Workshop on H2020 and the SME Instrument Presentation by an ESR evaluator Prague, 24 February, 2016

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Workshop on H2020 and the SME Instrument Presentation by an ESR evaluator Prague, 24 February, 2016
Workshop on H2020 and the SME Instrument
Presentation by an ESR evaluator

Prague, 24 February, 2016
Workshop on H2020 and the SME Instrument Presentation by an ESR evaluator Prague, 24 February, 2016
AIB Seed Capital Fund Overview

    €53m Seed and Early Stage fund

     66 investments in 40 Startups

             Started in 2008

    Expected to deliver 10 to 15% IRR
Workshop on H2020 and the SME Instrument Presentation by an ESR evaluator Prague, 24 February, 2016
Building Strong Value through Strong Portfolios
Workshop on H2020 and the SME Instrument Presentation by an ESR evaluator Prague, 24 February, 2016
Workshop
                            Berlin, May 2nd, 3rd
access to finance: what
are investors looking for?

1. Investment Principles and Perspectives
2. Early Stage Company Scorecard
           2.1      Crux
           2.2      Market & Competitor Analysis
           2.3      Product & Opportunity Fit (Projections)
           2.4      Promoter Strengths & Weaknesses

                                Eugene Smyth, Investment Manager
Workshop on H2020 and the SME Instrument Presentation by an ESR evaluator Prague, 24 February, 2016
principles
Investment Principles:

•   Triple digit exits on double-digit fundraisings
•   Scaleable, Profitable, Protectable IPR within Growth Sectors – (Legitimate Advantage)
•   Enough Opportunity Space to explore wider possibilities
•   Attractive to good Co-Investors because they will be Repeat Investors
•   Respect for the Promoters
•   Respect for the Fund

By Reference to Trends......
• Excitement: Tech is always moving - New gadgets, apps, media, materials , industries
• And if its a Recession. Plummeting Consumption. Get Real ....or Go Home.

Other Considerations:
• Does it fit the Portfolio, complementarity and overlap?
• Support & Guidance – feedback within reason during evaluation
• Active participation post-investment
• Does it have residual value if not so successful? – will have to manage the downside
Workshop on H2020 and the SME Instrument Presentation by an ESR evaluator Prague, 24 February, 2016
perspectives
Perspectives: If its a Decline, another VC Fund might go with it.....

•   LinkedIn:                  Jeff Clavier, Softech VC
•   AirBnB:                    Chriss Sacca, LowerCase Capital
                               Fred Wilson, Union Square Ventures
•   Amazon:                    Dave Berkus (Tech Coast Angels)

Bessemer: http://www.bvp.com/portfolio/antiportfolio

                                                              historical portfolio includes: network-
•   Apple , pre-IPO at $60M valuation: Neill Brownstein       technology companies Ciena (IPO) and P-
                                                              Com (IPO); Internet-infrastructure services
•   Intel: Pete Bancroft                                      such as PSI-Net (IPO), Keynote (IPO), Flycast
                                                              (IPO) and Netli (acquired by Akamai); and
•   Google, eBay, Paypal, CheckPoint: David Cowan             consumer Web sites Hotjobs (IPO), Blue Nile
                                                              (IPO) and Playdom (acquired by Disney). In
•   Ikanos Semiconductors: Rob Chandra                        1995 David co-founded VeriSign as a
                                                              Bessemer-funded spinout of RSA and served
•   Intuit: Neill Brownstein                                  as VeriSign's initial chairman; his other
•   Lotus, Compaq, StrataCom: : Felda Hardymon                cyber-security exits have included
                                                              Counterpane (acquired by BT), Cyota
•   Federal Express: Bessemer passed seven times              (acquired by RSA), ON (IPO), Postini
                                                              (acquired by Google), Tripwire (acquired by
                                                              Thoma Bravo), Tumbleweed (IPO),
                                                              Valicert (IPO), Worldtalk (IPO). -
Workshop on H2020 and the SME Instrument Presentation by an ESR evaluator Prague, 24 February, 2016
Differing Perspectives on Risk: Investor Vs Entrepreneur

                                           perspectives

                                           Ref: International Journal of Business and Economics
Workshop on H2020 and the SME Instrument Presentation by an ESR evaluator Prague, 24 February, 2016
Home -> Tools -> Entrepreneurial Readiness Print | My Account | Login
                                                                        Tools
Entrepreneurial Readiness Survey                                        Readiness Level Summary
                                                                        Entrepreneurial Readiness
                                                                        Risk Readiness
  Please fill out the questions below. Rank your answers with
  'Strongly Disagree' being the lowest (doesn't apply to me) and        Venture Readiness
  'Strongly Agree' being the highest (that is definitely me). When      Business Plan Readiness
  you are finished click on the calculate button to see the results
                                                                        Innovation Readiness
  of your Entrepreneurial Assessment. If you are logged in you
  can also click on the save button in order to pick up where you       Product Readiness            Project Scoring
  left off at a later time.                                             Venture Valuation
                                                                        Capitalization Tables

