The Role of Herd Immunity in Control of Contagious Diseases

 
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The Role of Herd Immunity in Control of Contagious Diseases
International Journal of Research and Review
                                                                                            Vol.7; Issue: 7; July 2020
                                                                                        Website: www.ijrrjournal.com
Review Article                                                               E-ISSN: 2349-9788; P-ISSN: 2454-2237

            The Role of Herd Immunity in Control of
                      Contagious Diseases
                      Janki Vyas, Apeksha Kadam, Rajshree Mashru
                 Dept. of Pharmacy, The M.S. University of Baroda, Vadodara, Gujarat, India
                                      Corresponding Author: Rajshree Mashru

ABSTRACT
                                                           Keywords: Herd Immunity; Herd immunity
Herd Immunity is a form which occurs when a                threshold;    Basic    Reproductive number,
large percentage of a population has                       Infectious disease; Vaccination
become immune to an infection, whether
through vaccination or previous infections so as           INTRODUCTION
to provide indirect protection against an                          When the immunity of a large
infectious disease and can measure protection              proportion of the members in a susceptible
for individuals who are not immune to the                  population is developed against any
infection. The Basic Reproduction number (R0)
                                                           infectious     disease,     spread     of   the
is an important term which helps calculation to
calculate the capability of an individual to infect        transmission is ceased of and there is
an individual further and enables to discover the          consequent lessening of the likelihood of an
minimum amount of population coverage                      affected individual coming into contact with
immune to develop herd immunity of that                    a susceptible individual. This is termed as
specific disease. When a critical proportion of            Herd Immunity. [1] It consists of two words
the population becomes immune, called the herd             mainly Herd meaning a group or community
immunity threshold (HIT), the infectious disease           and Immunity which has to be interpreted.
may no longer persist in the population, ceasing           The term immunity means is a state of
to be endemic at the end. Social networks                  resistance of an organism to invade biotic
however undergo constant growth, and it may                and abiotic pathogens and their harmful
be argued that network growth may change the
                                                           effects which prevents the spread of
level of herd immunity present in social
networks. Vaccination helps prevent circulation            infection. [2] Herd Immunity is also called as
of the infectious agents in susceptible                    Community          Immunity;         Population
population. High uptake and more effective the             Immunity or Social Immunity. The
vaccine is more are the chances of success to              Immunity can be tested for, as the presence
eradicate infectious diseases like in the case of          of antibody, or as skin test or lymphocyte
smallpox and polio. Herd immunity's inclusion              response to stimulation, against the chosen
in vaccination programmes makes it more                    antigen. Herd immunity is quantifiable by
favorable in cost-effectiveness or cost–benefit            testing a sample of the population forthe
ratios and an increase in the number of disease            presence of the selected immune parameter.
cases avoided by due to vaccination. Herd or               It is not dependent on the ease or difficulty
also known as Population Immunity is highly
                                                           of circulation of neither an infectious agent
debatable subject and had different views by
researchers regarding achievement of herd                  nor its elimination. It may be due to natural
immunity in any disease control approach. In               infection,     or    immunization,       or   a
                                                                                     [1]
this article we have tried to enlighten the                combination of both.          We can develop
concepts regarding herd immunity; the diseases             resistance naturally. When our body is
which can be accounted with it; its link with              exposed to a virus or bacteria, it makes
vaccination strategies and part of the disease             antibodies to fight off the infection. When we
eradication.

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The Role of Herd Immunity in Control of Contagious Diseases
Janki Vyas et.al. The role of herd immunity in control of contagious diseases

recover, body keeps these antibodies. The                individuals do not develop immunity, but
body will defend against another infection and           enjoy the protection because of break in
that was the reason which stopped the Zika               spread of infection. Thus, the herd
virus outbreak in Brazil. Two years after                protection is the major beneficial
the outbreak began, 63% of the population                component of immunization for an
had had exposure to the virus. Researchers               unimmunized population in an infectious
think the community reached the right level              disease. [4]
for herd immunity. Similarly vaccines can
also build up resistance. They make your
body think a virus or bacteria have infected it.
You don’t get sick, but your immune
system still makes protective antibodies. The
next time your body meets that bacteria or
virus, it’s ready to fight it off. This is what
stopped polio in the United States. A
community reaches herd immunity on the
basis of calculation of reproduction number
(R0). It tells you the average number of people
that a single person with the virus can infect if
those people aren’t already immune. The
higher the R0, the more people need to be
resistant to reach herd immunity. [3] Herd               Figure 1 [33]: It states that Green: immune, Red: infected, Blue:
protection: Protection to the unimmunized                not immune but protected due to herd immunity

