep               notes that recent advances in technology would
      banks and lend directly to each other at lower rates          probably have made it a lot cheaper to build.
      and with a higher interest on savings. To ensure
                                                                    Despite the initial costs, the business has taken
      borrowers repay their debts, the company built
                                                                    off, and Mr Andrews believes that Zopa will be
      its own risk management engine that assesses
                                                                    competitive with major global banks in a matter
      borrowers’ credit history and likeliness to repay.
                                                                    of years. It loaned £90m in 2012 at an average of
      The company also vets all lenders to make sure the
                                                                    £50,000 per lender, and £6,000 per borrower. He
      money is legitimate and legal.
                                                                    expects to lend £200m in 2013 and is targeting a
      “It has all the administrative functions of a bank,           billion in loans annually by 2015.
      but it is simpler because we don’t require buffer

12   © The Economist Intelligence Unit Limited 2013
Supply on demand Adapting to change in consumption and delivery models

      Enabled by cloud
      While cloud computing capabilities have been                  Saar Gillai, senior vice president and general
      around for years, it only began to take off as                manager at Hewlett Packard Converged Cloud, an
      a business model in the early 2000s, with the                 IT multinational company. “Most customers see
      advent of Salesforce.com, Google Apps and the                 improvements from weeks to hours because cloud
      proliferation of virtualisation technology. Less              automates so many things that were once manual.”
      than a decade later 75% of companies use some
                                                                    Many companies are now extending the benefits
      sort of cloud platform today, according the 2013
                                                                    of the cloud beyond internal efficiencies to
      Future of Cloud Computing Survey of North Bridge
                                                                    generate new revenue streams and even launch
      Venture Partners, a US-based venture capital firm.
                                                                    new companies, from banks that sell their internal
      Eliminating the capital costs of hardware and                 credit rating tools as a cloud-based service, to
      software as well as the personnel costs related to            entertainment companies such as GameFly and
      maintenance and upgrades is a boon for companies              Netflix, which rent games and movies to members
      looking to cut their IT expenses. It also allows              for a monthly fee. “Consumers are getting
      them to share resources in a way they can’t when              accustomed to pay-as-you-go models, and they
      technology falls under the control of specific                like that flexibility,” according to Mr Gillai. “They
      individuals or divisions in company.                          can instantly get all the capabilities without
                                                                    paying up-front for the cap-ex, and they have
      And while the cost-savings can be enticing,
                                                                    better control over their spend.”
      it’s the time-saving that draws people in, says

     business models, says Mrs Mack: “They don’t think              However, they are also quick to abandon companies
     twice about doing business with peers or start-ups,            that fail to deliver quality service or goods, she
     particularly if the solution is less expensive than            says. “Tools like user reviews and track records can
     the established alternative.”                                  allay a lot of concerns about quality.”

13   © The Economist Intelligence Unit Limited 2013
Supply on demand Adapting to change in consumption and delivery models

                                 4                              Growing pains

                     The time- and cost-savings from which consumers                                the back end,” says James Beshara, the CEO of
                     can benefit through new consumption models can                                 Crowdtilt, a crowd-funding platform where
                     translate into financial benefits for the companies                            consumers can create groups to fund anything from
❛❛                   that can deliver these goods and services.                                     a fantasy football league to a community park.
Building a           However, establishing an interface and delivery
                                                                                                    His team of 26 employees includes 22 software
seamless user        system to support them is not easy.
                                                                                                    engineers, who are focused on making the site
experience is the    Survey respondents cite internal co-ordination,                                seamless and user-friendly. They are currently
most important       technical complexities and compliance regarding                                putting the finishing touches on a mobile
factor—and that      data privacy and protection as the key risks or                                environment that will allow users to launch a
takes a lot of       difficulties in implementing such new delivery                                 funding project in under eight seconds from their
effort on the back   models. Cost is also a primary concern. Smaller                                phones.
end.                 companies, in particular, worry about the
                                                                                                    Achieving this ease of use is difficult and fraught
                     technology and cost to get these models up and
❜❜                                                                                                  with security risks. It’s not just about making the
                     running.
James Beshara,                                                                                      technology work, says Mr Beshara. His team had to
CEO of Crowdtilt
                     “Building a seamless user experience is the most                               work closely with payment processors, credit
                     important factor—and that takes a lot of effort on                             companies, banks and regulators to make sure that

                      Chart 6

                     Q          What are the key risks or difficulties you would associate with implementing
                                new delivery models?
                                (% respondents)

                                 Organisational (lack of internal co-ordination)                                                                     33%
                                            Technical (too complex to integrate)                                                              30%
                                Compliance (data privacy and protection issues)                                                         27%
                                Financial (deferring up-front cash and revenue)                                                       26%
                                      Regulatory (industry-specific regulations)                                             22%
                                                           Talent (skills shortage)                                  18%
                                               Lack of management commitment                                 14%
                                                                             Other           6%
                                                                       Don’t know     2%
                        Source: Economist Intelligence Unit.

