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THE OSPREY
       The International Journal of Salmon and Steelhead Conservation

                                                    Issue No. 92        January 2019

 An In-Depth Look at the Thompson
     River Wild Steelhead Crisis

ALSO IN THIS ISSUE:
 WILD FISH CONSERVATION HITS AND MISSES
                                    • HATCHERY
STEELHEAD REPLACING DESCHUTES REDBANDS • CLIMATE
      CHANGE AND SKAGIT SPAWNING TRIBUTARIES
Contents                                THE OSPREY
    Columns & News
                                                                                   Chair
                                                                                Pete Soverel
                                                                                  Editor
    3    From the Perch — Editor’s Message                                    Jim Yuskavitch

                                                                        Editorial Committee
    4    Hits and Misses — Chair’s Corner
                                                                      Pete Soverel • Ryan Smith
                                                                      Greg Knox • Ralf Kroning
    5    Letters to the Editor                                       Bruce McNae • Rich Simms
                                                                         Scientific Advisors

    Features
    21   Fish Watch: Wild Fish News, Issues and Initiatives         Rick Williams • Jack Stanford
                                                                  Jim Lichatowich • Bill McMillan
                                                                     Bill Bakke • Michael Price

                                                                            Design & Layout
                                                                             Jim Yuskavitch
    6    Managing Thompson River Steelhead to Zero                     Letters To The Editor
                                                                The Osprey welcomes letters to the
         By Bob Hooton                                        editor. Article submissions are welcome
                                                               but queries in advance are preferred.
                                                                               The Osprey
12       A Changing Climate and Steelhead in Mid-Skagit
                                                                               69278 Lariat
         River Tributaries                                                 Sisters, OR 97759
                                                                          jyusk@bendcable.com
         By Bill McMillan                                                    (541) 549-8914

                                                               The Osprey is a joint publication of not-for-profit or-

    18   Hatchery Steelhead Replacing Wild Redbands on        ganizations concerned with the conservation and sus-
                                                              tainable management of wild Pacific salmon and
         Deschutes River Tributaries (and other problems)     steelhead and their habitat throughout their native
                                                              and introduced ranges. This unique partnership in-
         By Jim Yuskavitch                                    cludes The Conservation Angler, Fly Fishers Interna-
                                                              tional, Steelhead Society of British Columbia,
                                                              Skeena Wild, World Salmon Forum, Trout Unlim-
Cover Photo Courtesy NASA                                     ited and Wild Steelhead Coalition. Financial support
                                                              is provided by partner organizations, individuals, clubs
                                                              and corporations. The Osprey is published three times
Inset Photo by Jim Yuskavitch                                 a year in January, May and September. All materials
                                                              are copyrighted and require permission prior to
                                                              reprinting or other use.

                                                                      Steelhead Society of British Columbia

                                                                           The Osprey © 2019
                                                                            ISSN 2334-4075
2                                                                                          The Osprey
FROM THE PERCH — EDITOR’S MESSAGE

               Singing the Shutdown Blues
                                                    by Jim Yuskavitch

A
             s I write this column, it’s   come from our national parks. Camp-         being done in the forest with a reduced
             the 31st day of the partial   grounds are littered with garbage,          presence of Forest Service staff where
             government shutdown, set      overflowing restrooms and at least          firewood theft and poaching ESA-listed
             off, as we all know by now,   some people ignoring park rules that        bull trout are ongoing problems.
             by a political dispute over   help protect their fragile environments.       In addition, the shutdown has post-
whether or not to build a wall along the   Visitors have been spotted (and some-       poned wildfire-related work such as
US-Mexico border.                          times photographed) walking off board-      firefighter training and planning for
   And believe it or not, the shutdown     walks onto sensitive meadows in             prescribed burns to reduce fire danger
has even affected The Osprey, causing                                                  in western national forests. That could
a delay in some articles being turned in                                               translate into bigger, harder-to-extin-
because authors affiliated with shut-                                                  guish fires this summer with poten-
tered federal agencies were among the           Even The Osprey                        tially severe consequences for wild fish
approximately 800,000 furloughed                                                       and fish habitat.
workers or the peer-review process
                                                wasn’t spared the                        At least for now, I’ve not heard of any
held up.
  While The Osprey is often critical of
                                                 negative impact                       direct damage being done to wild Pa-
                                                                                       cific salmon and steelhead fisheries be-
government management of our wild
Pacific salmon and steelhead, many of
                                                of the government                      cause of the shutdown, but when
                                                                                       agencies such as NOAA and the US Fish
our authors are government scientists,              shutdown.                          and Wildlife Service are closed or sev-
and many of the ideas for stories origi-                                               erly cut back, it doesn’t help any. Nei-
nate in federally-funded research.                                                     ther does it help when agencies like the
  And even though conservationists and                                                 US Forest Service and Bureau of Land
wild fish advocates have many con-         Yosemite National Park and letting          Management that play important roles
cerns and disagreements with govern-       their dogs run free with wildlife at Yel-   in managing and restoring wild fish
ment oversight of natural resources,       lowstone. Perhaps the most disturbing       habitat are in the same boat. But if the
neverthelesss, the shutdown has also       reports come from Joshua Tree Na-           shutdown is reinstated, we will surely
highlighted how important agencies         tional Park where people have driven        see more repercussions for our wild
such as the National Oceanic and At-       their off-road vehicles across the          fish resources.
mospheric Administration, US Fish and      desert, churning up the fragile soil, and      There wasn’t much wild fish advo-
Wildlife Service, US Forest Service, Bu-   at least one incident of someone knock-     cates could do to change the situation.
reau of Land Management, National          ing down an ancient Joshua Tree. In         But as we work to move the natural re-
Park Service and Environmental Pro-        some cases, environmental damage            source agencies to better and more ef-
tection Agency are to the nation’s pub-    perpetrated during the shutdown may         fective wild fish conservation and
licly-owned fish, wildlife, water and      take decades or longer to recover — if      recovery policies, we also need to rec-
land.                                      ever.                                       ognize the key role they play to eventu-
  Perhaps the most disturbing stories of     Here in central Oregon where I live,      ally reach those goals.
the negative impacts of the shutdown       who knows what kinds of damage is

               How The Osprey Helps Wild Fish
  The Osprey has been bringing the lat-                                                  So when you subscribe/donate to The
est science, policy, opinion and news                                                  Osprey, you not only receive a subscrip-
stories to its readers supporting wild
Pacific salmon and steelhead conserva-
                                           Sending The Osprey to                       tion yourself, but you also help us put
                                                                                       The Osprey into the hands of the people
tion and management for 31 years. But        decision makers is                        we need bring to our side to save our
we are much more than a publication                                                    wild fish.
that you subscribe to because of your        key to our wild fish                        Please go to the subscription/donation
own interest in wild fish conservation.                                                form on page 23 or on-line at
The funds we receive from our sub-         conservation advocacy.                      http://www.theconservationangler.com
scribers allows us send The Osprey to                                                  and donate whatever you are able.
wild fish conservation decision-makers      Your support makes                         Thank you.
and influencers including scientists,
fisheries managers, politicians and wild        that possible.                                          Jim Yuskavitch
fish advocates.                                                                                         Editor, The Osprey

January 2019 • Issue No. 92                                                                                                   3
HITS & MISSES — CHAIR’S CORNER

            Net Pens Out, Salmon Wasted
                                                      By Pete Soverel

