THE RETAIL WORLD 2020 - ISSUE 03 RETAILING IN A TIME OF CRISIS - A WORLD RETAIL CONGRESS PUBLICATION - Retail & Leisure International

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THE RETAIL WORLD 2020 - ISSUE 03 RETAILING IN A TIME OF CRISIS - A WORLD RETAIL CONGRESS PUBLICATION - Retail & Leisure International
THE RETAIL WORLD 2020
 RETAILING IN A TIME OF CRISIS
   ISSUE 03

A WORLD RETAIL CONGRESS PUBLICATION
THE RETAIL WORLD 2020 - ISSUE 03 RETAILING IN A TIME OF CRISIS - A WORLD RETAIL CONGRESS PUBLICATION - Retail & Leisure International
CONTENT
         INTRODUCTION                                                                                                                   ANALYSIS
                                                                                                                                          Leap the Ravine . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .  4
                                                                                                                                          Amazon rises to the challenge. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6

                                       I
                                             n the week we publish       How will consumer behaviour be changed by these                  Emerging from the shadows . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10
                                             our third report on         experiences and for how long? And as more stores open
                                                                                                                                          Innovation Spotlight: China . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 12
                                             Retailing in a Time of      but only if they adhere to stringent safety measures, what
                                             Crisis, we are seeing       will this mean longer-term for the role and functionality of
                                         an increasing number of         bricks-and-mortar retailing? How can retailers fast-forward    CONSUMER TRENDS
                                         images from Hong Kong           their ecommerce capabilities to meet the massive increase
                                                                                                                                          How the pandemic is changing consumer behaviour . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14
                                         to Spain, Italy, Germany        in online shopping?
                                         and Denmark of people                                                                            The Post-Corona Consumer . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 18
                                                                         These are key questions already becoming the focus for
                                         taking to the streets and
                                                                         retail executives and this report includes further analysis
                                         parks as governments ease
                                                                         and ideas from a range of specialist industry and consumer     FUTURE TRENDS
                                         lockdowns. Populations the
                                         world over are desperate to
                                                                         experts and futurologists. This issue also includes, for the     Imagining a new retail future . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .  20
                                                                         first time, research findings from EY’s recently launched
         return to some sense of normality. Governments, too, are
                                                                         Future Consumer Index, which is designed to gauge the
         desperate to re-start their economies.
                                                                         mood of consumers around the world.
                                                                                                                                        ANALYSIS
         As you can read first-hand from the retailers and industry                                                                       The strongest retail brands are getting stronger. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 22
                                                                         Taken together, this report aims to help retailers with
         experts in their reports in issue three, this is just the                                                                        Retail Innovations Responding to Coronavirus. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .  24
                                                                         insight into how other markets and businesses are
         tentative start of the second phase in many governments’
                                                                         meeting the challenge of this global crisis, provide
         moves to contain and beat COVID-19, and to avoid a second
         wave of the virus that would return us to lockdowns as
                                                                         provocative and insightful ideas and thinking, but also        COUNTRIES
                                                                         share the inspiration and innovation that is already
         happened in Singapore.
                                                                         emerging from retailers around the world.                        ASIA PACIFIC
         What our reports in this issue also show is that there is                                                                        Health And Beauty Starts The Bounce Back . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .  28
         unlikely to be a return to former normality. Consumers,                                                                          ASIA
         even in those countries moving out of lockdown, remain                                                                           China: The Technology Behind the Everyday Magic of Logistics . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .  30
         nervous about their safety and very cautious given
         household incomes have been decimated if they are               IAN MCGARRIGLE                                                   India: Calls For Government To Now Turn Attention To Supporting Retail . . . . . . . . . . . . . .  34
         among the millions who have lost their jobs or been             CHAIRMAN | WORLD RETAIL CONGRESS                                 MIDDLE EAST
         temporarily furloughed.                                         IAN.MCGARRIGLE@WORLDRETAILCONGRESS.COM                           Saudi Arabia: It’s Not Business As Usual, But Retail Is Holding Up . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .  36
                                                                                                                                          United Arab Emirates: Adaptability In The Face Of Change: COVID-19 And Crisis
                                                                                                                                          Preparedness In The Middle East . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .  38
                                                                                                                                          EUROPE
                                                                                                                                          Europe | EuroCommerce: Europe-Wide Action Is Needed . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .  40
                                                                                                                                          Denmark: The Debate Is Moving On To How To Prevent Businesses From Going Under . . .  42
               Watch here for video interviews with Bart Denolf, CEO of Sacoor Brothers Franchise on how their international              France: Drive-Thru Acceleration . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .  44
                business has had to react to the crisis in South East Asia and the Middle East. And watch Deloitte’s Head of              Germany: Shoppers In Crisis Mode Too, So Demand Stays Low Amid Re-Openings . . . . . .  46
                 Global Economics, Dr Ira Kalish in conversation with David Roth, CEO of WPP The Stores EMEA and Asia.
                                                                                                                                          Italy: A Slow Release Under Few Unambiguous Rules Is The Key To Faster Recovery . . . .  48
                                                                                                                                          Russia: Omnichannel Thriving But Virus Strikes Hard At Traditional Retail. . . . . . . . . . . . .  50
                                                                                                                                          Spain | El Corte Inglés: Taking The First Steps To Post-Lockdown . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 52
                                                                                                                                          Spain | Tendam: Retailers Must Provide Shoppers With Peace Of Mind . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 54
                                                                                                                                          United Kingdom: How Tesco Ripped Up The Rulebook . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .  56
                                                                                                                                          OCEANIA
                                                                                                                                          Australia . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .  58
                                                                                                                                          LATIN AMERICA
                                                                                                                                          Latin America: 14 Million Jobs Gone In Pandemic . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .  60
                                                                                                                                          Brazil: Brazilian consumers discover ecommerce . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .  62
               Interview with Bart Denolf, Sacoor Brothers                   Interview with David Roth, CEO The Store WPP EMEA
                               April 2020                                    & Asia and Ira Kalish, Chief Global Economist, Deloitte      NORTH AMERICA
                                                                                                                                          United States | NRF: Courage Of First Economic Responders Helps
                                                                                                                                          Provide Vital Knowledge For Industry Moving Forward . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .  64

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THE RETAIL WORLD 2020 - ISSUE 03 RETAILING IN A TIME OF CRISIS - A WORLD RETAIL CONGRESS PUBLICATION - Retail & Leisure International
ANALYSIS
                                                                                                                   The COVID-19 outbreak has led to unprecedented disruption for non-essential retail.
                                                                                                                   Stores have been closed as lockdowns were put in place to keep people safe. Categories
                                                                                                                   have declined 30-75% as a shift to ecommerce has not sufficiently compensated for lost
                                                                                                                   in-store sales. Retailers have relied on tax, wage, and rent relief to stay afloat. Many now
                                                                                                                   see signs of hope as countries ease lockdowns and move into the next phase of the crisis.
                                                                                                                   But, the worst is yet to come.