14                   © The Economist Intelligence Unit Limited 2013
Supply on demand Adapting to change in consumption and delivery models

 Sidekicker navigates employment law
 In 2012 Thomas Amos launched Sidekicker, an Australia-based                 does not deliver or take ownership of any work and that none of the
 company that connects businesses with people looking for                    “sidekicks” are employed by the company or even guaranteed jobs.
 temporary work assignments. Unlike traditional temp agencies,
                                                                             Sidekicker also had to reassure its business customers that the
 Sidekicker does not employ workers. Instead it acts as a
                                                                             service complied with all of their legal and tax requirements as
 matchmaker, giving employers a place to post openings and review
                                                                             they managed their own employment records.
 the profiles of hundreds of pre-screened workers on demand.
                                                                             Even though all Sidekicker workers are independent and
 The goal of the company is to streamline the hiring process
                                                                             responsible for their own taxes, the company took steps to ensure
 for both sides, but in providing that convenience, Sidekicker
                                                                             they all met their tax obligations. “It’s one way we stay ahead
 dropped itself into a regulatory black hole.
                                                                             of the regulations,” says Mr Amos. “And it solves the problem of
 Mr Amos had to work closely with regulators to prove the company            ‘sidekicks’ avoiding paying their taxes.”

                            every field and interaction that customers have                “The technology and the business model have
                            with the site guarantees their data are protected.             evolved so quickly, the policy hasn’t had time to
                                                                                           catch up,” says Zipcar’s Mr Norman. This lack of
                            Giles Andrews, the CEO of Zopa, a UK based
                                                                                           rules is making some business owners nervous and
                            peer-to-peer lending service, agrees. “The winners
                                                                                           can delay their ability to make strategic business
                            are the ones who can figure out how to build a
                                                                                           decisions. “Our biggest ask [from regulators] is
                            platform that protects customers while adding
                                                                                           certainty in what the regulations will be so we have
                            value in the market.”
                                                                                           a solid foundation to navigate from,” says
❛❛                          Regulators race to catch up                                    Crowdtilt’s Mr Beshara.
The technology
and the business                                                                           He is not alone in this concern. Compliance with
                            New models of delivery also have to accommodate
                                                                                           data privacy and protection ranks number three
model have                  regulatory requirements, which can be tricky in
                                                                                           among the key difficulties in implementing new
evolved so                  industries where the evolution of business models
                                                                                           delivery models. Larger firms rank it second on
quickly, the policy         is outpacing governments’ ability to keep up.
                                                                                           their list.
hasn’t had time to          “Entrepreneurs are coming up with new solutions
catch up.                                                                                  The lack of rules may seem like a boon for young
                            and innovations almost daily, and it’s important for
                                                                                           businesses eager to make their footprint in
❜❜                          government to be nimble and flexible so that we
                                                                                           uncharted territory, but companies are just as likely
Mark Norman,                can adapt to our residents’ demand for changes in
CEO, Zipcar (Avis)                                                                         to benefit from regulations as suffer from them—
                            consumption,” says San Francisco’s mayor, Mr Lee.
                                                                                           depending on the decisions regulators make,
                            But regulators are not known for speedy decision-              according to Mr Andrews. Pushing for specific
                            making, and they have many decisions to make.                  regulations can increase the validity of the industry
                            From defining financial oversight rules and                    and the chance that the right regulations will be
                            insurance requirements to establishing data                    enacted, he says. “If executives don’t participate in
                            security guidelines for information exchange and               the process, they face a greater risk that regulators
                            collection, regulators are being forced to rethink             will overreact and try to implement rules that get in
                            how these industries will be tracked.                          the way of their business growth.”