I
       n this and future issues of The      ery. Indeed, Idaho had authorized ille-     gered Species Act for two decades.
       Osprey, I will briefly touch on      gal fisheries each year since 2010.         Over that period, stocks have continued
       concurrent successes and fail-       Under this threat, ID F&G came to their     to decline towards extinction in spite of
       ures regarding wild steelhead        senses and agreed to a series of conser-    legal, ESA requirements that manage-
       and salmon management. Sadly,        vation measures and submitted a fish-       ment agencies must adopt programs
setbacks typically outweigh progress,       ing plan to the National Oceanic and        and practices to promote their recov-
in large part because management            Atmospheric Administration. But the         ery. Declines in some stocks such as
agencies remain wedded to policies and      plan they submitted is more or less         Snake River wild B-run summer steel-
practices that not only haven’t worked,     identical to the last one it submitted in   head and Willamette winter run steel-
but have been demonstrably counter-         2010. In our view, this plan is deeply      head have been dramatic. For example,
productive. This general observation is     flawed and should not be approved by        wild Willamette winter steelhead re-
particularly true regarding hatchery        NOAA without a full-scale federal envi-     turns have plummeted from about
and harvest practices over which man-       ronment review. After all the proof is in   11,000 to 800-900 in the past ten years
agement agencies have direct control        the pudding — wild Idaho steelhead are      or so.
yet persist with actions that, based        heading for extinction. In any case, the      Similarly, dire conditions apply to in-
upon observable results, are positively     conservation coalition has changed the      terior Fraser River steelhead stocks
counter-productive and harmful.             terms of debate in Idaho. It will no        with current runs to the Thompson and
                                            longer be business as usual.                Chilcoltin rivers totaling less than 200
              HITS                          Selective Harvest
                                                                                        fish. Response of the Canadian Depart-
                                                                                        ment of Fisheries and Oceans, Provin-
                                                                                        cial authorities and tribal managers is
Atlantic Salmon Net Pen Phase Out             Washington has approved a commer-         nothing, just business as usual. Even
                                            cial demonstration project of a pound       more shocking, the reported First Na-
  Washington State decides to phase out     net in the lower Columbia (see page 21      tion landings of steelhead is one. Let me
all open water Atlantic salmon net pens     for more information on this exciting,      repeat that — one. This doesn’t even
by 2025 as current aquaculture com-         innovative harvest methodology).            begin to pass the laugh test.
pany leases expire and will not be re-                                                    Many FN fisheries are completely un-
newed. This is huge and leaves British
Columbia as the only remaining mis-                    MISSES                           monitored by federal, provincial or
                                                                                        tribal enforcement personnel. Check
guided authority permitting these envi-                                                 out these photos of a typical fish waste
ronmental disasters to continue. Even       Failure to Protect Wild Salmon and          incident. Contrary to official Depart-
in BC, under pressure from First Na-        Steelhead                                   ment of Fisheries and Oceans and First
tions and local advocates, Broughton                                                    Nations statements that the fish are col-
Archipelago net pens will be closed           The biggest miss is the on-going and      lected, they are not. No DFO or FN en-
over the next five years.                   complete failure of responsible man-        forcement folks show up, but FN folks
                                            agement agencies to protect wild            try to minimize the impact by throwing
Columbia and Snake Rivers Wild Steel-       salmon and steelhead stocks through-
head Conservation                           out their American and Canadian
                                            ranges. Especially shocking are the sta-
  Faced with the lowest projected wild      tus of stocks in the most productive sys-
steelhead returns, especially Snake         tems — Sacramento, Columbia/Snake,
River B-runs, Washington and Oregon         Fraser, Dean and Skeena. For example,
fish and wildlife commissions estab-        Columbia basin wild salmon and steel-
lished a set of coldwater refugia on the    head are in grave trouble, with many
lower Columbia River, where there are       stocks facing high risk of near-term ex-
in-flows of cold water, to protect mi-      tirpation and hundreds of locally
grating fish that congregate in those lo-   adapted stocks already extinct because
cations. Idaho declined to enact any        their migration corridors are blocked
conservation measure to protect histor-     by high, impassable dams. In aggre-
ically meager wild steelhead runs,          gate, current wild Columbia salmon and
which prompted a coalition of conser-       steelhead populations are no more than
vation organizations to sue because the     about 1% and more likely about .25 of       Here’s one the First Nations monitors
Idaho Department of Fish and Game           1% of historic abundance. All surviving     missed. Photo courtesy Symon Kirchner
did not have Endangered Species Act         stocks have been listed as threatened or
permits to conduct any steelhead fish-      endangered under the federal Endan-                                Continued on next page
4                                                                                                                    The Osprey
Continued from previous page                  Over the next several issues, The Os-
                                            prey will feature issues related to
the wasted fish into the river.             US/Canadian tribal/First Nations fish-
  These fish are all males. The females     eries: how they are authorized; alloca-
have been stripped for their roe while      tions fixed; monitored; enforced and;
males are simply discarded. Want            conservation issues related to double
more?                                       dipping — tribal fishers who fish in
                                                               commercial open-
                                                               ers, tribal openers,
                                                               subsistence openers
                                                               and so on. The first
                                                               of that series is by
                                                               Bob Hooton ad-
                                                               dressing Thompson
                                                               River steelhead be-
                                                               ginning on page 6.

                                                               Pete    Soverel  is
                                                               Chair of The Osprey
                                                               Management Com-
                                                               mittee, and Presi-
                                                                                        Male salmon discarded along the Fraser
                                                               dent and Founder of
                                                                                        River, British Columbia. Photo courtesy
Male salmon left to rot along the Fraser River, British Colum- The Conservation         Symon Kirchner
bia. Photo courtesy Symon Kirchner                             Angler.

                                     LETTERS TO THE EDITOR
                                                      My Heart Leaped

Dear Editor:

  My heart leaped up when I beheld the lovely new magazine named The Osprey in beautiful black and white with the fine fish-
hunting hawk in what looked to me as an osprey in dive, not on a salmonid but on fish opinion of the world.
  Each article, especially Jack Stanford and Rick Williams' The Efficacy and Role of Hatcheries in Securing the Future of Pacific
Rim Wild Salmon, expressed The Osprey's long, long effort to bring facts, bring science to the many stubbornly ignorant who
still have control of managing salmonids in this part of the world. It has been a long, hard slog on the part of The Osprey man-
agers and editors. A slog that has to continue so long as salmonids swim and struggle to replicate their kinds.
  I say bravo to editor Jim Yuskavitch for his excellent work and bravo to Chair Pete Soverel for foresight, efforts and skills in
uplifting and maintaining The Osprey. If I may I also give kudos to John Sager, who eons ago struggled with the then primitive
computers and my rush-rush editorial efforts to get the newsletter known as The Osprey out to hands waiting for science about
the destinies of the fish who honor us with their presences.

Jack de Yonge
New Jersey

Editor’s Note: Jack de Yonge was a long-time member of the Steelhead Committee and editor of The Osprey from 1990 to 1993.

                                                     Making a Difference

 Dear Editor:

  I wish to thank you on your article by Jack Stanford and Rick Williams (The Efficacy and Role of Hatcheries in Securing the
Future of Pacific Rim Wild Salmon, September 2018). It clarified my thoughts on hatcheries. I was very pleased as it answered
my many questions I have had over the years concerning hatcheries. When one has an animal that is so predictable as salmon,
why screw it up? Watching those minnows swim round and round in a tank, it is amazing to me that they find their way home at
all. I have said to myself while watching them, good bye to biodiversity. I certainly hope that your international journal will
help make a difference.