      LEAP THE RAVINE                                                                                              W
                                                                                                                                     hen stores re-open, retailers will once again   But there is a chance to leap the ravine and come out a
                                                                                                                                     have to pay for labour and rent. However,       winner. A small window of opportunity exists to act whilst
                                                                                                                                     sales are unlikely to resemble pre-crisis       customers are switching, competitors are off-balance, and
                                                                                                                                     levels as a global recession rages, and         government support is in place. With so much at stake,
                                                                                                                   consumer demand and purchasing power remain low.                  non-essential retailers need to make fast, bold moves
       Chris Biggs and Brian Harris, BCG Managing Directors & Senior Partners, offer their perspective about       Additionally, the shift to ecommerce, which is costlier to        across three priorities:
       what the future may look like and how non-essential retailers should respond to come out on top             fulfil, will lead to falling margins and rising costs. These
                                                                                                                                                                                     •    Reset costs by using a data-driven approach that
                                                                                                                   changes will open up a ravine in performance on the path
                                                                                                                                                                                          leaves no stone unturned across every part of
                                                                                                                   to the new normal. Non-essential retailers will face five
                                                                                                                                                                                          your business. Consider cutting the tail, and even
                                                                                                                   years of change in five months and must quickly respond
                                                                                                                                                                                          some of the middle, of your store estate if it is not
                                                                                                                   to the challenges that are emerging:
                                                                                                                                                                                          aligned to the future. Be willing to make previously
                                                                                                                   •    Markets will consolidate, with many sub-sectors                   ‘unmakeable’ moves.
                                                                                                                        likely to become a triumvirate of 1-2 traditional            •    Get back to growth by utilising a smart store
                                                                                                                        players, at-scale marketplaces, and niche players                 re-opening plan that aligns with the expected
                                                                                                                        (including pureplays and direct to consumer).                     medium-term channel mix. Win customers through
                                                                                                                   •    Essential retailers and marketplaces will disruptively            ecommerce/omnichannel excellence that rivals the
                                                                                                                        steal share as they remain open throughout the crisis             pureplays. Kick-start demand by understanding
                                                                                                                        and build relationships in non-essential categories,              shifting customer trends and shaping them through
                                                                                                                        such as beauty and homewares.                                     personalised digital marketing.
                                                                                                                   •    Omnichannel will grow at the expense of physical             •    Reshape organisations and capabilities to the new
                                                                                                                        retail as a large number of stores permanently close.             normal by moving resources to ecommerce and
                                                                                                                        This will challenge retailer economics as ecommerce               advanced analytics, retaining agility, and redefining
                                                                                                                        cannibalises more profitable in-store sales.                      your competitive position through M&A.

  THREE PRIORITIES TO LEAP THE RAVINE                                                                              •    Customer communication will move to digital
                                                                                                                        marketing as retailers lose the ability to use stores to
                                                                                                                                                                                     Players who take strong actions early will outperform post-
                                                                                                                                                                                     crisis. The relative return on investment from a major retail
                                                                                                                        drive traffic. More innovative, personalised marketing       transformation is 50% higher when started pre-emptively
                                                                                                                        will be required to cut through the overwhelming             in a downturn. Past crises have shown that there are
   RESET COSTS                         RESTRUCTURE EVERY PART OF YOUR COST BASE                                         number of messages consumers receive each day.               few winners and many losers. A mere 14% of companies
                                       Leave no stone unturned                                                                                                                       increase sales growth and expand margins during crises (as
                                                                                                                   •    Companies will need to restructure their cost bases
                                                                                                                        by rethinking every component of their business              opposed to 44% of companies who shrink on both). Only
                                       RIGHT-SIZE YOUR REAL ESTATE                                                      (e.g. assets, operations, sourcing) to align to future       those retailers who take bold action will leap the ravine.
                                       Optimize both footprint and cost                                                 operations and offers. Where this burden is too high,
                                                                                                                        restructuring may require bankruptcy or insolvency.
                                                                                                                   •    Supply chains will diversify to reduce inventory costs,
GET BACK TO GROWTH                     TAKE ADVANTAGE OF OMNI-CHANNEL OPPORTUNITY                                       cash-outs, and the risk of product not selling. This
                                       Look for incrementality                                                          may involve shifting volume to new suppliers and
                                                                                                                        geographies or shifting inventory to vendors.

                                       KICK-START DEMAND
                                       Understand, shape, and capture trends

  RESHAPE ORG
 AND CAPABILITIES                      REBUILD YOUR ORGANIZATION TO THE NEW REALITY
                                       Optimize resources, retain agility                                      !

                                       REDEFINE POSITION THROUGH OPPORTUNISTIC M&A
                                       Gain capabilities and scale

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THE RETAIL WORLD 2020 - ISSUE 03 RETAILING IN A TIME OF CRISIS - A WORLD RETAIL CONGRESS PUBLICATION - Retail & Leisure International
ANALYSIS                              By any measure, Amazon has emerged stronger from the global crisis. But it has involved
                                       some tough decisions, major investments and a very clear focus on doing the things
                                       that make a difference as Xian Wang, Senior Director of Product and Content at Edge by
                                       Ascential reveals.

                                       Amazon has clearly been the outstanding performer                                            an essential role in providing access to the supplies and
                                       through the course of this global pandemic and has played                                    necessities essential to daily lives. Like many retailers, it

         AMAZON RISES TO
                                       an essential role in providing access to the supplies and                                    has been focused on initiatives to find solutions to the way
                                       necessities essential to daily lives. Like many retailers, it                                that COVID-19 has reshaped shopping habits, industries
                                       has been focused on initiatives to find solutions to the way                                 and economies around the world.
                                       that COVID-19 has reshaped shopping habits, industries
                                                                                                                                    Amazon also held off taking delivery of non-essential items
                                       and economies around the world.

         THE CHALLENGE
                                                                                                                                    to their warehouses and extending (even on Prime) delivery
                                       Amazon has had to react with incredible speed and                                            dates to 1+ month out in order so that they could prioritise
                                       even its not-inconsiderable supply chain and fulfilment                                      essential high demand categories, with extra steps in France
                                       capabilities have been tested. Despite being one of the                                      and Italy to stop shipping out to customers, going as far
                                       best placed in terms of infrastructure and agility to                                        as to offer incentives for customers to postpone delivery.
                                       respond to this unprecedented surge arising from this                                        Finally, Amazon has postponed Prime Day, its flagship retail
           By Xian Wang                unplanned event (whereas Prime day and Cyber week                                            event, as well as removing certain promotions or deals from
                                       were planned), much like other retailers, Amazon was still                                   its platform during peak lockdown demand, to focus on
                                       challenged by the sheer volume of demand.                                                    shipping essentials to consumers.
                                       Very focused demand on certain categories meant that                                         Clearly fulfilment remains top of mind, as Amazon
                                       Amazon had to react very quickly to combat issues that                                       struggled to keep up with demand. Most recently, they also
                                       arose, to ensure that their platform and marketplace                                         announced the intention to hire 100,000 extra employees,
                                       retained trust with shoppers. It was one of the first retailers                              and raised wages, as well as to support safety of their
                                       to implement “price gouging” defense measures, and today                                     workforce, offered two weeks paid sick leave for workers
                                       continues its efforts in key categories such as hand sanitiser                               that tested positive for COVID-19, all of which will have
                                       and masks, where some sellers were raising prices, or where                                  implications on its operating profit.
                                       the out of stocks led to higher price points as lower priced
                                                                                                                                    WHAT IS TOP OF MIND FOR THE AMAZON SHOPPER
                                       items sold out and came off the platform. Amazon were
                                                                                                                                    TODAY?
                                       also quick to flag and take measures to rectify where sellers
                                                                                                                                    Purchase behaviours are changing daily amidst this
                                       were inappropriately altering their product content to take
                                                                                                                                    unprecedented disruption to shoppers daily lives. Initial
                                       advantage of the current situation such as, unauthorised
                                                                                                                                    needs were around stocking up on supplies, health,
                                       medical claims that did not conform to safety standards,
                                                                                                                                    hygiene and protection.
                                       going as far as to put hold on 4000+ sellers and contacting
                                       customers who might have been affected.                                                      Insights from search behaviour is key, as this is typically
                                                                                                                                    a consumer’s first step on the digital path to purchase.
                                       Amazon has clearly been the outstanding performer
                                                                                                                                    Search is an early indicator of shifts in categories, and
                                       through the course of this global pandemic and has played
                                                                                                                                    which categories might be affected next.