15                          © The Economist Intelligence Unit Limited 2013
Supply on demand Adapting to change in consumption and delivery models

               5                           Conclusion

     Shifting cultural norms, lingering economic                    delivering incredible economic value.”
     challenges and steady advances in technology are
                                                                    l Consider cash flow. In a temporary access
     changing the way consumers think about how they
                                                                    delivery model, companies rely on future revenue
     want to access goods and services. Together, these
                                                                    streams rather than lump sum payments, so they
     trends have helped to make the value and
                                                                    have to be certain they can bankroll the transition.
     convenience of temporary access more appealing
                                                                    “When you move to a leasing model from a sales
     to consumers than the intrinsic satisfaction they
                                                                    model,” says Carbon Trust’s Mr Smith-Gillespie,
     once derived from ownership. They have grown
                                                                    “you need to make sure that it’s cost-side up or it
     comfortable with the idea of using rather than
                                                                    won’t work.”
     buying goods and services, and they expect
     companies to give them these options in user-                  l Make sure your interface is fast and easy to
     friendly and secure environments.                              use. Consumers will only support these businesses
                                                                    if they offer quick and seamless access to goods
     This convergence of trends is forcing companies to
                                                                    and services. “You might think you have the best
     re-evaluate their own delivery models and
                                                                    solution,” warns Mr Smith-Gillespie, “but if the
     overcome the technical, organisational, regulatory
                                                                    customer doesn’t see it as convenient, they are not
     and financial issues that stand in the way of making
                                                                    going to adopt it.”
     them work.
                                                                    l Work with regulators to shape policy. In
     This transformation has already proved to be
                                                                    industries where regulations are still in flux,
     successful in a number of sectors, from software to
                                                                    business owners such as Mr Andrews are working
     automotive and finance. But executives still need
                                                                    with lawmakers. “You want enough structure to
     to focus on sound business principles. “It doesn’t
                                                                    keep out scammers and incompetents, without so
     matter how cool the idea is or how many people
                                                                    many rules that it blocks efficiency and
     tweet you or like you,” Zipcar’s Mr Norman says.
                                                                    profitability”, advises Mr Andrews. “Working with
     “Without solid, underlying fundamentals and a
                                                                    regulators can help you achieve that.”
     path to sustained profitability, your idea will never
     go mainstream.”                                                l It had better be good. Social media have made
                                                                    it possible for consumers across the globe to
     Executives interviewed in this report offer advice
                                                                    instantly share their opinions—good or bad—with
     on how to succeed in building new delivery models
                                                                    a huge audience. That can work in companies’
     that provide value to consumers and their own
                                                                    favour, or it can harm them. “Consumers today are
     bottom line.
                                                                    hyper-connected, and when you give them a great
     l Do the math. New delivery models will only work              product experience, they can’t wait to tell their
     if there is a strong business case backing them up.            friends,” Crowdtilt’s Mr Beshara says. “But if it’s a
     “Be sure you can achieve economic efficiencies and             bad experience, or even lukewarm, they will tell
     are able to offer value to consumers that is better            that story too, and it doesn’t take long for a few
     than the alternative,” says Zopa’s Mr Andrews. “The            bad reviews to ruin a business.”
     success of businesses in this economy are tied to

16   © The Economist Intelligence Unit Limited 2013
Supply on demand Adapting to change in consumption and delivery models

     Appendix:
     survey
     results

     Q1
     Please state whether you agree or disagree with the following statements:
     (% respondents)
                                                                                 Strongly       Agree           Disagree         Strongly             Don’t know/
                                                                                 agree                                           disagree             Not applicable
     Our company is seeing changes in how consumers in general prefer to obtain access to goods and services
                                           26                                                                               56              7 2                  10
     Our company is seeing changes in how our own customers prefer to obtain access to our goods and services
                                      24                                                                                   56                     12 1            7
     The impact of behavioural changes among consumers in how they obtain access to goods and services is underestimated by our company
                     10                                              34                                                           41              7               9

     Q2
     Of the following which would you say is the single most important driver of changes described in Question 1?
     (% respondents)

     Technology advances (eg cloud computing)
                                                                                                                                                                 37
     Economic factors (eg, cost pressures, demand for greater value for money)
                                                                                                                 27
     Demand for greater convenience
                                                                                                         25
     Policy or regulatory changes
                          5
     Environmental concerns
             2
     Other
                 3

17   © The Economist Intelligence Unit Limited 2013
Supply on demand Adapting to change in consumption and delivery models