Mike Harris
Comox, British Columbia

January 2019 • Issue No. 92                                                                                                     5
Managing Thompson River Steelhead to Zero
    An in-depth look at a legendary river’s wild steelhead crisis
                                                      By Robert Hooton

R
             eaders of The Osprey are         smaller than the southern resident orca      ferred stretch of the river around the
             no doubt aware there has         population but how many people have          confluence of its major tributary, the
             been a steadily developing       ever heard of those steelhead? The only      Nicola River, was ruled out of bounds
             conservation crisis with re-     fish left to fight for are the Thompson’s.   for fishing from a boat decades ago.
             spect to British Columbia’s      For perspective, consider a comment             The TRS fishery does not have any-
revered Thompson River steelhead              by a retired professional colleague          where near the longevity of other leg-
(TRS). The evolution of issues and            upon receiving the most recent status        endary fisheries such as those of
processes surrounding those fish and          report on TRS. “J---- C-----, there are      several California streams, Oregon’s
their status is difficult to stay abreast     more people on the distribution list than    Umpqua and Deschutes rivers , Wash-
of but it’s worth a snapshot circa late       there are steelhead!”                        ington’s Skagit or Idaho’s Clearwater. It
2018 nonetheless.                                                                          only emerged on the angling scene
   I suspect an early question that will      Some Background                              after the Second World War and the im-
surface among readers of these com-                                                        provements in road access through the
ments is why would a little-known, free-        TRS are not just a unique stock among      Fraser Canyon and beyond. By then the
lance, long retired government                the 450 or more separately identifiable      Thompson’s steelhead had already been
fisheries biologist sound off in an                                                        subjected to 75 years of commercial
American based conservation oriented                                                       fishing by fleet sizes that dwarf those
publication on a Canadian issue? Two                                                       of the present. Seasons bracketed the
answers – first, there is no similar pub-         Thompson River                           entire spawner immigration timing as
lication north of the 49th parallel with                                                   well as the kelt emigration period. The
anywhere near the reach of The Osprey.
                                                  steelhead are an                         only things that ever constrained com-
Second, Thompson River steelhead are
an international treasure. They know no
                                               international treasure.                     mercial gill netting of the mainstem
                                                                                           Fraser all through its tidal reaches in
borders. The anglers who have experi-
enced them are brothers and sisters of
                                                  Anglers who have                         those years was winter ice and the de-
                                                                                           bris that accompanied headwaters
a common mother. To a one they are
deeply concerned this one of a kind
                                                experienced them are                       snowmelt in spring.
                                                                                             It wasn’t until the late 1970s that the
steelhead population is on the brink of         deeply concerned they                      first attempts to establish steelhead
extirpation. Canadian politicians seem                                                     abundance commenced. The estimates
oblivious to that fact. They need to be        will soon be extirpated.                    from that point forward are best illus-
educated and held accountable for their                                                    trated by material developed by the
negligence and dereliction of duty. The                                                    provincial steelhead management biol-
more I can do to educate the broadest         stocks in British Columbia. That habit-      ogists.
possible constituency in the hope that        ually applied word falls well short of         The low point in Figure 1 represents
enough pressure can be brought to bear        recognizing the stature of these fish.       the final number of steelhead (150) es-
to actually do something to arrest the        They are big, they have a long known         timated to have made it to spawning in
demise of those fish, the better I will       genetic make-up that imparts superior        the spring of 2018. Clearly that is the
sleep.                                        swimming performance (i.e. they com-         all time low. The prediction for 2019 is
  I should clarify right at the outset that   monly fight like hell) and they arrive in    only marginally higher.
TRS are one of a group of steelhead, in-      a river with enough volume and gradi-          The three zones identifying spawner
cluding Thompson, Chilcotin, Nahat-           ent during the season when water tem-        populations theoretically required to
latch, Bridge, Seton and Stein,               perature optimizes aggressiveness.           meet abundance levels that would ac-
originating from tributaries of the mid-      Together these are the attributes that       commodate different sport fishing
dle reaches of the Fraser River up-           underlie those frequent numerous ac-         management regulations. Those zones
stream from Boston Bar (about 150             counts of epic angling encounters. Road      and the theory behind them are de-
miles upstream from Vancouver). This          access, accommodation and services           scribed in a 2016 document titled
group is identified as Interior Fraser        immediately at hand and all within a         “Provincial Framework for Steelhead
Steelhead (IFS) on the basis of common        day trip of Vancouver — where else has       Management in BC”. For those who are
genetics. The focus on the Thompson           such a combination of features been so       interested in reviewing that frame-
here and now is because the other IFS         readily available in modern times? It        work, it can be found at:
stocks have been so depressed for so          helps that the river is classified, guid-    http://www.env.gov.bc.ca/fw/fish/docs/P
long they have disappeared from the           ing is forbidden and boats have been a       rovincial-Framework-for-Steelhead-
steelhead landscape. The Chilcotin            relatively minor feature of the fishery      Management-in-BC-April-2016.pdf
River stock, for example, is now              for most of its history. The most pre-                              Continued on next page

6                                                                                                                       The Osprey
Continued from previous page                                                           recover when less than half of such a
                                                                                       pathetically low escapement goal is
                                                                                       being realized. Such a number obvi-
                                                                                       ously fails to accommodate any sport
                                                                                       fishery. It also implies that if by some
                                                                                       stoke of luck the stock ever did recover
                                                                                       to that level or anything beyond, it
                                                                                       would be entirely acceptable to fish the
                                                                                       stock right back down to that level.
                                                                                         As we will see below, the people who
                                                                                       prepared and signed off on the steel-
                                                                                       head management framework have vir-
                                                                                       tually no ability to move Thompson
                                                                                       River steelhead out of the extreme con-
                                                                                       servation concern zone. That is not a re-
                                                                                       flection on their commitment or
                                                                                       dedication but merely a statement on
                                                                                       the political realities of the times.

                                                                                       Jurisdictions

                                                                                        Multiple jurisdictions with competing
                                                                                       mandates and objectives are never a
                                                                                       recipe for effective resource manage-

Figure 1. The estimated pre-fishery abundance of Thompson and Chilcotin steelhead
                                                                                       ment. Any British Columbia steelhead

from the time provincial government biologists first began concerted efforts to make
                                                                                       that approaches fresh water in times

those estimates to the present. Thompson steelhead contribute roughly 75% of
                                                                                       and places where commercial and First

these numbers. Source: Ministry of Forests, Lands, Natural Resource Operations
                                                                                       Nation (FN) fisheries are prevalent

and Rural Development.
                                                                                       face major obstacles in that respect.