    Entrepreneurial Readiness Results

        0% - Credentials                                                                            Sources:
        0% - Capabilities
        0% - Character                                                                              - HBR, Siemens Venture Capital Scorecard
        0% - Commitment
        0% - Circumstances
                                                                                                    - EI, Accenture Study
                                                                                                    - BoozAllen Project Analysis
        0% - Total Entrepreneurial Readiness Score
                                                                                                    - eircom Diversification Project Evaluation
              Score >= 90 Investor Ready
              Score >= 80 High Performance Venture
              Score >= 70 Life-style Venture
              Score < 70 More Work Needed
                                                                                                                                          1.      What are we
    Calculate and Save                                                                              Scoring PayTools:                             trying to
    Credentials                                                                                     www.venturecapitaltools.com                   score..?
                                                                                                                                          2.      Can’t see the
     Select                    - I have licenses, certifications, or                                www.venturevaluation.com                      wood for the
                               degrees that validate my unique
                               entrepreneurial qualifications.
                                                                                                                                                  trees....
     Select                    - My network of professional and
                               business contacts will be valuable to
                                                                                                    Merits debated in other sources
                               my business objectives.
     Select                    - My formal education and/or training
                               applies directly to my entrepreneurial
                               objectives.
                                                                                                    VC blogs:
     Select                    - One or more of my immediate family                                 - AndrewChenBlog.com
                               members are entrepreneurs.
                                                                                                    - AskTheVC.com
    Capabilities                                                                                    - VentureHacks.com
     Select                    - I have previous experience as an                                   - StartupCompanyLawyer.com
                               entrepreneur.
     Select                    - I have small business experience
                               within my industry.
     Select                    - I have unusually keen insights and
                               perspectives about the industry,
                               market, and solutions.
     Select                    - I am comfortable securing money
                               for my company.
Workshop on H2020 and the SME Instrument Presentation by an ESR evaluator Prague, 24 February, 2016
http://ec.europa.eu/easme/en/question-sme-instrument
Workshop on H2020 and the SME Instrument Presentation by an ESR evaluator Prague, 24 February, 2016
Scoring
                                       scorecards

1.   Crux                              This is the Business Proposition
2.   Market & Competitor Analysis      There is/will be Market Space to play in
3.   Product & Opportunity Fit         This Proposition will Fit the Space
4.   Promoter Strengths & Weaknesses   This Team Can and Want to Do it

Process, (....generally.....)
emphasis                              appraisal
Fund Investment Appraisal & Emphasis
strengths
    Promoter Attributes                                        weaknesses
•     Always subjective, but CV’s offer weights.
•     Are there other Investors , Board Members ..?
•     1+1+1 = ? More than the sum of its parts, looking for a team capability, blending skills
•     Who’s doing the selling – CEO or SD?
•     Are good Partners attracted? ...Sales Execution is Key
•     Who’s building the product? Inhouse or External? Who’s responsible..?

•     Good Business plan – reads like a good book
•     Good Presentation – they know it, you know it..... (what are they like afterwards?)
•     Good Teamwork – different thinking, the different team skills are in evidence
•     Consistency through meetings – ‘... this happened as planned’
                                                Dave McClure
      Web Guides to VC                          - Startup Metrics for Pirates
                                                - Zapmeals Sample Pitch Presentation
      Presentations and                         - Blog: Master of 500 Hats
      general lessons                           Steve Blank: 4 Steps to Epiphany, Customer Development
      learned....                               Methodology
                                                Eric Ries: StartupLessonsLearned
                                                Sean Ellis: Startup-Marketing.com
MantaBull:                                                Evaluation Summary – Confidential             Humdrum Evaluation:                                 Evaluation Summary Confidential