                                                                          PROJECTED STAGES OF GROCERY SHOPPER BEHAVIOUR DURING COVID-19 PANDEMIC
                                                                                                                                      SUSTAINED SOCIAL             TRANSITION BACK TO
                                                                       COVID-19 CONCERN GROWS       SHOCK DRIVES URGENCY
                                                                                                                                     DISTANCING SETS IN               NORMAL LIFE

                                                                                                                                                                                              Environmental
                                                                         Issues abroad spark        Closure and social distancing   New temporary normal          Stores gradually reopen

                                                                                                                                                                                                  Factor
                                                                         concern locally            drive panic buying              reveals new nees as           and consumers re-enter
                                                                                                    Restaurants, non-essantial      consumers spend majority      daily life with uncertain
                                                                                                    stores close, with footfall     of time in home               economic outlook

                                Consumer Spending Trajectory ($)
                                                                                                    diverted to grocer

                                                                                                                                    Big stock-up no longer
                                                                                                    Severe out-of-stocks online     relevant, consumers now
                                                                                                    and in stores for household     just replenishing supply
                                                                         First movers stock up on   essentials, food staples and    In case of over-purchased
                                                                         hygiene products, food     hygiene products                categories, sales decline
                                                                         staples, and household                                     Discretianory purchases

                                                                                                                                                                                              Consumer
                                                                                                                                                                                               Behavior
                                                                         essentials                 Dramatic increase for           increase (perhaps below
                                                                                                    electronics, toys and game      normal) as shoppers settle
                                                                         Day-to-day economy         as consumer prepare to work     in to home confinment         Consumers manage down
                                                                         continues with moderate    from home                       Housholds subscribe to        excess stock level and
                                                                         impact on inventory                                        ecommerce auto-               then resume normal
                                                                                                    Demand for delivery accross
VDB Photos / Shutterstock.com                                            and traffic                                                replenishment schemes         spending patterns
                                                                                                    industry skyrockets

                                                                   Source: Edge by Ascential

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THE RETAIL WORLD 2020 - ISSUE 03 RETAILING IN A TIME OF CRISIS - A WORLD RETAIL CONGRESS PUBLICATION - Retail & Leisure International
BREAKING RECORDS
                                                                                                                                         Across all consumer packaged goods, the latest 3-4 weeks on Amazon in both North America and Europe have beaten both
                                                                                                                                         Prime Day 2019 and Cyber Week 2019, previously the highest sales periods in history for those categories prior to COVID-19,
   AMAZON SEARCH TERM RANKINGS OVER TIME IN THE US                                                                                       which gives us an indication of the scope of the unplanned demand that Amazon has had to manage through.

                     2019 - Q4                             2020 - JANUARY               Monitoring of search trends would have
                                                                                        indicated where shoppers were looking to                                  Amazon Category Retail Sales Comparison - US: Latest Week WC 12/4/2020
                                     Search                                   Search
                                                                                                                                         350%                                                                                                                                                                                  OVERALL:
                 Search Term       Frequency               Search Term      Frequency   Amazon’s platform to source items such                                                                                                                                                                                                 Eight of the twelve
                                      Rank                                     Rank     as masks and hand sanitisers, going as far                                                                                                                                                                                             categories had the peak
                                                                                                                                         300%
    AirPods                        1           iPhone 11 Case               1           back as early January, well ahead of any                                                                                                                                                                                               in sales in the weeks
    iPhone 11 case                 2           N95 Mask                     2           government/policy announcements.                                                                                                                                                                                                       commencing March 8,
                                                                                                                                         250%
    Nintendo Switch                3           AirPods                      3           Although health and hygiene related terms                                                                                                                                                                                              2020 or March 15, 2020.
    Laptop                         4           airPod Case                  4           continued to persist as top interest for
                                                                                                                                         200%                                                                                                                                                                                  The categories outside
    Christmas Decorations          5           Surgical mask                5           today’s shopper, analysis of search terms                                                                                                                                                                                              of this were cleaning
    Wireless Earbuds               6           Wireless earbuds             6           showed a second wave of searches for                                                                                                                                                                                                   and hand sanitizing
    iPhone Charger                 7           Kobe bryant jersey           7           consumer electronics, and entertainment.          150%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               categories which peaked
    Apple Watch                    8           Apple watch band             8                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  earlier, much before wider
                                                                                        As these events have pushed consumers            100%
    airPod Case                    9           Led strip lights             9                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  lockdown measures were
                                                                                        to change the way they interact with work
    Christmas Tree                 10          iPhone 11 Pro Max Case       10
                                                                                        and family and their daily routines, this                                                                                                                                                                                              announced
    Apple Watch Band               11          AirPods Case                 11          was reflected in what they were looking to        50%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               OTHER CATEGORY
    Weighted Blanket               12          Mask                         12          equip themselves with to cope under new                                                                                                                                                                                                PEAKS:
    iPhone 11 pro Max Case         13          iPhone XR cases              13          circumstances and build out home offices.            0                                                                                                                                                                                 Hand Sanitizers
    Headphones                     14          Laptop                       14                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 (w/c January 26, 2020)
                                                                                        The rise of work from home requirements                                                                                                                                                                                                Disinfectant Wipes
    iPad                           15          Nintendo Switch              15                                                            -50%                                                                                                                                                                                 (w/c February 23, 2020)
                                                                                        resulted in a spike in searches and                                                                                                                                                                                                    Hand Wash (
    Halloween Costumes for Women   16          Air Fryer                    16                                                                    Household      Toilet      Disinfectant      Hand          Hand         Vitamin C      Multivitamins     Grocery &     Beverages     Breakfast      Snack          Pantry
                                                                                        purchases of technology such as printer                    Supplies      Paper          Wipes        Sanitizers      Wash                                        Gourmet Food                    Foods        Foods          Staples   w/c March 1, 2020)
    Bluetooth Headphones           17          Water Bottle                 17                                                           -100%                                                                                                                                                                                 Vitamin C
                                                                                        supplies, desktops, displays. Gaming for
    Nintendo Switch Games          18          Apple Watch                  18                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 (w/c March 22, 2020)
                                                                                        entertainment also boosted the demand                           Latest Week vs YAGO               Latest Week vs Prime Day Week 2019                 Latest Week vs Cyber Week 2019                  Latest Week vs 1 March 2020
    Lightning Cable                19          Pop Socket                   19
                                                                                        for technology, both in terms of devices and               Source: Edge by Ascential
    Air Fryer                      20          iPhone 11                    20          associated accessories. Exercise was also
                                                                                        a trend that came in the second wave, with       350%                     Amazon Category Retail Sales Comparison - UK: Latest Week WC 12/4/2020                                                                                       OVERALL:
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               Similar to the US, Food &
                                                                                        searches for items like “resistance bands”                                                                                                                                                                                             Drinks categories had their
                2020 - FEBRUARY                   WEEK ENDING MARCH 14, 2020
                                                                                        and “yoga mats” climbing fast.                   300%                                                                                                                                                                                  peak in sales after those
                                     Search                                   Search                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           Cleaning and Hand Wash
                 Search Term       Frequency               Search Term      Frequency   As consumers face the prospect of an                                                                                                                                                                                                   categories.
                                      Rank                                     Rank                                                      250%
                                                                                        extended lockdown period with movement                                                                                                                                                                                                 Home Care & Cleaning, Soaps
    N95 Mask                       1           Toilet Paper                 1           restrictions, but as weather moved into                                                                                                                                                                                                & Hand Wash and Antiseptics
    Hand Sanitizer                 2           Hand Saritizer               2           Spring, we also saw an increased interest        200%                                                                                                                                                                                  & Disinfectants peaked earliest
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               on the week commencing
    Face Mask                      3           Clorox Wipes                 3           in outdoor entertainment and home                                                                                                                                                                                                      March 1, 2020.
    iPhone 11 Case                 4           Toilet Paper Bulk            4           improvement, with interest on search terms        150%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               Cold & Flu, Health & Baby
    Masks For Germ Protection      5           Disinfectant Wipes           5           like “pool” and “trampoline” entering the                                                                                                                                                                                              Care, Baby Bottle Sterilisers,
    AirPods                        6           Lysol Spray                  6           top 50 terms.                                    100%                                                                                                                                                                                  Vitamins and Cereals &
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               Breakfast were next, peaking
    Mask                           7           N95 Mask                     7                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  week of March 15, 2020.
    Surgical Mask                  8           Paper Towels                 8                                                             50%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               Drinks, Crisps & Snacks and
    Airpod Case                    9           Baby Wipes                   9                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  Tinned & Jarred Food all had
    N95 Respirator Mask            10          Aloe Vera Gel                10                                                               0                                                                                                                                                                                 their peak in sales in the week
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               commencing April 5, 2020
    Apple Watch Band               11          Purell Hand Sanitizer        11
    Face Mask Medical              12          Hand Soap                    12                                                            -50%
    Wirelesse Arbuds               13          Sanitizer                    13
                                                                                                                                                 Home Care     Soaps &    Antiseptics &      Medication   Cold & Flu   Health &       Baby Bottle    Vitamins   Drinks      Cereals &       Crisps     Tinned &      Torches
    iPhone 11 Pro Max Case         14          Lysol                        14                                                           -100%
                                                                                                                                                 & Cleaning   Hand Wash   Disinfectants      & Remedies                Baby Care       Sterilisers                        Breakfast Bars   & Snacks   Jarred Food