Figure 2. Thompson River steelhead spawner abundance. Source: Ministry of Forests, Lands, Natural Resource Operations
and Rural Development.
  Stated simply and in the context of the spawners are distributed perfectly over
                                                                                  The federal government’s Department
status of Thompson River steelhead, all the total available steelhead-producing
                                                                                  of Fisheries and Oceans (DFO) has do-
a person needs to know is the threshold habitat. What are those odds? If you’re
                                                                                  main over all recreational, commercial
for falling into that “extreme conserva- like me, you’ll probably wonder why a
                                                                                  and FN fisheries in both marine and
tion concern zone” is the stock is at less river system whose stock specific Chi-
                                                                                  freshwater environments. However, ad-
than 10% of the abundance needed to nook and sockeye salmon escapement
                                                                                  ministration of the freshwater recre-
seed the steelhead producing habitat of targets number in the thousands and
                                                                                  ational fishery has been delegated to
its river of origin. Moreover, that is tens of thousands (even hundreds of
                                                                                  the Province of British Columbia. On
only in a perfect world where the ratio thousands in the case of Adams River
of males to females is optimal and the sockeye), respectively, is expected to
                                                                                                              Continued on next page

January 2019 • Issue No. 92                                                                                                       7
Continued from previous page                   an era where we are compelled to have         the Pacific Salmon Commission (PSC)
                                               “free and informed prior consent” for         have provided all the necessary back-
surface that would appear manageable.          any resource management decisions             ground to understand when and where
It isn’t and it is getting worse in that re-   perceived to impact First Nations. In         TRS steelhead are encountered. The
spect.                                         the context of managing fisheries that        PSC test fishing sites are located on the
  Within the provincial government hi-         influence the status of Thompson River        following maps. The DFO sites are
erarchy there are now multiple min-            steelhead, this manifests itself in DFO       fewer but also cover Johnstone Strait
istries (the provincial analogue of US         being compelled to consult and negoti-        and the lower Fraser River. The stan-
federal departments) with a stake in the       ate any fishery that might have bearing       dard method of estimating the in-sea-
future of TRS. The ministry most peo-          on those fish. Between DFO’s chronic          son abundance of TRS for at least the
ple assume is in charge is Forests,            negligence and denial with respect to         last 30 years is the chum test fishery
Lands, Natural Resource Operations             the influence of fisheries under its ju-      that DFO runs at Albion, at essentially
and Rural Development (FLNRORD).               risdiction on steelhead and the large         the same location as Whonnock on the
(How’s that title for emasculating fish-       number of individual FNs spread along         maps on the following page.
eries management?) In fact, it is an-          the TRS migration corridor, such a sys-         Management of the fisheries that im-
other Ministry (Agriculture) that              tem cannot possibly reduce pressure on        pact TRS most has nothing to do with
assumes the lead role. That relates to         those fish.                                   their abundance. Despite their status as
the Agriculture people being the licens-                                                     endangered and recommended for list-
ing and marketing agency for the com-                                                        ing under Canada’s Species At Risk Act,
mercial fish processing industry and its                                                     not a single fishery under the jurisdic-
products, including farmed Atlantic              DFO’s denial of the                         tion of DFO and known to impact those
                                                                                             steelhead has ever been adjusted ac-
salmon. When steelhead run timing
overlaps that of commercially targeted               influence of                            cordingly. Talk yes, adjustments no.
species like sockeye and chum salmon,                                                        The only fisheries that are ever man-
and pressure is brought to bear on DFO          commercial and First                         aged according to anticipated abun-
for announcing commercial and First                                                          dance of target species are those
Nations net fishery openings that obvi-           Nations fisheries                          focused on chum and sockeye salmon.
ously impact Thompson fish, the only                                                         International treaties force that ap-
provincial voice ever heard by DFO             cannot reduce pressure                        proach for sockeye while the price of
comes from the Agriculture people.                                                           chum roe is the primary driver of the
Complicating the picture is the pres-            on Thompson River                           latter. These remarks speak only to the
                                                                                             commercial fishery interception of
ence of two other provincial ministries
— Aboriginal Affairs and Reconcilia-
                                                      steelhead.                             steelhead. The other fishery of greater
tion and Environment. The former’s                                                           significance today is the First Nations
title speaks to its mandate. The latter is                                                   fishery that occurs everywhere from
supposed to address environmental is-          Management                                    the mouth of the Fraser and all along
sues but also compliance and enforce-                                                        the migration corridor of TRS, all the
ment. Conservation Officers who at one            No one can influence the number of         way to Kamloops Lake. Keep in mind
time dealt almost exclusively with fish-       Thompson bound steelhead departing            there are also FNs fishing with either
ing and hunting now spend very little          central North Pacific pastures. Our in-       owned or contracted vessels that par-
time on these traditional activities.          tervention begins when they enter the         take of regular commercial fisheries in
   Both federal and provincial govern-         south coast waters of BC and must pass        tidal waters, both near shore and
ments espouse the gospel of the United         through seine and gill net fleets. The        through the tidal areas of the lower
Nations Declaration of the Rights of In-       fish have two possible migration corri-       Fraser itself. There is also a docu-
digenous People and trumpet the word           dors to Mother Fraser. One is down the        mented fishery by FN anglers targeting
reconciliation at every opportunity. Un-       outside of Vancouver Island and around        TRS in the Thompson River itself in the
derlying all of that is the Canadian Con-      its southern tip, through Juan de Fuca        winter months.
stitution Act (1982) that affirmed and         Strait and into the river. The other is in-      Whereas the textbook description of
recognized the rights of aboriginal peo-       side down through Johnstone Strait (see       fisheries management implies knowl-
ple and laid the foundation for the ex-        map). In earlier years the split between      edge of target species abundance, har-
isting order of priority in terms of           inside and outside routes was important       vest safely available, a system of
fisheries management, namely, 1) con-          because mixed stock net fisheries off         administering and quantifying harvest
servation, 2) food, social and ceremo-         Nitinat (near the entrance to Juan de         and adequate monitoring of compliance
nial use by First Nations and 3)               Fuca Strait) intercepted Thompson             to ensure harvest is not exceeded, that
commercial and recreational fisheries.         bound fish. More recently those nets          is clearly not the case for steelhead.
The net effect is steelhead simply do          have been moved inshore and presently         Last year was a prime example. There
not warrant anything other than lip            do not appear to impact TRS. The other        were exactly two steelhead encoun-
service from either federal or provin-         fisheries, the Johnstone Strait gill net      tered by DFO’s Albion test fishery be-
cial governments.                              and seine fisheries are much more             tween October 1 and its termination on
   The emergence of a third and equal          problematic. When unleashed by DFO            November 23. Alarm bells were ringing
level of government, First Nations, has        to harvest late returning sockeye             loudly for three weeks before that. Yet,
become an integral component of life in        salmon and, immediately thereafter,           DFO called multiple seine and gill net
Canada. Between our constitutional ob-         chum salmon, TRS are exposed.                 openings in Johnstone Strait and fur-
ligations and multiple court decisions            Genetics work and salmon focused           ther south before and since. Worse still,
pursuant to them we find ourselves in          test fisheries conducted by DFO and
                                                                                                                    Continued on next page
8                                                                                                                         The Osprey
records are embarrassing.
                                                                                                    For example, the published
                                                                                                    DFO tally of FN territory by
                                                                                                    territory, week by week har-
                                                                                                    vest of steelhead between the
                                                                                                    mouth of the Fraser and the
                                                                                                    lower Fraser Canyon (~115
                                                                                                    miles) over the entire period
                                                                                                    when interior bound steel-
                                                                                                    head would be expected to be
                                                                                                    present      (September      1
                                                                                                    through early November)
                                                                                                    over the past four years is
                                                                                                    two fish (one in 2018 and one
                                                                                                    in 2016). There are no
                                                                                                    records whatsoever for the
                                                                                                    substantial FN fisheries that
                                                                                                    occur anywhere upstream,
                                                                                                    nor is there any acknowl-
                                                                                                    edgement of that previously
                                                                                                    mentioned harvest of TRS by
                                                                                                    FN anglers who fish the
                                                                                                    Thompson in winter. Square
                                                                                                    that with DFO’s records of
                                                                                                    steelhead caught by its Al-
                                                                                                    bion chum test fishery. In
                                                                                                    making two sets per day (one
                                                                                                    hour each), often only on al-
                                                                                                    ternate days the single test
                                                                                                    fishery net caught 28 steel-
                                                                                                    head in that same period.
                                                                                                       The reported commercial
                                                                                                    catch of steelhead is no bet-
                                                                                                    ter. Commercial fishers
                                                                                                    learned long ago that ac-
                                                                                                    knowledgement of actual
                                                                                                    steelhead catch could never
                                                                                                    be to their benefit. DFO is
                                                                                                    fully aware of the deficien-
                                                                                                    cies of their published catch
                                                                                                    data but has never footnoted
                                                                                                    or qualified its own numbers.
                                                                                                    Over time, they are inter-