individual without inducing immunity,
virtually by breaking the transmission of the                    It is proposed that herd effect be
infection or lessening the chances of                    defined as the alteration of the
susceptible coming in contact with infective             epidemiological frequency parameters (of
individual. In a case when majority of a                 infection or disease as the case may be) in
given population generally 80-90 % is                    the unimmunized segment of a population
immune to a contagious; or maybe                         as a result of immunizing a proportion of the
infectious disease (spreads by any bacteria              population. The alteration is usually a
or virus) but are recovered through innate               decline of incidence of infection(hence
immunity by producing antibodies or can be               lower incidence of disease). However, in the
achieved by vaccination. It is applicable                age group immunized there will always be a
only to the infections which spread from                 reduction of incidence of the infection if
one person to another person .When any                   there was herd effect. In most, if not all
infectious disease in a large population                 other cases, herd effect of high herd
liable to be immune spreads by the                       immunity induced by immunization is
susceptible individual from person to person             beneficial in reducing the burden of disease;
then there are less chances of the infection             its extreme benefit is the interruption of
to be transmitted effectively as healthy                 transmission itself.
immune individuals would act as an
immunological          barrier   against     the         HISTORY
transmission in the community. Thus this                         In 1923 W C Topsley and G S
immunized person gives back through                      Wilson published a paper briefing series of
namely through herd protection.                          experiments on populations of susceptible
         In clinical practice, herd immunity             and immunized mice which was first to
does not play significant role, while herd               articulate a fundamental problems in
protection plays a major role, though to a               infectious disease research and control came
limited extent, because unimmunized                      to a conclusion by firstly coining the term

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‘Herd Immunity’. [5] Moreover A W Hedrich                an individual’s system. For example very
recognized it as a naturally driven                      young children and elderly as well as very
phenomenon        in   his   research     on             frail adults due to weak immune system
epidemiology of measles in Baltimore while               might be more susceptible to the infections.
it came into effect in 1930’s ; where the
Research mainly emphasizes on fact that the
number of new infections eventually
decreased including susceptible population ,
when more number of the children were
immune to measles. [6] Moreover a simple
threshold theorem which used to calculate
any particular disease’s herd immunity
threshold was recognized by Smith in 1970
& Dietz in 1975. [7] Herd Immunity came
into consideration by the small pox
eradication campaign in 1970’s by the
running practice of ‘Ring Vaccination’
                                                                   Figure 2: Phase II of Herd Immunity [9]
where every person in the ring should be
immune around the infected individual in
order to prevent spreading of the infection.                     When only small percentage of
[8]
    Then Herd Immunity had gained broader                population is vaccinated the risk of the
after their connection with Mass vaccination             outbreak of the disease is much greater than
programmes, cost–benefit analyses of                     one in which most of them are vaccinated.
vaccination, discussion topics on their                  The unvaccinated members of the
integral role in disease eradication. [7]                population are not directly protected and
Thereafter since the adoption of mass and                each of the community member have higher
ring     vaccination,    complexities   and              risk of being infected.
challenges to herd immunity were been
discovered. [7,8]

Phases of Herd Immunity

                                                                   Figure 3: Phase III of Herd Immunity [9]

                                                                When a large percentage of
        Figure 1: Phase I of Herd Immunity [9]           population is vaccinated, the spread of
                                                         disease is limited. This indirectly protects
        When a contagious disease enters an              the unimmunized individuals including
unvaccinated group, many members are                     those who cannot be vaccinated and those
affected as they lack immunity against the               for whom vaccination was not successful.
disease; an important element of it can be               When more of the population is vaccinated,
determined by the maturity and strength of               the spread of infection is also less. If the