    Apple Watch                    15          Thermometer                  15                                                                         Latest Week vs YAGO            Latest Week vs Prime Day Week 2019                Latest Week vs Cyber Week 2019                 Latest Week vs 1 March 2020
    iPhone XR Cases                16          Rubbing Alcohol              16                                                                     Source: Edge by Ascential
    N95                            17          Alcohol                      17
    Valentines                     18          Hand Sanitizer Travel Size   18
                                                                                                                                       Brands and retailers have had to prioritise essential SKUs for manufacturing and supply (including household tissue and tinned
    Lingerie For Women             19          Purell                       19
                                                                                                                                       groceries), reallocating labour and resources where necessary in order to continue improving availability rates. As Amazon continues
    Water Bottle                   20          Bidet                        20
                                                                                                                                       to focus on its coronavirus response, brands should prioritise staying in stock with key items, supporting the broader efforts of the
   Source: Edge by Ascential
                                                                                                                                       platform and avoiding seeing digital shelf placement deterioration due to being out-of-stock.
                                                                                                                                       Brands can and should communicate frequently with retailers to identify and anticipate most in-demand products to increase capacity
                                                                                                                                       for and work together to implement strategies to balance in-store availability levels with increased online demand.

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THE RETAIL WORLD 2020 - ISSUE 03 RETAILING IN A TIME OF CRISIS - A WORLD RETAIL CONGRESS PUBLICATION - Retail & Leisure International
ANALYSIS
                                                                                              As the weeks pass, it is hard to escape the cries of                                 stocking up and spending more, so the impact on the top-
                                                                                              frustration at the current lack of certainty. Headlines are                          line isn’t quite as severe if you are well prepared.
                                                                                              dominated by demands for a clear plan on how lockdown
                                                                                                                                                                                   SO, WHAT CAN RETAILERS DO TO MAXIMISE TRADING
                                                                                              restrictions are to be lifted. But so much about this
                                                                                                                                                                                   POTENTIAL THROUGH THE RECOVERY? HERE ARE SOME
                                                                                              pandemic remains inherently uncertain – there is still
                                                                                                                                                                                   STARTING THOUGHTS…
                                                                                              much that is unknown about the virus, no least our ability
                                                                                                                                                                                   •    Protect customers and employees with appropriate
                                                                                              to reliably test, treat and vaccinate – and so the only
                                                                                                                                                                                        PPE and re-flow stores to avoid crowding and ensure
                                                                                              guarantee to any stated plan would be that it would be
                                                                                                                                                                                        social distancing can be maintained.
                                                                                              subject to change. However, we would urge retailers not to
                                                                                              sit back, and instead to embrace uncertainty and plan now                            •    Enable a speedy shopping experience for customers
                                                                                              for as good a comeback as possible.                                                       who wish to minimise exposure time in store.
                                                                                                                                                                                   •    Drive the shift to cashless, contactless and
                                                                                              As of a week ago, a third of the global population were
                                                                                                                                                                                        self-scan options.
                                                                                              under some form of COVID-19 restrictions, and the reality
                                                                                              of lifting those restrictions in a way that optimises                                •    Maximise conversion with good availability of key
                                                                                              outcomes for all is an incredibly complex task. Some areas                                lines, contact-free service options and a quick and
                                                                                              are already ahead of others, giving indications as to what                                easy checkout process.
                                                                                              the order of play might be. Germany has already allowed                              •    Consider ways to drive size of basket, using

          EMERGING FROM
                                                                                              some small shops to re-open, and in Iran, shopping malls                                  promotions and merchandising to increase the spend
                                                                                              are starting to open for a limited period of the day.                                     of customers who have made it to your store.
                                                                                              What is increasingly clear is that the reality is not one of                         •    And incentivise a return visit – use vouchers and spot
                                                                                              an immediate bounce back when our doors are once again                                    incentives to prompt future spend.

          THE SHADOWS
                                                                                              opened. The experiences of retailers in countries that are                           •    Consider how to evolve digital channels to provide
                                                                                              already ‘opening up’ suggests that footfall is going to be                                what the stores no longer can. For the time being,
                                                                                              low – typically half of what it should be – as consumers                                  they can no longer be the place for browsing,
                                                                                              remain cautious about venturing out and hesitant to                                       inspiration and experience, so instead consider
                                                                                              browse. Recent statistics published by YouGov support this                                how digital can step in, such as social and peer
           By Tom Charlick                  By Katherine Fiander                              perspective: for example, 46% of UK consumers said they                                   recommendation, bespoke digital services and
                                                                                              would feel uncomfortable visiting a clothing shop once                                    personalised inspiration.
                                                                                              restrictions are lifted.                                                             A lack of current guidance on when and how retail will be
                                                                                              And it seems the road to recovery will be long, with                                 able to trade is no reason for inaction. It is critical that
                                                                                              businesses in China reporting demand remains about                                   leadership teams are planning now to maximise their
                                                                                              10% below normal, as caution lingers. On a positive note,                            comeback, regardless of what happens next.
                                                                                              however, people who do venture into stores are typically

           With a steady increase in countries emerging from lockdown, retailers should not
           anticipate a big recovery in consumer spending, says OC&C Strategy Consultants’     ALMOST HALF OF CONSUMERS STATE THAT THEY WOULD BE UNCOMFORTABLE
           Katherine Fiander, Associate Partner, and Tom Charlick, Partner. Evidence shows     VISITING A CLOTHING STORE WHEN LOCKDOWN RESTRICTIONS ARE LIFTED
                                                                                               Consumer Comfort Post-COVID: “How comfortable or uncomfortable would you feel visiting each of the following places once the government
           that consumers remain cautious and anxious, so how should retailers prepare to      loosens the current lockdown restrictions, and they reopen?” (% of those who say they ever visit these places, 22 April 2020)
           emerge from the crisis?                                                                                                           Comfortable         Don't know                 Uncomfortable

                                                                                                                                       Garden centres                70                              6        25

                                                                                                                                Hairdressers/ barbers           48                     6                 46

                                                                                                                                       Clothing stores          48                     6                 46

                                                                                                                                          Restaurants       37                 6                    57

                                                                                                                                         Coffee shops       36                 6                    58

                                                                                                                                        Pubs and bars      32          5                        63

                                                                                                                                Beauty and nail salons     32              8                    60

                                                                                                                                                Gyms       30          7                       62
Alexandros Michailidis / Shutterstock.com                                                       Source: YouGov, OC&C analysis

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THE RETAIL WORLD 2020 - ISSUE 03 RETAILING IN A TIME OF CRISIS - A WORLD RETAIL CONGRESS PUBLICATION - Retail & Leisure International
ANALYSIS
                                                                   In their second report highlighting how retailers are developing innovative solutions in
                                                                   response to this global crisis, AlixPartners focus on some outstanding examples of best
                                                                   practice in China.

         INNOVATION                                                EVERYONE BECOMES A SALESPERSON
                                                                   The concept of livestreaming ecommerce isn’t new for
                                                                   Chinese consumers. It has seen a substantial upsurge
                                                                   over the last year or so, with influencers and brand
                                                                                                                                 CULTIVATING CLOSER CUSTOMER CONNECTIONS
                                                                                                                                 With ‘in real life’ (IRL) connections absent, many brands
                                                                                                                                 were hyper-focused on online customer communication
                                                                                                                                 and outreach during this period. Names such as Louis

         SPOTLIGHT: CHINA
                                                                   representatives directly selling products via interactive     Vuitton, Burberry, and local beauty brand Perfect Diary
                                                                   online sessions or through social media platforms. But        engaged in one-to-one customer conversations on social
                                                                   the coronavirus-prompted closures upped the ante on it        media with the idea of establishing touchpoints that go
                                                                   significantly. Fila and Anta Sports asked all staff members   beyond tailored, impersonal messages. Michael Kors ran
                                                                   to open individual WeChat stores with the goal of quan        a campaign on WeChat with a step-by-step tutorial on
                                                                   yuan ying xiao (全员营销), or all-hands selling, and set          how to draw on leather and personalise handbags. Manolo
           Michael McCool           Jason Ong
                                                                   daily sales targets for them. Adidas decided to launch        Blahnik offered adult colouring sketches. Others shared
           Managing Director,       Director, AlixPartners         a new shoe via a Tmall livestream. Brands that took           health and safety information – such as Alibaba creating
           AlixPartners                                            advantage of such experiments even included high luxury       an educational manual on COVID-19 that also included a
                                                                   names such as Miu Miu, Estée Lauder, Celine, and Prada.       list of vetted suppliers for masks, medical gowns, etc.