Source: Pacific Salmon Commission
                                                                                                    preted and applied as iron-
                                                                                                    clad evidence of no problem
                                            dealt with successfully. There are mul-     by those whose interest is not served by
                                            tiple eye witness descriptions and an       disclosure or conservation. Alaska fig-
Continued from previous page
                                            abundance of photographic and video         ured it out many years ago when the in-
the legally sanctioned FN fisheries         evidence of FN net fisheries accounting     terception of Skeena origin steelhead
which were mandated as beach seines         for large numbers of salmon, often-         by its net fleets in Districts 104 and 106
only (because they are deemed to be         times with nothing more taken than the      (Southeast Alaska) was brought to light.
“selective”) all through the late return-   roe from chums. These accounts typi-        They made that issue disappear quickly
ing Adams River sockeye run timing          cally elicit expressions of righteous in-   with the simple measure of forbidding
were promptly replaced by gill net fish-    dignation from FN leaders and               the landing and retention of steelhead.
eries targeting chum salmon as soon as      commitments to deal with transgres-         No data equals no problem.
the sockeye were thought to be past.        sors. No one seems able to provide evi-        In terms of summarizing fisheries
The fact that the chum and steelhead        dence that ever happens or that the         management and how it is prosecuted
run timing overlap never enters the         frequency of incidents has diminished.      in relation to TRS (and, in fact, steel-
consciousness of the people who control     The politics involved preclude the in-      head in general), the description is
those fisheries.                            tervention of DFO enforcement offi-         quite simple: The recreational fishery
  The legal FN fisheries are only part      cers     as    anything    more     than    in times and places where TRS are
of the story of the impact of their fish-   messengers.                                 likely to be encountered has been
eries on TRS. Beyond DFO authorized           In terms of quantifying the impact of     closed since 2017. For many years be-
fisheries there is a very obvious un-       any of the net fisheries on TRS (or any     fore that the Thompson itself was reg-
sanctioned fishery that no one has ever     others in British Columbia) the formal
                                                                                                               Continued on next page
January 2019 • Issue No. 92                                                                                                        9
Continued from previous page                                                              the stock. These stocks are sub-

Level of control exercised by managers and fishery that influences abundance of however, and that has much to do
                                                                                          ject to fishing mortality at sea,

Thompson River steelhead                                                                  with declines in the number of
                                                                                          fish that reach age 4 to 6.
Variable                  Commercial              First Nations            Recreational clining age at spawning because
                                                                                          Whereas TRS do not display de-

Harvest Management Low                            Nil                      High
                                                                                          they don’t get harvested by com-
                                                                                          mercial fisheries to the same ex-

Catch Accounting          Low                     Nil                      Moderate
                                                                                          tent as Alaska Chinook they do
                                                                                          exhibit declining size at age.
                                                                                            The other steadily accumulat-
Enforcement               Nil                     Nil                      High
                                                                                          ing evidence of problems at sea
                                                                                          concerns the potential overload-

Source: Robert Hooton
                                                                                          ing of the entire north Pacific
                                                                                          and Gulf of Alaska ecosystem
                                                                                          with hatchery origin chum and
ulated on a single barbless hook, artifi- less than 1 in the past 2 years.          pink salmon. Alaska’s ocean ranching
cial lure only, catch and release basis.    The age composition of TRS has not proponents are no small part of that
No credible case can be made that fish- changed, so the decline in maximum problem but Japan’s chum hatcheries
ery has had any impact on TRS returns size can only be related to growth at are an even bigger issue. A ten-fold in-
over that period and more. The recre- sea. This is a mirror image of wild Chi- crease in hatchery chum output over
ational fishers swallowed the bitter pill nook stocks along the Pacific coast. In the period of record has been shown to
of closure because DFO contended they Southeast Alaska there is a long-term influence the primary food items avail-
could not restrict the FN fisheries if data set on wild fish originating from a able to both Chinook and steelhead. The
any recreational fishery remained large number of streams whose habitat ultimate link to TRS occurs when the
open. Given the extent of the sanc- is unaltered over the period of record. returns of enhanced Japanese chum
tioned and unsanctioned fisheries the The pattern of declining size at age is fail, as they did in 2018, driving the de-
FN community has been conducting on also common there. Commensurate mand for chum roe from this side of the
the Fraser River this year, one can only with that there has been a major reduc- Pacific upward. The commensurate
ask how DFO passes the red face test tion in the age composition of female rise in price of that luxury product en-
for conservation after the recreational spawners. Formerly dominant 4 to 6 courages ever more targeting of ma-
fishers, the least impactful by far, have
voluntarily stopped fishing.

Anecdotal Observations

     Thompson River steelhead are
renowned for their size, as indicated
previously. They are also on the high
end of the fecundity spectrum. That has
been a large part of the rationale for
such low thresholds for the aforemen-
tioned zones of conservation concern
and extreme conservation concern.
There is a very important pattern evi-
dent, however. The maximum size of
TRS has been on a downward trend for
the past 40 years. From those trophy
winning weights in the high 20-pound
class and frequently breaking 30
pounds up until 1978, the maximum size
has dropped steadily to range between
the high teens and low 20s since about
1990. In fact the weight of the largest
steelhead sampled by the provincial bi-   A close up of the annual Thompson River steelhead trophy derby winners of yester-
ologists since 1990 was about 25 pounds   year and the weights of their winning fish. Those are the kinds of steelhead the Thomp-
and there have been only four other       son once produced. Photo by Robert Hooton.
years since then where the largest fish
recorded reached 22 pounds. None of                                                   ture chums for nothing more than their
the fish sampled in the last four years   year olds have been replaced by 3 year      eggs. The most concentrated fishery
exceeded 20 pounds. Predictably, there    olds whose fecundity and average egg        for those chums occurs in the estuaries
has been a corresponding decline in the   size translates to escapement require-      and rivers of southwestern BC. When
number of recruits per spawner, from      ments far in excess of what they were       there are 150 TRS migrating through
between 9 and 13 in the mid-1980s to      given the original age composition of                               Continued on next page
10                                                                                                                  The Osprey
Continued from previous page

the same waters as a million chum
salmon (the DFO forecast for south
coast chum salmon in 2018) the addic-
tion to the lucrative chum roe fishery
trumps conservation.
  The point in raising declining size at
age of TRS is to emphasize the impor-
tance of increasing escapement, not
just to previously calculated thresh-
olds, but to levels well beyond to offset
the negative influence smaller and
fewer eggs on recruitment of smolts
and, eventually, adults. Given the point
on the stock recruitment curve TRS are
at, the only logical method of improving
their status is reducing harvest to en-
sure the fish that do begin a homeward
journey from their ocean feeding
grounds arrive on redds.
   The other instructive piece of data
that I see no evidence has ever been
considered in debates around manage-
able factors influencing the number of