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number of immunized exceeds 80-95%;                       We consider an “idealized” population in
most likely the herd immunity’s effect also               which during the period of infectiousness an
increases. [10]                                           infectious person has contact with 4 other
BASIC REPRODUCTION NUMBER                                 persons and with 2 of the 4 the contact is
Basic Reproduction number (R0): It is a                   “close” enough for the infection to be
fundamental statistic in epidemiology for                 transmitted. Here when the infectious
the purpose of studying infectious disease                person is introduced into a totally
dynamics to summarize a complex set of                    susceptible population, he or she infects 2
factors affecting the rate of transmission in a           others (first generation) and then these 2
population. It is mainly number of                        others each go on to infect a further 2 others
secondary cases generated by a typical                    of their 4 contacts (second generation) In
infectious individual when the rest of the                this situation the basic reproductive number
population is susceptible (at the start of a              (R0) is 2. Now consider the same situation
novel outbreak). [11] Basic reproductive                  after half of the population has been
number varies differently from various                    rendered immune to infection by
types of infectious agents depending on                   vaccination, so that (on average) 2 out each
factors such as: its life in through the                  person’s 4 contacts will be not susceptible
environment, dose necessary for the                       to infection.
infection, duration of infectiousness on host.                     Initially when any infectious person
        R0 may also vary from population to               is introduced into the population only one
population depending on factors such as                   infection results (first generation) as one of
population density, which may affect the                  the contacts who previously would have
number of effective contacts a person has                 been infected has been protected by
while he/she is infectious. It may also vary              vaccination. Similarly, the one newly
with season for some infections, as the                   infected person only goes on to infect one
ambient conditions may affect the survival                person (second generation) because half of
of the agent in the environment and the                   the contacts have been directly protected by
extent to which people have close contact                 vaccination. In this situation the effective
with each other may be different in warmer                reproductive number (sometimes designated
and colder periods. The indirect protection               by “Re”) is thus 1. Note the person circled
that may be provided to unvaccinated                      in Figure 6. This person was infected in the
persons if the level of herd immunity is                  scenario considered in Figure 1 but was not
increased by vaccination is illustrated                   infected in the scenario considered in Figure
schematically in Figure 5.                                6, even though the person had not been
                                                          vaccinated in Figure 6.
                                                          This is because the person was indirectly
                                                          protected, as the person who would have
                                                          infected them was themselves protected by
                                                          vaccination and therefore did not pass the
                                                          infection on. This is an illustration of a
                                                          herd-protective effect of vaccination, where
                                                          increasing the level of vaccination (in this
                                                          case from zero to 50%) has reduced the risk
                                                          of infection among the unvaccinated.

       Figure 5: Scenario before Vaccination [13]

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                                                                   sustainable within the population and the
                                                                   infection will be eliminated. In general, the
                                                                   effective reproductive number (Re) will be
                                                                   lower than the basic reproductive number
                                                                   (R0), depending on the proportion (P) of the
                                                                   population who are immune to infection.
                                                                   Such immunity may be induced either by a
                                                                   previous infection with the agent (if such
                                                                   infection produced immunity) and/or by
                                                                   immunization with an effective vaccine.
                                                                           Simply, R = (1-P) * R0. Therefore,
                                                                   for infection elimination or eradication – i.e.
          Figure 4: Scenario after Vaccination [13]
                                                                   to reduce R below 1, then P must be equal
                                                                   to at least (1-1/R0). So, for example, if R0 =
        Thus, in Figure 5 the attack rate                          5 then P must be at least (1-1/5) = 0.8. That
among susceptible in the second generation                         is, 80% of the population must be immune,
was 25% whereas in Fig2 it is 12.5% .When                          either through previous infection or
an infection which is transmitted from                             vaccination.
person to person, or for which humans are                                  The value of P that reduces R to at
the principal reservoir, to be maintained in a                     most 1 is commonly called the “herd
population, each case of infection must give                       immunity threshold” – the level of
rise to at least one other case – i.e. the                         population immunity that is necessary for
Effective Reproduction number(Re) must be                          the infection to be no longer self-sustaining
above 1.R0 is an indication of the                                 in the population. The table mentioned
transmissibility of a virus, representing the                      below shows estimated values of R0 for
average number of new infections generated                         some common infections and the derived
by an infectious person in a susceptible                           values for the herd immunity thresholds
population.                                                        using the formula given above. The higher
        For R0 >1, the number infected is                          the value of R0 the higher the level of
likely to increase, and for R0
The Role of Herd Immunity in Control of Contagious Diseases
Janki Vyas et.al. The role of herd immunity in control of contagious diseases