     Q3
     How, if at all, are your personal preferences changing for how you obtain access to goods and services?
     Select all that apply.
     (% respondents)

     I increasingly prefer to access goods and services on a subscription basis (eg software licenses, news media or music) rather than purchase
                                                                                                                                                              38
     I increasingly prefer to rent goods and services (eg apartments or camping spaces) rather than purchase them outright
                                                                                                              26
     I increasingly prefer to share ownership of goods and services (eg car-sharing services) rather than purchase them outright
                                                        13
     I increasingly prefer to access goods and services through exchange (barter) arrangements (eg clothes) rather than purchase for money
                                        9
     Other
                              6
     My personal preferences are not changing
                                                                                                                                               34
     Don’t know
             2

     Q4
     How, if at all, are your business unit’s preferences changing for how it obtains access to goods and services?
     Select all that apply.
     (% respondents)

     My business unit increasingly prefers to rent goods and services rather than purchase them outright
                                                                                                                                                              37
     My business unit increasingly prefers to access goods and services on a subscription basis rather than purchase
                                                                                                                                                         35
     My business unit increasingly prefers to share ownership of goods and services rather than purchase them outright
                                                                      16
     My business unit increasingly prefers to access goods and services through exchange (barter) arrangements rather than purchase for money
                         5
     Other
                 3
     My business unit’s preferences are not changing
                                                                                                                                      31
     Don’t know
                 3

     Q5
     What do you see as the main benefits to consumers from the types of shifts described in Questions 1 and 3?
     Select up to two.
     (% respondents)

     Reduced transaction costs
                                                                                                                                                              36
     More convenient use of goods and services
                                                                                                                                                         34
     Easier to upgrade or downgrade products and services
                                                                                                                                                    33
     Reduced amount of waste from underused assets
                                                                                                                         27
     More convenient payment for goods and services
                                                                                         20
     Greater personalisation of products and services
                                                                        16
     Ability of consumers to act as product and service providers themselves
                                            9
     Ability to connect with a like-minded community of users
                                  7
     Other
                  3
     Don’t know
       1

18   © The Economist Intelligence Unit Limited 2013
Supply on demand Adapting to change in consumption and delivery models

     Q6
     What categories of goods and services do you think will see the biggest shifts in the aforementioned models of
     consumption and delivery of goods and services in the next three years?
     Select up to two.
     (% respondents)

     Software
                                                                                                                                      29
     News media
                                                                                                                      25
     Consumer electronics and devices
                                                                                                               23
     Music and entertainment
                                                                                                               23
     Education
                                                                                                          22
     Healthcare services
                                                                                          17
     Finance and peer-to-peer lending
                                                                                     15
     Automotive
                                                                 12
     Accommodation
                                                       10
     Household appliances and durable goods
                                              8
     Fashion
                               5
     Other
                      3
     Don’t know
        1

     Q7A
     Is your company changing how it prices and delivers goods and services?
     (% respondents)

     Yes, we have changed how we price and deliver goods and services
                                                                        20
     We are in the process of changing how we price and deliver goods and services
                                                                                                  31
     No, we don’t intend to change how we price and deliver goods and services
                                                                                                                                      45
     Don’t know
                  4

     Q7B
     How is your company primarily changing, or how does it intend to change, the way it prices and delivers goods and services?
     (% respondents)

     We are integrating subscription goods and services to our business model
                                                                                                                                      40
     We are integrating shared goods and services to our business model
                                                                                                27
     We are integrating leasing/rental goods and services to our business model
                                                                   17
     We are integrating exchange (barter) of goods and services to our business model
             2
     Other
                                                        14

19   © The Economist Intelligence Unit Limited 2013
Supply on demand Adapting to change in consumption and delivery models

     Q8A
     What approximate share of your company’s revenue does the delivery model of goods and services you selected in Q7b
     represent today?
     (% respondents)

     Less than 5%
                                                                                                                  25
     5-10%
                                                                                                                             28
     11-25%
                                                                                                   21
     26-50%
                               5
     More than 50%
                                                           12
     Don’t know
                                                  9

     Q8B
     How, if at all, do you expect that share to change over the next two years?
     (% respondents)

     Increase significantly
                                                                     28
     Somewhat increase
                                                                                                                             56
     Stay the same
                                         13
     Somewhat decrease
     1
     Decrease significantly
     0
     Don’t know
         2