                                            Source: Coquihalla River snorkel survey, Ministry of Forests, Lands, Natural Re-
TRS making it home is the annual

                                            source Operations and Rural Development
counts of summer steelhead in the Co-
quihalla River, a coastal summer steel-
head tributary of the Fraser about 100      Processes                                  them — as endangered.
miles east of Vancouver. To those who                                                    The ultimate decision will not rest on
contend seals are responsible for popu-        The one big lesson we should have       the worth of Thompson River steelhead
lation declines because they eat all the    learned by now it is that process is       as an angling treasure or on their sym-
smolts and/or that ocean productivity,      never an answer. It would take no small    bol as the canary in the coal mine. In-
not nets is the limiting factor, I say      book to list the number of government      stead, it will almost certainly center on
please explain the figure on this page.     and non-government sponsored groups,       the sheer economics of conservation. If
   Coquihalla smolts exit the Fraser at     organizations, societies, associations,    one wades through the plethora of ma-
the same time and via the same route as     councils, alliances, secretariats, etc.    terial DFO has put in circulation, the
TRS smolts. Logically, they occupy the      that have engaged in many dozens at        only conclusion likely is the cost-bene-
same ocean at the same time and travel      least of meetings, symposiums, sum-        fit of conserving TRS is daunting. Sig-
the same migration routes on their re-      mits, conferences, or whatever, all with   nificantly constraining, much less
turn. The argument that the TRS habi-       the intent of conserving Thompson          ending, lucrative commercial and First
tat has been seriously compromised          River steelhead. I challenge anyone in-    Nations fisheries for the sake of 150
doesn’t hold up either. The Coquihalla      volved in any of those processes to pro-   steelhead whose only supporters are a
has suffered far more habitat abuse         duce evidence a single TRS has been        bunch of anglers who can’t get on the
than any part of the Thompson. Fur-         saved as a result. Even a submission by    same page and have taken themselves
thermore, the steelhead producing area      the University of Victoria’s Environ-      out of the equation by agreeing to cease
of the Coquihalla is a tiny fraction of     mental Law Center on behalf of BC’s        fishing, is a pretty unlikely outcome.
the Thompson’s. The only difference         largest fish and wildlife advocacy or-
between the two stocks is the Coqui-        ganization, the BC Wildlife Federation,
halla fish travel through BC coastal wa-    to Canada’s Auditor General requesting
ters and the lower Fraser before the net    an examination of Canada’s failure to
fisheries for salmon are underway.          protect endangered Pacific salmon and      Robert Hooton retired as supervisor of
They enter the Fraser during runoff         steelhead under its own Species at Risk    the Fish and Wildlife Section for the
when high water and debris limit FN         Act (SARA) has gone unanswered for         British Columbia Ministry of Environ-
fisheries even if there was enough          more than seven months.                    ment’s Vancouver Island Regional Of-
early returning Chinook salmon left to        The future of TRS rests with the ulti-   fice in 2008.
invite netting effort at that time.         mate process now unfolding. That is the
Whereas we have no hope of influenc-        DFO facilitated public consultation on
ing ocean rearing conditions and little     the recommendation of Canada’s desig-
prospect of harvesting enough pin-          nated science community experts
nipeds to make any difference (even if      (COSEWIC) to proceed with the SARA
they were proven to be a problem for        listing of the stock group, Interior
TRS) we can exercise full control over      Fraser Steelhead, which Thompson
nets if we are serious about conserva-      River steelhead dominate — all 150 of
tion.
January 2019 • Issue No. 92                                                                                                  11
A Changing Climate and Steelhead
 The race for survival in Washington’s mid-Skagit tributaries
                                                     By Bill McMillan

A
              fter ten years of conduct-    tively long list of people responsible for   sions from the observations made. It
              ing independent spawning      Skagit Basin fisheries management,           also coincided with weather and stream
              surveys at five mid-Skagit    and to those known to otherwise have         flow conditions that may provide a
              River Basin tributary         interests in Skagit Basin steelhead and      glimpse of what the increasing effects
              creeks    in   Washington     what recovery progress may, or may           of climate change will result in the com-
State, several salmon and steelhead         not, be occurring. The report provides       ing 10 to 50 years and the challenges
spawning year proved particularly re-       a discussion of what was found in the        that will confront fisheries managers
vealing for steelhead. The findings         spring of 2015 and what the implica-         for effective wild steelhead recovery.
suggest that while a warming climate        tions for the steelhead future may be          As one example, I recorded precipita-
may increase steelhead spawning mor-        for similar steelhead spawning streams       tion with a rain gage near the mouth of
tality in Washington State’s Skagit         in the Skagit Basin.                         Savage Creek’s entry to the mid-Skagit
River tributaries, natural selection may      Since 2015 the wild steelhead spawn-       River beginning in the fall of 2001. The
also increase overall survival by select-   ing returns to Finney and O’Toole            average rainfall in that time for the
ing for earlier spawning fish, especially   creeks have continued to greatly in-         April/May period was 10.456” but in
as the Washington Department of Fish        crease, more modestly increased at           2015 was 6.885”, only 66% of the aver-
and Wildlife phases out planting of                                                      age. May’s rainfall was only 1.4” in
hatchery fish.                                                                           2015 compared to an average of 4.216”,
  From the first fall rains with salmon       Findings suggest that                      33% of average and the lowest rainfall
entry, until the end of steelhead spawn-                                                 in 15 recorded Mays. This coincided
ing in latter May or early June, I have        a warming climate                         with a winter of little snow accumula-
conducted independent spawning sur-                                                      tion, particularly at the lower elevation
veys since 2009/10 at five primary Mid       may increase spawning                       hills that surround the mid-Skagit Val-
Skagit River tributary streams (O’-                                                      ley. Yet, winter rainfall was at least
Toole, Mill, Savage, Finney, and Dry         mortality, but natural                      normal. High and low temperatures
creeks). 2018/19 is the 10th year of
doing so. In three of the most recent
                                               selection may also                        throughout Puget Sound’s fall and win-
                                                                                         ter were well above normal, causing
four survey years, the probable effects
of progressing climate change have
                                                 increase overall                        this anomaly and divergence from past
                                                                                         winter trends of normal-to-better snow
been particularly evident. Particularly
dry periods in April/May have resulted
                                                    survival.                            accumulation during normal-to-better
                                                                                         rainfall years (see Cliff Mass, Univer-
in those tributary creeks that are inter-                                                sity of Washington meteorologist, May
mittent going dry earlier than occurred     Mill Creek, slightly increased at Savage     18,        2015       weather        blog
in the past 20 years of living near these   Creek, and have significantly declined       http://cliffmass.blogspot.com/).
streams. Two of these go dry every year     at Dry Creek. Savage and Dry creeks            Intermittency of stream flows during
(Savage and Dry creeks), and one some       are the most severely affected by inter-     the previous five years of surveys has
years but not others (Mill Creek). Fur-     mittency duration, where past hatchery       been identified as a probable primary
thermore, one of the perennial tributar-    steelhead spawning was most fre-             driver of steelhead spawning time in
ies has numerous side channels that are     quently observed, and with the least ev-     mid-Skagit tributaries that begin to go
intermittent and are going dry earlier      idence of wild recovery progress to          dry by late June (Figure 1, from McMil-
than in the past (Finney Creek). Only       date. A great contrast in wild steelhead     lan 2015). It was also thought that more
one of the five streams regularly sur-      recovery progress is evident in the five     general patterns of streamflow varia-
veyed has been relatively unaffected in     mid-Skagit tributaries regularly sur-        tions during the spawning season and
recent years from its past history of       veyed. The evidence suggests that re-        water temperatures also likely con-
being perennial throughout and cool of      covery progress can differ by specific       tributed to steelhead spawning time
flow (O’Toole Creek). The first year of     tributary hydrological characteristics,      that may otherwise vary to some de-
particularly dramatic change occurred       and by past hatchery steelhead interac-      gree by these environmental factors —
in the flow patterns in the spring of       tion history.                                as much as 30 to 40 day differences in
2015 that happened to also coincide               The spawning return at Finney          spawning time peaks. However, there
with a significant increase in returning    Creek was greater than any in the re-        were not specific enough streamflow
wild steelhead spawning at two of the       cent past to comparatively draw from         and temperature data taken from which
five tributaries (O’Toole and Finney        (past high 20 redds found in 2014 com-       to find very significant correlations to
creeks). The report that follows was        pared to 101 redds in 2015). This in-        steelhead spawning time. Recognizing
written at the end of the 2015 spawning     crease in spawning evidence provided         this, during each spawning survey at
season. It was distributed to a rela-       the opportunity to draw more conclu-
                                                                                                                Continued on next page
12                                                                                                                    The Osprey
Continued from previous page               (Figure 2).                                culties for me to do spawning surveys,
                                             Although Finney Creek appears to be      which was often high with turbid flows.
each creek during the full extent of the   an outlier in an otherwise greater per-    This may have resulted in lack of find-
October 2014 through May 2015              centage of early steelhead spawning co-    ing better evidence of early spawning
salmon/steelhead spawning season,          inciding with ascendance of warmer         that may have actually occurred. This
water and air temperatures were me-        average water temperatures, the high       was not similarly a constraint on the
thodically taken. Although it remains      stream temperatures in May of 2015         smaller creeks.
that tools to determine daily stream-      may be particularly anomalous to those       Particularly revealing from the water
flows were not available, the tempera-     of the past at Finney Creek. Finney’s      temperature data taken in 2014/2015
ture data taken compared to whether        source is considerably higher elevation    are those of Savage Creek just below a
steelhead spawned earlier (prior to        than the other four creeks surveyed        large pond as compared to those meas-
March 15th) or later (after March 15th)    with more commonly lingering effects       ured just above it, and to those of
helps to further explain some of the       of snowmelt to its flow than at the oth-   Finney Creek (Figure 3). During most
variations in steelhead spawning time      ers. But this year there was little such   of the fall and winter, Savage Creek
associated with intermittent streams       contribution to Finney Creek’s flow        below the pond was about one degree