Measles                                                         In 2018, measles caused an
        Measles is a highly infectious and              estimated 10 million cases. WHO
one of the most contagious viral diseases               recommends 95% coverage using two doses
caused by the paramyxovirus family. It                  of measles vaccine to prevent the outbreaks.
usually spreads through direct contact (close           In 2018, only 86% 0f children globally
personal contact with infected nasal or                 received the first dose through routine
throat secretions) or through airborne                  immunization while in the second case, the
transmission (coughing and sneezing) which              coverage globally is just 69%. At 2.3
causes febrile illness typically in young               million, India is at second highest number of
children. [14,15] It is a human disease and is          children who are not vaccinated against
not known to occur in animals. It remains               measles which is the report published in
active and contagious in air up to2 hours;              Morbidity and Mortality Weekly Report
gets transmitted by an infected person from             (MMWR). There were nearly 70,000 cases
4 days prior to the onset of the rash to 4              of measles in India in 2018, the third highest
days after the rash erupts. [14] Each person            in the world. In 2019,over 29,000 confirmed
with measles may go on to infect 9 to 18                cases have been reported to the WHO. The
others in a susceptible population according            WHO recommends 95% coverage using two
to the basic reproductive number calculated.            doses of measles vaccine to prevent the
[15]
                                                        outbreaks.      In     Mass     Immunization
        Measles outbreaks can result in                 Campaigns are effective strategy for
epidemics that cause many deaths,                       delivering vaccination to children who have
especially among young, malnourished                    otherwise been missed by routine services.
                                                        [17]
children. More than 1,40,000 people died
from measles in 2018 – mostly children                          Herd immunity, in the conventional
under the age of 5 years, despite the                   sense of total protection of susceptible
availability of a safe and effective vaccine            individuals by immunity in persons around
according to the report in MMWR. Global                 them, is very difficult to establish against
measles deaths have decreased by 73% from               measles, because the virus is extremely
an estimated 5, 36,000 in 2000* to 1, 42,000            contagious and a very high level of
in 2018. In countries where measles has                 population immunity is required. However,
been largely eliminated, cases imported                 population immunity affects the frequency
from other countries remain an important                of virus transmission and hence the age at
source of infection. All children diagnosed             infection. Immunity to measles derives from
with measles should receive two doses of                two sources: active immunization resulting
vitamin A supplements, given 24 hours                   from infection with wild or attenuated
apart as it restores low vitamin A levels               measles virus, and passive immunization by
during measles that occur even in well-                 transplacentally acquired antibody. Active
nourished children and can help prevent eye             immunization makes the more important
damage and blindness which have shown to                contribution to herd protection, but the
reduce the number of measles deaths. [14]               duration of passive protection is quite
The basic reproduction number R0 is                     variable, and it is important in providing
estimated to be 12-18.                                  protection during the most vulnerable age.
                                                        [18]
        Measles      is   preventable     by
immunization but requires a very high
vaccine uptake to maintain herd immunity.               INFLUENZA VACINE
The need for maintenance of this high                           Flu is a contagious respiratory
coverage to stop transmission requires a                illness caused by influenza viruses that
robust vaccination programmes to be                     infect the nose, throat, and sometimes the
followed. [16]                                          lung and symptoms include chills/cough,
                                                        sore throat, runny or stuffy nose ,muscle or

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body aches, headaches and causes about
34,200 deaths according to CDC(Centre for
Disease control and Prevention) USA. [19]
The best way to prevent flu is by getting a
flu vaccine each year. Flu vaccines are
available every year before the flu season
begins in the fall and everyone aged 6
months and older is recommended to get the
vaccine. [20] Population including older
people, young children, and people
with certain     health     conditions   like
HIV/AIDS or Asthma or severe heart
conditions or Cancer are at high risk of                                      Figure 7 [34]