1. Crux:                                                                                                1. Crux: Freemium shopping-cart for Facebook e-traders
-. Productising Automated Test Equipment for RF
-. Sensor product development – a list of ideas                                                         Score: 8/10. Facebook is, in essence, a walled-garden marketplace and is likely to require mini-
                                                                                                        versions of the most popular e-commerce apps to be launched from within the site. This trend
Score: 7/10. There is evidence that ATE market is transitioning to configurable test racks. And there   has been spotted and many e-commerce-enablers have emerged from within Facebook.
        is a growth market for RF components generally.
                                                                                                        2. Market, Competitor Analysis and Market Timing
2. Market and Competitor Analysis
                                                                                                        Like any marketplace, Facebook is also a place where vigorous and sustained promotion is
Testing: Market structure is increasingly for OEM’s to:                                                 required in order to win the hot contest for popularity when offering new tools. Ease-of-use is
outsource ‘testing design’ to trusted 3rd parties                                                       only one factor, viral adoption seems to be key. It is possible to be downloaded by many and
seek configurable automation of test processes                                                          yet, to remain unused. It is still early days....
                                                                                                        Humdrum has
Product Development: Very IPR intensive and difficult to extract. Requires self-generated
        innovation.
                                                                                                        Impressive stats on end-user adoption (75,000 users growing at 2,500 per month)
                                                                                                        Good partners
The full opportunity breadth, as presented, revolves around leveraging the value-add potential
         from established longterm relationships in both areas, ATE and Prod Dev.                       Less impressive stats on active traders, (20,000 installs,4,000 trader shops, of which 1,000 are
                                                                                                        ‘active’(putting up products for sale), but only 3% are ‘transacting’.
Score: 6/10 The scoring could be 7 for ATE, and 5 for Prod Dev. For the latter, the relationships       No stats on how well its competitors are doing in terms of number of merchants
        may change if the offering changes and is seen to be competitive, customers may be less         Freemium model can work in this specific case
        wllling to disclose design intentions to a free agent. (...but this is speculation).
                                                                                                        Score: 4/10. The proposition asks the investor to go in blind, not knowing what popularity the
3. Product and Opportunity Fit                                                                          competitors have achieved. Good work done on partnerships.

Re: Test Rack - is said to already provide 60% to70% overlap for all customers. The technical           3. Product and Opportunity Fit
         proposition, (the ‘how’ is not fully articulated re: commonality of upgrading), is to
         standardise the rack for all customers with supplementary bespoke services.
                                                                                                        The product is good and can become a lot better. But this does not guarantee success, which is
                                                                                                        probably determined by a land-grab strategy. Therefore, the tool itself should contain its own
Re: Product Design – no evidence of ‘Idea Initiation’ and Go to Market capability, the evidence is of
        ‘make to order’ capability.                                                                     ‘virality’ as the key ingredient to success. This is planned but not in any new or exciting way.
                                                                                                        The roadmap is big but not visibly prioritised. However, much good work has been done on
Score: 6/10 . Same basis as above re: scoring. The Product Development seems notional, though           limited resources.
        with good experience offered in the domains, if not of actual product inception.
                                                                                                        Score: 6/10 . Product is the result of a good, obsessed, developer, though with a rather
4. Promoter Strengths and Weaknesses                                                                    conservative vision.

Promoters are typified, mature, technology consultants and successful as same. The addition of          4. Promoter Strengths and Weaknesses
       an entrepreneurial Chairman offers a new dynamic that is focused on obtaining the
       funding required to transform the company profile from a consultancy house to a Product          Comes across as an opportunistic pairing, rather than a truly unified team . The Marketeer may
       Development house. New Commercial Director offers comfort on required commerciality
                                                                                                        have a vision to sell to investors rather than customers. (In other words, there’s a sense of a
The need for funds is a substitute for revenue whilst consultancy becomes internally focused on         dot-com, but that’s what seems to go with this territory). Strategic intelligence and vision was
       product design.                                                                                  weak.

.Score: 7/10. The proposition is that the guidance of a successful entrepreneur and a savvy             Score: 5/10. Good guys, but vision is opportunistic and short-term rather than strategic. The
         commercial director will transform consultancy into a well-funded product development          ‘ask’ is to ignore how well competitors may be doing.
         house.
                                                                                                        Overall: 58%. Good work done, needs a lot more pre-investment work, but is likely to get that
5. Overall: Score: 65%                                                                                  from other potential investors. An investor pool conference may be required to shape it.
Crux

crux (krks, krks) n. pl. crux·es or cru·ces (krsz) 1. The basic, central, or critical point or feature:
the crux of the matter; the crux of an argument. 2. The Southern Cross, the smallest stellar
constellation visible to the naked eye from Earth
Crux
  Crux

Sample of Study Materials. Typical Executive Summary.
Copyright: Help Finance.com, Studymode.com, Sales5.org.
Markets & Competition

                   Need both:
                       - Pathfinders
                       - Drop Zones
markets
  Market & Competitor Analysis
                                                         competitors
1. Pathfinders:

     Revert back to Crux: ............Google it
     - Get a sense of the sector
     - Are there industry reports, overviews...?
     - Does web mention same competitors....?

2. Drop Zones:

     – Do they know the customer intimately..?
         • B2C, profile of consumer – is the predicted behaviour
         typical of a consumer.... today, tomorrow?
         • B2B, profile of purchaser, budget authority, time to purchase,
         internal champion, Scotsman scoring
     – Are there potential partners that can hit the target more quickly?
product                   fit

Product & Opportunity Fit
                                                                         opportunity
Want enough Opportunity Space to explore the wider possibilities......