Figure 1
                                           after April. Also, in January and much     Fahrenheit (F) warmer than just above
                                           of February, Finney Creek posed diffi-     the pond. However, after cold spells
                                                                                      during which Savage Pond had iced
                                                                                      over and the ice remained for several
                                                                                      days even after the weather warmed, it
                                                                                      resulted in lingering colder tempera-
                                                                                      tures by a degree or two (F) below the
                                                                                      pond than above it. By mid-March the
                                                                                      temperatures below the pond began to
                                                                                      increasingly diverge with greater
                                                                                      warmth from those above the pond. As
                                                                                      much as intermittency, these rapidly
                                                                                      warming temperatures may result in
                                                                                      discontinuation of most steelhead entry
                                                                                      for spawning purposes into Savage
                                                                                      Creek as evidenced by nearly all steel-
                                                                                      head spawning there being prior to
                                                                                      March 15th (94% overall in the period of
                                                                                      2010-2014, and 100% in both 2014 and
                                                                                      2015).
                                                                                        At Finney Creek, water temperatures
                                                                                      were often colder in winter than either
                                                                                      location at Savage Creek. However, be-

Figure 2
                                                                                      ginning in early May it began to quickly
                                                                                      diverge from Savage Creek above the
                                                                                      pond and by the end of May was nearly
                                                                                      as warm as Savage Creek below the
                                                                                      pond where heat accumulates in the
                                                                                      pond from mid-March onward. This is
                                                                                      likely explained to a large extent by the
                                                                                      extremely dry May with resulting rapid
                                                                                      diminishment of Finney Creek stream
                                                                                      flow due to lack of snow accumulation
                                                                                      in its headwaters. Finney Creek in late
                                                                                      May of 2015 exhibited flows more char-
                                                                                      acteristic of late July in previous years.
                                                                                      Due to past logging that has resulted in
                                                                                      a very wide stream channel that is fully
                                                                                      exposed to sunlight, without snowmelt
                                                                                      contribution, its water temperatures
                                                                                      rapidly reached the mid-60 F range by
                                                                                      late May. There has been little, if any,
                                                                                      prior climate history to which Finney
                                                                                      Creek steelhead have adapted from
                                                                                      which to adjust to this rapid shift in
                                                                                      stream flow conditions of May 2015.
                                                                                      The streamflow height remained suffi-
                                                                                      cient for steelhead to enter from the Sk-
                                                                                      agit River until late May, but spawning
                                                                                                             Continued on next page
January 2019 • Issue No. 92                                                                                                    13
Figure 3                                                                                head redds were observed in that side
                                                                                        channel, steelhead fry apparently dis-
                                                                                        persed into it from other hatch loca-
                                                                                        tions for rearing. Due to the greater
                                                                                        spawning escapement, steelhead uti-
                                                                                        lized a greater extent of Finney Creek’s
                                                                                        available spawning gravel in 2015 than
                                                                                        in the past. This included greater use
                                                                                        of the side channels.
                                                                                           Lower Finney Creek, in a half-mile
                                                                                        section below the entry of Dry Creek,
                                                                                        had particularly greater spawning use
                                                                                        by later returning steelhead than in the
                                                                                        past. This is despite a main channel
                                                                                        shift that left a quarter mile of the for-
                                                                                        mer mainstem channel vacated. All the
                                                                                        spawning was concentrated into the re-
                                                                                        maining final quarter mile of the half-
                                                                                        mile total survey length. One side
                                                                                        channel in that latter quarter mile had
                                                                                        particularly high steelhead spawning
                                                                                        use. Photos 1 and 2 portray part of this
                                                                                        spawning use as on May 6, and again on
                                                                                        May 28, 2015 showing dramatic
                                                                                        changes in streamflow and the redds
                                                                                        going dry. Yet, as shown in Photo 3 the
Continued from previous page
                                            sometimes throughout the channel.           steelhead fry had already emerged and
                                            Side channels are likely somewhat less      were schooled in the bottoms of these
rapidly dropped off in the final week.                                                  redds. They were still capable of mov-
                                            affected by higher flow events in win-
May 2015 had a greater proportion of                                                    ing downstream to the main channel of
                                            ter and early spring with diminished ef-
all spawning than prior years.                                                          Finney Creek if they outmigrated be-
                                            fects      from     potential     scour.
   Finney Creek and O’Toole Creek are                                                   fore this side channel went completely
                                            Downwelling or upwelling through
the only streams of the five regularly                                                  dry. These steelhead fry emerged
                                            redds at the upper and lower ends of
surveyed that had a continued prospect                                                  within 21-42 days after the estimated
                                            side channels may also be conducive to
for steelhead entry and spawning after                                                  spawning dates based on how old the
                                            higher egg-to-fry survival. However,
the first week in May 2015. Unlike                                                      redds looked from algal growth on
                                            2015 proved to be a race of egg-to-fry
Finney, O’Toole Creek retains a rela-                                                   them. However, based on the size of
                                            emergence early enough to be unaf-
tively cold and sustained flow through-                                                 some of the fry that were larger than
                                            fected by side channels dewatering. To
out the summer — at least in the past.                                                  others, their emergence must have
                                            some degree this has occurred before,
It has always been perennial. Finney                                                    been 7 days or more earlier with some
                                            as had been documented in late May of
Creek, however, diminishes to very low                                                  redds older than estimated.
                                            2014 at a Finney side channel beginning
flows by August combined with late af-                                                     Table 1 shows estimated lengths of
                                            to go dry where young-of-the-year
ternoon water temperatures that can be                                                  time for steelhead to hatch and to
                                            steelhead fry were photographed along
70 F or more on days when high air tem-