serious flu complications.
        Influenza is a vaccine preventable                       The basic reproductive number R0
disease. A trivalent inactivated influenza              enables the minimum percentage of
vaccine is most widely used and a cold                  population (Y) required to be immune for
adapted live attenuated influenza vaccine               providing the herd immunity for the entire
(LAIV) is also licensed in some countries.              population. [7, 24]
The efficacy of influenza vaccines against              Y= (R0– 1)/R0X 100
laboratory confirmed influenza is variable,             As per given data, R0= 2-3 as per recent
most probably because of frequent drift of              reports.
the virus. A systematic review confirmed                If R0= 2, then Y=[(2-1)/2]X100=50 %
overall ‘moderate protection’ of the vaccine.           Similarly, when R0=3,
Some studies have also provided evidence                         Then          Y=[(3-1)/3*100=66.66
of herd protection for the same. [21]                   %.Therefore, for R0= 2-3, nearly 50 to
                                                        66.66 percent (threshold) of the populations
HERD IMMUNITY AND COVID-19                              required to be immune against COVID-19
        The initial cases of novel corona               for the protection of susceptible individuals
virus now known as COVID -19 were found                 in a given population through herd
in Wuhan, Hubei province, China since 29                immunity. [24]
December 2019 initially identified on the                        Since the onset of SARS-COV-2
surveillance mechanism of “pneumonia with               spread, various studies have estimated the
unknown etiology” which was discovered in               basic reproductive number (R0) of the virus
the [SARS] Severe Acute Respiratory                     to be in the range of 2 to 6. From an initial
Syndrome outbreak in the year 2003 with                 cohort of 425 confirmed cases in Wuhan,
the aim for the identification of novel                 China, an R0 of approximately 2.2 was
pathogen. [22,23] It has spread worldwide               estimated, meaning that, on average, each
triggering into pandemic. The basic                     infected individual gives rise to 2.2 other
reproduction number is a central concept in             infections. More recent estimates place the
infectious disease epidemiology, indicating             R0 higher at 5.7, although many estimates
the risk of an infectious agent with respect            fall within this range. This variation reflects
to epidemic spread. [12] Covid-19’s basic               the difficulty of obtaining accurate R0
reproductive number has been derived to be              estimates in an ongoing pandemic, and the
median of 2.79.                                         current estimatedSARS-CoV2 R0 values
                                                        likely do not indicate a complete picture of
                                                        the transmission dynamics across all
                                                        countries.
                                                                 Assuming an R0 estimate of 2 for
                                                        SARS-CoV-2, the herd immunity threshold

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is approximately 66.67%. This means that                More research is needed on it .As vaccine is
the incidence of infection will start to                yet to be discovered, a large number of
decline once the proportion of individuals              population needs to be exposed and recover
with acquired immunity to SARS-CoV-2 in                 before we can have herd immunity .The
the population exceeds 0.66. As discussed               only selective pressure on SARS-CoV-2 is
above, this model relies on simplifying                 transmission—stop transmission and you
assumptions,      such as        homogeneous            stop the virus .The linchpin for a strategy to
population mixing and uniform sterilizing               move out of lockdown seemingly rests on
immunity in recovered individuals across                increased testing and contact tracing,
demographic groups, which are unlikely to               possible return-to-work permits based on
hold true. Nevertheless, this basic model can           immune        status, repurposed   or     new
give us a rough idea of the number of                   therapeutics, and,      finally, vaccination.
individuals that would need to be infected to           Current discussion, addresses the notion that
achieve herd immunity in the absence of a               scaled up antibody testing will determine
vaccine given an approximate herd                       who is immune, thus giving an indication of
immunity threshold and a country’s                      the extent of herd immunity and confirming
population. [25] The possibility of a mutation          who could re-enter the workforce. Currently
and emergence of a new strain of virus                  we should see the evidence-based
cannot be ruled out and it can make herd                assumptions on herd immunity, rather than
immunity ineffective although there is a                optimistic guesses. [26] There is an urgent
chance of emergence of vaccination for the              need for reliable antibody detection
effective herd immunity. [24] ELISA can be              approaches to support diagnosis, vaccine
calibrated to be specific for detecting and             development, safe release of individuals
quantifying SARS-CoV-2 IgM and IgG and                  from quarantine, and population lock-down
is highly sensitive for IgG from 10 days                exit strategies. [27]
following first symptoms.
        Numerous clinical trials to evaluate            EBOLA VIRUS
novel vaccine candidates and drug                               Given that the recent 2014 Ebola
repurposing strategies for the prevention               epidemic had a lower R 0 values hence less
and treatment of SARS COV-2 infection are               vaccine coverage than previous epidemics
currently ongoing. However, it is unknown               would be needed in order to prevent
whether these trials will produce effective             transmission. For future plans Ebola virus
interventions, and it is unclear how long               transmission can be blocked by vaccinating
these studies will take to establish efficacy           susceptible populations. It is easiest to
and safety, although an optimistic estimate             prevent an outbreak when a virus has a low
for any vaccine trial is at least 12–18                 R0value and high vaccine efficacy. [31] A
months. In the absence of a vaccine,                    Study suggest that Ebola viruses with R0≥ 3
building up SARS-CoV-2 herd immunity                    and vaccine effectiveness of 70%, (higher
through natural infection is theoretically              level) nearly all of the population would
possible.     However,      there     is    no          need to be vaccinated in order to establish
straightforward, ethical path to reach this             herd immunity
goal, as the societal consequences of                           It is important to note that there are
achieving it is devastating that virus causes.          several limitations to this study. The study
[25]
                                                        utilizes a simple threshold theorem which
         The main obstacle to achieving                 makes several assumptions: (1) random
COVID -19Herd Immunity is that virus that               vaccination within the population, (2)
causes the disease is “novel” namely it                 homogenous mixing of persons within the
hasn’t infected humans before and everyone              population, (3) homogeneous distribution of
is at risk of infection and there is no inbuilt         vaccine-induced protected and infected
immunity existing against the virus. Yet                persons within the population, and (4) fully