1.   B2C: Micks Garage, 2008: Showing Traction, Good metrics, proven CLV versus CAC

     Refs:
     – http://www.seomoz.org/blog/holygrail-of-ecommerce-conversion-optimization-91-points-
        checklist
     – http://www.forentrepreneurs.com/startup-killer/

2.   B2B: Visible Thread: Document Analytics & Consistency Checks

           B Plan 1, 2009:       Financial Services IT , 3 trial customers.

           B Plan 2, 2012:       US Defence Industry, 60+ customers, 4 of the 5 top Defence
                                 Contractors
                                 New Product: Clarity Grader
B2B Projections:                                                          Scotsmen
    Scotsmen
S.C.O.T.S.M.E.N:.... to prioritise potential buyers,
    deprioritise others, and to identify areas which
    need converting, in order to achieve the sale.
                                                                                   •       Size:
•       Solution:                                                                  •       Is the potential order value worth the effort?
•       Is there a solution you can supply and support?                            •       Is your company large enough to handle it?
                                                                                   •       Is the potential client of a size that you would
•       Can it be matched within your companies'                                           normally deal with?
        current portfolio?                                                         •       Money:
•       Competition:                                                               •       Is there a budget allocated?
•       Are you aware of who you are competing                                     •       How much is it?
        against?                                                                   •       Is it approved?
•       Originality:                                                               •       It is reasonable; can you provide a decent
                                                                                           solution for that amount?
•       Can you offer something 'original' or unique to                            •       Executive:
        this potential sale?                                                       •       Are you speaking to the right person?
•       Timescale:                                                                 •       Do they have the authority to make the decision?
•       Are you aware of their timescale?                                          •       Do you know who else is involved?
•       Is their timescale reasonable?                                             •       Need:
                                                                                   •       Are you aware of all their needs?
•       Does it fall within your own 'sales cycle'
                                                                                   •       Can you match them?
        criteria?
                                                                                   Not doing Scotsmen analysis does not mean the sale cannot be obtained, but it at least,
http://ezinearticles.com/?Introducing-Scotsmen---A-Simple-But-Highly-Effective-            provides some sense of assurance that the dynamics of the sales process have been
         Opportunity-Analysis-System&id=360201                                             assessed.
not
                                                   hot

What’s Hot and What’s Not.....                                                                  hot
                                                                    not
                                                         What’s not? –
What’s hot? – every sector that can be fundamentally
    transformed/disrupted by software                    •   CTO’s – building a technology stack is not as
                                                             challenging
•   Vertical Domain Knowledge – Insider understanding    •   Saas/Cloud re-interpretations of existing platform
    of an industry and true identification of an             businesses
    opportunity                                          •   Less than $10m global revenue potential from the
•   Good CEO’s – intellect/experience will guide to          Unique Selling Proposition
    success as opposed to muddling-through               •   Some Funds have moved away from direct plays in:
•   Exclusive Content (Data-Ownership or Data-                 –   Computer peripherals
    Distribution Ownership) –look for repositories of          –   Electronic Instrumentation
    data or exclusive access to data                           –   Banking Systems
•   Mobile/Tablet penetration of every sector – CPU in         –   Taxi’s, Cabs
    your pocket, the family tablet, the school tablet    •   Watch out for Acronym Religions : Web 2.0 4G,
•   Gaming penetration of Learning and Education             Cloud, SaaS......... except for IOT
•   Look for new Devices offering good Utility and       •   Watch out for O/S Projects that are geared toward
    SDK’s......                                              extending technology to SME’s
•   And personally.... look at how immigrants transact
    and communicate....
opportunities
Next Gen Growth Sectors offer Major Investment Opportunities
drivers
The Time is Right for more European Mega-Successes Online

                      The convergence of cloud and mobile adoption is changing everything — from shopping
                         to playing to learning as the next 6 billion people around the world come online.

                                         E&Y Global Venture Capital Insight and Trends 2014 Report
         • Selected ventures in the Connected World can exceed a $50m+ valuation within 5 years of first round
         • Seeking out Promoters with executable ideas that can transform industries
                            High Exits
success
What is Necessary?   Experts + StartUp People + Adequate Funding

                                 HealthCare     ----------------------------------
                                 Energy & Cleantech        -----------------------
                                 Government ---------------------------------
                                 Manufacturing       ------------------------------
                                 Transportation      ------------------------------
                                 Communications/Publishing ---------------
                                 Enterprise & Hiring -------------------------
                                 Banking/Security        -------------------------
                                 Others, Education, Retail, Advertising --

                                                Target Sectors

                                          Designing New Apps on                Investors
                                           New Platform AEP’s

                               Scalable Tech Opportunities                            + €€€’s
And, lastly, a word about Sales Projections.......
Děkuji

Thank You
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