than 80 F. Given the Table 1
                                            with other species. Although no steel-
peratures are greater
                                                                                                            Continued on next page
present diminishment in Temperature           Days to Hatch       Days to Emerge     Total Days to Emerge Reference

late May, it is conceiv- 2 C (35.6 F)         115                 ---                ---                  Quinn 2005
Finney Creek flow by

able that parts of lower 5 C (41 F)           68                  ---                ---                  Quinn 2005
Finney Creek’s main 8 C (46.4 F)              42                  ---                ---                  Quinn 2005
channel could go dry by 11 C (51.8)           28                  ---                ---                  Quinn 2005
                            14 C (57.2)       22                  ---                ---                  Quinn 2005
late summer if drought
                            5.5 C (41.9)      80                  ---                ---                  Hardy 2002
conditions continue to es-
                            10 C (50 F)       31                  20                 51                   Hardy 2002
calate.    Its numerous

monly done so in the 15 C (59 F)              19                  10                 29                   Shumway et al. 1964
side channels have com-

past, sometimes by early 10 C (50 F)          35*                 ---                ---                  Shumway et al. 1964
June, although not the 5 C (41 F)             80                  2-3 weeks          94-101               Wales 1941
mainstem.                   15 C (59 F)       19                  2-3 weeks          33-40                Wales 1941
                            10 C (50 F)       50                  ---                somewhat later       Wydoski & Whitney
  Finney Creek steelhead
                                                                                                          1979
often have concentrated

nels, particularly at their * Dissolved oxygen considerations from Quinn 2005: decreased O2 delayed hatching at 10 C (50 F)
spawning at side chan-

inlet and outlet areas, but from about 35 days to 40 days in steelhead as cited from Shumway et al. 1964.

14                                                                                                                   The Osprey
Continued from previous page                  although its large size suggested possi-        Photo 1
                                              ble steelhead as well. At least 9 steel-
emerge from time of egg fertilization         head fry associated with it were
as previously compiled from available         photographically documented on May
literature (McMillan 2015). Given that        5th and again on May 19th (Photo 5). It
Finney Creek had water temperatures           was subsequently determined to be a
at afternoon to evening of 55-65 degrees      steelhead redd with fry emergence
F throughout the month of May, it ap-         likely in April based on their size of
parently accelerated the emergence            about 2 inches in length. This confirms
times enough to potentially allow fry of      the need to make collections for steel-
even relatively later spawning steel-         head genetic determinations in May at
head after mid-March to get out of the        the early fry life history level if hatch-

                                                                                              Photo 2
gravel and be free-swimming within            ery parentage is to be found before
the 21-42 day period since spawning           their numbers are culled out. Cham-
was estimated to have occurred. This          bers Creek origin hatchery steelhead
is despite the fact that in latter March      are known to have low survival in the
and through much of April the Finney          wild and rapid loss would particularly
Creek water temperatures were 41-48           occur at the fry stage in intermittent
degrees at afternoon and evening and          creeks with no inherent guide to
would have slowed development. The            quickly migrate downstream.
other alternative is that the actual ages        The observations of what may drive
of the spawning redds were older than         steelhead spawning at the mid-Skagit
estimated, which is entirely possible as      tributaries and how it may vary by
well. Nevertheless, it does seem possi-       stream, by temperature, and by pres-
ble that the recently accelerated             ence of a pond or lake are nothing par-

                                                                                              Photo 3
warmth of Finney Creek has resulted in        ticularly new. Much of this has been
a race between late spawning and di-          found to be a general rule of thumb for
minishing streamflows that at least           fall spawning salmon as described by
some of these fry may ultimately win.         Quinn (2005):
However, even if the majority, or even
all, lose this race, it will eventually re-   “... there is surprisingly little research
sult in a selection for earlier spawning      on the variation in adult reproductive
as was found in other side channel            success as a function of spawning date,
areas (Photo 4) and a population that         and the relationship between fry emer-
will increasingly evolve toward earlier       gence and survival has only recently re-
spawning as climate and environment           ceived attention. Many researchers
will dictate. But this can only occur if      have pointed out that populations
management allows substantial num-            spawning in cold rivers do so earlier in

                                                                                              Photo 4
bers of steelhead that enter the Skagit       the year than those using rivers with
River early (November to February) to         milder temperatures ... Salmon also
effectively increase in numbers to fill       tend to spawn earlier at higher lati-
the many tributary creeks of the Skagit       tudes, and this seems to be an adapta-
basin where intermittent flows will in-       tion of populations to their local
creasingly become the norm. Intermit-         environment ... For example, the outlets
tency is also becoming earlier. Dry           of lakes typically have milder winter
Creek (of lower Finney Creek) went dry        temperatures than their inlets, and
in its lower 200 feet by May 31, 2015 as      sockeye tend to spawn later in the out-
compared to just prior to June 28, 2014.      lets (Brannon 1987). This presumably
   The proportion of overall steelhead        results in synchrony of emergence be-
fry in Finney Creek basin that include        cause all populations need to strike the
one or more parents of hatchery origin        same balance between food availability,

                                                                                              Photo 5
likely emerge earliest. It is known           temperature, and predator avoidance in
from observations of participants on an       the lake, though this hypothesis is sel-
active redd at Dry Creek by WDFW              dom really tested.”
surveyors (pers. comm. Andrew Fowler
of WDFW) that at least one hatchery              However, with winter/spring spawn-
origin male was spawning there with a         ing steelhead, the effects differ some-
wild female on January 28, 2015. It was       what as found in mid-Skagit tributaries.
present on another redd the next day          There is a reverse effect in that
with a group of 3 other steelhead of un-      warmer streams seem to promote ear-
known sex and origin. At mid Savage           lier spawning, not later, and the
Creek (130 m above a large pond) a pos-       pond/lake effect is part of this although,
sible coho redd of very fresh construc-       perhaps more importantly, there is a re-
tion was located on February 10, 2015
                                                                     Continued on next page

January 2019 • Issue No. 92                                                                             15
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