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susceptible population. Currently, there are            number of individuals is not always possible
known       contraindications    to    Ebola            within desired time range to control
vaccination for specific age ranges. The                transmission. Thus, it is important that
phase 1 trial by sarwar was limited to adults           future Ebola out-break protocols include
aged 18–60 years. Due to the restrictions in            intensive measures for containment to
age, a larger percentage of the adult                   prevent transmission. If supply is a potential
population needs to be vaccinated in order              issue it would be wise to distribute vaccine
to protect those who cannot be vaccinated.              supply in levels of priority. Similar to
If children and older adults were also                  vaccination protocols within hospitals an
eligible to be vaccinated, it would be easier           important target population to vaccinate
to reach the herd immunity threshold by                 would be healthcare workers. The Guinea
being able to vaccinate more individuals.               trial demonstrates the value of ring
The most recent phase 3 trial of Ebola                  vaccination in Ebola and the importance of
vaccination in Guinea involved ring                     vaccinating individuals who have been or
vaccination in a cluster-randomized style.              will be in close contact with the virus. This
Ring vaccination involves administering                 can include contacts of sick individuals such
vaccination only to a cluster of high risk              as family and friends, caregivers, and
individuals who are in close contact with a             contacts of contacts. As clinical trials are
confirmed isolated infected person. Eligible            still underway for development of Ebola
individuals in the clusters were given either           vaccines, the consequences in future are
immediate or delayed Ebola vaccination. Of              awaited for the novel vaccine efficacy data
the immediately vaccinated individuals the              to determine vaccine coverage needed to
vaccine was 100% effective as determined                prevent outbreaks. [28]
by no symptoms of ebolavirus disease 10
days after vaccination. Of all eligible                 VACCINATION AND VACCINE
individuals who received immediate or                   HESITANCY
delayed vaccination (21 days after                              Vaccination include partial or
randomization) the vaccine was 75.1%                    complete protection against symptomatic
effective and 76.3% effective spending on               illness, improved quality of life and
cluster. Because this was a cluster trial of            productivity, and prevention of death as
individuals in close contact with isolated              well as overall benefits to society including
infected person(s) the R0valueof the virus is           creation and maintenance of herd immunity
likely higher than in populations where                 against communicable diseases, prevention
individuals are not in close proximity.                 of disease outbreaks, and reduction in
Therefore, it is possible that critical                 health-care--related costs. [14]
vaccination coverage values may be lower                        A British Physician Andrew
in other communities. Importantly, the basic            Wakefield published a study which claimed
reproductive value of the outbreak in                   that there might be a link between the
Guinea was not reported so it is difficult to           vaccine for measles, mumps, and rubella
conclude exactly how the critical                       (MMR) and autism which is a
vaccination coverage would be affected. In              developmental disorder in the year 1998.
future outbreaks with a 100% efficacious                There is no such evidence proved; only
vaccine, as reported by the Guinea ring                 small group researchers entertained this
vaccination trial, 42–63% of the population             theory about autism and there were almost
would have to be vaccinated to prevent                  rare conflicts among the scientists regarding
transmission. There are several stressors that          the debate. Although the trends were only
could affect the ability to vaccinate                   coincidental, Wakefield’s paper helped run
individuals against Ebola in the future.                a debate in the media for about 15 years The
When outbreak occurs, access to adequate                paper got a growing concern amongst the
supply of vaccine to vaccinate sufficient               parents in the US and UK about a possible