                                                                                                                                  @alibabacloud.com

                                                                                                                                 STREAMLINING DELIVERY TO MINIMISE DELAYS
                                                                                                                                 As home delivery became the norm and demand
                                                                                                                                 skyrocketed, industries joined together to ease their
                                                                                                                                 collective burden. Grocery chains Hema and 7Fresh were
                                                                                                                                 among retailers that brought on thousands of employees
                                                                                                                                 from restaurants to help with delivery-related activities
                                                                                                                                 such as sorting and packing. Hema, also known as
                                                                                                                                 Freshippo, commissioned buses to help consolidate
                                                                                                                                 deliveries instead of sending individual couriers on electric
                                                                                                                                 scooters. Restaurant delivery partner Meituan Dianping,
                                                                                                                                 meanwhile, sought to allay customers’ concerns about
                                                                                                                                 food safety by leaving behind a card listing temperatures
                                                                                                                                 of everyone involved in the cooking and (contactless)
                                                             @adidas                                                             delivery process alongside the meal.

columbo.photog / Shutterstock.com

                                                                                                                                                                                          Issue 03 | 13
THE RETAIL WORLD 2020 - ISSUE 03 RETAILING IN A TIME OF CRISIS - A WORLD RETAIL CONGRESS PUBLICATION - Retail & Leisure International
CONSUMER TRENDS
                                                       Understanding how this global health crisis is changing consumers not just in the short-

         HOW THE PANDEMIC
                                                       term is going to be increasingly vital for retail leaders. EY’s recently launched Future
                                                       Consumer Index will help provide this invaluable insight. EY’s Global Retail Leader,
                                                       Thomas Harms unveils in this first report some of the key findings from the Index.

         IS CHANGING                                   D
                                                                aily life for people around the world has changed       FOUR NEW SEGMENTS HAVE EMERGED
                                                                in ways that would have been unthinkable a few          In this first article I want to share some initial insights
                                                                weeks ago. But as retailers try to find their way       about how consumers are changing, and some of the
                                                                through the COVID-19 pandemic, it’s important to        questions this raises for retail leaders.

         CONSUMER
                                                       remember that the global consumer was already evolving
                                                                                                                        Not surprisingly, the issues worrying consumers the
                                                       at great speed. That process is now playing out faster than
                                                                                                                        most right now relate to the health of their families,
                                                       anyone imagined.
                                                                                                                        whether they can buy for their basic needs, and the loss of
                                                       To make it through this crisis, and to get ready for what        freedoms they took for granted. How they shop and what

         BEHAVIOUR
                                                       comes next, retailers need to anticipate the kind of             they buy is changing profoundly. For example:
                                                       consumer that is emerging. We’ve created the EY Future
                                                                                                                         •   42% think the way they shop will change
                                                       Consumer Index to help. It’s based on a comprehensive
                                                       survey that takes a 360-degree view of the consumer – not         •   35% think the products they buy will change
                                                       just how they are shopping and where they are spending,           •   28% think they will pay more attention to what they
                                                       but also how they’re feeling about returning to normality,            consume and what impact it has
                                                       what they’re most concerned about, and how they believe           •   45% think it will take months for shopping to get
           By Thomas Harms, Global Retail Leader, EY   the world will change.                                                back to normal, if ever
                                                       By tracking changing behaviours and sentiment over               Digging into the detail beneath these topline findings,
                                                       the coming months, we’ll be able to identify the new             we’ve identified four new consumer segments. There
                                                       consumer segments that are emerging. Importantly, we’ll          are marked differences in the way people are feeling
                                                       be able to see which are temporary reactions to changing         personally, how worried they are about the future, and how
                                                       circumstances and which point to more fundamental shifts.        they are changing their spending across these segments
                                                       This will help retail leaders to adapt faster and stay agile.    (see Figure 1).

                                                           EY FUTURE CONSUMER INDEX: AT THIS POINT, THE CRISIS IS DEFINING FOUR CONSUMER SEGMENTS

                                                            35%                                             27%                            26%
                                                            SAVE AND                                        CUT DEEP                       STAY CALM,
                                                            STOCK PILE                                      Hardest hit by the             CARRY ON
                                                                                                            pandemic. Most
                                                            Not so concerned about the                      pessimistic about the          Not changing their spending
                                                            pandemic, but worried about                     future. Spending less          habits. Not directly impacted by
                                                            their families. Pessimistic                     across all categories.         the pandemic. Worried that others
                                                            about the long-term effects.                                                   are stockpiling.

                                                                                                                                           11%
                                                                                                                                           HIBERNATE AND SPEND
                                                                                                                                           Most concerned about the pandemic,
                                                                                                                                           but best positioned to deal with it.
                                                                                                                                           Optimistic for the future. Spending
                                                                                                                                           more across the board.

Photo by Joshua Rawson-Harris on Unsplash

                                                                                                                                                                                      Issue 03 | 15
THE RETAIL WORLD 2020 - ISSUE 03 RETAILING IN A TIME OF CRISIS - A WORLD RETAIL CONGRESS PUBLICATION - Retail & Leisure International
For example, the 27% of consumers in the ‘Cut deep’           GET AHEAD OF CHANGING SENTIMENT                                In this next phase, 13% of consumers would fall into the                                            What is clear is this: retailers that understand how the
 segment are pessimistic about the future and are spending     In addition to asking people how they are responding now,      ‘Keep cutting’ segment. They will continue to change what                                           COVID-era consumer is evolving will navigate the current
 less across all categories. They are the people who’ve been   we asked them to share their views on how they expect to       they buy and how. These consumers are the least educated                                            crisis better and get back up to speed faster when the time
 hardest hit by the pandemic so far. By contrast, the 11% in   change their behaviour once they feel the crisis has passed.   and least likely to be working. They are people for whom                                            comes. Here are some questions to reflect on now:
 the ‘Hibernate and spend’ segment are actually spending       Based on this, the four segments we see now could shift        the pandemic has always been a huge worry.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   •      How do the emerging customer segments
 more than they used to. These consumers are the ones          into five very different segments (see Figure 2).
                                                                                                                              By contrast, 9% of consumers fall into the ‘Back with                                                       we’ve identified here relate to your traditional
 most concerned about the pandemic, but they are also the
                                                                                                                              a bang’ segment. These are younger people who are                                                           customer base?
 best positioned to deal with it.
                                                                                                                              more likely to be in work. Their daily lives were the most                                           •      If consumers decide to keep shopping online, even
                                                                                                                              disrupted by the pandemic, but they will be the most                                                        when stores re-open, how will you cope with a
      EY FUTURE CONSUMER INDEX: FIVE NEW CONSUMER SEGMENTS TO ANTICIPATE                                                      optimistic and plan to spend much more in all categories.                                                   permanent channel mix shift?
      AS WE EMERGE FROM THE CRISIS
                                                                                                                              WILL SHORT-TERM CONSUMER CHANGES STICK?                                                              •      If consumers decide to stick with the new or
                                                                                                                              How will the four consumer segments we see today                                                            locally produced products they’ve been forced to
                                                                                                                              transition into the five we’ve identified for the next phase?                                               try in lockdown, is your supply chain agile enough

         31%                                                              25%                                                 We’ve mapped the pathways that the Index is currently                                                       to respond?
                                                                                                                              suggesting in Figure 3. As you can see, the evolution will                                           •      If more consumers want to buy products with a
                                                                                                                              be fluid and complex. For example, many of the consumers                                                    low environmental and social impact, do you have
                                                                                                                              making deep cuts now will keep cutting in future, but                                                       the capacity to source and monitor them, and
                                                                                                                              many will not.
         GET TO NORMAL                                                    CAUTIOUSLY                                          It remains to be seen how this actually plays out. In these
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          communicate their story?
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  I’ll share more insights on changing consumer behaviour

         Spending largely unchanged. Daily lives                          EXTRAVAGANT                                         uncertain times we need to be cautious about making
                                                                                                                              predictions, especially since people’s own assumptions of
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  and the potential impact on retail in each issue of
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  Retailing in a time of crisis.
         were never really affected. Least                                                                                    their future behaviours may not always be accurate. But
         concerned about the pandemic overall.                            Middle to high income. Very                         we will track these changes as they occur and highlight any
                                                                          focused on health but relatively                    new segments we see emerging.
                                                                          optimistic despite a strong
                                                                          belief that a global recession is                   EY FUTURE CONSUMER INDEX: HOW CONSUMER SEGMENTS COULD TRANSITION POST COVID-19
                                                                          coming. Will spend more in
                                                                          areas important to them.