     Q9
     What are the key business benefits you would associate with implementing new delivery models?
     Select up to two.
     (% respondents)

     Opening up new revenue opportunities
                                                                                                                             37
     Differentiation from competitors
                                                                                              27
     Accessing new customer segments
                                                                                              27
     Increasing customer loyalty
                                                                                       25
     Reducing waste from underused assets
                                                                             21
     Strengthening our brand
                                                                      19
     Accessing new product markets
                                                                17
     Improving our environmental footprint
                                     8
     Other
                     4
     Don’t know
             2

20   © The Economist Intelligence Unit Limited 2013
Supply on demand Adapting to change in consumption and delivery models

     Q10
     What are the key risks or difficulties you would associate with implementing new delivery models?
     Select up to two.
     (% respondents)

     Organisational (lack of internal co-ordination)
                                                                                                                                          33
     Technical (too complex to integrate)
                                                                                                                                30
     Compliance (data privacy and protection issues)
                                                                                                                           27
     Financial (deferring up-front cash and revenue)
                                                                                                                     26
     Regulatory (industry-specific regulations)
                                                                                                        22
     Talent (skills shortage)
                                                                                18
     Lack of management commitment
                                                                  14
     Other
                                6
     Don’t know
             2

     In which country are you personally based?                                What is your primary industry?
     (% respondents)                                                           (% respondents)
     United States                                                             Financial services
                                                                        39                                                                19
     United Kingdom                                                            Professional services
                                                        31                                                                           16
     Australia                                                                 IT and technology
                                                       30                                                             11
                                                                               Healthcare, pharmaceuticals and biotechnology
                                                                                                             7
                                                                               Education
     Whom does your organisation sell to?                                                                6
     (% respondents)                                                           Manufacturing
                                                                                                         6
     Businesses
                                                                               Energy and natural resources
                                                                        48
                                                                                                    5
     Consumers
                                                                               Entertainment, media and publishing
                     11
                                                                                                    5
     Both
                                                                               Transportation, travel and tourism
                                                                 41
                                                                                                    5
                                                                               Construction and real estate
                                                                                               4
                                                                               Consumer goods
     What are your organisation’s global annual revenues                                   3
     in US dollars?                                                            Chemicals
     (% respondents)                                                                       3

     Less than $50m                                                            Government/Public sector
                                                                        28                 3

     $50 to $100m                                                              Logistics and distribution
                 4                                                                   2

     $100m to $500m                                                            Retailing
                                        14                                           2

     $500m to $1bn                                                             Telecoms
                          8                                                      1

     $1bn to $5bn                                                              Agriculture and agribusiness
                                                            23                   1

     $5bn to $10bn                                                             Automotive
                     6                                                           1

     $10bn or more
                                                  17

21   © The Economist Intelligence Unit Limited 2013
Supply on demand Adapting to change in consumption and delivery models

     Which of the following best describes your title?                 What are your main functional roles?
     (% respondents)                                                   Select all that apply.
                                                                       (% respondents)
     Board member
        3                                                              General management
                                                                                                                             46
     CEO/President/Managing director
                                                                41     Strategy and business development
                                                                                                                  35
     CFO/Treasurer/Comptroller
                 8                                                     Finance
                                                                                                             23
     CIO/Technology director
            4                                                          Marketing and sales
                                                                                                             23
     Other C-level executive
            4                                                          Operations and production
                                                                                                        18
     SVP/VP/Director
                                16                                     Customer service
                                                                                                   13
     Head of business unit
            4                                                          IT
                                                                                              11
     Head of department
            4                                                          Risk
                                                                                              11
     Manager
                               15                                      Information and research
                                                                                          9
                                                                       R&D
                                                                                      8
                                                                       Legal
                                                                                  5
                                                                       Human resources
                                                                              4
                                                                       Procurement
                                                                              4
                                                                       Supply-chain management
                                                                              4
                                                                       Other
                                                                        2

22   © The Economist Intelligence Unit Limited 2013
Supply on demand Adapting to change in consumption and delivery models

     Whilst every effort has been taken to verify the accuracy of this
     information, neither The Economist Intelligence Unit Ltd. nor the
     sponsor of this report can accept any responsibility or liability for
     reliance by any person on this report or any of the information,
     opinions or conclusions set out in the report.

23   © The Economist Intelligence Unit Limited 2013
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