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connection between the rising number of                 protected by achieving Herd Immunity.
childhood vaccinations and the rising rate of           Herd Immunity generally applies only to
autism among kids due to which there was a              diseases that are contagious; generally does
fear among the population stoked by the                 not apply to diseases like tetanus, food born
media coverage which caused delay or                    infections, intoxications etc.
decline in the vaccination of their children                    Herd immunity also assumes; if a
which led to increase in the measles                    person is infected it will cause infection to
infection gradually. [29] Education about               others making them immune towards the
herd immunity and local vaccination                     disease. In India the polio has been
coverage could be a useful tool in increasing           eradicated in children because of herd
vaccination       rates    and      benefiting          immunity due to its effective integral mass
communities.         Vaccination      protects          vaccinations strategy. But in case of covid -
individuals directly and communities                    19 herd immunity can only be achieved
indirectly by reducing transmission. [20]               when 60-90 % of the population gets
        If effective control of measles is to           infected, then they tend to get immune and
be attained in developing countries, a                  stop being the carriers of the virus and the
program must be designed to build on, and               remaining population which didn’t came
expand, herd immunity. [18] Vaccination                 into contact were indirectly been protected
risks range from common, minor, and local               from virus . But in India it is highly
adverse effects to rare, severe, and life-              dangerous due to overpopulation as we need
threatening conditions. [14] To be                      to have a robust health care system with
biologically interpretable and to be robust to          appropriate number of beds, ventilators,
different transmission conditions and                   oxygen cylinders for those who are being to
indirect effects, the parameters must take              get infected. UK tried to adopt herd
account of the type and amount of exposure              immunity for covid -19 but the cases went
to infection either by study design or by               too far to control the virus. Recently
mathematical        modeling.      Otherwise,           Sweden also approached herd immunity
equivalent populations with the same                    thinking of having a strong healthcare
transmission conditions could yield different           system to approach. Earlier measles and
efficacy estimates because of the indirect              polio were able to develop herd immunity
effects of vaccination. [30] Thus awareness             by the help of vaccination and not just
regarding vaccination is needed amongst                 naturally. Vaccines were invented and
population to utilize its benefits to the               vaccination camps were been introduced to
fullest                                                 immunize the children and help in vision to
                                                        eradicate the disease. According to WHO
DISCUSSION                                              only about 5 to 10% of the world’s
        When most of the populations in a               population has been exposed to corona virus
community are immune to a particular                    until now and experts say that India could
infection that is spread from person to                 develop herd immunity in 12 to 36 month
person, the natural transmission of the                 time period. Still question arises that
infection is effectively inhibited. Thus herd           immunity developed against corona virus;
immunity indirectly protects people who                 will it persist for whole life period or few
have inadequate access to immunization and              months or years we don’t know. So ideally
to people who remain unvaccinated by                    it would be much better if we develop herd
choice. People with multiple diseases at a              immunity with the help of vaccines. in many
time or those who are hospitalized could be             other cases there have been too many
benefited with Herd Immunity. Those group               variable factors for herd immunity to be a
of people undergoing chemotherapy                       success.
sessions or having disease like HIV which                       No matter how large the proportion
weakens the immune system are also been                 of immunes in the total population, if some

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Janki Vyas et.al. The role of herd immunity in control of contagious diseases

pockets of the community, such as low                   10. History of Vaccines. available from
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Success of a systematic immunization                        J. The reproductive number of COVID-19 is
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