         13%                                                        22%
         KEEP CUTTING                                               STAY FRUGAL
         Least educated. Least likely to be working.
         Making deep spending cuts. Changing                        Spending slightly less, but some deep
         what they buy and how. The pandemic                        cuts. Trying to get back on their feet.
         was always a huge worry.                                   Among the most pessimistic about
                                                                    the future .

        9%
        BACK TO NORMAL                                                                                                        The views reflected in this article are the views of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of the global EY
                                                                                                                              organization or its member firms.
        Younger and in work. Spending much more in all
        categories. Their daily lives were most disrupted.
                                                                                                                              Methodology
        Now they're the most optimistic.                                                                                      This first edition of the EY Future Consumer Index is based on a survey of 4,859 consumers across the US, Canada, UK, France and Germany during the week of April 6 2020. The survey questionnaire covered
                                                                                                                              current behaviours, sentiment and intent.

16 | Issue 03                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          Issue 03 | 17
THE RETAIL WORLD 2020 - ISSUE 03 RETAILING IN A TIME OF CRISIS - A WORLD RETAIL CONGRESS PUBLICATION - Retail & Leisure International
CONSUMER TRENDS
                                                                     For those stores that have been allowed to stay open during this crisis, all the existing
                                                                     rules of layout and merchandising have had to change. But as and when more stores
                                                                     re-open, what will be the key considerations retailers need to make if they are going
                                                                     to appeal to the new consumer that will emerge post-crisis. Mathias Ullrich, Managing
                                                                     Director of the LIGANOVA Group shares his vision.

           THE POST-CORONA                                           A
                                                                               s the COVID-19 crisis continues, nobody knows
                                                                               when everyday life will be possible again. Yet
                                                                               one thing is certain: the longer this state of
                                                                                                                                      as to coordinate touchpoints and add or expand service
                                                                                                                                      offerings. Adjusting the brand, target group and value
                                                                                                                                      proposition requires rethinking the company’s offering

           CONSUMER
                                                                               emergency lasts and the stricter the measures to       based on customer needs. This affects the relevance of
                                                                     slow the virus’s spread, the more likely it is that there will   certain product categories, but also the characteristics of
                                                                     be no return to the status quo.                                  products themselves. Depending on the scenario, the origin,
                                                                                                                                      ecological and social footprint and the longevity of products
                                                                     The best way forward for retailers is to plan ahead
                                                                                                                                      become increasingly relevant. Retailers must seek a close
                                                                     based on scenarios that outline a possible future. These
             By Mathias Ullrich, Managing Director, LIGANOVA Group                                                                    exchange with existing and new target groups, to identify
                                                                     scenarios include changes in social behaviour (a return to
                                                                                                                                      their needs and sharpen the product range accordingly.
                                                                     cosmopolitan communities vs. further social cocooning),
                                                                     consumer behaviour (hedonism and spending vs.                    This proximity to the customer is also essential for the
                                                                     continued minimalism), travel behaviour (globetrotting           development of new products. The role of experience in
                                                                     vs. “purpose before playa”) and changes in work behaviour        retail will continue to be crucial for consumers when it
                                                                     (work-life balance vs. security and a return to tradition).      comes to choosing the right product. Retailers should not
                                                                                                                                      take for granted that consumers will fall back into purchase
                                                                     No matter how each retailer sees the future, it should
                                                                                                                                      patterns that are purely product-price based. The desire for
                                                                     already be implementing actions and measures to prepare
                                                                                                                                      the right experience could well increase, as consumers tend
                                                                     for the new normal. However, companies must avoid the
                                                                                                                                      towards more careful and selective purchases in the future.
                                                                     risk of reactivity and getting lost in short-lived measures.
                                                                                                                                      Retailers are best advised to double down on experience
                                                                     The shift in consumer behaviour and preferences presents         rather than trying to turn back time.
                                                                     a great opportunity for retailers to rethink their brand
                                                                                                                                      Retailers might also rethink their retail footprints: is the
                                                                     values, positioning and, more importantly, their go-to-
                                                                                                                                      megastore approach still future-proof post COVID-19? Or is
                                                                     market approach. Particular attention must be paid to
                                                                                                                                      this an opportunity to diversify the footprint and include a
                                                                     the point of sale (POS). As physical touchpoints are under
                                                                                                                                      mix of store formats, ranging from flagship stores to shop-
                                                                     scrutiny, the role of the POS needs to be fundamentally
                                                                                                                                      in-shop or pop-up store concepts where local customer
                                                                     rethought. Online shopping proved to be reliable and
                                                                                                                                      proximity is higher and micro-segments can be targeted
                                                                     acceptable during the crisis, so physical stores may
                                                                                                                                      more efficiently?
                                                                     increase in relevance as the destination touchpoint for
                                                                     experiences. In this setup, physical touchpoints could be        While the lockdown has undisputedly created a financial
                                                                     less crowded with products and have a more spacious              threat to retailers globally, it also offers the chance to
                                                                     showroom character, while seamlessly integrating the             rectify omissions of the past. The time is ripe to deepen
                                                                     digital space as an “endless aisle” for replenishment of         relationships with customers, expand or hone product
                                                                     goods not available in-store.                                    offerings, and push forward the inevitable shift to
                                                                                                                                      full digital integration and immersive, transformative
                                                                     Similarly, the merging of digital and physical touchpoints
                                                                                                                                      experiences. And while each retailer’s strategy will be
                                                                     is becoming more important than ever. New, innovative
                                                                                                                                      unique, they are united by one factor: this shared and
                                                                     service offerings could contribute to a smooth customer
                                                                                                                                      unprecedented moment of opportunity.
                                                                     journey in the future. Observing and anticipating consumer
                                                                     behaviour is of great importance in this regard, as well

Photo by CJ Infantino on Unsplash

                                                                                                                                                                                               Issue 03 | 19
FUTURE TRENDS
                                                                       It is hard to see beyond today’s short term, enormous challenges. But in a crisis that
                                                                       is sweeping away so much of what we’ve come to take for granted, can we imagine
                                                                       a different future in which a new retail can emerge? Saher Sidhom, the founder of
                                                                       specialist, scenario planning network Hackmasters, gives his unique perspective that
                                                                       poses some profound questions

           IMAGINING A NEW                                             I
                                                                           n a PC (Post COVID-19) world the retail industry’s
                                                                           biggest mistake would be to miss the opportunity
                                                                           to re-imagine itself. COVID-19 has set retail and its
                                                                                                                                       landlords. Collaboration is needed – from local and
                                                                                                                                       frugal innovation/appropriate technology movement to
                                                                                                                                       open source working practices. Collaborations around

           RETAIL FUTURE
                                                                           consumers some interesting and searching questions:         efficiencies and around growth, the retail industry will
                                                                                                                                       need to echo the technology industry in its ability to
                                                                       •    Do we really need anything but the essentials? In
                                                                                                                                       network, exchange data and improve the seamless transfer
                                                                            the electronics sector the top selling categories are
                                                                                                                                       of opportunity and optimisation of collective resources.
                                                                            around home working, education, wellbeing and
                                                                                                                                       Winning in retail is not going to be by being smarter than
                                                                            entertainment. By contrast, the smartphone, which
             By Saher Sidhom, Founder and CEO, HACKMASTERS + MASTERS                                                                   a competitor but by being part of a most powerful and
                                                                            is the icon of modern technology over-inflation, is not
                                                                                                                                       symbiotic eco-system of partners.
                                                                            selling so well.
                                                                       •    Do we really need to breathe dirty air? The                On the paradigm level, there are many opportunities
                                                                            environment and air quality are some of the real           to consider:
                                                                            winners of the lockdown and people can literally           •    From stores to re-imagining spaces: modular, flexible,
                                                                            breathe the difference.                                         pop-up, show rooms and distribution warehouses in
                                                                       •    Can we afford to live in short termism without                  city centres. For example, look at how Dubai Airport
                                                                            resilience, adaptability and agility? As value chains           explored frontier technologies in self-assembly
                                                                            fail to meet different levels and types of demand,              architecture to build spaces that build themselves.
                                                                            think: waiting for an Ocado delivery slot or Amazon…            Space10 is an example from IKEA where an entire
                                                                            prioritising product categories or worse empty shelves…         village is designed for liveability and modularity
                                                                       All the above and more is begging a new question of the              where residents can swap flats.
                                                                       retail industry: What are the new values, infrastructures       •    From sales staff to true boundary-less communities
                                                                       and new paradigms that retail should set for itself?                 of passionate supporters of the brand purpose.
                                                                       EMBRACING CHANGE                                                •    From being a mere employer of people to a network
                                                                       Now is the time to redefine retail. The opportunity is to            manager of service providers, suppliers, influencers
                                                                       develop new breakthroughs in values, infrastructure and              and customers at local and global levels. A digital
                                                                       practice. As fashion forecaster Geraldine Wharry says: “It is        site is no longer a store but a livestreaming, content
                                                                       time to think the impossible.”                                       beaming, socially engaging community platform.
                                                                                                                                            Brands such as Nike and Lululemon that understood
                                                                       On the values level, at the top of the list is ‘caring’.             the value of community from the outset are the ones
                                                                       Retailers and brands alike need to discover their “heroic            that managed to enable community to be a peer-to-
                                                                       self and re-imagine their role in society,” as John Grant, an        peer channel rather than a loyalty programme.
                                                                       author and strategist, commented. Caring for something
                                                                                                                                       •    From bricks-and-mortar and digital to true
                                                                       bigger than themselves; caring for the environment and
                                                                                                                                            experiences that expand the senses not mimic what
                                                                       society is going to be essential at every level. This will
                                                                                                                                            is lost from the physical shopping experience.
                                                                       mean a move beyond disposable, obsolete and inflated
                                                                       products. Having a true and compelling purpose to a
                                                                       brand now and for the future needs to be seen in action.        INNOVATION WITH INTENT
                                                                       Consider YSL’s decision to abandon the fashion seasons          Innovation with intent is the ultimate insurance. We have
                                                                       and stop the madness of seasonal cycles.                        an opportunity to define new intent directions for the
                                                                       On the infrastructure level, COVID-19 has shown us how          industry: social, environmental and cultural. It is retail’s
                                                                       co-dependent everything and everyone is. Think: luxury          defining moment.
                                                                       goods without tourism…retailers without understanding

Photo by Franck V. on Unsplash

                                                                                                                                                                                               Issue 03 | 21
ANALYSIS
                                                   Three clear consumer propositions can help us identify the winners from the retail

             THE STRONGEST
                                                   lockdown. Elspeth Cheung, Global Brand Valuations Director at BrandZ, explains

                                                   T
                                                           he latest BrandZ Top 75 Most Valuable Global              Even with social distancing measures in place, businesses
                                                           Retail ranking shows that the brand value of              with grocery at their core have benefited from a rise in

             RETAIL BRANDS ARE
                                                           retailers is growing. Notably however the rise in         spending as people have put food at the centre of their
                                                           total value is being driven by a key handful of           lockdown around the world.
                                                   brands rather than across the board.
                                                                                                                     The final group of companies that have done well are those
                                                   With many physical retail outlets forced to close as part         that have ensured our minds and bodies are kept fit during

             GETTING STRONGER
                                                   of the lockdown, the biggest group of winners have been           confinement. Yoga clothing brand lululemon is the top
                                                   the digital natives. The coronavirus crisis underscores the       riser in this year’s ranking up 40% to $9.7 billion.
                                                   essential role that retail plays in both our daily lives and
                                                                                                                     And it’s succeeded not just because it sells the right
                                                   the overall global economy. Amazon, JD and Alibaba are all
                                                                                                                     clothing but because it also delivers lessons and guidance
                                                   ecommerce giants that have benefited from their ability
                                                                                                                     on how best to stay supple through a series of online
                                                   to help customers navigate the lockdown by supplying the
              Elspeth Cheung, Global               goods that we have needed to make home life work.
                                                                                                                     lessons and fitness programmes.
              Brand Valuations                                                                                       All three categories of brands share one thing in common,
              Director, BrandZ                     Amazon, the most valuable retail brand, is up 32% to
                                                                                                                     they are going the extra mile to help us navigate a unique
                                                   $415.9 billion, commanding 27% of the Top 75’s total brand
                                                                                                                     period in the world’s history. How retailers behave during
                                                   value, while JD has risen 24% to $25.5 billion and Alibaba
                                                                                                                     this crisis in terms of helping people through the crisis, as
                                                   is up 16% to $152.5 billion.
                                                                                                                     well as the way in which they treat their staff and whether
                                                   The second group of retailers to thrive have been the             they comply with government and health advice, will be
                                                   supermarkets, brands that sell most of their goods and            important to their survival. The brand value they accrue
                                                   services from physical locations have also thrived with           will help them to come out of this period stronger and
                                                   Walmart up 24% at $45.8 billion and Costco up 35% at              more resilient than their competitors.
                                                   $28.7 billion we see Walmart and Costco also featuring in
                                                   our top 10 risers table.

                                                              TOP 75 MOST VALUABLE GLOBAL RETAIL BRANDS 2020
                                       Rank              Brand                        Category            Brand Value2020 $M          Brand Value2019 $M         Brand Value % Change
                                                                                                                                                                 2020 vs. 2019

                                        1                        Amazon                    Retail          415,855                     315,505                     +32%

                                        2                        Alibaba                   Retail          152,525                     131,246                     +16%

                                        3                        McDonald’s                Fast Food       129,321                     130,368                     -1%

                                        4                        The Home Depot            Retail          57,585                      53,507                      +8%

                                        5                        Louis Vuitton             Luxury          51,777                      47,214                      +10%

                                        6                        Nike                      Apparel         49,962                      47,360                      +5%

                                        7                        Starbucks                 Fast Food       47,753                      45,884                      +4%

                                        8                        Walmart                   Retail          45,783                      36,801                      +24%

                                        9                        Chanel                    Luxury          36,120                      37,006                      -2%

                                        10                       Hermès                    Luxury          33,008                      30,966                      +7%

                                            The Top 75 Most Valuable Global Retail Brands was due to be launched at the 2020 World Retail Congress, originally scheduled
                                            for 28 April and now taking place 28-30 October. BrandZ continues to partner with World Retail Congress and launched the retail
                                            report together via a bespoke digital experience. The report together with a wide range of interactive and downloadable content is
                                            now available in a special BrandZ and World Retail Congress Virtual World Experience. Go to https://retail.diginar.io to download
JL IMAGES / Shutterstock.com
                                            the special app.

                                                                                                                                                                              Issue 03 | 23
ANALYSIS

                                        T
                                                 he retail innovations we’ve been tracking continue    TEA CHAIN USES LIVE STREAMING AND INFLUENCER TO
                                                 to highlight the acceleration of trends that were     LAUNCH NEW PRODUCT

             RETAIL INNOVATIONS
                                                 already gaining traction prior to the COVID-19        In China, Naixue Tea collaborated with Alibaba’s local
                                                 pandemic — including livestreaming sales, creative    delivery service affiliates and ecommerce livestreamer
                                        influencer marketing and the use of virtual reality — while    Zhang Dayi to launch a new line of themed products for
                                        also attempting to strike the right balance between            customers to enjoy at home. Zhang’s BigEve beauty brand
                                        consumer safety and convenience.                               worked with the chain to create a gift box shaped like a

             RESPONDING TO
                                                                                                       to-go cup, which they filled with a limited-edition cleanser,
                                        “This is the moment for business leaders to be investing in
                                                                                                       facial scrub, body wash, and Naixue drink vouchers.
                                        understanding the innovation landscape which will frame
                                        future retail. We are on the verge of ‘the great reset’ and    Takeaway: The livestream on Taobao sold nearly 3000
                                        those that are on the right side of disruption will thrive,”   sets within seconds, and more than 10,000 units by the

             CORONAVIRUS
                                        James Bidwell, Co-Founder of disruption and innovation         end of the broadcast. As the ecommerce/livestreaming
                                        consultancy Re_Set, commented.                                 space becomes more crowded, it’s important to cater to a
                                                                                                       target market. Consumers aged between 21 and 30 years
                                        Livestreaming and VR have allowed some brands to shift
                                                                                                       old have become the core tea drinkers, accounting for half
                                        sales online or, in some cases, launch and promote brand
                                                                                                       of the total number. Because young white-collar workers
                                        new products. In China, we’ve seen Naixue Tea collaborate
              Justin Sablich, Editor,                                                                  in China — especially women (70%) — are Naixue’s target
                                        with an influencer to release a new line targeted at young,
              Springwise                                                                               customers, livestreaming events and beauty collaborations
                                        home consumers. Other brands, like one bridal company
                                                                                                       are particularly attractive and represent the future of
                                        we spotted in Spain, have created new, virtual platforms to
                                                                                                       advertising to many industries.
                                        continue moving products during the lockdown.
                                                                                                       Find out more
                                        While many retailers are focusing on ecommerce solutions,
                                        there are innovations making it possible to keep foot
                                        traffic active in-store, where possible, and with social
                                        distancing in mind. A design studio in Rotterdam has
                                        come up with a new layout for open-air markets and an
                                        American tech company has developed a smart device for
                                        use in-store that ensures shoppers keep a safe distance.
                                        Time will tell whether these innovative retail ideas will
                                        remain relevant once there is a return to relative normalcy,
                                        but it is without doubt inspiring to see so many creative
                                        solutions evolving out of this crisis.

                                          VCG

                                                                                                           Image by 二 毛 from Pixabay

Photo by Ramon Kagie on Unsplash

Copy                                                                                                                                                           Issue 03 | 25
BRIDAL COMPANY LAUNCHES FIRST VIRTUAL                         JEWELLER PIVOTS TO LIVESTREAMED ‘STORES’                       Takeaway: According to many health officials, COVID-19         REDESIGNED LOCAL FOOD MARKETS WITH SOCIAL
          SHOWROOM                                                                                                                     can spread between people up to two metres from                DISTANCING IN MIND
                                                                                                                                       each other, which is the encouraged guideline for social
                                                                                                                                       distancing. Shops have therefore had to put stringent
                                                                                                                                       measures in place, to enforce social distancing, but many
                                                                                                                                       are struggling with this, because of excess demand and
                                                                                                                                       stock-piling trends. In addition to new technology like
                                                                                                                                       Indyme’s being developed, we’re also seeing increased use
                                                                                                                                       of contactless or cashier-less technology and redesigned
                                                                                                                                       store layouts.
                                                                          Pixabay
                                                                                                                                       Find out more
                                                                        The Shenzhen-based multi-brand jeweller Ideal converted        INSTACART SHARES DATA TROVE TO EASE GROCERY
                                                                        its business almost overnight from a traditional, bricks       SHORTAGES
                                                                        and mortar-based shop, to an ecommerce model that uses
                                                                        livestreaming. The company’s in-store sales staff have
                                                                        become live broadcasters, with each one managing their
                                                                        own livestreamed ‘store’ as a type of franchise. Ideal has
                                                                        partnered with SaaS retail software provider YouZan to
                                                                        build a mini-platform within the popular WeChat app.
                                                                        Takeaway: By moving to a livestreaming model, Ideal
                                                                        is able to curate its collections to target regional tastes
                                                                        and styles. Sales associates are also able to also create
                                                                        personalised content, such as giving style advice and
                                                                        offering regional promotions. The company had planned
                                                                        to roll out the new platform later in the year but pushed
                                                                        it forward by several months after being forced to close
                                                                        stores during the pandemic. This livestreaming model is
                                                                                                                                        Instacart
                                                                        becoming increasingly popular in China, but in light of the
                                                                        current situation we may well see it expand very soon into
                                                                                                                                       The American online grocery delivery platform Instacart is
                                                                        new markets across the world.
                                                                                                                                       sharing its vast trove of data with producers of packaged
                                                                        Find out more                                                  food items. The hope is this will help with widespread
Ich bin dann mal raus hier. from Pixabay                                                                                               supply chain issues. Instacart delivers from 25,000 grocery
                                                                                                                                       stores, located in more than 5,500 cities across North
          Barcelona-based bridal company Pronovias Group                IN-STORE DEVICE TO HELP SOCIAL DISTANCING
                                                                                                                                       America. This gives the company a unique position to
          launched what it claims to be the first digital showroom                                                                     capture data on what people are buying on a particular day
          in the industry, where customers can shop the latest                                                                         and which products are running low and where.
          collections of all the group’s brands – Pronovias, St
          Patrick, Nicole, White One and Lady Bird. It also debuted                                                                    Takeaway: Instacart had already been working with
          a B2B e-service platform to exchange information with                                                                        selected large packaged food manufacturers, such as             Shift Architecture Urbanism

          customers and plans to expand the number of countries                                                                        Conagra and Kraft Heinz, to track where products are
          that offer virtual appointments.                                                                                             running low and fine-tune supply chains. The pandemic          The Rotterdam-based design studio Shift has created
                                                                                                                                       sped up this process and is also providing Instacart with      a hyperlocal market design that keeps shoppers safe
          Takeaway: With over 400 points of sale in 105 countries,                                                                     the opportunity to demonstrate how its analytics platform
                                                                         IndyMe                                                                                                                       through social distancing. Any open-air market can use
          the initiative is part of Pronovias’ digital transformation                                                                  can aid food manufacturers. The tech firm has had to           the design. Rather than congregating in a single location,
          process to improve the service for their worldwide            San Diego-based tech company Indyme, which specialises         respond to issues around PPE for workers and sick pay, but     the market’s vendors split into groups of threes and set
          customers, through multiple channels. According to            in shopper engagement and loss prevention, is making           it has also had a role to play in helping get grocery supply   up around the outside of a 16-square grid with a single
          IBISWorld, the wedding service industry generated             social distancing easier to follow inside shops selling        chains running smoothly again.                                 entrance and two exits.
          €71bn in 2019. With couples postponing or significantly       essential items, such as groceries and pharmacies. The
          downsizing their wedding arrangements and honeymoons,                                                                        Find out more                                                  Takeaway: The COVID-19 pandemic is certainly
                                                                        SmartDome is easy to install and able to be adapted for
          the COVID-19 shutdown has uprooted the wedding service        checkouts, counters, entrances and busy parts of the shop.                                                                    emphasising the importance of local trade and community
          industry and the accompanying 1.2 million jobs. However,      It is similar to a security camera, and it watches customers                                                                  connections. It will be interesting to see which adaptations
          knowing that couples will continue to get engaged, bridal     and sends out messages if they are not keeping to the                                                                         prove useful beyond the periods of lockdown and social
          companies are also planning for the future and being          rules of social distancing, such as “for your safety, please                                                                  distancing. It may be the case that the most flexible
          pushed to come up with innovative approaches.                 maintain at least six feet of social distance”.                                                                               solutions to these new challenges become more widely
                                                                                                                                                                                                      adapted for use in other types of disaster relief, especially
          Find out more
                                                                                                                                                                                                      if another wave of infections results in additional rounds
                                                                                                                                                                                                      of isolation measures later in the year.
                                                                                                                                                                                                     Find out more
                                                                                                                                       Every day, powered by its global community of innovators, Springwise spots and analyses the latest innovations that
                                                                                                                                       promote positive and sustainable change from around the globe. For further information and to sign up to Springwise
                                                                                                                                                          visit www.springwise.com/newsletter or email them at info@springwise.com.

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